Amazon - Look At This All Time High Retest!Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) will create the bottom soon:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
The trend on Amazon is clearly towards the upside and the recent correction of about -30% did not change that at all. Rather, we are now witnessing an extremely bullish all time high break and retest and therefore, if Amazon actually creates bullish confirmation, this could form a bottom.
Levels to watch: $180
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
AMZN
AMZN: A Power Move for the Smart Trader | The Rebound Play?🚀 AMZN 2025 Trade Plan
After an early 2025 rally to $240+, Amazon (AMZN) has pulled back sharply to around $167, opening the door to what could be one of the most attractive rebound setups of the year.
With AWS still growing strong and net income nearly doubling in 2024, the fundamentals are on Amazon’s side. Add to that bullish analyst outlooks pointing to $226–$253 this year, and we might just be looking at a golden entry zone.
📌 Entry Points:
Start building a position at $167
Add more if it dips toward $160 or $151 (52-week low)
🎯 Profit Targets for 2025:
First stop: $210
Next: $226
Final push? $240+
This setup blends technical recovery with strong financials and long-term bullish sentiment. Patience, discipline, and solid risk management are key as AMZN finds its footing.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. All trading involves risk. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before investing.
AMZN Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-16AMZN Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-16)
Below is a synthesis of all the reports and our resulting view:
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Comprehensive Summary of Each Model’s Key Points
• Grok/xAI Report – Viewed AMZN’s charts as showing a short‐term bearish bias even as some technicals (daily MACD) hint at a possible rebound. – Noted price near key supports and high put open interest. – Recommended a bearish single‐leg play: buying the $172.50 put at a premium of $0.85 (despite that premium being a bit high relative to our “ideal” range).
• Claude/Anthropic Report – Highlighted that on shorter timeframes (and with max pain at $185), some momentum and oversold conditions might create a bounce. – Emphasized bullish short‐term potential, recommending a trade on the $180 call at a premium of $0.71.
• Gemini/Google Report – Interpreted the technicals (EMAs, RSI, Bollinger Bands) as strongly bearish, with price testing a critical support level near $176. – With the options chain showing significant put volume at lower strikes, they recommended buying the $170 put (ask roughly $0.46) for its leverage and within or close to the target premium range.
• Llama/Meta Report – Also examined the multiple technical indicators and noted the mixed signals. – Although they observed bearish factors, their conclusion was cautious enough to state “NO TRADE RECOMMENDATION TODAY” if conditions aren’t optimal.
• DeepSeek Report – Concurred with the bearish outlook on both intraday and daily levels. – Recommended a trade on the $170 put (premium $0.46) with clear risk management (stop out if AMZN rallies above approximately $177.50).
────────────────────────────────────────────── 2. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement Between Models
• Agreements – Most models agree that AMZN is trading below key short‐term and longer-term EMAs, with technical momentum looking bearish. – There is a consistent theme in the options data of high put open interest and strong volume in strikes below the current price. – Several reports (Grok/xAI, Gemini/Google, DeepSeek) favor a bearish put trade based on support levels and risk/reward dynamics.
• Disagreements – The Anthropic analysis offered a moderately bullish case (with a call trade) based on oversold short‐term conditions and a max pain level high above current price. – Llama/Meta expressed enough caution so that if price action does not break expected levels, the trade might be skipped entirely. – The recommended strike/premium differs: Grok/xAI’s $172.50 put is slightly closer to the money with a higher premium, while Gemini/DeepSeek prefer the leaner $170 put (solid liquidity, premium ~ $0.46 in our target range).
────────────────────────────────────────────── 3. Clear Conclusion
Overall Market Direction Consensus: The majority of the reports lean toward a moderately bearish outlook given that AMZN’s current price is below key EMAs, near immediate support levels, and is trading in a high-volatility environment. Although there’s one bullish view (and some caution from Llama/Meta), the bearish technicals and put-side open interest weigh more heavily for a weekly option play.
