Amazon’s Stock Stuck in a Downhill Slope or Ready to Escape ?Amazon's stock price movement on a 4-hour timeframe, presenting a descending channel pattern. This pattern is often associated with bearish sentiment, as it reflects a market structure characterized by lower highs and lower lows, signaling a consistent effort by sellers to dominate price action.
Currently, the price is trading near the upper boundary of the channel, which acts as a dynamic resistance level. Historically, such resistance zones within descending channels tend to attract selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish outlook. If the price fails to break above this resistance and shows rejection signs (e.g., long wicks or bearish candlesticks), it could confirm a continuation of the downtrend, targeting the lower boundary of the channel as the next support level.
It is crucial to monitor this resistance area closely, as a breakout above the channel could shift the sentiment from bearish to bullish. For such a breakout to be credible, it must be accompanied by strong volume and decisive candlestick patterns, such as a bullish engulfing or a breakout gap. In that scenario, the price could invalidate the descending channel and initiate a reversal, targeting higher resistance levels.
Additionally, the broader market context and fundamental factors should be considered. If the stock is supported by positive catalysts or market sentiment, it could strengthen the likelihood of a breakout. Conversely, weak sentiment or negative news could intensify the bearish momentum, leading to further downside.
The chart currently reflects a bearish bias due to the descending channel structure. However, the key to determining the next move lies in the price action and volume near the upper resistance line, which will decide whether the pattern continues or reverses.
Amznshort
Amazon (AMZN) Price Action Outlook for Monday, December 6, 2025Amazon (AMZN) closed at $224.19 today, following a high of $225.36 and an open at $222.51. While the stock remains above the 21, 50, and 200 EMAs, signaling a generally bullish trend in the medium term, today’s price action suggests hesitation in the short term. Adding to this cautious outlook, the MACD shows a bearish crossover, which could confirm a potential slowdown or pullback if downward momentum continues into Monday.
Key Levels to Watch for Monday:
** Resistance at $225.36 : Today's high has established a near-term resistance level. If AMZN cannot break above this mark early in the session, it may continue to face selling pressure. A strong move and close above this level would be a positive sign for the bulls.
** Support at $222.51 (Open) : The open price from today could act as an immediate support level. A hold above this level would keep the bullish outlook intact. However, a break below could lead to a test of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, which has recently acted as strong support.
** Fibonacci Levels : AMZN is struggling to close above the 38.2% Fib retracement around $228-$230, indicating resistance in this area. Breaking above this zone is crucial for resuming the bullish trend.
What to Expect:
* Bearish MACD Crossover : The MACD's bearish crossover indicates a potential shift in momentum to the downside. If this signal gains confirmation with continued price weakness on Monday, we may see a deeper retracement or sideways action.
* Bullish Scenario : If AMZN breaks above $225.36 and sustains momentum, it could push toward the next resistance levels and potentially retest $233.00, the previous high.
* Bearish or Consolidation Scenario : If AMZN fails to reclaim $225.36 and breaks below $222.51, the next move could test support near the 61.8% Fib level. A confirmed bearish MACD crossover would add weight to this scenario.
Key Indicators to Watch:
MACD Confirmation : Pay close attention to whether the MACD crossover leads to further downside momentum. This will be a crucial signal for determining the short-term trend.
RSI : The RSI remains below overbought conditions (70). A rising RSI would support bullish momentum, while a drop back toward neutral levels would indicate weakness.
Monday’s price action hinges on AMZN’s ability to reclaim $225.36 resistance and sustain momentum. The bearish MACD crossover introduces a cautionary note, suggesting a potential pullback or sideways action unless bulls regain control. A move above the 38.2% Fib retracement could confirm bullish continuation, while a failure to hold $222.51 may result in a deeper retracement.
Stay tuned for further updates as we monitor these key levels and indicators going into next week!
AMZN at an all-time high: To be continued?AMZN reaches a new all-time high of $225.8, positioning itself at the upper boundary of an ascending channel that began on January 6, 2023, when it hit a low of $83.07. This channel, nearing its two-year milestone, has developed in five waves, as outlined by the Elliott Wave Theory:
Wave 1
Period: January 4, 2023 - September 14, 2023
Movement: $81.43 to $145.86 (+79%)
Wave 2
Period: September 14, 2023 - October 26, 2023
Movement: $145.86 to $118.35 (-19%)
Wave 3
Period: October 26, 2023 - July 8, 2024
Movement: $118.35 to $201.20 (+70%)
Wave 4
Period: July 8, 2024 - August 5, 2024
Movement: $201.20 to $151.61 (-25%)
Wave 5 (in progress)
Estimated period: August 5, 2024, to today
Projected movement: $151.61 to a range of $226.00 - $231.85 (+49% to +53% projected)
Key Questions for Caution on AMZN
Will it surpass the channel's upper boundary, setting new all-time highs?
Will it retrace to a dynamic support level within the channel (ranging between $201 and $195)?
Will it break below the ascending channel, signaling the start of a higher-degree correction?
Our opinion is for educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell. Before making any investment, consult with your financial advisor.
Sharing AMZN chart from the TTR We are short as of high of the Sharing AMZN chart from the TTR
We are short as of high of the day
AMZN reports after the close
The price has re-tested the broken ending diagonal channel from below, a bearish signal by itself.
I will take one lotto put. Implied volatility for AMZN stock is about 8% in either direction
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Amazon (AMZN) Technical Analysis and Trade Idea#AMZN has demonstrated a robust bullish trend, recently leaving a notable price gap between 167 and 162. Given the extended move, a retracement back into this gap appears likely as the market seeks equilibrium before March.
Potential Trade Setup:
- Entry: Consider a short position near the current range high.
