AMGN
Signs of Life to $62Very strong Weekly MACD bullish crossover and RSI reversal at oversold conditions.
Inverted H&S BullishSee image for inverted H&S. Buy point was 10.3. Biotech is next in sector rotation
Accumulation on Uptrend ExampleSTRONG Volume on up days, LOW volume on pullback. PERFECT example of a stock under accumulation.
Repatha will bring major volume and take AMGN to new heights.Repatha (AMGN) and Praluent (Regeneron (REGN)/Sinofy (SNY)) are two PCSK9 inhibitors, a new class of drugs to treat hypercholesterolemia more effectively than previously possible. This will trigger a HCV-like battle between the two as both have high efficacy. Both have room to share the market, allowing both to make a significant amount of money on these blockbuster drugs.
Unlike the HCV battle where GILD had more than a year of first-to-market status, Praluent will only have a month of such status assuming REGN/SNY can capitalize on that extra time to quickly bring it to the US market faster than AMGN. However, Repatha is expected to hit the EU market sooner, so it's a fair tradeoff as both will be able to get some good traction.
Additional difference could be in the pricing strategy of Praluent being cheaper due to lower dosing, however Repatha has a slightly higher efficacy (61% vs 56% Praluent) and has noted a possible 50% reduction in cardiovascular disease. If AMGN is able to prove these claims with a large post-marketing study, Repatha will have a significant advantage due to the added secondary benefit and can easily command a higher price point.
Important Repatha Dates:
June 10 ADCOM
Aug 27 PDUFA
Important Praluent Dates:
June 9 ADCOM
July 24 PDUFA
MM's taking this down to $157 is a bargain given the strength of the company's overall pipeline. At the very least, we should see some action heading into the ADCOM dates and both drugs are expected to easily get positive recommendations. EMA has already given positive recommendations for both drugs in May. EMA approval for Repatha is expected in September, shortly after the FDA approval.
BIS- Inverse Off IBB Could It be? A Double Bottom In The Making?4-22 Could It Be? Is this where we carve
out a double bottom? If so then IBB (longside)
MAY be carving out a double top. Remember,
going long this is gaining short exposure in the
bios. BIIB (Biogen) reports so be aware it could
have an impact on this issue. Chart wise its
all about an upside crossover of the green line.
Feel free to follow on TWTR at
@AmazingPatterns
For informational and educational
purposes only, these are not
recommendations, trade at your own risk.
REGN- Nice Looking ABC To Multiple Supports4-1 Nice looking ABC to multiple supports.
As long as this issue stays above the blue and
green support lines all is well. This level also
happens to be near the 50 day SMA.
If you like these kind of chart set ups
don't forget to follow me here or on TWTR at
@AmazingPatterns
For educational and informational use only,
these are not recomendations , trade at
your own risk
REGN- See How Important The Use Of Trend Channels Are? 10-30 For those interested in buying support,
especially know considering how short term
extended things are these days. Its all about the blue line.
It also helps define ones entry risk here. If buying here
you are buying 20 points away from a support zone
(thanks anyway I say). Given this issue is tagging a
trend channel resistance zone? That is all the more
reason to let them come to you in the form of a pullback.
After all to a chartist the adage of buy support and sell
resistance is a classic mantra isn't it? Even more so
when you have an issue that just tagged the trend
channel resistance zone. Sure its pulling back but still
needs more chart time. This chart is also a good
example of how the trend channel keeps you away
from going long at the wrong time and AFTER a run
has been made already.
The use of trend channels are your best friend.
Not only do they help you manage the overall
trend they keep you from getting emotional at
key levels. At resistance? They keep you away
from that dreaded fear of missing it AFTER you
already missed it emotional trade. At support
they keep you away from caving into fear and
selling at a support zone.
For informational and educational purposes only.
These are not recommendations. Trade at your own risk.