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Moody's downgrades US credit rating, will gold be affected?Information summary: At about 4:43 pm on Friday (the last minute before the market closed), Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating from AAA to Aa1 on the grounds of "surge in debt and fiscal out of control", ending the US's last "top credit" title among the three major rating agencies. Perhaps considering reducing the impact, Moody's announced this news after the US stock market closed. But at this time, gold, foreign exchange and other markets still have more than ten minutes of trading time. The 10-year US Treasury yield once rushed from 4.44% to 4.49%, the US dollar index fell, and gold rushed up. The downgrade is a super-class data, which may cause gold to rebound in stages, but not continuously. If nothing unexpected happens, after the adjustment, gold may continue to retreat in a trend. Technical analysis: Next week, gold may rebound in stages to 3330-3340. Then there may be a trend decline again, and I estimate that it may test around 2950 below. As for why it went to 3330-40, here is an analysis: I think the current gold trend is very similar to the holiday trend in Asia from May 1st to 5th. It also fell sharply, then bottomed out and rebounded, and then stretched up again. I also drew it in the picture, which is basically consistent with the current trend. If the next market trend is copied from the previous paragraph, then I think it should test the 3330-40 point.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
1
Gold Price Trading Around 3,200 Points 📌 Gold Information Gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from recent losses, trading around $3,230 per troy ounce during Asian trading hours on Monday as investors seek safe haven assets amid growing concerns about the US economic outlook and fiscal sustainability. The rebound follows Moody's decision to downgrade the US credit rating by one notch, from Aaa to Aa1, citing growing debt and the burden of interest payments. This follows previous downgrades by Fitch and Standard & Poor's in 2023 and 2011, respectively. Moody's now forecasts that the US federal debt will surge to around 134% of GDP by 2035 from 98% in 2023, due to ballooning debt servicing costs, expanding entitlement programs, and shrinking tax revenues - all of which have heightened investor concerns and provided new support for gold prices. 📊Comment Analysis Gold price fluctuated around 3200 at the beginning of the week. There was not much news and it continued to go sideways. 💰Strategy Package ⭐️Set gold price: 🔥Sell gold area: 3259-3261 SL 3266 TP1: $3250 TP2: $3240 TP3: $3230 🔥Buy gold area: $3192 - $3190 SL $3185 TP1: $3200 TP2: $3210 TP3: $3220 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
Gold rebounds above 3190, maintains 🔔 Driving Events Gold prices (XAU/USD) failed to extend Thursday's sharp rebound from the $3,120 area (the lowest level since April 10) and faced selling pressure again during Friday's Asian session. The 90-day trade truce between China and the United States has relieved some of the pressure on global financial markets, suppressing demand for safe-haven metals. Nevertheless, lingering geopolitical tensions and a weaker US dollar continue to provide potential support, limiting the downside for gold prices. In addition, the market's growing expectations for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may prevent traders from taking a strong bearish stance on gold in the short term. 📊Comment Analysis Gold prices have recovered, and buyers are determined to keep gold prices stable around 3200 points in May. Waiting for new bullish momentum after the end of tariff negotiations 💰Strategy Package 🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3287-3290 SL 3294 TP1: $3270 TP2: $3260 TP3: $3250 🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3173 - $3175 SL $3168 TP1: $3188 TP2: $3200 TP3: $3218 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the lot size that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
Gold rebounded to the expected position, 3205 short! 📌 Driving Event The announcement of a 90-day trade truce between the world's two largest economies also helped ease recession concerns in the United States, prompting investors to reduce expectations for aggressive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve (FED). This shift supports the continued rise in U.S. Treasury yields, further suppressing demand for interest-free gold. 📊 Commentary Analysis Today, the price of gold fell to its lowest point in more than a month. It once hit the lowest level since April 10 at 3120, and then rebounded to the 3200 line, and the volatility increased again! 💰 Strategy Package Short position: Actively participate in 3200-3203 points, with a profit target around 3120 points ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose a lot size that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Gold prices fell by more than $50. Two news will be released.At the end of the Asian session, gold accelerated its decline, with the lowest price falling to around $3,123, and plummeting more than $50 during the day. Gold prices continued to fall in the Asian session and were under pressure from multiple factors. Optimism about Sino-US trade weakened gold's safe-haven effect. In addition, reduced bets on the Fed's rate cuts and rising US Treasury yields are also not conducive to gold prices. There are two pieces of news to pay attention to in today's trading market. 