Amazon’s Short-Term Outlook: Navigating Key Support LevelsAmazon remains a market powerhouse, yet its stock is no stranger to short-term fluctuations.
Support levels are indicated on chart. A move below these levels could trigger deeper short-term weakness, whereas a bounce off these supports would underscore Amazon’s robust fundamentals. As always, such volatility is typical in dynamic, high-growth stocks, and traders should watch these key levels closely when planning their next move.
AMZN
STOCKS | AI | Amazon, Meta & MSFTPeople who are saying that AI is just a bubble are missing the big picture. Huge tech companies are pouring serious money into it, which shows they believe AI is here to stay.
We're talking massive investments – like over $320 billion in AI infrastructure by 2025, according to the Financial Times. Amazon is planning over $100 billion in capital expenditures in 2025, mainly focused on AI infrastructure. This could be huge not only for NASDAQ:AMZN as a whole but also for the AI industry.
Alphabet is also throwing in around $75 billion this year to boost its AI capabilities. These kinds of investments from the top players make it clear: they know you have to spend big to win in the AI game and clearly there is a race going on, especially after the release of DeepSeekAI. American companies don't want to be left behind, and it's likely that they will pour money into integrating AI to improve their business operation - with the ultimate aim to improve profit - which is great for stock prices. How they make money from AI might change over time, but the overall direction is obvious – AI is changing everything and driving innovation.
According to Statista, the global AI market is predicted to reach around $826 billion by 2030. That kind of growth tells you AI is going to be a major force in just about every industry. And therefore I believe that all the companies making major investment in AI will also see exponential growth over the next 5 years - meaning it may be a longer term game play.
_______________
NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:META
Amazon (AMZN) Shares Retreat from All-Time HighAmazon (AMZN) Shares Retreat from All-Time High After Earnings Report
As shown in the Amazon (AMZN) stock chart, the price reached an all-time high of around $242 per share on 4 February. However, following the earnings report on 6 December, AMZN shares declined despite the company exceeding analysts' expectations:
→ Earnings per share: Actual = $1.86, Forecast = $1.48
→ Revenue: Actual = $187.8bn, Forecast = $187.3bn
Investor disappointment may have stemmed from:
→ Signs of slowing cloud business growth. Amazon, a pioneer in public cloud services with Amazon Web Services (AWS), now reports annual cloud revenue growth of around 20%, down from over 50% five years ago.
→ Soaring capital expenditure on AI data centres with uncertain profitability prospects. Amazon has projected approximately $105bn in capital spending for 2025, up 27% from 2024 and 57% from 2023.
Technical Analysis of Amazon (AMZN) Stock
AMZN remains within an upward trend, indicated by the blue channel on the chart. However, bullish momentum appears vulnerable as:
→ The price struggles to reach the upper boundary of the channel.
→ A bearish "head and shoulders" (SHS) pattern is visible on the chart.
→ A bearish gap (marked with an arrow) has formed post-earnings, suggesting a potential resistance area ahead.
This points to a possible pullback. If it occurs, AMZN stock could correct, potentially towards the parallel orange line, drawn based on the blue channel’s width. A test of the $217 support level is also possible.
Should You Buy AMZN Shares Now?
Following the earnings report, AMZN has underperformed the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen). However, analysts remain optimistic. According to TipRanks:
→ 45 out of 46 analysts recommend buying AMZN stock.
→ The average 12-month price target for AMZN is $267.
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Amazon Stock Plummets After Earnings ReportDuring the last trading session, Amazon's stock dropped by more than 3.5% , bringing its price below $230 per share. This sharp decline followed the company's quarterly earnings release yesterday, where it reported earnings of $1.86 per share , surpassing the expected $1.49 , and revenue of $187.79 billion , slightly above the $187.30 billion projected.
However, investors were disappointed by the company’s sales growth forecast of only 5% for the first quarter of this year, along with a warning about a negative foreign exchange impact exceeding $2 billion. This has led to a decline in confidence, reinforcing a persistent bearish bias in Amazon’s stock price.
