AMZN
Nvidia or Broadcom? Who will be the winner ? How big is the custom chip market?
By 2027, the custom chip market is expected to reach $90 billion. What does this mean for Nvidia?
Nvidia vs. Custom Chips
In the custom chip (ASIC) sector, two major players, Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) and Marvell ( NASDAQ:MRVL ), have overshadowed Nvidia. Since the end of Q2, they have outperformed the tech giant by approximately 30% and 50%, respectively.
With tech giants like Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ), Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ), and Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) developing and accelerating the production of their own chips, the market has finally recognized the huge opportunities in custom chips.
How big is the custom chip market?
Based on comments from the two leading custom chip players, we estimate that by 2027, the custom chip market will grow to $90 billion, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 60%. Earlier this year, Marvell offered a more conservative forecast, predicting that the market will reach $75 billion by 2028, but with early customer growth suggesting further upside potential. Broadcom’s forecast is even more impressive, estimating the market could reach anywhere from $60 billion to $90 billion by 2027.
Both companies have strong platforms. Marvell’s biggest customers are Amazon and Microsoft, and after gaining deeper insight into their growth, they suggest Marvell’s market prediction might be conservative. Broadcom’s top clients include Google, Meta, and ByteDance, all of whom plan to shift to clusters of one million XPU units by FY2027. Reports also suggest that Broadcom has secured two additional customers (potentially Apple and OpenAI).
What does this mean for Nvidia?
Nvidia’s stock price is currently consolidating, and even when using enterprise value (EV)/EBITDA as a metric, its valuation is now below that of Marvell and Broadcom.
Source: Bloomberg,Spear Invest
Investors now expect Nvidia’s market share to significantly decline by 2027, leading to slower revenue growth. However, the market has underestimated two key factors:
The strength of CUDA.
The yearly product improvement cycle.
I believe CUDA holds a powerful advantage that will reduce the pressure on cloud service providers (CSPs) to promote custom chips at scale. Given that the cloud market accounts for about 50% of the total market, I believe that capturing half of this market between 2027 and 2030 would be a major win for custom chip providers.
Currently, the market assumes, based on comments from Broadcom’s CEO, that most CSP revenue will flow to custom chip vendors, but Broadcom’s assumption may be overly optimistic. Furthermore, whether custom chips can keep up with Nvidia’s yearly product launch cycle remains to be seen—Nvidia’s new products consistently show significant performance improvements with each generation. Our best estimate is that Nvidia’s competitors are still on an innovation cycle of about 1 to 2 years behind Nvidia.
Source: Bloomberg,Spear Invest
Nonetheless, the AI industry chain, especially in the medium to long term, will continue to benefit. For example, AI + Generative Content (AIGC) companies like Adobe ( NASDAQ:ADBE ) and Unity Software ( NYSE:U ), AI + Software companies like Palantir ( NASDAQ:PLTR ), AI + Insurance companies like AIX Inc. ( NASDAQ:AIFU ), and AI + Financial companies like Block ( NYSE:SQ ) will all benefit.
Amazon - The +150% All Time High Breakout!Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) is hugging the previous all time high:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Amazon has been moving sideways for almost four years, consolidating between support and the previous all time high. After retesting the resistance over and over again, it is just a matter of time until Amazon will break the previous all time high and start its next major bullish cycle.
Levels to watch: $190, $500
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
AMD Best Level to BUY/HOLD 300% gains SWING TRADE🔸Hello traders, today let's review recent price chart for AMD.
Well defined swings in progress, expecting further downside before
the tide finally turns for AMD bulls. Currently it's recommended to stay out.
🔸AMD is trailing behind NVDA massively, so eventually AMD will to the
mean reversion trade and start to catch up with NVDA, however currently
pullback/correction mode in progress.
🔸Well defined swings - 160 to 58 65% correction, then 58 to 210 280% gains,
210 to 75 represents 65% correction, 75 to 290 is a 280% pump.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: Bulls wait for correction to complete at/near 75 usd in January 2025 and get ready to BUY/HOLD low, this is a swing trade setup, so will take longer to hit target, patience required. final TP is 290 USD, 280% upside off the expected lows. good luck traders!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Amazon (AMZN) Stock Price Surpassed $230 for the First TimeAmazon (AMZN) Stock Price Surpassed $230 for the First Time
On 12th November, while analysing Amazon (AMZN) stock chart, we:
→ drew two ascending channels (a long-term one marked in blue and a steeper one represented by black lines);
→ anticipated a test of the $200 level as part of a correction.
