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XAUUSD | Bearish DivergenceCurrently, XAUUSD (Gold) is in an uptrend, making new higher highs and higher lows while moving within a parallel channel, supported by its trendline. Additionally, fundamental factors are pushing gold to reach new highs. However, on the 1-hour time frame, there is a hidden bearish divergence, suggesting a potential trend reversal into a downtrend. This indicates that we may soon see the formation of new lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), and the price could move towards a high-demand zone. Moreover, with high-impact USD news expected this week, we anticipate a potential retracement in price. After this pullback, we could expect an upward rally in gold. In summary: 1: Uptrend: Gold is making higher highs and higher lows, moving within a parallel channel. 2: Fundamentals: Support the uptrend and push for new highs. 3: Hidden Bearish Divergence: On the 1-hour chart, indicating a potential shift to a downtrend. 4: High-Impact USD News: Expected to cause a retracement, followed by a potential upward rally. Expectation: A short-term pullback, followed by a possible continuation of the uptrend. These factors suggest short-term downside potential before a likely continuation of the uptrend.
TVC:GOLDShort
by awaisulabdeen
Sell EURCHF Triangle BreakoutThe EUR/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.9395 Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.9353 2nd Support – 0.9324 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.9412. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
5
Bitcoin Cycles: Predicted Highs and Lows for 2025-2026 In this post, we will explore the Bitcoin market cycle in an effort to predict when the next cycle's top and bottom might occur, along with their potential price levels. Our analysis will cover several key concepts, including the Four-Year Cycle Theory, peak-to-peak and bottom-to-bottom analysis, cycle timing (peak-to-bottom), and the idea of diminishing returns, to support our forecast. Lets go! The Four-Year Cycle Theory: The Four-Year Cycle Theory in Bitcoin refers to a recurring market cycle that aligns with the Bitcoin halving event, which occurs approximately every four years. It suggests that Bitcoin's price moves in predictable cycles, driven largely by the dynamics of supply and demand, with the halving event acting as a significant catalyst. The theory suggests that each four-year cycle consists of four distinct phases: a. Accumulation (Bear Market Bottom) b. Uptrend (Bull Market Start) c. Parabolic Rise (Bull Market Peak) d. Correction (Bear Market Crash) The halving significantly reduces the rate at which new Bitcoin is mined, which leads to a supply reduction. As supply decreases while demand stays the same or increases (due to growing adoption, media attention, etc.), the price often rises after the halving leading to phase c. the Parabolic Rise. With the basics of the Four-Year Cycle Theory covered, we can now analyze the intervals between cycle peaks and bottoms. Cycle interval analysis: A cycle analysis aims to identify recurring patterns by analyzing the time and price movements between key events, such as market tops (peaks) and bottoms, in the case of Bitcoin the halving event may also be considered. By examining these cyclical behaviors it is attempted to predict future tops and bottoms. The simplest and easiest-to-understand patterns are: 1. Top-to-Top The time difference between consecutive market tops 2. Top-to-Bottom The time difference between a market top to the next market bottom. 3. Bottom-to-Top The time difference between a market bottom to the next market top. 4. Bottom-to-Bottom The time difference between consecutive market bottoms. There are however also more advanced patterns such as: 5. All-Time-High Break to Top The time difference between a break of the last cycle top to the next market top. 6. Halving event to top The time difference between the halving event to the next market top. It can be observed that market cycle patterns in the 2nd cycle are shorter compared to those in the 3rd and 4th cycles. This is likely due to a lack of market maturation or the fact that it occurs before the first halving. What stands out is the similarity between the 3rd and 4th cycle patterns. By averaging these cycles, we can predict the 5th cycle. Even more striking is that several of these predictions closely match the subsequent cycle top AND bottom. The predicted upcoming market cycle top is predicted as follows: Based on the Top-to-Top pattern, the