Analysis
EURO - Price can bounce down from resistance area to $1.1100Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price made upward impulse from $1.1025 level and reached $1.1165 level, after which corrected.
Then price entered to wedge, where it made a fake breakout of $1.1165 level and started to decline to support line of wedge.
Euro reached support line, it bounced up, thereby exiting from wedge, and then rose to $1.1135 points.
Next, price started to trades in another wedge, where it first declined to support area, where it reached support line.
After this, price made a fake breakout of $1.1025 level and in a short time rose to $1.1165 and made a fake breakout again.
Now, price trades very close to this level, and I think EUR can bounce down to $1.1100 from resistance area.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Up or Down? Where are we going?I'm bullish on playing long. It's on an upward trend and has touched the line twice. I need three or more touches to give a bull signal. I predict it will retract more than the pump. Honestly, this stock could bloom or boom to the floor. From a fundamental standpoint, the company holds a bright future with the AI and tech boom. I hope they pull through with the tech boom and that the tech boom will use NVIDIA as a powerhouse asset.
Bitcoin can rebound from support zone and start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price traded inside the range, where it at once rebounded from the buyer zone to the bottom part. After this, it turned around and rose back, and some time traded between 58000 level. Soon, the price broke this level, thereby exiting from the range and later entering the wedge, where it turned around from the resistance line and started to decline. In a short time, BTC declined to the buyer zone, where it reached the support line of the wedge. Then, the price started to grow from this line and rose from the buyer zone, but later it made a correction to the support line, after which turned around and continued to move up. Later BTC reached 62600 current support level, which coincided with the support zone and broke this level. Next, the price reached the resistance line of the wedge and then rebounded down. A not long time ago Bitcoin exited from the wedge and now trades inside the support zone. In my mind, BTC can decline to support zone and then start to move up. For this reason, I set my TP at 65500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
How I Perform My Analysis (ICT Concepts)This video is for educational purposes, but feel free to enjoy the analysis using ICT Concepts.
I had trouble uploading this a couple of days ago, but finally works.
Update on the analysis, price came to a Daily SIBI, but the overall directional bias and target should still be intact.
- R2F
Costco Wholesale deep diving into the fundamentals Sale Post ER?NASDAQ:COST is an interesting company that benefits from inflationary conditions where consumers are looking for cheaper products or more product for their money. Costco is aided from its membership business model. The Stock itself rallied 38.35% YTD "Year to Date" and 60.79% in the last Year "365 Days" I personally like the stock but think due to the valuation like the PE Ratio that is high to me personally, and the forward PE Ratio doesn't seem like the best price to me as a new investor with a short term interest, I would not personally add this stock to my portfolio until I see the stock pull-back in Share Price, Price to sales seems decent but I am hoping for a share price pullback which may never happen. I Put an idea/Chart that I Would not be too surprised if it played out that way but it could also be inaccurate. Only Time Will Tell! I am not initiating Buy, Sell, Or Hold Opinions and you should take No action suggestion
-------------------
Balance Sheet:
Cash: US$11.50b
Debt: US$6.91b
Total Liabilities: US$46.14b
Total Assets: US$67.91b
Debt to Equity Ratio: 31.7%
-------------------
Technicals:
RSI: 59
Short Interest: 1.66%
-------------------
Valuation:
PE Ratio: 56.1x
Forward PE Ratio: 52.3x
Price to Sales: 1.6x
Price to book Ratio: 18.5x
-------------------
Management Ratios
Return On Equity: 32.9%
Return On Capital Employed: 27.7%
Return On Assets: 9.9%
-------------------
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and in no way am I signaling a sell, buy, or hold opinion on this stock (Costco Wholesale) I am just giving my personal opinion as a hobby trader, I have no certifications and I am not a financial analyst or a financial advisor, I also may be wrong about how I feel about the stock. I want you to do plenty more research on this and the stocks you are interested in because the stock market always holds a lot of risk that may pose different risks and overall be different for each investor and trader. Please do not make opinions based on this idea or any idea. Please be careful! this post is only for conversation.
