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Idea for Mon 14 Apr - Gold Short – Bear in a Bull OutfitOANDA:XAUUSD Gold has been heavily influenced by recent developments in the trade war. A 90-day pause on tariffs (excluding China) and the exemption of smartphones and computers from tariffs were announced on friday. These headlines may temporarily calm markets and give stocks room to rise — which typically puts pressure on gold. If Dollar is rising again, could be a side effect too. This could lead to a short-term pullback in gold prices. A price gap was formed around $3175.51 during the opening session on Thursday, April 10th. After a small bounce, i expect gold to move downward to fill that gap. A potential support level is sitting near $3156, which could act as a bounce zone. "Next week it’s a bear inside a bull outfit." Despite a broader bullish structure, we could see the week start with a correction. A classic gap-fill setup for the short-term traders. RSI and MacD are on top levels, but for how long? ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Wick-Sniper
2
[XAU/USD & DXY] – Long-Term Outlook📌 – Long-Term Outlook: Is Gold Entering a New Bull Cycle as USD Weakens? 📊 Technical Analysis – Gold & DXY The divergence between Gold and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has become increasingly clear: 🔹 Gold (XAU/USD): Price has broken the previous high at 3,190 and is now testing 3,219 – a fresh all-time high on the daily chart. The MA13, MA34, and MA200 are showing a perfect “bullish fan” formation, indicating a sustainable uptrend rather than a short-term pump. The key support zone around 3,164 – 3,118 remains critical for any healthy pullback. 🔻 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): Price has decisively broken below the psychological 100.55 support and is now hovering near 99.78. If DXY fails to hold above 99.7, the next downside target could be 97.5 in the coming quarter. The technical structure is clearly bearish, confirming USD weakness across the board. → This negative correlation aligns with macro expectations: a weaker dollar is fueling gold’s bullish momentum. 🌍 Fundamental Analysis – Macro Drivers US PPI & CPI both come in lower than expected: Inflation is showing clear signs of cooling. Markets are now pricing in a possible rate cut as early as June. Shift in Fed tone – from hawkish to neutral: While not officially declared, recent Fed statements have been more dovish, supporting risk assets and weakening the dollar. Strong safe-haven demand remains: Geopolitical risks and economic uncertainty continue to push capital into gold, especially as USD enters a weakening phase. 🧭 Long-Term Perspective Gold is potentially entering a new bull cycle. With consecutive ATH breakouts and favorable macro conditions (falling inflation, expected rate cuts, USD weakness), gold could push to even higher levels into Q2 and Q3. The USD faces downside pressure in the coming months, especially if the Fed signals a firm pivot toward easing. ⚠️ Strategy Caution Short-term corrections may occur, especially after such a sharp rise. However, any pullbacks into key support zones could present strategic long opportunities for longer-term investors. 💬 What’s Your Take? Is this the beginning of a major bull cycle in gold, or do you expect deeper pullbacks before continuation? Drop your analysis and charts below! 👇👇👇
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
4
HelenP. I After strong impulse up, BTC can start to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. BTC has recently shown a strong recovery after reaching the support zone between 77000 and 76200 points. This area had already acted as a base twice in the past, and the price once again reacted from it with a sharp bullish impulse. The rise brought Bitcoin back into the resistance zone between 83500 and 84300 points - a level that has proven significant in the past. At the same time, BTC approached the descending trend line that forms the upper boundary of the wedge pattern visible on the chart. The reaction from this confluence zone was immediate. The price got rejected right at the intersection of the trend line and resistance zone, forming a clear rejection candle and showing weakness from buyers. This area is now holding Bitcoin down once again and proving itself as a strong supply zone. At the moment, BTC is trading below the trend line and under pressure from resistance. Given the recent price action, multiple rejections from the same zone, and position relative to the wedge, I expect Bitcoin to decline again toward 78000 points - my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
12
EURCAD Breakdown Watch–Bearish Divergence + Fundamental WeaknessEURCAD rallied into a key turncoat zone (former resistance → support) Currently consolidating within this zone and showing clear RSI bearish divergence on both 1H and 4H timeframes. Price is losing momentum while macro and seasonal factors align for a short bias. 🔍 Macro & Seasonality Confluence: EUR Fundamentals: Worsening LEI, Endogenous & Exogenous scores CAD Stability: Mildly bearish, but stronger than EUR Seasonal Bias: EURCAD turns bearish after April 15
