Get started

Analysis

Gold in Focus: Tight Range Before Major US Data 🌐 Gold in Focus: Tight Range Before Major US Data – Time to Prepare for the Storm? Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trapped within a narrow consolidation zone, with traders across global markets awaiting critical economic events in the second half of this week. The bounce from the 3290–3270 support zones confirms strong buying interest, yet bulls seem cautious ahead of the ADP employment report today and the all-important Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) on Friday. Despite dovish signs from recent labor data and declining US bond yields, gold has not been able to regain strong upward momentum. This hesitance is attributed to mixed market sentiment fueled by ongoing US-China trade negotiations, potential interest rate outlook shifts from the Fed, and end-of-month positioning across major asset classes. 💼 What’s happening behind the scenes? US 10Y yields dropped, signaling weaker inflation outlooks — usually bullish for gold. DXY remains fragile but still attracts safe-haven inflows amid global political tensions. Investors are cautious ahead of back-to-back economic events and might delay large trades until Friday. With a bank holiday looming in Asia and Europe tomorrow, liquidity could tighten and amplify volatility. Gold might continue trading in a compressed range between 3274–3357 until NFP injects a fresh directional impulse. 🔍 Technical Roadmap: 🔺 Resistance Levels to Monitor: 3328 3336 3352 3357 3366 🔻 Support Levels to Watch: 3305 3292 3274 📌 Trade Strategy (30m–1H timeframe bias) 🔵 BUY ZONE A 📍 Entry: 3292 – 3290 🎯 SL: 3287 🎯 TP: 3295 → 3300 → 3304 → 3308 → 3315 → 3320 🔵 BUY ZONE B 📍 Entry: 3275 – 3273 🎯 SL: 3268 🎯 TP: 3280 → 3284 → 3286 → 3290 → 3300 🔴 SELL ZONE A 📍 Entry: 3350 – 3352 🎯 SL: 3356 🎯 TP: 3345 → 3340 → 3336 → 3332 → 3320 🔴 SELL ZONE B 📍 Entry: 3365 – 3367 🎯 SL: 3371 🎯 TP: 3361 → 3357 → 3352 → 3347 → 3340 📣 Final Thoughts: We are in the "calm before the storm" phase. Price is coiling in tight ranges with declining volume and momentum. Today's ADP report could trigger intraday volatility, but major players may still remain on the sidelines until Friday's NFP. As it’s also the last day of the month, be alert for liquidity grabs and potential stop hunts. Stick to your risk management plan and avoid revenge trades in volatile setups. 🛡️ Stay patient. Trade smart. Let the market reveal the direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Mega FartCoin Analysis - Is it the beginning? $3 when?SO previously if you have seen me analyzing fartcoin, its on this basis that all OB works in place so well, So would decipher it better. Also you can see my old posts to get a conclusion on whats to be done. Coming to the Market Profile - we can see that the market has built a solid volume base around the $1.08–$1.11 zone, with multiple POCs (Point of Control) stacking here — indicating strong buyer interest and fair value acceptance. This region is acting as a strong demand zone. The structure is developing a higher-low pattern since April 22nd, suggesting bullish intent, especially as price is trying to hold above the VAL/POC levels of the last two profiles. However, each upward push is still getting capped near the $1.14–$1.16 VAH area, which now becomes a critical breakout zone. If price can close above $1.16 with volume, we can expect expansion towards $1.20+. On the flip side, if price loses $1.08 and starts building value below it, that would shift the bias bearish again with potential retest of $1.03–$1.00. Now based on this, ive drew a lower TF 1H parabolic steep curve, which is also marked on my channel for better understanding. Now at this very point of time on 4H LTF the same pattern is being formed where invalidation is done (which is a prior to a swing before a UTAD move) As you see cyan boxes say the pattern to get achieved and for the green is yet to be achieved!! Also have marked a major block, where most settlement of big longs and new buyers would be encouraged!!
