US DOLLAR - Boxed RangeUS DOLLAR is trading SUPPORT and RESISTANCE zones within a boxed RANGE.
It is respecting a range of 100.53 - 101.93, with respective bounces on either end, keeping it within its BOXED RANGE.
When I'm speaking about a BOXED RANGE, what I mean is that the RANGE ISN'T TIGHT like a normal range, where its looking for volume before a big move, these types of ranges have volume and are easier to read as they respect KEY ZONES, for example right now they are respecting 100.53 - 101.93.
We should wait for the US DOLLAR to enter either SUPPORT or RESISTANCE to enter a trade, we can wait for a rejection + bounce or wait for a breakout.
If the US DOLLAR breaks to the downside (BEARISH) I would expect for the overall US markets to continue it's BULLISH movements, as usually the US MARKET IS INVERSELY PROPORTIONAL TO THE US DOLLAR INDEX...
Conversely if it shows BULLISH signs and begins to move towards the SUPPORT ZONE, I will be looking for the US MARKET to move BEARISH.
Americandollar
XAUUSD/H4 The development of the US session, psyche before newsExpectations for the US session on 8/8/2024:
The Asia-Europe session is mainly sideways in the 2392-2400 area. This is a sign of accumulation awaiting the US July Unemployment Rate.
In terms of technical analysis: the downward trend correction is still being maintained, a recovery from the 2380 area could form peaks in the 2410-2413 or 2427-2434 areas. Price levels to note: SELL: 2400-2404, 2410-2413, and 2425-2434; BUY: 2367-2371 and 2351-2355.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2410-2413
SL 2416
TP 2400 - 2390 - 2377 - 2355.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 2427-2430
SL 2435
TP 2415 - 2400 - 2377 - 2355.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 2375 - 2377
SL 2370
TP 2390 - 2400 - 2410.
$DXY - Next Resistances to Watch *W & *D (tf) TVC:DXY *D (tf)
Previous Ideas of Resistance to Watch (before & after 'play button' )
(before & after 'play button' )
Next decent Resistances for TVC:DXY to face will be the 0.5 Macro Fibb Level @107.7 level .
Surpassing that via decent breakout, correction may be anticipated as a retest and
confirmation for TVC:DXY to continue Higher.
Meanwhile on the *W (tf),
TVC:DXY managed not to close its 12 Consecutive Green Weekly Candlestick.
Whats worrying is that the last Weekly Close was very Bearish in Price Action,
printing whats called ' A Topping Tail '
$DXY -Ballads of the Dollar *W (11 Consecutive Green Weeks) Its time for a Dollar Story !
(previous lin echart idea 100-105 Range; before & after to the current spot)
The Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) has managed to print 11 Consecutive Green Weekly Candlesticks,
rallying up as much as 8 % from its July/2023 99.580 Low.
A low violating all Technical aspects, which got us into a Short Idea but not
for long before changing bias
(idea's live chart)
TVC:DXY tried to close in Green its 12 Consecutive Candlestick Print, but failed to do so.
However,
during this up-rally time of Dirty Mighty TVC:DXY for the past 11 Weeks,
heavy negatively correlated assets like $EUR/USD and other major FX pair got
slapped on the face mercilessly,
as well so did the US Major Financial Markets and other Indexes and Equities,
but when comparing them with the Fiat Currencies market,
their blood shed was less.
Is about time for The Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) to cool down for a while and correct ?
Fundamentally no,
as fear and troubles looms for a US Recession being just around the corner.
Technically (TA) speaking yes,
it is time for a brief correction,
would be totally fine for someone looking in to longing the Financial Markets or
exchanging their Fiat Dollars for other Major Fiat Currencies.
We can see TVC:DXY on line chart having broken the Range's Ceiling of 100-105,
as well retesting it (so far).
Holding it as Support or finding itself below again facing it as Resistance
shall be proven on upcoming week(s)
$US10Y -Important Close *Weekly- US 10 Years Government Bonds(Yield) TVC:US10Y experienced a pull back in the fourth
week of August,
after having rallied previously for five (5) consecutive Weeks,
printing only green *W candlesticks.
The Weekly pullback retraced to a Weekly price level of 4.09% for $U10Y
(key level marked on dashed green line)
We can clearly see TVC:DXY being dragged higher as well during Yields uptrend
(indicating a weak and fearful state of other Major Financial Markets).
Seen on Weekly Timeframe, we can easily spot a triangle pattern being formed
on $US10Y.
Triangle Pattern's Apex can be stretched as far as 238Days from where it
currently is.
In case Pattern is violated to the downside,
a considerable Support-Resistance zone lays just underneath dating back
ever since 1912.
Below that would be the catching up dynamic support of 200EMA on the Weekly,
as well the support-trendline coming from Pandemic Lows.
TVC:US10Y uptrend resumption seems very likely from here,
especially after bouncing at the key level marked on dashed green line.
What is more important to be monitored is the correlation of TVC:DXY going higher
in the same time with TVC:US10Y .
That would be a nightmare scenario for an investor, and a golden opportunity
for those who are on the sidelines and waiting to be heavily invested
in diversification .
$DXY -Resistances to Watch *D (tf)- Upcoming Resistances to watch for TVC:DXY :
-104.707
(Last Lower High + confluencing S/R area)
-105.883 (Lower High from 114)
(aswell being drawn a Range's Ceiling
- The Dollar Index TVC:DXY has experienced lots of tremendous
vertical upside during these past two-three weeks.
