Alibaba (BABA): Stagnation Phase or Momentum Boost?We are currently experiencing a phase of stagnation with Alibaba, as the stock remains in a new accumulation phase after breaking out of the previous one. The price might retest the Point-of-Control along with the trendline that was broken during the breakout, potentially providing a good momentum boost.
Despite the sideways movement, our position remains profitable. From a long-term perspective, our entry looks strong, with a 10% stop-loss from our entry point. The upside potential for Alibaba is significant, given how far the stock is from its historical highs.
The main concern with Alibaba is the jurisdiction risk, as it is a Chinese stock and subject to influences from China, which adds a layer of risk not present with American stocks. Nevertheless, as long as the price stays above $72.38, the outlook remains positive. Losing this level would be unfavorable and could indicate further downside risk.
In summary, we remain optimistic about Alibaba's potential, keeping a close watch on the key support levels to manage risk effectively.
Analysis
Weaker Outlook for GBP/AUD Amid Economic DivergenceThe GBP/AUD pair faces a bearish outlook as multiple factors align against GBP. Weak UK growth prospects, the nearing peak of the Bank of England's rate cycle, and cooling inflation are reducing support for GBP. Meanwhile, the Australian economy is expected to gain strength, supported by trade ties with China and stable inflation trends, signaling that AUD may outperform. As a result, the GBP/AUD exchange rate is likely to weaken further in the coming weeks.
This outlook highlights the growing disparity between the economic conditions of the UK and Australia
Textron: Why Textron Remains Bullish and Its Next Potential MoveAverage performance in the 3 months following the first interest rate cut of the Federal Reserve easing cycle: +15.2%.
Textron (NYSE:TXT) is a multi-sector company that leverages its global network of aerospace, defense, industrial, and financial companies to provide various solutions and services to its customers.
The company operates through six segments: Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron Systems, Industrial, Finance, and Textron eAviation.
Its stock trend has been uncertain for several months, ranging between $80 and $95. However, fair value forecasts predict that the stock will exceed $100 and reach $104.38 (about 20% higher than the current price), which would be a historic record !!!
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Gold can break support level and continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that some days ago price rebounded from the support line of the upward channel and rose to the 2550 support level, which soon broke it. After this, the price tried to grow and some time traded higher, after which it made a correction movement to the support line of the channel, which is located inside the support zone. Then price turned around and continued to rise to the current support level, which coincided with one more support zone, and when Gold reached this level, it at once broke it. Next, the price some time traded near this level inside the support area and a not long time ago rose to the resistance line of the upward channel. But soon, Gold rolled down and in a short time declined to support the area, so, I think that Gold can make a move up and then continue to decline next. Also, I expect that XAU will break the support level and fall to the support line of the channel, therefore I set my TP at 2615, which coincides with this line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
#HMSTR #Hamster #HamsterKombat #Analysis #Eddy#HMSTR #Hamster #HamsterKombat #Analysis #Eddy
According to my analysis of dominance and Bitcoin, I expect Hamster Combat to experience at least a 30% drop, and after that, if the drop is not more severe and this currency is not scammed, the specified levels, including 0.005, will be the appropriate price. It is for medium and long term investment on this currency.
Buy NZD/JPY Bullish ChannelThe NZD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 90.80, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 91.49
2nd Support – 91.92
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 90.35. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis – Monthly, Daily, and 4-Hour Monthly Time Frame:
On the monthly chart, the price has reached a key demand zone that has historically shown strong buyer interest. This is a crucial area where we are now witnessing a significant reaction, indicating that buyers are stepping in. The bullish pressure from this zone suggests the potential for upward momentum in the coming weeks or months.
Daily Time Frame:
On the daily chart, we see strong buying pressure that has led to an overextension in the current price action. This overextension is a signal that the market may soon undergo a correction. However, before assuming a reversal, it is important to focus on confirming signals that will validate a potential correction. These signals could include bearish candlestick formations or a breakdown in key support levels.
