Is Unitech Limited Stock A Buy? - 2/9/2017There are some trading decisions you make can be filled under "Insufficient Evidence" category. Here you have to make decisions based on common sense rationale. Data centric analysis will always point towards negative bias and you will never be able to find the reason for another 50% or 100% rise in the stock next day or week or month or year later.
Is it called gambling to buy such stock then?
One should rather plead the fifth than answering such question ;) To justify the sane investing / trading rationale for such decision, we would say, no it is not gambling but rather calculated speculation with strict risk control. If you are betting the house on some shoddy penny stock then it is gambling. But putting a tiny bit of your investment portfolio on a stock which has very limited downside but huge upside potential then it is good speculative technique.
In case of Unitech Limited stock, there is no point in looking into the numbers because they are just simply bad. But if something has survived more than a year or two assimilating all sort of news then there are more probability of it going up than going down.
We did a similar but more convincing trade in Amtek Auto and little part of the gains from that trade can of course finance another speculative trade in Unitech Limited :) Such rounding bottom formations can provide huge gains if things work out.
Amteckauto
Amtek Auto (AMTEKAUTO) - New Possible Positive Start - 2/6/2016A little good news can get Amtek Auto rolling. For almost one and half year Amtek Auto stock has been scrapping the bottom near Rs. 30 level. Recently company has starting paying more attention towards debt reduction and restructuring working with Morgan Stanley and Rothschild. What would ultimately will happen is still a guess but even a slightest positivity can put the stock in another orbit near 60 first and if good news is sustainable then towards 100.
We believe that the downside risk is low since the stock has been able to cope with more than years worth of all sort of news and still holding the line. We have started accumulating the stock near 33 and will keep on playing with positive bias keeping the core position.