AMZN
AMAZON Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AMAZON is trading in an
Uptrend but is locally
Oversold and as the
Stock will soon retest
A horizontal resistance of 188.31$
It is likely that we will see
A local bearish correction
Sell!
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📈 Bullish Sentiment:
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AMZN Share Price Hits 25-Month HighAMZN Share Price Hits 25-Month High After Inclusion in DJIA Index
As of February 26, Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) is no longer used in the calculation of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, replaced by Amazon (AMZN).
The planned index rebalancing was carried out because:
→ Walgreens shares currently have the lowest price among all companies included in the Dow index;
→ S&P Dow Jones Indices adds Amazon as it seeks to increase the Dow's retail exposure to reflect the emerging nature of the US economy. This was also influenced by the fact that shares of the retail chain Walmart (WMT) underwent a 3:1 split.
The AMZN stock chart today shows that:
→ the AMZN stock price is moving in an upward trend, its contours are indicated by a blue channel;
→ after a strong report (we wrote about this on February 5), a bullish gap formed on the chart — it is now more clearly visible between the levels of 161.5 and 166.5;
→ in the last days of winter, the price approached the upper border of the channel;
→ the price is in the upper half of the channel, and the median line (reinforced by the gap area), according to technical analysis, has the potential to provide support to it;
The inclusion of AMZN stock in the WMT Index means that the AMZN stock market may experience a short-term surge in demand (as it often does in similar cases) as various index funds will be forced to buy AMZN stock (and sell WBA) to make their portfolios match the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
However:
→ the price of AMZN today may already take into account the rebalancing that was announced earlier;
→ as you know, in 2021, Jeff Bezos actively sold his AMZN shares at a price of $180 per share. At the same time, according to annual corporate reporting, Bezos intends to sell about 50 million shares this year. This is seen as an argument holding back demand. And the bearish divergence on the RSI indicator hints at the depletion of buying pressure in the short term.
Although in the long term, taking into account the fundamentals, the market remains strong. According to the average opinion of TipRanks, analysts forecast shares AMZN = $208.23 in 12 months.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
"Amazon Analysis and Potential Scenarios"Amazon's chart indicates that the region marked in red may function as a selling-oriented order block. If there is a 2-day closing above the red horizontal line, the next target could be 187.86, following the channel. In our buying zones, the horizontal line at the price of 161.73 may present a buying opportunity. 2-day closings below the green horizontal line may sequentially act as buying zones from light to dark. In the 2-day chart, levels 161.73 and Kaufman Moving Average at 162.34 are considered as significant support zones.
WARNING: THIS ANALYSIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. CONSIDER YOUR RISK TOLERANCE AND FINANCIAL SITUATION BEFORE MAKING DECISIONS. FUTURE PERFORMANCE IS NOT GUARANTEED; THIS IS MERELY AN OPINION. INVEST PRUDENTLY AND CONDUCT THOROUGH RESEARCH.
Jeff Bezos Sells Another $2.4B in Amazon StockAccording to a new regulatory filing, Amazon founder Jeff Bezos sold more than 14 million shares over the past few days worth around $2.4 billion, completing his stock sale plan.
Bezos adopted a trading plan Nov. 8 to sell up to 50 million Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) shares — valued at more than $8 billion — during a period ending in January 2025.
He first sold 12 million shares earlier this month, worth more than $2 billion, and then sold separate 12 million share tranches through February. It’s Bezos’ first sale of the company’s stock since 2021.
Amazon’s stock closed at more than $167 per share on Tuesday. Shares are up more than 76% over the past 12 months.
Bezos controlled about 12.3% of the company’s outstanding stock as of a February 2023 proxy filing, including shares he fully owns and shares owned by his ex-wife, MacKenzie Scott, over which he still has voting rights. He now controls about 11.8% of the company’s stock.
Amazon’s ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) annual filing showed that the trading plan was adopted six days after Bezos said on Instagram, on Nov. 2, that he was leaving Seattle and making Miami his official residence.
Washington state’s capital gains tax, passed in 2021, imposes a 7% tax on any gains of more than $250,000 from the sale of stocks and bonds, with some exceptions. By making Miami his home, Bezos stands to save around $600 million in tax expenses after selling 50 million shares under the plan. Florida does not have a capital gains tax. Like Washington state, Florida also does not have an income tax.
Bezos launched a $2 billion Bezos Day One Fund in 2018 that focuses on homeless families and preschool education. The Bezos Earth Fund, launched in 2020, is putting $10 billion toward climate initiatives.