4-Hour Time Frame:
In the 4-hour chart, a clear trend reversal pattern has emerged, indicating a shift in market sentiment. We can observe lower lows being formed, with the most recent low liquidating the previous one, followed by a strong bullish movement. This sweep of liquidity followed by a rally signals that the market has completed its bearish phase and is ready to push higher.
Take Profit and Stop Loss Ideas:
Take Profit: A reasonable take profit level can be placed just below the next significant resistance area on the 4-hour chart or around key highs visible on the daily chart.
Stop Loss:
Conservative Stop Loss: Below the key demand zone on the 4-hour chart, allowing room for price fluctuations while still protecting the position.
Aggressive Stop Loss: Tighter, just below the most recent low, providing a higher risk-reward ratio but with less room for market noise.
Buy XAUUSD (Gold) Bullish FlagThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 2660, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2681
2nd Support – 2696
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2648. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
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Fundamental Market Analysis for September 26, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) remains depreciated against the US Dollar (USD) following the release of the minutes from the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) July policy meeting on Thursday. The yen faces challenges as traders expect the BoJ to ponder before further rate hikes.
The minutes of the BoJ's monetary policy meeting expressed a general view among members on the importance of remaining vigilant on the risks of inflation exceeding targets. Several members indicated that raising rates to 0.25 percent would be an appropriate way to adjust the level of monetary support. Some others suggested that a moderate adjustment in monetary support would also be appropriate.
Pressure on the U.S. dollar is being exerted by the increased likelihood of further interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) at upcoming meetings. According to CME FedWatch Tool, markets estimate the probability that the Fed will cut rates by 75 basis points to a range of 4.0-4.25% by the end of this year at around 50%.
Traders' attention is now focused on the release of final annualized U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) data for the second quarter (Q2), due later in the day. On Friday, inflation data will be released in Tokyo, which could provide further insight into the economic outlook and possible monetary policy moves by the Bank of Japan.
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Stairway to Heaven - R2F Model #1This is one of my models, named 'Stairway to Heaven'. Whilst I am an ICT trader, I developed this model myself. My models are considered POIs where I may look for a trade, but all my entries are based on using PD Array in a fractal nature, along with Time Theories.
Watch the vid, if you have any questions on it let me know.
- R2F
Nasdaq Long
Memory updated
Technical Analysis:
The market is currently trading within an ascending channel, characterized by two distinct touches on both the upper resistance and lower support levels. We recently observed a bullish rebound from the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, where sell pressure was rejected, allowing buyers to take control. Given this setup, there is a strong likelihood that the market will test the resistance level for a third time, with potential new highs projected between 20,500 and 20,800.
Fundamental Analysis:
As we enter the fourth quarter, seasonal consumer behavior, particularly driven by the upcoming festive period, is expected to influence the markets. With an uptick in consumer spending, many companies are likely to see a boost in sales, providing a positive backdrop for continued bullish momentum. Another catalyst for this period is yet to emerge but may further support the bullish outlook as we progress through Q4.
Current Position:
I am currently holding a long position, having identified 19,915 as a key resistance level that has recently been breached. The daily candlestick closed firmly above this level, indicating potential support for the continuation of the bullish trend. This breakout reinforces the case for upward momentum in the near term.
GOLD - Price can bounce from resistance line of channel to $2580Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price traded inside flat, where it reached $2530 level and then bounced down to bottom part of flat.
Then price rose back, some time traded near $2530 level, and then started to decline to $2472 points.
Gold exited from flat and started to grow inside a rising channel, where it soon reached the $2530 level again.
Price broke this level and continued to grow until it reached resistance line of channel, after which made a correction.
After correction, Gold turned around and rose to resistance line again, but recently it started to decline.
I think that XAU can rise resistance line and then start to decline to $2580 support line of a rising channel.
