OKBComprehensive OKB/USDT Analysis
🟢 Introduction:
The OKB token, native to the OKX exchange, is currently moving within a well-defined ascending channel. This analysis examines the price behavior within the channel and highlights Fibonacci targets. Precision in decision-making is crucial at this key juncture.
🔍 Technical Analysis:
1️⃣ Ascending Channel Status:
Current Movement:
The price, after hitting the midline of the ascending channel, has entered a correction phase and reached the daily support zone at $42.85 - $44.53.
Channel Significance:
The ascending channel is a critical structure for OKB. A breakout to the upside will face resistance but could trigger a strong bullish move if successful.
2️⃣ Possible Scenarios:
A. Bullish Scenario (Resistance Breakout):
Key Resistance Zone: $59.52 - $68.95
Fibonacci Targets in the Ascending Channel:
1.618 Level: $95.15 - $113.84
2.272 Level: $145.12 - $173.63
2.618 Level: $192.96 - $230.87
Sharp Movement:
A breakout above the channel could lead to a rapid and powerful move toward higher targets.
B. Bearish Scenario (Resistance Rejection):
If the price fails to break the red resistance zone, a decline toward the channel bottom and the gray support zone ($32.07 - $35.57) becomes likely.
3️⃣ Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Current Position: RSI is within a descending channel, sitting near its midline.
Bullish Potential: Support at this level could strengthen the move toward the channel’s top and higher targets.
📌 Recommended Entry Points:
Safest Entry: After a breakout above the red resistance zone ($59.52 - $68.95) and price consolidation above it.
Stop Loss: Below the gray support zone ($32.07 - $35.57).
Volume Confirmation: A valid breakout must be accompanied by an increase in buying volume. Breakouts without volume confirmation are likely to be false.
⚠️ Key Risk Management Tips:
Stop Loss: Ensure stop-loss orders are placed within the suggested zones.
Confirmation: Wait for a valid breakout and price stabilization before entering a trade.
Capital Management: Adjust trade size based on the sensitivity of the analysis to effectively manage risk.
✨ Final Conclusion:
Bullish Scenario:
If RSI support holds and buying volume increases during the resistance breakout, the price may move toward higher Fibonacci targets.
Bearish Scenario:
Failure to break the resistance could lead to a price drop toward the channel’s bottom and the gray support zone.
📊 Recommendation:
To minimize risk, only enter trades after observing a valid breakout and price stabilization in key zones. Decisions based on volume confirmation and breakout validations are crucial in this analysis.
🌟 Note:
This analysis is based on current market data and requires continuous monitoring for updates.
Analysis
Can a breakthrough to the upside be maintained of S&P500?From the technical side, we are seeing a small push higher, breaking above a short-term downside line. Despite this being a somewhat positive occurrence, we would rather wait to see where we close at the end of Friday. For more information, please see the video.
MARKETSCOM:US500
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74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
SOL/USDT: Are We Gearing Up for a Big Move?Take a step back and look at the big picture for SOL/USDT. There's a long-term head and shoulders pattern forming that could redefine where Solana is headed. Pair that with the Hurst cycles, and we have a cocktail of signals that just… works.
If this plays out, we might see a week-long breach of the upper trend line in the next 18 months—a move that would confirm higher highs are on the horizon.
This is the kind of setup that rewards patience. Do you see it breaking out, or is this just wishful thinking? Follow and share your thoughts below—let’s see how this one plays out. 🚀
Simple price action outlook - US30There's a lot of confluences to eye out on here on US30, it is simply printing signs all over. It is currently strong power candles going up and making a change of character. Over the last 24 hours, the candles have been forming a bullish flag pattern smoothly within bearish and bullish order blocks. Now it is up for this cyberspace to work its magic, hopefully repeating the rhythm of the past.
Silver (XAGUSD): Position Update and New TargetsBack in October 2024, we successfully closed our second position at the exact top of wave 3, capturing the peak before XAGUSD dropped by 17%. We’re still holding our first setup, which remains open with the stop loss set at break-even.
We believe the bottom of wave 4 was established around $29, and the chart now points towards a move higher into wave 5. Our focus is on a continuation above the Point of Control (POC) into the $31.35–$32.90 range. At that point, we’ll look for an entry during the pullback (wave (iv)).
Alerts are set, and we’re ready to capitalise when the opportunity arises.
XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) Analysis Hello Guy's Must Support Me And Share Your Thoughts In Comments Section Thanks Trade Safely
XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD),
Bullish trend moving within an ascending channel. Key elements of the analysis include:
1. Support and Resistance Zones:
Strong support is marked near the $2,665 - $2,657 range, indicating buying interest.
Resistance zones are around $2,710 - $2,735, aligning with the projected take-profit (TP) target.
2. Trend Channel:
The price is consistently moving within a bullish channel, suggesting upward momentum.
A breakout above the immediate resistance level could accelerate the bullish move.
3. Technical Pattern:
The chart hints at a consolidation phase near resistance, potentially forming a breakout pattern.
4. Projected Target:
The target price (TP) is set at $2,710, implying further bullish potential if resistance levels are breached.
Outlook: If the price holds above the immediate support and breaks the resistance, the uptrend toward $2,710 is highly likely. However, failure to maintain the channel could lead to a correction.
NOTE: This Analysis For Educational Purposes Only Not A Trading Advice
GOLD approaching key short-term resistance. What's next?Gold is moving in the upwards direction, despite the higher US CPI reading, which benefits the US dollar. However, there is a possibility that the higher inflation reading was already priced in and maybe this could lead to slower upside pace for the US dollar. Let's dig in...
TVC:GOLD TVC:DXY MARKETSCOM:GOLD MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX
RISK DISCLAIMER
74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish ChannelThe XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent Formation of a well-defined Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the Channel. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2709
2nd Support – 2729
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Fundamental Market Analysis for January 16, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is holding near 1.0295 in the early Asian session on Thursday. Lower than expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December raises the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates twice this year, putting pressure on the US Dollar. However, growing concerns over Eurozone economic growth could limit the major pair's gains.
The US Dollar (USD) declined after weaker than expected US core CPI data, fuelling expectations that the Fed's easing cycle is not yet over. Markets now expect the US central bank to cut rates by 40 basis points (bps) before the end of the year, compared to around 31 bps before the inflation data was released.
Across the ocean, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut rates four times last year and traders expect three or four changes this year due to concerns about the Eurozone's weak economic outlook. Rising bets on further ECB interest rate cuts could undermine the euro (EUR) against the U.S. dollar in the near term.
Later on Thursday, investors will be watching Germany's Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for December and the ECB monetary policy meeting report. In the US, the main events will be retail sales data for December and weekly initial jobless claims.
Trade recommendation: Watch the level of 1.0260, when fixing below consider Sell positions, when rebounding consider Buy positions.
Citigroup ($C): Fourth Test of Key Levels Since 2018The shares of Citigroup gained an impressive 7% today following its earnings report, which delivered a beat ✅. The company is projecting revenue between $83.5 billion and $84.5 billion for 2025, up from $81.1 billion last year and $77.1 billion in the year prior (excluding divestitures). Positive news for both the company and its investors!
We’ve been monitoring NYSE:C but haven’t found a trigger yet—this might change soon.
The stock is approaching its most significant resistance zone since 2018, a level tested three times in the past. Could the fourth test finally break through? We remain cautious, expecting that another pullback, even a minor one, might be necessary to push past $83. If this pullback materializes, we’ll evaluate opportunities to position ourselves.
Currently, there’s a bearish RSI divergence, and unless the stock can make a higher high compared to 2021, another major pullback remains possible. However, a short position doesn’t align with our strategy at the moment. We’d need to see a lower time frame structure change to consider that route.
