Can gold be shorted directly?The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn slightly downward, and the strength of gold bulls has been suppressed. The 1-hour gold has now formed a head and shoulders pattern. If the strength of gold's rebound is limited, then the room for further decline of gold will increase.
Trading idea: short gold around 3032, stop loss 3042, target 3022
Analyse
Can gold continue to go long?
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to spread upward, and the strength of gold bulls is still relatively strong. Gold's moving average support has now moved up to around 2983, and today's low for gold is around 2982, so gold still forms a strong support around here. I think gold can be shorted first, and then it can continue to go long if gold falls back around 2985
XAUUSD:Trading Strategy for Next WeekAfter a significant rally, it is reasonable for the gold price to experience a short-term pullback and adjustment. In the short term, the bullish trend of gold has not been reversed.
diverging upwards in a bullish manner, indicating that the bullish momentum of gold remains intact. Unless the moving averages start to turn downwards next week, the bullish momentum of gold may be affected.
The support level of the gold moving averages has now shifted up to around $2,968. Next week, one can continue to go long on gold at dips above $2,968. Continue to pay attention to the resistance near the high of around $3,005.
Suggestions for gold trading operations next week:
buy@2970-2975
SL:2963
TP:2998
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XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 2960.00
Sell Entry below 2925.00
However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
-Thief SL placed at 2920.00 for Bullish Trade
-Thief SL placed at 2955.00 for Bearish Trade
Using the 30min period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 3030.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 2880.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT data, Sentimental Outlook:
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bullishness)., driven by several key factors.
⭐Fundamental Analysis
The current price of XAU/USD is 2940.00, indicating a strong bullish trend. The gold market is driven by various fundamental factors, including:
Inflation concerns: Rising inflation expectations and a potential decline in the US dollar may boost gold prices.
Interest rate policies: The US Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions may impact gold prices.
Global economic uncertainty: Ongoing trade tensions, Brexit uncertainty, and geopolitical risks may drive safe-haven demand for gold.
⭐Macro Economics
The global economic outlook is uncertain, with:
Recession concerns: Weak economic data and trade tensions have raised concerns about a potential global recession.
Central bank rate hikes: The US Federal Reserve and other central banks may continue to raise interest rates, impacting currency markets.
Inflation expectations: Rising inflation expectations may boost gold prices.
⭐COT Data
Commercial Traders: Net short 143,000 contracts (a decrease of 11,000 contracts from the previous week)
Non-Commercial Traders: Net long 104,000 contracts (an increase of 8,000 contracts from the previous week)
Non-Reportable Positions: Net long 39,000 contracts (an increase of 3,000 contracts from the previous week)
Open Interest: 544,000 contracts (a decrease of 10,000 contracts from the previous week)
⭐Market Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment for XAU/USD is:
Bullish: 62% of investors expect gold prices to rise, driven by inflation concerns and global economic uncertainty.
Bearish: 21% of investors expect gold prices to fall, driven by potential US dollar strength and interest rate hikes.
Neutral: 17% of investors remain neutral, awaiting further market developments.
⭐Intermarket Analysis
The XAU/USD pair is highly correlated with:
USD Index: A weaker US dollar may boost gold prices.
10-Year Treasury Yield: Lower yields may increase demand for gold.
S&P 500: A decline in the S&P 500 may drive safe-haven demand for gold.
⭐News and Events
Upcoming events that may impact the XAU/USD pair include:
US Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision: March 15, 2025
US GDP Growth Rate: March 25, 2025
US Inflation Rate: March 29, 2025
⭐Seasonality
Gold prices tend to be:
Stronger during the winter months: Due to increased demand for jewelry and coins.
Weaker during the summer months: Due to decreased demand for jewelry and coins.
⭐Positioning Analysis
Traders are advised to:
Consider long-term investments: As gold prices are expected to rise due to inflation concerns and global economic uncertainty.
Monitor market volatility: As interest rate hikes and US dollar strength may impact gold prices.
Diversify portfolios: By investing in other assets, such as currencies, stocks, or bonds.
⭐Next Trend Move
The XAU/USD pair may experience a:
Bullish move: Driven by inflation concerns and the US Federal Reserve's potential interest rate hikes.