Short
by wajahatarif
1
GOLD Explosive Bull Run or Setup for a Historic Short?📌 XAU/USD Outlook: Explosive Bull Run or Setup for a Historic Short? 💥📈 ✨ Market Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) has entered an exceptionally volatile phase, with price swings exceeding $100 per day. After dropping from 3,280 to 3,080, gold has roared back to a new all-time high at 3,200 in just two sessions — raising the critical question: Is this a true recovery wave, or merely a bull trap ahead of a potential historic short? A surge of capital has flooded into financial markets, aggressively buying the dip across multiple asset classes. Investor psychology is now at the forefront, driving gold into extreme territory. 🌍 Fundamental Outlook: Recent U.S. economic data came in weaker than expected, supporting the bullish momentum in gold. If history repeats itself, we could witness similar outcomes with the upcoming CPI and PPI releases — both of which are forecast to remain soft, potentially weakening the USD and further lifting gold. Short-term: U.S. consumer demand appears weaker, pressuring USD. Medium-to-long term: These weak data points may be laying the groundwork for a massive short on gold once the Fed initiates its expected rate cuts — potentially as early as June. 📊 Technical Outlook: Gold’s price action is becoming increasingly difficult to predict. It took a full week for gold to fall $200 — but only two days to fully reclaim that ground and establish a new ATH. Today, the market may continue this bullish surge, particularly if the PPI data surprises to the downside. Key Support Levels: 3,200 3,188 3,174 3,157 3,130 3,120 Key Resistance Levels: 3,265 3,302 🧭 Trading Plan: BUY Zone (High Probability): Entry: 3,175 – 3,173 Stop Loss: 3,168 Take Profit: 3,180 | 3,184 | 3,188 | 3,192 | 3,196 | 3,200 | Open SELL Zone (Aggressive Counter-Play) Entry: 3,301 – 3,303 Stop Loss: 3,308 Take Profit: 3,296 | 3,292 | 3,288 | 3,284 | 3,280 | 3,270 | Open ⚠️ Risk Management Advisory: Price action is extremely volatile — trade setups should be chosen carefully. Ensure proper stop-loss and take-profit are in place for every trade. Avoid emotional entries and respect risk-to-reward principles to protect your capital. 💡 Conclusion: Gold is in a critical zone. With macro sentiment, news flow, and technicals all aligned, traders must stay alert. In the short term, the FOMO-driven rally looks likely to continue — but remain vigilant for signs of a reversal that could usher in a massive short wave. 🗨️ Share Your View: Do you see gold continuing this bullish run — or is this the calm before a historic dump? Share your thoughts and strategies below! 💬👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
8
AUD/USD - Sellers remain in control!The AUD/USD pair has been in a clear and consistent downtrend on both the 4-hour and daily timeframes. Sellers have maintained firm control over price action, driving the pair lower while it continues to respect the prevailing bearish market structure. Each failed bullish attempt further validates the dominance of the bears, reinforcing the narrative that the path of least resistance remains to the downside. Recently, however, the 4-hour chart witnessed a sharp move to the upside, tapping into and filling a previously unmitigated 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG). Despite this temporary rally, the broader structure remains bearish, with the market still printing lower highs and lower lows, a classic hallmark of a sustained downtrend. As such, the current momentum favors a continuation lower, potentially targeting the green imbalance/FVG zone on the 4H timeframe, which aligns with the next logical area of liquidity. This green FVG also coincides with the golden pocket retracement zone (61.8%–65%), adding confluence and strengthening its validity as a potential support area. A reaction here could provide an opportunity for a short-term bullish correction or even the start of a larger reversal, depending on how price behaves around this level. That said, a bullish scenario is not entirely off the table. Should price decisively break above the red FVG to the upside, and ideally close above it with conviction, it may signal a potential shift in market sentiment. This would be the first sign of buyers regaining control, suggesting a possible trend reversal or at least a deeper retracement toward higher time frame resistance zones. Until such confirmation is seen, however, bearish momentum prevails. Traders can continue to favor short setups, with particular interest around premium zones on the 4H chart. Any bullish setups should be approached cautiously and ideally considered only at key areas of support like the green FVG, especially where it aligns with high-probability fib levels. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