-------------------
Idea:
-------------------
Source: SimplyWallSt for the Balance Sheet Numbers & Balance Sheet information.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can correct to support zone and then bounce upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago price declined to support 1, which coincided with the support zone, and soon broke this level and continued to fall. In a short time it declined to support 2, which coincided with one more support zone, some time traded near and later dropped to the trend line, breaking support 2 too. Next, the price started to grow near the trend line and quickly rose back to support 2, broke it, and then made correction. After this BTC rose almost to support 1, but then it turned around and declined below the trend line. Soon, the price rose back and continued to move up between the trend line and later reached support 1. Later BTC broke support 1 and even rose higher than the support zone and now continues to move up. For this case, I expect that BTCUSDT will correct to the support zone and then continue to move up, therefore I set my goal at 65000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
USDJPY Analysis: Potential Bullish Bias for the Upcoming Week!USDJPY Analysis: Potential Bullish Bias for the Upcoming Week (Sept 23-29, 2024)
As we look ahead to the coming week, USDJPY appears poised for a potential slightly bullish bias. This outlook is based on a confluence of fundamental factors and current market conditions that favor USD strength relative to the Japanese yen. Below is a breakdown of key drivers supporting this outlook, along with insights that could influence price action.
1. Federal Reserve's Hawkish Stance
One of the key drivers for a potential bullish bias in USDJPY next week is the persistent hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve. Although the Fed opted to pause rate hikes in September, policymakers have indicated that they are open to further tightening if inflationary pressures persist. Recent inflation data in the U.S. showed a slight uptick in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), suggesting that the Fed may still consider additional rate hikes in 2024. Higher U.S. interest rates would continue to bolster the U.S. dollar, driving demand for USDJPY as traders seek yield differentials.
2. Bank of Japan's Dovish Policy
In stark contrast to the Fed, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains committed to its ultra-loose monetary policy, including negative interest rates and yield curve control. The BoJ's dovish approach continues to weigh on the Japanese yen, especially in an environment where other major central banks are tightening monetary policy. While some market participants expect the BoJ to consider policy changes in the future, there have been no concrete signals indicating a shift in the near term. This widening policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ is a key factor supporting a bullish outlook for USDJPY.
3. Safe Haven Demand Waning
The yen is traditionally viewed as a safe-haven asset, particularly during periods of global market volatility. However, recent market stability, coupled with optimism surrounding global growth prospects, has reduced demand for the yen as a haven. As risk sentiment improves, investors are more likely to allocate capital into higher-yielding assets, which could further weaken the yen.
Moreover, geopolitical tensions that previously supported yen demand have eased slightly, making USDJPY more likely to drift higher in a low-risk environment.
4. U.S. Treasury Yields Rising
Another factor contributing to the bullish bias in USDJPY is the rise in U.S. Treasury yields. Higher yields on U.S. government bonds make the dollar more attractive to foreign investors, adding upward pressure to USDJPY. The correlation between USDJPY and U.S. Treasury yields is well-documented, and as yields rise, so too does the currency pair. Traders will be closely monitoring U.S. economic data next week, including durable goods orders and GDP figures, to gauge the potential for further yield increases.
5. Technical Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels
From a technical perspective, USDJPY is trading within a well-defined range, but with a slight bullish bias as long as it holds above key support at the 147.50 level. A break above the psychological 150.00 level could open the door to further upside, with resistance seen at 151.50. On the downside, failure to hold above 147.50 could lead to a test of lower levels around 146.00. Momentum indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI), are currently neutral but leaning slightly toward overbought territory, suggesting room for further gains before a pullback.
