Get started

Analysis

Fundamental Market Analysis for February 18, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) attracted some sellers during Tuesday's Asian session, which, along with a slight rise in the US dollar (USD), helped the USD/JPY pair to stage a modest recovery from the 151.250 area or more than a one-week low. Investors welcomed US President Donald Trump's delay in imposing retaliatory tariffs. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor undermining the safe-haven yen. However, a significant Yen depreciation still seems unlikely amid rising bets for an interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), helped by the release of robust Q4 Japanese GDP data on Monday. Meanwhile, the BoJ's hawkish expectations have led to a significant rise in Japanese government bond yields to multi-year highs. In addition, the recent decline in U.S. Treasury yields, supported by expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), has narrowed the differential between U.S. and Japanese rates. This may further deter traders from aggressive bearish bets on the lower-yielding yen. Thus, it would be prudent to wait for strong buying before confirming that the USD/JPY pair has bottomed and positioning for further recovery. Trading recommendation: BUY 152.000, SL 151.300, TP 153.100
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
XAU/USD Pullback or Reversal? Key Support Zone in Focus!📊 Gold (XAU/USD) Daily Chart Analysis – Feb 16, 2025 🔹 Current Price: $2,882.48 (-1.57%) 🔻 Recent High: $2,939.98 🔻 Recent Low: $2,877.03 🔴 200 EMA: $2,562.04 (Long-term support) 🧐 Key Observations: ✅ Strong Uptrend: Price has been in a bullish trend since late 2024. ✅ Support Zone: A key demand zone around $2,850 - $2,870 (highlighted in blue). ✅ Trendline Retest: The price is testing the trendline, which could act as support. 📉 Possible Scenarios: 🔹 Bullish Case: If buyers step in at the support zone, we could see a bounce towards $2,950 - $3,000 🚀. 🔹 Bearish Case: A breakdown below $2,850 may trigger a deeper pullback to $2,800 - $2,750 ❄️. 🎯 Trading Plan: 📌 Buy Setup: Look for bullish confirmation (e.g., reversal candles) in the support zone before entering long. 📌 Sell Setup: If the price closes below $2,850, short positions could be considered with targets near $2,750. 🔥 Final Thoughts: Despite today’s pullback, gold remains bullish unless key support levels break. Watching price action around the blue zone will be crucial! 📢 Traders, what’s your take? Are we bouncing or breaking down? Let’s discuss! 👇💬 #Gold #XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MrStellanSight
Silver (XAG/USD) Gaining Momentum – Next Target $32-$33?Silver is showing strong bullish momentum, currently trading around $31.53, with a +1.25% gain. The price has broken above key resistance levels and is now trading above the 200 EMA (currently at $30.48), which signals a potential continuation of the uptrend. There's a fair volume range above, along with an internal liquidity level (Int. LQ), which could act as the next target. The market has already filled a previous market block (MB), suggesting that the structure is clean for further upside. If this bullish momentum holds, the price could push toward $32 - $33 in the short term. A retest of support near $30.50 (200 EMA) would still keep the uptrend intact.
OANDA:XAGUSD
by MrStellanSight
USDCAD Bearish Breakdown: Retest & Drop Incoming? USDCAD Daily Chart Analysis 📉🔥 1️⃣ Trend Breakdown: The pair was in an uptrend but has now broken below the ascending trendline, signaling a potential bearish shift. 2️⃣ Resistance Zone (Supply Area) 🟦: The 1.4350 - 1.4450 region acted as resistance, rejecting price strongly. Multiple rejections in this area indicate strong selling pressure. 3️⃣ Bearish Confirmation 📉: Price is now trading below the broken trendline. The recent daily candle closed bearish, confirming sellers are in control. 4️⃣ Key Support Areas 🔍: 1.3957 (200 EMA) → A crucial dynamic support level. 1.3916 → Previous key level that may act as strong demand. 5️⃣ Projected Move ⬇️: Price may retest the broken trendline (pullback). If rejection occurs, further drop towards 1.3950 - 1.3910 is likely. 📌 Final Thought: A bearish move is in play! Watch for a pullback to retest the broken structure before considering further shorts. If price breaks below 1.3950, expect further declines. 💭 What’s your bias? Bulls 🐂 or Bears 🐻?