Bearish Trend Strengthens
Currently, a significant downward trendline has been in place since the last months of 2024. But the recent sell-off has raised doubts about the buying strength seen in previous sessions. If bearish pressure continues to increase, it could pose a considerable risk to the current market structure in the short term.
Neutrality Begins to Take Over
Both the RSI and CCI indicators have quickly dropped to their respective neutral levels— 50 for RSI and 0 for CCI. This suggests that recent price movements have turned neutral, making it unclear which force is currently dominating the market. If these indicators continue to hold within neutral territory, a potential sideways consolidation could emerge on the daily chart.
Key Levels to Watch:
$240 – The most important resistance level, representing the latest highs recorded by the stock. A breakout above this zone could reignite the long-term uptrend from last year and trigger sustained buying pressure.
$228 – A critical support zone that aligns with previous lows, as well as the uptrend line. If sellers push the price below this level, the bearish bias could strengthen, leading to a deeper downside correction in the short term.
$216 – Final support level, corresponding to the January lows and the Ichimoku cloud barrier in the short term. If selling pressure drags the price to this level, it could invalidate the current bullish structure on the chart.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Your Most Requested Stocks Are Here - 15 Stocks, 15 Analyses!Hello readers,
Just a few days ago, I ran a "poll" - huge thanks to everyone who participated in the comments! The response was amazing: 130 mentions, 80 different stocks, and 15 tickers that stood out with multiple mentions. Stay tuned as I break down the most requested ones!
I initially planned to let this run longer, but interest has cooled off a bit, so I’ve decided to wrap it up and start summarizing the results so you can analyze them through the weekend.
Now, let’s get to it:
✅ A technical breakdown of 15 stocks.
✅ Key price levels and volatility zones to watch.
✅ Possible scenarios and setups based on the charts.
Some charts tell a clear story, while others… well, let’s just say not all price action is tradable and I’ll explain why.
Which stocks made the list? Scroll down and let’s dive in!
15. Microsoft (MSFT)
Looking at Microsoft's price movements, I wouldn’t rush into a position just yet. The stock has been stuck in this price zone for more than a year. While buying at the current levels could work out, there is also a risk that it remains in this range for another year.
Instead, I see two scenarios that offer a better approach:
1. This scenario relies on waiting for a pullback. A better price = better future returns. If the price drops to $290–$355/360, I would be ready to buy. Lower price levels often offer new liquidity, providing stronger momentum in the years ahead.
2. Wait for confirmation instead of guessing. Let the market show that investors are willing to push MSFT to higher levels before entering. Over the past year, the price action has established a resistance zone at $450–$460. A monthly close above this level would provide confirmation. However, patience is still key because the round number $500 could act as an obstacle. After a breakout, you have another two options:
Buy immediately after the breakout is confirmed - monthly close needed - or wait for a rejection from $500 before entering. This could provide an opportunity to buy at a similar price but with more confirmation and a stronger support level. This approach increases the chances that investment starts working more efficiently and from a better technical position.
14. Robinhood Markets (HOOD)
There isn’t much to say, the stock is flying. However, to add an educational perspective, these small pauses in the movement can create liquidity zones after a pullback.
If the stock pulls back and you find yourself wondering “Where is the right spot to enter?”, these pause areas provide potential opportunities. While this isn’t necessarily a setup, using these pullbacks effectively can help scale up your position in the stock or initiate a new one.
Many traders hesitate, thinking, "It's too expensive, it's too expensive," suddenly the price pulls back to a pause area. When that happens, you already know what to do - set your alerts.
13. Salesforce (CRM)
Confirmed Breakout:
We have three clean previous yearly highs - we mark them.
As investors, not traders, we focus on the strongest zone - we connect them.
Within this zone, there is a minor round number at $300, and for me, the strongest retest area is currently at $270–$300.
This level could serve as a key support zone for potential future entries.
12. Intel Corporation (INTC)
This is quite a difficult chart with poor price action, making it challenging to navigate. Personally, I wouldn’t take any action until one of these two scenarios becomes valid.