Bearish move: If the US dollar strengthens or global economic uncertainty increases.
⭐Overall Summary Outlook
The XAU/USD pair is expected to experience volatility due to:
Global economic uncertainty: Ongoing trade tensions, Brexit uncertainty, and geopolitical risks.
Inflation concerns: Rising inflation expectations and a potential decline in the US dollar.
Central bank rate hikes: The US Federal Reserve and other central banks may continue to raise interest rates.
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Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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Xauusd analysis This chart represents the price movement of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, with key technical levels and a potential price movement scenario.
Analysis:
1. Resistance Level:
The chart highlights a resistance level around the 2,929 price zone, marked by a purple horizontal line.
The price has struggled to break above this level multiple times, indicating strong selling pressure.
2. Support Level:
A support level is identified near 2,895, shown with a white horizontal line.
The price has bounced off this level in previous instances, suggesting strong buying interest.
3. Potential Price Movement:
The projection suggests that the price may first attempt to break above the resistance level.
If it fails to sustain above resistance, it could lead to a reversal and a decline toward the support zone.
If the support level holds, a rebound may occur.
Conclusion:
This setup indicates a range-bound market, where traders might look for sell opportunities near resistance and buy opportunities at support until a breakout occurs in either direction. A decisive breakout above resistance or below support would determine the next trend direction.
The US index is at support level for again pull backThe US index is at support level; just mark the news of Dollars today and wait for confirmations on the H4 level to take the good trades.
Keep in mind!!!!!
If the US index gains some strength from the said level (103.84–103.10) and starts bullish, then the major pairs like EURUSD, GBPUSD, and XAUUSD start falling.
Gold📌 **Sell:**
✔ In short-term timeframes (M1, M5, M15), both MACD and Stochastic indicate overbought conditions and a potential downward correction.
✔ The M30 timeframe is still in an uptrend, but a pullback to the downside is possible.
🎯 **Conclusion:**
Success rate for selling: ✅ **70%** (more reliable than buying in the short term).
📌 **Strategy:** Short-term selling with a tight stop-loss and a corrective target towards lower support levels.
📌 **Buy:**
✔ In H1 and H4 timeframes, signs of a trend reversal are emerging, but MACD has not yet given a solid confirmation.
✔ If MACD turns bullish on H1 and Stochastic exits oversold territory, buying will be a safer option.
🎯 **Conclusion:**
Success rate for buying: ✅ **55%** (higher risk, requiring more confirmation).
📌 **Strategy:** Wait for MACD confirmation on H1, then enter a buy position upon resistance breakout.
🚀 **Final Recommendation:**
🔹 Enter short-term sell positions in lower timeframes with a tight stop-loss and proper risk management.
🔹 Wait for a confirmed buy signal on H1 and H4, as MACD has not yet turned fully bullish.
🚀 **Short-term selling (scalping) is more probable**, but additional confirmation is needed for a buy position.
### **Suggested Targets Based on Timeframes & MACD + Stochastic Analysis**
🔴 📉 **Sell Targets:**
Considering overbought conditions in lower timeframes and a potential downward correction, the best sell targets based on different timeframes are:
✅ 📌 **First Target:** 2850 (Short-term support in M5 & M15)
✅ 📌 **Second Target:** 2842 (Key support in M30)
✅ 📌 **Third Target:** 2830 - 2825 (Strong support in H1, aligning with the moving average)
🛑 **Stop Loss for Sell Positions:**
🔹 **2862** (Breakout of the current resistance in M15 & M30)
🔹 **2868** (If the price reaches this level, the trend may reverse)
---
🟢 📈 **Buy Targets:**
A **full confirmation from MACD in H1 and H4** is required for a buy setup. However, if the price rebounds from the **2830 support zone**, the following targets are expected:
✅ 📌 **First Target:** 2865 (Initial resistance in H1)
✅ 📌 **Second Target:** 2880 - 2890 (Strong resistance zone in H4)
✅ 📌 **Third Target:** 2915 (Long-term target if resistance levels are broken)
🛑 **Stop Loss for Buy Positions:**
🔹 **2825** (If this level is broken, the downtrend is likely to continue)
🚀 **Suggested Strategy:**
📌 **Short-term sell (scalping) from 2857**, targeting **2850 and 2842**, with a **stop loss at 2862**.
