Buying Amazon lows.Amazon - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 103.11 (stop at 97.97)
101.26 has been pivotal.
101.43 has been pivotal.
We look to buy dips.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail.
Support is located at 102.00 and should stem dips to this area.
Our profit targets will be 116.16 and 119.16
Resistance: 117.00 / 121.50 / 125.50
Support: 110.00 / 105.50 / 102.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
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AMZN
AMZN still waiting for $86 support to BUY+++++AMZN will be a strong buy at support of $86. One could start a position here then ADD at $88 and again at $86 or wait to see if we bounce off support. A new moon should print tomorrow and takes 6-8 days to complete which means upward momentum will help longs.
AMAZON Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AMAZON is trading in a falling channel
And the stocks is yet again trading at the very edge
Of the horizontal support so I am bearish biased
And I think that IF we see a breakout of the support
Then the price will keep falling inside the channel
Towards the lower demand levels
Sell!
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AMZN D1: TP HIT+ 30% GAINS PT BEARS SHORT IT(REPLAY)(STOCKS)Why get subbed to me on Tradingview?
-TOP author on TradingView
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-Supply/Demand Zones
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AMZN D1: TP HIT+ 30% GAINS PT BEARS SHORT IT(REPLAY)(STOCKS)
IMPORTANT NOTE: speculative setup. do your own
due dill. use STOP LOSS. don't overleverage.
🔸 Summary and potential trade setup
::: AMZN daily chart review and outlook
::: original setup posted on July 21st
::: SHORT alerted from overhead
::: 30% GAINS TP HIT already congrats
::: maxed out already
::: Currently DISTRIBUTION already completed
::: we broke down on heavy volume
::: this is NASTY looking chart
::: BAD for the BULLS / stay out
::: FED rate hikes incoming / FED PUT is GONE
::: short sell rips/rallies in the throwback move
::: expecting backtest of the recent Distribution Range
::: recommended strategy: SHORT IT / STAY OUT
::: up to 40% correction still possible from here
::: fair value for AMZN is 85/95 USD
::: DO NOT BUY/HOLD here this is NOT A DIP
::: This is stock market meltdown in progress
::: be careful / don't get ran over by the FED
🔸 Supply/Demand Zones
. N/A
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AMZN: Post Earnings analysis! What's next for AMZN?• The crash was intense on AMZN, could it bounce from here? Let’s see;
• First, the trend is bearish, as AMZN is doing lower highs/lows in the 1h and daily charts;
• There’s not a single bullish structure indicating it’ll bounce in the near future, however, AMZN just hit an important support level;
• As seen in the daily chart, the $101 area was a previous support level from June, and although AMZN dropped below this point, it went up nearly 6% from its bottom to close above this support – doing a White Marubozu in the process;
• This could suggest that AMZN is oversold, but we must see more bullish signs in order to believe in a bounce, like a pivot point in the 1h chart, or any other meaningful pattern;
• To me, it is a little too early, but AMZN could be a promising stock in the near future;
• If it loses the $101 again, AMZN will reject any thesis that considers a possible bounce to the 21 ema, so keep an eye on this support.
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Here we go COVID LOWS HERE WE COME FOR 2023
Everyone sees what's coming.
Weekly 200ema rejection.
daily 50 sma rejection.
Bearish Macro Economics.
Earnings Missed with most tech giants.
Weak guidances.
GPD reports tmr.
FOMC next week.
Short term: Unless it clears and buyers hold over 286 qqq im still bearish.
Bearish targets:
257.33
235
216
What happened to Amazon today?Today, after the market closed, Amazon released its Q3 earnings and revenue, as well as other financials. It outperformed earnings per share by a significant margin, so why did Amazon drop 14% in after-hours trading? Well, the answer lies in a few things which I will cover today.
1. Amazon Web Services (Includes cloud computing, a major component of Amazon's revenue) only brought in 20.5 Bil, compared to forecast of 21 BIl.