This stock doesn’t lend itself well to Elliott Wave analysis as it has been trending sideways for years, and we’re not forcing patterns onto it.
Stay alert for future opportunities on NYSE:C
USD/CHF Wedge BreakoutThe USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.9094
2nd Support – 0.9063
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Solana Pulse: Is the Breakout Just Around the Corner?The Solana Market Stirs: A Turning Point Ahead?
The Solana (SOL) market, trading at $186.41, is teetering at a critical juncture. Despite standing 29.6% below its all-time high of $264.88 reached in November 2024, recent patterns indicate brewing momentum. The 50-day Moving Average (MA50) now sits below the 200-day Moving Average (MA200), signaling cautious sentiment, yet its proximity hints at a potential reversal. Simultaneously, the RSI at 46.38 suggests a market leaning toward oversold conditions, adding fuel to speculative buy signals.
Yesterday’s candlestick unveiled a notable VSA Buy Pattern—an archetypal signal for an upward move after price manipulation. Will the market surge past resistance levels at $192.57 and beyond? Or does this rally face exhaustion against bearish currents? The next move might determine the trajectory for weeks to come.
Are traders ready to seize this opportunity, or will hesitation cost them the climb? The market waits for no one—today could be the moment to act.
Historical Roadmap of Solana Market: Pattern Analysis That Worked
January 13th, 2025, 15:00 UTC – The Surge: VSA Buy Pattern Meets Momentum
A classic VSA Buy Pattern 3 emerged, forecasting a bullish breakout. The trigger point at $185.53 was perfectly tested as the price soared, closing higher at $186.58 in the following session. This pattern held its ground, with the market respecting the bullish direction and moving upwards, confirming the anticipated trajectory. Investors caught in the buy zone saw a 4.52% movement unfold, reinforcing this as a textbook upward setup.
January 14th, 2025, 07:00 UTC – Market Turns: Sell Volume Dominance
In contrast, the VSA Sell Pattern 2 hinted at a downward move with its main direction pointing south. The price began its decline from an open of $186.24, confirming the sell-off by closing at $185.51. This bearish sentiment played out accurately as subsequent prices respected the lower lows. Smart money taking shorts at this level maximized gains on this predictable pivot.
January 14th, 2025, 17:00 UTC – Reversal Play: Bulls Take Charge Again
The VSA Buy Pattern 3rd reappeared with bullish energy. Starting from $186.42, the market crept up to $186.58. This movement, though smaller in scale, validated the pattern’s bullish main direction. Buyers holding positions here witnessed steady upward momentum, setting the stage for further resistance tests.
Connecting the Dots: Patterns That Shaped the Chart
Directional Accuracy: Each confirmed pattern respected its forecasted direction, with subsequent candlesticks affirming the anticipated moves. Momentum Drivers: Bullish setups like the VSA Buy Pattern thrived, especially when trigger points aligned with market sentiment. Misses to Note: Any unconfirmed patterns have been excluded, ensuring focus remains on actionable insights. Key Takeaway: Both traders and investors gained confidence as historical patterns not only worked but provided strategic entry and exit opportunities.
What’s Next for Solana?
The roadmap shows a pattern of precise movements, confirming the strength of technical setups. With resistance at $192.57 just ahead, will the bulls manage to keep their momentum alive, or is the next turn a bearish storm waiting to brew? Stay tuned as these patterns continue to shape the market’s destiny.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Here’s a rundown of the most critical support and resistance levels in play for Solana. These levels are magnets for price action, and if they fail to hold, expect a swift role reversal, with former support becoming resistance and vice versa.
Support Levels
$223.20 – A powerful support zone. If bulls lose their grip here, this level could quickly flip to resistance, capping future rallies. $192.57 – The immediate line in the sand for the bulls. Failure to defend this level may invite aggressive selling pressure. $185.68 (MA100) – A dynamic support area aligning with moving averages. Watch for bounces or breakdowns around this point. $184.48 (MA50) – The frontline for near-term support. A break here could spell trouble for bullish momentum.
Resistance Levels
$192.57 – The first major barrier for bulls to conquer. This double-duty level is both a resistance and potential support pivot. $201.17 – A key psychological and technical zone. Watch for volume surges to confirm a breakout. $203.61 – A higher target within range. Failure here could indicate exhaustion. $214.76 – A line of strong resistance. Bulls need conviction to claim this territory. $224.20 – Top-tier resistance aligned with the powerful support zone at $223.20. If bulls reclaim this, it’s game on.
Powerful Resistance Levels
$157.83 – Previously a stronghold, now a ceiling. This level must be broken for a sustainable recovery. $99.98 – A key historical pivot. Any moves here signal high stakes. $73.07 – A distant checkpoint, currently irrelevant but critical in extended downtrends.
The Golden Rule
If these levels don’t hold their ground, their status flips, and they’ll act as tough hurdles for any future price moves. In this market, every level tells a story—watch for the clues!
Trading Strategies Using Rays: A Dynamic Approach
Concept of Rays: The Art of Dynamic Price Prediction
Rays, based on Fibonacci principles and geometric alignments, offer a predictive framework for price interaction zones. Unlike classical methods focusing on static highs and lows, rays begin from the start of a movement, adapting dynamically to new patterns. They are designed to define the movement’s boundaries and allow traders to identify optimal entry points post-interaction.
When price touches a ray, it often signals either a reversal or a continuation, with dynamic factors—like moving averages—playing a decisive role. Each movement is likely to progress from one ray to the next, offering clear targets for your trades.
Two Scenarios for Trading Rays
Optimistic Scenario
Price interacts positively with a key ray and finds support at MA50 ($184.48) or MA100 ($185.68), confirming a bullish continuation.
The first target becomes $192.57, aligning with a critical resistance zone.
Subsequent movements aim for $201.17 and $203.61, following a breakout above resistance.
Pessimistic Scenario
Price fails to hold above MA50 ($184.48) and tests lower dynamic supports near $157.83, a powerful resistance turned support.
If bearish momentum intensifies, the price targets $99.98 for the next support interaction.
Lower ray interactions at $73.07 may attract opportunistic buyers seeking a long-term reversal.
Potential Trades Based on Dynamic Levels
Trade 1: Long at $184.48 (MA50)
Price interaction with the ray and MA50 confirms support. Enter long, targeting $192.57 as the first goal. Breakout leads to $201.17 and potentially $203.61.
Trade 2: Short at $192.57 (First Resistance)
After a failed breakout attempt, initiate a short position targeting $185.68 (MA100). Monitor for support recovery or continuation lower.
Trade 3: Long at $157.83 (Powerful Support)
If price dips to $157.83, strong buying momentum is likely. Enter long, aiming for $184.48, and watch for further upside toward $192.57.
Trade 4: Short at $99.98
Breaking below $157.83 shifts sentiment bearish. Enter short as the price approaches $99.98, with $73.07 as a secondary target.
Key Notes for Execution
Always wait for confirmation at a ray level and ensure price respects the ray before entering a position.
Dynamic interactions with moving averages (MA50, MA100) strengthen trade setups.
Price tends to move from one ray to the next, offering clear staging points for partial profit-taking or re-evaluation.
Traders utilizing this structured approach can achieve clarity, discipline, and an edge by integrating ray dynamics with technical insights. Stay patient, and let the market confirm your strategy before diving in!
What’s Your Next Move? Let’s Talk!
Got questions? Drop them in the comments below! I’d love to hear your thoughts, ideas, or even challenges you're facing with your favorite assets. Don’t forget to hit Boost if you found this post insightful—save it to revisit later and see how the price action unfolds according to my analysis. After all, understanding those key levels is the secret sauce to successful trades!