by Youriverse
30
HelenP. I Euro will decline to support zone, breaking trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After breaking out from a long consolidation phase, the Euro entered a strong upward trend supported by a clearly defined trend line. This breakout was backed by strong momentum, allowing the price to push above Support 1 and climb rapidly. However, after reaching the 1.1450 area, bullish strength started fading. The market printed a sharp rejection from the highs, and soon after, the price broke back below the trend line. This breakdown signals a shift in sentiment. The price is now approaching the previous support zone between 1.1160 and 1.1120 points, which acted as a key accumulation area during the bullish move. The reaction from this zone will be crucial, but considering the breakdown from the trend line and the aggressive rejection from the top, sellers now appear to be in control. Currently, EUR is trading below the broken trend line, and bearish pressure continues to build. Given the rejection from higher levels, structure break, and weak recovery attempts, I expect EURUSD to decline toward my current goal at 1.1160 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
6
EURO - Price can make correction and then continue to move upHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago price broke resistance and started a strong upward impulse, exiting from a flat accumulation zone. After this breakout, the Euro made a sharp rise and formed a rising wedge pattern. Then price reached the upper boundary of a wedge and bounced down, testing the support line of the pattern. Recently, it touched the support zone near the $1.0800 level and then bounced with recovery toward resistance. Now price trades inside wedge, holding above support line and forming bullish continuation structure. In my opinion, Euro can continue to grow and reach $1.1185 resistance line of the wedge soon. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
10
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 11, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD hit its highest levels in nearly two years on Thursday, breaking through and closing above 1.1200 for the first time in 21 months. Market tensions continue to ease after the Trump administration dropped its own tariffs at the last minute, causing a general weakening in US Dollar flows. US consumer price index (CPI) inflation fell significantly short of forecasts in March. The core CPI fell to 2.8 per cent year-on-year, a four-year low after nearly eight months above 3.0 per cent. Core CPI inflation also fell to 2.4 per cent year-on-year. Investment markets will face a major challenge if the tariffs reverse the Federal Reserve's (Fed) multi-year efforts to curb inflation. On Friday, the week will conclude with the release of the University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment Index survey. The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index is expected to decline again in April as consumers feel the pressure of the Trump administration's tariff and trade policies, and is likely to fall to a near three-year low of 54.5. In addition, expected consumer inflation data will be released on Friday, with UoM's 1-year and 5-year expected consumer inflation previously standing at 5% and 4.1% respectively. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1305, SL 1.1380, TP 1.1150
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USD/JPY(20250411)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The annual rate of the US CPI in March was 2.4%, a six-month low, lower than the market expectation of 2.6%. The market almost fully priced in the Fed's interest rate cut in June. Trump said inflation has fallen. Technical analysis: Today's long-short boundary: 145.38 Support and resistance levels: 149.05 147.68 146.79 143.97 143.08 141.71 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 145.38, consider buying, the first target price is 146.79 If the price breaks through 143.97, consider selling, the first target price is 143.08
Short
by BraveTigercat
GBP/JPY Triangle Breakout (11.04.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 184.40 2nd Support – 182.60 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
13
Pre-Market Analysis – CAD/CHF1️⃣ The price has broken below the previous support zone, which had held multiple times in the past. This area is now likely to act as a new resistance. 2️⃣ The bottom boundary of the descending channel has been touched, signaling a potential reaction or short-term bounce from this level. 3️⃣ It’s quite probable that the price retraces back to the midline of the channel before continuing its downward move. This would be a classic pullback within a bearish channel structure. 📉 If price fails to reclaim the broken support and reacts bearishly near the resistance-turned zone or the channel’s midline, it could provide a solid continuation setup to the downside.