AMZN in a triangle pattern LONGAMZN on the 15 minute time frame is in a relative symmetrical triangle pattern. A volume
profile and intermediate term anchored VWAP are overlaid. They validate one another since
the POC line and the mean anchored VWAP line up. Price is below both of them. My forecast
is that price will rise and temporarily so sideways in the high volume and volatility zone
of VWAP / POC and then ascend higher as that tug o war is finalized. My long target for now
is 170.35 as the top boundary line of the high volume area of the VP. This is a good trade
for shares on margin to get some juice into the trade. I will instead take call options for
March 16th striking $ 172 for some leverage and beyond linear RIO. AMZN is good to go.
Admittedly, this is an early bird trade. I see the risk as minimal.
AMAZON -15% dip possible. Take advantage of it.It has been 3 months (Nov 17 2023, see chart below) since our last buy trade on Amazon (AMZN), which hit both Targets:
February opened with a big gap upwards and the stock has been consolidating ever since. This consolidation, along with the completion of a 1D MACD Bearish Cross last week, is indicative of a top formation. In fact it is similar with the starting sequence of the last Higher High (September 14 2023) of the 1-year Channel Up.
The first pull-back/ technical correction of this pattern was a -22.61% decline and the second -18.83%. If the corrections are on a -4% progression, we can assume a -14.60% decline this time. That falls marginally below the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (assuming the 2.0 Fib extension from the October 26 2023 bottom will be the peak).
As a result, we are expecting $155.00 as a fair pull-back currently and buy entry for the long-term. A break below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), will be the technical confirmation of the sell signal.
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Is the rest for AMZN short-lived LONGAMZN on the 60 minute chart since earnings shows the jump and the sideways consolidation
after that. Here the RSI is superimposed on the chart within its own 0-100 scale. It is currently
in what should be considered deep undervalued territory and at RSI support /demand. The
William's Alligator set of moving averages shows MA compression and so convergence.
AMZN's price is now in a tight range with volatility likewise compressed especially compared
with that at earnings. In short price is coiled, the potential energy is ready to get converted
to kinetic for those who have an understanding of classical physics.
All that said, I see AMZN as ready to roll. I will take long trades in shares and options as
AMZN is ready to hit the ground running.
$AMZN Momentum IndicatorNASDAQ:AMZN Momentum Indicator, strong uptrend conditions. A momentum indicator is a technical analysis tool used to measure the rate at which the price of a security is changing. It compares the current price of an asset to its price at a previous point in time, typically over a specified period. This comparison helps traders and investors gauge the strength and direction of price movements. Momentum indicators are often used to identify potential trend reversals, confirm the strength of an existing trend, or generate buy and sell signals. Examples of popular momentum indicators include the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and Stochastic Oscillator.
#AMZN Forming a head & shoulders on the dailyLooks to me like amazon is trying to form this mini Head and shoulders top. Should the neckline at $167.50 break, the target pretty much takes you to the gap close level at $160.00 which is where we gapped from recent results. Recent reports that Jeff Bezos has sold up to $6bn of stock in amazon could sour sentiment slightly on the stock. We also had some bad retail sales for January in the US which could be seen as another negative for the stock.Also note how the MACD is about to roll over here. Aggressive traders could look to pre-empt this and short the right shoulder between 170-171 using a stop loss as a move above 172.50. More conservative traders to look for the break of the neckline at $167.50 in order to enter. Target to the gap at $160.00
AMZN to $1881HR Chart
Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) has developed a bullish flagpole formation that is more easily seen on the hourly charts. This may serve as a continuation pattern that will launch AMZN to a 52 week high of $188 -- a level that hasn't been tested since July of 2021. Fibonacci retracement levels for the current trading pattern support the $188 ceiling as this value rests near the 168.1% level.
On-Balance Volume (OBV) has a positive slope which suggests that bullish investors are outpacing the bears. I also recently began using the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) indicators. While my experience with RSI and MACD is limited, the RSI appears to be approaching a bearish crossover before the MACD crosses above its signal line. I interpret this as a possible correction to the pennant support line (the 4th leg) with a near immediate recovery.
1D Chart
A share price in the $180s should be carefully watched as this level has been a significant area of resistance in the past. As tempted as I am to suggest it may be forming a double top, the middle trough dipped too low and it appears that AMZN may be trading in a horizontal channel. If AMZN surpasses the $188 price ceiling with significant volume then a 12 month price target of $250 is pragmatic. Should the opposite occur then a 12 month target of $80 could also be expected.
