#ETH #ETHUSD #ETHUSDT #ETHEREUM #Wyckoff #Analysis #Eddy#ETH #ETHUSD #ETHUSDT #ETHEREUM #Wyckoff #Analysis #Eddy
This analysis is based on the analytical style of the Wyckoff Distribution Structure of Schematic #1.
I have outlined for you the important parts of the Wyckoff style on the one-hour timeframe.
Currently, we are in Phase C of the Wyckoff Distribution Structure.
We have to wait for the completion of this phase and the start of Phase D of the Wyckoff Distribution Structure.
When will this structure be fully confirmed? When the Ethereum price falls to the 1750 support and gathers the final spring when this support is broken for the fall, we will enter a short position by getting the necessary confirmations based on our style and strategy.
💬 Note: The best entry point for short positions will be the 1720_1750 support break. if the Ethereum price UTAD and test formed, high-risk traders who are willing to trade in the opposite direction can enter a short position by getting confirmation in the time frames below 15 minutes.
Where will the targets be? The first target is 1500 and the second target can be 1000 dollars. Maybe next targets is : 800_500 dollars.
When can you safely close the position and enter a reverse trade, that is, long or buy? When a Wyckoff accumulation structure is formed at one of the targets.
The responsibility for the trade is yours and I have no responsibility for your failure to comply with the risk and capital management.
Good luck and be profitable.
I also invite you to review and view my latest analysis on Bitcoin & TOTAL3 on my page.
Analysis
btc. SHORT to LONGwe saw a nice price rotation downwards, following the idea of NY giving up the SFP on tuesday and started looking for lower prices themselves.
SHORT entry running ASIA high at 2pm
entry . 95146
tp1 . 93453 . +1.78%
the 1h SUPPORT LEVEL of ASIA . 92902
held SUPPORT during that down price rotation.
LONG IDEA
see a rotation to dOpen / cw0.5 / value area Low / micro SFP / 2pm
entry . 94000
tp1 . 96.972
at 1 step extension of cw
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 01, 2025 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is trading with small losses, hovering around the mid-143.00s after disappointing US economic growth data and weak Japanese economic reports caused a divergence in sentiment between the two currencies. The US economy contracted 0.3 per cent in the first quarter of 2025, the first contraction since 2022, missing growth expectations and highlighting the impact of rising imports and government spending cuts. At the same time, Japan released weaker-than-expected industrial production and retail sales data, limiting the yen's gains even as global risk appetite declined.
On the macroeconomic front, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that real GDP contracted 0.3% in Q1, missing the market forecast for a 0.4% increase and slowing sharply from the 2.4% growth in Q4 2024. The contraction was primarily driven by a 41 per cent rise in imports and lower government spending. Meanwhile, core PCE inflation, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, fell to 2.3 per cent year-on-year, in line with expectations and below February's 2.5 per cent. Other data showed a slowdown in job creation, with the ADP report showing just 62,000 new jobs in April against expectations of 108,000.
Despite the softer data, personal spending remained flat in March, rising 0.7%, while incomes rose 0.5%. However, market sentiment turned cautious, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling more than 200 points to stagnate around 40,300.
In Japan, the yen weakened 0.5% against the dollar as industrial production and retail sales data disappointed, highlighting the fragility of the domestic economy.
Trade recommendation: BUY 144.20, SL 144.00, TP 145.00
USD/JPY(20250430)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The European Central Bank expects prices to rise 2.9% over the next 12 months, up from 2.6% in February, according to a monthly survey released on Tuesday. This is the highest level since April 2024. The three-year indicator rose slightly to 2.5%. The ECB's first five-year forecast was 2.1%.
Technical analysis:
Today's long-short boundary:
142.32
Support and resistance levels:
143.13
142.83
142.63
142.01
141.81
141.51
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 142.32, consider buying, the first target price is 143.00
If the price breaks through 142.01, consider selling, the first target price is 141.81
GOLD - Price can correct to support area and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price entered to rising channel, where it at once broke $2885 level and reached resistance line of channel.
Then it corrected and then continued to move up in channel, but later it dropped to support area.
Price soon rose above $2885 level, making a fake breakout and after retesting this level, continued to grow.
Later Gold reached resistance line of channel and then made correction movement, exiting from channel and entered to pennant.
In pennant pattern, price made upward impulse, breaking $3275 level and at the moment it trades near $3275 level.
