Analysis
GBP/USD Wedge Breakout (30.1.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.2519
2nd Resistance – 1.2571
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 30, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair is trading slightly higher around 1.24450 in the early hours of European trading on Thursday. The moderate decline in the US dollar is providing some support to the major pair. Investors will be keeping a close eye on the preliminary US gross domestic product (GDP) data for the fourth quarter (Q4), due for release later today.
GBP/USD spun in a tight circle on Wednesday, briefly dipping into the 1.24000 area after the Federal Reserve (Fed) left interest rates unchanged. Interest rate futures markets generally predicted no movement on interest rates as the Fed sees little reason to rush into further rate cuts. The second half of the trading week will see the release of key U.S. data to see if the Fed did the right thing.
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve (Fed) left rates unchanged as futures markets had predicted, with Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reiterating that the Fed takes a data-dependent approach when adjusting rates. Fed Chairman Powell noted that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is closely watching what policies US President Donald Trump will pursue, but denied that the newly elected US President has been in direct contact with the Fed.
Fed Chairman Powell said that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is closely monitoring what policies US President Donald Trump will pursue, but denied that the newly elected US president has had direct contact with the Fed. As an independent federal agency, the White House has little influence over policy recommendations made by the Federal Reserve.
Fed Chairman Powell also noted that while inflation is still trending toward the medium target level, the current economic landscape, as well as some concerns about the sweeping trade policies pursued by US President Trump, mean that the Fed is in no hurry to adjust the restrictive nature of rates. Betting markets have lowered their bets on a Fed rate cut in 2025. According to CME's FedWatch tool, rate futures markets are pricing in no change in the federal funds rate until June at the earliest.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.24500, when fixing above it consider Buy positions, when rebounding consider Sell positions.
EUR RALLY ON ECB MEETING?Trading Plan for ECB Rate Decision
1. BASELINE 📊
- Market Expectations for Interest Rates: The market is anticipating a rate cut by the ECB, with a forecasted main refinancing rate of **2.90%** down from **3.15%**. The STIR markets have priced in a 50 bps cut, suggesting strong expectations for a reduction.
- Upcoming Event Predictions: Consensus is that the ECB will cut rates by either 25 bps or 50 bps to stimulate the economy due to lower inflation and weaker-than-expected growth.
- Trend Analysis: The ECB has been lowering rates since last year in response to economic challenges. This trend is likely to continue.
- Pre-positioning Observation: The flat movement in the proprietary euro index suggests cautious pre-positioning, indicating that significant moves might occur post-announcement.
2. SURPRISE⚡ :
- 25 bps Cut: If the ECB cuts rates by **25 bps**, it could lead to an upside in the euro due to repricing, as the market has priced in a 50 bps cut.
- 50 bps Cut: If the ECB cuts rates by **50 bps**, it might be seen as expected, leading to a less significant market reaction.
3. BIGGER PICTURE 🌐
- Short-term Play: If the ECB cuts rates by **25 bps**, initiate a short-term intraday trade on the predictable directional volatility, taking advantage of the potential upside in the euro due to repricing.
- Long-term Play: The broader expectations for future interest rates remain unchanged, suggesting that neither scenario will alter the bigger picture significantly.
EUR/JPY 4H Chart Analysis – Gap Fill Incoming?EUR/JPY 4H Chart Analysis 🏆📊
🚀 Current Price: 162.308
📍 200 EMA: 162.099 (Dynamic Support)
🔥 Key Levels & Insights:
🟥 Major Support Zone (Red Area - 162.000)
✅ Price recently bounced off this level, showing strong buying pressure.
✅ If price holds above 162.000, a bullish continuation is likely.
📈 Gap Zone (Orange - 163.000 - 163.500)
🔍 There’s a price imbalance above, meaning price could be drawn towards it.
🔼 Gaps act as magnets! A move up to fill the gap is likely.
📊 200 EMA (162.099) - Crucial Level
🚦 Price is hovering above the 200 EMA. If it remains above, we can expect further bullish momentum.
🔮 Price Prediction & Trade Idea
📌 If price breaks and holds above 162.500, expect a 🚀 move towards 163.500.