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HelenP. I Gold can fall below trend line and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price some time ago dropped below support 2, which coincided with the support zone, breaking it. Then price some time traded near this level and later even rebounded higher, but soon dropped back to the trend line. Then Gold started to grow near this line and soon broke support 2 one more time. Lare price reached support 1, which coincided with one more support zone, and some time traded near this level until it broke the trend line and fell a little below. After this movement, Gold turned around and made a strong impulse up to the trend line, breaking support 1, and then it made little correction movement. Then the price continued to move up and a not long time ago reached the trend line again and broke it. Just now, the price trades near this line and I expect that XAUUSD will decline below the trend line, making a correction movement, and then it rebound up. That's why I set my goal at 2710 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Euro can make movement up and then continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time ago entered to wedge, where it rebounded from the support line and rose to the resistance line, which is located in the support zone. After this, the price turned around from the resistance line made a correction to the support line, and then made an impulse up. Euro broke the 1.1010 level, after which it exited from the wedge and started to trades inside range. Inside range, EUR at once rose to the seller zone, but soon turned around and started to decline, making a fake breakout of the resistance level. In a short time later, the price tried to grow, but turned around and made a correction to the support level, after which made an upward impulse to the 1.1175 resistance level. Euro some time traded near this level and not a long time ago started to decline. Therefore I think that the price can make movement up and then continue to decline to the support level, which coincides with the bottom part of the range. For this case, I set my TP at 1.1010 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
USDCHF is stuck in flat. H4 25.09.2024USDCHF is stuck in flat
On the franc since last week sat in buys, but the growth did not get. The movement in flat with testing of borders continues. Ideally, we would like to see the lower boundary down to the area 0.8300-0.8340 and then the beginning of growth. However, there is a local support of the lower boundary and 1/2 margin at 0.8400 on the way. Let's see how we will pass it and if it will pass. On options we are trading in the oversold zone. I closed the previous buys in a small plus and I will look for a new re-entry if clear volume conditions are given.
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 25, 2024 GBPUSDGBPUSD:
GBP/USD continued to rally the Pound for the second day in a row, breaking above 1.3400 and hitting new 30-month highs after the US Dollar weakened significantly on Tuesday.
Wednesday will be quiet for the Pound in terms of data, although traders will be keeping an eye on statements from Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Megan Green. MPC member Green will be speaking at the North East England Chamber of Commerce.
The U.S. portion of Wednesday's economic data list is also underweight for the midweek market session. August's monthly new home sales figure is unlikely to have much momentum one way or the other, followed by a speech from Federal Reserve Board of Governors (Fed) member Adrian Kugler, who will speak at Harvard's Kennedy School in Cambridge.
Consumer confidence deteriorated across the board on Tuesday, with consumer expectations for 12-month inflation accelerating to 5.2 per cent. Consumers also reported a general weakening in their six-month outlook for household financial conditions, and consumer assessments of overall business conditions turned negative.
The pullback in consumer confidence results triggered renewed trading in the rates markets in favour of a subsequent sharp rate cut in November. According to the CME's FedWatch tool, rates markets are pricing in nearly 60% probability of a second 50 bps rate cut. 7 November and only a 40% probability of a more reasonable subsequent 25bp rate cut. Earlier in the week, traders were estimating roughly equal odds of a 50bp or 25bp rate cut.
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level
EURO FUTURES, EURUSD FUNDAMENTAL WEEKLY OUTLOOK What we have here is the fundamental outlook from the Net-positions of Big Fund Managers.
Fund Managers are normally trend following.
Every time there is a negative or positive divergence between the price chart and the Fund Managers Net positions, Price usually follows next forming the trend.
Fund Managers net positions moves the market because they have big reportable positions to the CFTC.
We are currently approaching a Daily and Weekly Supply zone which could be the cause of price falling down in the next few weeks.
Also, Euro is negatively correlated to DXY, wherein we are currently in the oversold reading.
***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
ABCapital Near its ATHOn monthly charts, stock has created inverted head and Shoulder pattern. Stock is consolidating near multiyear resistance and its all-time-high. short term target can be 260. If it sustains above 265, stock can show massive rally towards 450-500. But it will take time. Still, its good entry point if you can hold it for next 3 years.
Disclaimer : this is not stock suggestion. ideas are for educational purpose only.