Short
by MrStellanSight
4
EUR/USD Breakout Imminent? Key Resistance in Focus!📊 EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Incoming? 🚀 🔹 Key Levels: Resistance Zone (Blue Box): Around 1.0450 - 1.0500 Support Zone (Red Box): Around 1.0250 - 1.0300 200 EMA (Red Line): Acting as a dynamic resistance near 1.0663 🔹 Price Action & Structure: Price is testing a strong resistance zone (blue box) after multiple failed attempts. A clean breakout above this level could trigger a bullish rally towards 1.0600 - 1.0700 (next resistance). If rejected, a pullback towards 1.0300 before another attempt is possible. 🔹 Market Sentiment & Bias: ✅ Higher lows forming = bullish pressure building. ✅ Break and retest scenario likely, as indicated by the projection. ✅ 200 EMA remains a key target for bulls. 📈 Potential Trade Setup: Breakout above 1.0500 → Buy opportunity Rejection → Short-term pullback before another attempt 🎯 Bullish Confirmation Above 1.0500 📊💹
Long
by MrStellanSight
XAU/USD 30-Min Analysis – Bullish Reversal & Breakout SetupGold (XAU/USD) - 30-Minute Chart Analysis 🏆📊 Key Observations: Market Structure Shift (CHOCH - Change of Character) 🔄 The chart marks a CHOCH, signaling a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. This suggests that the recent downtrend may have concluded, and buyers are stepping in. Liquidity Grab & Stop Hunt 🎯 The price dipped below the SELL STOP level, likely triggering stop-loss orders. A sharp rejection followed, indicating strong buying interest at lower levels. 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) as Dynamic Support 📈 The price tested the 200 EMA (2,885.011) and bounced off, reinforcing the bullish case. This suggests that institutional traders might be accumulating positions near this zone. Bullish Breakout Potential 🚀 The highlighted grey box represents a potential order block or accumulation zone. A breakout above this area could confirm the bullish continuation towards the target level (2,942.963). Trade Setup: Entry Zone: Retest of the grey accumulation zone (around 2,894 - 2,899). Stop-Loss: Below the recent low (around 2,880). Target: 2,942.963 (previous resistance & psychological level). Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.5:1 (optimal for a trade execution). Final Thoughts: 🔸 If price holds above the breakout zone, we could see a strong rally towards 2,942. 🔸 If it fails to hold and falls below 2,880, expect further downside retracement. 🔸 Bullish sentiment is favored, but confirmation is key! ✅
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
2
XAU/USD Breakout – Targeting $2,950?XAU/USD (Gold) 1H Chart Analysis 🏆📊 🔹 Current Price: $2,926.285 🔹 Recent High: $2,927.305 🔹 Recent Low: $2,923.840 🔹 200 EMA Support: $2,870.242 (far below current price) Key Observations & Setup ✅ Breakout Confirmed: The price has broken out of a descending trendline, signaling bullish momentum. ✅ Target Zone: The red resistance zone near $2,945 - $2,950 is the next potential target. ✅ Potential Move: Price is expected to climb toward this resistance area before facing rejection or continuation. ✅ Support Levels: If the breakout fails, the previous resistance (now support) around $2,915 - $2,920 could be tested. Trading Plan 📈💡 Bullish Play: If price holds above the breakout level, targeting $2,945 - $2,950 could be a solid setup. Bearish Rejection: Watch for rejection at the resistance zone for possible short opportunities. EMA Support: The 200 EMA remains far below, reinforcing overall bullish sentiment unless a major pullback occurs. 📢 Final Thoughts: This is a classic breakout & retest scenario. If momentum sustains, we could see a push into the resistance zone. Stay cautious for any rejection signals! 🚀🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
Bitcoin Holds Strong: $100K Breakout or Pullback Ahead?#Bitcoin Update Bitcoin remains in a tight consolidation phase after rebounding from key support. Support at $93,700 Holding: BTC has successfully defended the ascending trendline and 200 EMA, showing strong buyer interest around this level. Range-bound movement: The price continues to hover between the ATH resistance and the lower support, forming a key accumulation zone. Breakout Watch: A daily close above the $100,000 resistance could lead to a breakout, while a failure to hold support may trigger a correction. Traders should keep an eye on BTC’s next move, as volatility could increase soon. DYOR, NFA #BTC #Crypto
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
2
