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WILL THE S&P 500 COME CRASHING DOWN? TRIPLE RSI DIVERGENCE?!S&P 500 (SPX) Is considered to be one of the primary benchmarks for the U.S economy. Recently it appears to be showing a triple bearish RSI divergence, DMI indicating bearish with ADX above 20, and a bearish MACD on the 1 Month chart. The technical analysis seems to have a highly bearish hypothesis in my opinion. If we give some thought to Ray Dalio's Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order , some haunting indicators appear to be forming. Could this just be a minor correction? Or is this the beginning of an extended economic downturn? Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
SP:SPXShort
by TRADEABLESKUNK
Gold can exit from wedge and drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Price action on Gold has shown strong bullish momentum earlier, as it broke out of the previous upward channel and started forming an upward wedge. The rally gained traction once the price left the buyer zone between 3006 - 3025 points, pushing through multiple resistance levels and creating a new structure of higher highs. After the breakout from the wedge’s support line, the price continued to grow and eventually reached the upper boundary of the wedge pattern. Here, we saw a clear reaction and reversal, signaling potential exhaustion among buyers. Currently, the price is trading just below the upper wedge resistance and has already made a pullback after the latest local high. Given this structure and the fact that the wedge pattern is tightening, I expect gold to reverse again and decline toward 3270, which is my first TP. If pressure continues, the price may drop to the 3210 current support level as TP2. The reaction from the upper wedge boundary, combined with weakening momentum and a strong support area below, supports my bearish outlook for now. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
15
GOLD - After upward movement, price can correct to support areaHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 After a long, steady climb inside a rising channel, Gold pushed through local resistance and gained momentum. The move extended beyond the channel's top, marking a fresh high near $3240 points, attracting strong attention. But after this sharp push, the price began losing steam and rolled into a soft pullback phase. Now, Gold is holding just above the $3160 area, retesting the zone that was previously broken upward. Volume is slowing down, and the price action shows hesitation without follow-through on the upside. I believe Gold could roll over from here and revisit the $3130 support area in the coming sessions. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WalterMoon
9
EURO - Price can drop to $1.1200 points, exiting from pennantHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price traded inside a flat structure with weak movement and low volatility in a tight range. Then the Euro made a breakout and formed a strong impulse, reaching resistance and creating a new local high. After that, price entered a pennant and made a short correction, but then continued rising with momentum. Later, it touched resistance again and started forming a triangle pattern with a tightening structure. Now price is near the upper boundary of the triangle and trades above $1.1135 support without a clear breakout. In my opinion, Euro can reverse from resistance and decline to $1.1200 in the next move, thereby exiting from pennant. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
9
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 18, 2025 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is down to 142.25 in thin trading session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) is declining against the Japanese Yen (JPY) amid concerns over the economic impact of tariffs. Data released by the Statistics Bureau of Japan on Friday showed that the national consumer price index (CPI) rose 3.6% in March, up from the previous reading of 3.7%. Meanwhile, the national CPI excluding fresh food was 3.2% y/y in March, up from 3.0% previously. The reading was in line with the market consensus. Finally, the consumer price index excluding fresh food and energy rose 2.9% y/y in March vs. the previous reading of 2.6%. The Japanese Yen remains strong against the US Dollar as an immediate reaction to Japanese inflation data. However, JPY gains may be limited as Bank of Japan (BoJ) officials signalled a pause in the consideration of interest rate hikes, emphasising the need to monitor uncertainty heightened by US tariff measures. Economic data from the US on Thursday was mixed. US initial jobless claims fell to their lowest level in two months, signalling a stable labour market. In addition, the Philadelphia Fed index fell short of expectations, a warning shot from the manufacturing sector. Trade recommendation: SELL 142.05, SL 143.40, TP 139.80