SHOP solid growth and strength into earningsOn the 4H chart SHOP has been trending up since last fall when it fell through the high volume
area and then rebounded crossing through it and rebounding. Earnings have been solid beats
for over a year. Volume is persistent and steady while the relative strength rising from a bounce
down to the 50 level to begin this month. This is a solid earnings play but also could be
a long term investment but not until there is another dip or minor correction to set up for
a low risk entry. Last earnings gave SHOP about $10-12 in a quick price pop. I am looking
for something in the range of $6-8 higher as a conservative target
Amazon (AMZN) Technical Analysis and Trade Idea#AMZN has demonstrated a robust bullish trend, recently leaving a notable price gap between 167 and 162. Given the extended move, a retracement back into this gap appears likely as the market seeks equilibrium before March.
Potential Trade Setup:
- Entry: Consider a short position near the current range high.
- Stop Loss: Employ a stop loss 1.5x the Average True Range (ATR) on the daily (1D) timeframe.
- Rationale: This setup targets potential overextension and aligns with the anticipated price rebalancing.
Important Disclaimer:
This analysis reflects my personal market interpretation and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own independent research and thorough risk assessment before making any trading decisions.
Jeff Bezos' $2 Billion Amazon Stock Sell-Off: What Does It Mean?Amazon.com's ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) iconic founder Jeff Bezos recently offloaded approximately 12 million shares of the tech behemoth, amassing a staggering $2 billion in the process. This significant divestiture, disclosed in a regulatory filing last Friday, marks the commencement of a meticulously planned sell-off strategy laid out by Bezos himself, raising eyebrows and prompting speculation about the future trajectory of both the company and its visionary leader.
The timing of Bezos' share sale, strategically spread over two days—Wednesday and Thursday of last week—coincided with Amazon's ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) announcement regarding his intention to part ways with up to 50 million shares in the firm. This calculated move underscores Bezos' commitment to diversification and risk management, while also fueling conjecture regarding his long-term strategic vision for Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ).
According to Amazon's latest annual report, the sale plan was initiated on November 8, 2023, with a stipulated completion date of January 31, 2025, subject to certain conditions. This meticulous planning highlights Bezos' astute financial acumen and his proactive approach to wealth management, ensuring a smooth transition of assets while maintaining his position as a key stakeholder in the company he famously founded as an online bookseller in 1994.
Bezos, who relinquished the reins of Amazon's day-to-day operations in 2021, assuming the role of executive chairman, continues to wield considerable influence within the organization. With a net worth exceeding a staggering $200 billion, as per the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, Bezos remains an indomitable force in the global business landscape, shaping Amazon's strategic direction and cementing his legacy as one of the world's foremost entrepreneurs.
Despite Bezos' unprecedented success and unwavering confidence in Amazon's prospects, his decision to liquidate a substantial portion of his holdings raises pertinent questions about the company's growth trajectory and the broader e-commerce landscape. As Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) faces intensifying competition and regulatory scrutiny, Bezos' strategic maneuvering serves as a litmus test for investor sentiment and market dynamics in the post-pandemic era.
While Bezos' stock sell-off may be perceived as a prudent move to diversify his investment portfolio and mitigate risk, it also underscores the evolving nature of his relationship with Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN )—a company he nurtured from its humble beginnings into a global juggernaut. As Bezos charts a new course in his entrepreneurial journey, navigating uncharted waters and exploring new opportunities, the Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) faithful await with bated breath, eager to witness the next chapter in the company's storied evolution.
In conclusion, Jeff Bezos' $2 billion Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) stock sell-off symbolizes a pivotal moment in the company's history, emblematic of its founder's strategic foresight and unwavering commitment to long-term success. As Bezos redefines his role within Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) and embarks on new ventures, the legacy of innovation and disruption he leaves behind serves as a testament to his enduring legacy as a visionary leader in the digital age.
Spanish High Court Suspends Fine on Amazon and Apple Spanish High Court has decided to suspend fines totaling 194 million euros imposed on tech giants Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) and Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ). The fines, initially levied by the Spanish antitrust watchdog CNMC (Comisión Nacional de los Mercados y la Competencia) in July, are now pending appeal, marking a temporary halt to what has been a contentious legal battle.