6. U.S. Economic Data Next Week
Next week, market participants will pay close attention to several high-impact economic reports out of the U.S., including the Durable Goods Orders on Tuesday and GDP Growth on Thursday. Positive readings on these metrics could fuel further gains in USDJPY, reinforcing the bullish bias. Conversely, any disappointing data could dampen USD strength and lead to some consolidation in the pair.
Conclusion
Given the combination of hawkish signals from the Fed, the BoJ's ongoing dovish stance, rising U.S. Treasury yields, and waning safe-haven demand, USDJPY appears to have a slightly bullish bias heading into next week. Traders should watch for any shifts in risk sentiment or unexpected economic data that could alter this outlook. The key levels to watch are 147.50 for support and 150.00 for resistance.
Keywords: USDJPY forecast, USDJPY bullish, USDJPY analysis, Bank of Japan policy, Federal Reserve rate hikes, U.S. Treasury yields, Japanese yen, safe-haven demand, forex trading, USDJPY technical analysis, USDJPY key levels, USDJPY next week, trading USDJPY.
SasanSeifi|Metis Analysis: Potential Breakout Ahead?
In the 10-hour timeframe, as you can see, The price has touched the downward trend line four times and is now trading around the critical $32 level. Given the previous interactions with the trend line, a breakout seems possible.
If the trend line is broken, we can expect the price to rise towards targets around $35, followed by a potential further increase to the $37-$38 range after a minor correction. To understand the ongoing trend better, observe how the price reacts to the $35 level. Key support is at $29-$28.
This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
HelenP. I Euro will enter to resistance zone and then start fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price reached the support zone, which coincided with the support level, and tried to break it, but failed and started to decline. Price declined to the trend line, after which started to move up inside the upward channel, where it at once rebounded from the trend line and rose to the resistance line of the channel, breaking the 1.0920 level. Next, the EUR some time traded near the support level and then made impulse up to the resistance line and even rose higher and some time traded then. Also, the price entered to resistance zone, but at once turned around and quickly backed to the upward channel, where it then fell to the trend line, which is the support line of the channel too. Then price broke this line, thereby exiting from the channel and breaking the trend line, after which continued to move up below this line. Just now, the EUR trades near the resistance level, so, in my mind, I think that EURUSD will enter to resistance zone. Then price can turn around and start to decline, therefore I set my goal at 1.1050 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
USD/JPY Forecast: Bullish Bias Expected – Key Factors to Watch.USD/JPY Forecast: Bullish Bias Expected – Key Factors to Watch (20/09/2024)
As we analyze the USD/JPY pair on 20/09/2024, the outlook appears to be slightly bullish for this week and next. Several key drivers are pushing the U.S. dollar higher against the Japanese yen, creating an attractive opportunity for traders. In this article, we’ll break down the fundamental factors behind this forecast and highlight the elements influencing USD/JPY price action in the coming days.
1. US Dollar Strength Bolsters USD/JPY
The strength of the U.S. dollar is a critical factor contributing to the bullish bias in USD/JPY. With the Federal Reserve signaling a commitment to maintaining high interest rates for an extended period, the greenback remains in demand. Fed officials have recently emphasized their concerns about persistent inflation, leading markets to believe that U.S. interest rates will stay elevated for longer than previously expected.
This hawkish monetary stance, coupled with strong economic data, has made the U.S. dollar more attractive to investors. As a result, USD/JPY has been moving higher, with the strong dollar likely to continue exerting upward pressure on the pair.
Key SEO keywords: USD/JPY forecast, US dollar strength, Federal Reserve policy, interest rate hike, USD/JPY price action.
2. Dovish Bank of Japan Keeps the Yen Weak
On the other side of the equation, the Japanese yen remains under pressure due to the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) ultra-loose monetary policy. The BoJ has shown no signs of tightening monetary policy in the near term, despite global inflationary trends. Japan’s central bank continues to prioritize economic support, maintaining low interest rates while avoiding any drastic policy shifts.