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Gold Hits New Highs as US-China Tensions Escalate 📌 Gold Outlook: US-China Trade Tensions Fuel New Bullish Wave Amid Policy Uncertainty 🧨📈 🌍 Geopolitical Drivers Taking the Lead On April 15th, President Donald Trump ordered an investigation into potential tariffs on all critical minerals imported into the U.S. – a move seen as the latest escalation in his ongoing economic confrontation with global trade partners, most notably China. This development has shaken overall market sentiment, prompting investors to rotate into safe-haven assets like gold, which has surged in response. At the same time, the U.S. Dollar weakened sharply, nearing 3-year lows last week, further increasing gold’s appeal for holders of other currencies. 🏦 Central Bank Uncertainty Adds Fuel to the Fire Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stated that the central bank would not intervene to “rescue” markets during turbulent periods, suggesting that volatility may persist as hedge funds unwind leverage and global investors remain cautious. He emphasized that the current volatility may be driven by shifting trade policies and broader uncertainty — which he said is “too early to fully diagnose.” With central banks showing no immediate intent to inject liquidity or cut rates, the bullish case for gold remains strong in the coming weeks. 📊 Technical Outlook: New Highs in Sight, But Volatility Will Be Sharp Gold continues to print new ATHs, and the dominant strategy right now is to trade with the trend — which clearly remains bullish. In such an environment, sudden drops are normal and not necessarily tied to any single news event. Rather than attempting to short the market near highs, we are focusing on catching bullish continuation setups after sharp intraday corrections. These will likely form at support zones or classic continuation patterns on M15/M30 timeframes. 🔍 Price Levels to Watch 🟢 Support Zones: 3314 – 3300 – 3284 – 3266 🔴 Psychological Resistance: 3380 – 3396 – 3410 💼 Trade Plan BUY ZONE: Entry: 3300 – 3298 SL: 3264 TP Targets: 3304 → 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3324 → 3330 → higher SELL ZONE (Psychological Reaction Only): Entry: 3396 – 3398 SL: 3402 TP Targets: 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370 ⚠️ Final Thoughts We remain firmly buy-biased, especially as gold continues to be driven by macro and political catalysts. Pullbacks should be welcomed — not feared — and seen as opportunities to scale into longs at structure. While intraday drops may appear sharp and sudden, they often lack fundamental backing and provide the best entry conditions for continuation traders. Be cautious with shorts — unless reacting to extended psychological resistance zones. Always trade with a clear plan and never forget to honor your TP/SL levels to safeguard your capital. 💬 How are you navigating gold during this surge in global tension? Are you buying dips or waiting for a deeper correction? Let us know below! 👇👇👇
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
If Nike Were Born Today: The Hypothetical Valuation of a New-AgeAbstract Nike is one of the most recognizable brands on the planet, yet its valuation often lags behind newer, tech-driven companies with far less global influence. What if Nike were launched today — with its current revenue, market dominance, and brand power — but operated like a modern D2C startup with a tech DNA? This research explores what Nike would be worth in today’s market conditions, showing just how undervalued it may actually be when compared to new-age companies. 