📌 Rejection from 163.500 could bring a pullback 📉 back to 162.500.
🚨 Risk Alert:
🔻 If price drops below 162.000, bears might take control, pushing it to 161.500 or lower.
💡 Final Thoughts:
👉 Bulls 🐂 need to break 162.500 to push towards 163.500.
👉 Bears 🐻 will gain control if price loses 162.000.
🔥 Verdict:
✅ Bullish Bias if price stays above 162.000.
🚀 Target: 163.500 (Gap Fill).
🔻 Invalidation: Below 162.000.
BoC Rate Decision. Is the path for USDCAD is further up?With the upcoming BoC and Fed rate decisions, we are wondering, what may happen with FX_IDC:USDCAD pair? CAD has been on a sharp decline and continues to devaluate further. Let's dig in and see what might be the near-term outcome.
MARKETSCOM:USDCAD
RISK DISCLAIMER
74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can drop from resistance level to $98K pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago, the price declined to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and started to trades close. A few moments later, BTC rebounded to 100K points, after which made a correction back to the 93500 support level and even fell to the support zone. After this, the price turned around and started to grow to a resistance level. When BTC reached this level, it rebounded, dropped back to the support zone, and even lowered to 91K points. Then the price tried to grow, but failed and declined to the trend line. But soon, the price turned around and made a strong impulse up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, broke this level, and continued to move up. Bitcoin reached a new ATH and then made a correction back to the resistance area, where it some time traded and a not long time ago reached the trend line, broke it, and dropped below the 102700 level, breaking it too. So, in my mind, BTCUSDT will reach a resistance level and then rebound down. For this case, I set my goal at 98K points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
DEGEN/USDT Technical Analysis✅Key Support Zone: $0.0058 - $0.0062
✅ Major Resistance Levels:
First Target: $0.0154
Second Target: $0.0220 - $0.0228
Final Target: $0.0256
📉 Market Structure:
The price is currently testing a strong historical support zone around $0.0060, which has previously acted as a demand level.
A potential double bottom formation could be developing, signaling a possible trend reversal.
If the price holds above the white support zone, we might see a bullish bounce towards the next resistance levels.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above $0.0075 and a successful retest would confirm bullish momentum.
If the price sustains the higher low structure, it could target $0.0154, then $0.0228 in the mid-term.
🔻 Bearish Risk:
A breakdown below $0.0058 could invalidate this setup, leading to further downside.
Watch for volume confirmation before taking any trade.
⚠️ Trading Strategy:
🔹 Long Entry: After confirmation of a bounce from support.
🔹 Stop Loss: Below $0.0055 to manage risk.
🔹 Take Profit Targets: $0.0154, $0.0228, and $0.0256.
NVIDIA is DONE? Or it is a good entry point? NVIDIA: Analyzing the Recent Price Drop and Long-Term Prospects
Greetings, this is Ronin. Today, we’ll dive into what happened yesterday with NVIDIA’s stock and why market panic is no reason to surrender. Let’s break down the situation step by step to understand the real drivers behind this decline.
What Happened?
Yesterday, the market was shaken by news from China: the development of a new artificial intelligence (AI) system that is cheaper to build and requires fewer computational resources. In response, NVIDIA’s stock plummeted, triggering concern among investors.
The key issue fueling the sell-off was fear of an AI sector revaluation. After NVIDIA’s meteoric rise of +200–300% over the past two years, even the slightest doubt can cause significant price fluctuations.
However, let’s not view the market through a lens of panic. Drops like this are temporary corrections, and here’s why NVIDIA remains a powerhouse in its industry.
Market Volatility: A Natural Phenomenon
Imagine a river encountering a sudden boulder. The current becomes turbulent, water splashes and roars, but eventually, the river finds its way forward. Similarly, in the market, fundamental news about technological breakthroughs can stir things up, but capital always flows back to strong, stable assets.
Looking at NVIDIA’s chart, we can identify several local support levels where prices have repeatedly rebounded during past periods of market turbulence. These levels indicate that the current panic is not a collapse but rather a pullback within a long-term trend.
