AMZN at an all-time high: To be continued?AMZN reaches a new all-time high of $225.8, positioning itself at the upper boundary of an ascending channel that began on January 6, 2023, when it hit a low of $83.07. This channel, nearing its two-year milestone, has developed in five waves, as outlined by the Elliott Wave Theory:
Wave 1
Period: January 4, 2023 - September 14, 2023
Movement: $81.43 to $145.86 (+79%)
Wave 2
Period: September 14, 2023 - October 26, 2023
Movement: $145.86 to $118.35 (-19%)
Wave 3
Period: October 26, 2023 - July 8, 2024
Movement: $118.35 to $201.20 (+70%)
Wave 4
Period: July 8, 2024 - August 5, 2024
Movement: $201.20 to $151.61 (-25%)
Wave 5 (in progress)
Estimated period: August 5, 2024, to today
Projected movement: $151.61 to a range of $226.00 - $231.85 (+49% to +53% projected)
Key Questions for Caution on AMZN
Will it surpass the channel's upper boundary, setting new all-time highs?
Will it retrace to a dynamic support level within the channel (ranging between $201 and $195)?
Will it break below the ascending channel, signaling the start of a higher-degree correction?
Our opinion is for educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell. Before making any investment, consult with your financial advisor.
Amznidea
Stay Away from AMZN NowTechnical Analysis:
- AMZN is still doing a WXY medium term correction in blue
- In the short term AMZN is finishing wave ((2)) in black before going more down side
- We expect that the correction will be finished at around BMV:60 when wave ((II)) is also completed
- H1 right side is turning up
- H4 right side is turning down
Technical Information:
- Don't buy AMZN now
- We like to buy when the correction WXY is done
AMZN is Still in a WXY Correction StructureAs we can see in the chart, Amazon(AMZN) WXY correction is in blue and we expect more downside to around $60 only when the wave (Y) in blue and Wave ((II)) in black are complete.
Technical Analysis:
- H1 & H4 Right Side are Turning Down
- Technically AMZN has now 5 waves down and has a strong correlation with NASDAQ - that's why we expect that it extends lower to around $60 where smart buyers will must appear and we'll like to do an edging buy.
AMZN Price may move up to weekly resistance in coming weeksPrice trading inside 3M resistance zone. However there are still 2 months to go to close the 3M candle. Therefore price can be a bit insensitive towards that resistance and continue to move higher.
However, the weekly resistance above definitely going to pose challenge for the price. This also coincides with the downward trend line the price has been push against since the downward movement in the end of 2021 started.
AMZN FORCAST - on the daily chart : we notice a slight resistant from the buyers that pushes the price up
- on the weekly chart : we notice the resistance is from a strong level that formed few months ago
- my personal opinion : the price will rise after few days from now
- best move : wait for the next week movement to show a strong buying volume as confirmation then go in as buyers