Fundamental Market Analysis for September 13, 2024 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair weakened further below the mid 141.000s during the Asian session on Friday and is now back closer to the YTD low reached earlier this week. Moreover, the fundamental backdrop seems to be leaning in favor of bearish traders and supports the prospects of a continuation of the established downtrend seen over the past two months.
The US Dollar (USD) fell to a fresh weekly low amid rising bets for more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) policy easing next week, bolstered by the release of a softer-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) on Wednesday. In fact, markets are now pricing in a more than 40% probability that the US central bank will cut borrowing costs by 50 basis points at the end of its September meeting. This keeps US Treasury yields near 2024 lows, which puts pressure on the dollar and leads to a decline in the USD/JPY pair.
The Japanese Yen (JPY), on the other hand, continues to receive support from hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) indicating that it will raise interest rates further if the economic outlook matches forecasts. Moreover, BoJ board member Naoki Tamura said on Thursday that the road to ending soft policy is still very long. This represents a significant divergence from dovish Fed expectations, which in turn encourages further pullback in Japanese Yen (JPY) and contributes to the tone of the USD/JPY pair.
The aforementioned fundamental backdrop indicates that the path of least resistance for spot prices remains to the downside, although traders may prefer to move sideways ahead of a key central bank event that could occur next week. The Fed is due to announce its decision at the end of its two-day meeting next Wednesday. This will be followed by the BOJ's policy update on Friday, which will determine the next leg of directional movement for the USD/JPY pair. Nevertheless, the pair remains on track to end the second week in the negative.
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Analysis
EU, EJ, and GJ Soaring High: Bulls Dominate the Forex Market!Get ready for an epic forex trading day as the Euro (EUR), Japanese Yen (JPY), and British Pound (GBP) are all showing bullish momentum! Join us as we analyze the charts and identify key entry points for these currency pairs. Don't miss out on this opportunity to capitalize on the current market conditions.
#PYTH/USDT: Bullish Breakout Ahead! SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:PYTH /USDT: Long Position🚀
PYTH is forming a descending wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal setup. The price has consolidated and is approaching a breakout point. If the price breaks above the wedge resistance, a strong upward move can be expected, with significant upside potential indicated in the chart.
Entry Point: Current Market Price (CMP)
Additional Positions: Add more if the price dips to the support zone near 0.25 USDT.
🎯Targets:
$0.39
$0.49
$0.65
$0.72 (Final target)
⛔Stop Loss (SL): $0.24 to manage downside risk.
⚖️Leverage:
Use leverage cautiously, between 5x and 10x depending on your risk tolerance.
DYOR NFA
#Cryptocurrency #Crypto #XRP
XAUUSD | Short from Resistance or NEW All Time High ? Everyone's favourite precious metal has been in a near month long range zone for the last few weeks following a surge to the all time high level of $2,532 and a range low of $2,471 in where gold has been stuck in consolidation even with Non Farm Payroll which failed to break this strong range zone.
Most recently we have seen a large bullish surge in momentum that has driven gold from $2,484 to the now resistance topside of the range at $2,536 where it is likely to see another fractal pivot bring price back into the range however that being said with todays upcoming USD releases for the CPI + Inflation Rate traders are anticipating if this could be the day we break the topside and push for another all time high which could be likely but as always is a 50/50 gamble on such red flag events.
Price action wise I will be aiming for the short range from $2,515 - $2,502 with a continuation of the range likely for the next 2 weeks, but as per any high impact news day I will be looking closely at the market structure and volume during these events whilst utilising correct risk management and preferable being out of my trades before and seeing where suitable entries lie following such events.
What are your thoughts ? Let me know in the comments below :)
Silver Analysis. H4 12.09.2024Silver Analysis. H4 12.09.2024
An interesting situation is fprming in silver. I haven't reviewed it for a while, but a cool pattern is forming now. The price is forming an exit to the upper boundary of the range and fixing near the margin. On the way we made accumulation and buyers' zone 28.50-28.85 in case of correction to which we can buy with targets to renew the highs. The main volumes remained at the bottom and will be a support for the price.
USDJPY: Will the Fed's rate cut really hurt the USD/JPY pair?The potential impact of a US Federal Reserve rate cut on USD/JPY is a key issue for investors and currency strategists, especially as we approach a potential Fed policy change in 2024.
With the divergent monetary policies of the Fed and the Bank of Japan (BoJ), market participants are divided on whether a Fed rate cut will lead to a weaker USD/JPY.
#DOGS #Analysis #Eddy#DOGS #Analysis #Eddy
From the point of view of price action, it is in a descending channel, it has hit the channel ceiling for the third time, and now it is ready to fall to the bottom of the hypothetical channel, and after the third hit with the channel floor, within the specified limits, if confirmed simultaneously on the market, you can enter the price Invest in the specified areas and professional traders can also get into the attractive long futures market with the divergence that will happen in that area.