1. At 8:30 a.m. US time, the U.S. Census Bureau will release April retail sales data. 2. At 8:40 a.m. US time, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver an opening speech at the second Thomas Laubach Research Conference. (This conference will focus on research on monetary policy and economics, and is expected to provide an academic perspective for the Fed's commitment to review the monetary policy framework every five years.) Trading analysis: Gold prices have just fallen below the $3,140 support level, which makes gold prices vulnerable. Some follow-up selling could push gold further towards $3,100; if it falls below this level, gold could target $3,060. On the upside, if gold prices rise back above the $3,160-3,170 area, it could face strong resistance at the Asian session high and then $3,200. Any further gains in gold prices could be seen as selling opportunities and could lose upward momentum around $3,230. This is a key level, and if it breaks through this level, a new round of short-covering could push gold prices up to $3,265 to form resistance before moving towards the $3,300 mark. Market trading is risky, and I hope you will take profits in time; make a good profit.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
Gold price plunges suddenly. Technical analysis.Information summary: During the Asian session, gold prices suddenly plunged, and the price of gold has now hit a low of $3,148, down more than $44 from the intraday high of $3,192.78 hit earlier. Gold prices continued to fall after breaking the $3,200 support I predicted earlier, and gold prices fell to a one-month low, continuing the recent decline. The sharp reduction in tariffs between the United States and China has brought relief to global markets and led to a rebound, which has caused gold to correct and break through multiple technical levels. Technical analysis: In the short term, according to the 4-hour chart, the outlook for gold is bearish. Gold prices are trading below all of their moving averages, and the 20-period SMA has fallen below the 200-period SMA, which is located at $3,232, which will constitute an important resistance if the gold price trend recovers. Finally, technical indicators lack directional strength, but remain at negative levels, reflecting a lack of buying interest. I think traders need to pay attention to the latest important support and upward resistance levels: Support: $3140. Resistance: $3100; $3215; $3232.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
Gold rebounds weakly, US market ideas for reference! 📌 Driving factors As Sino-US trade tensions ease, market concerns about a global recession ease, investors' risk appetite rises, and gold's attractiveness as a safe-haven asset declines, gold prices fell on Wednesday (May 14). After the tariff truce announced over the weekend, the stock market rose sharply, weakening gold's safe-haven appeal in the short term, which was an important factor that pushed gold prices to new highs in the previous few months, and it is also the starting point for the current large-scale selling! 📊Commentary Analysis After gold fell below 3200 in the US market, it rebounded to 3198 at its highest. This rebound was just an oversold rebound, and then continued to fall back. Although it has not refreshed the low for the time being, the pattern has weakened, and it is difficult to get up again in the early morning. Weak shorts can't even get past 3198, and the short-term support below is around 3160. The daily cycle is constructed based on the M-head pattern. 3200 is the long defensive position. If it fails to close, there will be a fall. The technical side has already experienced a major break. Pay attention to the change of thinking. If the adjustment range is large, it may even reach 2900/3000. It rises fast and falls fast, but the long-term logic of gold's rise remains unchanged. It is also an opportunity to lay out more positions, but the position needs to follow the market observation, which is difficult to predict at present. 💰Strategy Package In the short term, we will rely on 3198 for defensive short selling. After breaking 3200, please note that even if it rebounds, we should follow the trend and short. If it rebounds upward, we should short at the golden section resistance of 3265. Good luck to everyone! Labaron believes that Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning income is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profit is the only certificate to finally stand up from the sea of ​​corpses and blood.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Gold comprehensive analysis summaryTechnical analysis of gold: In recent trading days, gold has experienced a rapid decline during the Asian session, then stabilized and rebounded, fluctuated during the European session, and rebounded after rising in the US session. Today, under pressure during the Asian session, the high point of yesterday's US session, 3258-60, has already experienced a rapid decline. It depends on whether it can stabilize and rebound next. Overall, continue to pay attention to the medium-term support of 3202-07. Before breaking down, once the bulls stabilize, they will fill the gap of Monday's gap in the area of ​​3320-25; if it breaks down, it will open up the downward space, further 3160-3120, and then gradually fall to 3060 and the starting point of this round of bulls, 3000. The M top or W bottom we emphasized is still waiting for the market to choose! From the hourly chart, gold is currently facing some