According to the AMZN chart, since then:
→ the price corrected with a test of the $200 level (indicated by an arrow), aided by the median line of the blue channel;
→ it continued to climb within the mentioned channels, reaching a new all-time high — this week, the price hit $233.
Positive market sentiment is driven, among other factors, by:
→ Amazon's strong earnings report for the previous quarter;
→ expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, which helped the Nasdaq 100 index reach a new record, as we reported yesterday.
Can the price continue rising?
Technical analysis of Amazon’s stock chart today suggests this might be challenging because:
→ the price is near the resistance lines of both channels;
→ the RSI indicator is in the overbought zone, and you can spot a bearish divergence forming (a sign of weakening buyer momentum).
Given these arguments, the price could undergo a correction. If so, it might drop to the lower boundary of the short-term black channel.
According to TipRanks:
→ 45 out of 46 surveyed Wall Street analysts recommend buying AMZN stock;
→ on average, they predict AMZN’s price will reach $244 within 12 months.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AMZN: Are We Heading to $247 or Taking a Quick Dip First? Hey Mindbloome Family, here’s my take on Amazon (AMZN) right now:
1️⃣ If we break above $233, I think we’ll see a strong move up to $246–$247.
2️⃣ If we don’t break just yet, we could see a pullback to one of these levels first:
$225
$221
$215
From there, I’m still looking for a bounce back up to $246.
3️⃣ If we break below $215, that’s when we’ll need to pause and reassess the plan.
Wellness Tip: Don’t underestimate a good night’s sleep. Trading with a clear, rested mind makes all the difference—you’ll see the charts more clearly and make better decisions.
What’s your take—do we break through to $247, or are we dipping first? Let me know! If you want to chat more or dive deeper into this setup, check out my profile or send me a DM.
KRIS/MINDBLOOME EXCHANGE
TRADE WHAT YOU SEE
Amazon - This Could Be The Breakout Rally!Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) is creating a major breakout:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
With this monthly candle, Amazon is finally breaking above the previous all time highs and could therefore start the next major bullish cycle. After a 5 year consolidation, a confirmed breakout will lead to an unbelievable short squeeze, which could bring us all the way up to the top of the channel.
Levels to watch: $200, $500
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
The key is whether it can be supported around 224.93-228.97
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-------------------------------------
(AMZN 1M chart)
It is already showing an upward trend.
The point to watch is whether it can maintain the price by rising above the Fibonacci ratio 1 (238.57).
If it fails to rise, it is expected to fall to around 172.55-186.98.
-
(1W chart)
Since the BW indicator is maintained at the 100 point, even if the price rises, it will eventually show a downward trend.
Accordingly, the key is whether the price can be maintained above the Fibonacci ratio 1 (238.57).
If not, it is expected to touch the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator.
If it falls further, it is necessary to check whether there is support near 176.77-188.07.
-
(1D chart)
The HA-High indicator is showing signs of being created at the 224.93 point.
Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is created at the 224.93 point, the key is whether it can be supported near this point and rise above 228.97.
If it falls after the HA-High indicator is created, it is important whether it can touch the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator and rise.
If not, it is likely to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
-
When the StochRSI indicator falls and maintains in the overbought zone, if it shows resistance near 224.93, it is likely to lead to further decline.
If it leads to a decline,
1st: M-Signal on the 1D chart
2nd: M-Signal on the 1W chart
You need to check whether it can be supported and rise near the 1st and 2nd above.
Therefore, when it is confirmed to be supported in the 224.93-228.97 range, it is the time to buy.
The first sell period is near the Fibonacci ratio 1 (238.57).