EURSEK at Key Support Level - Will Price Rebound to 11,364?OANDA:EURSEK is in a significant support zone, which has been a turning point for bullish moves. The recent bearish pressure brings the price into this critical area, creating a potential buying opportunity. If bullish signals appear, such as strong buying volume or bullish candlestick patterns, I expect the price to move toward 11,364, . However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further downside. Traders should be patient and wait for confirmation of bullish strength before entering long positions. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management, Best of luck , TrendDiva
Long
by TrendDiva
1
EURNZD - Sell Setup at Key Resistance ZoneOANDA:EURNZD is currently trading in a clear resistance zone that has consistently acted as a barrier for bullish momentum. This area aligns with prior supply levels and could attract some seller interest. If rejection patterns, such as bearish engulfing candles or long upper wicks, emerge, I anticipate a move toward 1.83500 . However, a break above this zone could signal a potential shift in market sentiment. This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation before jumping in.
Short
by TrendDiva
9
PLATINUM - Sell Setup at Key Resistance ZoneOANDA:XPTUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, an area where sellers have previously stepped in to drive prices lower. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, making it a level to watch for potential rejection. If price struggles to break above and we see bearish confirmation, I anticipate a pullback toward the $1,021 level. However, a strong breakout and hold above resistance could invalidate the bearish outlook, potentially leading to further upside. This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation before jumping in. I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments. Best of luck , TrendDiva
OANDA:XPTUSDShort
by TrendDiva
6
The Ugly Truth of Technical Analysis...Even though this may be an extremely unpopular opinion on this topic, realizing this simple truth may be what makes or breaks a profitable trader. The truth is this... Drawing lines on a chart does not predict any price movement, and there are more factors in play than simply price action It doesn't matter what the gurus on the internet say about some "secret strategy" or a "secret indicator", anyone with common sense should automatically ignore content like that. Firms like NYSE:JPM , NYSE:GS , NYSE:MS , etc. , spend billions upon billions of dollars just to figure out how to trade the market with efficiency, but some random 19 year old on the internet figured out how to beat these mega-firms with a free indicator. Yeah right. However, I'm not saying that technical analysis doesn't work or that it shouldn't be used; I'm simply saying to reconsider your strategy and use common sense before donating your money to Wall Street banks. Below is an example of technical analysis working perfectly on NYSE:UNH for the 1D timeframe looking back into April of last year. This would have been a textbook channel breakout trade, in which the trader takes a short when the bottom trendline is broken (or the candle closes below the trendline). It would have resulted in a maximum of 17% gain on naked short shares if the bottom penny is the exit price (which is virtually impossible). So there you have it... technical analysis works perfectly and I have proven myself wrong.... right? No. . Now let me show you what really happened. Here is the same exact chart, but this time with a piece of key information shown. As it turns out, there was nothing technical in play at all in this price action, but rather a "fundamental" or a "tangible" aspect was the price driver. An example like this should also show you that not providing sufficient information and taking charts out of context can be done by literally anyone. If you think you can predict the future with some geometric shapes, bars, and non financial, fundamental, or tangible analysis, better than the top Wall Street firms, I say good luck to you. WITH THAT BEING SAID, this does not mean that trendlines, price areas, value gaps, and other technical indicators are completely invalid, but it does mean that there is more to the story than what is on the chart. Always review news, sentiment, financials, analyst ratings, and other key oscillators to gauge every trade. Disclaimer: The indicators used on the chart are only for illustrative purposes of a cluttered chart. I am neither saying that they are accurate nor inaccurate.