I think that Gold can exit from pennant, decline to support area, and then bounce up to $3440
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
HelenP. I Gold can correct to trend line and continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After the recent drop and partial gap-fill, the price seems to be forming a solid foundation for a potential continuation to the upside. The price previously rebounded from the lower levels near 2955 and established a strong bullish trend, respecting the ascending trend line multiple times. Each touch acted as a signal for buyers to step in, pushing the price toward higher zones. Eventually, the market broke through a major resistance area, which has now turned into a support zone between 3265 and 3295 points. This area is also reinforced by the trend line, which has been tested again recently. Importantly, the price left a gap during the impulsive move up, and after the correction, the gap was filled, and buyers immediately reacted. Now, Gold is trading slightly above the support zone, showing a clear bounce from both the trend line and horizontal structure. This confluence increases the probability of further bullish momentum. Given the price behavior, market structure, and technical context, I expect that XAUUSD will continue rising toward the 3425 points, that’s why it is my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
HelenP. I Bitcoin can make correction to trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. The market behavior of price has been quite telling recently. After a significant rally from the lower support area around 81200 points, the price gradually established an ascending trend line, forming a steady bullish structure. The rise was confirmed multiple times by the trend line acting as dynamic support, allowing buyers to push the price toward the higher zones. However, after reaching the local peak close to 95300, the bullish momentum slowed down. Price formed a range and began showing early signs of weakness. Despite attempts to move higher, each push was met with resistance, causing smaller impulses than earlier moves. Currently, Bitcoin is trading just under the 95300 - 95500 zone, near the upper boundary of the recent range. I expect BTCUSDT can face further rejection here and initiate a correction. The nearest key target is the 92000 points, located close to the ascending trend line and matching the support structure below. Given the fading momentum, recent price action, and important technical levels nearby, I anticipate a downward move toward 92000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Euro may drop to 1.1200 points, exiting from pennant patternHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Earlier, the price was growing steadily inside an upward pennant, following a strong breakout from the buyer zone. This impulse pushed the market higher toward the current support level at 1.1300, where the price found a temporary stabilization. Afterward, EUR moved into a range phase, trading sideways between local highs and lows. Despite several attempts to break higher, the market repeatedly showed weakness near the upper boundary, resulting in multiple turnarounds. Each bounce up was followed by lower highs, forming the descending resistance line of the pennant, while buyers defended the support area. Currently, the market is squeezed between the resistance and support lines, forming a classic compression pattern. Price action reveals increasing pressure on the support, and recent rebounds are becoming weaker, a clear sign of buyers losing momentum. In my view, the overall market situation has shifted from a strong bullish impulse toward a potential downside correction. So, given the breakdown structure forming and the price testing the lower side of the pennant multiple times, I expect a bearish breakout soon. My current TP1 is the 1.1200 points level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin Testing 95k as resistance TRENDLINE #Bitcoin at a CRITICAL juncture! Testing the downward trendline (double yellow) at 95K as resistance, originating from 107K in Dec.
This trendline has repeatedly rejected BTC, with multiple tests at 95K this week. Historically, rejections have led to drops to 82K support (tested 4x) or even the uptrend line at 77K (Mar/early Apr).
If BTC fails to break & hold above 95K by week's close, we may retest 82K on the 2023 uptrend (red line). BUT, if we break 95K and hold, we could target 109K, with a potential range of 125K-140K for new highs!
#Crypto #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis
btc . month . outlookLONG worked out nicely, BUT there was no SFP liguidity grab at cw/cmHigh
- finished LONG trade with 10pm (+2h tz)
- price dropped below entry . out of LONG . looking for lower new entry
As we're just before a new monthly open, possibility for retrace during Month May enhances
- This would give a nice new SWING LONG entry
- As well as a nice SHORT entry to ride the rotation downwards
Tuesday gave up a couple of SUPPORT levels . got me to shift SHORT for wednesday
- scaling SHORT at fib + cw0.75
Invalidation:
Running stops at 92.750 and recovering above cw0.5
Gold Regains Momentum Key Trading Setups Ahead of Volatile Week📌 Gold Regains Momentum – Key Trading Setups Ahead of Volatile Week 🔥📊
📈 Technical Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) started the week with a strong recovery after last week’s sharp drop. Price is currently stabilizing near the major support zone around 3,274 – 3,292, forming a fresh consolidation range that could lead to a bullish continuation — if key support holds.
Last week’s weaker-than-expected US employment data weakened the Dollar Index (DXY), supporting a rebound in gold. However, the market remains cautious ahead of today’s ADP Non-Farm Employment release, which could serve as a directional catalyst.