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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AMZN at an all-time high: To be continued?AMZN reaches a new all-time high of $225.8, positioning itself at the upper boundary of an ascending channel that began on January 6, 2023, when it hit a low of $83.07. This channel, nearing its two-year milestone, has developed in five waves, as outlined by the Elliott Wave Theory:
Wave 1
Period: January 4, 2023 - September 14, 2023
Movement: $81.43 to $145.86 (+79%)
Wave 2
Period: September 14, 2023 - October 26, 2023
Movement: $145.86 to $118.35 (-19%)
Wave 3
Period: October 26, 2023 - July 8, 2024
Movement: $118.35 to $201.20 (+70%)
Wave 4
Period: July 8, 2024 - August 5, 2024
Movement: $201.20 to $151.61 (-25%)
Wave 5 (in progress)
Estimated period: August 5, 2024, to today
Projected movement: $151.61 to a range of $226.00 - $231.85 (+49% to +53% projected)
Key Questions for Caution on AMZN
Will it surpass the channel's upper boundary, setting new all-time highs?
Will it retrace to a dynamic support level within the channel (ranging between $201 and $195)?
Will it break below the ascending channel, signaling the start of a higher-degree correction?
Our opinion is for educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell. Before making any investment, consult with your financial advisor.
Amazon Ignites: 150% Blaze Ahead?The stock has been in consolidation since August 2020, forming an Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern. Recently, it broke out above the neckline and is attempting to sustain above the 200 level.
Currently trading at 210, the stock has the potential to surge to 500 levels in the next few years. However, the breakout lacks strong confirmation, as a significant bullish candle with volume expansion is absent.
A crucial factor to watch is a monthly close above 200. This will help determine the stock's future trajectory and guide our trading and investment decisions.
#TheStrat Weekly/Monthly Setups For DecemberSPY - Closed previous D/W/M close to HOD after making new ATH, so the D/W/M all finished bright green. No evidence of sellers anywhere since every TF above the 60 is currently green. 60 closed slight green, but this can easily be justified as eod corrective activity since all 60 min candles before the last one of the day were green, and every TF above the 60 is green. Going into the new week and month, we can expect buying to continue until we see a lower low on the D, but the real sign of buyers vanishing / sellers gaining control for me will be a Lower Low on the weekly.
Main Monthly Setups To Watch:
Bullish :
DKNG - 1-2-2 Q revstrat in force, 1-3 M, 2-1 W
PM - Hammer 3-1 M
BA - Counter Hammer Failed 2D M
MRK - Hammer M at Downside Exhaustion Level
Bearish:
MU - Shooter 1-3 M, Failed 2U W
ZIM - Rev Strat M at Upside Exhaustion
Main Weekly Setups To Watch:
Bullish:
RTX - 3-1-1 W
PLTR - MoMo Hammer W, Inside D
GOOG - RevStrat Hammer D, Inside W
Bearish:
GAP - 3-1 at Exhaustion
COIN - 2-1 W, Failed 2U D
PINS - Shooter RevStrat Week, Shooter Inside D
RDDT - Inside W (11 Consecutive Weekly HLs)
SQ - Red Inside D/W at Q Exhaustion
AAPL: 2025 Strategic Outlook: 75%+ BUY/HOLD🔸Time to update the AAPL outlook, this is 2D price chart, we are
currently entering overpriced zone and limited upside in AAPL
going forward.
🔸AAPL price action is contained within rising bullish price channel
established since 2021. Havin said that we've entered premium / overprice
zone and I'm expecting limited upside going forward over the next few
month. Risk/reward is favoring a pullback/correction before a healthy
uptrend can resume in 2025.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: expecting pullback/correction to start
in Q1 2025, 20/25% pullback is normal and therefore we may hit
170/180 USD in the correction stage of the bull market in AAPL. Bulls
should wait for better prices / reload zone near 170/180. TP BULLS
is 260/280 USD. this is obviously a setup for patient traders, do not
expect overnight gains in this market. good luck!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
AMZN_1W_Buyhello
Amazon symbol and stock analysis in daily and weekly and long-term time frames The market is in an upward trend and the trading position of buying is suitable for the investor, which can bring 100% profit for the investor in the long run. Important support number 188.00 The targets are 257.00 and 366.00 respectively.
BEZOS AND EX-BEZOS ARE GIVING YOU A EARLY GIFT ON AMAZON!BEZOS AND EX-BEZOS ARE GIVING YOU A EARLY GIFT ON AMAZON! NASDAQ:AMZN
- HIGHFIVESETUP still intact
- Creating Support on Wr%
- Retesting Ascending triangle and CupnHandle breakout
- Measure move on both is to $300+
- Cheap on a DFCF model
Have you been buying more Amazon?
NFA