downward pressure, especially since the current price has fallen below the previous support range. After falling below the support level, the gold price rebounded again, but this rebound failed to break through the original support level and turned into resistance, indicating that the price has not recovered effectively. For now, multiple rebounds have hit around 3257 to form a double top pattern, and the scope of short-term long and short consolidation has been reduced. Including today's Asian session decline, it did not fall below the 3220 US dollar line. The short-term consolidation range temporarily refers to the 3257-3220 US dollar range, and the break will be adjusted. Today, the 1-hour SAR indicator 3246 pressure is referenced above. If it breaks above, it will look at the recent double top 3257 pressure short. Secondly, look at the 3265-78 range multi-directional suppression short. It is recommended to refer to the Asian session low near 3220 for long below. If it breaks below, it will look at the 3207-3200 range for long. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is mainly to do more on the pullback and short on the rebound. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3257-3265 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3215-3220 line of support. Gold operation strategy reference: short gold near 3250-3260, target near 3240-3230. Gold pullback near 3225-3220 to do more, target near 3240-3250.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Gold continues to trade sideways above the 3200 area 📌 Driving factors The United States and China announced on Monday a 90-day suspension of tariff increases. According to statements made after the Geneva talks last weekend, the United States will reduce tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, while China will reduce tariffs on US imports from 125% to 10%. Meanwhile, on the geopolitical front, Russia and Ukraine are preparing for their first high-level face-to-face talks since 2022, scheduled to take place in Istanbul this week. The talks come as the international community is increasingly pressuring Moscow to accept a 30-day ceasefire. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and special envoys Steve Witkov and Keith Kellogg are expected to represent the United States in the talks. Gold prices rebounded on Tuesday, driven by bargain hunting, while weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data released that day also helped gold prices rise. However, trade optimism limited the strength of gold's rebound. 📊Comment Analysis In the accumulation price zone, the gold price is sideways around 3200-3270, and the buyers and sellers are balanced 💰Strategy Package 🔥Selling gold area: 3282-3284 SL 3289 TP1: $3270 TP2: $3260 TP3: $3250 🔥Buying gold area: $3167-$3165 SL $3160 TP1: $3178 TP2: $3189 TP3: $3200! Labaron believes Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning profits is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profits are the only proof that can finally stand up from the sea of ​​corpses and blood.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
The long and short gold competition continuesGold on Tuesday was more in line with our analysis ideas. We gave a short position at 3250-60, and the market conditions were also quite favorable for our entry opportunities. We notified the entry and exited with profits as gold fell back. The CPI was bullish and gold rebounded weakly, so our long positions were also safely exited with profits. Pay attention to the stabilization of the two supports of 3215-3225, and take 3200 as the turning point of the Fengshui Ridge. Hold it to continue to maintain the bottom shock operation or gradually rebound; once it breaks through 3270, the rebound will be strengthened to test the 3300 mark; if it breaks through 3300 and stabilizes, the downward adjustment will end and return to the upward trend; Then as long as 3270-3300 is still not suppressed in the middle, it will repeatedly rise and fall to test the bottom support; if 3200 is accidentally lost, it will point to 3160-3150, and you need to be mentally prepared in advance, hoping that it will not happen; looking at the 4-hour chart of gold: at this time, the 5-day short-term golden cross is expected to cross the 10-day, then above 3240 will become a certain support performance, and the key strong support is the annual moving average moving up to 3200; one resistance is the big Yin high point in front of 3290, which is also the dividing pressure, and the strong pressure is the middle track 3293, or close to the 3300 mark; pay attention to the gains and losses between support and resistance. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3270-3290 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3215-3225 support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
3