market top is forecasted for November 3, 2025. According to the Bottom-to-Bottom pattern, the top is expected on October 13, 2025. The Halving Event-to-Top pattern suggests a market peak on October 6, 2025. Additionally, the ATH-Break-to-Top pattern indicates that the Parabolic Rise of the current cycle will begin on December 9, 2024. The predicted upcoming market cycle bottom is predicted as follows: Based on the Bottom-to-Bottom pattern, the market bottom is forecasted for October 19th 2026. According to the Top-to-Bottom pattern, the market bottom is forecasted for October 26th 2026. Here is a graphical overview of our prediction timelines: Price prediction using diminishing Returns: In the context of Bitcoin and market cycles, diminishing returns refers to the phenomenon where, as Bitcoin’s market matures and more capital or resources are invested, the incremental gains or price increases from additional investments become smaller over time. In essence this means the following: Bull Market Peaks: As a market cycle reaches its peak, diminishing returns become evident. The price increases become smaller and less dramatic each cycle compared to earlier in the cycle. Bear Market Corrections: Following the peak, the market often enters a correction phase where prices decline significantly. The decline also becomes smaller and less dramatic compared to earlier cycles. In essence, this results in less dramatic bull cycles but also less severe declines during bear markets: Here is a table overview with the values: The effects of diminishing returns are clearly observable, with one exception: the Cycle Top to the next Cycle Bottom in Cycle 3, which saw a 6x loss. However, if we take the effects of diminishing returns into consideration, we can make the following conclusions: The next Cycle Top will likely not exceed the Cycle 4 Top-to-Top multiplier of 3.4x, meaning it is unlikely to exceed a price of 224K. The next Cycle Top will likely not exceed the Cycle 4 Bot-to-Top multiplier of 20.5x, meaning it is even more unlikely to exceed a price of 333K. After considering the effects of diminishing returns, we believe a Top-to-Top multiplier in the range of 2 to 2.6 is realistic. Therefore, we predict a cycle top price of $131,000 to $170,000. Regarding the next bear market Bottom: The next Cycle Bottom will likely be below the Cycle 4 Bot-to-Bot multiplier of 5.1x, meaning it will likely be below 83K. We believe a Bot-to-Bot multiplier in the range of 3 to 4 is realistic. Therefore, we predict a cycle bottom price of $49,000 to $65,000. Final Conclusion: Predicted Cycle Top: The upcoming market cycle top is forecasted to occur in October or November 2025. Based on our analysis, we predict a price range of $131,000 to $170,000. Predicted Cycle Bottom: The upcoming market cycle bottom is forecasted to occur in October or November 2026. Based on our analysis, we predict a price range of $49,000 to $65,000. These predictions incorporate the effects of diminishing returns and historical cycle patterns.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Cryptonerds
1
NVIDIA (NVDA): Our Next Move After Predicting the TopJust 14 days ago, we analyzed NVIDIA and concluded that we might see a small push upward followed by a pullback. We were correct, although the last small push didn't materialize. Still, we're pretty happy that we called the top on NVDA accurately, and perhaps some of you were able to capitalize on it. If so, that makes us even happier 😄 Since our last analysis, NVIDIA has fallen by 21%, bringing us into the area where we should be looking for long positions. We're about to do just that, even though it's risky. We're planning to enter a long position on NVIDIA, with our stop loss set below the end of Wave (4) for invalidation. We don't have a specific target set for NVDA, and we'll be monitoring it closely. Given the risk involved, we won't be over-leveraging here. Let's see if we can get it right again!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
AUDCHF / TECHNICAL ANALYSIS / FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS ~ PROPFIRMThis is my analysis for audchf, the graph shows fundamental analysis and technical analysis. This entry mentioned here is open with sell top in my propfirm account *Fundingpips* 100k. Everything is clear, I didn't detail the fundamental analysis, I just put it as a final observation, as the fundamental analysis is done with a set of information and rate cuts. Feel free to comment, this is just my entry, it doesn't mean I'm 100% right, sometimes the market isn't right.
