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Market Top Looming For AMDRan through historical data on AMD and have quite a few signals of interest. The first event is bullish and calls for a move into the larger green box. Typically my signals come with a delay until the final movement is achieved. In this case, my Aggressive Multi-time frame indicator fired based on January 22, 2024 closing price. The signal was bullish, however, the common delay sees a retracement into the are of the pink box. Today, AMD moved down into the pink box possibly satisfying the delay prior to moving above the signal price and thus completing the signal. Although the delay and successful signal have both occurred, the stock cannot trade straight sideways forever. The likely direction is still very bullish, even if the stock were to revisit the small pink box in the next two days. Believing the stock will continue up, the question then becomes how high? I figure we are in the final end of an impulsive wave C. The five waves in this wave C are the larger Yellow numbers from when the wave began at the low on October 26, 2024. Yellow waves 1-4 are likely completed and we are in the final wave 5 upward now. Some of the common reversal points are highlighted with the wave extension levels on the right. 100% of wave 3's movement is at 151.05 while 200% is at 185.73. A wave 5 typically does not breach the 176.40% level therefore placing a likely top below 177.55. This yellow wave 5 is composed of five smaller white waves, of which 1-3 are likely completed and it is unknown if wave 4 was completed today too. Wave 4 could complete if there is additional downward movement within the next two days. Once wave 4 is confirmed the final white wave 5 will coincide with the market top. The same levels are interest on the left likely indicate a top below the 114% level. A common top is normally no higher than the 106-110% mark for micro fifth waves. This would likely keep the top below 177.20. I am not trying to find the top, but more of when the top could occur and what happens afterward. White wave 1 was five days, while wave 3 was six days. White wave 5 will likely be five days or less which is January 30. AMD reports earnings on January 30. There is a chance, either earnings, the outlook or a combination of factors do not fair well for AMD. There could be a final rally during the day on the 30th, until earnings come out after hours. AMD has debt that is due this year and the Fed's decision, but more likely its outlook on rate cuts this year could have a major impact on the refinancing of that debt. AMD could hold off on refinancing their debt if they believe cheaper rates are coming soon. If the Fed takes rate cuts off the table, do not provide a time table for cuts, or state factors enabling rate cuts are yet to be seen will force AMD to refinance their debt at higher rates. This could force them to sell stock (normally at a cheaper price), raise prices (consumers are already squeezed there) or another path not favorable to the short-term profitability. The earnings fall out will hit the stock on January 31. The Federal Reserve provides the next decision point on January 31. There is another signal that triggered at the close on January 12th that remains unfulfilled. That bearish signal indicated the stock could fall below 146.56 before February 20, 2024 based on historical data. The actual target box for the movement is the large yellow box on the chart. Based on the 383 studied occurrences, the signal is correct 91.361% of the time. Correct in this case would require a movement below 146.56. This instance could fall into the 8+% of failure, or it could occur via a longer path. I am positing AMD could crash down into the yellow box after fulfilling all signal price targets (pink, green, and yellow boxes). The Fed and earnings are only the beginning of the downward movement. I am still bearish on the market in the short-term (rest of 2024) even though I have called for the drop to occur in the prior months. The market is at new all-time highs, but are things really better than they were on January 3, 2022?
NASDAQ:AMD
by StockSignaler
AMD supported by the high point in late March of this year!AMD supported by the high point in late March of this year! This chart shows the weekly candle chart of AMD's company stocks from May 2021 to the present. The top to bottom golden section at the end of 2021 is superimposed in the figure. As shown in the figure, the recent high point of AMD company's stock has been suppressed by the 1.000 position of the top to bottom golden section in the figure! Then, AMD company's stock engaged in a long short competition between the 1.382 to 1.618 positions in the golden section of the chart from late June of this year to the beginning of this month. In the past three weeks, it has broken down and was supported by the high point in late March of this year! Just use the high point in late March this year (102.43) as the long short watershed for AMD stocks in the future!