NYSE:UNH
by addatheriver0808
#AIXBTUSDT: Get Ready for a Breakout! Short Still the Priority?BYBIT:AIXBTUSDT.P is showing significant weakness after a prolonged downtrend, and now the market is at a critical level. Buyers failed to initiate even a minor rebound, indicating strong selling pressure. 🔎 Key Factors Right Now: ✔ Current Price: $0.23480 ✔ Daily Change: -10.76% ✔ Key Levels: 🔹 Resistance: $0.38080, $0.31670 🔹 Support: $0.22063 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💡 Main Signals Influencing the Market: 📌 No rebound after the drop – the lack of buying pressure increases the chances of further decline. 📌 Empty space ahead – below $0.2206, there are no strong support zones, meaning a sharp drop could follow. 📌 Closing near a critical level – price remains at risk, increasing the likelihood of a breakdown. 📌 Breakout from consolidation – the asset has left its range, signaling the potential formation of a new trend. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📉 Main Scenario: Continued Decline 🔻 If BYBIT:AIXBTUSDT.P breaks below $0.2206, the market may accelerate downward: ✅ Target 1: $0.2100 – the nearest technical support. ✅ Target 2: $0.1955 – a zone where a short-term bounce could occur. ✅ Target 3: $0.1780 – a major support level where stronger buyer resistance is expected. 📢 Short remains the priority as long as price stays below $0.2300. A breakdown of $0.2206 could trigger liquidations and accelerate the drop. Be cautious with long positions – there are no strong reversal signals yet. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🟢 Alternative Scenario: Bullish Reversal If BYBIT:AIXBTUSDT.P holds above $0.2300 and starts to recover, potential targets include: ✅ Target 1: $0.2700 – a local resistance zone. ✅ Target 2: $0.3167 – a level where a pullback is likely. ✅ Target 3: $0.3800 – a key resistance, breaking which could change the overall trend. 📢 A long entry is only valid if price holds above $0.2400. Reversal confirmation requires an increase in volume and stability above $0.2500. 📢 As long as the price is below $0.2300 – long positions remain risky. Conclusion : Critical Moment! Be Ready for a Sharp Move! 📌 BYBIT:AIXBTUSDT.P is at a make-or-break level – any move could lead to an explosive price shift. 📌 Sellers remain in control, but if $0.2300 holds, an unexpected rebound could happen. 📌 Short remains the main scenario, unless price successfully stabilizes above $0.2400. 🚀 Get ready for a major move! Watch $0.2206 closely – this level will determine BYBIT:AIXBTUSDT.P is next direction! 🔥
Short
by MoriartyTrading
A poem of the marketIn the financial markets, the Pin Bar candle is like a poem silently composed within the charts, a poem that tells the tale of the battle between buyers and sellers. This candle, with its long shadow, narrates the story of effort and defeat, as if one side sought to conquer the sky or split the earth, but in the end, was pushed back, leaving only a shadow of its aspirations. **The Bullish Pin Bar** is like a poet who, in the darkness of night, sees a star and, with hope for light, draws its long shadow toward the earth. It says, "The sellers tried to pull me down, but I, with the light of hope, rose again and conquered the sky." **The Bearish Pin Bar** is like a poet who, at the peak of day, sees a dark cloud and, with fear of darkness, casts its long shadow toward the sky. It says, "The buyers tried to lift me up, but I, with the force of reality, returned to the ground and embraced the darkness." The Pin Bar candle, with its small body and long shadow, is like a poem that encapsulates all the emotions of the market in a single moment. This candle, in its simplicity and beauty, reminds us that sometimes efforts do not yield results, and sometimes, turning back is the only way forward. Within this candle lies the story of hope and despair, effort and defeat, light and darkness—a story that repeats itself every day in the financial markets, each time narrated in a new language. "Taken from artificial intelligence."