📌 **Buy if confirmed at 2830 - 2825**, targeting **2865 and 2880**, with a **stop loss at 2825**.
🔍 **Important:** Before entering positions, confirm with **trading volume and candlestick patterns in higher timeframes**. 🚀
BE ALERT AUDJPY IN SUPPORT ZONE.Audjpy in support zone of Daily Timeframe if Any Daily Candle Give Us Confirm To Prices Go Up Market Will Go Their Rest Lequidity Areas To Hunt Or Fill The FVGs Of Sell Side.
Tip! Trading, like any high-performance endeavor, requires skill, focus, and discipline. Those who are in it for the money alone aren’t likely to focus on the process of being a good trader.
solusdt long setup solana"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
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XAUUSD is still on bullish rally In our previous commantary we mentioned have 2930 on mark.
As we have closed our buy orders at 2928 and
our entry was 2908.
What possible scenario do we have?
At moment selling is limited, we are expecting a little correction at 2930-28 ,where we have possible buying options till 2950 first 2963 in extension.
On the other hand, if 2930 invalidated then our buying will be invalid and we'll wait for the structural support at 2920.
Below 2920 we have 2880 on mark.
Closing my buy orders at 2928(200 Pips)
XAUUSD Closing my buy orders at 200 pips profit.
As discussed throughout my Today's commentary.
I have engaged buying order at 2908 and my optimal Target was 2945 in extension as I closed my first attempt at 2928 (200 pips profit)which is very impressive
Also, I have closed my re-Buy order ($2918 to 2928) on a fine 100 pips .
Tomorrow we'll agin buy after the correction
Gold📌 🔻 Sell Scenario (If Price Stabilizes Below 2900)
Entry: Below 2885
Stop Loss: Above 2905
Target 1: 2855
Target 2: 2830
Target 3: 2800
Success Probability: 75% (High probability due to overbought conditions and strong resistance)
Summary
✅ Key Resistance Zone: 2942.65 - 2952.88
✅ Key Support Zone: 2850 - 2825
✅ Primary Scenario: Price correction towards 2850 - 2825 before continuing the uptrend
✅ Alternative Scenario: If 2942 breaks, a rise towards 2975 - 3000 is likely.
Gold📉Probability of a Drop from 2912:
🔹 In lower timeframes (15m to 1h): 70% probability of a downward correction at least to 2887.
🔹In higher timeframes (4H to Daily): 50% probability of a deeper decline towards 2860.
🔹 If 2912 is broken and price stabilizes above it:** The probability of an upward move to 2940 increases.
📌 Summary:
If the price breaks and stabilizes above 2912, the upward trend is likely to continue. However, if it gets rejected at this level, a downward correction towards 2887 and even 2860 may occur.
XAUUSDUnder the current conditions, reaching 2840 requires a strong candlestick breakout above the 2830 resistance.
Probability of reaching 2840 today:
Given the resistance at 2830 and the approach of high-volatility sessions (such as New York), the probability of reaching 2840 remains **70%**, provided a valid breakout occurs.
Recommendation:
**Key Levels:**
- A breakout above **2830** with strong bullish candles signals continuation toward **2840**.
- In case of a pullback, watch the **2816-2820** support zone for potential rebounds.
**Trade Management:**
- If in profit, use a **trailing stop** around **2820** to protect gains.
- A breakout of **2830** may provide an opportunity to **add buy positions**.
- If market conditions change or new price action signals emerge, the analysis can be updated accordingly.
Ray review analysis: can we wait for the second wave of rise?hello friends
Due to the good price growth of this currency, it has been placed in a range, and with the breaking of that range, a double bottom pattern has been created on the ceiling of the range, which can be expected to move up to the specified limits.
We can enter into the transaction with capital and risk management.
*Trade safely with us*
ICT BASIC XAUUSD H1 JAN 29 2025 - JAN 30 2025Like in the picture, The Candle Has been made change of :
structure by created MSS(Market Structur Shift)
and after that created Buy Side Liquidity
FVG Has been Set like in that chart, and the price it would go down when price make touch to FVG or OB
and the price will goes to Sell Side Liquidity