Long
by MastaCrypta
4
XAUUSD – Bullish Reversal Setup Near Support🟦 Chart Context: Type: Intraday (likely 15m or 1h timeframe). Indicators Used: EMA 50 (Red): 3,316.497 EMA 200 (Blue): 3,316.332 Current Price: 3,312.650 🔍 Technical Analysis: 1. Trend & Moving Averages: EMA Crossover (Bearish): The 50 EMA is slightly above the 200 EMA, but both are flat and converging, suggesting a neutral to slightly bearish short-term sentiment. Price below both EMAs indicates bearish pressure in the immediate term. 2. Key Zones: Resistance Zone: 3,355 – 3,370 Price was previously rejected from this zone, indicating strong supply and likely sell orders. Support Zone: 3,295 – 3,305 Price has bounced here multiple times, suggesting active buyers. Strong Support: 3,265 – 3,275 A broader and more historically respected area that could lead to a significant reversal if tested. 3. Price Action: Currently forming lower highs and lower lows, which is a classic sign of short-term weakness. A small descending triangle appears to be forming near the support level (bearish bias), but the drawn forecast suggests a potential fakeout breakdown followed by a bullish reversal. 4. Expected Scenario (as per chart projection): Price might dip briefly into the 3,295–3,305 support, triggering liquidity grab (stop hunts). A potential bullish rally towards the 3,355–3,370 resistance zone is expected. This suggests a buy-the-dip strategy near support with tight risk management. 📈 Trade Outlook: 🟢 Bullish Bias: If the support at 3,295–3,305 holds and price reclaims the 200 EMA convincingly. Target: 3,355–3,370 resistance zone. 🔴 Bearish Bias: If price breaks below the strong support (3,265), expect continuation lower. Downside targets would then extend towards 3,240–3,250. ✅ Conclusion: Current bias: Neutral to short-term bearish unless the lower support holds. Key action zone: Watch price reaction around 3,295. Strategy suggestion: Monitor for a bullish reversal signal at support; avoid chasing trades in the middle of the range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
5
EURO - Price can bounce up of support level to top part of flatHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some time ago price traded inside a triangle, where it broke $1.0920 level and then made a correction to this level. Then price exited from triangle pattern, retesting and then made upward impulse to $1.1310 level, which coincided with support area. Next, Euro started to traded inside flat, wher it soon broke $1.1310 level, but then it made correction. After this movement, price in a short time rose to the top part of flat, where it turned around and bounced down to $1.1310 level. Price tired to grow, but failed and continued to trading near this level, and even recently it bounced. So, in this moment, I expect that Euro can bounce up from support level to $1.1575 top part of the flat. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
9
HelenP. I Gold will continue to decline, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After an extended bullish phase that pushed the price higher within an upward channel, the market has started to show signs of weakness. Initially, gold moved steadily from the lower support zone, climbing through the channel and forming higher highs. Each pullback was supported by the rising trend line, reinforcing the bullish sentiment throughout the move. However, after reaching the peak near 3570, the price sharply reversed, breaking the trend line and shifting the overall structure. Sellers took control, leading to a breakdown below the channel, and now the price is consolidating near the 3260 - 3285 support zone. Recently, Gold tested the trend line from below but failed to reclaim it, which signals strong resistance overhead. Currently, gold is trading around 3319, just above the lower boundary of the broken channel and inside the support zone. I expect a small upward correction, breaking the trend line, and then followed by a continuation of the downward movement. So that's why I set goal is 3200 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
13
GBP/JPY Bullish Flag (29.04.2025)The GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 192.18 2nd Resistance – 192.70 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
11
USD/JPY(20250429)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The U.S. Treasury Department raised its second quarter debt forecast to $514 billion. U.S. Treasury Secretary: The "X Day" for the debt ceiling issue will be announced soon. Technical analysis: Today's long-short boundary: 142.62 Support and resistance levels: 144.52 143.81 143.35 141.89 141.43 140.72 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 142.62, consider buying, the first target price is 143.35 If the price breaks through 141.89, consider selling, the first target price is 141.43
Long
by Toml1314
1
