AMD: Final shot to rise in this Channel. $290 if successful.Advanced Micro Devices are bearish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 38.717, MACD = -4.560, ADX = 33.691) but just under neutrality on the 1W technical outlook (RSI = 43.494, MACD = -3.840, ADX = 18.724). This indicates that this is the final support long term to reverse the medium term bearish sentiment and this is quite evident on this chart where the price is at the bottom of the 2 year Channel Up.
Roughly every November inside this Channel (2022, 2023 and 2024), it is on a corrective wave (or has been the month before), so the symmetric structure on this pattern is very strong. Another reason to see a massive bullish wave next. The previous two peaked approximately 160 days after that low, completing a +141.24% rally from the HL. Consequently, we are aiming for a similar rally (TP = 290.00) by late April 2025.
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AMD: New bullish wave to $197 has started.Advanced Micro Devices have entered a healthy bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.730, MACD = 0.360, ADX = 17.320) as the price crossed over the 1D MA200 today, with the 1D RSI above its MA since yesterday. Technically, it has started the 3rd bullish wave of the 3 month Channel Up. The two waves before this have risen by at least +31%, and that is our next target (TP = 197.00) for the next 2 months.
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AMD: 4H Golden Cross is the best buy signal you can get.Advanced Micro Devices may be having a noticeable correction that turned the stock back to neutral both on the 4H and 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.728, MACD = 5.610, ADX = 40.223) but it just formed the strongest bullish pattern of all: a Golden Cross on the 4H chart. In the past 2 years we've been given another two 4H Golden Crosses and both turned out to be the utmost bullish validation for enormous rallies, which in both cases extended at +141% from the bottom. We expect another such run and now we have the best confirmation (TP = 290.00).
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AMD: Close to giving the signal for mega buy to $295.Advanced Micro Devices is about to test the 1D MA200 on very healthy bullish technicals on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 60.924, MACD = 3.070, ADX = 28.078). This chart is on the 1W timeframe which is still neutral (RSI = 52.205, MACD = -1.400, ADX = 23.295), meaning that if the 1D MA200 breaks, the market would still be significantly undervalued with strong upside potential. As shown the long term pattern is a Channel Up, with the Fibonacci levels explaining pressure zones. The two bullish waves of the Channel have remarkably been of the exact same rise (+143.89%). If the once that will be validated by the 1D MA200 crossing posts the same rally, we expect the 0.786 Fib Channel level to be reached and we will set our target accordingly.(TP = 295.00).
Perhaps the strongest reason to buy for the long term right now is the Bullish Cross on the 1W MACD (seen on the pane below the chart). This has been formed exactly on the two prior bottoms of the Channel on November 6th 2023 and November 14th 2022. Combined with the 1D MA200 breakout, this MACD formation is the mega buy signal we've been waiting for.
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AMD: Near the 2 month Support. Strong Buy.AMD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 39.240, MACD = -3.040, ADX = 37.221) as it got heavily rejected on the 1D MA50 last week. Nonetheless, it is close not only to completing the -28.56% decline, which is the maximum fall it has had since the October 13th 2022 bottom, but also near the S1 level (162.00), which is February's low. The chart shows that every time AMD had dropped under the 1D MA50 while on this multi year Channel Up, it was a strong buy opportunity. Only in August it kept falling, but not aggressively until it found support on the 1W MA50.
Consequently, we treat this as a effective buy entry, aiming for a +61.60% increase at least (TP = 260.00), like the October - December 2023 rebound.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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AMD: Start selling. Top this or the next week.Advanced Micro Devices is excessively overbought both on the 1W (RSI = 82.711) as well as on the 1D (RSI = 74.269, MACD = 10.910, ADX = 31.889) timeframe. Since the October 23 2023 Low, which was a 1W MA50 HL of the long term Channel Up, the stock price has risen by almost +130%. The previous HL-to-HH Bullish Leg made a +143.89% rise. We are very close to that level, so we expect the stock to price its new top this week or the next. In addition, the 1W CCI has been trading sideways but above the overbought limit since November, similar pattern as the sequence that led to the June 2023 peak. It is worth to start selling now, targeting close to the S1 level (TP = 165.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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AMD: Not long term bullish yet.Advanced Micro Devices has had an enormously bullish day as a natural result of yesterday's better than expected earnings and this rise closed the session almost at the top of the Channel Down pattern. This was enough to turn the 1D timeframe bullish (RSI = 59.297, MACD = -1.230, ADX = 33.876).
This however isn't yet a long term buy signal buy for the first time since June, it is an encouraging one as it is being executed after a 1D MACD Bullish Divergence, on a Bullish Cross too. However we will only buy for the long term after the price crosses over the R1 level and then retests it as Support. If fulfilled, our target will be the 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP = 124.00).
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