So far, gold is trading sideways, with mild corrective pullbacks, waiting for clear confirmation from upcoming data.
🔍 Key Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance: 3,336 – 3,352 – 3,357 – 3,366
Support: 3,305 – 3,292 – 3,274
🎯 Trade Setups for Today
🔵 BUY ZONE
Entry: 3,274 – 3,276
SL: 3,270
TP: 3,284 → 3,291 → 3,301 → 3,336
📝 A deeper dip into the 3,274 area could offer another long opportunity, but confirmation is key before entering.
🔴 SELL ZONE 1
Entry: 3,350 – 3,352
SL: 3,356
TP: 3,346 → 3,342 → 3,338 → 3,334 → 3,330 → 3,320
📝 Watch for rejection near 3,350. If price fails to break above, this zone could offer a solid intraday short.
🔴 SELL ZONE 2
Entry: 3,366 – 3,368
SL: 3,372
TP: 3,362 → 3,358 → 3,354 → 3,350 → 3,345 → 3,340
📝 If price is unable to hold above 3,366 resistance, look for sell opportunities targeting a drop back to 3,350 and below.
⚠️ Important Notes
Today’s session may be volatile due to ADP Non-Farm Employment expectations.
Geopolitical tension in Asia may also impact gold, so remain alert to surprise headlines.
Apply strict SL/TP risk management as markets prepare for Friday’s NFP release.
✅ Conclusion
We’re entering a pivotal session where gold is testing key zones just ahead of critical employment data. Use tight stops and clear confirmations for all trades.
🚨 Trade with discipline — stay patient, and be prepared for volatility.
💬 What’s your setup for today’s gold session? Watching for a breakout or fading the highs? Drop your view below! 👇👇👇
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 30, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair continues to fall for the second consecutive session, hovering near 1.3390 during Asian trading on Wednesday. The pair has been under pressure as the US dollar has strengthened amid renewed optimism over trade developments between the US and China. Traders are now turning their attention to the upcoming release of the March Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index, which is a key inflation gauge for the Federal Reserve.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the dollar's exchange rate against six major currencies, remains above 99.00, suggesting U.S. Treasury yields are rising. The 2-year and 10-year US bond yields broke a four-day losing streak and were trading around 3.66 per cent and 4.17 per cent respectively at the time of writing.
On the data front, the JOLTS US job openings report released on Tuesday showed a decline in the number of open positions to 7.19 million in March - the lowest level since September 2024 - indicating a cooling in labour demand. The figure fell short of expectations and emphasised growing economic uncertainty.
Adding to GBP/USD's decline are rising expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will cut rates at its May meeting. Lower inflation expectations in the United Kingdom (UK) and increasing global economic factors favour a rate hike.
Bank of England Governor Megan Green recently stated that tariffs proposed by US President Donald Trump could lead to lower inflation in the UK, although significant uncertainties remain over the broader economic impact and recent tax hikes for employers.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3390, SL 1.3420, TP 1.3300
Gold in Focus: Tight Range Before Major US Data 🌐 Gold in Focus: Tight Range Before Major US Data – Time to Prepare for the Storm?
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trapped within a narrow consolidation zone, with traders across global markets awaiting critical economic events in the second half of this week. The bounce from the 3290–3270 support zones confirms strong buying interest, yet bulls seem cautious ahead of the ADP employment report today and the all-important Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) on Friday.
Despite dovish signs from recent labor data and declining US bond yields, gold has not been able to regain strong upward momentum. This hesitance is attributed to mixed market sentiment fueled by ongoing US-China trade negotiations, potential interest rate outlook shifts from the Fed, and end-of-month positioning across major asset classes.
💼 What’s happening behind the scenes?
US 10Y yields dropped, signaling weaker inflation outlooks — usually bullish for gold.
DXY remains fragile but still attracts safe-haven inflows amid global political tensions.
Investors are cautious ahead of back-to-back economic events and might delay large trades until Friday.
With a bank holiday looming in Asia and Europe tomorrow, liquidity could tighten and amplify volatility. Gold might continue trading in a compressed range between 3274–3357 until NFP injects a fresh directional impulse.