btc . tue . recap plan to LONG came to fruition LONG note: as i found wOpen heavily BULLISH - i was eager to get in early and equaly positioned: cw0.5 . 94.200 to cw0 . 92781 entry: 93.975 this left me with not the nicest entry . not all orders were filled . should have favoured increasing order size . one never really knows until it happens . but happy DAY TRADE note: a day trade of nysOpen SFP . 95.400 (to ride down for our LONG IDEA) LONG SUPPORT will show during the day . NICE! . but not taken . it supported our search for LONG though recap wOpen . ASIA . LONG nysOpen . SFP to 5.30pm . LONG tueOpen . ASIA take profit . rotation to cw0.5 . (LONG in favour) nysOpen . idealy tp1 : SFP . possibly rotation . (look out for SHORT and LONG)
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by Dartagnones
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 29, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is down to 1.14150 in the early Asian session on Tuesday. The euro (EUR) is weakening against the US dollar (USD) amid rising bets for further rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB) in June. Investors expect further US trade policy developments ahead of the release of the much-anticipated US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data on Friday. US President Donald Trump said progress is being made and he has spoken to Chinese President Xi Jinping, although Beijing denies that trade talks are underway. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said he spoke with Chinese authorities last week but did not mention tariffs. On Monday, Bessent said the U.S. government is in contact with China, but it is up to Beijing to take the first step to de-escalate the tariff fight with the U.S. over the trade imbalance between the two countries. Investors will be keeping a close eye on the US-China relationship. Trump's chaotic trade policies have undermined faith in US assets and the common currency has become an alternative destination for investors' cash. Any signs of an escalating trade war between the US and China could have a negative impact on the US dollar and serve as a tailwind for EUR/USD. On Saturday, Reuters reported that ECB policymakers are increasingly confident of cutting interest rates in June as inflation continues to fall. On Monday, ECB chief Olli Rehn said the central bank may cut interest rates below the neutral level that keeps the economy in balance. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.13800, SL 1.14000 , TP 1.13000
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Bitcoin surpasses Google: Why BTC rallied to $94,000In April 2025, Bitcoin once again captured the spotlight by breaking above $94,000, reaching a market capitalization of $1.86 trillion. This surge pushed BTC ahead of Alphabet (Google’s parent company), making it the fifth-largest asset in the world. The impressive rally in Bitcoin this year has been fueled by a combination of macroeconomic factors and developments within the crypto space itself. New financial instruments, political shifts, and technological advancements have made Bitcoin more appealing and accessible to a wide range of investors. 5 key drivers behind Bitcoin’s growth in 2025: 1. Approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S.: For the first time, the SEC greenlit spot Bitcoin ETFs, allowing major institutional players to gain exposure through regulated investment products. This triggered a significant inflow of capital into the crypto market. 2. Weakening dollar and stock market declines: As global economic growth slowed and the U.S. dollar lost ground, Bitcoin emerged as a hedge asset — often compared to gold — with investors seeking safer alternatives to traditional markets. 3. Pro-crypto political climate in the U.S.: The new U.S. administration has adopted a supportive stance on crypto, easing regulations and even announcing plans to build national crypto reserves. This strengthened investor confidence across the market. 4. Bitcoin’s growing role as ‘Digital Gold’: The perception of Bitcoin as a long-term store of value continues to rise. More large investors and corporations are now including BTC in their asset diversification strategies. 5. Technological advancements: The rollout of second-layer solutions like the Lightning Network has made Bitcoin transactions faster and cheaper. This has improved real-world usability and expanded the global user base. In 2025, Bitcoin continues to gain momentum, breaking new records and cementing its role as one of the world’s most important financial assets. The combination of spot ETF approvals, political backing, macroeconomic shifts, and ongoing tech innovation has created fertile ground for its growth. With each passing day, BTC becomes increasingly attractive to both institutional and retail investors — setting the stage for further gains in the coming years. Still, Bitcoin’s future will depend on how crypto regulations evolve, the pace of technological breakthroughs, and global economic conditions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