NASDAQ:AMD
by Think_More
Advanced Micro Device Can we bounce from 21 Weekly EMA?Hi Guys! This is a Technical Analysis on Advanced Micro Device (AMD) on the 1 Week Timeframe. Previously i posted a chart on the Daily Timeframe, mentioning of a potential breakout to the upside. But it was short lived as a fakeout, and we are down 7ish% since then. To get an understanding of what went wrong, i decided to analyze the Weekly timeframe to get a bigger picture. As you can see: We have closed BELOW the SUPPORT line of the triangle. We have also closed below this short term RED Horizontal support line. And we are now Testing SUPPORT on the 21 Weekly EMA. This is a Major development in my opinion. 21 EMA is used to determine trend: ->If its ABOVE = BULLISH ->If its BELOW = BEARISH Whenever we are ABOVE the 21 EMA, its important for the BULLISH trend to have price action test SUPPORT on the EMA, every now and then. For the BULLISH Trend to continue, we need CONFIRMATION that the 21 EMA indeed acted as SUPPORT. But there is also the case, of the 21 EMA not being able to maintain SUPPORT. So whats more likely in our current situation? In my Opinion, its becoming more likely or probable that we BREAK BELOW 21 EMA. For me and for more evidence i like to use INDICATORS. Ive highlighted some Scenarios that mirror our current developments in the 3 indicators ive added. Notice the Differences between how far we drop under the 21 EMA and the variations found in the indicators. For Price action to weaken and drop below 21 EMA, 3 things need to happen: 1. RSI -> Showing the Orange line break support and move BELOW the Black line. The longer stay below and continue lower, more likely for price declines. 2. MACD -> BEAR CROSS, (Blue line below Orange line) and the appearance of Red Histogram. 3. STOCH RSI -> Below the 20 level. The longer we stay below this level, more likely for price decline We are currently in this SCENARIO, highlighted by BLACK BOX. So now to determine exactly how far BELOW we go, If we do break SUPPORT. To gauge at that, we look LEFT and we look at the specific changes/ differences in the indicators. For LARGER PRICE DECLINES like in Scenario #3 and #4 -> MACD Histogram Bars were LARGE -> MACD Blue/Orange lines moved BELOW 0 level -> STOCH RSI for #3 continued for about 133 days (longest compared to other scenarios). -> RSI Orange line stayed below Black line for extended period Now notice #1 and #2 -> The indicators didnt show extreme variations as seen in #3 and #4 -> Scenario #2 Price action was below 21 EMA for a decent amount of time but it was consolidating, rather than having a major decline. -> Though the RSI Orange line was below the Black for extended time, -> the STOCH RSI was at oversold area for 119 days, -> the MACD Orange/Blue line NOT dose diving BELOW 0 level, helped price action maintain a range before moving back over 21 EMA. We have to keep in mind though that history DOES NOT have to repeat and that a new scenario can be possible BUT Main thing to watch is the size of the histograms of the MACD and whether or not we stay ABOVE the 0 level, in my opinion. A level to look at is the SUPPORT line labeled "MAJOR SUPPORT". IF we do close BELOW 21 EMA, it becomes more likely we test this line. ________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on AMD in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by SafofAllTrades
AMD stocks experienced range fluctuations in 1.382 and 1.618AMD stocks experienced range fluctuations in 1.382 and 1.618 positions This chart shows the weekly candle chart of AMD stocks over the past two years. The top to bottom golden section at the end of 2021 is superimposed in the figure. As shown in the figure, AMD stocks experienced range fluctuations in May and mid June of this year after retreating to 1.382 and 1.618 positions, following the 1.000 position of the golden section in the upper test chart! The weekly chart for the past two weeks has shown a long upward shadow and a steady downward shift in center of gravity! In the future, the probability of AMD stocks weakening is expected to return to the bullish starting point in May 2023 as shown in the chart!