2. Due to the above reason, Amazon's revenue was lower than expectations of 127.63 Bil, only achieving 127.1 Bil, with much, much slower growth compared to the previous quarterly earnings and revenue.
3. Amazons sluggish growth in revenue can only mean one thing -- A weaking Consumer. And as the Fed hikes interest rates quickly, Amazon's revenue may go down along with inflation.
4. Guidance from Amazon shows a weak Holiday quarter (weak sales and revenue)
So, this is just an update on the latest news to keep you updated. If you want me to continue this type of posts, please comment!
Market upUPS, 3M and General Motors all posted better-than-expected earnings. Shares of UPS and GM rose in early trading, but 3M dipped 1.6%.
Coca-Cola also reported stronger-than-forecast earnings, sending the stock up 1%.
So far this season, companies have proven they may be faring better than anticipated.
Market up on GM, UBS, KO earnings Coca-Cola shares rose 2.9% in the premarket after the beverage giant’ third-quarter earnings and sales beat Street forecasts. The company also raised its full-year outlook as demand remains steady even as it has raised prices to make up for higher expenses.
General Motors
(GM) – GM shares rallied 4.4% in premarket trading after the automaker reported a better-than-expected third-quarter profit, helped by rebounding sales. GM also said supply chain constraints are easing, allowing it to increase inventories on dealer lots.
General Electric
(GE) – GE jumped 4.2% in premarket action even though its earnings fell short of forecasts. The company cut its full-year outlook as it works its way through supply chain issues and higher costs. GE’s revenue was stronger than expected, as was free cash flow.
UPS
(UPS) – The delivery service’s shares rallied 4.4% in the premarket following a mixed quarterly report that saw earnings beat consensus and revenue fall short. UPS was helped by expanded profit margins as it raised prices.
UBS
(UBS) – UBS jumped 5.1% in the premarket after the Swiss bank posted better-than-expected quarterly results, helped by a jump in customer cash inflows to its wealth management business.
SAP
(SAP) – SAP rose 3% in premarket action after the German business software company reported upbeat quarterly results, helped by strong growth in its cloud business. SAP also confirmed its full-year outlook.
Logitech
(LOGI) – Logitech jumped 7% in the premarket after the maker of computer peripherals maintained its current full-year guidance, which was reduced in July. Logitech has seen sales cool off following a long period of elevated demand spurred by the pandemic.
Qualtrics
(XM) – Qualtrics surged 9.6% in the premarket after the maker of customer feedback software reported better-than-expected quarterly results and lifted its full-year forecast.
These stocks confirm the bottom has not happened yetMonday will determine where we are. I have three theories for now. Most importantly I am not yet convinced the near-term bottom is in because other stocks that have followed the market pretty well have not finished their wave 5 bottoms which would have them notch lows lower than their wave 3 bottoms from June.
The S&P 500 index ended its last long bull run with a top on January 4, 2022. It ended Primary wave 1 with a firm bottom on February 24, 2022 (this is the sell-off on the first day of Russia-Ukraine conflict). Primary wave 2 topped on March 29, 2022. Primary wave 3 bottomed on June 17, 2022. Primary wave 4 topped on August 16, 2022, while nearly touching the top trendline which began on January 4 and ran to March 29.Multiple stocks, especially those in the NASDAQ began the bear market earlier in the fourth quarter of 2021.
Amazon ( AMZN ) is one of these stocks. The stock had an all-time high July 13, 2021; however, this was likely a wave 3 top from the prior waves instead of the beginning of its own bear market. This was confirmed when Amazon’s lows in May and June 2022 flashed wave 3 signals instead of cementing a wave 5 base and market bottom. Therefore, Amazon began its decline with a top on November 19, 2021. It finished wave 1on March 8, 2022, wave 2 on March 29, 2022, wave 3 on May 24, 2022, wave 4 on August 16, 2022. Amazon began its waves early but achieved market reversals for waves 2 and 4 while bottoming with the market around June 17. If unsure about the index, this stock can also hold clues as it is yet to drop below its wave 3 bottom.