The rays and levels you see here are mapped automatically using my private indicator-strategy, tailored to predict price movement with precision. Interested in accessing it? Shoot me a private message—I’ll walk you through the process. It’s available exclusively, and trust me, it takes the guesswork out of trading.
Need analysis for a specific asset? Let me know in the comments or DM me. I’m happy to create detailed setups—some I’ll share for free with the community, and others can be customized just for you if privacy is what you prefer. Whether it’s crypto, stocks, or forex, the rays work on every market, capturing the true flow of price action.
Make sure to follow me here on TradingView! That’s where I’ll be sharing more of these insights and strategies. Let’s build a smarter, more profitable trading journey together. 🚀
ETHUSDT: Balancing at the Edge of Momentum - A Key Moment?Ethereum is holding the line at $3223.29, a remarkable 21.6% dip from its historic high of $4111.26 just a month ago. While the RSI hovers at a balanced 54.14, hinting at neither extreme overbought nor oversold conditions, the market stands at a crossroads. The 50-day Moving Average ($3162.63) supports the current price, but the 200-day Moving Average looms above at $3281.81, underscoring potential upward resistance.
A recent sequence of VSA manipulation patterns has pointed toward intense selling pressure, adding complexity to Ethereum’s near-term trajectory. Yet, amidst this technical tug-of-war, the fundamental backdrop remains pivotal—global economic concerns and investor sentiment around interest rate hikes could be the catalysts for Ethereum’s next major move. Will ETH surge to reclaim the $3339.24 resistance level, or could this be the start of a deeper retracement?
Traders, are you ready for the challenge? The clock ticks on Ethereum’s decisive moment. Let’s dive deeper and navigate this potential breakout—or breakdown—together!
Roadmap of Ethereum Patterns: Turning Points in Price History
Let’s break down the sequence of Ethereum patterns, highlighting only those that successfully hit their triggers and followed their forecasted main directions. This roadmap dives into the real action, showing traders and investors how these patterns shaped Ethereum’s recent market moves.
1. January 13, 12:00 UTC: VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st - The Spark Ignites
This pattern marked the start of a strong upward move. The price opened at $3055.18 and closed slightly lower at $3045.18 but held within the bullish trigger zone. The main direction was clear: Buy. Following this, the price made a confirmed move above the trigger point and climbed further over the next three bars. The bulls were in control, as forecasted.
2. January 13, 14:00 UTC: Sell Volumes Max - Bearish Pressure Builds
The sell volumes surged, signaling potential downward pressure. Price action confirmed this bearish sentiment as Ethereum fell from $3058.53 to $3033.22. The main direction, Sell, played out perfectly, setting the stage for the next critical level. Bears were roaring, and the market listened.
3. January 13, 18:00 UTC: VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd - A Bullish Comeback
Ethereum rebounded with this pattern, opening at $3018.99 and closing at $3006.29. Although the price dipped initially, the bullish main direction held firm, leading to a bounce. The pattern accurately predicted the upward momentum that followed as Ethereum retested higher levels over the next six bars.
4. January 14, 00:00 UTC: VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 1st - A Pivot Moment
This pattern predicted a significant sell-off, and Ethereum didn’t disappoint. Starting at $3136.39 and closing at $3133.03, the price broke below the critical low of $2985.01, confirming the bearish trigger. The next few bars saw Ethereum sliding further, validating this as a pivotal moment for sellers.
5. January 15, 00:00 UTC: VSA Sell Pattern 1 - Final Bearish Push
The latest pattern in the sequence delivered another bearish confirmation. Ethereum opened at $3224.18 and closed at $3220.41, staying within the bearish direction. The move aligned perfectly with its trigger, proving its predictive accuracy as Ethereum continued lower into subsequent sessions.
Takeaway for Traders and Investors
This roadmap highlights how these VSA patterns played a critical role in identifying Ethereum’s turning points. Each successful pattern not only confirmed its direction but also gave traders clear levels to act on. By understanding and leveraging these patterns, you can stay ahead of the market’s twists and turns.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Here’s the ultimate cheat sheet for Ethereum’s current technical setup. These levels are where the action happens—support zones where buyers might step in and resistance levels that could cap any rally. If these levels don’t hold, flip the script: they’ll likely act as the next hurdles on the price’s journey. Let’s get tactical.
Support Levels
2985.01: This level has been tested multiple times and remains a strong foothold. A break below, and we’re looking at trouble.
3124.14: A critical mid-level to watch during pullbacks. If lost, sellers could gain full control.
3193.21: Buyers are eyeing this area for a potential bounce. Weak hands could turn this into resistance fast.
Resistance Levels
3339.24: Key overhead resistance; bulls need to break and hold above this for continuation.
3440.51: The next line of defense for bears.
3656.32: A major barrier to new highs. Watch for a breakout test.
Powerful Support Levels
3891.38: This is the safety net—the final level that could catch any deep dive. Losing this, and we’re swimming in uncharted waters.
Powerful Resistance Levels
2397.87: A fortress above the current price. Any test here could be met with serious sell pressure.
2029.05: Another heavy ceiling. Bulls must stay strong to clear this.
1833.19: Where reversals might stall—either break through or get knocked back.
1628.42: Sellers have fortified this zone.
1539.07: The ultimate boss level—expect big reactions if tested.
Bottom Line
If these levels fail to perform, the market could flip them into resistance, turning the tables on traders. Stay sharp, watch the reactions, and let price action do the talking!
Concept of Rays: Strategies for Trading Fibonacci Rays
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept is a proprietary analysis method based on dynamic levels constructed from Fibonacci principles. These rays predict precise asset movements, identifying key zones for interaction, where price shows the highest probability of a reversal or continuation. Let’s explore how traders can leverage these insights with both optimistic and pessimistic scenarios.
How Rays Work Fibonacci Rays: Built from the start of movement patterns, reflecting natural proportions.
Dynamic Adaptability: Rays adjust as new trends or corrections emerge, creating updated movement boundaries.
Interaction Zones: Rays act as channels—price moves from one ray to the next, signaling trade setups.
Integration with Moving Averages: MA50, MA100, MA200, and MA233 offer dynamic confirmation of ray intersections, enhancing predictive accuracy.
VSA Confirmation: Rays align with VSA patterns to validate entry and exit strategies, ensuring precise execution.
Trading Scenarios
Optimistic Scenario: Aiming Higher
The optimistic scenario involves price interacting with key rays and moving upward to higher dynamic levels.
Entry: Near $3193.21 (support ray) after bullish confirmation, such as a bounce or strong VSA buy pattern.
Target 1: $3339.24 (next Fibonacci ray and MA233 intersection).
Target 2: $3440.51 (continuation with dynamic momentum).
Target 3: $3656.32 (final major resistance in this range).
Comment: Bulls dominate when price clears each ray, moving toward the next with consistent volume support and strong RSI divergence. Watch for consolidation near key Moving Averages before continuation.
Pessimistic Scenario: Testing Lower Levels
The pessimistic scenario focuses on downward movement, testing lower rays and supports.
Entry: Near $3339.24 (resistance ray) after bearish confirmation, such as a rejection or VSA sell pattern.
Target 1: $3193.21 (next Fibonacci ray and MA50 support).
Target 2: $3124.14 (continuation to the lower dynamic boundary).
Target 3: $2985.01 (final key support before a significant breakdown).
Comment: Bears strengthen as price rejects resistance rays and moves to test lower levels. A break of MA50 signals further downside potential. Monitor volume spikes for a reversal signal.
Potential Trade Opportunities Long at $3193.21 with targets at $3339.24 and $3440.51: Ideal for optimistic traders betting on a bullish breakout.
Short at $3339.24 with targets at $3193.21 and $3124.14: Leverage bearish rejection for downside momentum.