1. Introduction Nike, Inc. (NYSE: NKE) is a global sportswear powerhouse with over $51 billion in annual revenue and a footprint in more than 170 countries. It has shaped athlete endorsement culture, built a generational brand, and transformed consumer behavior. Yet its current market capitalization sits around $80 billion — modest compared to newer players with less revenue but tech-first narratives. This article dives into a simple but powerful hypothetical: If a new company replicated Nike's current revenue and global dominance today, how would the market value it? 2. Nike Today: A Snapshot Metric Value FY2023 Revenue $51.2 Billion Market Cap (Apr 17, 2025) ~$80 Billion Net Profit Margin ~10.5% P/E Ratio (TTM) ~17.9 Brand Value (Forbes, 2020) ~$39.1 Billion* Global Reach 170+ Countries *According to Forbes' Most Valuable Brands, Nike ranked #13 globally with a brand value of $39.1 billion in 2020. Other rankings (e.g., Interbrand 2023) place Nike's brand value even higher at $53.7 billion. Despite being a category leader, Nike trades at a modest 1.6x sales multiple, compared to modern companies that command 5x, 7x, or even 30x+ valuations. 3. New-Age Valuation Framework Today’s market rewards: Tech-first operations High-margin D2C models Recurring revenue (subscriptions, memberships) Community-driven brand growth AI, personalization, and digital experiences Let’s compare valuation multiples: Company Sector Revenue Market Cap P/S Ratio Nike Apparel $51.2B $80B ~1.6x Lululemon Apparel SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:9B $50B ~5.5x Salesforce SaaS $34B $240B ~7x Nvidia AI/Chips $60B $2.3T ~38x 4. What Would a “Modern Nike” Be Worth Today? If a new company today built: $50B+ revenue Global presence and branding like Nike D2C-first, tech-enabled business 40–50% gross margins with scalable digital ops Then, even at a conservative 6x revenue multiple, its valuation would be: $50B × 6 = $300 Billion And that's before factoring in: AI-driven retail personalization Creator monetization ecosystems Loyalty programs and recurring revenue streams Lower inventory risk with tech-driven fulfillment 5. Brand Value Through Royalty Method Using the Royalty Relief Method: Brand-attributable revenue (90% of $51.2B) = FWB:46B Royalty rate = 6% Annual royalty = $2.76B Present Value (8% discount rate): $2.76B ÷ 0.08 = \boxed{~$34.5B} Nike’s brand, purely from an intellectual property lens, is worth significantly more than market pricing implies. 6. Why Nike Seems Undervalued Categorized as a traditional apparel retailer vs. tech-first brand Slower YoY growth relative to newer disruptors Wholesale-heavy model impacts margins Market overlooks its cultural dominance and brand loyalty If Nike shifted its model to fully digital, leaned into AI and subscriptions, and emphasized platform economics, its valuation could more than double. 7. Conclusion Nike, if built today, would not be an $80B company — it would likely be valued between $300B and $400B. That’s the gap investors often miss. Nike isn’t just a shoe and apparel brand — it’s global IP, media, culture, and influence. Yet in today’s market, it trades like a legacy retailer. If a startup were to achieve what Nike already has, it would be considered a generational tech unicorn. Nike isn’t overvalued — it’s misunderstood. About This Research This research article was developed using AI-powered analytical tools, historical data modeling, and comparative valuation logic to explore hypothetical scenarios around Nike’s valuation. It combines financial fundamentals with modern market heuristics to offer a data-driven perspective on brand valuation in the context of today’s tech-driven economy. Disclaimer The information provided in this article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. The analysis, opinions, and projections expressed are solely those of the author and are based on publicly available data as of the time of writing. This article is a hypothetical research exploration and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities mentioned herein. All trademarks, brand names, and company references (including Nike Inc., Nvidia, Salesforce, etc.) are the property of their respective owners and are used for illustrative purposes only. The author is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by any of the mentioned companies. Investing in the stock market involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. Readers are strongly advised to do their own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor or other qualified professionals before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The hypothetical scenarios and valuations discussed in this article are speculative in nature and are not guarantees of future company valuations or performance.