Next stock is Target ( TGT ). The stock presented the wave 3 peak from its last bull run on August 11, 2021; however, it achieved an all-time high on November 15, 2021. This is where I believe its bear market began. Wave 1 ended February 24, 2022, wave 2 on April 21, 2022, wave 3 on June 30, 2022, and wave 4 on August 16, 2022. This stock matched the wave 1 and 4 reversals while forming a bottom, just not its final on June 17 as well. This stock is trending well with the market. Like AMZN, it is yet to go below its wave 3 bottom and therefore I believe more declines are to come.
Next is Lowes ( LOW ) which is in a slightly different ending position but yet to drop below it’s wave 3 bottom. The Lowes bear market began on December 13, 2021. Wave 1 ended with the market on February 24. Wave 2 ended on March 21. Wave 3 ended on June 22, while achieving a near bottom with the market on June 17. Wave 4 ended on August 17 which is one day behind the market. For now it appears it may be further along in its final wave 5 down, but it is still 12 points above the wave 3 low. The trendlines have not been as helpful from a technical standpoint for this bear market.
Rockwell Automation ( NYSE:ROK ) is another stock moving with the market, however, the trend lines are not producing points of resistance. Wave 1 began December 16, 2021 and ended with the market on February 24, 2022. Wave 2 ended with the market on March 29, 2022. Wave 3 ended days after the market on June 22, 2022. Wave 4 ended with the market on August 16. This stock has tracked very tightly with the index, and if this remains true I currently have ROK around Minor wave 2 in Intermediate wave 5. This is more apparent than the current movement in the index, however, it can be used to indicate what lies ahead for the market.
Old Dominion ( ODFL ) is next with the bear market beginning December 7, 2021. Wave 1 ended with the market on February 24, 2022, wave 2 on March 18, wave 3 ended on May 19, but did find another market low on June 17 with the market. Wave 4 ended on August 11 and the stock is currently around Intermediate wave 5 preparing for its final bottom.
Another high volume darling with earnings this week is Apple ( AAPL ). It began the bear market with the index on January 4, 2022. Wave 1 ended slightly later on March 14, but it also shared a major bottom on February 24 with the market. Wave 2 ended on March 30, wave 3 ended June 16, 2022, and wave 4 ended on August 17. The last three reversals for Apple occurred one day after the market, so this is something to consider moving forward. A drop to the wave 3 bottom requires a minimum 20 point loss from Friday’s close. This stock has quite a bit of ground to lose and the stock trends up prior to earnings. An earnings call bomb is the quickest way for Apple to retake the June lows.
The S&P 500 has gone below the Primary wave 3 bottom so technically it does not have to go lower than it did on October 13. I am using the stocks mentioned here to determine when the index has bottomed as I do not believe it has occurred yet. Tomorrow will be big for the index. The current chart has us possibly still in Intermediate wave 4, and it would likely be near the Minor C wave. The trendlines for SPX have held well and there is not much before that line is met. This only leaves room for the near-term top to happen no later than tomorrow. For this entire analysis to hold true, we should have an overall down week. Big earnings start coming out by mid-week to include some of the stocks mentioned here. I will map out the sub waves once I know where we are in Intermediate wave 5. Earliest models would have Intermediate 5 lasting 11 days IF we ended Minor wave 2 on Friday. If we are not in Intermediate wave 5 yet, the length could be around 15 days long.
Upcoming catalysts besides earnings are the Fed the first week in November and the U.S. elections the second week of November.
Bullish $AMZN Amazon broke out of its channel on Friday, stock has the potential up to $124 per share over the next week.
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AMZN - BULLISH SCENARIONASDAQ:AMZN Giant, rated as one of the most stable blue chips out there. Unless the earning report is way below expectations the price is likely to bounce off the support levels from before the split action 5 months ago and transit into a trend reversal formation.
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