$SUI Breaks Out of its Bull Flag! SUI NYSE:SUI (Sui) is forming a bull flag pattern on the 12H chart, which is typically a bullish continuation pattern. A breakout above the flag could indicate significant upward momentum.
📈 Entry Point: $1.0200 to $1.0400
🎯 Targets: $1.2000 $1.4000 $1.5000
🔄 Trading Options: SUI NYSE:SUI is available for trading on multiple exchanges. Consider setting a stop-loss at $0.9500 or if the price falls back into the flag pattern.
📊 About NYSE:SUI : Sui is a decentralized platform built for scalability and low latency. It aims to drive Web3 innovation with faster transaction speeds and lower fees.
📢 DYOR, NFA
#Crypto
GBPUSD Sept 11 Sell Trade This trade was set in pending order at around 3-4am EST . During London Session.
I saw some continuation in bearish structure due to the fact that previous day introduced supply (we can see it in (4h- 1H Timeframe). After carefully checking the Point of Interest, I set the sell limit.
Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:7
Supply Entry with confluence in liquidity.
move that gives momentum during CPI News release 8:30am EST
#wyckoff
#patience
Bitcoin: To the Moon? | Analyzing the '3 Market Phases'Hello everyone!
Bitcoin is currently displaying the '3 Market Phases,' and we’re transitioning from Contraction into Expansion. As long as the price holds above the lower boundary of the horizontal channel, I believe there’s a strong likelihood of continued upward momentum.
Key points:
Break below the channel: A breakdown could signal the beginning of a significant downtrend. However, if the channel holds, the uptrend is expected to persist.
Uptrend continuation: There’s a solid chance we could see a rise toward the 63K level.
This is not a buy or sell recommendation.
It reflects a personal viewpoint and is intended for reference only.
All decisions and responsibilities lie solely with you.
$WIF Breakout Alert: Targeting 89% Gains!CRYPTOCAP:WIF is breaking out from a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4H chart, which often indicates a potential continuation move.
📈 Entry Point: $1.55 - $1.60
🎯 Targets: $2.20, $2.60, $3.00
❗ Potential Gain: 90% to the upside.
🔄 Trading Strategy: Watch for a sustained breakout above the resistance line. A stop-loss of around $1.330 could be considered to limit downside risk.
📢 DYOR, NFA
#Crypto
Forex Analysis: Super Clean Double Top Setups in GU, GJ, and EJIn this forex analysis video, we'll be discussing the market movements of the euro (EU), the British pound (GU), the Japanese yen (GJ), and the euro yen (EJ).
EU: No narrative setup was identified due to the failure of the 15m entry to bounce twice and form a double top before the price decline.
GU: A super clean setup was identified. Price bounced on the previous day's high and formed a double top entry on the 15m timeframe.
GJ: A super clean setup was identified. Price bounced on the previous day's high and formed a tiny double top entry on the 15m timeframe.
EJ: A super clean setup was identified. Price bounced on the previous day's high and formed a tiny double top entry on the 15m timeframe.
T. Rowe Price Analysis 9/10Disclosure: As of 09/10/2024 I am long T. Rowe Price shares ticker NASDAQ:TROW
T. Rowe Price is an investment management company operating in the mutual funds, retirement plans, and investment management business areas.
Management Effectiveness: T. Rowe Price has been around for many years and management has consistently managed to grow assets under management, and provide good returns for the firm as well as their clients.
The company's return on assets is very good, never dropping below 10% even in the financial crisis of 2008. The company has minimal debt, and an excellent balance sheet. With a business like this the concern is valuation, all the fundamentals and the trend of growing assets as workers contribute to retirement plans will continue well into the future.
With a company like this a very long holding period should be expected. As a holding in a retirement, or tax advantaged account T. Rowe Price is very attractive at the right valuations. The idea is to let the earnings compound over a period of decades. Please keep this in mind if you decide to add this company to your portfolio.
Looking at the current valuations the combined earnings and dividend yield is nearly 13%. With stable revenue growth, asset growth, and very little downside in the way of tail risks this business is a buy for me at anything below $110 per share. My personal expected return on this is between 15%-17% annually with a holding period of 20-50 years to allow the returns to compound internally with the business.
XAUUSD H1 Time Frame Analysis.Greetings, traders! 🕰️
Here's a comprehensive analysis for the XAU/USD (Gold) pair on the H1 (Hourly) timeframe. We've identified three potential sell zones that could offer lucrative trading opportunities. Please review the levels and targets outlined below:
🔍 Sell Zones:
Zone 1: $2506.50 - This level has demonstrated resistance in previous price actions, making it a key area to watch for potential sell signals.
Zone 2: $2519.30 - A slightly higher resistance level that could act as a strong barrier. Be attentive to price behavior around this point.