NYSE:NKE
by IDONTKNOW2
Bitcoin can exit from triangle and drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The chart shows how the price previously made a strong decline, followed by a sharp rebound from the buyer zone between 77800 - 79000 points. This recovery formed a short-term uptrend, which led the price back into the seller zone, where bullish momentum slowed down. After testing resistance, BTC formed a wedge pattern that eventually broke to the downside, causing a new wave of correction. Following this drop, the market rebounded again from support and began forming a triangle pattern. The triangle developed inside the same larger resistance area that had already rejected price action before. The structure of the triangle shows lower highs with clear resistance along the 88500 level, reinforcing bearish pressure. Currently, BTC is trading near the apex of this triangle, and the price just bounced down again from resistance. This reaction suggests that the market is struggling to push higher and could be ready for a breakdown. Based on the triangle structure, the seller zone rejection, and the multiple failed attempts to break higher, I expect BTC to move downward toward the 80000 points, which I consider as TP1. The 79000 - 80000 area also coincides with the next major support and previous accumulation zone. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
6
HelenP. I Gold will make correction movement to support zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a strong breakout from the ascending structure, price continued its bullish momentum and reached a fresh local high near 3340 points. This impulsive rally was preceded by a steady upward trend inside a rising channel, where the price showed multiple rejections from the lower boundary and the trend line, particularly near the 2970 level, which also matched with the key support zone at 2950 - 2970 points. The upward movement accelerated once Gold broke through the previous resistance zone around 3160 points, which is now acting as support. That level also coincides with the upper edge of the earlier consolidation area, making it a key zone for potential future reactions. At the moment, the Gold is trading far above the trend line and is extended from its last confirmed support structure. Given the sharp vertical impulse and the lack of significant pullbacks, I expect a downward correction toward the 3175 - 3160 support zone, which is my current goal. This area remains critical for evaluating the next buyer reaction and further trend continuation. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
6
Crude Oil AnalysisFenzoFx—Crude Oil started a bullish wave from $55.15, trading at around $62.20. Momentum slowed near $63.90 resistance. The Stochastic Oscillator indicates short-term overpricing as Crude Oil remains below $63.90, keeping the bearish trend intact. Price may dip toward $58.90 support, with further pressure potentially driving it to $55.15. If Crude Oil surpasses $63.90, the bearish outlook invalidates, targeting $65.10 resistance. >>> No Deposit Bonus >>> %100 Deposit Bonus >>> Forex Analysis Contest All at F enzo F x Decentralized Forex Broker
TVC:USOILShort
by FenzoFxBroker
GBP/USD Fundamental Update (17.04.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.3320 2nd Resistance – 1.3369 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
19
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 17, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims GBP/USD broke its seven-day winning streak, slipping to 1.3230 in the Asian session on Thursday after retreating from a six-month high of 1.3292 reached on Wednesday. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading above 99.60 at the time of writing, supported by stronger-than-expected consumer spending data for March. US retail sales rose 1.4% in March, beating February's 0.2% increase and the forecast of 1.3%. The Pound Sterling (GBP) is under pressure after softer than expected UK Consumer Price Index data for March. Core inflation rose 2.6% year-on-year, lower than the 2.7% expected and February's 2.8% reading. The core consumer price index, which excludes food, energy, alcohol and tobacco, rose 3.4% - in line with forecasts but slightly lower than the 3.5% previously. The monthly core CPI rose 0.3%, falling short of forecasts and the previous reading of 0.4%. Notably, services inflation - a key indicator for the Bank of England (BoE) - fell to 4.7% from 5.0%, reinforcing expectations of a potential rate cut at the Bank of England's May meeting. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3190, SL 1.3280, TP 1.3010
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USD/JPY(20250417)Today's AnalysisMarket news: U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September last year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 143.10 Support and resistance levels: 144.08 143.72 143.48 142.72 142.48 142.11 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 143.10, consider buying, the first target price is 143.48 If the price breaks through 142.72, consider selling, the first target price is 142.48
Long
by BraveTigercat
XRP/USDT Breakout Pattern (15.04.2025)The XRP/USDT Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2.0158 2nd Support – 1.9362 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
12
NZD/CAD Fundamental Update (17.04.2025) The NZD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.8138 2nd Support – 0.8077 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
1
XOM - Bearish in 4 months more DOWNTREND The price of XOM has gone too far with the MA200. It will have to return to the MA200 as soon as possible if it does not want to crash. Let's take a look at its price on the WEEK frame. MA50 and MACD support bearish. On the DAY frame, the volume decreased, the price movement was low, the candles were very weak. The possibility of continuing the downtrend is very high. Price target up: $105.94. Price now: $104.56 (11:15 AM, 04.16.25). Price target down: $98.00/ $91.84. The price history will repeat itself as in Q4 2023. IMO amateur trader.