Deeper pullback for liquidity – The drop has been strong and intense and we could see lower prices as in 1996. A move below the current support level could attract new liquidity and hopefully, make the stock more attractive to investors.
Break above the strongest resistance – This scenario is highly time-consuming. Right now, the stock is trading below a major resistance area, and recovering won’t be easy, especially after such a sharp drop from a 2023 positive price trend. A break above $28 would make it more attractive for me.
For those already holding INTC, selling could be a strategic move. You could potentially buy back at lower prices, reducing the risk of having your investment stuck for several years. Given the current price action, breaking back above resistance will be a difficult battle - there are much better opportunities.
11. Novo Nordisk (NOVO_B)
I mentioned this stock on TradingView a few months ago, as well as at a financial conference in Estonia. The price has moved a bit but here is the initial technical thesis:
The key area remains 500–600 DKK, with the following criteria:
- A small pause in price movement, similar to what I discussed in the HOOD analysis.
- 50% retracement from the all-time high—for large-gap stocks, this level can offer strong volatility, if the fundamentals, in general, remain stable.
- The round number at 500 DKK, which could act as a psychological support level.
10. Coinbase (COIN)
A year and a half ago, I posted an analysis on TradingView about COIN, currently up almost 300% , highlighting an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. That pattern is also present today but on a much larger scale. Hopefully, history repeats itself and the outcome will be the same ;)
Currently, we have a massive Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. This pattern becomes valid only after a breakout from the neckline. Which has already happened! The price has also tested the neckline, but the movement has remained limited due to the strong resistance zone at $260–$290. Despite this, there has been a minor breakout above this level and from a technical standpoint, the price is currently trading within a potential buying zone for those interested.
Key criteria:
- A bullish Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is in place.
- The neckline breakout has already occurred.
- A minor breakout above the strong $260–$290 zone suggests further potential.
9. Meta Platforms (META)
"Pause areas" – If someone randomly picks stocks each month, for example, Apple this month, Amazon or Meta next month, then these price levels can be extremely useful for deciding what to buy.
For META, the key picking areas are marked on the chart as reference points for potential pickers:
8. NIO (NIO)
Mentioned three times, and I feel sorry for those expecting a useful analysis on NIO - I don’t have one. Technically, there is nothing to work with here.
The price action is basically dead, moving randomly without any clear structure. Yes, I could draw lines and mark support levels but that would be misleading for both - you and me.
Volume has dropped significantly compared to previous movements. When volume declines this much, previous price levels become irrelevant. As I mentioned at the beginning, if there’s something to analyze, I’ll share it. Right now, there isn’t.
-------------
Closing Section (For TradingView Post), that wraps up the first eight stocks from the picks! I hope you found this analysis valuable but that's not all!
The remaining 7 stocks are now live on my Substack-ENG, including:
🔹 Tesla (TSLA) – Will history repeat itself?
🔹 Amazon (AMZN) – Smart entry levels instead of buying at all-time highs.
🔹 Palantir (PLTR) – The high-risk, high-reward case.
…and four more stocks that were highly requested!
Substack-ENG link is in my BIO (clicking the website icon), or you can find it by scrolling up - just below the main image.
See you there,
Vaido
Disclaimer:
This post is not investment advice, and the ideas presented are not recommendations to buy or sell any securities. It is intended for educational and analytical purposes, reflecting my personal view of the current market situation. Every investor should conduct their own independent analysis and consider the risks before making any decisions.
AMAZON -- Results of Buying before the SplitSharing some insights of when I bought Amazon before the split, It was a great decision as it has given my portfolio a great boost. It has been very bullish trending higher, and February started off on a good note so far. Ideally I would love to see it take the Previous months highs and keep pumping.
I would not be surprised if it reached MIL:1K per stock again. BUT NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, and I also have no real data to support this theory yet. It is just my biased beliefs.