Zone 3:
🚀 Targets:
Target A: $2485 - A significant support level where price could potentially find a bounce or show signs of a reversal. Monitor for any price action signals around this level.
Target B: $2473 - A deeper target where further downside potential could materialize. This level provides an extended profit-taking opportunity if the bearish trend continues.
📈 Risk Management:
Ensure to set appropriate stop-loss levels to protect your capital. Consider placing stop-loss orders just above the identified sell zones to manage risk effectively.
Adjust your position sizes based on your risk tolerance and trading strategy to maintain a balanced risk-to-reward ratio.
📉 Additional Notes:
Keep an eye on market news and economic events that could impact Gold prices. Volatility can significantly influence price movements, so stay informed and ready to adjust your strategy as needed.
Happy trading and may your trades be profitable! 🌟
Feel free to ask any questions or share your thoughts below.
$ACH Poised for Bullish Reversal: Falling Wedge Setup!FWB:ACH (Alchemy Pay) is forming a falling wedge pattern on the 1D chart, which is typically a bullish reversal pattern.
📈 Entry Point: $0.0180 to $0.0190
🎯 Targets: $0.0250 $0.0300 $0.0400
🔄 Trading Options: FWB:ACH is available for trading on multiple exchanges. Consider setting a stop-loss at $0.0150 or if the price drops below the wedge support line.
📊 About FWB:ACH :
Alchemy Pay (ACH) is a leading payment solution provider, bridging the gap between fiat and crypto. With growing adoption and partnerships, it aims to make crypto payments seamless and accessible worldwide.
📢 DYOR, NFA
#Crypto
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 10, 2024 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is turning positive for the second consecutive day after declining early in the Asian session to the 142.850 area, although it lacks bullish confidence. Spot prices are currently trading with a slight positive bias just below the mid-143.000s and remain within striking distance of the one-month low reached last Friday.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to be threatened by data released on Monday that showed the economy grew slightly slower in the second quarter than originally reported. This could complicate the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) plan to raise interest rates further in the coming months. In addition, the overall positive sentiment in equity markets is reducing demand for the safe-haven Yen and serving as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair amid some buying interest from the US Dollar (USD).
Investors may also prefer to stand back and wait for the release of US consumer inflation data on Wednesday before making new directional bets. Thus, strong follow-through buying is needed to confirm that the USD/JPY pair has formed a short-term bottom and is positioned for significant gains amid the lack of meaningful macroeconomic data from the US on Tuesday. That said, speeches by influential FOMC members may provide some impetus later in the US session.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 143.000, if consolidated below consider Sell position, if rebounding positions on Buy.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can little correct and then continue to riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some days ago price declined to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and at once rebounded up to the trend line. After this, BTC turned around and made a strong impulse down, breaking 63900 with 53200 levels, but soon turned around again and rose higher than the 53200 level, making a fake breakout of it. Next, the price started to grow and later it grew almost to a resistance level, where it some time traded. Then the price rose to the resistance zone, where it touched the trend line one more time and then started to decline. In a short time, BTC fell to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and a not long time ago it rebounded and started to move up. So, in my mind, I expect that BTCUSDT will make little correction movement and continue to grow to the trend line. For this case, I set two goals, first at the - 57400 points, and second at the 60600 points, which coincides with the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD h1 chart analysis 100%Follow the instructions.
If the price consolidates between $2502 and $2505, gold may touch the $2494 level before bouncing back to $2528. A break above the strong resistance level could potentially send gold to new all-time highs (ATH).
Bullish Opportunities:
1. 2500 - 2502
2. 2477 - 2487
Bearish Opportunities:
1. 2510 - 2512
2. 2546 - 2560 (Only if the Strong resistance level Breaks and Gold Reaches its new high).
Possibility:
waiting for geopolitical situation as it getting worsting.
I'll Update as it needs to be updated.
Use proper risk management Or money management and follow my instructions properly.
Don't forgot to support by liking or following!!
Buy EURNZD Bullish ChannelThe EUR/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent formation of well-defined channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 1.7975, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.8084
2nd Support – 1.8145
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Oracle (ORCL): Bullish Outlook Ahead of EarningsToday, we’re getting the earnings report on ORCL, and we’ve had to adjust our last analysis accordingly. We are now looking at a more bullish scenario after our previous bearish outlook was invalidated. If Oracle holds the desired level, we believe our current wave count is accurate.
The count is pretty straightforward, and we think we’re now in the intra wave (ii) of the larger wave 3. This wave (ii) might touch the trend channel again, though it doesn’t necessarily have to. The channel seems accurate as waves ((i)), ((ii)), and ((iii)) are all tagging it. It would have been ideal if wave ((iv)) had touched it as well, but perfection is rare in markets.
We’re focusing on the area between $133.43 and $129 to hold. We’re not setting any limit orders for ourselves just yet, as we want to see if our new count proves correct before making any moves.