Short
by bruno_ovelheiro
The High Revenue Low Float Case Of Coca-Cola Consolidated NASDAQ:COKE recently seemed to have a double bottom form in Coca-Cola Consolidated Stock , Where a recovery seems possible after having a small pullback in share price. NASDAQ:COKE Recently a lot of debt was added onto the balance sheet due to the buyback programs initiated by the management like ("$1 billion share repurchase program for its common stock.") "(Aug 20, 2024)" The Valuation seems interesting at its 22.4x PE Ratio, and its Price to Sales 1.7x, and its 9.5x Price to book Ratio. It will for sure be interesting to see how the stock performs as time goes on! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Balance Sheet: Cash: US$1.90b Debt: US$1.79b Total Liabilities: US$4.46b Total Assets: US$5.66b Debt to Equity Ratio: 149.4% --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and in no way am I signaling a sell, buy, or hold opinion on this stock (Coca-Cola Consolidated) I am just giving my personal opinion as a hobby trader, I have no certifications and I am not a financial analyst, I also may be wrong about how I feel about the stock. I want you to do plenty more research on this and the stocks you are interested in because the stock market always holds a lot of risk that may be different for each investor and trader. Please do not make opinions based on this or any idea. Please be careful! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Idea:
NASDAQ:COKELong
by BullishCanadianInvestor
GOOGLE looking strong ! we identified a important area. Google needs to break the bearish sequence channel. We have discovered several inflection points that create a very important zone, which is fully respected. When the price falls into this zone, it simply bounces because historically, these inflection points (green circles) have shown a liquidity and trend action. If you can see on the 3rd circle, there is a high-volume candle that, upon rejecting the downtrend, creates a zone that could become a support zone if the price were to fall, and that’s exactly what happened in our 4th circle. GOOGL is undoubtedly showing a lot of strength; however, this coming week, Google needs to show the same strength it has demonstrated over the last two days. In other words, we need enough volume for the price to break the sequential channel and see Google back above 168 or more. We will see how it goes this week. Thank you for supporting my analysis. Best regards.
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by RocketMike111
1
EURO - Price can little grow and then continue fall in channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few moments ago price entered to wedge, where it at once bounced from resistance line and fell to support line. Then price bounced up from this line and rose higher than $1.0900 level, after which reached resistance line of wedge. Next, EUR corrected, after which continued to move up inside wedge and later price exited from this pattern. After this, price entered to falling channel, where it at once rose higher than $1.1155 level, but soon broke it again. Euro continued to decline inside falling channel until it reached support line, after which it recently bounced up. Now, I think price can make a small movement up and then continue to decline to $1.0975 support line of channel. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
4
Gold Analysis for Upcoming Week Monday 16.Sep.24Hi followers, I hope everyone is gearing up for a profitable week ahead. Here’s my analysis for the upcoming week based on the chart above: Gold has been trending upwards within a 15-minute channel. I anticipate that the price may test the bottom of this channel, which is around 2572-2575. Following this, I expect a potential increase to reach last week's high of 2586. Afterward, a retracement to approximately 2545 seems likely. Stay tuned for updates, and best of luck with your trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tanhaed
SAGA - Consolidation before price acceleration.# SAGA - Total3 - ETH/BTC --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SAGA is a cryptocurrency with a market cap of $160 million and a fully diluted market cap of $1.6 billion. It functions as a Layer 1 blockchain specifically designed for gaming. I included this coin this week because I see the potential for at least a 30% gain in the coming days or weeks. This coin is related to my publication from last week as I consider SAGA a SUI with a higher Beta. This means that SAGA is a coin that moves in relative tandem to SUI (discussed in my last publication) whilst being more volatile and sensitive to market movements. **SAGA** - The price appears to be consolidating between a downward trendline (red) and an exponential trendline (green), forming a pattern of lower highs and higher lows. This suggests that the price is coiling up for a significant move. If the price successfully breaks past the $1.90 level, there appears to be no further resistance until it reaches the W-pattern harmonic expansion at the 1.414 or 1.618 Fibonacci level. This corresponds to the corrective 0.618 or 0.786 Fibonacci retracement of the last impulsive wave down (see picture 1). This setup