[TechnoFunda]IDFC FIRST BANK – DEEP DIVE INTO MULTI-YEAR SUPPORTTECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Ascending broadening channel structure – Since the Aug-20 low (~₹15) price has traced a steady up-sloping trendline, touching in Mar-21, Feb-22 and now Apr-25 – Parallel resistance capped rallies in Feb-18 and Sep-23, defining a ~₹80–100 supply zone – Channel slope averages ~30% annualized gains from support to resistance EMA confluence and momentum – April formed a bullish engulfing candle that closed above the 50 EMA (₹63.8), signalling renewed buyer conviction Elliott-style wave count – Wave 1: Aug-20 to Feb-23 advance into channel top (₹100) – Wave 2: Feb-23 to Apr-25 retrace back to support/200 EMA (₹55) – Wave 3 (projected): expected to carry price toward channel top again, targeting ₹95–100 Measured-move & targets – Channel height (~₹85–15 = ₹70) added to support gives a potential target near ₹125 – bullish scenario only on a clean break above channel resistance – Shorter-term target zone: ₹75 (minor swing highs) → ₹85 (channel midline) Risk management – Invalidation: monthly close below ₹55 erodes the uptrend and negates wave-count – Use a stop 1.5× ATR below the Apr-25 low (₹50) for defined risk FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS: Revenue & earnings trajectory – Quarterly revenue up from ~₹40 B in 2020 to ₹113 B in Q1 ’25, reflecting strong loan book growth and fee income diversification – Net income swung from losses in 2018–19 to a peak of ~₹12 B in 2023, and stays positive at ₹3 B in the latest quarter Asset-quality improvement – GNPA ratio down from ~2.2% in 2020 to ~1.3% in Q1 ’25; PCR steadily rising above 75% – Slippages have trended lower quarter-on-quarter, supporting margin stability Margin & capital metrics – Net interest margin at ~4.2%, above industry average, driven by retail and SME lending – CET-1 ratio comfortably above 13% with Tier-1 capital buffer, enabling healthy credit growth Valuation & catalysts – Trades at ~0.4× book value and 10× trailing P/E vs sector averages of 1.5× and 15× respectively – Potential rerating catalysts: continued NIM expansion, sustained reduction in credit cost, digital customer growth MACRO & SENTIMENT CONTEXT: - RBI rate cycle poised for cuts in H2 ’25, which could support credit demand - Bank Nifty outperforming broader markets; institutional flows have rotated into midcap banks - Relative strength vs Nifty: RSI on a monthly sits near 50, rising from oversold – room to run before overbought TRADING PLAN: - Enter partial long near current price (₹66–70) - Add on break above ₹75 with conviction - Targets: ₹75 → ₹85 → ₹95–100 (channel top) - Stop-loss: ₹50–55 zone (monthly close basis) - Trail stops above each new swing low to lock in profits as price advances
NSE:IDFCFIRSTBLong
by TradZoo
GBP/USD - H1 - Bearish Flag (28.04.2025)FX:GBPUSD The GBP/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3209 2nd Support – 1.3151 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Fundamental Update : on Monday as the trade tensions between the U.S. and China provided some relief to investors, while a stronger dollar further weighed on prices. The U.S. dollar TVC:DXY rose 0.2% against a basket of currencies, making bullion more expensive for overseas buyers. TVC:DJI SP:SPX NASDAQ:IXIC also rising .
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
18
USD/JPY(20250428)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The Fed's subsequent policy path considers two scenarios: First, there is no substantial progress in the negotiations between the United States and its trading partners. After 90 days, the US tariffs are still high. Weakened economic demand may prompt the Fed to cut interest rates starting in July, and the annual rate cut may reach 100 basis points; second, the negotiations are fruitful, tariffs are reduced, and the demand shock is small, but inflationary pressure continues. The Fed may postpone easing and only cut interest rates slightly in December. For the market, although the easing comes early in the first scenario, the "recession-style" rate cut may suppress risky assets. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 143.40 Support and resistance levels: 144.89 144.33 143.97 142.83 142.47 141.91 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 143.97, consider buying, the first target price is 144.33 If the price breaks through 143.40, consider selling, the first target price is 142.83
Short
by Toml1314