NYSE:XOMShort
by haboston
Euro may correct to support area and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price started its movement inside a tight upward channel, gradually rising from lower levels. After a steady climb, the Euro broke out of the channel with a strong impulse, entering a buyer zone between 1.0870 - 1.0910 points. This zone acted as a strong base, and from there, the pair accelerated upward, eventually reaching the upper boundary of a wide horizontal range. After multiple rejections near the range’s top, the pair finally made a breakout and exited above resistance, confirming the shift in momentum. The growth didn’t stop there - price continued its rally, reaching the current support area between 1.1320 - 1.1280 points, which now aligns with a strong horizontal level at 1.1280 points. This area was successfully retested and defended by buyers. Currently, the price is consolidating slightly above this support, forming a local correction after the recent impulse. As long as this structure holds and the support area remains intact, the bullish pressure is likely to resume. Given the breakout, the strong base from the buyer zone, and the bullish market structure, I expect the Euro to continue growing toward the 1.1550 level, which is marked as my current TP1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
20
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 16, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 15:30 EET. USD - Retail Sales 20:30 EET. USD - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Speaks EUR/USD is trading in positive territory around 1.1285 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The US dollar (USD) is currently trading near a three-year low against the euro (EUR) as trade tensions persist. On Monday, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said that the Trump administration's tariff policy was a major shock to the US economy that could force the central bank to cut rates to prevent a recession even if inflation remains high. At the same time, Atlanta FRB President Raphael Bostic said the Fed should hold rates until there is more clarity. The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to cut interest rates by 25 bps on Thursday amid growing recession fears related to US tariffs.Analysts believe the ECB may cut all three key interest rates at its April meeting on Thursday. The ECB cut interest rates for the second consecutive time in March, bringing the deposit rate to 2.5 per cent. Further cuts would bring the rate down to 2.25%. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1260, SL 1.1360, TP 1.1080
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Gold Hits New ATH Amid Escalating US–China Tensions📌 Gold Hits New ATH Amid Escalating US–China Tensions: How Far Can It Go? 🧨📈 Gold has reached another all-time high (ATH) as geopolitical tensions between the United States and China intensify. Markets have become incredibly sensitive, reacting sharply to political rhetoric and economic policy shifts from the world’s most powerful leaders. As investors grow increasingly uneasy, gold continues to serve its role as a safe haven — but the real question now isn't whether gold will rise, but rather: how high can it go? 🌍 Geopolitical Sensitivity at its Peak A single tariff threat or retaliation can trigger gold to surge by $30–$50. Conversely, a pause in policy or a diplomatic “cool down” can cause price to drop hundreds of points. In this environment, political narratives are driving markets more than technical setups. This is one of those rare moments where fundamentals and news flow completely overshadow traditional chart signals. Even textbook candle confirmations are losing reliability — clean bullish closures are often followed by equally strong bearish rejections. 📊 Key Levels to Watch Support Zones: 3,280 / 3,268 / 3,258 / 3,240 / 3,230 Resistance Zones: 3,292 / 3,302 / 3,310/ 3330 ⚙️ Trading Zones 🔽 Sell Zone: Entry: 3,330 – 3,332 SL: 3,336 TP: 3,325 → 3,320 → 3,315 → 3,310 → 3,300 📈 Buy Zone #1: Entry: 3,270 – 3,268 SL: 3,264 TP: 3,274 → 3,278 → 3,282 → 3,286 → 3,290 → 3,300 📈 Buy Zone #2: Entry: 3,240 – 3,238 SL: 3,234 TP: 3,245 → 3,250 → 3,255 → 3,260 → 3,264 → 3,268 → 3,274 → 3,280 → OPEN ⚠️ Final Thoughts & Risk Advisory With geopolitical tensions rising and volatility surging, trading gold requires extra caution. Avoid chasing momentum blindly — even strong confirmations can flip without warning. This is a market driven by emotions, news headlines, and global uncertainty, not just technicals. Always stick to your trading plan, and more importantly: respect your SL/TP at all times. 💬 How are you approaching gold in this macro environment? Share your views below – are you holding long or fading the rallies? 👇👇👇
