Sell EUR/CHF Bearish FlagThe EUR/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.9392, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.9327
2nd Support – 0.9290
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.9420. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Analysis
BITCOIN in trouble? check this out first... There is no doubt that Bitcoin is in a downward trending channel. As you can see in this analysis, Bitcoin has been in a bearish sequence since the highest point (#1), bouncing within the channel until it was rejected at point #5, which did not break through our green confirmation zone and instead dropped to the purple inefficiency zone.
If you look closely, the purple inefficiency zone has shown significant strength for months (since April). It's a crucial area because when the price reaches it, there is a strong volume and buying pressure.
There are only two possible moves the price could make this week:
Move 1: The price could stay in our purple inefficiency zone and consolidate, accumulating for its next bullish trend. Note: Point #5 was a total rejection and decided to disrupt the sequence that Bitcoin had from point #1.
Move 2: The price could simply respect a large-scale supply and demand zone, in which case we might see the price continue to drop, allowing it to enter a demand zone and then take off into a bullish market.
What will happen? We really don't know, but what we can conclude from this postis that since the beginning of this analysis several weeks ago, the price has moved in our favor just by using basic price action concepts.I am very satisfied with this analysis, and I'm glad you were able to benefit from it, if you have been following this analysis closely, The price has been moving according to our prediction, And whenever I see these kinds of charts or analyses, I remember the words my mentor used to tell me: always remember that the price action is always right.
I sincerely appreciate your trust and support in my study.
I send you a warm greeting, and always stay alert for the next move.
-RM
$BTC Update - Can bitcoin price touch $100-150K milestone?I have already shared bitcoin fundamental confirmations on X.
Here are some technical confirmations related to bitcoin 👇
1. Major Bull flag pattern!
2. Big supply at $68K-58K has been succesfully flipped.
3. Hash Ribbon Buy signal!
4. Pi Cycle indicates BTC is yet to form a cycle top!
5. Weekly 50, 100, 200 EMA as support!
6. NO weekly or monthly RSI bearish divergence.
Monthly RSI has not yet touched 85-90.
7. Binance funding rates turned negative for the first time since September 2023.
IF YOU LIKE THIS UPDATE, PLEASE BOOST & FOLLOW. THANKS.
The Problem of Fundamental Analysis in the Crypto MarketFundamental analysis in the traditional financial markets involves evaluating a company's intrinsic value through a variety of metrics, such as earnings, revenue, and growth prospects. However, applying this same approach to cryptocurrency networks presents unique challenges. Cryptocurrencies operate on decentralized networks, and their value often stems from factors that don't align with conventional financial metrics.
Key Challenges:
Traditional Metrics Fall Short:
Cryptocurrency networks are not companies with revenues, profits, or physical assets. Therefore, traditional metrics like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios or revenue growth don’t apply.
Misleading Social Media Data:
Social media presence and subscriber count might seem like indicators of a project’s popularity or potential, but these figures are easily manipulated. Fake followers, bots, and exaggerated engagement can create a false impression of legitimacy and success.
Isolated On-Chain Metrics:
While on-chain metrics provide valuable insights, they can be misleading if analyzed in isolation. For instance, a high number of active addresses might suggest widespread usage, but without context, it doesn't reveal whether these addresses represent genuine users or automated bots.
Relevant On-Chain Metrics:
Number of Transactions: Indicates the level of network activity, but doesn’t differentiate between meaningful transactions and spam.
Transaction Cost: Reflects the cost of using the network, which can indicate demand, but also congestion or inefficiency.
Active Addresses: Shows how many unique addresses are participating, but could be skewed by the creation of multiple addresses by a single entity.
Commissions (Fees): High fees might indicate network demand, but can also point to issues like scalability problems.
Hashrate or Coins in Staking: High hashrate or staking levels suggest network security and confidence, but can also centralize control if dominated by a few large players.
Design Indicators:
Whitepaper: This document outlines the project's goals, technology, and roadmap, but its value depends on the technical understanding of the reader and the honesty of the team.
Project Team: The experience and reputation of the team are crucial, but the anonymous or pseudonymous nature of many crypto projects complicates assessment.
