AMZN at an all-time high: To be continued?AMZN reaches a new all-time high of $225.8, positioning itself at the upper boundary of an ascending channel that began on January 6, 2023, when it hit a low of $83.07. This channel, nearing its two-year milestone, has developed in five waves, as outlined by the Elliott Wave Theory:
Wave 1
Period: January 4, 2023 - September 14, 2023
Movement: $81.43 to $145.86 (+79%)
Wave 2
Period: September 14, 2023 - October 26, 2023
Movement: $145.86 to $118.35 (-19%)
Wave 3
Period: October 26, 2023 - July 8, 2024
Movement: $118.35 to $201.20 (+70%)
Wave 4
Period: July 8, 2024 - August 5, 2024
Movement: $201.20 to $151.61 (-25%)
Wave 5 (in progress)
Estimated period: August 5, 2024, to today
Projected movement: $151.61 to a range of $226.00 - $231.85 (+49% to +53% projected)
Key Questions for Caution on AMZN
Will it surpass the channel's upper boundary, setting new all-time highs?
Will it retrace to a dynamic support level within the channel (ranging between $201 and $195)?
Will it break below the ascending channel, signaling the start of a higher-degree correction?
Our opinion is for educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell. Before making any investment, consult with your financial advisor.
Amznlong
BEZOS AND EX-BEZOS ARE GIVING YOU A EARLY GIFT ON AMAZON!BEZOS AND EX-BEZOS ARE GIVING YOU A EARLY GIFT ON AMAZON! NASDAQ:AMZN
- HIGHFIVESETUP still intact
- Creating Support on Wr%
- Retesting Ascending triangle and CupnHandle breakout
- Measure move on both is to $300+
- Cheap on a DFCF model
Have you been buying more Amazon?
NFA
Amazon (AMZN) Long Side Analysis: Staying Bullish with CautionHey Again Folks!
Just wanted to share some thoughts on Amazon (AMZN) — I’m still leaning on the 🔵 long side here, but keeping a close eye on a few key levels.
Right now, AMZN is sitting around the $206-210 range, and it’s getting close to that resistance up at $213 🟢. This has been an important level before, so I’m watching to see if we can push through it with some strength 💪.
If we get a strong breakout above $213 🔥, I think the next target to watch is around $236 📈. That area lines up with previous highs and could be the next stop if this momentum keeps up. But if we hit resistance and start pulling back, I’ll be watching the lower boundary of the channel and especially the $190 zone for support 🛠️.
$AMZN IS ABOUT TO EXPLODE! BUY NOW OR FOMO LATERNASDAQ:AMZN
💥 NASDAQ:AMZN IS ABOUT TO EXPLODE! 💥
I first called out NASDAQ:AMZN on October 21st as it was setting up for a huge move and CupnHandle breakout. Here's 3 reasons to not miss this investing or trading opportunity. Price targets at the end.
1.) HIGH FIVE SETUP (Check the numbers below and you will see. 1-Breaking out of cupnhandle & symmetrical triangle pattern. 2-Volume profile gap from a volume shelf. 3-Uptrending MACD. 4-Higher Highs on RSI. 5-Uptrending Stoch. (trend).
2.) #Amazon margins and FCF are growing rapidly and will continue this uptrend heading into the holiday season with a RESILIENT AMERICAN CONSUMER.
3.) It's a BUY according to the fundamentals especially when valuing this company according to it's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF).
Intrinsic Value: $250
🎯PT1: $231 (Symmetrical triangle measured move)
🎯PT2: $310 (Multi-year CupnHandle Measure Move)
Are you a shareholder? or Are you trading this name?
I'm done for the day! Going to be with my wife on her birthday and go trick or treating with my boys. Thanks for all the support, much love!
LIKE l FOLLOW l SHARE
HAPPY HALLOWEEN!