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
USD/JPY(20250416)Today's AnalysisMarket news: U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September last year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 143.10 Support and resistance levels 144.08 143.72 143.48 142.72 142.48 142.11 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 143.10, consider buying, the first target price is 143.48 If the price breaks through 142.72, consider selling, the first target price is 142.48
by BraveTigercat
Tata Consumer Products Ltd a bearish harmonic Gartley pattern Tata Consumer Products Ltd has formed a **bearish harmonic Gartley pattern, completing at point D near the 1.395 Fibonacci extension—typically a reversal zone. RSI is near overbought, suggesting caution. Based on this technical setup, the stock may face **selling pressure**, making it a sell recommendation with a target of ₹1,040 and a stop loss at ₹1,135. If the price breaks above ₹1,135 with strong volume, trend bias can shift bullish, but currently, it's best viewed with a short-term bearish outlook. for educational purposes only
NSE:TATACONSUMLong
by rmhetre15
GBP/CAD – Price Hits Key Supply ZonePrice has now reached a key supply zone around the 1.8468 – 1.8500 level, a region where strong selling pressure previously caused a sharp drop. This area aligns with previous structure and volume imbalance, making it a critical zone to watch for potential rejection or reversal. We can observe: Strong bullish momentum leading into the zone Previous distribution and drop from this level Clean break of internal structure on the way up What to watch for next: Bearish reaction or confirmation candles from this zone could signal potential short setups A strong breakout and retest might invalidate the zone and open room for further upside This area deserves close attention — patience is key before committing to a trade. Wait for price action confirmation.
Short
by jshafx
EUR/USD Bearish Setup Unfolding Below Key Resistance📊 Technical Analysis of EUR/USD (4H Chart) 🧭 Chart Overview: Current Price: ~1.1350 Indicators Used: EMA 50 (Red): ~1.1311 — acting as dynamic support. EMA 200 (Blue): ~1.1114 — aligns closely with major support zone. 📌 Key Levels: 🔼 Main Resistance Zone: 1.1375 – 1.1400 Price has tested this zone multiple times, forming a potential double top pattern. Strong bearish pressure observed each time price enters this area. 🔁 Minor Resistance (Retest Zone): ~1.1325 – 1.1345 Currently acting as a decision zone. If price fails to hold above this level, it could turn into resistance on the next bearish leg. 🔽 Support Zone: 1.1100 – 1.1130 Converges with EMA 200 — making it a high-probability demand zone. Potential target for the anticipated drop. 🧠 Price Action & Structure: Market showed a strong bullish rally previously, breaking through resistance levels. Now showing signs of exhaustion at the top. Bearish scenario projected with a lower high forming below the main resistance, followed by a sell-off toward the support zone. ⚙️ Possible Scenarios: Bearish Scenario (High Probability): Price rejects the minor resistance → breaks below EMA 50 → continues lower to support. Target: 1.1110 area. Bullish Scenario (Low Probability): Price reclaims and closes above 1.1375 with strong momentum. Potential breakout and continuation toward 1.1450+. 🧩 Confluences Supporting Bearish Bias: Lower high formation potential. EMA 50 starting to flatten. Failure to maintain momentum above main resistance. Clean drop path toward 1.1110 if support breaks. 📉 Conclusion: This setup favors short-term bearish movement, particularly if the price rejects around the 1.1345 level again. A breakdown below the minor resistance zone would likely trigger a sell-off toward the 1.1110 support, in line with the 200 EMA.
Short
by MrStellanSight
6