This dovish stance contrasts sharply with the Federal Reserve’s hawkish policy, widening the interest rate differential between the U.S. and Japan. This is a major driver of USD/JPY’s bullish outlook, as investors gravitate towards the higher-yielding U.S. dollar over the lower-yielding yen.
Key SEO keywords: Bank of Japan policy, Japanese yen weakness, dovish BoJ, USD/JPY interest rate differential, yen depreciation.
3. Interest Rate Differentials Favor USD/JPY Upside
One of the most important factors pushing USD/JPY higher is the widening interest rate differential between the U.S. and Japan. While U.S. Treasury yields remain attractive, the yield on Japanese government bonds remains low due to the BoJ’s dovish policy stance. This gap in yields makes the U.S. dollar more appealing for investors seeking better returns.
The widening interest rate gap is a key bullish signal for USD/JPY, as capital continues to flow into U.S. dollar-denominated assets. As long as the Federal Reserve maintains its hawkish tone, and the BoJ remains accommodative, this dynamic will likely support the bullish bias for USD/JPY.
Key SEO keywords: Interest rate differentials, U.S. Treasury yields, Japanese bond yields, USD/JPY bullish outlook, capital flows into USD.
4. Japanese Economic Weakness Adding Pressure on the Yen
Another factor supporting the bullish bias for USD/JPY is the ongoing weakness in the Japanese economy. Japan has struggled with slow economic growth and weak inflation, further justifying the BoJ’s cautious approach to monetary policy. Domestic consumption remains low, and Japan’s economic recovery has been uneven.
As a result, the Japanese yen continues to face downside pressure, while the U.S. dollar benefits from stronger economic fundamentals. This divergence between the U.S. and Japanese economies adds to the case for a stronger USD/JPY in the coming weeks.
Key SEO keywords: Japanese economic weakness, low inflation in Japan, weak yen, Bank of Japan policy, USD/JPY forecast.
5. USD/JPY Technical Analysis Suggests Further Upside Potential
From a technical standpoint, USD/JPY is showing signs of further upside. The pair has been testing key resistance levels, and if these levels are broken, we could see a more significant bullish move. The recent price action has shown strength, with USD/JPY consistently finding support at higher lows.
Traders should watch for a potential breakout above these resistance zones, as it could signal further gains for USD/JPY. With strong fundamentals supporting the pair, the technical outlook aligns with the overall bullish bias.
Key SEO keywords: USD/JPY technical analysis, key resistance levels, USD/JPY price action, bullish trend, support and resistance.
Conclusion: Bullish Bias Expected for USD/JPY
In conclusion, several fundamental and technical factors support a slightly bullish bias for USD/JPY over the next couple of weeks. The ongoing strength of the U.S. dollar, the dovish stance of the Bank of Japan, favorable interest rate differentials, and Japan’s economic challenges all point towards further upside potential for USD/JPY.
Traders and investors should closely monitor these key drivers as they make their trading decisions. As always, staying updated on central bank policies, economic data, and technical signals will be crucial in navigating the USD/JPY price action during this period.
Key SEO keywords: USD/JPY forecast, bullish bias, USD/JPY key drivers, US dollar strength, Bank of Japan policy, interest rate differential, USD/JPY technical analysis.
XAUUSD M30 ANALYSIS | LOOKING FOR SELL MEAL!Hi, everyone! I hope you’re all doing great and geared up for today’s trading prospects. I’m eager to share my insights on XAUUSD and explore a potential setup that I believe could be quite beneficial for us.
Looking at the current market conditions, it’s evident that XAUUSD has recently tapped into all buy-side liquidity. This movement hints at a possible change in market sentiment and suggests the emergence of bearish momentum. With that in mind, I’m contemplating a short position on XAUUSD, targeting an entry point at 2600.
Here’s my thorough analysis:
Market Overview: The recent price action indicates that buyers may have reached their limit. With liquidity being exhausted, we could see sellers take charge, driving prices down. Historical trends and current patterns align with this bearish perspective, making it a prime opportunity to leverage potential declines.