🔍 Technical Roadmap:
🔺 Resistance Levels to Monitor:
3328
3336
3352
3357
3366
🔻 Support Levels to Watch:
3305
3292
3274
📌 Trade Strategy (30m–1H timeframe bias)
🔵 BUY ZONE A
📍 Entry: 3292 – 3290
🎯 SL: 3287
🎯 TP: 3295 → 3300 → 3304 → 3308 → 3315 → 3320
🔵 BUY ZONE B
📍 Entry: 3275 – 3273
🎯 SL: 3268
🎯 TP: 3280 → 3284 → 3286 → 3290 → 3300
🔴 SELL ZONE A
📍 Entry: 3350 – 3352
🎯 SL: 3356
🎯 TP: 3345 → 3340 → 3336 → 3332 → 3320
🔴 SELL ZONE B
📍 Entry: 3365 – 3367
🎯 SL: 3371
🎯 TP: 3361 → 3357 → 3352 → 3347 → 3340
📣 Final Thoughts:
We are in the "calm before the storm" phase. Price is coiling in tight ranges with declining volume and momentum. Today's ADP report could trigger intraday volatility, but major players may still remain on the sidelines until Friday's NFP.
As it’s also the last day of the month, be alert for liquidity grabs and potential stop hunts. Stick to your risk management plan and avoid revenge trades in volatile setups.
🛡️ Stay patient. Trade smart. Let the market reveal the direction.
Mega FartCoin Analysis - Is it the beginning? $3 when?SO previously if you have seen me analyzing fartcoin, its on this basis that all OB works in place so well, So would decipher it better. Also you can see my old posts to get a conclusion on whats to be done.
Coming to the Market Profile -
we can see that the market has built a solid volume base around the $1.08–$1.11 zone, with multiple POCs (Point of Control) stacking here — indicating strong buyer interest and fair value acceptance. This region is acting as a strong demand zone. The structure is developing a higher-low pattern since April 22nd, suggesting bullish intent, especially as price is trying to hold above the VAL/POC levels of the last two profiles. However, each upward push is still getting capped near the $1.14–$1.16 VAH area, which now becomes a critical breakout zone. If price can close above $1.16 with volume, we can expect expansion towards $1.20+. On the flip side, if price loses $1.08 and starts building value below it, that would shift the bias bearish again with potential retest of $1.03–$1.00.
Now based on this, ive drew a lower TF 1H parabolic steep curve, which is also marked on my channel for better understanding. Now at this very point of time on 4H LTF the same pattern is being formed where invalidation is done (which is a prior to a swing before a UTAD move)
As you see cyan boxes say the pattern to get achieved and for the green is yet to be achieved!! Also have marked a major block, where most settlement of big longs and new buyers would be encouraged!!
XAUUSD – Bullish Reversal Setup Near Support🟦 Chart Context:
Type: Intraday (likely 15m or 1h timeframe).
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red): 3,316.497
EMA 200 (Blue): 3,316.332
Current Price: 3,312.650
🔍 Technical Analysis:
1. Trend & Moving Averages:
EMA Crossover (Bearish): The 50 EMA is slightly above the 200 EMA, but both are flat and converging, suggesting a neutral to slightly bearish short-term sentiment.
Price below both EMAs indicates bearish pressure in the immediate term.
2. Key Zones:
Resistance Zone: 3,355 – 3,370
Price was previously rejected from this zone, indicating strong supply and likely sell orders.
Support Zone: 3,295 – 3,305
Price has bounced here multiple times, suggesting active buyers.
Strong Support: 3,265 – 3,275
A broader and more historically respected area that could lead to a significant reversal if tested.
3. Price Action:
Currently forming lower highs and lower lows, which is a classic sign of short-term weakness.
A small descending triangle appears to be forming near the support level (bearish bias), but the drawn forecast suggests a potential fakeout breakdown followed by a bullish reversal.
4. Expected Scenario (as per chart projection):
Price might dip briefly into the 3,295–3,305 support, triggering liquidity grab (stop hunts).
A potential bullish rally towards the 3,355–3,370 resistance zone is expected.
This suggests a buy-the-dip strategy near support with tight risk management.
📈 Trade Outlook:
🟢 Bullish Bias:
If the support at 3,295–3,305 holds and price reclaims the 200 EMA convincingly.
Target: 3,355–3,370 resistance zone.
🔴 Bearish Bias:
If price breaks below the strong support (3,265), expect continuation lower.
Downside targets would then extend towards 3,240–3,250.
✅ Conclusion:
Current bias: Neutral to short-term bearish unless the lower support holds.
Key action zone: Watch price reaction around 3,295.
Strategy suggestion: Monitor for a bullish reversal signal at support; avoid chasing trades in the middle of the range.
