btc . april recap . may outlookMAY instantly starts with a SHORT SQUEEZE
- out of pwRange
- into cwRange + 1 step higher
- all good, all bullish - but a price drop on HTF would open great opportunities for SHORT + LONG, while keeping bullish momentum
02.04.2025 . SHORT IDEA
- after trading out of range, start trading the/within new range
- approaching cmHigh towards 2pm Berlin time
- ladder in for possible SFP
- give yourself a little wiggle room for the SL, if price breaks +2% and approaches the next SFP level, a short entry higher towards friday close has a better R:R
entry. 97368
tp1 . 950908
tp2 . 94095
tp3 . 85113
LONG IDEA
- wait and see where the price find its support
- possibility that we keep STRONG BULL momentum, if price stays within cwVA
- on the way there, find percentage levels for daily +1.5% trades
Analysis
Gold can correct to support level and then continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. After studying this chart, we can track the progression of Gold's price action from strong bullish momentum to its current consolidation. Initially, the market trended confidently inside an upward channel, with steady growth supported by the lower boundary of the channel and occasional corrections after touching the resistance line. Each pullback respected previous support zones, a strong signal of buyer control at the time. The most impulsive move came after the price exited the buyer zone, followed by a clean breakout above the resistance line of the channel. However, once the price entered the seller zone, we saw the momentum start to fade. A strong rejection occurred near the resistance level at 3370, which eventually triggered a series of lower highs and shifted the market into a more neutral, range-bound phase. Currently, Gold is trading inside a defined range between 3205 and 3370. The bottom of this range aligns perfectly with the buyer zone, which already acted as a strong support during the last decline. We can also observe the market beginning to show signs of reversal after tapping the zone again. Given the reaction from the support area and the structure of the range, I expect the price can bounce back and make another attempt to reach the 3370 resistance level, which is my TP1 for this scenario. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
CHILLGUY Structure Looks Solid — Watch for the Bounce#CHILLGUY IMO, it will come back around the previous resistance level, which is now acting as support.
From there, we can see a fresh bounce and a strong move upward.
The structure looks good; there is no noise, just clean price action.
#Altseason2025
$CGPT Holding Strong — Another Move Coming?$CGPT is holding the uptrend well. 🚀
It bounced from the trendline and the 200 EMA, just like before.
The structure still looks strong with higher lows and steady volume.
This pullback could be the setup for another move up.
Watch this level closely.
Retweet if you are bullish!
DYOR, NFA
#Altseason2025
$DARK Breakout Alert — 2x Potential in Sight?Spotted something interesting on $DARK 👀
After 10 days of slow grinding, it broke out of a falling wedge, and now it’s retesting that level perfectly.
No panic, just a clean setup.
If this bounce holds, we could see a strong move up, even 2x from here.
It might be time to zoom in before everyone else does.
HelenP. I Euro may correct to trend line and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a sharp, impulsive rise, price entered a broad consolidation phase between 1.1575 and 1.1270 levels, creating a horizontal channel where price oscillated for several sessions. This type of structure often serves as a re-accumulation zone during a trending market. What's particularly notable is the recent touch of the lower boundary of the range, which coincided with a retest of both the ascending trend line and the support zone around 1.1270 points. This confluence of technical factors makes the current area critical for further price development. Following the bounce from the support zone, the pair is showing early signs of recovery. The trend line has held firmly, and buyers stepped in with a reaction candle confirming demand interest. While EUR is not yet out of the consolidation, the structure suggests strength and potential continuation. Given the alignment of the upward trend line, support zone validation, and stabilization after the drop, I expect that EURUSD may climb almost toward the upper boundary of the consolidation. That's why my current goal lies at 1.1500. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD - Price can grow to $3370 resistance levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently, price entered to pennant, where it at once bounced from support line and started to grow, but soon corrected.
After this movement, Gold made upward impulse, and broke $3205 level, after which it made retest and continued to move up mext.
Soon, it reached $3370 level, broke it and then rose to resistance line of pennant, after which started to fall.
In a short time, price declined below $3370 level, breaking it again, and then some time traded below.
Later, Gold continued to fall and declined to support level, which coincided with support line of pennant.
Now, I think that price can bounce up from support level to $3370 level, exiting from pennant pattern.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
$SIGN Waking Up — Breakout Looks CleanSIX:SIGN is waking up 👀
It broke out of the downtrend clean move above $0.09
That old resistance? Now acting as support. That’s a good sign.
Price is holding above the MA, buyers are in control.
Next stop? $0.105 to $0.12 range.
This could be just the beginning.
Keep it on your radar.