Target Levels: For this trade, I’ve set my first target at 2685, with aspirations for further movement down to around 2675. These levels have previously demonstrated significant support, and I believe they will be pivotal during this trading session.
Risk Management: To safeguard our investment, I’ll be placing a stop loss at 2608. This provides a comfortable 80-pip cushion, allowing for some market fluctuations while protecting our capital. It’s crucial to implement a solid risk management strategy, especially in the dynamic environment of XAUUSD.
Trade Execution: I encourage each of you to evaluate this setup according to your own strategies and risk tolerance. Ensure that your trade aligns with your overall trading plan. If you’re considering this trade, I recommend staying alert for confirmation signals before making your move.
Community Interaction: I want to take a moment to thank you all for the amazing support and engagement you’ve shown towards my ideas. Your feedback inspires me and enhances our community. If you have insights, alternative viewpoints, or questions about this setup—or anything else—please share in the comments! I’m excited to discuss and learn from all of you.
Looking Ahead: As we navigate today’s trading session, let’s stay focused and flexible. Markets can shift quickly, and being prepared to adjust our strategies is essential for success. Remember, trading isn’t just about profits; it’s also about continuous learning and growth as traders.
Thank you all once again for being such a fantastic community! Together, let’s seize today’s trading opportunities. Here’s to a successful day ahead—let’s go for those profits! 🚀💰✨
Happy trading, everyone!
Is PayPal's Rise Unstoppable?PayPal, once a mere online payment facilitator, has evolved into a financial powerhouse. Its strategic partnerships, innovative ventures, and consistent financial performance have solidified its position as a dominant player in the digital payments landscape.
The company’s recent investment in Chaos Labs, a blockchain risk management firm, underscores its commitment to staying ahead of the curve and embracing emerging technologies. This strategic move not only positions PayPal as a leader in the blockchain space but also highlights its ability to identify and capitalize on future trends.
Moreover, PayPal’s partnership with Amazon has significantly expanded its reach and boosted investor confidence. By integrating PayPal as a checkout option for third-party merchants, Amazon has effectively made PayPal a more accessible and convenient payment method for millions of consumers. This strategic alliance has not only driven revenue growth but has also fueled PayPal's stock price.
Beyond Amazon, PayPal's collaborations with Shopify, Adyen, and other industry leaders have further diversified its business model. These partnerships have allowed PayPal to tap into new markets, reach a wider customer base, and enhance its value proposition.
The increasing confidence of institutional investors in PayPal is a testament to its strong fundamentals and growth potential. As investors continue to seek out stable and profitable investments, PayPal’s consistent performance and strategic initiatives make it an attractive option.
In conclusion, PayPal's journey from a simple online payment platform to a financial powerhouse is a testament to its ability to adapt, innovate, and deliver value to its stakeholders. With its strategic partnerships, blockchain ventures, and solid financial performance, PayPal is well-positioned to continue its upward trajectory and remain a dominant force in the digital payments industry.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
DXY is sitting at an important KL (Key Level) at around 100.600 . On a bigger timeframe we are still bullish on dollar.
Several factors support Dollar strength:
The Dollar is expected to maintain its strength for some time.
Still, some risks could lead to further appreciation, including Euro area concerns, changes in Chinese currency policy, and how markets interpret US growth prospects.
Interest rates:
With yesterday’s interest rate decisions (50BPS) we saw DXY spike down . We do have to keep in mind if interest rate cuts continue, we might turn bearish on DXY, resulting in less demand in U.S. Dollar and more demand in stocks and gold .
If however, we continue to the upside with DXY, it will confirm our XAUUSD sells that we have given the analysis for.