Short
by melikatrader94
8
ETH — Still Lagging Behind. Two Levels That MatterETH continues to underperform the market — and it's not just about Ethereum. Most alts showed weakness after yesterday’s front-running impulse ended in today’s fade-out. Let’s see how they behave on BTC’s next leg up. As for ETH — only two levels matter for now: 1689 to the upside, and 1485.7 to the downside. I’ll take action only after a confirmed breakout and hold above or below one of these zones. Until then — just observing.
by Balaclava_Crypto
Euro may continue to move up inside upward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. We can see how the pair spent a long time inside a wide range, repeatedly testing the buyer zone between 1.0365 - 1.0400 points. After multiple rebounds and false breakouts, Euro finally broke through the resistance and started forming a strong upward channel. The bullish structure was further confirmed when the price respected the support line of the channel and created a new higher low near 1.0885, which now acts as the current support level. This level also coincides with the bottom of the seller zone, which was recently flipped into support. Price reacted with a sharp impulse up, breaking the consolidation range and confirming continued bullish pressure. Now Euro is approaching the middle of the channel and gaining strength again. I expect the pair to make a slight pull-back to the support area, followed by a continuation of the upward trend toward TP1 - 1.1250 points, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. As long as EUR remains above 1.0885 points and respects the bullish structure, I’m looking for another leg higher. The chart structure supports the bullish case, and the upward momentum is clearly in play. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
6
HelenP. I Gold may drop to trend line, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. A few days ago price rebounded from the trend line and started to grow inside the upward channel. In this channel, the price rose to support 2, which coincided with the support zone and soon broke this area. Then it continued to move up and rose to resistance line of channel, but soon it turned around and made small movement below, after which continued to grow near this line little below. Later, Gold made a correction movement to support 2, which coincided with the trend line and then continued to move up inside the channel. In a short time later it reached support 1, which coincided with one more support zone and also broke this level too. Price some time traded near this level and later made impulse up, exiting from channel pattern and then it at once turned around and made correction movement to support 1. Gold even declined a little below this level, but a not long time ago, it backed up. Now, I expect that XAUUSD will start to decline to the trend line, thereby breaking the support level. That's why I set my goal at 2965 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
7
NZDUSD Long Setup – FVG + Order Block + Macro Bullish BiasI'm looking to go long on NZDUSD based on a strong confluence of fundamentals, seasonal trends, and technical structure. 🔹 Macro bias: USD weakening as Fed leans dovish, while NZD is gaining momentum from rate cuts and improving LEI. 🔹 Seasonality: Historically, NZD shows strength in the first half of April, while USD tends to weaken mid-to-late April. 🔹 Technical setup: Price left a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the 4H chart Pullback into a bullish Order Block (OB) Entry within imbalance
Long
by wajahatarif
XAU/USD Outlook: Gold's Bullish Momentum Strengthens 📌 XAU/USD Analysis: Gold on a Strong Bullish Momentum Amid Economic Optimism 📈💰 ✨ Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) is currently demonstrating significant bullish momentum, driven by improved global economic sentiment. The recent 90-day tariff suspension among major global economies and hints from the recent FOMC meeting about potential rate cuts later this year are fueling investor optimism. 📊 Technical Analysis: 🔹 Key Resistance Levels: 3,146 3,162 3,168 🔸 Key Support Levels: 3,096 3,078 3,066 3,052 📈 Moving Averages Analysis: MA 13 (Short-term): Clearly supports bullish momentum, offering buy signals as price sustains above this MA. MA 34 (Medium-term): Supporting bullish sentiment with prices comfortably above. MA 200 (Long-term): Reinforces the robust long-term bullish outlook with price consistently trading above this level. 