indicates a potential 30-60% price gain after surpassing the red downward trendline. (The strategy for entering the SAGA trade can be found at the end of this publication.) **ETH/BTC** - The ETH/BTC pair is often considered a key indicator of the altcoin market's strength relative to Bitcoin. By analyzing ETH/BTC alongside TOTAL3 (the total crypto market cap excluding both BTC and ETH), we can look for confluence to determine if SAGA (and other altcoins) have the potential to move more rapidly in comparison to BTC. On a macro scale, the ETH/BTC ratio appears to be forming a large triangular consolidation pattern. The upward trendline, which is expected to provide support, is positioned just below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of the entire previous wave (see picture 1). Zooming in (see picture 2), we can observe a hammer candle formed on high volume, which established the low of the current range (a bullish signal). At present, the price is holding at this range low and has filled the wick of the previously mentioned hammer candle. As long as the price does not break down from this range, it could quickly move towards the top of the range. This suggests a higher likelihood of bullish price action for ETH and other altcoins, especially since it is rare for this ratio to increase while the prices of BTC and other cryptocurrencies decline. **Total3** - TOTAL3 (the crypto market cap excluding BTC and ETH) is currently moving within a downward parallel channel, which can be a bullish indicator, much like BTC. The market cap bounced off the 0.886 Fibonacci level on August 5th, during a period of maximum fear, forming a hammer candle. Since then, it has also bounced from the 0.786 Fibonacci level, potentially creating a large W-pattern. To support the idea that the altcoin market cap (excluding ETH) is gearing up for a bullish impulsive move, we can reference the "Three Waves to a Bottom" theory. This theory suggests that a market or stock typically undergoes three distinct downward waves before reaching a bottom. After the third wave, the price tends to stabilize and may reverse into an upward trend. The movements in the Total3 market cap tend to suggest that more money will flow into the altcoins in the short to mid term. This should also benefit SAGA’s probabilities to have an acceleration in price. **Trade Set-up** In my opinion, I recommend 2 trade set-ups to enter in a SAGA long from the 14th of september onwards (Enter at White Arrow): You wait for a breakout. Conservatively price should find resistance around 1.9$ and could retrace back to retest the trendline that has been serving as resistance since mid-Juli. You wait for a breakout. If price does continue upwards, because crypto can move parabolically, even more when we consider the market cap of SAGA (=160M$) it is still probable that price will come down and retest the trendline that has been serving as resistance for 3months, the exponential trendline (green) that has been acting as support for even longer, or both as shown in the picture. This is a repost from yesterday, hopefully the issue for the public post was the link at the foot of my previous publishment. Have a nice weekend ! Zeddit
Long
by zeddit
Completion of the correction of the dollar index DXY.H4 13.09.24Completion of the correction of the dollar index DXY The dollar index has completed its upward correction and now we are waiting for a downside downdraft on the Fed on the 18th of September. In fact, the currency futures expiration has now passed and the gap that you see in the quotes is caused by a large divergence of forward point, that is a purely technical picture. Some suppliers may have different quotes by the numbers. From current levels +- I expect a correction up again and a continuation of the fall after Powell's speech on Wednesday 18 September. I do not set targets at the low yet, I will be looking at it in the process
TVC:DXYShort
by KovachTrader
1
HelenP. I Euro will make small move up and drop to support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Some time ago, the price rebounded from the trend line and started to grow and later rose to the support level, which coincided with the support zone. Soon, EUR broke this level, made a retest and even little declined than the 1.1000 level, after which continued to move up to the resistance level. When the Euro rose to this level, which coincided with the resistance zone, the price broke it and some time traded higher than the resistance zone. After this, the price turned around and quickly declined to the trend line, breaking the 1.1135 level. Next, the price rebounded from the trend line and rose back to the 1.1135 resistance level, but when it reached this level it turned around and dropped to the support level, breaking the trend line. Not long time ago EUR turned around and in a short time rose back to the trend line, where it continues to trades very close. I expect that the EURUSD will make small movement up and then drop to the support level. That's why I set my goal at 1.1000 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 13, 2024 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair weakened further below the mid 141.000s during