Scalp between rays: Use intraday movements, such as bounces at $3124.14 or rejections at $3440.51, for short-term gains.
Trend-following entries: Align trades with MA direction, e.g., buy when price crosses above MA100 or sell when crossing below MA50.
Key Insight
These strategies ensure movement flows predictably from one ray to the next. Each interaction marks an actionable trade setup. Remember, the secret lies in waiting for confirmation before entering, allowing rays and Moving Averages to guide the way.
Let’s Keep the Conversation Going!
Got questions? Drop them in the comments! I love hearing your thoughts, ideas, and even your challenges with the market. Let’s make this a space to learn, grow, and trade smarter together.
If you found value in this analysis, give it a Boost and save it to your favorites—then check back to see how price respects these levels and rays. Understanding those critical points is what trading is all about, and following the journey is a key part of mastering it.
By the way, my proprietary indicator draws these Fibonacci rays and levels automatically, making analysis smoother and faster. It’s available privately, so if you’re interested in using it, feel free to message me directly for details.
Need an analysis of a specific asset? I’m open to requests! Whether it’s a public breakdown or a private, custom layout just for you, we can figure out the best approach. Remember, these rays work across all assets—yes, all. Whatever your focus, I can map out the key levels for you.
For those who want to stay in the loop with my latest ideas and updates, don’t forget to follow me here on TradingView. That’s where all the action happens, and I’d love for you to be part of it.
So, hit that Boost, share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s trade smarter—together!
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 15, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) is struggling to gain significant strength and is languishing near multi-month lows against its US counterpart amid doubts over the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) rate hike plans. Signs of intensifying inflationary pressures in Japan leave the door open for a BoJ rate hike in January or March. In addition, BoJ Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino signaled on Tuesday that a rate hike remains a real possibility at the upcoming meeting. However, there was no direct indication in Himino's comments about the possibility of a rate hike in January. Moreover, some investors believe that the BOJ may wait until the spring talks before pulling the trigger.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkishness in December was a key factor behind the recent rise in U.S. Treasury yields. This has widened the yield differential between the US and Japan, which in turn is seen as another factor undermining the low-yielding Japanese yen. In addition, risk-on sentiment is deterring traders from placing bullish bets on the safe-haven yen. At the same time, weak US Dollar (USD) price action acts as a headwind for the USD/JPY pair ahead of the release of the latest US consumer inflation data. The crucial Consumer Price Index (CPI) report may influence the Fed's policy course and stimulate demand for the USD.
Trading recommendation: Trade mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
XRP: Poised at the Edge of Momentum – What's Next?The cryptocurrency market never sleeps, and XRP is the perfect reflection of this restless spirit. Currently trading at $2.8295, XRP finds itself teetering on the brink of a crucial breakout, with just a 2.9% gap from its all-time high of $2.9138, achieved 43 days ago. The question on every trader's mind: is this the moment of ignition, or will the asset take a breather?
Recent patterns highlight a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) patterns reveal the persistence of increased buy volumes, though intermittent sell-offs indicate a battle for control. From a technical perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 74.95, signaling that XRP is flirting with overbought territory. Yet, this could either confirm a surge or warn of an impending pullback.
Fundamentally, Ripple’s ongoing legal clarity and the adoption of RLUSD stablecoin are boosting market confidence. Combined with the upward trend supported by key moving averages—MA50 at $2.5597 and MA100 at $2.5201—XRP could be primed for its next big leap.
Your Move: XRP's future is a coin flip between testing its psychological barriers at $3.00 and retracing to stronger support at $2.66. Are you ready to seize the opportunity as XRP prepares to define its next chapter? Stay tuned, as the market reveals its hand.
XRP Tradingmap: Patterns in Motion
Step 1: The Build-Up Begins - Buy Volumes Max (01:00 UTC)
The sequence kicks off with the "Buy Volumes Max" pattern. At this point, the price opened at $2.6765 and closed higher at $2.7918, signaling strong buying momentum. The main_direction was bullish, validated by the immediate follow-up pattern. This set the stage for the next price action.
Step 2: Rally Confirmed - Increased Buy Volumes (02:00 UTC)
True to the bullish call of the previous pattern, the price climbed further, opening at $2.7918 and closing higher at $2.8474. This confirms the integrity of the earlier pattern and keeps the bullish sentiment alive. Trigger points were respected as prices didn’t dip below the lows of the previous three bars ($2.6383). Confidence grows as buyers continue to dominate.
Step 3: Profit-Taking Warning - VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern (03:00 UTC)
Here comes a shift. The market signals caution with a "VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern." Despite opening high at $2.8474, the price closed lower at $2.8304. The main_direction flipped bearish, and this was confirmed as the subsequent pattern saw a slight price drop. Traders who spotted this sell signal had a chance to lock in gains before the retracement deepened.
Step 4: Brief Reprieve - Increased Buy Volumes (17:00 UTC)
Bulls briefly regained control, as prices opened at $2.6146 and closed higher at $2.6553. However, the movement lacked the strength seen in earlier buy patterns. While the main_direction of this pattern was bullish, subsequent price action indicates that this bounce was fleeting—a classic bull trap for unprepared traders.
Step 5: The Market Takes a Turn - VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern (19:00 UTC)
The sell-off resumes with another VSA sell pattern. The price slid lower, respecting the bearish direction outlined earlier. Opening at $2.682 and closing at $2.6626, this pattern further solidified bearish control. Trigger points were cleanly activated as prices failed to regain previous highs, providing traders with an opportunity to ride the downtrend.
Step 6: Strategy Reset - The Bigger Picture Emerges
The sequence highlighted above demonstrates the power of reading patterns within a cohesive framework. Early buy signals paved the way for strong upward momentum, but the subsequent sell patterns hinted at deeper corrections. By following the roadmap, investors could have avoided traps and maximized profits during the transition from bullish to bearish phases.
What’s Next?
XRP’s roadmap reveals its inherent volatility. Each pattern offers insight into market behavior, but success comes from aligning these signals with a broader strategy. Stay tuned for the next move—will bulls or bears take the crown?
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Support Levels:
$2.6666 – First line of defense. If this level doesn’t hold, it’s likely to flip into resistance, attracting sellers like bees to honey.
$2.5783 – A deeper support level where buyers might regroup. If broken, expect it to act as a ceiling for any bounces.
$2.2748 – Critical zone for bulls to keep control. If this level is lost, momentum shifts decisively in favor of the bears.
$2.1349 – The market’s last-ditch effort to keep things afloat. Failure here could open the floodgates.
$1.9667 – A psychological barrier where value hunters might step in. But remember, if it cracks, it’s a wall on the way up.
Resistance Levels:
While the chart doesn’t scream significant resistance levels, any failed support will naturally transform into tough barriers for a comeback rally.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
$1.1047 – A long-term level where sellers are likely to dig in their heels. Watch for strong rejections here.
$0.5538 – Key zone for the long game. If this level is reached and rejected, the bears could strengthen their grip.
$0.5032 – An area that will attract big players if prices retrace this far. Keep an eye on the price action here.
$0.3646 – The fortress of resistance. If bulls manage to breach this, it’s a signal of a major shift in market sentiment.
Trading Strategies Using Rays: A Path Through the Fibonacci Framework
Concept of Rays
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" approach is a unique method that applies Fibonacci-based geometric principles to map the dynamics of price movement. These rays act as predictive tools, marking zones where significant price interactions occur—either signaling a continuation or a reversal. By focusing on interactions with these rays, traders can better gauge probabilities without attempting to pinpoint exact levels in a nonlinear financial system.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Constructed at mathematically significant angles starting from the initial movement, not extremum points. This increases accuracy in trending or corrective phases.
Dynamic Levels: These rays adapt to new patterns, automatically updating ranges for potential price movements.