The fines, amounting to 143.6 million euros for Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) and 50.5 million euros for Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ), were imposed following allegations of collusion between the two companies to restrict competition in the sale of Apple products on Amazon's platform within Spain. CNMC accused the companies of engaging in anti-competitive behavior by preventing third-party retailers from selling Apple products on Amazon's Spanish marketplace.
The Appeal Process: Court Decision Suspends Fines Pending Appeal
Both Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) and Apple swiftly announced their intentions to appeal the fines when they were first imposed. Now, with the Spanish High Court's decision to suspend the fines, the appeal process can proceed without immediate financial repercussions for the tech giants. An Amazon spokesperson clarified that the suspension of the fine is standard procedure during the appeal process and does not indicate the court's stance on the case.
Contention and Defense: Differing Perspectives on the Allegations
Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) and Apple have consistently defended their actions, arguing that their collaboration aimed to benefit consumers and enhance the availability of genuine Apple products on Amazon's platform. Amazon asserted that the agreement with Apple led to an increase in discounts on Apple devices, while Apple emphasized its commitment to protecting customers from counterfeit products.
However, CNMC countered these claims, alleging that the agreement between Amazon and Apple contained clauses that stifled competition and limited the presence of third-party retailers selling Apple products on Amazon's platform. The regulator also accused Amazon of restricting the advertising opportunities for Apple's competitors on its website, further exacerbating the anti-competitive effects of the collaboration.
Impact Beyond Spain
While the focus of this case remains on Spain, its implications extend beyond national borders. A similar investigation was initiated in Italy against Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) and Apple, although it was ultimately dropped. The outcome of the appeal in Spain could set a precedent for future antitrust cases involving tech giants and their business practices across Europe and beyond.
Conclusion:
As the appeal process unfolds, the fate of the antitrust fines against Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) and Apple remains uncertain. The decision by the Spanish High Court to suspend the fines provides temporary relief for the tech giants, but the ultimate resolution of the case will have far-reaching consequences for competition in the digital marketplace. Until then, both companies await the final verdict, navigating a complex legal landscape shaped by accusations of anti-competitive conduct.
Amazon's Strategic Investment in AI: A Path to GrowthAmazon's Strategic Investment in AI: A Path to Growth
As the race for AI dominance intensifies, major tech giants are making substantial investments in AI startups. Amazon, with its vast financial resources, recently committed $4 billion to Anthropic, the creators of AI assistant Claude, in a deal that positions Amazon Web Services (AWS) as Anthropic's primary cloud services provider. The partnership could significantly boost AWS sales, but is Amazon an attractive buy?
Anthropic's Expertise in Generative AI
Anthropic specializes in generative AI, a technology applicable in customer service, AI assistant development, and coding assistance. The company equips clients with a toolkit to craft AI models tailored to their specific needs. With Amazon's investment, Anthropic's data and models will reside on AWS, creating a seamless collaboration between the two companies.
Boosting AWS
This investment could provide a much-needed boost for AWS, which has faced challenges recently, with slower growth rates and declining profitability. As the cloud computing market is projected to grow to $2.4 trillion by 2030, leadership in this sector is crucial.
Strengthening Amazon's AI Position
While Amazon's investment in Anthropic may not be a game-changer, it strengthens Amazon's position in AI, where it lags behind competitors. This $4 billion investment grants Amazon a minority ownership stake in Anthropic and enhances AWS's competitiveness in cloud computing.
AWS's Significance
AWS accounted for 70% of Amazon's operating income in the second quarter, highlighting its importance to the company's profitability. Amazon's transition from a consumer goods-oriented company to a tech-oriented one is evident in its improved gross margins over the past decade.
A Buying Opportunity
Amazon's stock presents an attractive entry point for long-term investors, given its strategic positioning to benefit from AI advancements. If Amazon can restore its high profit margins and invigorate AWS, it has the potential for substantial gains, as the market isn't currently pricing it for perfection.
Please note that this article provides information for general purposes and is not financial advice. Investing in stocks carries risks that individuals should carefully consider before making investment decisions.
Amazon - The New SetupHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Amazon.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
Starting in 2018 Amazon created a decent bullish triangle continuation pattern and after the breakout Amazon pumped more than +70% towards the upside. Then with the 2022 bear market we saw a quite harsh correction and a perfect retest of previous support. If Amazon now provides a retest of the support mentioned in the analysis, I am looking for more long setups.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
AMZN Share Price Rises Nearly 8% after ReportAfter Thursday's close, another corporate giant reported fourth-quarter 2023 activity.