Recommended Trade (if conditions are met at open): • Trade: Buy a single-leg, naked put option. • Strike: $170.00 • Expiration: April 17, 2025 • Premium: Approximately $0.46 per contract (which sits nicely near our ideal range of $0.30–$0.60) • Entry Timing: Begin at market open based on confirmed weakness below support levels • Profit Target: Approximately a 100% gain on the premium (aiming for roughly $0.90) • Stop Loss: About $0.35 (or exit if AMZN rallies decisively above roughly $177.50) • Trade Confidence: Around 65% given the technical bearish bias and clear liquidity, though mindful of the risk that a short-term bounce at support could reverse the trade.
Key Risks and Considerations: • A sudden short-term recovery (bouncing off support around $176) could trigger losses. • High volatility (indicated by the VIX) means that intraday whipsaws remain possible. • The mixed viewpoints (especially the bullish call suggestion) underscore that any entry must respect tight stop-loss discipline. • News and broader sector conditions could alter momentum unexpectedly.
────────────────────────────────────────────── 4. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "AMZN", "direction": "put", "strike": 170.0, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 0.90, "stop_loss": 0.35, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.46, "entry_timing": "open" }
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AMAZON is on its 3rd historic +1000% growth Bull Cycle.Amazon (AMZN) almost has been trading within a multi-year Channel Up pattern since the Housing Bubble bottom in November 2008 and this month almost touched its 1M MA50 (blue trend-line).
With the exception of the 2008 Housing Crisis and the 2022 Inflation Crisis, which bottomed on the 1M MA100 (green trend-line), the 1M MA50 has never been broken. In fact it has been the key Support of every Bull Cycle that surprisingly has so far peaked on a +1051% rise.
As you can actually see by the 1M RSI, such corrections, like the one in the past 3 months, are quite common within the Channel Up and offer excellent long-term buy entries.
So, technically the Inflation Crisis bottom (December 2022) on the 1M MA100 has initiated Amazon's 3rd historic Bull Cycle within this pattern and based on the previous two, it may also peak after a +1051% rally inside 2028. Our projected Target on this is $900.
Would you miss out on such an opportunity in the past?
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OptionsMastery: This is the "h" DayTrading Pattern.This is the "h" pattern. A highly successful daytrading pattern!
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Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
More Downside For AMZN Before CrossroadsMy overall thesis is we are in the very early stages of a multi-year decline ultimately with the S&P 500 below 3500. I am estimating this symbol to be in wave position SuperCycle 2, Cycle A, Primary 1, Intermediate 3 (pink), Minor 3 (yellow), Minute 5(green). I originally had this symbol nearly complete with Primary wave 1, but the continued declines received significant wave 3 of 3 of 3 signals (pink lines in bottom chart band). It is still unclear if we are in my theoretical larger decline or if we are in a simple corrective wave. It will take at least another two months to likely achieve the answer.
Theory 1 is my hypothesis where we are about to finish Minor wave 3 in Intermediate wave 3 in Primary wave 1 in a multi-year market correction. This would see AMZN bottom around 148-156 within two weeks and briefly head up toward 180 before continuing significant downward movement. Currently Intermediate wave 1 lasted 201 trading hours. Based on the breakneck pace of Intermediate wave 3, it may finish well before the 201st hour on 5 May. Extensions based on Minor wave 1's movement could put Minor wave 3's bottom around 162.59.
Theory 2 is that Intermediate waves 1, 2 and 3 (pink) are actually waves A, B, and C (white) in a short-term corrective wave. This would mean this symbol returns to all-time highs around the fall of 2025.
Theory 3 places the stock in the third wave about to finish a wave A down. Wave B up would last a few months before wave C takes the market to a bottom sometime around the end of 2025.
All three theories will observe the same movement over the next few weeks with a low soon and then a bounce up. Theory 2 becomes the likely winner if AMZN breaks above 206.21 within the next 2 months. Theories 1 and 3 will trade the same for quite some time.
I will reevaluate this stock once Minor wave 3 finishes. It should aid in providing a better bottom for Intermediate wave 3 in the next week or two.
QQQ: Tariff ReactionNASDAQ:QQQ As China strikes back with a 34% tariff on U.S. goods starting April 10, the global trade landscape could see some serious turbulence. This follows Trump's tariff moves, and the market's already feeling it: QQQ’s daily chart shows capitulation volume on the table, suggesting a potential bounce— IF tariffs ease.