#Earnings
NFA
AMAZON | AMZN , Jeff is back? While Jeff Bezos, fiancée Lauren Sánchez have star studded engagement party on his $500M yacht Amazon has just reported its Q2 2023 earnings result, EPS of 65 cents is not comparable on YoY basis nor to consensus due to the company booking some gains related to its Rivian Automotive, Inc (RIVN) investment. Revenue of $134.3 billion beat consensus by about 2% while showing a YoY jump by nearly 11%. As an immediate reaction, the stock is up nearly 8% after-hours, although this can turn on a dime.I wrote in my preview that Amazon still remains a revenue story and to pay attention to Q2's actual revenue and Q3's revenue guidance. Amazon hit it out of the park on both counts, with Q2 revenue showing an 11% jump and Q3 guidance of $138 billion to $143 billion, easily upping the consensus of $138.29 billion.
As a direct effect of the company reining in on its expenses, Amazon's Free Cash Flow ("FCF") in Q2 2023 improved to almost $8 billon compared to -$23.5 billion in Q2 2022. Headcount is now down 4% YoY.Advertising, which I've highlighted as the next growth driver in many of my past articles, was up 22% YoY. But, more importantly, resumed its upward trajectory on a quarterly basis. Advertising services revenue showed continuous QoQ improvement until the first blip in Q1 2023. Whether Q2's upsurge is a new trend remains to be seen, but it is encouraging that Q2 did not follow Q1 down. I am also glad that my prediction that advertising will cross $10 billion in sales came true.It appears like retail has finally stopped bleeding profusely to avoid wasting all the gains from AWS and Advertising. In my view, retail is just their medium to sell their ecosystem, and this is acceptable to me.
Heading into earnings, Amazon stock was almost into the oversold territory with a Relative Strength Index ("RSI") of 37. Revenue beat and guidance should help the stock garner more analyst support in the upcoming days, and I fully expect the stock's almost-oversold conditions to be in the stock's favor as it has plenty of room upwards technically. The after-hours move has also helped the stock clear all of the commonly used moving averages.AWS's revenue and operating income appeared to be on a perennial, mid-double-digit growth trajectory until recently. However, Q2 saw AWS' sales increase by "just" 12% while operating income fell by more than 5%. It is in this context that advertising services becomes even more important. While $22 billion is strong, it fell well short of the $25 billion I predicted, as the company aims to cross $100 billion in 2023 AWS revenue.
The stock was already up 50% YTD heading into earnings and the run appears set to continue. I am not complaining as a long, but it shouldn't surprise anyone to see the stock pullback from the highs given the market's shaky behavior the last few days.
Overall, Q2 results are much better than Q1, and that shows in the stock's performance, at least as shown in the after-hours price movement. However, Amazon has never been a single quarter or single year story for me. Amazon's ecosystem is enough reason for me to continue believing in the company long-term. The ability to leverage multiple products and services across the entire organization is not something any company can build overnight. In fact, even Amazon has taken nearly 30 years to be the company that it is today
Amazon - The +150% All Time High Breakout!Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) is hugging the previous all time high:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Amazon has been moving sideways for almost four years, consolidating between support and the previous all time high. After retesting the resistance over and over again, it is just a matter of time until Amazon will break the previous all time high and start its next major bullish cycle.
Levels to watch: $190, $500
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
AMZN 50%+ UPSIDE!!! CUP N HANDLE PATTERN! BREAKDOWN BELOW:NASDAQ:AMZN #Earnings #BlackFriday
I PRESENT TO YOU: 🎁
🔜 THE NEXT 3T MKT CAP COMPANY
Behold the beautiful CUP 🍵& Handle 👌#chartpatterns #trading #tradingstrategy #Stock
This tea is going to taste delicious when we finally break over $201.20. NASDAQ:AMZN has been a laggard and it's time for them to play a little catch up! 🧧
Not much explaining needed with this one...Cup n Handle breakout means we are going to the measured move destination of...🥁🥁🥁....$310.69 ‼️‼️‼️
CATALYST: 😼
✔️Continued AWS growth and dominance!
✔️Stellar holiday quarter (best quarter of ea. year)
✔️MONEY PRINTER (ATH Free Cash Flows (FCF)
✔️Better margins and #3 player in Ad space!
NASDAQ:AMZN is a 17% in my LT portfolio. Also, I have several options plays on this name. Gonna be a fun ride! 🎢
Like and follow for more great charting and stock talk!
Not financial advice 🖖 NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM NASDAQ:BIVI
$AMZN, Bullish Towards $195Hey ya'll,
The chart above highlights Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) on the daily timeframe.