Amazon's actual numbers exceeded analysts' expectations. And while actual revenue (= USD 169.96 billion) was close to forecasts (expected = USD 169.92 billion), the reported earnings per share were a surprise (actual = USD 1.00, expected = USD 0.795).
Bloomberg names the reasons for success during the reporting period:
→ cost-cutting policy, which is persistently pursued by CEO Andy Jassy;
→ focus on services that bring in money. For example, advertising revenues have grown for the 4th consecutive period;
→ sales of cloud services grew by 13%, easing concerns about slowing demand;
→ strong sales growth during the holiday season.
The company also issued optimistic guidance for the coming quarter, with the expectation that corporate customers will increase spending in its cloud computing division.
As a result, AMZN's share price closed at USD 171.58 on Friday, up nearly 8% from Thursday's close.
The daily chart for AMZN stock today shows that:
→ the price moves within the ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ the price came close to its upper limit;
→ the RSI indicator indicates that the market is significantly overbought;
→ the price formed a bullish gap above the level of USD 160 per share.
Taking into account the above, it is possible to assume that the AMZN share price is in a vulnerable position for a rollback from the upper boundary of the ascending channel, when the optimistic impressions from the publication of the report subside — in this case, the formation of divergence on the RSI indicator and a decline into the bullish gap area is possible.
Also note that AMZN is approaching USD 180 per share. This is the level at which Jeff Bezos sold his shares aggressively in 2021, followed by a market downturn. At the same time, according to annual corporate reporting, Bezos intends to sell about 50 million shares this year. So the $180 level could be an important resistance for 2024.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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Bezos' Strategic Move: Plans to Sell 50 Million Amazon SharesIn a recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), it was revealed that Jeff Bezos, the executive chair of Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ), plans to sell a substantial portion of his Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) shares over the next 12 months. The billionaire founder's decision to part ways with up to 50 million shares has sparked considerable interest and speculation in financial circles. This move comes at a time when Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) continues to dominate the e-commerce landscape and has reported impressive financial results.
1. Strategic Planning and Timing:
Jeff Bezos adopted a prearranged trading plan in November, outlining the sale of a maximum of 50 million Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) shares over a period ending on January 25 of the following year, subject to certain conditions. This strategic move raises questions about the timing and motivations behind the decision. Investors and analysts alike are eager to understand the rationale behind selling a significant portion of Bezos' nearly one billion shares.
2. Impact on Bezos' Wealth:
Bezos' stake in Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) is substantial, with over 988 million shares, making up a significant portion of his $193.3 billion personal fortune. As the founder and former CEO of Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ), Bezos has played a pivotal role in the company's growth over the past 27 years. The sale of such a large number of shares could have a profound impact on his overall wealth and potentially reshape the dynamics of his investment portfolio.
3. Market Reaction and Stock Performance:
Amazon's ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) stock price has experienced an upward trajectory, especially following the company's strong financial performance in the fourth quarter, reporting $169.96 billion in revenue and $10.6 billion in net income. The market capitalization stood at $1.77 trillion as of the latest reports. Bezos' decision to sell shares could influence market sentiment and impact the company's stock performance in the short term.
4. Evolution of Bezos' Role:
Bezos stepped down as Amazon's CEO in July 2021, assuming the role of executive chair. This move allowed him to focus on other ventures, such as his space exploration company, Blue Origin, and the Bezos Earth Fund. The decision to sell shares might align with Bezos' evolving priorities and investment strategies, signaling a shift in focus from day-to-day operations to broader initiatives.
5. Analyst Perspectives and Speculation:
Financial analysts and experts are likely to closely monitor Bezos' stock sale and its impact on Amazon's ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) performance. Speculation about the destination of the funds generated from the sale, as well as potential future plans or investments by Bezos, will add an intriguing dimension to the ongoing narrative.
Conclusion:
Jeff Bezos' plan to sell 50 million Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) shares in the coming year has ignited discussions about the implications for both his personal wealth and the company's stock performance. As investors and analysts observe the market's response, the strategic nature of this move raises intriguing questions about Bezos' long-term vision and the future direction of his investments.
AMZN Amazon Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMZN Amazon prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 160usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $19.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
AMAZON Daily, Weekly & Monthly analysis, Bullish OutlookAMZN
price is forming a Bullish Head & Shoulder pattern.
and RSI also made a break of the descending trendline
If we look at weekly chart, price is moving in an ascending channel moving upwards, and price is also above support
If we look at Monthly time-frame, price broke above trendline and is moving upwards
Trade Wisely
*The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.