#ALTSEASON #GEM
TMG Holding Fundamental and Chart AnalysisTMG Holding trend has recently taken an upward trend between the support line 46.873 and the resistance line 54.511, up by 0.78%. It is expected to keep rising till breaking the 1st resistance line at 54.115 and then the 2nd one at 54.423 points because of positive fundamental analysis. On one hand, the CBE's decision about cutting the interest rate by 2.25% would lead to positive impact on corporates because of the current reasons behind the economic activity, decreasing interest rate will lead to a decrease in the cost of borrowing, which will decrease the cost of production and will increase the corporates' profit and their monetary value. Accordingly, this will lower the products' price and individuals will have a higher will to diversify their investments and increase their purchasing power. On the other hand, besides the current annual advertisements about SouthMed and the summer getting closer, there is news on Reuters about an advanced stage of negotiations for a new large-scale mixed-use project in Iraq. This project is estimated to generate total sales vicinity of $17 Billion and annual recurring income exceeding $1.5 Billion.
BTC HAVE A HIGH PROBABILITY TO FALL DOWN!!!The BTC starts looking weak and it's perfect time to long for a short. We are almost at the top of this run from last weeks and we can see that BTC made a perfect divergence pattern. My indicator shows me also that we are entering a mid-term bearish trend and there is a high chance that we are gonna fall much deeper than in last weeks. My target is clear and I'm holding my strategy so I wait for the price to hit my SMA line like it was in the last days but now I wait for the price to hit the SMA line at 4H chart because we didn't hit it since 2 weeks so in this moment we can see even in a few candles that the price is gonna touch it. I am actually in the short and waiting for the price to go for my target, we also have a weekend so the price will be probably slow but everything can happen. In my opinion next week are gonna be red and the price should touch my target. I recommend to watch a 1H and 2H chart and looking when price will hit the SMA line on these timeframes because my target is set in a 4H chart but we can book profits even when the price will hit the SMA at 1H and at 2H chart. Be careful and stay focused.
EUR/USD - Channel Breakout (02.05.2025) FX:EURUSD The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.1387
2nd Resistance – 1.1430
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Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
TVC:DXY
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
Bearish Rejection at Resistance – Potential Drop Incoming🔍 Chart Analysis Summary
1. Key Zones
Resistance Zone: ~$3,340 – $3,360
Price has been rejected multiple times from this area, showing strong selling pressure.
Support Zone: ~$3,200 – $3,240
Strong historical support level, previously held during a pullback after the last rally.
2. Moving Averages
EMA 50 (Red): Currently at ~$3,340
Price is fluctuating around it, indicating short-term indecision or a possible retest.
EMA 200 (Blue): Currently at ~$3,300
Acting as a mid-term support level. Price previously bounced from this region.
3. Pattern and Price Action
Fakeout Potential:
The chart suggests a possible false breakout above the resistance followed by a sharp drop—highlighted by the arrow. This is a common bull trap setup.
Bearish Outlook Indicated:
The projected path suggests a rejection from resistance and a drop to the support zone (~$3,200). This would create a lower high, a bearish sign.
4. Trading Bias
Bearish Setup if:
Price fails to hold above $3,340 (EMA50).
Price gets rejected from the resistance zone and breaks below $3,300 (EMA200).
Bullish Invalidated if:
Price closes convincingly above the $3,360 resistance with volume, flipping it into support.
📉 Potential Trade Idea
Short Entry: Around $3,350–$3,355
Stop Loss: Above $3,365 (above resistance zone)
Target: $3,220–$3,230 (support zone)
CAD/JPY at Key Decision Zone: Breakout or Rejection?🕵️♂️ Chart Overview:
Instrument: CAD/JPY
Chart Type: Candlestick
Time Frame: Appears to be intraday (possibly 1H or 4H)
EMAs Used:
50 EMA (Red): 102.814
200 EMA (Blue): 102.710
📊 Key Zones Identified:
1. Immediate Zone (103.30 - 103.50)
Marked as: “Resistance + Support”
This is a key decision zone. Price has tested this region multiple times, showing it holds dual roles — a flip zone.
Price is currently testing this zone again. A break and retest above could confirm bullish momentum.
2. Upper Resistance Zone (104.80 - 105.50)
A broader supply area where previous strong selling pressure occurred.
This is the next logical target if price breaks and holds above 103.50.
3. Lower Support (101.29)
Strong horizontal support, clearly defined from previous lows.
If the price fails to break above the current zone, a rejection could lead to a move back down toward this support.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Break above 103.50, with a successful retest confirming new support.
Momentum could carry price toward the 105.00–105.50 resistance.
Supported by 50 EMA crossing above 200 EMA (early sign of bullish crossover — Golden Cross).