Why NVIDIA Remains Strong
Beyond Artificial Intelligence
NVIDIA’s products are not limited to AI development; they are integral to numerous high-tech sectors:
GPUs that are the gold standard in the gaming industry.
Solutions for data centers, automotive industries, and cloud computing.
Trump’s AI Investments
Former President Donald Trump recently announced a $500 billion investment in the U.S. AI sector. This substantial funding will bolster domestic demand for NVIDIA’s products.
Technological Leadership
NVIDIA produces processors unmatched in performance. Even if Chinese AI outperforms in certain areas, no country will completely dethrone NVIDIA. Competition? Yes. Dominance? Unlikely.
Long-Term Forecast
Short-term pullbacks are a natural part of market cycles. When news sparks panic, assets that previously showed enormous growth inevitably experience corrections. However, this does not negate long-term potential.
Key Figures:
2-Year Growth: +200–300%.
Current Correction: -12% in a day.
Long-Term Growth Outlook: NVIDIA’s annual revenue growth is still expected at 30–40%, according to analysts.
NVIDIA’s stock drop is a temporary event driven by short-term revaluation. Once liquidity returns and the panic subsides, the stock is poised to resume its upward trajectory.
Conclusion
The market has always been a stage for emotions to play out. But a true trader knows: when everyone is panicking, it’s time to act.
Chinese AI? It’s just another player entering the vast technological field. NVIDIA, on the other hand, remains a titan that sets the standard.
Panic comes and goes, but trends endure. With NVIDIA, we’ll witness many more peaks. This is Ronin. See you at the top of the charts! 📈💎
Is DeepSeek really a threat to Nvidia?There are so many opinions circulating the internet right now, that it is difficult to get our heads around. Here is our opinion on what could happen with NASDAQ:NVDA stock in the near future.
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
RISK DISCLAIMER
74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
GOLD - Price can break mirror line and fall to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price broke $2585 level and entered to flat, where it continued to grow and reached $2720 level.
After this, price made a correction movement, after which some time traded and then bounced back.
Then Gold turned around and in a short time declined to $2585 level, after which started to move up between mirror line.
Price rose to $2720 level one more time and then broke it, thereby exiting from flat too and then continuing to grow.
But a not long time ago Gold started to decline and at the moment it trades almost near to mirror line.
Possibly, price can rise a little and then fall to $2720 level, breaking mirror line one more time.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
China strikes NVIDIA: The company loses nearly $500 billionThe stock price of #NVIDIA fell by 13.93%, closing at $118 on January 27 , following the success of Chinese startup DeepSeek in artificial intelligence.
The plunge in NVIDIA’s shares was triggered by the rising prominence of DeepSeek, whose AI model R1 surpassed OpenAI in key metrics, raising concerns over the U.S.’s leadership in IT technologies. The market capitalization of companies like NVIDIA dropped by over $1 trillion.
Last week, DeepSeek unveiled an updated model capable of providing reasoning-based answers, while its development costs remain significantly lower than those of competitors. This has raised doubts about the necessity of high investments in AI accelerators. Satya Nadella of Microsoft highlighted the importance of carefully analyzing developments from China.
DeepSeek’s advancements have disrupted the AI market, leading to a sell-off of U.S. tech stocks. Futures on the NASDAQ-100 (#NQ100) fell by 4%, while shares of European and Japanese semiconductor and tech companies also declined.
NVIDIA is facing significant market challenges, which are already impacting its future prospects. However, the demand for innovation may open new avenues for growth.
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 28, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) weakened during the Asian session on Tuesday, moving away from the six-week high recorded earlier against the US dollar (USD). The weakening was driven by investor concerns over the impact of US President Donald Trump's trade policy. Tougher rhetoric on trade tariffs, in particular statements about new duties, undermined the yen's position as a defensive asset. An additional pressure factor was the rise in US Treasury bond yields, which attracted capital flows into dollar assets.
Amid the recovery of the US dollar, which reached the lowest level since 18 December, the USD/JPY pair approached 155.00. Despite the current weakness of the yen, analysts believe that its significant decline is unlikely. This is due to expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates, supporting the national currency.