Gold fluctuates repeatedly and is expected to fall below 3,200 📌 Driving factors The U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics announced on Tuesday that the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% month-on-month in April, lower than the 0.3% expected by economists. However, analysts warned that inflation may rise as tariffs gradually push up commodity prices. The United States and China announced on Monday that they would suspend tariffs for 90 days. According to the statement made by both sides after the Geneva talks last weekend, the United States will reduce tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, and China will reduce tariffs on U.S. imports from 125% to 10%. Driven by bargain hunting, gold prices rebounded on Tuesday, and the weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data released that day also helped gold prices rise. However, trade optimism limits the strength of gold's rebound. 📊Commentary and analysis Gold fell and then rose yesterday, and the final rebound stopped at 3,266. The trend is in line with our bearish expectations. As for the repeated fluctuations in the market, it is just a futile effort! Yesterday, due to the influence of the US CPI data, although gold rose in the short term, it was still under pressure and weakened. Today, the Asian session continued to fall in the early trading. As the support position near 3210 points is approaching, aggressive shorting is no longer appropriate! In terms of trend, the 4-hour level trend of gold is still under pressure. Yesterday, it was under pressure at the 3260 line, and then the market fell back. Recently, it has maintained a trend of continuously moving down lows, and the rebound highs are gradually decreasing. It can be seen that the bulls are less willing to attack, which is different from the previous surge. Gold adjustment has become inevitable. 💰Strategy Package Rebound short: short near 3265, stop loss 3269, target near 3220! Labaron believes that Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning income is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profit is the only certificate to finally stand up from the sea of ​​corpses and blood.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
CPI data released. Impact on gold prices?Gold suffered a setback this week; but then it rose to $3,250 and began to fluctuate slightly. CPI data was released this morning, but it did not have a big impact on gold. The current price is still in a sideways trend. Two support positions need to be paid attention to today: Downward $3,230 support line, if it falls below this position, the gold price will quickly reach below $3,200. Upward $3,270 resistance line, if it breaks through the resistance position strongly, there is hope to try to break through $3,300. Quaid believes that if the gold price fails to break through today and presents a new trend, it is likely to continue the sideways trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
1
Tariff easing has just begun 📌 Driving factors The historic easing of tariffs between China and the United States, the imminent peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, the ceasefire between India and Pakistan, and the market's pricing of geopolitical risks have obviously cooled down, which has further shrunk the demand for gold as a regional safe-haven tool. The situation in the Middle East is complicated, and it is necessary to monitor the latest developments in real time, focus on the latest developments in the follow-up news, and adjust strategies in real time. 📊Comment analysis In the Asian session, gold is concerned about the upper resistance at $3,250 today. The rebound relies on the resistance below to continue shorting. The lower point is $3,207. If it falls below, it will be $3,150. For specific operations, please pay attention to the free channel. 💰Strategy Package Long position: Actively participate at 3200 points, with a profit target of around 3230 points Short position: Actively participate at around 3245 points, with a profit target of around 3220 points Labaron believes Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning profits is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profits are the only proof of being able to stand up from the mountains of corpses and seas of blood.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
Shorts were active at the beginning of this week, and prices fel 📌 Gold driving factors The joint statement of the Sino-US Geneva economic and trade talks has just been released. This development has hit the safe-haven demand for gold and has become the fuse for a new round of gold selling. Coupled with the hawkish "holding back" of the Federal Reserve, the dollar has remained stable near its multi-week high and put pressure on gold. The trend of gold prices seems quite fragile. 📊Commentary analysis The next resistance for gold prices is the static barrier of $3360-3365/ounce. If it can be decisively overcome, it will eliminate the recent bearish tendency and lay the foundation for gold prices to regain the $3400/ounce mark. 💰Strategy Package ⭐️Set Gold Price: 🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3315-3317 SL 3322 TP1: $3300 TP2: $3290 TP3: $3280 🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3223 - $3225 SL $3218 TP1: $3238 TP2: $3245 TP3: $3260 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Will gold fall? Here comes the latest analysis.Technical analysis: Gold fell rapidly in the morning and then bottomed out and rebounded. When the price broke through $3,324, it began to rise. The weak market will not rebound significantly. When the rebound that engulfed the decline appears, it will continue to rise. However, it should be noted that gold has been fluctuating at a high level for a week. It rose sharply on Monday and Tuesday, fell sharply on Wednesday and Thursday, and it is still fluctuating sharply today. For the current trading market, I think the price of gold will continue to rise in the fluctuation. After the hourly cycle breaks through the $3,324 position, the market will gradually increase today, and there is room for further upward continuation. I think short-term trading is still mainly long; after the rebound high, you can choose a short strategy. Action suggestions: Long strategy: Go long at US$3330, stop loss at US$3320, and take profit at US$3360-3370. Short strategy: short at $3,365, stop loss at $3,380, take profit at $3,300-3,310.