Moving Averages as Dynamic Factors: Key levels align with Moving Averages (MA50, MA100, MA200), providing strong zones of interaction.
Ascending and Descending Rays: These define movement boundaries, marking pathways for price to travel from one ray to another.
Optimistic Scenario
Entry Point: Interaction with a descending ray around $2.6666 (support). If the price bounces above this ray and confirms with a close above MA50 at $2.5597, the movement could head upward.
Target 1: $2.8295 – Interaction with the next ray above creates an opportunity to scale out partial profits.
Target 2: $2.9138 – Absolute high from recent history; a breakout here could extend gains toward higher Fibonacci levels.
Dynamic Factors: If RSI remains above 70 while interacting with ascending rays, the bullish scenario strengthens.
Pessimistic Scenario
Entry Point: Price interaction with an ascending ray near $2.6666, but fails to close above MA50, confirming bearish sentiment.
Target 1: $2.5783 – Initial support zone becomes the first profit target in the downtrend.
Target 2: $2.2748 – Second ray below and the next potential reaction level for a partial exit.
Target 3: $2.1349 – A critical area where price may consolidate or reverse.
Dynamic Factors: Watch for Moving Averages flipping into resistance zones, confirming further downward pressure.
Trade Ideas Using Rays
Long Trade from $2.6666 to $2.8295: Enter long when price interacts with the ray at $2.6666, confirming with a bullish close above MA50. Scale out at $2.8295, targeting the upper ray.
Short Trade from $2.6666 to $2.5783: Enter short if price interacts with $2.6666 but fails to break above MA50. Target $2.5783 for a clean exit at the next ray.
Breakout Trade above $2.9138: Go long if price cleanly breaks $2.9138, with a tight stop below the breakout candle. Use dynamic Fibonacci rays to set extended targets.
Reversal Trade at $2.1349: A bounce off the $2.1349 ray could signal a countertrend move. Enter with confirmation from price closing above MA200, targeting $2.2748.
Trading is all about finding those key levels where the magic happens, and now it's your chance to engage. Have questions about the analysis? Drop them right in the comments—I’m here to discuss, clarify, and brainstorm with you!
Found this idea helpful? Don’t forget to hit Boost and save it for later so you can track how price moves along the rays. Observing these levels in real-time will not only sharpen your skills but also deepen your understanding of how market dynamics work.
Curious about my indicator? The strategy you see here, drawing all the rays and levels automatically, is part of a private setup. If you’re interested in using it, feel free to reach out to me via direct message—I’ll explain how we can make that happen.
Need a custom analysis for your favorite asset? Whether you want it shared publicly or kept private for your eyes only, I’m open to discussing options. Just let me know in the comments or via DM, and I’ll do my best to help.
Remember, these rays work across all assets, and the price often respects them like clockwork. If you want me to mark up specific assets for you, write in the comments and don’t forget to hit Boost. I’ll tackle requests as time permits.
Finally, make sure to follow me here on TradingView for more in-depth ideas and strategies. This is where I share all my updates, and I’d love to have you as part of my trading community.
Let’s trade smarter together! 🚀
Bitcoin Inches Closer to Breaking Point: What’s Next?Bitcoin Faces a Decisive Moment: Will It Break Through?
Bitcoin is trading at 96,829.3, marking a 10.7% drop from its all-time high of 108,421.6, achieved just 29 days ago. Market indicators paint a mixed picture: RSI14 at 60.2 signals an approach to overbought territory, while MFI remains steady at 54.8, hinting at moderate market momentum. Adding to the tension, a VSA Sell Pattern 2 has emerged, suggesting a potential short-term pullback.
The critical levels to watch are 94,568 as support and 100,606 as resistance—key points that could determine the direction of Bitcoin’s next major move. Will the bulls regain control and push Bitcoin beyond its resistance, or will the bears drive a correction toward the lower support levels? The stakes are high, and today could set the stage for weeks to come. Are you ready to navigate this pivotal moment?
Bitcoin Pattern Roadmap: Key Moves and What They Mean
Understanding Bitcoin’s recent price movements through the lens of patterns provides traders with valuable insights into the market's rhythm. Below is a detailed roadmap based on the sequential analysis of VSA and volume-based patterns. Only the patterns that correctly confirmed their trigger points and main directions are included to give you a focused view of the market’s true behavior.
January 13, 2025 – VSA Sell Pattern 2 : This sell pattern emerged with a main direction of downward pressure, starting from an open of 97,150.0 and closing at 96,655.5. The next price action confirmed the bearish sentiment as the market continued to dip, validating this signal.
January 13, 2025 – Increased Buy Volumes : Just hours later, buy volumes spiked, signaling potential recovery. The open at 91,080.9 led to a close of 91,784.8, and this bullish momentum carried through the following session, reinforcing confidence in this pattern’s accuracy.
January 13, 2025 – Sell Volumes Takeover : Although the main direction suggested bullish activity, this pattern didn’t fully validate, as subsequent candles demonstrated indecision. This indicates it might have been a false signal.
January 12, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern 1 : This key pattern predicted upward momentum with an open at 93,862.8 and a close at 93,973.9. Its main direction played out as expected, with prices climbing steadily in subsequent bars, cementing its effectiveness.
January 11, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern 3 : Marking another bullish signal, this pattern triggered upward movement from 94,024.2 to 94,323.5. The continuation of this trend confirmed it as a reliable forecast for the short term.
What Does This Mean for Traders?
Each pattern, when validated by subsequent price action, adds to the roadmap of Bitcoin’s trajectory. The market’s consistent respect for key support and resistance levels underscores the reliability of technical patterns. Use this roadmap to position yourself strategically, keeping an eye on similar setups to anticipate the next big move. Are you ready to align with the market’s flow?
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels
When it comes to Bitcoin, traders know the game revolves around critical support and resistance zones. These levels act as battle lines between bulls and bears, determining the market’s next big move. Let’s break them down:
Support Levels:
94,568 – A short-term safety net; losing this could bring the price closer to bearish territory.
Resistance Levels:
100,606 – The immediate hurdle for bulls; cracking this will likely spark another rally.
106,064.7 – A critical zone, closely tied to Bitcoin’s previous highs.
Powerful Support Levels:
76,701.7 – A major fallback point for long-term bulls; losing this would signal deeper corrections.
67,838.7 – A heavy-duty level that has historically held strong.
60,295.6 – The last line of defense before bears fully take over.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
47,122.4 – A significant cap that has consistently rejected upward momentum in prior moves.
28,696.9 – The line in the sand for lower-range movements.
What Happens If Levels Break?
In trading, it’s all about respecting the levels. If these supports don’t hold, you can bet they’ll flip to resistance zones, making it harder for bulls to reclaim lost ground. Conversely, breaking through resistance means these levels often become strong floors, giving momentum traders something solid to lean on. Always keep an eye on these key points—they’re your roadmap to understanding where the action will heat up next.
Concept of Rays: Precision Trading with Dynamic Levels
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept revolutionizes technical analysis by leveraging Fibonacci-based rays that dynamically adapt to market conditions. Unlike traditional methods, these rays are drawn from the origin of a movement pattern, allowing traders to anticipate price reactions with unmatched precision. Let’s dive into how this works and explore two trading scenarios for Bitcoin using data from the latest analysis.
Core Concept: Trading with Rays
Price interactions with rays signal high-probability zones for either reversals or continuations. These interactions, combined with moving averages and VSA patterns, create a powerful framework for identifying entry and exit points. The first movement usually extends from one ray to the next, offering defined profit targets at each level.
Two Scenarios for Trading Rays
Optimistic Scenario: Bitcoin breaks through resistance at 100,606 (MA50 intersection) after interacting with an ascending ray. This move could target the next ray and establish:
First target: 106,064.7 (Resistance Level).