Keep in mind:
The aim of raising of the Fed's rates is to adjust the inflation level to a target value. Interest rate hike may have a positive effect on dollar quotes, while lowering can be seen as negative for the US dollar.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
The Fundamentals Titan that is Arista NetworksNYSE:ANET is a popular tech stock with strong fundamentals while valuation methods such as PE Ratio, Price to sales, etc, might be signaling that it is overvalued, the forecast projections remain strong. Arista Networks has no debt and more then 3 Assets per Liability, With more then double the Cash to cover Liabilities also growing Equity rapidly this company. The Balance sheet is a definite strength for this company!
------------------
Balance Sheet:
Cash: US$6.27b
Debt: US$0
Equity: US$8.43b
Total Liabilities: US$3.19b
Total Assets: US$11.62b
------------------
Valuation:
PE Ratio: 46.63x
Forward PE Ratio: 43.7x
Price To Sales: 18x
Price To Books: 13.5x
------------------
Idea:
------------------
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and in no way am I signaling a sell, buy, or hold opinion on this stock (Arista Networks) I am just giving my personal opinion as a hobby trader, I have no certifications and I am not a financial analyst, I also may be wrong about how I feel about the stock. I want you to do plenty more research on this and the stocks you are interested in because the stock market always holds a lot of risk that may pose different risks and overall be different for each investor and trader. Please do not make opinions based on this idea or any idea. Please be careful! this post is only for conversation.
Continued growth of WTI. H4 17.09.2024Continued growth of WTI
Oil rebounded from important support in the region of 65
and started to grow, I believe medium-term.
I do not exclude intermediate corrections, but in general
we aim at the area of 73 and there I will be specified.
On the way of growth we have resistance in the area of 71.50
and from there we can bounce down locally. But I believe that
then we will continue the growth to the specified targets.
EURUSD 1H TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS | SELL MEAL IS READY WHAT YOU THINKHello, everyone! I hope you’re all doing well and ready to dive into today’s trading opportunities. I’m excited to share my analysis on EURUSD and discuss a potential setup that I believe could be quite rewarding for us.
As we assess the current market landscape, it’s clear that eurusd has recently grabbed all buy-side liquidity. This movement indicates a potential shift in market sentiment and opens the door to bearish momentum. With this in mind, I’m considering a short position on eurusd, with my entry point at 1.11800.
Here’s my detailed outlook:
Market Analysis: The price action we’ve seen suggests that buyers have exhausted their strength. With liquidity being tapped out, we’re now likely to see sellers take control, pushing prices lower. Historical patterns and current trends support this bearish outlook, making it an opportune moment to capitalize on potential downward movement.
Target Levels: For this trade, my first target is set at 1.11450, and I’m aiming for further downside to around 1.11150. These levels have shown significant support in the past, and I anticipate they will be crucial in this trading session.
Risk Management: To protect our investment, I’m implementing a stop loss at 1.12200. This provides us with a comfortable 30-pip buffer, allowing for some market fluctuation while safeguarding our capital. It’s essential to have a clear risk management strategy in place, especially in volatile markets like eurusd.
Trade Execution: I encourage everyone to analyze this setup based on your own strategies and risk tolerance. Always ensure that your trade aligns with your overall trading plan. If you’re considering this trade, I recommend staying vigilant and watching for confirmation signals before entering.
Community Engagement: I want to take a moment to express my heartfelt gratitude for the incredible support and engagement you’ve shown for my ideas. Your feedback not only motivates me but also enriches our community. If you have insights, alternative perspectives, or questions about this setup—or if there’s anything else on your mind—please share in the comments! I’m eager to discuss and learn from all of you.
Looking Ahead: As we navigate today’s trading session, let’s remain focused and adaptable. The markets can change rapidly, and being prepared to adjust our strategies is key to success. Remember, trading is not just about making profits; it’s also about continuous learning and growth as traders.
Thank you all once again for being such a fantastic community! Together, let’s make the most of today’s trading opportunities. Here’s to a successful day ahead—let’s aim for those profits! 🚀💰✨
Happy trading, everyone!
