CYCTB? American Express CO. Hello friends,
I feel in this time, it is important to document.
With that being said, I have always felt in the past I was always calling the bottom.
With this chain of posting I will post my thoughts on what I think the bottom will be.
Most companies are over sold and over leveraged.
Hope this finds you well.
Happy trading.
Disclaimed - This is NOT financial advice - Its chart speculation.
America
"Nasdaq: Top and Bottom Analysis" by ThinkingAntsOkDaily Chart Explanation:
- Price broke the Ascending Channel and, then, went towards the Ascending Trendline.
- It bounced from there until it faced the Resistance Zone.
- After that, it started the down move again.
- We will be looking for sell setups until price breaks the Resistance Zone at 8.000.
4H Vision:
Weekly Vision:
Updates coming soon!
Growth Covid-19 confirmed cases USUS is still on exponential growth curve confirmed cases (no signs of deceleration).
"JP Morgan: not looking good" by ThinkingAntsOk4H Chart Explanation:
- Price broke the Ascending Trendline and the Support Zone (now Resistance).
- It went down towards the next Support Zone and bounced from there.
- We expect price to retest it and, then, face a difficult zone on the Weekly Ascending Trendline.
Weekly Vision:
Daily Vision:
Updates coming soon!
"Microsoft: pullback and the down move continues"4H Chart Explanation:
- Price broke the Ascending Trendline.
- It went down towards the Support Zone and bounced from there, developing a pullback.
- Now, price has potential to move down towards the Support Zones.
- We are looking for sell setups on lower timeframes.
Weekly Vision:
Daily Vision:
Updates coming soon!
"Cisco: the down move continues" by ThinkingAntsOkWeekly Chart Explanation:
- Price broke the Ascending Trendline.
- Price broke the first Support Zone (Resistance Zone now) and is on a correction (pullback) to it.
- Expect price to continue the down move towards the two next Support Zones.
Daily Vision:
Updates coming soon!
Dow strong buy up to 21680?! Inverted hammer!One thing is true the market moves in waves. The dow has now bounced of major support at 18200 and put in an inverted hammer reversal candle formation. 21680 is the first major resistance and an obvious target. Stop just below support. RSI is now pointing upwards and daily MACDH has triggered a buy signal.
All the talk of major stimulus deal combined with unlimited QE from the fed should provide the pump.
As always take some profits off the table as we go up, watch your money management
BAC - We are repeating the 2008 dropHello everyone, as we can see we are heading for the same % drop as in 2007, so expect till March - May 2021 the price to be around 5$ - 2.5$ . We do have support at 10$, but giving the fact how the 2007 crysis turned out for BAC with more than 90% drop, right now we are seeing record big drops, I see -90% from all time high price again. Right now we will see temporary retracement to the upside, but it will be fore 1-2 months, then we will drop again. Good luck to everyone, see you next year :D
"Apple: next Support Zones to control" by ThinkingAntsOk4H Chart Explanation:
- Price broke the Ascending Trendline.
- It is currently on an important Support Zone.
- Expect a pullback from here and, then, price will start a huge down move.
- We are looking for sell setups on lower timeframes.
Weekly Vision:
Updates coming soon!
"Ford: down move coming" by ThinkingAntsOkDaily Chart Explanation:
- Price broke the Weekly Support Zone (now Resistance Zone).
- Expect a pullback towards that Zone.
- After that, price will move down towards the next Support Zone.
- We are waiting the pullback to take short trades on lower timeframes.
Weekly Vision:
Updates coming soon!
"Coca-Cola: two paths possible" by ThinkingAntsOk4H Chart Explanation:
- Price is on the Weekly Ascending Trendline.
- It tried to break it, but could not do it.
- Now, we have to possible paths: 1) bounce from here and start a new up move; 2) break the Support Zone to start a new down impulse.
- We are waiting for setups on lower timeframes to take trades on this instrument.
Weekly Vision:
Daily Vision:
Updates coming soon!