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Rejection from the 103.30–103.50 zone could signal continuation of range-bound or bearish pressure.
Break below 102.00, followed by momentum towards 101.29 key support.
Would invalidate short-term bullish structure.
📌 Additional Technical Notes:
The chart shows consolidation between 102.00 and 103.50 — likely accumulation or re-accumulation phase.
EMAs are tightening, indicating a potential volatility expansion move is near.
Volume is not visible but would be useful to confirm breakout strength.
📍Conclusion:
CAD/JPY is currently at a critical decision zone. The next few candles will be key. Monitor:
Breakout direction
Retest confirmations
Momentum and volume indicators (if available)
HelenP. I Bitcoin can make movement up and then start to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Price continues to move inside a rising wedge, gradually climbing higher while respecting the boundaries of the formation. After a strong impulsive breakout above the 93000 level, the market has entered a phase of sideways consolidation just below the upper boundary of the pattern. This area acts as a pressure zone, where bullish attempts are becoming weaker, and the price starts to lose momentum. What's important is how clearly the trend line has been respected, with multiple touchpoints confirming its significance. Recently, BTC tested the lower boundary of the wedge near 93000, rebounded, and made another push upward. However, despite this growth, the price is nearing the resistance formed by the wedge's upper boundary, and this structure often implies a potential reversal once the market loses steam. Given this setup, I expect BTCUSDT to reject the upper edge and correct toward 95000, my short-term goal. This level aligns with the trend line, making it a logical area for the price to seek equilibrium again. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin may rebound from seller zone and start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. In the past, the price had been consolidating within a broad range, repeatedly rejecting support and resistance zones. The buyer zone between 79100 - 80300 provided a strong base, and from there, BTC began to grow, forming a bullish structure that led into an upward wedge. This growth accelerated once the price broke through the support area and continued upward until it approached the resistance level at 95500, which also overlaps with the seller zone. As the price moved inside the wedge, the bullish impulses weakened. Buyers lost strength near the resistance line of the wedge, and recent price action suggests that sellers are stepping in at the top. We’ve now seen multiple failed attempts to break higher, and the price is consolidating under resistance, forming pressure to the downside. This entire consolidation near the wedge resistance, especially inside a confirmed seller zone, indicates a likely reversal. The current structure shows signs of exhaustion, and if the support line of the wedge breaks, that would trigger a significant correction. Given this context, I expect BTC can make a bearish move toward TP1 at 91500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Euro can continue to move up inside upward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at this chart, we can observe how the price has been moving confidently within the boundaries of a well-formed upward channel. After an extended period of consolidation inside the buyer zone, the market began forming higher lows and eventually broke out with strong bullish momentum. That breakout was followed by a smooth trend-building phase, where each correction found support at higher levels, a clear signal of growing buyer interest. As the price moved higher, it respected both the support line and the support level at 1.0910, reinforcing the structure of the channel. When the market reached the support area, it consolidated for a while before launching another impulse up, confirming the breakout and creating a new higher support zone. Now, the market has pulled back into the support zone, which aligns with the 1.1285 current support level and the lower boundary of the channel. Given the strength of the overall trend, the clear structure of the upward channel, and the reaction from a key support zone, I expect the pair to continue moving higher toward TP1 at 1.1600 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BITCOIN - Price can exit from wedge and rose to $102K pointsHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago, the price declined to $81600 level, after which it bounced and rose to $88500 points and then started to fall.
Also price entered to wedge pattern, where it fell to support line, breaking support level, but soon turned around and bounced up.
Price broke $81600 level again and continued to grow next, but later it corrected to support line.
Then, BTC rose from this line to $93000 level, broke it, and reached resistance line of wedge, after which corrected.
After correction, BTC fell to $93000 level and then rose back to resistance line of wedge, where it trades close.
In my mind, price can correct to support line and then bounce up to $102000 points, exiting from a wedge.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EURO - Price can drop to support level and then start to move upHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently, price started to decline inside falling channel, where it reached support line firslty and then bounced up.
Price grew to the resistance line of the channel, which coincided with $1.0950 level, and then in a short time fell back to support line.
Next, Euro made an upward impulse, thereby exiting from channel, and also soon broke $1.0950 level.
After this, price rose a little and then made correction, after which coincided to move up inside pennant.
In the pennant pattern, the price broke $1.1320 level and later reached the resistance line, after which corrected.
Now, I think that the Euro can exit from pennant, fall to the support level, and then bounce up to $1.1510
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
2 Mai - Gold targeting 3318 ?💰 Gold on the Move – Bearish or Bullish? 🤔
Hey traders! 👋
On the 1H chart, Gold was chillin’ on a trendline starting from $3386 on Wed, Apr 23, climbing up till $3353 on Mon, Apr 28 📈. But then... it changed direction! 😬
Starting Wed, Apr 30, we saw a shift to a lower trendline at $3319, and today it’s trying to climb above $3300 🔄.