NASDAQ:AMD
by Think_More
AMD -> New Major Bullish CycleHello Traders and Investors , my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of AMD 💪 As you can see on the monthly timeframe AMD stock perfectly retested the 0.618 fibonacci retracement level of the previous bullish cycle and already started a quite nice rejection. On the weekly timeframe you can see that AMD retested the 50% fibonacci level and also filled the gap which was created a couple of weeks ago so everything is pointing towards more bullish growth. Finally I am waiting for an entry signal on the daily timeframe - specifically AMD breaking above the current resistance at the $115 area and then I also do expect another daily push higher. Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint 📈 Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! My previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by basictradingtv
37
20 Reasons for long AMD 🔆MULTI-TIME FRAME TOP-DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW☀️ 1:✨Eagle eye: In 2016, the stock started its bullish run and created its first multi-year Bullish Order Structure (BOS) and also set an All-Time High (ATH). After a correction move last year, an important point to note is that the Point of Interest (POI) area held, indicating that bulls still have power and the stock is showing strength. It is now poised for the next impulsive move towards a new ATH. 2:📆Monthly: In October 2022, the correction move confirmed a Lower High (LH), signaling the end of the correction. Now, the price may either consolidate sideways or take a reversal impulse move. We need to consider both possibilities. If the price consolidates, the range between 98 and 110 is important, and we should only look for buying opportunities within this range. 3:📅Weekly: A very strong bullish structure has already formed, and the price has made a BOS and almost completed its corrective move. The corrective area ranges from 100 to 104. Here, we need to wait for a strong reversal signal to confirm the buying opportunity. No further signals are needed, only one confirmed reversal signal. 4:🕛Daily: A well-established bullish trend is evident, with a strong inducement and a corrective move that has filled the gap and window. The price is now approaching the most recent support area after the inducement. The most important thing to watch carefully is the confirmation of today's pro-gap. If the price closes above 112 for the next two or three days, or even today, it will provide a buying confirmation. 😇7 Dimension analysis 🟢 analysis time frame: Daily 5: 1 Price Structure: Extremely bullish 6: 2 Pattern Candle Chart: Pro-gap 7: 3 Volume: High selling volumes indicate the end of the correction, and now a confirmation of the long position is needed. 8: 4 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL RSI: Holding above the 40 area, indicating a middle strength bullish zone. 9: 5 Volatility measure Bollinger bands: Volatility is starting to squeeze, which may lead to a temporary calm or sideways movement before a bullish move. The breakout of the squeeze will provide final confirmation. 10: 6 Strength ADX: Completely sideways. 11: 7 Sentiment ROC: ✔️ Entry Time Frame: Daily 12: Entry TF Structure: Bullish 13: Entry Move: Initial impulsive move 14: Support Resistance Base: The most recent Order Structure (OS) after the inducement acts as strong support. 15: FIB: Not activated yet. Additionally, a breakout of the hourly trend line will provide an additional confirmation. ☑️ Final comments: Buy at confirmation. 16: 💡Decision: Go long. 17: 🚀Entry: 112 18: ✋Stop Loss: 104 19: 🎯Take Profit: 148 20: 😊Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:6.5 🕛 Expected Duration: 30 days
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by Optimum369
There is still room above of AMD stock !There is still room above of AMD stock ! This chart shows the Line chart of AMD shares in the last two years. The top to bottom golden section is superimposed in the figure. As shown in the figure, the recent high point of AMD stock happens to be 1.000 level of the top to bottom golden section in the figure, and the recent wave of long start bits also happens to be 2.382 level of the top to bottom golden section in the figure! So, in the future, the probability of AMD stocks will continue to break through upwards, test the 0.618 level of the golden section, and then fall back, fluctuating and weakening!
NASDAQ:AMD
by Think_More
AMD -> Almost Ready For Another PumpHello Traders, welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis. On the weekly timeframe you can see that AMD just recently perfectly retested and already started to reject a major previous weekly structure zone at the $130 level. You can also see that the next weekly support zone is at the $100-$105 area - I definitely do expect AMD to retest this support before I then do expect some bullish rejection and an overall continuation of the underlying uptrend. On the daily timeframe you can see that AMD just created a beautiful double top formation which is a classic bearish reversal pattern so there is the possibility that we will first see more downside to retest the $105 support before we will then see a bullish rejection. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by basictradingtv
44
AMD to close its gap?Advanced Micro Devices - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 115.68 (stop at 122.08) Bearish divergence can be seen on the daily chart (the chart makes a higher high while the oscillator makes a lower high), often a signal of exhausted bullish momentum, or at least a correction lower. We have a Gap open at 25/5 from 108.27 to 117.31. A higher correction is expected. We are trading at overbought extremes. In our opinion this stock is overvalued. Our profit targets will be 100.68 and 97.68 Resistance: 125.00 / 132.83 / 135.00 Support: 115.80 / 108.00 / 102.00 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by VantageMarkets