Bitcoin may little correct and then continue to grow in wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Analysing the current chart, the market behaviour becomes much more understandable. Initially, Bitcoin was moving inside a clean upward channel, showing steady growth with rebounds from the support line and multiple corrective phases. After a strong breakout above the buyer zone, the price maintained bullish momentum and reached the current support level at 88500. Later, BTC consolidated within the support area, confirming its role as a springboard for the next impulse move. The price eventually broke higher, leaving the channel behind and forming a new structure, an upward wedge. This wedge is a natural development after a strong uptrend, often suggesting that the price may continue climbing toward the upper boundary before any potential reversals occur. At the moment, BTC is trading between the wedge's support and resistance lines, precisely respecting both structures. Small corrective pull-backs have already been observed, but buyers quickly defended the support area, keeping the bullish structure intact. Given the clear market structure, the strong breakout momentum from the support area, and the continuation pattern in the form of the upward wedge, I expect Bitcoin to continue moving higher toward the 97000 points, which aligns with the resistance line of the wedge. This level also serves as my TP1 for the current bullish move. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
9
Range Tightens on Gold – Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?📌 Trading Plan for April 28, 2025: Gold (XAU/USD) Strategy 🧠📈 📊 Technical Analysis Following the sharp drop in previous sessions, gold is now consolidating around the 3260–3270 support zone. Price is moving within a tight triangle formation on the M15 timeframe, indicating compression ahead of a breakout. The MA 13 – 34 – 200 still suggests a short-term bearish bias, but selling momentum has noticeably slowed down. Expectation: gold may retest the 3299–3313 resistance zone before a stronger directional move. 🎯 Key Price Levels for Today Immediate Resistance: 3299 – 3313 Major Support: 3260 – 3258 – 3239 🧩 Updated Trade Setup 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3260 – 3258 Stop Loss (SL): 3254 Take Profit (TP): 3264 → 3268 → 3272 → 3276 → 3280 🔴 SELL ZONE: (after price retests resistance) Entry: 3299 – 3301 Stop Loss (SL): 3306 Take Profit (TP): 3295 → 3290 → 3286 → 3282 → 3275 📢 Important Notes Expected daily range: 60–80 pips. No major economic news today, but stay alert for unexpected political headlines (especially from the US, China, India-Pakistan tensions). Strictly follow TP/SL levels to protect your capital — avoid FOMO chasing after sharp intraday moves. ✅ Conclusion Gold remains in a sensitive consolidation phase. The best strategy today is buying at support and selling at resistance, only scaling in after clear confirmations! 💬 How are you planning to trade gold today? Share your views and setups below! 👇👇👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
btc . wOpen . SHORT weakwOpen with a run down to current range volume profile LOW + minor SFP low (liquidity grab) - Stop out LONGS - Catch late retail SHORTS - squeeze them to top range + higher the friday SHORT was good, but didn't catch momentum looking to move TP1 to cW 0.5 retrace level @ 93.809 i see this pump higher . though cautios, because these levels are late LONG entries only looking for LONGS around 93.777 - 92.782 tp1 . 95.843 tp2 . 99.490 if we see a down momentum shift, act accordingly - i believe this to come towards wednesday
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by Dartagnones
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 28, 2025 USDJPYUSDJPY: The Japanese yen (JPY) fluctuated in a narrow range in Monday's Asian session and paused its recent pullback from a multi-month high reached last week against its U.S. counterpart. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent did not support President Donald Trump's statement that tariff talks with China are underway. That tempered optimism about a quick resolution to trade tensions between the world's two largest economies and provided some support for the safe-haven yen. Meanwhile, traders pushed back expectations of an immediate interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) due to rising economic risks from US tariffs. However, signs of rising inflation in Japan leave the door open for further BoJ rate hikes this year, which is a big divergence from bets on more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) policy easing. This keeps USD bulls on the defensive and also serves as a tailwind for the low-yielding Yen. Trading recommendation: SELL 143.20, SL 143.60, TP 142.50