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Amazon (NASDAQ:$AMZN) Slides 4% Amidst Cloud Growth SlowdownAmazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) shares slid nearly 4% in pre-market trading on Friday, as investors reacted to a slowdown in the company's cloud growth and a subdued sales forecast for the current quarter. The dip comes despite strong performance in Amazon's retail segment and a broader technical breakout that suggests the stock may be poised for a significant upward move in the coming months. Let’s dive into the technical and fundamental factors driving Amazon’s current market dynamics and why this dip could be a buying opportunity for long-term investors.
Cloud Growth Slowdown Weighs on Sentiment
Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company’s cloud computing division and a key profit driver, reported a 19% year-over-year revenue increase to $28.79 billion for the quarter. While this growth is impressive, it fell slightly short of analyst expectations of $28.87 billion, according to LSEG data. This miss has raised concerns about the competitive pressures AWS faces from rivals like Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud, as well as emerging low-cost competitors such as China’s DeepSeek.
Technical Outlook
From a technical perspective, Amazon’s stock chart tells an intriguing story. As of Friday’s pre-market trading, AMZN was down 2.78%, but the stock recently broke out of a falling trend channel, signaling a potential reversal of its previous downtrend. While the stock has yet to capitalize on this breakout, the current dip could be interpreted as a "shakeout" before a significant upward move.
Key technical indicators support this bullish thesis:
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI remains strong at 60, indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold and has room to climb.
- Moving Averages: AMZN is trading well above its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, a sign of strong underlying momentum and bullish sentiment.
This technical setup suggests that the pre-market dip may be a temporary pullback rather than the start of a sustained downtrend. For traders and investors, this could present an attractive entry point.
Strong Revenue and Earnings Growth
Amazon’s financial performance in 2024 has been impressive, with revenue reaching $637.96 billion, a 10.99% increase compared to the previous year’s $574.79 billion. Earnings surged by 94.73% to $59.25 billion, reflecting the company’s ability to scale profitability even as it invests heavily in growth areas like AI and cloud infrastructure.
The company’s 12-month forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 37.3 is higher than peers like Alphabet (22.7) and Microsoft (30.1), but this premium is justified given Amazon’s diversified business model, dominant market position, and long-term growth potential.
Analyst Sentiment: Strong Buy Rating
Wall Street remains overwhelmingly bullish on Amazon. According to 43 analysts, the average rating for AMZN stock is a "Strong Buy," with a 12-month price target of $254.3, representing a 6.48% upside from the latest price. At least seven brokerages raised their price targets following the earnings report, bringing the median target to $260.
Analysts are optimistic about Amazon’s ability to navigate near-term challenges and capitalize on long-term growth opportunities in AI, cloud computing, and e-commerce. The company’s heavy investments in AI infrastructure, while weighing on margins in the short term, are expected to pay off handsomely in the coming years.
The strongest stock of the day $LTRYVolume tripled since morning and it jumped from $1 area "on air" to $1.30 area which means hundreds of million of shares are still trapped in this trade on the shortsell side and will have to exit one way or another without risking holding overnight and getting their accounts blown out.
We know when shortseller wants to exit he needs to cover to buy so it gives further buying to the stock.
AMZN Amazon Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMZN before the previos earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMZN Amazon prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 240usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-7,
for a premium of approximately $6.40.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$AMZN is at risky area going into the earningsAmazon's last six earnings moves:
🟢 +7.5%
🔴 -12.7%
🟢 +3.4%
🟢 +8.2%
🟢 +8.7%
🟢 +11.4%
Options market expecting a 6.6% swing for NASDAQ:AMZN
Cloud drives 70% of profits
Retail? Barely profitable.
Amazon's market cap: $2.5T
For that price, you could own:
The entire Bitcoin market 5 times over
Every billionaire in the world’s top 500 list
BANGER $5 to $8+ on steadiest uptrend of 2025 so far!BANGER $5 to $8+ on steadiest uptrend of 2025 so far! 📈
Buy & Hold 💬
Told you about it in chat while it was still in $6's
Doesn't get any easier than this, just waiting for the money to pile as it keeps uptrending NYSE:BBAI
Everyone that listened got paid, it was the only stock bought and held yesterdy 1/1 for a fat win.