XAUUSD 1H TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS | Looking Bearish Food!🌟 Welcome to Our Trading Community! 🌟
Hello, everyone! I hope you’re all doing well and ready to dive into today’s trading opportunities. I’m excited to share my analysis on XAUUSD (gold) and discuss a potential setup that I believe could be quite rewarding for us.
As we assess the current market landscape, it’s clear that gold has recently grabbed all buy-side liquidity. This movement indicates a potential shift in market sentiment and opens the door to bearish momentum. With this in mind, I’m considering a short position on gold, with my entry point at 2582.
Here’s my detailed outlook:
Market Analysis: The price action we’ve seen suggests that buyers have exhausted their strength. With liquidity being tapped out, we’re now likely to see sellers take control, pushing prices lower. Historical patterns and current trends support this bearish outlook, making it an opportune moment to capitalize on potential downward movement.
Target Levels: For this trade, my first target is set at 2567, and I’m aiming for further downside to around 2550. These levels have shown significant support in the past, and I anticipate they will be crucial in this trading session.
Risk Management: To protect our investment, I’m implementing a stop loss at 2594. This provides us with a comfortable 100-pip buffer, allowing for some market fluctuation while safeguarding our capital. It’s essential to have a clear risk management strategy in place, especially in volatile markets like gold.
Trade Execution: I encourage everyone to analyze this setup based on your own strategies and risk tolerance. Always ensure that your trade aligns with your overall trading plan. If you’re considering this trade, I recommend staying vigilant and watching for confirmation signals before entering.
Community Engagement: I want to take a moment to express my heartfelt gratitude for the incredible support and engagement you’ve shown for my ideas. Your feedback not only motivates me but also enriches our community. If you have insights, alternative perspectives, or questions about this setup—or if there’s anything else on your mind—please share in the comments! I’m eager to discuss and learn from all of you.
Looking Ahead: As we navigate today’s trading session, let’s remain focused and adaptable. The markets can change rapidly, and being prepared to adjust our strategies is key to success. Remember, trading is not just about making profits; it’s also about continuous learning and growth as traders.
Thank you all once again for being such a fantastic community! Together, let’s make the most of today’s trading opportunities. Here’s to a successful day ahead—let’s aim for those profits! 🚀💰✨
Happy trading, everyone!
BTC AnalysisHello friends,
Right now BINANCE:BTCUSDT is in the healthy up trend. The wise one said it's better to always trade in direction of trend.
I see one condition here for taking short:
In case price accelerate and VOLUME jumped, we can consider taking SHORT position from trading zone.
Cheers,
keiwan
Bitcoin can continue to decline inside range to 54800 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago entered to triangle, where it at once started to decline from the resistance line and soon fell below the 61200 level, breaking it. Then the price dropped more and broke the 53300 level, reaching the support line of the triangle, after which it turned around and started to grow. In a short time price rose to a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, breaking the 53300 level one more time. BTC some time traded near the resistance level and then fell to the support line of the triangle and then quickly rose to the resistance line of this pattern, breaking the resistance level. But then the price made impulse down, thereby exiting from the triangle pattern and breaking the 61200 level too. Also, BTC started to trades inside the range, where it declined to support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and at once rebounded up. A not long time ago price reached a resistance level and soon rolled down, and now it declining. So, for this case, I think that the price can rise to the resistance level and then continue to fall to almost the support level. That's why I set my TP at 54800 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD - Price can start to decline to $2520 support levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price traded near $2475 level, bouncing down to $2438 points, and started to grow in wedge.
In wedge, price soon broke $2475 level and then rose to resistance line, but quickly turned around and fell below.
Price made a fake breakout of $2520 level, but soon backed up and some time traded near this level.
Also, Gold even some time entered to support area, after which it later made a correction to support line of wedge.
After this movement, XAU made an upward impulse, thereby exiting from wedge and breaking $2520 level.