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Peace Headlines Are Here — But Markets Have Already Moved OnA Russia-Ukraine peace deal making headlines right now is historic news — politically and emotionally. But for the forex and commodities markets? The real money already left this story behind months ago. 🧠 Smart Money Knows: Markets Price in the Future, Not the Past Two years ago, the war sent shockwaves through oil, gas, wheat, and risk currencies. By late 2023, price action had already normalized — the "war premium" faded out quietly. Commodities stabilized. Forex volatility shifted. Safe havens lost their edge. Traders adapted, recalibrated, and moved on to new battlegrounds. Bottom Line: The market already priced in a future where this conflict would eventually fade — peace or no peace. 📊 What Actually Drives Forex Now While peace headlines grab attention, the real macro drivers today are: 🔥 Tariff escalation and global trade wars 🔥 Sticky inflation battles (core services inflation still high) 🔥 Central bank pivot games (Fed, ECB, BoJ) 🔥 Global growth fears (China slowdown, EU stagnation) This is where new money is flowing. Not into a two-year-old headline finally catching up. 🛡️ "Buy the Rumor, Sell the Fact" in Action For two years, markets have priced in an eventual end (or fade) to the Ukraine conflict. A peace agreement now? → It confirms expectations, not shocks them. → It may trigger a short-lived risk-on pop (EUR, AUD, NZD up, gold down) — → But unless it unleashes massive new money flows (unlikely), that pop gets sold. 🔥 Final Thought: If you're still trading the last war, you're already late. The next major moves won't come from peace headlines — they'll come from tariff escalations, inflation battles, and central bank pivots. Focus forward. That's where opportunity lives. 💬 Question for Serious Traders: Which macro theme are you really watching into summer 2025? Peace headlines... or the new fires already burning? Drop your insights below. 👇
Education
by natron
1
The relationship between gold, copper and the US10YFirst, can you tell me what you think the relationship between these two curves is? Clearly, these two curves have a strong negative correlation, meaning they move exactly opposite to each other. You can see in the image that their behavior is like a mirror image (from 2007 to before 2022). You are familiar with the gold-to-copper ratio, right? Now, when this gold-to-copper ratio curve rises, it means that gold is giving better returns compared to copper. This indicates that the global economy is moving away from growth and heading toward a recession. Investors, instead of investing in production (where copper symbolizes production), choose to invest in a safe haven like gold. The opposite happens when this curve goes down. The lower curve represents the yield on long-term U.S. bonds. When this curve is rising, it means that the supply of bonds is greater than the demand. People are selling bonds, which causes the bond yield to rise. When the curve is falling, it means people are buying bonds, which causes the bond yield to drop. Why do these two curves move in opposite directions? Now, let’s get to the main question. The answer to this question is simple: bonds, like gold, serve as a safe haven for investors. When the economy moves toward a recession (when gold offers better returns than copper, and the gold-to-copper ratio is rising), some investors shift towards bonds, and the yield curve drops. That’s why these two curves move in opposite directions. To summarize the entire story: Movement toward recession = investors moving toward gold and bonds = rise in the gold-to-copper ratio and drop in bond yield curve. Now it’s clear why these two curves move opposite to each other. The big surprise is coming👇 Since the beginning of 2022, the historical trend has changed. These two curves have started to show a positive correlation! Meaning, everything I mentioned above has gone out the window! Now, the question is: What suddenly happened? There are several analyses, but I believe what changed is that U.S. bonds are no longer a safe haven for investors, as they once were (the same fear signal I mentioned earlier). In fact, after the pandemic, the world has never been the same. This is an important development and it affects many things. I’ve addressed this topic from various perspectives before, and here’s a new angle on it. For the past two to three years, contrary to the historical trend, investors have been buying gold but selling bonds, and these two curves have been rising together. As you can see, the analytical situation has changed drastically compared to, say, 10 years ago, and many fundamental facts have shifted. For instance, many people expect the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates and gold to go up again, but after an initial short shock, the story will probably reverse. #Gold #XAUUSD #HG1!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by mostafadehghan321
1