Second target: A retest of the 108,421.6 all-time high.
If momentum sustains, price may form a new trend, requiring recalibration of rays to extend future targets.
Pessimistic Scenario: Bitcoin fails to hold support at 94,568 and interacts with a descending ray, initiating a deeper correction. Likely targets:
First target: 76,701.7 (Powerful Support Level).
Second target: 67,838.7, marking a significant bearish continuation zone.
In this case, descending rays will guide the market lower, adjusting with each corrective phase.
Trade Opportunities Based on Rays
Long Trade : Enter at 94,568 support after confirming interaction with an ascending ray and bullish VSA pattern. First target: 100,606; Second target: 106,064.7.
Short Trade : Enter below 94,568 after interaction with a descending ray and bearish VSA confirmation. First target: 76,701.7; Second target: 67,838.7.
Breakout Long : Position after a confirmed breakout above 100,606, targeting 106,064.7 as the next ray intersection.
Reversal Short : Look for rejection at 106,064.7 and enter a short trade, targeting a return to 100,606.
Key Insights for Traders
The power of rays lies in their adaptability. Whether in bullish or bearish conditions, rays dynamically update to reflect new patterns. Traders can confidently position themselves after price interaction with these rays, knowing that the movement will likely extend to the next ray. Each target is clearly defined, providing a structured path for managing risk and reward.
Combine these strategies with the VSA patterns visible on your charts to sharpen your execution and stay ahead of the market. Are you ready to trade with precision?
What’s Next? Let’s Talk and Trade Together
If you’ve got questions or want to dive deeper into this analysis, drop them in the comments below—I’m always happy to discuss and share insights. Don’t forget to give this post a Boost and save it to revisit later. Watching how the price respects the rays and levels is one of the best ways to truly understand trading and refine your strategy.
My proprietary indicator draws all the rays and levels automatically, but it’s available only privately. If you’re interested in using it, just send me a message—I’ll walk you through how it works. And yes, the same approach applies to any asset, not just Bitcoin. If there’s a particular market you’d like analyzed, let me know! Some analyses I can share openly, while others can be done privately, tailored to your needs.
Finally, if you’re curious about how price moves along these rays or want me to chart a specific asset for you, make sure to Boost this idea and share your request in the comments. I’ll do my best to cover as many as possible.
Follow me here on TradingView to stay updated—this is where I share my ideas and insights regularly. Let’s trade smarter, together!
Apple Inc. (AAPL) Comprehensive Market Analysis and StrategyGreetings traders and investors! Denis Mikheev here with an in-depth analysis of Apple Inc. (AAPL) using advanced tools from TheWaved™. Buckle up as we dive into the technical, fundamental, and price action analysis to forecast price movements and provide actionable trading strategies.
Current Market Overview
Apple’s current price stands at $235.43, approximately 9.48% below its absolute high of $260.10 reached on December 26, 2024. Despite this pullback, the stock shows strong resilience, supported by robust fundamentals and technical setups.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support Zones:
$228.75
$224.05
$217.13
Resistance Zones:
$237.05
$242.41
$244.67
Key Levels for Monitoring:
Powerful Resistance at $258.55
Critical Support at $217.55
Technical Indicators Analysis
Moving Averages (1-hour interval):
MA50: $238.39
MA100: $241.09
MA200: $247.59
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
1-hour RSI: 49.41 (neutral zone)
Daily RSI: 34.6 (oversold zone suggests potential reversal)
Volume Indicators:
MFI60 (Money Flow Index): 49.28 (neutral, no divergence noted).
Key Patterns and Historical Analysis
From recent pattern sequences:
January 13, 2025: Increased Sell Volumes with a 6.84% movement, indicating short-term bearish pressure.
January 10, 2025: Multiple “Sell Volumes Take Over” patterns with mixed buy and sell signals.
January 8, 2025: VSA Buy Pattern Extra suggests a medium-term bullish rebound pending confirmation.
These patterns align with a potential range-bound movement in the near term before a decisive breakout.
Price Action Analysis
Apple’s price action over the past week has formed a consolidative structure near key support levels. Observations include:
Lower highs and consistent testing of the $228.75 support.
A potential inverted head-and-shoulders pattern forming on the 1-hour chart, with a neckline at $237.05.
Price tightly correlates with the 50-day MA, suggesting a tug-of-war between bulls and bears.
Fundamental Insights
Apple’s upcoming quarterly results are projected to beat consensus estimates, driven by robust iPhone and service segment sales. Furthermore, macroeconomic conditions, such as softening interest rate hikes, could favor tech stocks in the medium term.
Trading Strategy
Short-Term Strategy:
Entry: Buy near $228.75 support level.
Stop Loss: $224.05 to minimize downside risk.
Targets:
$237.05
$242.41
Confirmation: Look for RSI divergence or a bullish engulfing candle.
Medium-Term Strategy:
Monitor breakout above $237.05 for long positions.
Resistance to Watch: $244.67 and $250.34.
Use trailing stops to secure profits.
Long-Term Strategy:
Accumulate near $217.13 if tested, considering its historical significance as a strong support level.
Target: $258.55 with a 6-12 month horizon.
Risk Management
Employ disciplined risk management:
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Maintain a minimum of 1:2.
Position Sizing: Limit exposure to 2% of your trading capital per trade.
Stop-Loss Placement: Use dynamic stop-loss levels based on ATR (Average True Range).
Market Outlook
1. Short-Term: Expect consolidation between $228.75 and $237.05, with potential for a breakout.
2. Medium-Term: A bullish continuation is likely if $242.41 resistance is cleared.
3. Long-Term: A test of the $258.55 resistance is probable, contingent on broader market sentiment.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement.
Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases.
Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray.
Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel.
How to Use Rays
Historical Analysis: On historical charts, observe how price interacted with rays. This helps evaluate how often levels defined by rays led to significant movement changes.
Real-Time Monitoring: By observing current price behavior relative to rays, you can highlight key points where scenarios such as reversal or continuation are likely.
Confirmation Tool: Rays do not replace other analysis methods but enhance them, adding a structured perspective on market behavior.
Conclusion
Apple remains a solid investment with clear technical setups and a favorable long-term outlook. Utilizing TheWaved™ tools, we’ve pinpointed actionable strategies to navigate its price movements effectively. Remember to follow your trading plan and adapt to market conditions.
For any queries or further clarifications, feel free to reach out via direct messages. All our professional-grade indicators are accessible via the link in our profile. Let’s trade smarter, not harder!
Stay disciplined and trade safely,
Denis Mikheev
TheWaved™
GOOGLE INC. (NASDAQ: GOOG) ANALYSIS AND TRADING PLANWelcome to a detailed analysis of Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG). Using advanced analytical tools, including the proprietary TheWaved™ platform, this report dissects recent market behavior and provides actionable insights for traders and investors. Let’s explore the technical and fundamental dynamics of the stock and forecast future price movements with key support and resistance zones.
Overview of Current Market Position
Ticker: NASDAQ-GOOG
Current Price: $193.52
52-Week High: $202.88 (28 days ago)
52-Week Low: $83.45 (803 days ago)
Key Indicators:
RSI (14): 54.92 (neutral)
MFI (60): 41.67 (indicating low buying pressure)
Moving Averages (Daily):
MA50: $183.31
MA100: $173.39
MA200: $172.54
Technical Analysis
Support Levels:
187.16 | 185.08 | 181.41 | 176.09 | 173.53
Resistance Levels:
202.88 | 197.62 | 194.55
Moving Averages Insight:
The stock trades slightly below the MA50 and MA100 on the daily chart, indicating a potential bearish short-term outlook. However, the long-term trend remains intact as the price remains above MA200.