From negative economic news of Chinese CCP report ;
to US economy on Sticky Inflation
and persistent outlook of Interest Rates being Hiked again,
seems as investors, smart money and quite of many retail traders are fleeing in to
TVC:DXY given safety.
Meanwhile TA speaking,
TVC:DXY has been broken Resistance Trendline from 114 High after occuring a FAKE-OUT
at the Bottom Support of Range (100.8) level.
Price went to close to the Weekly 200EMA,
which seems to have provided lots of Support for TVC:DXY
by pushing the price higher .
TRADE SAFE
$DXY - The Ballads of Dollar (100-105)-The Dollar Index TVC:DXY has experienced lots of tremendous
vertical upside during these past two-three weeks.
From negative economic news of Chinese CCP report ;
to US economy on Sticky Inflation
and persistent outlook of Interest Rates being Hiked again,
seems as investors, smart money and quite of many retail traders are fleeing in to
TVC:DXY given safety.
Meanwhile TA speaking,
TVC:DXY has been broken Resistance Trendline from 114 High after occuring a FAKE-OUT
at the Bottom Support of Range (100.8) level.
Price went to close to the Weekly 200EMA,
which seems to have provided lots of Support for TVC:DXY
by pushing the price higher .
(check the next candelstick version idea)
Upcoming Resistances to watch for TVC:DXY :
-104.707
(Last Lower High + confluencing S/R area)
-105.883 (Lower High from 114)
(aswell being drawn a Range's Ceiling
TRADE SAFE
$DXY - Middle Range Warzone (100-105) - TVC:DXY has had a vertical rally from its fake-out breakdown of Range,
finding Support at 200EMA and got back to the Middle Zone Range S/R of 103 level.
The last idea published when TVC:DXY broke the range to the downside
( TVC:DXY -Headed South 97) played out in the opposite way of forecast expectation.
Eerie similar bars pattern move but on North direction, not South. (press play for bars)
With TVC:DXY currently closing the week at 103.4 level,
looking for short-term weakness next week to correct a bit from the Rally starting
from 99.6 to 103.
Next Resistances to look out for ;
- previous Macro LH @104.7
- Range's Ceiling 105.9
- Strong Resistance level at Macro Fibbonacci taken from 114 High to 100.8 Range Low
(0.618 Golden Zone @ 106.1)
Clearing these upcoming Resistances,
would put TVC:DXY clear bullish territory for the rest of 2023 and 2024.
Trouble times ahead for Financial Markets in this case scenario,
especially when combined with the Chinese Real-Estate Panic that just started on Friday with
Evergrande declaring bankruptcy
TRADE SAFE !
*** Note that this is not Financial Advice .
Please do your own research and consult your own Financial Advisor
before partaking on any Trading Activity based solely on this Idea !
American Airlines to find support at previuos resistance?American Airlines - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 15.11 (stop at 14.51)
Broken out of the Head and Shoulders formation to the upside.
Previous resistance at 15 now becomes support.
A higher correction is expected.
We look to buy dips.
Daily signals are bullish.
Our profit targets will be 16.61 and 16.91
Resistance: 16.40 / 16.72 / 17.00
Support: 16.00 / 15.70 / 15.00
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$DXY -Wave 'B' Completed- It seems TVC:DXY found temporary Support
on the Bullish Cross Over in the last Week,
by testing it thrice and jumping around.
Concerning is the Change of Character (CHoCH) in Wave A
of A-B-C correction ;
by violating the last
Higher High of 103.3 (where fibb is taken).
However, this may only be a small issue regarding
Higher Time Frames Uptrend.
Zones to watch the weekk ahead for TVC:DXY ;
- Support to hold at 103.3 ;
(1 Fibb' level + S/R + EMA's Area
- Wave B Continuation completion after Impulsive Wave A
*Resistance at 0.618 Fibb's Golden Zone
(or a bit Higher zooming in on Smaller TF Order Block)
- Wave C continuation putting TVC:DXY @ 102.6 fibb level and trendline
Dollar bulls on the rise? (DXY)The American Dollar Index (DXY) appears to be forming a double bottom pattern similar to the one it formed in March 2022. This pattern is considered a bullish chart pattern that indicates a potential trend reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. A breakout from this pattern could trigger a significant rally in the dollar, possibly up to the 110 price level.
However, this bullish outlook for the dollar could have implications for other markets, particularly the crypto and stock markets. Historically, the dollar and these markets have had an inverse relationship, where a strong dollar usually leads to a weaker performance in the crypto and stock markets. Therefore, if the dollar rally materializes, it could lead to end-of-year lows for these markets.
Traders and investors should monitor the DXY closely for any breakout signals from the double bottom pattern and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
AUDUSD Top-Down Analysis! (SHORT BIAS) Hello everyone!
Hope you are all doing well!
AU analysed for you! :)
This pair looked very confusing recently to some people in a couple of servers/group chats i am apart of on Social Media! So, i thought of analysing it after one of my Tel channel members suggested me to..
AU is still very bullish, however, LTF and HTF is looking interesting for sells! I will be monitoring 4H and Daily TF for sells myself!
Sit back and enjoy! Any questions? Just ask down below, or DM me!
Take care! :)
AUD/USD Technical AnalysisWe could see potential upward movement although sellers were stronger.
We have formed fake-breakout on a 4h chart closing below the 4h timeframe and below 1d timeframe resistance. Meaning that shorting in current position wouldn't be a mistake. Waiting for a little pullback and continuation to the downside.
My entry (when markets open)
Entry: .66862
SL: .67372
Entry #2 (in case i get stopped)
Entry:.67947
SL: .68174
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