"Microsoft: a Bearish Vision" by ThinkingAntsOk4H Chart Explanation:
- Price broke the Weekly Ascending Trendline.
- After that, the down move started.
- Currently, price is on the Micro Support Zone.
- We expect price to develop a correction before continuing the down move.
- We are looking for sell setups on lower timeframes.
Weekly Vision:
Daily Vision:
Updates coming soon!
S&P 500 Volume Profile AnalysisAll travel from Europe to US suspended
This step is in my opinion a good precaution to stop the corona virus from spreading across the globe. But what does this mean for the US economy? A severe blow! Bringing a big industry like intercontinental airlines to a 30 day halt will have economical consequences. Also it is not just this industry but also all the industries that are somehow linked to airlines.
I was not surprised when I saw the biggest US stock index S&P 500 drop after this news.
What does the current selling on S&P 500 mean for us traders? In my opinion this is an opportunity. US economy is strong and nothing like this could bring it to it’s knees. Also, a pullback after years of a crazy strong uptrend is a healthy thing for the market.
S&P 500 discounted
I like to talk about investment assets as if they were regular stuff you buy in a store. Imagine that you go shopping and the same thing which was $30 yesterday is now $20. It is the same thing as yesterday, same quality, same manufacturer. What does a reasonable person do? He buys all he can carry and store, right? Because the stuff is discounted!
We can apply the same approach to S&P 500. Pullback in S&P chart means a discount. In my opinion S&P 500 is a “good quality product that won’t spoil”. So the only question is how big the pullback needs to be before S&P gets real cheap and the big guys start pushing the price upwards again.
Volume Profile analysis
The best tool to uncover the strongest institutional supports and resistances is the Volume Profile. I opened a monthly chart of S&P 500 and looked 12 years back to see how the volumes were distributed in this whole period. This is the sort of BIG picture you want to examine when thinking over long-term trades.
The heaviest volumes in this 12 year period were accumulated between years 2014 and 2016 around 2070.00. From there a strong buying activity started again.
When there is a pullback big enough to hit this significant Volume Cluster sometime in the future then I think aggressive buyers will come into the market again and they will start buying like crazy. This should move the price upwards again.
As you can see from the picture above, the price is currently at another significant Volume Cluster. This could also prove to be a strong support and turn the price upwards again. But if you want to buy with a real BIG discount, then 2070.00 is the place I would picked for a big buy.
Long-term investment
With this kind of trade you need to treat it like a very long-term investment.This is not swing trade you hold for a few days and then get rid of it. This is a position to hold for a couple of years.
With such a kind of an investment you need to think about it like this: First the asset needs to be good. You need to like the S&P 500 and you need to believe in it. You need to believe in the US economy. Only then you should check out the chart and look for a place where you would like to buy it.
I hope you guys liked this S&P 500 analysis. Let me know what you think in the comments below!
Happy trading,
-Dale
"McDonalds: bouncing from a critical level" by ThinkingAntsOk4H Chart Explanation:
- Price is on a Weekly Ascending Channel.
- Price is on the Support Zone and on the Bottom of the Ascending Channel.
- We expect price to move up towards the Resistance Zone.
Weekly Vision:
Daily Vision:
Updates coming soon!
"Disney: Top and Bottom Analysis" by ThinkingAntsOk4H Chart Explanation:
- Price is on an important Support Zone + Weekly Ascending Trendline.
- Expect price to bounce from here towards the next Resistance Zone.
- If price breaks it, potential to move up towards the All-Time Highs Resistance Zone.
Weekly Vision:
Daily Vision:
Updates coming soon!
"Coca-Cola: Top and Bottom Analysis" by ThinkingAntsOk4H Chart Explanation:
- After this big fall, price seems to be bouncing on the Weekly Broken Ascending Channel.
- After the Pullback and the Support Zone, price has potential to move up towards the Resistance Zones.
Weekly Vision:
Daily Vision:
Updates coming soon!