I've added #thestrat indicator, MACD, and RSI indicators.
I've marked the Fibonacci price points from low (Aug 28) to high (Sep 24).
Normally, I would've gotten in at the 0.618 fib retracement ($179.02) or the 0.5 fib ($182.15) but I would still take a 3+ week out options contract.
If price goes above Fri, Oct 7th high of day (HOD) @ $187.60, but 1 strike out of the money.
If price opens below Fri, Oct 7th's HOD, wait for it to either reversal at the previous low of day (LOD) or at whatever point.
Entry: $187.61 (above prev daily high)
Target: $190.86 (Fri, Sep 27 open price)
SL: $185.13 (tight under 0.382 fib)
R:R = 1:1.32
MACD = curling up
RSI = curling up, low 50s
Potential Contracts:
$190c 11/15 @ $8.00 (ITM)
$185c 11/15 @ $10.55 (1 OTM)
AMZN may form a wedge on the daily chart.NASDAQ:AMZN reclaimed the daily 50 SMA last week and is trading into the August high supply. If it gets rejected in this area, a retest of the lower trendline would correspond to the daily 50 SMA, and other converging demand zones including the .618 retracement level from the all-time high to the August low. If demand is held in this area, it may be a good long entry point ahead of the wedge breakout. Alternatively, if price builds above the August high, it is likely to retest the all-time high.
Amazon - Give me another -10%...NASDAQ:AMZN did not create a sustainable all time high yet and might head lower short term.
Click image above to see detailed analysis
Short term counter-trend moves are always very welcome because they allow you to enter trading opportunities within a major higher timeframe trend. After Amazon actually broke above the previous all time high but immediately closed back below, we knew that this was a false breakout. If we get a short term move lower, we might get another textbook trading opportunity.
Levels to watch: $140
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
AMZN ( Amazon.com, Inc. ) BUY TF H1 TP = 180.18On the H1 chart the trend started on Aug. 06 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 180.18
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
AMZN weekly chart looks intact for continuation.NASDAQ:AMZN weekly chart shows that it is holding the previous all-time high breakout at $191.70. It is also holding the weekly 5 SMA, which would provide a good entry to average up on the swing after taking profit last week. Jeff Bezos selling at $200+ needs to be cleared out before the stock can continue higher, and it appears that he has sold about 33% of the total 25 million shares planned based on SEC filings.
AMZNIs AMZN exhausting at resistance zone?
As the price is been on high bull run but now it seems like price is lacking bullish momentum after printing double top pattern at resistance level and bearish divergence suggesting the sell pressure is about to start.
If the bears took control , the 1st target could be 185
What you guys think of it?
🌟📈 AMZN: Amazon on Olympus's Peak!Traders, brace yourselves for an epic showdown with Amazon! 🌟📈
🔍 Critical Juncture:
We're witnessing a pivotal moment as Amazon stands at the summit of Olympus. The level at $188.11 has proven its mettle twice before. Will lightning strike thrice? The stakes have never been higher!
💡 Adventure in the Jungle:
Embark on a thrilling journey through the Amazonian jungle of trading! With a potential 27% journey to the first buy zone, are you ready for the wild ride ahead?
🔥 Join the Expedition:
Venture forth and share your thoughts on this daring expedition! Are you prepared to navigate the treacherous terrain of the market? The jungle drums are beating, and the adventure awaits!
💬 Your Quest Awaits:
What's your strategy for tackling this Amazonian challenge? Share your insights and embark on this exhilarating quest with fellow traders! The path to glory awaits those bold enough to seize it!
🎁 Discover the Treasure:
Remember, the most insightful comment could unlock a treasure trove of prizes! So don't hesitate—join the expedition and stake your claim to riches in the jungle of trading! 🏆💰
Amazon Rally or Crash: Decision Point Approaching!For Amazon, we're currently at a critical juncture with two potential scenarios:
Scenario 1 - Uptrend: This scenario suggests that Amazon has completed a five-wave cycle, finishing Wave I in September 2020, and concluded the corrective phase (Wave II) by December 2022. If this is the case, we're now in Wave III, indicated by a five-wave impulse upwards, comprising a higher Wave (1) followed by a corrective Wave (2). This scenario implies that after hitting a low at $81.43, the stock is in an uptrend. The maximum extension for this uptrend, or red Wave 5, leading to a higher Wave (1), is targeted at $181.