On the other hand, the US Federal Reserve (Fed), according to forecasts, may cut interest rates twice in 2025, which will put pressure on the dollar. A rate cut could reduce the attractiveness of US assets and hamper further growth of the USD/JPY pair.
Investors will closely follow macroeconomic data and speeches of central bankers. USD/JPY is expected to remain in the range of 154.50-155.50, but any change of rhetoric from the Fed or BoJ can significantly affect the market dynamics.
Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 155.00, trading mainly with Sell orders
XAG/USD Channel Breakout (28.1.2025)The XAG/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 29.26
2nd Support – 28.88
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
USD/JPY -H1- Bearish FlagThe USD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 154.30
2nd Support – 153.52
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
XAUUSD Analysis: Potential Bearish Pullback Towards Key Support📉 XAUUSD Daily Analysis 🔍
🚨 Potential for a Bearish Pullback 🚨
Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a potential downward move after rejecting a key resistance level. If this momentum continues, we could see the price heading towards the support zone at 2680/2670.
💡 Key Insights:
📌 Market rejection at resistance = possible bearish momentum.
📌 Target support area: 2680/2670.
📌 Risk Management: Stick to 1-2% risk on trades.
⚠️ Historical Note:
When the market last hit an all-time high, it saw a sharp one-day drop. Stay cautious!
💬 Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively.
USD/CHF Poised for a Bullish Breakout: Path to Parity Bullish Scenario 🚀📈
1. Breakout Above the EMA (200) 🔺:
If the price closes above the 200-week EMA (0.9082), it could confirm a long-term bullish trend reversal.
A strong push may target key levels like 0.9500 and eventually 1.0000 (parity) 🎯, as shown by the projection arrow.
2. RSI Support 💪:
The RSI above 50 indicates that buyers are gaining momentum.
If RSI trends toward 70, it signals even stronger bullish momentum ✅📊.
3. Higher Highs and Higher Lows 📶:
The chart is forming higher highs and higher lows, a classic signal of an uptrend.
This pattern supports a move toward higher price levels 🚀.
🔥 Key Takeaway: A breakout above the EMA could spark a powerful rally, with parity (1.0000) as a major psychological target.
USD/JPY Market Update: Support Holds and Resistance Levels AheadUSD/JPY has held firm at the support level and is now returning to a buy zone. Currently, the market is at 156.500, with the next resistance level set at 159.000.
I’ve explained the market clearly in my chart analysis for easier understanding.
If anyone has questions, feel free to ask in the comments or send me a message in my inbox.
Thank you for your support—like, comment, and follow for more updates!
XRP 1HR ANALYSIS 🚨 XRP 1-Hour Analysis 🚨
Here’s what we’re watching:
📈 Upside Targets:
• TP1: 3.39
• TP2: 3.67
📉 Downside Targets:
• TP1: 2.88
• TP2: 2.60
So we have to watch out for level. If XRP stays below 3.11- 3.07 then you can target downside targets and if above then you can target above levels mentioned as TP(take profit)
Keep an eye on key levels and trade smart! 💹
Does WTI Oil have enough energy to travel back up?After an unsuccessful breakout in mid-January, MARKETSCOM:OIL made its move back down. That said, it's currently finding support near the 200-day EMA. On one hand, it may seem that this is the place for a potential rebound, however, the bulls should not get their hopes up, because there some indication for a possible drift further south. Take a look at the video idea.
TVC:USOIL
RISK DISCLAIMER
74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
USDILS - At Clear Support Zone. Towards 3.61000?FOREXCOM:USDILS is at a support zone that has consistently acted as a reversal point for bearish trends. The current market structure suggests that this support zone could once again provide a potential buying opportunity—provided that there is clear bullish confirmation.
If buyers confirm their presence with signals like long lower wicks or bullish engulfing patterns, we could see a move toward 3.61000.
However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish scenario and signal potential for further declines.
Key Levels to Watch:
Bullish Target: 3.61000
Stop Loss: Below the support zone
Patience is crucial—wait for clear bullish confirmation before entering long positions. What’s your view on this setup? Share your thoughts in the comments!