Competitors: Understanding a project's competitors helps gauge its potential, but the fast-paced nature of the crypto space means that new competitors can emerge quickly.
Tokenomics: The economic model of the token, including supply, distribution, and incentives, is vital, but poorly designed tokenomics can lead to inflation or lack of demand.
Financial Indicators:
Capitalization: Market cap is often used as a quick measure of a project’s size and importance, but can be misleading in low-liquidity markets.
Liquidity: High liquidity indicates that an asset can be traded quickly without affecting its price, but low liquidity can lead to price manipulation.
Emission Method: The way tokens are issued (e.g., through mining, staking, or ICOs) affects supply dynamics, which can influence price stability and long-term viability.
In summary, while fundamental analysis in the crypto market is challenging, a multi-faceted approach combining on-chain metrics, design indicators, and financial indicators can offer valuable insights. However, these should always be interpreted with caution and in context, given the unique dynamics and rapid evolution of the cryptocurrency landscape.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
---
• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
• For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
BTC turns bearish might test 54k...Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
BTC is in the daily down channel as mentioned last week. My thoughts was that it could be testing its channel high. But monday's move didnt show any signal for me to go on long. And after, the rest of the down move is history. Looking at the PA now..it seems that if weakness comes in, it could be testing 54k...Let's see
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
*********************************************************************
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
*********************************************************************
Usdjpy if break higher ,crosses like GJ AJ will breakup too...Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
If we see a weaker jpy this week , and if UJ manage to break up higher. AJ GJ will see more break to the upside too. On the same note, index should be breaking its recent high too!
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
*********************************************************************
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
*********************************************************************
GbpNzd more downside coming to at least 2.08Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
*********************************************************************
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
*********************************************************************
EURAUD to move down side...Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Instead for this week i am bearish on EURAUD, but waiting to see some retracement before shorting. Let's see how the PA plays out this week.
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
*********************************************************************
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
*********************************************************************
USD Last week,light news, USD bounce during mid of last weekHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
As mentioned last week to be cautious on shorting USD , it came to play during midweek that there was a bounce. Nice.
This week might see continued retracement to $102.25 area and let's see if there's more hint from this coming week's NFP for USD direction. A couple of high impact news for USD this week. Trade with care!
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
*********************************************************************
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
*********************************************************************
Buying an Algorand to trade on the spot market.#ALGOUSDT
There are many factors that indicate the possibility of buying:
1. The strength index suggests that a rebound is possible in the short term.
2. We have already seen a complete bearish correction of A, B and C.
3. According to technical analysis, we have reached the bottom zone.
4. At the moment, the first and second waves have formed, and a long third wave is expected to follow. However, the target ($0.6495) can be reached by both the third and fifth waves.
Good luck to you!
Please note that these are just my expectations. There is no financial or investment advice here. All of the above information is provided for informational purposes only.
USDNOK Is Still Eyeing June LowsUSDNOK is sideways for the last two years that looks like a triangle within uptrend. It's an ABCDE pattern where wave E can be in play, ideally still to the lower side of a range for subwave (C) after the recent subwave (B) rally. Notice that we see price turning sharply and impulsively from the upper triangle resistance line as expected, so wave (C) is in full progress which can push the price down to 10.30 - 10.00 support zone before we will see stabilization and recovery.
USDNOK is not at the June lows yet, so we believe it's still in wave 4 correction before a continuation lower for wave 5 towards 10.30 – 10.00 zone. Ideal resistance is at 10.60 – 10.70 area.
Visa (V): Chart Analysis Update We hope you remember our previous analysis on Visa. The price reacted to our target area and has since increased following the latest drop. We now believe that Wave ((iv)) is complete and that we are currently in Wave ((v)). A level around $305 or even slightly higher should be possible for Visa before breaking the current local low at $253.
Once this Wave ((v)) is complete, concluding the overarching Wave 3, we plan to send out a limit for new entries.
EURAUD SELL TF H4 TP = 1.6323 On the H4 chart the trend started on Aug. 06 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 1.6323
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
Coffee - Is price going to drop from supply zone of feb 2022???Hey traders coffee is at highs of feb 2022, it does tend to drop in August to September time, and now were at this high commercials are selling coffee and id rather be on there side than retailers who are still buying.