- Stop Loss: Employ a stop loss 1.5x the Average True Range (ATR) on the daily (1D) timeframe.
- Rationale: This setup targets potential overextension and aligns with the anticipated price rebalancing.
Important Disclaimer:
This analysis reflects my personal market interpretation and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own independent research and thorough risk assessment before making any trading decisions.
Will The Federal Reserve Or Earnings Slow Down Amazon Next Week?Our quick look tonight is at Amazon.com stock. 17 January brought us a bearish signal at the closing price of 151.71. Of the 242 studied similar occasions, the stock successfully reverses downward 95% of the time over the next 10 and 25 trading days. For this instance to be successful, the stock will need to move below 151.71. So far the stock has basically ignored the signal and powered higher. Another thing I have noticed during my research is what I call a signal delay zone. This is when the signal fails to take hold right away, but the stock eventually abides by the signal. Today is currently 6 days post-signal and only have 4 days left to make the 10 day study a success.
The largest delay from a percentage standpoint has been a 2.097% move upward from the signal, before a success was still achieved within 10 days from the signal. The latest a 10 day signal saw the highest delay price and still was successful was eight days after the signal. We are currently 4% above the signal price which does not bode well for a drop over the next four days. Day 10 is January 31st, Federal Reserve decision day. Also after the close on February 1st is the annual earnings call.
There are three likely outcomes, AMZN continues to move up without looking back, the day 10 study fails and the day 25 is successful, or both day 10 and 25 studies become successes. A success will be logged if we reach and cross below the dashed yellow line. I have placed the 10 day success box on the chart as a yellow square. This box is the target bottom for 50% of all successful signals. The other larger green box is the 50% target box for the 25 day study. This provides most of February for AMZN to come down and remain successful in the study.
Applying my modified wave theory to the AMZN chart. My overall outlook is:
We are likely in the final fifth wave of the fifth wave of wave C in wave B. This basically means the stock and market are about to start more prolonged downward movement. This is bearish through the end of 2024. Not sure if we the debt bubble bursts, rate cuts are taken off the table "for now", shipping disruptions in the Red Sea come up during earnings calls or the Fed press conference, or something else causes the foreseen market disruption.
Why we are selling AMZN at 148The market's bull run is set to end based on the indications for seeing on the S&P.
AMZN is one of those stocks that have been quite bullish and a correction is on the card at the 150 mark. The technical indicators are:
1) Daily chart is overbought
2) H4 is overbought and lot of divergence present
3) The upward trend line has been violated which has been intact since October 23, 2023
4) There is a shark pattern in play
This will need to be held for 3-4 weeks until it hits close to 132 or there is a buy pattern. Good luck to you and may the pips be with us.
AMZN SHORTS $$$Hi everyone, just here to update you all on what I will be looking for in AMZN next week. Starting on the Weekly we tapped into a key FVG and took BSL many many months ago and have wicked down now near the close of friday. I Have begun looking at opening about 10% of my initial 2% risk per trade. I will add more accordingly based on Monday's opening if given the chance. now on Daily, we have a clear high and as we speak I'm looking for a lower high to confirm! And on the hourly lastly, we have clear breaks of structure in the bear's favor. I plan on holding this til the 140-136 range and scaling out accordingly! god bless and good luck ;)
AMZN SHORTSAs I stated in the picture. AMZN Is hitting a key Weekly FVG. Here i am watching for a 1H, 4H, and 1D swing high with a recent low broken to enter some put options. I will enter and take profits with PDL being taken out. These setups provide between 50-125% profit based on setup and entry. I will continue to update you all as price shoes more confirmation! Like and shoot your questions below!
Amazon is an opportunity to buyHello traders. There is a great investment opportunity in Amazon shares. With a downtrend break. And break the ascending triangle pattern. Likewise, breaking the resistance at level 104. These are all factors confirming the strong entry of buyers into this giant stock .Note: If you like this analysis, please give your opinion on it. in the comments. I will be happy to share ideas. Like and click to get free content. Thank you
Amazon (AMZN) Breaking the RED line and 100$ wall was a big short signal and now we heading to another big support level which is 80$
Wall Street equities were in the red on Monday with Nasdaq leading declines as investors worried the Federal Reserve's monetary policy tightening campaign could push the U.S. economy into a recession.
while Amazon workers will go on formal strike for the first time in the UK, The three major U.S. stock indexes were on track for the fourth straight day of declines since Wednesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell took a more hawkish tone than expected when the central bank raised interest rates. Powell promised further increases even as weak data showed signs of a weakening economy.
The S&P 500, the Dow Industrials and the Nasdaq have sold off sharply for December, on track their biggest annual declines since the 2008 financial crisis.
Im not close my shorts till we back to 70$ level
are you READY for 2023?
AMZN short based on Wheel of Time premier datesFrom the chart, you can see that I've marked the dates of the premier of season 1, and also the official trailer date for season 2.
Now, 19th July is probably the peak for this year's recovery.
Amazon stock price will probably start crashing on 1st September because that's the release date for season 2. It will be a Black Friday for AMZN.
AMZN Do Bearish Divergences Predict a Reversal? SHORTAMZN has ascended 15% in the past two months. As shown on the 4H chart, dynamic
resistance has been the red lines designating two standard deviations above mean
VWAPs are anchored in February and early May. The two indicators however suggest
bearish divergence. The zero-lag has lower highs and lower lows on the K / D line
excursions. The Chris Moody dual RSI shows the RSI on the blue daily time frame
dropping and crossing under the black weekly time frame RSI. Fundamentally, according
to the linked article AMZN typically drops 0.34% on Prime Day. Based on all of this,
I am expecting a reversal. Upon confirmation, I will short Amazon in a possible Fibonacci
style retracement.