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American Airlines - AAL Checking back in with American Airlines. As always, hit the search on our page and look up our previous AAL posts for more info as we tend to continue where we left off on the analysis. Quick Recap: American Airlines 1st Quarter numbers came in and as expected, they weren't good, down -$2.2 Billion. They're looking for ways to cut costs as they are/were burning through $50-$70 million per day. US airline travel as a whole was down approximately 95% compared to the same time last year. Technical Analysis: The $8.50-$9.14 area seems to have found some support for AAL as stock has decently bounced both times when hitting these levels at the bottom of the fib retracement. RSI has been rising and the price has yet to really follow. MACD looks like it's preparing to crossover to the positive side, but as always we will wait for confirmation before drinking the Kool-Aid. DMI is on the positive side but the ADX isn't rising with it showing strength. Fundamental Analysis: Most analysts still have this stock as a Hold or Sell rating at the moment and that's completely understandable still. If you see our previous posts we're still waiting to see people booking plane tickets until we hop back in. The next earnings report isnt expected to be any better than the first one as AAL is projected to report earnings of -$6.51 per share, which would represent a year-over-year decline of 457.69%. That being said, if AAL can cut costs and stay afloat, there is definitely a lot of room for upside as the stock isn't even near its 50 MA (we used 55ma in this chart - the yellow line). This one is still a risky play. If you would like to ladder buy into this one would be the best play, with a tight stop loss around the $8.50 area for the time being. Brief reminder, airlines can most definitely fail. American Airlines is still fresh off it's bankruptcy that occurred in late 2011. Hit us with a like and a follow for more updates. Cheers! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on here, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NASDAQ:AALLong
by MannyLo
AAL - Double bullish missing right shoulder divergence on DailyLong trade on American Airlines group Double Missing Right Shoulder Divergence On the weekly The impulse is yellow and allows the trade On the daily I see a bullish double missing right shoulder divergence, Stochastic RSI curling up on the daily, prices also diverging with MACD lines and EFI. On the 4H Timeframe Thers is a triple bullish divergence as well, including MACD-lines and EFI divergence. Stop loss is 2 ATR levels away on the 4H timeframe. Entry 9.85 Target 1: 12.61 Target 2: 13.99 SL: 8.31 R/R ratio: 1:1.85 to 1:2.44 I had my entry on 9.82, but that was missed by 3 cents. Let’s see if we can get in tomorrow.
NASDAQ:AALLong
by Tornado_Trading
1
Still We Have a Great Chance in AALWelcome to Profitlio Trading! What's up traders! Thanks for Jumping back on my Analysis, Traderchamp is here on your Service, Also hit thumbs up and support the work. This is going to be a perfect sign for gains in AAL market. Look into the highlighted eclipse and good place for a long term buying opportunities. price has been locked at this point for AAL and where I see a great potential ahead after economical come back! Sketch up your own trade setup before you take off. Our Previous selling banked with 100+ Pips and Good Luck! Profitlio Trading ( Since 2014 in Financial Markets ) ________________________________________________ Traders Disclaimer: Non of our analysis or trade setups being shared here on tradingview is a trading advice. As we keep on weekly updates with our predictions and expectations. We may take them as a trade only if trade setup meets the required criteria ( Confirmations ). Unless we will never take them as a trade if it never reach our trading requirements. Take them at your own risk as trading is highly risky and you may loss your investments. Our trades are based on Swinging and Mid to long term approaches. All trades executed will be handled under the name of Profitlio Trading only.
NASDAQ:AALLong
by Profitlio_Trading
American Airlines Group - AAL - HoldNASDAQ:AAL Technical Analysis: Wait signals to go short (As per major trend) Let's wait for one more day to check if the price will close below the support line to confirm a potential breakout point; i.e. a downward penetration of the support line. (Go short) - this Idea is supported by the Fundamental Analysis as well. I would not be so confident to go long. It is still a possibility as the price could bounce back on the support line (against the fundamental). 2008 PRICE LEVEL WAS 1.75 USD circa and aircrafts were flying - the current crisis should be worst than the 2008.