Now, I think Gold, after upward movement, can start to decline to $2520 support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
USDJPY: Slight Bullish Bias This Week? (19/09/2024)As of September 19, 2024, traders are closely monitoring the USDJPY pair for potential bullish momentum. Several fundamental factors and market conditions indicate that the pair might see a slight upward bias this week. Let’s dive into the key drivers affecting the USDJPY price action.
1. Diverging Central Bank Policies
One of the primary influences on USDJPY is the monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ).
- Federal Reserve’s Stance: As we move into the week, the market expects the Fed to maintain a hawkish stance or at least keep interest rates elevated. Although there’s some speculation about a possible pause in future rate hikes, the Fed's priority remains controlling inflation. This higher interest rate environment in the US makes the US dollar more attractive, pushing USDJPY upwards.
- Bank of Japan’s Ultra-Loose Policy: In contrast, the BoJ continues its ultra-loose monetary policy, aiming to stimulate Japan’s sluggish economy. Despite rising inflation in Japan, the BoJ has shown little inclination to raise rates aggressively. This Interest rate differential between the US and Japan tends to weaken the yen, giving a bullish outlook for USDJPY.
2. Risk Sentiment in Global Markets
Risk sentiment plays a crucial role in the movement of USDJPY. When global markets are in a risk-off mode, investors tend to flock to safe-haven assets like the Japanese yen, strengthening it. However, recent global economic data and financial news have maintained a somewhat stable risk appetite, leaning towards a risk-on environment.
- US Economic Data: Recent reports from the US, such as better-than-expected retail sales and strong labor market data, continue to support the narrative of economic resilience. This fuels demand for the dollar and supports USDJPY’s bullish momentum.
- Global Geopolitical Risks: While geopolitical tensions in regions like Europe and the Middle East may inject some volatility, there hasn’t been a major shift toward a risk-off sentiment that would heavily favor the yen. For now, dollar strength seems to dominate.
3. Japanese Economic Conditions
Japan’s economy continues to struggle with low growth despite rising inflation. The BoJ’s consistent approach to stimulus, combined with the government's push for wage growth, has not yet translated into significant yen strength. Additionally, trade deficits in Japan, exacerbated by higher import costs, have weighed on the yen’s valuation.
Without a major shift in BoJ policy or a significant improvement in Japan's economic performance, the yen will likely remain under pressure, keeping USDJPY on a slightly bullish path.
4. US Bond Yields
US Treasury yields are another major factor driving the USDJPY. Higher US bond yields, often seen in response to tighter monetary policy and strong economic data, make the dollar more attractive to foreign investors. The upward trajectory of bond yields has been a persistent theme, reinforcing dollar strength. If this trend continues through the week, we can expect additional support for USDJPY.
5. Technical Indicators
Looking at the technical analysis for USDJPY, the pair has been trading near key resistance levels in recent sessions. If the pair breaks above these resistance zones, we could see further bullish momentum.
- Key Support and Resistance Levels: The 145.00 level has been a psychological support level for USDJPY, while 148.50 serves as resistance. Should the pair break beyond this resistance, it could trigger more buying pressure, pushing USDJPY higher.
Conclusion: USDJPY’s Slight Bullish Bias
In conclusion, the USDJPY pair is expected to exhibit a slight bullish bias this week, primarily driven by:
- Monetary policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ.
- Favorable US economic data and rising Treasury yields.
- Limited economic growth in Japan, with persistent trade deficits.
- Stable global risk sentiment supporting the dollar over the yen.
Traders should keep an eye on US bond yields, Fed comments, and any sudden shifts in risk sentiment or geopolitical events, as these could influence USDJPY’s trajectory throughout the week.
---
Keywords:
- USDJPY forecast
- USDJPY bullish bias
- USDJPY analysis September 2024
- USDJPY technical analysis
- USDJPY key drivers
- USDJPY trading strategy
- USDJPY and Federal Reserve policy
- USDJPY support and resistance levels
- USDJPY risk sentiment
- USDJPY bond yields impact