EURO - Price can bounce up of support level to top part of flatHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price traded inside a triangle, where it broke $1.0920 level and then made a correction to this level.
Then price exited from triangle pattern, retesting and then made upward impulse to $1.1310 level, which coincided with support area.
Next, Euro started to traded inside flat, wher it soon broke $1.1310 level, but then it made correction.
After this movement, price in a short time rose to the top part of flat, where it turned around and bounced down to $1.1310 level.
Price tired to grow, but failed and continued to trading near this level, and even recently it bounced.
So, in this moment, I expect that Euro can bounce up from support level to $1.1575 top part of the flat.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
HelenP. I Gold will continue to decline, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After an extended bullish phase that pushed the price higher within an upward channel, the market has started to show signs of weakness. Initially, gold moved steadily from the lower support zone, climbing through the channel and forming higher highs. Each pullback was supported by the rising trend line, reinforcing the bullish sentiment throughout the move. However, after reaching the peak near 3570, the price sharply reversed, breaking the trend line and shifting the overall structure. Sellers took control, leading to a breakdown below the channel, and now the price is consolidating near the 3260 - 3285 support zone. Recently, Gold tested the trend line from below but failed to reclaim it, which signals strong resistance overhead. Currently, gold is trading around 3319, just above the lower boundary of the broken channel and inside the support zone. I expect a small upward correction, breaking the trend line, and then followed by a continuation of the downward movement. So that's why I set goal is 3200 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GBP/JPY Bullish Flag (29.04.2025)The GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 192.18
2nd Resistance – 192.70
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
USD/JPY(20250429)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The U.S. Treasury Department raised its second quarter debt forecast to $514 billion. U.S. Treasury Secretary: The "X Day" for the debt ceiling issue will be announced soon.
Technical analysis:
Today's long-short boundary:
142.62
Support and resistance levels:
144.52
143.81
143.35
141.89
141.43
140.72
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 142.62, consider buying, the first target price is 143.35
If the price breaks through 141.89, consider selling, the first target price is 141.43
btc . tue . recap plan to LONG came to fruition
LONG note:
as i found wOpen heavily BULLISH - i was eager to get in early and equaly positioned:
cw0.5 . 94.200
to
cw0 . 92781
entry: 93.975
this left me with not the nicest entry . not all orders were filled . should have favoured increasing order size . one never really knows until it happens . but happy
DAY TRADE note:
a day trade of nysOpen SFP . 95.400 (to ride down for our LONG IDEA)
LONG SUPPORT will show during the day . NICE! . but not taken . it supported our search for LONG though
recap
wOpen . ASIA . LONG
nysOpen . SFP to 5.30pm . LONG
tueOpen . ASIA take profit . rotation to cw0.5 . (LONG in favour)
nysOpen . idealy tp1 : SFP . possibly rotation . (look out for SHORT and LONG)
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 29, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is down to 1.14150 in the early Asian session on Tuesday. The euro (EUR) is weakening against the US dollar (USD) amid rising bets for further rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB) in June. Investors expect further US trade policy developments ahead of the release of the much-anticipated US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data on Friday.
US President Donald Trump said progress is being made and he has spoken to Chinese President Xi Jinping, although Beijing denies that trade talks are underway. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said he spoke with Chinese authorities last week but did not mention tariffs.
On Monday, Bessent said the U.S. government is in contact with China, but it is up to Beijing to take the first step to de-escalate the tariff fight with the U.S. over the trade imbalance between the two countries. Investors will be keeping a close eye on the US-China relationship. Trump's chaotic trade policies have undermined faith in US assets and the common currency has become an alternative destination for investors' cash. Any signs of an escalating trade war between the US and China could have a negative impact on the US dollar and serve as a tailwind for EUR/USD.
On Saturday, Reuters reported that ECB policymakers are increasingly confident of cutting interest rates in June as inflation continues to fall. On Monday, ECB chief Olli Rehn said the central bank may cut interest rates below the neutral level that keeps the economy in balance.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.13800, SL 1.14000 , TP 1.13000
is selling being absorbing near 23350 level ?yesterday 27 April I mentioned that nifty must have to break & sustained 23350 level it happened today but long upper wick on hourly time with high volume been noticed showing selling pressure in market of course market bullish momentum still intact it respected the near 23800 level trading above 20 EMA but we need to wait more multiple testing for confirmation to continue upside journey so consolidation may happen in 2-3 days.