VSA Patterns:
Recent trading sessions highlighted critical Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) patterns:
Sell Volumes Max (2025-01-13 14:00 UTC): Increased sell volumes pushed prices down by 4.42%.
VSA Buy Pattern 3 (2025-01-13 10:00 UTC): Signals potential for a rebound after testing lower supports.
Trendline and Channel Analysis:
GOOG’s price action is constrained within an ascending channel since October 2024. The lower boundary aligns with the $188.00 support zone, while the upper resistance lies near $202.00.
Price Action Insight:
The recent lower highs and consistent rejection at $194.71 suggest a strong overhead supply zone. A break and close above $195.00 will be a decisive bullish trigger.
Key Oscillators:
RSI indicates no overbought/oversold condition, leaving room for directional moves.
Stochastic cross above 50 strengthens the probability of an upward trajectory.
Fundamental Analysis
Google continues to show robust performance driven by its advertising and cloud businesses. Recent developments include:
Q4 Earnings are expected to show a revenue growth of 11% YOY, boosted by robust ad demand and cloud service expansion.
Strong financial metrics: Cash reserves of $130 billion with minimal debt.
AI innovations: Google’s advancements in AI-based ad targeting offer a competitive edge over rivals.
Market sentiment: Increasing institutional accumulation as hedge funds position for long-term growth.
Forecast and Trading Plan
Short-Term Projection:
Price action indicates consolidation within $188.00-$195.00. Traders should monitor the $195.00 breakout level closely.
Medium-Term Projection:
Given the strength in fundamentals and supportive technicals, we anticipate an upward breakout, testing $202.88.
Long-Term Projection:
Once the stock decisively clears $202.88, a rally towards $215.00-$220.00 could unfold, aligning with the next Fibonacci extensions.
Trade Levels:
Entry: Buy at $188.00-$189.50 after confirmation of support.
Stop-Loss: Place at $185.00.
Take-Profit Targets:
Target 1: $195.00
Target 2: $202.88
Target 3: $215.00
Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below $185.00 could accelerate selling pressure towards $176.00. In this scenario, adopt a defensive approach or short-term bearish bias.
Risk Management:
Maintain a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:3. Leverage smaller position sizes when trading near key support or resistance levels.
Conclusion
The technical and fundamental landscape for GOOG appears balanced, with bullish potential outweighing downside risks. Short-term traders can capitalize on the current consolidation phase, while long-term investors may find value in accumulating positions near support zones. Using TheWaved™’s advanced analytics, we’ll provide real-time updates as price action unfolds.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement.
Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases.
Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray.
Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel.
If you have questions or need personalized analysis for other stocks, feel free to reach out in direct messages. All indicators and tools mentioned are available via our profile link.
Thank you for reading, and as always, trade safely and strategically!
Denis Mikheev - TheWaved™
Amazon Stock Analysis: Navigating the Path Between E-Commerce
Amazon Stock Analysis: Navigating the Path Between E-Commerce Strength and Market Volatility
Introduction
Hello, traders and investors! It’s Denis Mikheev from TheWaved™, here to deliver an in-depth analysis of Amazon’s stock (NASDAQ: AMZN). With the help of our premium tools and techniques, we’re diving deep into technical, VSA, and fundamental analysis to uncover the best strategies for the upcoming market movements. Let’s break down what’s happening with AMZN and set clear targets for trading this powerhouse of e-commerce.
Recent Performance and Market Context
Amazon’s current price sits at $219.27, with a noticeable decline from its 2024 absolute high of $233. This 5.89% drop aligns with recent sell-offs driven by macroeconomic headwinds and profit-taking from the December highs.
The stock is trading in a consolidation phase, sitting between strong support zones at $214.99 and $209.11 and resistance levels at $223 and $228. With the broader NASDAQ index displaying mixed momentum, Amazon remains a critical stock to watch.
Support Levels:
-
1. 214.99
2. 209.11
3. 198.78
4. 182.62
5. 177.95
Resistance Levels:
-
1. 214.99
2. 209.11
3. 198.78
4. 182.62
5. 177.95
Powerful Resistance Levels:
-
1. 180.095
2. 151.49
3. 116.04
4. 87.57
Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Trends
Support Levels: 214.99, 209.11, 198.78
Resistance Levels: 223.00, 228.00, 233.00
Key Moving Averages:
- MA50 (Hourly): 220.01
- MA200 (Hourly): 223.16
RSI Insights: The RSI-14 currently reads 52.91, indicating a neutral market condition but leaning towards bullish potential on strong volume signals.
These technical indicators suggest price consolidation, but with bullish potential as the RSI edges upward and MA200 looms as a key dynamic resistance level.
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Detecting Market Intentions
Analyzing VSA patterns from recent trading sessions reveals mixed signals. A notable “Buy Volumes Take Over” pattern on January 10 suggested short-term buying strength, but was quickly followed by a reversal due to increased sell volumes. This signals that smart money may be accumulating positions before a larger move.
Price Action and Patterns
On January 6, a strong “Buy Volumes Max” pattern indicated bullish intentions, but resistance at $228.23 capped further growth.
On January 7, a “VSA Sell Pattern 3rd” hinted at a bearish reversal, driving prices back to support levels.
Key takeaway: The interaction between support at $214.99 and resistance at $223 will be pivotal in determining the next directional breakout.
Fundamental Factors to Watch
Amazon’s fundamentals remain strong, with steady revenue growth driven by AWS (cloud services) and robust e-commerce performance during the holiday season. However, rising interest rates and inflationary pressures continue to dampen consumer spending and could act as a headwind.
Trading Plan: Targets and Stop-Loss Levels
Based on the current setup, here’s a practical trading roadmap:
Short-Term Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Above $223 after confirmation of a breakout.
Targets: $228, $233.
Stop-Loss: $220.
Bearish Alternative:
Entry: Below $214 with strong bearish candles.
Targets: $209, $198.78.
Stop-Loss: $217.
Forecast: Where Are We Headed?
In the short term, Amazon is poised for a potential bullish breakout if it clears resistance at $223. However, caution is warranted if macroeconomic conditions shift. Our long-term view remains cautiously optimistic, with a forecast targeting $240+ by Q2 2025 as the broader market stabilizes.
Conclusion and Call to Action
This analysis is powered by TheWaved™, utilizing advanced tools and methodologies. If you have any questions or want a deeper dive into our methods, feel free to reach out via direct messages. Remember, all the professional indicators and insights are available in the profile header. Follow for more ideas, and let’s trade smarter, not harder!
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
Stay sharp, trade safe, and may the markets favor your strategy!
Nvidia. Analysis and Price Forecast: A Strategic OutlookIntroduction:
Nvidia Inc. (NASDAQ: NVDA) continues to be at the forefront of the AI and semiconductor revolution, showcasing robust innovation and a compelling business model. This analysis leverages advanced tools such as TheWaved™ and utilizes VSA Analysis, Technical Indicators, Price Action, and Fundamental Analysis to craft a comprehensive forecast.
Recent Price Movements and Key Patterns:
1. Candle Pattern Analysis:
From the provided patterns sequence data:
January 13, 2025, 14:00:
Pattern: "Increased Buy Volumes"
Movement: +6.69% from open to close, suggesting strong buyer activity and market confidence.
January 10, 2025, 16:00:
Pattern: "Buy Volumes Take Over"
Movement: -5.7%, indicating potential sell-offs after profit-taking.
These patterns highlight the recent tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, creating opportunities for strategic entries and exits.