But until these trade tensions subside, it's likely to be a rocky ride. Tariffs push prices up, inflation lingers, and the Fed finds itself boxed in. The outcome? A market crash, recession, and stagflation—yet, there's still hope for a bounce, depending on how these factors play out.
Manage the levels with us at ChartsCoach.
Amazon (NASDAQ: $AMZN) Drops 8% as Trump Tariffs Shake Markets. Amazon (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMZN ) is facing huge downward pressure following President Donald Trump's announcement of sweeping tariffs. The stock dropped 9.26% in early trading, reaching $176.92 as of 11:01 AM EDT.
These tariffs impact over 100 countries, including China, a key supplier for third-party merchants on Amazon’s platform. Rising import costs could push prices higher, affecting consumer spending and Amazon’s profit margins.
Looking at the broader market, it is also struggling from the tariffs. The Magnificent Seven stocks, including Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Tesla, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon, have all seen huge drops.
Amazon’s 8% drop is among the largest, further highlighting its vulnerability to trade disruptions. If these tariffs persist, they could reignite inflation, weigh on economic growth and further impact stock prices. Amazon has faced major market shifts in the past. In 2022, its stock lost over 50% of its value within a few quarters.
The question now is, can the current decline lead to similar losses?
With Amazon trading at $242 in February, some fear it could drop below $120 if the economic outlook worsens.
Adding to concerns, geopolitical risks remain high. The ongoing war in Ukraine, coupled with uncertainty over future U.S policies, creates a volatile environment for stocks. Amazon’s reliance on global supply chains and consumer spending makes it highly sensitive to market shocks.
Technical Analysis
Looking at Amazon technically, there has been a downtrend since early February when it reached an all-time high and a 52-week high of $242. This peak came shortly after the presidential inauguration, but since then, the market conditions have not been favorable. The introduction of new tariffs has fueled bearish momentum, pushing Amazon lower toward key support levels.
Currently, the stock is testing a double support level, an ascending trendline and a horizontal support around $180. If buyers step in at this level, a rebound could occur, targeting the previous $252 all-time high. However, given the economic uncertainty, there is a strong chance the stock may break below this current support.
If the weekly candle closes strongly below the $180 level, the next critical point where the stock might find support is around $144. This area has historically provided strong buying interest and it may serve as a potential bottom if the decline continues.
Looking at momentum indicators, the weekly RSI currently sits at 33, indicating strong bearish momentum. Despite the reading approaching the oversold reading, macroeconomic data shows the downtrend remains dominant and further losses could be ahead.
What's the Outlook? Can Amazon Recover Soon?
The coming weeks will be crucial for Amazon’s stock. With earnings expected between April 28th and May 2nd, market sentiment may shift based on revenue growth and profit margins. However, ongoing trade uncertainties and rising costs remain key risks.
For now, monitor price action around the current market price of $180. A strong bullish move could confirm a short-term recovery. On the other side, a break below this double support level may signal a further drop towards $144 support level.
AMZN breaks bear trendAmazon stock has gapped higher along with several other tech firms as investors rushed back into riskier assets following reports that Trump's upcoming tariffs will be more targeted than initially thought.
AMZN broke its bearish trend line after finding good support lats week at $190 key support level. If the gap now gets filled, then dip buyers might emerge near Friday's closing levels of around $195-$196. This area is now going to be significant.
Anyway, the short-term bias has flipped back to being bullish in light of today's breakout. As long as the stock now remains above the trend line, any short-term dips could be bought.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
AMAZON at Key Support Level – Rebound Towards $230?NASDAQ:AMZN is currently in a corrective phase after rejecting from the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The price has now reached a key support level within the channel, which aligns with a significant demand zone.
The confluence of the support level and the channel's lower boundary increases the probability of a bullish reaction at this point. If buyers step in, the price could rebound and target the $230.00 resistance level, which represents a logical area within the current market structure.
However, if this support zone fails to hold, a deeper retracement toward lower levels within the channel could occur, invalidating the bullish bias.
This setup reflects the potential for a recovery after the recent decline, supported by historical price action and the channel's structure. If you have additional insights or thoughts, feel free to share them!