US100 Trade LogUS100 analysis: Three "buy zones" identified for potential entries with distinct risk levels.
1. "Zone 1" : Near the "4H Kijun" and prior weak high, aiming for short-term rebound with controlled risk.
2. "Zone 2" : Aligns with deeper "4H FVG" support. This setup offers a higher conviction for a reversal targeting the mid-range.
3. "Zone 3" : Major buy zone with strong confluence at the "PML" and "1H FVG" . Willing to risk 2% for a potential return of up to 10%, depending on upcoming earnings.
Each zone represents escalating risk-reward setups, ensuring precise risk management across macro support structures. Consider macro headwinds and earnings season's volatility.
AMAZON going for a DIP on the 4HCrystal ball has spoken, AMZN is due for a small DIP.
Trend Analysis:
• The price is trading in an overall uptrend, respecting the 50 EMA (yellow) and 20 EMA (gold), indicating strong bullish momentum.
• Recent price action has formed higher highs and higher lows, maintaining bullish structure.
JP StochDemark Indicator Insights:
• The indicator is approaching overbought levels, currently crossing above the 80 threshold, which signals potential exhaustion in the short term.
• Bearish divergence is forming as price makes new highs while the indicator fails to confirm.
• Previous occurrences of such setups led to short-term pullbacks before continuation.
Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate resistance at $236-$238, aligning with recent highs.
• Short-term support at $ 225 , where moving averages align.
• Strong demand zone around $210-$215, coinciding with prior consolidation.
Trade Signal & Probability:
Bullish Bias : Continuation likely if price sustains above $ 230 with momentum confirmation.
Bearish Pullback : A corrective dip to the $225 zone is probable if momentum weakens.
Target Levels : Upside targets at $240 (psychological resistance) and $250 if momentum persists.
Risk Levels : Watch for breakdown below $225, which could trigger further downside to $215.
Conclusion :
Momentum remains bullish but overbought signals suggest caution.
Monitor for a healthy retracement before continuation. A break above $238 could confirm further bullish momentum.
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Amazon (AMZN) Continuation Breakout in FocusChart Analysis:
Amazon's price action showcases a breakout from a consolidation channel (green shaded area), confirming the resumption of its broader uptrend.
1️⃣ Rising Trendline Support (Blue):
The price continues to respect the ascending trendline originating from September 2024 lows.
This trendline acts as a dynamic support zone, reinforcing the bullish structure.
2️⃣ Consolidation Channel Breakout:
After a brief consolidation in a descending channel, the price has broken out to the upside, signaling bullish continuation.
A decisive daily close above the channel confirms renewed buying interest.
3️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at $217.48, rising and providing strong dynamic support.
200-day SMA (red): Positioned at $192.35, further underpinning the long-term bullish trend.
4️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: At 60.32, signaling strong upward momentum but still below overbought levels.
MACD: Positive crossover continues to support the bullish momentum.
What to Watch:
Sustained trading above the breakout level to confirm the continuation of the rally.
Potential resistance near $240-$250, the next significant zone to watch.
Pullbacks to the 50-day SMA or the ascending trendline could provide buying opportunities for trend followers.
Amazon's breakout from consolidation and its adherence to the ascending trendline suggest the stock is poised for further gains, supported by strong momentum and rising moving averages.
-MW
Nancy Pelosi bought Amazon Calls! 📈 Bullish Opportunity: Amazon (AMZN)
1️⃣ Bullish Flag Pattern with Premarket Breakout:
Amazon has formed a classic bullish flag pattern, which is a reliable continuation signal in an uptrend. The price has already broken out of the flag channel in the premarket session, signaling strong bullish momentum and potential for significant upside.
2️⃣ Amazon’s Cloud Leadership is Poised to Strengthen:
AWS (Amazon Web Services) continues to lead the cloud infrastructure market, controlling 33% of the market—more than Azure and Google Cloud combined, according to Canalys.