Education
by eltd
XRP | BIG NEWS | How XRP Gets to $10A few weeks ago I made an update about rumors of Bank of America using XRP for its internal transactions. The United States is the world’s largest economy, with a GDP of about $27 trillion. If a major like Bank of America were to adopt the use of XRP, consider how it processes trillions of dollars every day. Imagine what this can do for the market cap. Currently, these transactions are run through traditional payment systems like SWIFT and FedWire. But if Ripple can come in with a real cost saving advantage, it's very likely that other banks may follow. Apart from internal transactions. these banks play a key role in global financial transactions, which means that any shift towards the XRP could lead to massive liquidity inflows and increased daily trading volume for the currency. In case of limited adoption within US banks, the price may rise to $2-5 in the medium term. In the event of widespread adoption within the United States, if XRP becomes a core part of the operations of major banks, the price could reach $10-20, but this would require fundamental changes in the financial infrastructure. In the event of global adoption led by the United States, the price could range between $20 and $50, but this requires years of development and legal regulation. __________________________ BINANCE:XRPUSDT
Long
by CryptoCheck-
5
#FARTCOINUSDT remains weak — expecting further downside📉 SHORT BYBIT:FARTCOINUSDT.P from $0.4570 🛡 Stop Loss: $0.4865 ⏱ 1H Timeframe ✅ Overview: ➡️ BYBIT:FARTCOINUSDT.P remains under selling pressure, forming a downtrend. The price is testing the $0.4570 level, which previously acted as support, but the market remains weak. ➡️ POC (Point of Control) at $0.5449 indicates the main liquidity zone, far above the current price. This suggests seller dominance, with major trading activity still at higher levels. ➡️ A breakdown of $0.4570 would trigger further downside, opening the way to $0.4350 – $0.4168. ➡️ The $0.4168 level is a key support, where buyers previously showed interest. ⚡ Plan: ➡️ Enter SHORT from $0.4570 after confirming a breakdown. ➡️ Stop-Loss at $0.4865, placed above the nearest resistance. ➡️ Key downside targets: $0.4350 and $0.4168. 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $0.4350 🔥 TP 2: $0.4168 🚀 BYBIT:FARTCOINUSDT.P remains weak — expecting further downside! 📢 The market structure remains bearish. Volume continues to decline, confirming the weakening buying interest. 📢 However, a short-term bounce at $0.4168 is possible. If significant volume appears at this level, a brief return to $0.4350 could occur, but the overall movement remains downward. 📢 BYBIT:FARTCOINUSDT.P is in a bearish structure, and unless $0.4570 is reclaimed, we are likely to see further downside movement. A short-term bounce at $0.4168 is possible, but the overall trend remains weak.
Short
by MoriartyTrading
2
GBP/NZD Trendline Breakout (10.2.25)The GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 2.2053 2nd Resistance – 2.2141 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
13
Gold Bullish Setup | Demand Zone Rejection & Upside Potential📈 Bullish Setup: The price recently touched a demand zone (orange box) and reacted upward. A large blue arrow indicates an expectation for price to rise towards the target area (gray box). 📊 Technical Indicators: 200 EMA (red line) at 2,894.263: The price is hovering around this level, which could act as dynamic support. Current Price: 2,897.660: Above the EMA, indicating a possible short-term bullish momentum. Key Support: 2,889.708 (orange label): If price breaks below, bullish bias might weaken. 🚀 Potential Trade Idea: Entry Zone: Around 2,895–2,897 (just above demand). Target: 2,912 (upper resistance). Stop Loss: Below 2,889.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
GBPCHF: Range BreakoutThis range breakout follows the same pattern as my other idea on CADCHF. In a very similar fashion, price has been in a range since September 2024. The upper range boundary has shown signs of weakening or breaching a couple of times over the past few months. However, price recently closed above this range level over the past two days, which indicates a higher probability of sustained breakout. The daily ATR is currently 64.3 pips. This sets my trading parameters at TP 32 and SL 64. Note that I'm only targeting 0.5x ATR because I scale into positions, but I also want to ensure I'm able to secure a profit with minimal holding costs.
Long
by FinancialGamblR
CADCHF: Range BreakoutCADHCF has been in a range since August 2024. This range is quite wide at approximately 160~ pips. Another observable detail is that the upper range boundary breached twice - once in November 2024 and then again last month, in January 2025. Right now, in early-February, price is showing signs of breaching the upper range boundary again. Unlike the previous breakouts, this one seems more sustained. Right now, the daily ATR is 41.4 pips. This sets my trading parameters at TP 20 and SL 41.
Long
by FinancialGamblR