Scenario 2 - Ongoing Correction: Alternatively, it's posited that the overarching Wave II hasn't finished yet, and only a Wave (A) of the correction has been completed so far. Here, we anticipate the formation of Wave (B) shortly, to be followed by a Wave (C). The exact target of Wave (C) would depend on where Wave (B) concludes. For this scenario, the benchmarks for a potential Expanded Flat correction range between $177 (100% extension) and $214 (138% extension). Surpassing these values would negate the scenario of an incomplete Wave II, confirming that we are in Wave III.
The current chart patterns lean more towards the first scenario, indicating an uptrend and the end of Wave II at $81.43. The critical levels are thus set at $181 for confirming the uptrend, and between $177 to $214 for the alternate scenario. Breaking through these levels would clarify which phase Amazon is currently in.
Amazon's Zoox Robotaxis Accelerate Towards Autonomous FutureIn the race towards autonomous driving supremacy, Amazon's self-driving car unit, Zoox, is making significant strides to enhance its capabilities and expand its testing footprint. With plans to drive faster, farther, and even at night in Las Vegas, Zoox is positioning itself to compete with rivals like Waymo and General Motors' Cruise. These developments underscore the relentless pursuit of innovation in the realm of self-driving technology and the quest to redefine transportation as we know it.
Zoox's Ambitious Expansion:
Announced recently, Zoox's expansion plans in California and Nevada signal a bold step forward in its quest for autonomy. The company aims to increase the testing parameters for its fleet of uniquely designed vehicles, allowing them to operate at higher speeds of up to 45 miles per hour. Additionally, Zoox is extending its testing territory in Las Vegas to five miles, exposing its robotaxis to more diverse and challenging driving conditions than ever before.
Embracing Nighttime Driving and Adverse Weather:
In a bid to gather comprehensive data and enhance the robustness of its autonomous systems, Zoox is venturing into nighttime driving and light rain conditions. This strategic move underscores the company's commitment to addressing real-world challenges and fine-tuning its technology to operate seamlessly in various environmental scenarios.
The Pursuit of Full Autonomy:
Like its competitors, Zoox aspires to achieve full autonomy, envisioning a future where human drivers are replaced by self-driving vehicles. While the timeline for this transition remains uncertain, the advancements made by Zoox in expanding testing capabilities and refining its technology bring this vision closer to reality.
Navigating Regulatory Challenges:
While the promise of autonomous driving is tantalizing, regulatory hurdles remain a significant barrier to widespread adoption. The halting of testing by General Motors' Cruise following regulatory scrutiny serves as a stark reminder of the challenges inherent in navigating the regulatory landscape. Nevertheless, companies like Zoox are undeterred, pressing forward with their innovation agenda while ensuring compliance with regulatory requirements.
Amazon's Strategic Acquisition:
Amazon's acquisition of Zoox in 2020 for over $1 billion sparked speculation about the tech giant's intentions, including the possibility of using the autonomous vehicles for delivery purposes. While Zoox has yet to unveil its long-term plans beyond robotaxis, the acquisition underscores Amazon's strategic vision and its commitment to revolutionizing the future of transportation.
Conclusion:
As Zoox accelerates towards a future of autonomy, the trajectory of self-driving technology continues to evolve rapidly. With each milestone achieved and every challenge overcome, companies like Zoox are edging closer to realizing the transformative potential of autonomous driving. As the world eagerly anticipates the dawn of a new era in transportation, one thing is clear: the journey towards autonomy is fraught with challenges and opportunities, but the destination promises a future of safer, more efficient, and truly revolutionary transportation.
Amazon - The New SetupHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Amazon.
--------
Explanation of my video analysis:
Starting in 2018 Amazon created a decent bullish triangle continuation pattern and after the breakout Amazon pumped more than +70% towards the upside. Then with the 2022 bear market we saw a quite harsh correction and a perfect retest of previous support. If Amazon now provides a retest of the support mentioned in the analysis, I am looking for more long setups.
--------
I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.