📉 Bearish vibes? We're eyeing a dip toward $3279.
📈 Bullish comeback? If Gold breaks above $3279, we might see some real momentum! 🚀
👉 What’s your take? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 💬
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
USD/JPY(20250502)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
144.67
Support and resistance levels:
147.49
146.44
145.75
143.58
142.90
141.84
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 145.75, consider buying, the first target price is 146.44
If the price breaks through 144.67, consider selling, the first target price is 143.58
Gold on Edge – Will NFP Trigger the Next Big Move?🚨 Gold at a Crossroads – Will NFP & White House Comments Trigger a Volatility Spike? ⚡
🧭 Macro Overview
Gold enters the US session with a mild rebound after a sharp selloff, following its historic climb to $3,500/oz. The recent drop was driven less by fundamentals and more by aggressive profit-taking, especially from retail flows in Asia, notably China.
Rather than a trend reversal, this correction looks like a healthy technical reset, just ahead of two major catalysts:
1️⃣ US Non-Farm Payrolls (May edition)
2️⃣ White House remarks on tariffs and trade strategy
These two factors will likely define gold’s direction heading into next week — either toward deeper support zones or a potential recovery rally into resistance.
📊 DXY & Macro Market Lens
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off its base near 98.xx, currently testing the 100.00 level. Whether the dollar strengthens further depends largely on today’s labour data and fiscal signals from Washington.
Traders should remain tactically neutral, relying on intraday timeframes like H1/H2 and respecting key price structure.
🔺 Key Resistance Levels
3,260
3,275
3,285
3,312
🔻 Key Support Levels
3,244
3,230
3,215
3,200
🎯 Trade Plan – Friday 3rd May, 2025
🔵 BUY ZONE A:
Entry: 3,232 – 3,230
SL: 3,226
TP: 3,236 → 3,240 → 3,244 → 3,248 → 3,252 → 3,256 → 3,260
🔵 BUY ZONE B:
Entry: 3,214 – 3,212
SL: 3,208
TP: 3,218 → 3,222 → 3,226 → 3,230 → 3,235 → 3,240
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3,276 – 3,278
SL: 3,282
TP: 3,272 → 3,268 → 3,264 → 3,260 → 3,250
⚠️ Final Notes
Volatility may spike sharply during the NY session as NFP and political news collide.
This is the kind of session where traders can either capitalize massively or get caught offside — stay disciplined.
Avoid emotional entries — let price come to you, wait for confirmation, and stick to your TP/SL.
📣 Conclusion
We’re likely in a calm-before-the-storm scenario. Gold hasn’t made its real move yet — but when it does, it’ll be swift.
Prepare. Execute. Protect your capital.
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 2, 2025 EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair attracted moderate buying interest during the Asian trading session on Friday and demonstrates a desire to consolidate above the psychologically important level of 1.13000. At the moment, spot quotes seem to have broken a three-day series of declines, reaching a two-week low near 1.12650, recorded on Thursday, amid repositioning of market participants awaiting the publication of key macroeconomic indicators from the Eurozone and the United States.
Representatives of the European Central Bank (ECB) earlier expressed concern over the risks of lower inflationary pressures in the region. In this regard, market participants are waiting with special attention for the preliminary data on the consumer price index (CPI) in the eurozone. Indicators that turned out to be lower than forecasts may strengthen expectations of the ECB key interest rate reduction by 25 basis points following the results of the meeting in July. Such a development could put pressure on the single European currency and contribute to the resumption of the EUR/USD corrective movement from the level of 1.1575 - the maximum since November 2021, recorded last month.
In the United States of America, investors' attention is focused on the upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls report (NFP), according to forecasts of which the US economy could create only 130 thousand new jobs in April, which is significantly lower than the March value of 228 thousand. At the same time, the unemployment rate, according to preliminary estimates, will remain at 4.2%. These data may have a significant impact on expectations of further monetary policy steps by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which, in turn, will affect the dynamics of the US dollar and determine the short-term trajectory of EUR/USD.
Additionally, the persistent expectations of a looser monetary policy of the Federal Reserve System (FRS) restrain the potential for strengthening of the US dollar, despite its three-day rise to local highs. In particular, market participants have increased expectations for four 25 basis point interest rate cuts before the end of this year, after recently released statistics pointed to an unexpected contraction in US GDP - for the first time since 2022. As a result, the dollar bulls' positions remain limited, which provides support to the EUR/USD pair.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.13100, SL 1.27500, TP 1.14200