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Gold prices face substantial short-term suppression 📌 Bearish drivers Gold prices (XAU/USD) rebounded from a multi-day low in early Asian trading, and are now at the psychological level of $3,300. Ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict, heightened tensions in the Middle East, and renewed frictions on the India-Pakistan border continue to support gold prices. Even so, improved risk sentiment appears to have limited gold's upside due to renewed optimism around the US-UK trade agreement and the launch of US-China tariff negotiations over the weekend. 📊Commentary and analysis As tariff trade negotiations become more active, gold prices are facing huge selling pressure. Gold prices may return to the 3233 price range and continue to rise. 💰Strategy Package 🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3351-3353 SL 3358 TP1: $3340 TP2: $3330 TP3: $3320 🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3232 - $3234 SL $3227 TP1: $3245 TP2: $3260 TP3: $3270 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Gold still needs to be shorted after a sharp drop! 💢 Driving factors Market sentiment was dampened by reports that US President Trump signed a potential trade agreement with the UK, while investors are awaiting the outcome of the US-China trade talks this weekend. In terms of trade agreements, any cooling of the trade war and reduction of uncertainty are bearish for gold. If the US and the UK announce a trade agreement, it will be good for the overall global economy. 📊 Commentary and analysis In terms of trend, although gold soared in the morning, it continued to fall to 3320 in the afternoon. At present, gold has rebounded moderately but is still under pressure after the sharp drop. 💰 Strategy package For the US market, it is still a rebound short. Pay attention to the resistance of 3370-74 above. You can directly enter the short position after the rebound, and bet on the second decline of the US market! ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose a lot size that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Thinking and practical skills for winning in the 3360-3400 rangeAffected by the news, gold fell sharply at the opening. Successfully won. According to the trading strategy, we gave gold a wide range of fluctuations in the 3360-3400 range, which will not change much. It can be operated within the range during the day. The trading strategy analysis is accurate, and the key points are accurately grasped to enter the market, which brought us good returns during the day. The short-term rhythm is accurately grasped! Brothers who followed the trading plan should have also made very good profits. 🍻🍻🍻
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
The downside risk of gold increases!📌Fundamentals: 1. The conflict between India and Pakistan shows signs of escalation 2. US-Houthi ceasefire agreement 3. The Fed’s interest rate decision dominates this week’s market 4. International trade situation disturbs market sentiment 5. Market sentiment and capital flow 📊Technical aspects: At present, on the hourly basis, gold is still under pressure at the small range resistance of 3400, and the current tariff crisis has cooled down. The data of the Fed's interest rate decision will cause a series of fluctuations in gold in the short term. At the same time, the market is betting that there will be further trend corrections, which may cause capital outflows in the market, which will further hit gold bulls! There is actually a new round of operation opportunities in the short term. The short-term resistance should be around 3400, but since the game between major powers has not stopped, there will be no big negative factors. However, if the data layout does not fluctuate much, the market may not have a big dive. At present, we will temporarily play at the 3360-3400 level. If it breaks, we will make new adjustments! 🎯Practical strategy: Gold: Short around 3390-3400 on the rebound, and the target is 3370-3360!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
3420, gold prices can reach today 📌 Gold driving factors Driven by the weakening of the US dollar and safe-haven demand, spot gold closed up $93.77 on Monday, up 2.9%, at $3333.32 per ounce. On Monday local time, US President Trump signed an order on biomedical research, hoping to take the opportunity to promote the US pharmaceutical manufacturing industry. Trump also announced that tariffs on pharmaceutical products will be announced in the next two weeks. Kitco Metals senior metals analyst Jim Wyckoff said: "We see continued inflows of safe-haven demand, keeping gold prices high. Gold prices will remain above $3,000 per ounce, at least in the short term." Gold is often seen as a safe-haven tool in uncertainty and performs well in a low-interest rate environment. Gold prices have soared 26.3% this year and have set new historical highs many times. 📊Comment Analysis Bulls regained their dominance, and the upward trend approached above 3400 before the market expected a rate cut 💰Strategy Set 🔥Sell Gold Area: 3418-3420 SL 3425 TP1: $3410 TP2: $3400 TP3: $3385 🔥Buy Gold Area: $3323 - $3321 SL $3316 TP1: $3330 TP2: $3340 TP3: $3358 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
3