2. Key Levels and Trend Analysis:
From technicals:
Current Price: $135.19
Resistance Levels:
Short-Term: $139.48 (MA200 on the hourly chart)
Mid-Term: $141.15 (MA100)
Support Levels:
Immediate: $127.30
Key Support Zone: $123.69-$127.30
Nvidia's price is trading below critical moving averages (e.g., MA50 and MA200), suggesting a potential rebound or consolidation phase before further directional movement.
Multi-Dimensional Analysis:
1. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA):
Analysis: Strong buy patterns are evident, with significant volume upticks near critical support zones. This implies institutional interest in accumulation phases.
Prediction: Anticipate continuation of buying pressure if price stabilizes above $135. Resistance at $140 may pose challenges in the short term.
2. Fundamental Insights:
Nvidia’s Q4 earnings report showed record revenue driven by AI GPU demand.
Major customers in cloud computing and automotive industries continue to bolster growth.
However, rising interest rates and potential geopolitical risks (e.g., China’s tech policies) might pressure valuations.
3. Price Action Analysis:
Recent bullish engulfing candles near $127 indicate buyer confidence.
Price may revisit $130 before testing $140. Breaking $140 could pave the way to retest $150 (January’s absolute high).
Projections:
Short-Term (1 Week):
Target: $138.50
Stop-Loss: $132.00
Rationale: A breakout above MA50 ($136.93) will signal short-term bullish momentum.
Mid-Term (1 Month):
Target: $145.00
Stop-Loss: $130.00
Rationale: Stabilization above $140 supported by institutional buying and potential macroeconomic support.
Long-Term (3-6 Months):
Target: $160.00
Stop-Loss: $125.00
Rationale: Continued demand for Nvidia’s GPUs in AI and automotive applications combined with broader tech sector recovery.
Strategic Recommendations:
Support Levels:
-
1. 127.3
2. 123.69
3. 113.9
4. 90.4855
5. 87.88
Resistance Levels:
-
1. 127.3
2. 123.69
3. 113.9
4. 90.4855
5. 87.88
Powerful Support Levels:
-
Powerful Resistance Levels:
-
1. 89.599
2. 89.599
3. 63.974
4. 63.974
5. 48.462
Above $160: Consider reducing positions to hedge against potential market corrections.
3. Stop-Loss & Risk Management:
Strict stop-loss at $130 for short-term trades.
Trail stops to lock profits as price moves favorably.
Tools and Insights:
Analysis powered by TheWaved™, leveraging decades of professional experience and cutting-edge analytics. Key insights have been shared to align with both retail and institutional perspectives.
Call to Action:
For personalized queries or deeper insights into Nvidia’s price action, feel free to reach out via direct message. Explore our tools and indicators through the link in our profile.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
Disclaimer: This analysis reflects the author’s perspective based on available data and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risks; ensure proper due diligence.
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Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) Comprehensive AnalysisOverview
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) has been a focal point of market activity, showcasing significant volatility and creating substantial opportunities for both short-term traders and long-term investors. The current price is $411.58, with the stock trading below its absolute high of $488.54 recorded on December 18, 2024. This represents a deviation of approximately -15.75% from the peak. This technical and fundamental analysis will leverage advanced tools, including VSA patterns, price action analysis, and volume dynamics, to project future movements.
Technical Analysis
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support Levels: $383.30, $376.04, $358.62.
Resistance Levels: $420.00, $430.50, $448.00.
Moving Averages
MA50: $394.08
MA100: $397.55
MA200: $413.63
The price currently trades above the MA50 but below the MA200, suggesting consolidation within a broader bullish trend. The RSI (14) at 70.76 signals overbought conditions on shorter intervals, necessitating caution for immediate buy entrie.
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and Patterns
Recent trading data reveals patterns indicative of institutional activity:
Buy Volumes (Jan 13): Closing at $391.96 with increased buying pressure, marking a 14.61% movement from its three-bar low of $380.07.
VSA Manipulation Patterns: A confirmed "Buy Pattern 3" formed on January 13, showcasing a potential bullish continuation with a high of $396.95.
Predicted Scenarios
Short-Term (1 Week):
Tesla appears poised to test its $420 resistance level based on bullish volume patterns. A break above $420 with significant volume could target $430 as the next level of interest. However, failure to breach $420 may result in a retracement to $400-$405 support.
Medium-Term (1 Month):
Given the observed bullish manipulation patterns and technical support at $383, Tesla may aim for a recovery toward its MA200 at $413. If sustained buying interest persists, the stock might challenge its December highs.
Long-Term (3-6 Months):
Tesla’s trajectory could see it revisiting the $450-$470 range, contingent upon macroeconomic conditions and its quarterly earnings surpassing market expectations. The psychological level of $500 remains a potential long-term target if the broader market maintains bullish momentum.
Stop-Loss and Target Levels
Proposed Trade Setup:
Entry: $412.00
Stop-Loss: $400.00
Target 1: $420.00
Target 2: $435.00
Target 3: $450.00
Fundamental Analysis
Tesla remains a key player in the EV market, with growing adoption of its vehicles worldwide. Its latest production numbers exceeded market expectations, signaling robust demand despite economic headwinds. Recent initiatives in energy storage and AI-based technology further diversify its revenue streams, underpinning its premium valuation.
Conclusion
Tesla's technical and fundamental indicators suggest a cautiously bullish outlook. While short-term retracements are possible, the stock's overall trend aligns with upward momentum, supported by strong institutional interest and robust fundamentals.
For further inquiries or personalized trading setups, feel free to contact me directly. All relevant indicators and tools used for this analysis can be found in the profile header.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement.
Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases.
Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray.
Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel.
How to Use Rays
Historical Analysis: On historical charts, observe how price interacted with rays. This helps evaluate how often levels defined by rays led to significant movement changes.
Real-Time Monitoring: By observing current price behavior relative to rays, you can highlight key points where scenarios such as reversal or continuation are likely.
Confirmation Tool: Rays do not replace other analysis methods but enhance them, adding a structured perspective on market behavior.
Scientific Basis
Fibonacci proportions, underlying the construction of rays, are observed in nature, physics, and financial markets, making them a universal tool.
Geometric angles and trends are based on mathematical analysis of historical price behavior.
The principle of minimizing subjectivity in analysis is also applied: rays are constructed strictly algorithmically, excluding human bias.
Why It Matters
My name is Denis Mikheev, and my method does not offer magical solutions or "predictions" of exact price movements. Instead, it identifies key interaction zones where market participants, as well as automated market-maker algorithms, are likely to make decisions. This allows you to act based on probabilities, not guesses.
Example Visualization
On a chart with rays already constructed, you can see:
How price reacts to intersections or proximity to rays.
Where current interaction points may signal potential changes in movement dynamics.
Trade Safe!
Denis MikheevTheWaved™ Team
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 14, 2025 GBPUSDGBP/USD faltered as markets changed their expectations for interest rates before the end of the year, sending the pair to fresh 15-month lows and breaking through 1.2100, but then ended trading near the 1.2230 starting point.
It has been a quiet start to the week, but more inflation data from both the US and the UK will give traders plenty of material to ponder as they try to determine the first quarter rate differential forecast. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to keep interest rates steady for the first half of the year, while the Bank of England (BoE) will have to choose between keeping interest rates stable in a still-high inflation environment and risking an inflationary spike to support the floundering UK economy with further rate cuts.
Tuesday's significant data of the week will start with the US Producer Price Index (PPI), which is expected to rise to 3.7% y/y in December from the previous reading of 3.4%. Wednesday will see the release of UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation, which is also expected to accelerate in the near term, with a rise to 0.4% m/m versus the previous reading of 0.1%.
US CPI inflation, also out on Wednesday, is forecast to rise to 2.8% from 2.7%, US retail sales data is expected on Thursday and UK retail sales round out the list of important data this week.
Trading recommendation: Watching the level of 1.2150, trading mainly with Sell orders