NASDAQ:AAL
by Mauriello
#AAL ANALYSIS.. BEARISH IN LONG TERM.. I think there is not much to say about #AAL.. Due to the pandemic disaster we are experiencing, the air transportation industry has been in a very difficult situation.. The cash flows of the airline companies are seriously disrupted and this situation seems to continue for a while, in this context, we can see much lower levels in the stock price.. Also, if we approach the situation in the technical scope, the symmetrical triangle draws attention on weekly chart, this is very bearish for American Airlines in longterm.. Disclaimer: Please do your own due diligence when it comes to trading.. Invest at your own risk.. I wish you all the best..
NASDAQ:AALShort
by OguzhanSengor
2
AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (AAL) Monthly & WeeklyDates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low. The Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing date. Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames. Occasionally a Djinn Predictive Indicator will miss its prediction date by one candlestick. If multiple Djinn prediction dates are missed and are plowed through by same color Henikin Ashi candles the asset is being "reset". The "reset" is complete when Henikin Ashi candles are back in sync with Djinn price high or low prediction dates. One way the Djinn Indicator is used to enter and exit trades: For best results trade in the direction of the trend. The Linear Regression channel is used to determine trend direction. The Linear Regression is set at 2 -2 30. When a green Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression upper deviation line (green line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a sell is triggered. When a red Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression lower deviation line (red line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a buy is triggered. This trading strategy works on daily, weekly and Monthly Djinn Predictive charts. Trades made when the monthly, weekly and daily arrows are pointing in the same direction are the most profitable. This is not trading advice. Trade at your own risk.
NASDAQ:AAL
by Dinjin
AAL American Airlines - Burning Through $70 million A DayAmerican Airlines 1st Quarter numbers are in. As expected, they weren't good. AAL just posted its biggest loss since the Great Recession in 2008 as they lost $2.2 Billion. In the 2nd quarter they are burning through $70 million dollars per day. SO if you're wondering how the 2nd quarter numbers will look, that should give you somewhat of an idea. US airline travel is down approximately 95% compared to the same time last year. In attempts to cut costs, around 39,000 employees have volunteered for unpaid pr partially paid leave. Brief reminder, airlines can most definitely fail. American Airlines is still fresh off it's bankruptcy that occurred in late 2011. Technical: Stock prices at the moments seem to be pure gambles as some are completing deviating from TA and fundamentals. Would only buy to go in and out for quick trades. We're not long on airlines until we see flights filing up again. If going long for a quick scalp, look for support around $10.45 and $9.00 with a tight stop loss. As per bottom, we've seen some consolidation in the current region we're in but we're not yet comfortable here. Any further drops we can look at $6.94, $4.55, & $1.09. Hit us with a like and a follow for more updates. Cheers! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on here, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NASDAQ:AAL
by MannyLo
2
$AAL EPS Projection = -$2.47 / Falling WedgeI will be looking for $AAL to follow this falling wedge downwards and likely lag till earnings. Earnings may cause more downside. Wall Street Journal EPS Projection: -$1.83 More realistic EPS: -$2.47 I believe revenue projections are heavily understated as shown by Ford. $UAL has quarterly revenues under 10 billion and predicted a revenue loss in march alone at 1.5 billion . $AAL I am betting will have lost more revenue than 1.5 billion in March. If we take into account $UAL projecting losses of 1.5billion in March when their revenue is under 10 billion a quarter it is safe to say that $AAL would lose 1.5 billion in revenue as well, which is generous because they could have lost more. Projected Revenues/Expenses/Net Income/EPS Operating Expense for Q1: 10.157 billion Operating Expenses for January: 3.386 billion Operating Expenses for February: 3.386 billion Operating Expenses for March: 3.386 billion Operating Revenue for Q1: 10.757 billion Operating Revenue for January: 3.585 billion Operating Revenue for February: 3.585 billion Operating Revenue for March if it were a normal month, based on trends: 3.585 billion Non operating expenses: 158 million Net income in January: 200 million Net income in February: 200 million (generous) Expected losses in revenue for March: 1.5 billion Expected Operating revenue for March: 2.085 billion. Net income in March: -1.3billion 200 mill + 200 mill -1.3billion - 158 million = -1.058 billion before taxes No clue how this loss would be taxed, so let's just leave that alone, but this means their real net income after tax will be worse than -1.058 billion -1.058 billion / 428.2million weighted outstanding shares = -$2.47 EPS or worse. This is important because a normal falling wedge like this would break towards the upside, however if earnings are truly this bad I believe there may be more downside.
NASDAQ:AALShort
by bishopknight