TradeCityPro | Deep Search: In-Depth Of ONDO👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I want to fully review the ONDO project for you. First, I’ll go over the project’s information, and then we'll move on to its technical analysis. 🔹Introduction to Ondo Finance (ONDO) Ondo Finance is an open and decentralized investment bank designed to bridge the gap between traditional finance and decentralized finance (DeFi). Founded in 2022 and based in the Cayman Islands, Ondo's mission is to democratize access to institutional-grade financial services. Its ecosystem is built to serve a wide range of stakeholders including DAOs, institutional players, and retail investors. Ondo's key innovation lies in tokenizing real-world assets, thereby making them accessible to a broader audience via blockchain technology. 🔹ONDO Token and Governance The ONDO token plays a central role in the governance of the Ondo decentralized autonomous organization (DAO). Token holders have specific rights within the DAO, particularly over the governance of Flux Finance, which is one of the main platforms in the Ondo ecosystem. ONDO holders are empowered to propose and vote on changes, allocate funds for projects, and influence the platform’s direction, ensuring community-driven governance. The ONDO token sale occurred in mid-2022 and was purchased by over 18,000 individuals. 🔹Technology and Infrastructure Ondo leverages blockchain technology to offer decentralized financial services. It operates on a secure and transparent distributed ledger system, which ensures that transactions are immutable and resistant to tampering. The platform uses Proof-of-Stake (PoS) as its consensus mechanism to validate transactions, offering both security and energy efficiency. Ondo is also integrated with various DeFi protocols and utilizes techniques from traditional finance to repackage DeFi exposures into institutional-grade risk-return profiles. Strategic partnerships with firms like BlackRock, Morgan Stanley, and Coinbase enhance its interoperability and credibility. 🔹Real-World Use Cases Ondo's primary application is in the tokenization of real-world assets such as real estate or treasuries. This allows users to invest in fractionalized assets, lowering the barrier to entry for institutional-quality financial products. The platform is used for intellectual property management through blockchain-based records, enabling secure and transparent tracking. Ondo also engages in community events and educational initiatives to raise awareness about blockchain technology. Furthermore, it offers technical and business development services such as smart contract deployment and treasury management to startups and institutions. 🔹Key Developments and Milestones In 2022, the Ondo DAO was officially launched, providing a decentralized governance framework. Following that, the foundation introduced Flux Finance, a major protocol under Ondo DAO governance. The Ondo Foundation has formed several partnerships to expand its ecosystem and drive innovation. One of the important initiatives includes Ondo USDY LLC, which issues the USDY stablecoin. Ondo has also focused on education, contract deployment, and treasury management, solidifying its operational backbone and long-term strategic vision. 🔹Team and Founders Ondo Finance was founded by Nathan Allman and a team of former Goldman Sachs digital asset professionals. Nathan Allman brings a strong background in engineering and financial operations, serving as a key driver of the project’s vision. The founding team’s experience in traditional finance has been instrumental in shaping Ondo’s hybrid model, which integrates DeFi tools with institutional-grade strategies. 🔹Fundraising and Token Sale Ondo Finance has conducted multiple fundraising rounds. An initial coin offering (ICO) took place on CoinList on May 12, 2022, raising $22 million. The token was priced at $0.055, with a minimum purchase of $100 and a maximum of $20,000. Another funding round was the IEO on Gate.io Startup, conducted from January 17 to January 18, 2024, which raised $40,000. In total, Ondo has raised $46.04 million, including $22.04 million from public sales and $24 million from private and institutional funding rounds. 🔹Tokenomics The ONDO token has a maximum supply of 10 billion tokens. Distribution is divided as follows: 52.1 percent for ecosystem growth, 33 percent for protocol development, 12.9 percent for private sales, and 2 percent for community access sales. As of now, 33.9 percent of the total supply is unlocked, with another 19.4 percent scheduled for future unlocks. Approximately 46.7 percent remains locked. 🔹Vesting Schedule The vesting of ONDO tokens is structured into distinct categories. Ecosystem growth tokens are released linearly over five years, with 24 percent unlocked as of January 2024 and 39.2 percent expected to unlock gradually. Protocol development tokens have a one-year cliff, followed by a three-year linear unlock, with 25 percent becoming available in April 2025. Private sales follow the same schedule as protocol development, while community access sales were 90 percent unlocked from the beginning with full linear unlock over one year. — Certik: 87.50✅ 🔹Top Ondo Wallets Trust Wallet imToken MetaMask Torus Coinbase TokenPocket iToken Wallet Binance web3 wallet 🔹Liquidity Pools Uniswap Balancer 🔹Top Holders 0x677fd4ed8ae623f2f625deb2d64f2070e46ca1a1 0x460ae5a6666fcb9635ba99b541b31279e59665370x 524083970c7a1e62fbaa61d38781f87a4f191fd0 0xa63eace47618b9677261b09b32e3ca2b5c0a0182 0xd2e6e930e25456ffcd4df0124563cc334f3284f4 🔹Significant TVL Growth in Ondo Despite Sharp Liquidity Decline Since mid-January 2025, the total value locked (TVL) in Ondo has increased from 157,000 ETH to 631,000 ETH, reflecting significant growth in its TVL. However, in terms of liquidity, Ondo has experienced a sharp decline since late March, with a drop of nearly 50% compared to the previous month. 