So I am going to sell....
Please like comment and follow cheers
This chart material is for education purposes only / Demo account should be traded only
Knock Knock. Who's There? Vibecession Ft. US Interest RatesHello Everyone,
IMPORTANT: ALL FED POLICIES LEAD TO NEGATIVE OUTCOMES
TLDR AT THE END
In February 2022 the Federal Reserve gave us the fastest rate raising campaign in history to try and combat very high inflation, but they were very late in raising rates causing one of the worst inflation in 40 years. During his speech at Jackson Hole he confirms rate cuts in September due to inflation being under control and the labor market "cooling." Good news is inflation is under control, however this is only the start of our labor market "cooling."
Jerome Powell is extremely late in cutting rates and will be cutting rates because we are getting BAD economic data and the cracks are showing in our labor market, commercial real estate, and banking sectors.
The Federal Reserve 100% KNOWS a recession is coming that is why they are cutting rates. We have Jerome Powell come up on stage sweet talk to us about a soft landing, inflation under control, and how he will cut rates to help the labor market. He's not going to be instilling fear in Americans as a chairman.
Just Remember, ALL FED POLICIES LEAD TO NEGATIVE OUTCOMES. Recession is coming, Sahm rule and inverted yield curve hasn't been wrong and it won't be wrong this time. This time it's not different.
TLDR: Jerome Powell is too late in cutting rates causing a recession
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 29, 2024 EURUSDEUR/USD trimmed recent gains on Wednesday, sliding lower after hitting new highs for the year as expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September keep risk appetite in the broad market under a ceiling.
There is little of interest on the economic calendar for the middle of the trading week, but Thursday will see the release of US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, which will be closely watched. Little movement is expected, however, as markets generally estimate second quarter GDP growth at an annualized rate of 2.8%.
Friday's data promises to plunge markets into a trance of boredom with the release of the fresh Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation figure for the EU at the start of the European session. EU core HICP inflation is expected to continue to decline across the board. It is forecast to be 2.8% y/y in August, down from the previous reading of 2.9%.
US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index inflation, due on Friday, remains the key reading of the week and investors are shuffling their feet waiting for signs that inflation will continue to fall, or at least not rise fast enough for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to get on the rails for the much-anticipated rate cut on September 18.
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Sell orders from the current price level
View1177 is the level. If 30 min candle closes above 1177 level tomorrow then you can go long in Axis Bank. You can buy Axis bank sept futures or Axisbank 1180 AUG PE. Keep SL at 50% of premium received . Example if you short Put @12 then keep SL @18 and book SL in futures if the Option premium reaches 18.
Sell EUR/GBP Bearish FlagThe EUR/GBP pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.8428, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.8396
2nd Support – 0.8377
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.8440. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
CADCHF - Trend ContinuationThis is a downtrend continuation trade I'm eyeing over on the CADCHF pair. Although the ADX is declining, I think this is a small pause before we see momentum accelerate again. Price failed to reverse to the upside and I'm timing this entry as price breaks below new lows.
TP: 75 pips (2x ADR)
SL: 30 pips
QQQ sold off today and plummeted in after hoursQQQ started to finally show selling with momentum for first day in nearly a week of slowly selling.
It looks as though distribution phase has passed and selling with momentum has begun.
After hours etf continues to slide dramatically
Bulls have lost with bears firmly in control at the moment
The after hours sell we are experiencing now could possibly cause it to gap down on open then get filled in the morning before selling continues.
EURUSD Is Rising In An Impulsive Five-Wave CycleEURUSD is coming higher, possibly breaking out of a triangle on a higher time frame chart, as market breaks above 1.1140, so it seems that some big moves can be happening. In fact, we clearly see higher highs and higher swing lows on 4h time frame, that looks like a wave 3 from the last two weeks, so more upside can be coming after a current pullback. Support on dip for wave four is at 1.11, from where market can be headed up to 1.1250-1.13. Trend will change below 1.10.