🚀 Trading Strategy & Recommendations: BUY Strategy (Preferred Scenario): Entry Zone: 3,094 – 3,096 Stop Loss: 3,090 Take Profit Levels: 3,100 | 3,104 | 3,108 | 3,112 | 3,116 | 3,120 SELL Strategy (Cautious Approach): Entry Zone: 3,164 – 3,166 Stop Loss: 3,170 Take Profit Levels: 3,160 | 3,156 | 3,152 | 3,148 | 3,144 | 3,140 🌍 Fundamental Context: Positive Market Sentiment: The global economic outlook has turned favorable due to tariff suspensions and strong performance in equity markets. Interest Rate Outlook: Recent signals from the FOMC regarding possible interest rate cuts are providing further support for gold’s upward trajectory. ⚠️ Risk Management: Emphasize caution when engaging in short positions, given the prevailing bullish conditions. Always implement strict stop-loss measures and maintain risk-to-reward ratios of at least 1:2. Avoid over-leverage and ensure trades are sized appropriately. 💡 Conclusion & Final Thoughts: Gold remains strongly bullish, backed by both technical indicators and a positive fundamental backdrop. Traders are encouraged to focus primarily on buy opportunities near significant support levels and remain alert to potential trend reversals at key resistance zones. 🗨️ Engage with Us: What are your current strategies for gold? Share your insights and views in the comments section below! 💬👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 10, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) showed strength during the Asian trading session on Thursday, reacting to the release of producer price index (PPI) data that exceeded market expectations. This macroeconomic signal reinforced speculation about possible further monetary policy tightening by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), keeping the probability of an interest rate hike in the future. Additional support for the yen was provided by positive expectations of a potential trade agreement between Japan and the United States. Amid the weakening of the US dollar (USD), the USD/JPY pair showed a pullback and fell below the psychologically important level of 147.000, which was also supported by a limited correction of the US currency amid a general recovery in market confidence. The divergence in monetary expectations between the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve remains significant. While Japan is increasingly likely to tighten monetary policy, markets in the US are pricing in a scenario of multiple cuts in the Fed's key interest rate in 2025. This discrepancy has prevented the US dollar from maintaining momentum after an overnight recovery from a weekly low, prompting a reallocation of capital in favor of the more stable yen despite its status as a low-yielding currency. Improved global risk sentiment, driven by US President Donald Trump's announcement of a temporary suspension of retaliatory tariffs against key trading partners, may also help strengthen the yen as a safe haven asset, especially amid continued uncertainty in international markets. Trade recommendation: SELL 146.800, SL 147.400, TP 145.400
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
S&P - What will happen next for the S&P?The S&P 500 has been dropping quickly after Trump's tariff policies were announced. It fell from 5750 to 4900, and is now at 5053, all in just a few days. This is a sharp decline, and sellers are clearly in control right now. However, after such a big drop, it's common to see a short-term bounce before the market continues to fall. There is strong resistance between 5400 and 5500, which lines up with the golden pocket (a key level in technical analysis). This could make it harder for the S&P to rise past these levels. Looking further down, there is another strong support area between 4500 and 4600. This level also matches the golden pocket on the daily chart, making it an important point for potential support. If the market keeps falling, we could see this area tested before any significant recovery. Right now, it seems likely that the market will keep going lower. My main expectation is that we’ll get a small rally first, which could trick some traders into thinking the market is recovering, before continuing down. However, with all the uncertainty around the news and policies right now, it's also possible the market could keep dropping sharply without much of a rally. Keep a close eye on the markets and stick to good risk management practices. If you don’t, it could really hurt your portfolio. Stay alert and adjust your strategy as things change. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Youriverse
29