🔹On-Chain Analysis of ONDO Looking at ONDO’s on-chain data, the $0.833 level stands out as a key support zone based on the concentration of tokens currently in profit. On the flip side, the $0.856 area acts as a resistance level, with approximately 124 million ONDO tokens currently held at a loss. However, the volume of tokens in profit remains higher overall, which can be interpreted positively — these zones represent value and may attract increased demand. From a network activity perspective, there has been a noticeable decline, particularly in the number of new addresses being created. Analyzing supply and demand, approximately 75% of ONDO tokens are held by whales, indicating strong whale dominance. Address-level data shows that wallets holding between 10 and 100 million tokens have shown minor demand, while older holders are contributing meaningful inflows. Additionally, wallets identified as "investor" addresses have also demonstrated renewed buying interest. 👀 Now that we’ve reviewed the project's details, let’s dive into ONDO’s technical analysis. 📅 Weekly Timeframe In the weekly timeframe, as you can see, there aren't many candles yet, so we can’t perform a complete analysis on this timeframe. ✔️ However, you can observe that after the project launched in January 2024, there was an upward movement up to the 1.3927 area, followed by a correction down to 0.5871. 💥 After this correction, the next bullish leg continued up to the 2.0565 area. 📈 During this bullish cycle, there’s also an ascending trendline that the price has reacted to multiple times, and now it has touched it again. ⚡️ The main support on this timeframe is at 0.5871, and the main resistance is at 2.0565. So, if you already hold ONDO and are considering setting a stop-loss, breaking 0.5871 could be a good point to activate it. 🔽 This level can also be used as a trigger for a short position. Breaking 0.5871 could create a downtrend in ONDO. 🛒 For spot buying, the main trigger is breaking 2.0565, and if this level is broken, the price could register a new ATH. 📅 Daily Timeframe In the daily timeframe, as you can see, the price has been supported by the trendline and has shown a very quick reaction, with bullish momentum pushing it above the 0.9253 resistance. 📊 Currently, the price has reached the SMA99 and reacted to it. The volume of the candles reacting to the SMA99 has increased, and if the price stabilizes above the SMA99, the main bullish leg could begin. 💫 The next resistance the price faces is at 1.1933, and if the SMA99 is broken, I believe the price can easily rise to this level. ☘️ Moreover, if this level is also broken, the price could climb up to 2.0565. 📉 For ONDO to turn bearish on this timeframe, the first trigger would be a fake breakout above 0.9253.The main bearish trigger would be breaking both the trendline and the 0.7122 level. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
13
#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Wyckoff #Analysis #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Wyckoff #Analysis #Eddy This analysis is based on the analytical style of the Wyckoff Distribution Structure of Schematics 1 and 2. I have outlined for you the important parts of the Wyckoff style on the one-hour timeframe. Currently, we are in Phase C of the Wyckoff Distribution Structure. We have to wait for the completion of this phase and the start of Phase D of the Wyckoff Distribution Structure. When will this structure be fully confirmed? When the Bitcoin price falls to the 91800 support and gathers the final spring when this support is broken for the fall, we will enter a short position by getting the necessary confirmations based on our style and strategy. 💬 Note: It is not exactly clear whether the market maker will act based on Schematic 1 or 2, so the best entry point for short positions will be the 91800 support break. If, based on the schematic 1, the Bitcoin price UTAD and test formed, high-risk traders who are willing to trade in the opposite direction can enter a short position by getting confirmation in the time frames below 15 minutes. Where will the targets be? The first target is 62000 and the second target can be 46000 dollars. When can you safely close the position and enter a reverse trade, that is, long or buy? When a Wyckoff accumulation structure is formed at one of the targets. The responsibility for the trade is yours and I have no responsibility for your failure to comply with the risk and capital management. Good luck and be profitable. I also invite you to review and view my latest analysis on Bitcoin via the link below: For altcoins, follow my analysis on the Total 3 chart. My analysis of the Total 3 chart:
Short
by Eddy_Trade_
1