CEO Andy Jassy noted four consecutive quarters of reaccelerating AWS growth, with an annualized revenue run rate of $110 billion.
3️⃣ AI Advancements Reasserting Dominance:
While Microsoft is seen as the leader in the AI revolution, Amazon is catching up fast. Over the past 18 months, AWS released nearly twice as many machine learning and generative AI features as competitors combined.
These advancements are expected to make Amazon a leader in AI throughout 2025, further enhancing its cloud and technology business.
4️⃣ E-commerce Profitability Soaring:
CEO Andy Jassy’s focus on cost-cutting and logistics efficiency is delivering results:
Operating income in Amazon’s North American e-commerce segment grew by 87% in the first nine months of 2024.
Automation advancements, like robotics in fulfillment centers, have reduced processing times and improved cost efficiency by 25% during peak times.
These measures are driving higher profitability in its flagship e-commerce business, helping Amazon increase margins and drive long-term growth.
5️⃣ Undervalued and Strong Growth Potential:
Simply Wall Street estimates Amazon is trading at 40.5% below fair value, offering an attractive entry point for investors.
6️⃣ Smart Money Confidence:
Nancy Pelosi recently purchased Amazon calls 3 days ago!
7️⃣ Analyst Ratings:
Consensus: Strong Buy from top analysts.
Average Price Target: $245 (near-term expectations).
High Price Target: $280 (bullish scenario).
🎯 Strategy:
Enter now : $225.94 - $228.50
First Target : $240 (First resistance after breakout).
Second Target : $260 (Measured move from the flagpole).
Third Target : $280 (High-end analyst expectations).
Stop Loss: Based on the risk management.
Mo money Mo money AMZN to the moon ? AMZN: Bull Flag on Daily Chart
Amazon (AMZN) is forming a bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, indicating potential for further upward movement. This pattern typically suggests a continuation of the prior uptrend after a period of consolidation.
Key observations:
Bull Flag Structure: After a strong upward surge, AMZN has entered a consolidation phase, creating a flag-like formation with parallel downward-sloping lines.
Volume Dynamics: The initial breakout was accompanied by high volume, while the consolidation phase has seen diminishing volume, a classic characteristic of a bull flag.
Support and Resistance Levels: The resistance level is observed around , with support at , defining the flag boundaries.
Moving Averages: AMZN is holding above the , which may provide additional support and align with the bullish outlook.
Potential Breakout: A breakout above the upper boundary of the flag could propel AMZN toward , based on the flagpole's length projection.
Watch for a breakout with increasing volume to confirm the bullish continuation. Keep an eye on broader market trends and any news that may influence AMZN's price action.
Amazon’s Stock Stuck in a Downhill Slope or Ready to Escape ?Amazon's stock price movement on a 4-hour timeframe, presenting a descending channel pattern. This pattern is often associated with bearish sentiment, as it reflects a market structure characterized by lower highs and lower lows, signaling a consistent effort by sellers to dominate price action.
Currently, the price is trading near the upper boundary of the channel, which acts as a dynamic resistance level. Historically, such resistance zones within descending channels tend to attract selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish outlook. If the price fails to break above this resistance and shows rejection signs (e.g., long wicks or bearish candlesticks), it could confirm a continuation of the downtrend, targeting the lower boundary of the channel as the next support level.
It is crucial to monitor this resistance area closely, as a breakout above the channel could shift the sentiment from bearish to bullish. For such a breakout to be credible, it must be accompanied by strong volume and decisive candlestick patterns, such as a bullish engulfing or a breakout gap. In that scenario, the price could invalidate the descending channel and initiate a reversal, targeting higher resistance levels.
Additionally, the broader market context and fundamental factors should be considered. If the stock is supported by positive catalysts or market sentiment, it could strengthen the likelihood of a breakout. Conversely, weak sentiment or negative news could intensify the bearish momentum, leading to further downside.
The chart currently reflects a bearish bias due to the descending channel structure. However, the key to determining the next move lies in the price action and volume near the upper resistance line, which will decide whether the pattern continues or reverses.