Amiran
EURUSD Looks like short for short term !Checkout the trend channel 1,2,3,4,5 - which
shows expected movements. Usually parallel
channels are crossed on point 5, so now you
can trade to point 5 and then after crossing.
But follow the fundamentals, anyway technical
analysis is only for entry and close level
calculation
Also check the related link for long term forecast
EURUSD Why I am selling EUR ?! EUR is overloaded, it's risky to go long now. I expect strong sell for next several days, BUT this is my expectation based on sentiment and fundamental analysis, so we need a proof and spetial technical signals to go short, we need exact points and targets. On H4 chart I see strong pattern sperandeo, which can give as that targets
T1 is first and the most important trendline for paattern Sperandeo, when price will cross this trensline, we can go short
T2 is the first take profit target for T1 signal
T3 is the take profit target for traeding from T2
Positive signal for Euro VS USDMonday morning, great week ahead - unemployment data from Europe, Non-farm from USA. But today more concentration on technical analysis, check pattern bullish Head and Shoulders on EUR - USD currency pier (H1 timeframe). If price will cross T1 trendline- the target will be 1.1023. Be careful as it is Monday and price still can test 1.0905, last week lowest price. In this case formation of bullish double top pattern is possible, if some fundamentals will not push euro down again.
Follow up USD CHF singal Follow up USDCHF technical analysis. Yesterday Sep. 3, we have posted analysis on US - Swiss currency pier, the pattern wedge were broker on Asian session today. This fact is a good signal for short term trend formation - correction of USD bullish period. We have also predicted USD trend correction to major currencies and yesterday US Manufacturing PMI pushed traders, the index dropped from 51.2 to 49.1, lowest since 2017. Actually this data is surprising and paunch to Trumps politics, I will remind you that PMI is the survey of purchasing managers and shows health and power of manufacturing industry. Lets listed to New York Fed president Williams speech today.
EURUSD - Wait 24 hrs Interesting situation on EURUSD chart today. Fundamentally you need to focus on US-China trade war positive messages, which cause sharp gain of US currency on Friday. Today banks are closed in USA, due to labor day, so markets will be calm after European session. More attention on technical analysis, now EURUSD is trading at 1.0989.
Two main aspects of technical analysis:
1. Pattern Sperandeo on H1 Chart, already crossed 1 resistance trend line, great signal for short term buy till 1.1027.
2. Resistance N1 - 1.1027 (Asia market open on Friday ); Resistance N2 - 1.1068 (Fibo 23) ; Support N1 - 1.0961 (Fibo o.o level); Support N2 - 1.0918 (Fibo 161 level);
Have a successful week.
USD-TRY forecast and short term analysis As we posted last week, USD-TRY prise sharply crossed 5.6000 level, now trading around 5.7640
We think that before TCMB meeting price will be above our 5.7760 (R1) target, as we mentioned before 25 october is important to make longer term forecast. But it must be mentioned that USD is advancing versus major currencies from monday, so the price of Lira dropped to 5.70 not because of negative trend for Turkish currency, but due to USD fluctuations.
Targets:
Resistance - 5.7760 (R1); 5.9092 (R2)
Support - 5.7168 (S2); 5.6456 (S1);
Important topics which had an impact on currency market, during last week:
* Kashoggi crisis
* Berat Albayrak“Fluctuations in...finance sector have ended”
* Trump - "Feds going loco!"
* Brexit stuck
* TCMB release
Amiran Azaladze
amiranazaladze@gmail.com