the Asian session on Friday and is now back closer to the YTD low reached earlier this week. Moreover, the fundamental backdrop seems to be leaning in favor of bearish traders and supports the prospects of a continuation of the established downtrend seen over the past two months. The US Dollar (USD) fell to a fresh weekly low amid rising bets for more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) policy easing next week, bolstered by the release of a softer-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) on Wednesday. In fact, markets are now pricing in a more than 40% probability that the US central bank will cut borrowing costs by 50 basis points at the end of its September meeting. This keeps US Treasury yields near 2024 lows, which puts pressure on the dollar and leads to a decline in the USD/JPY pair. The Japanese Yen (JPY), on the other hand, continues to receive support from hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) indicating that it will raise interest rates further if the economic outlook matches forecasts. Moreover, BoJ board member Naoki Tamura said on Thursday that the road to ending soft policy is still very long. This represents a significant divergence from dovish Fed expectations, which in turn encourages further pullback in Japanese Yen (JPY) and contributes to the tone of the USD/JPY pair. The aforementioned fundamental backdrop indicates that the path of least resistance for spot prices remains to the downside, although traders may prefer to move sideways ahead of a key central bank event that could occur next week. The Fed is due to announce its decision at the end of its two-day meeting next Wednesday. This will be followed by the BOJ's policy update on Friday, which will determine the next leg of directional movement for the USD/JPY pair. Nevertheless, the pair remains on track to end the second week in the negative. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
#PYTH/USDT: Bullish Breakout Ahead! SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:PYTH /USDT: Long Position🚀 PYTH is forming a descending wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal setup. The price has consolidated and is approaching a breakout point. If the price breaks above the wedge resistance, a strong upward move can be expected, with significant upside potential indicated in the chart. Entry Point: Current Market Price (CMP) Additional Positions: Add more if the price dips to the support zone near 0.25 USDT. 🎯Targets: $0.39 $0.49 $0.65 $0.72 (Final target) ⛔Stop Loss (SL): $0.24 to manage downside risk. ⚖️Leverage: Use leverage cautiously, between 5x and 10x depending on your risk tolerance. DYOR NFA #Cryptocurrency #Crypto #XRP
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
XAUUSD | Short from Resistance or NEW All Time High ? Everyone's favourite precious metal has been in a near month long range zone for the last few weeks following a surge to the all time high level of $2,532 and a range low of $2,471 in where gold has been stuck in consolidation even with Non Farm Payroll which failed to break this strong range zone. Most recently we have seen a large bullish surge in momentum that has driven gold from $2,484 to the now resistance topside of the range at $2,536 where it is likely to see another fractal pivot bring price back into the range however that being said with todays upcoming USD releases for the CPI + Inflation Rate traders are anticipating if this could be the day we break the topside and push for another all time high which could be likely but as always is a 50/50 gamble on such red flag events. Price action wise I will be aiming for the short range from $2,515 - $2,502 with a continuation of the range likely for the next 2 weeks, but as per any high impact news day I will be looking closely at the market structure and volume during these events whilst utilising correct risk management and preferable being out of my trades before and seeing where suitable entries lie following such events. What are your thoughts ? Let me know in the comments below :)
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDShort
by OfficialKieranTrewick
Silver Analysis. H4 12.09.2024Silver Analysis. H4 12.09.2024 An interesting situation is fprming in silver. I haven't reviewed it for a while, but a cool pattern is forming now. The price is forming an exit to the upper boundary of the range and fixing near the margin. On the way we made accumulation and buyers' zone 28.50-28.85 in case of correction to which we can buy with targets to renew the highs. The main volumes remained at the bottom and will be a support for the price.
CAPITALCOM:SILVERLong
by KovachTrader
#DOGS #Analysis #Eddy#DOGS #Analysis #Eddy From the point of view of price action, it is in a descending channel, it has hit the channel ceiling for the third time, and now it is ready to fall to the bottom of the hypothetical channel, and after the third hit with the channel floor, within the specified limits, if confirmed simultaneously on the market, you can enter the price Invest in the specified areas and professional traders can also get into the attractive long futures market with the divergence that will happen in that area.
by Eddy_Trade_