Awaited Dollar Rebound, Too Expensive FrancCHF
- Market Internals
- SNB doesn't like it high
USD
- Strong GDP data. Claims were released slightly below the cons.; ISM PMI positive expectations
- Oversold dollar due to exaggerated cut expectations
- Bullish CFTC
Technical & Other
Setup: TR(B)
Setup timeframe: 4h
Trigger: 1h
Medium-term: Down
Long-term: Down
Min target: Local mirror level, 3R
Risk: 0.22%; 1R
* 1st entry 0.5R near the down band of the local range (buy limit); 2nd 0.5R when 1h closed above DMA(10)
Analysis
Buy GBP/NZD Descending TriangleThe GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Descending Triangle pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 2.1057, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2.1167
2nd Support – 2.1231
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2.0973. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Buy Gold (Xau/Usd) ChannelThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Descending Triangle pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 2497, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2522
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2489. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
EUR/USD to tag 1.11 before its next leg lower?It is good to finally see the USD strength we were calling for finally come into play. It may have a little further to run, which could see further downside on the weekly chart for EUR/USD. But first, we look at a potential long on the daily and 4-hour chart, taking the weekly analysis into account.
Sell EURUSD Bearish FlagThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1060, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.1015
2nd Support – 1.0988
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.1100 This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Stock feedback loopStock market is a adaptive system or a stock, with feedback loops (for inflow, outflow function). Where nobody knows the outcome or future, but feedbacks (corrections or resistance) gives tells (makes inflows or outflows). Without a common leader.
Economists think in models (price is the result of supply-demand, or inflow-outflow) that helps to explain system behavior (short term moves), but models are just ideas to explain complex world (models work until they dont). System thinkers study the stock not aggregate behavior .
Looking at markets trough perspective of "eco system" helps better understand the drivers or moving forces?
Sell Gold (Xau/Usd) Ascending Triangle in H1The XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Ascending Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2513.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2485
2nd Support – 2461.50
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2530. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
How to Perform Fundamental Analysis of StocksHow to Perform Fundamental Analysis of Stocks
In the dynamic world of financial markets, traders seek every available edge to make informed decisions. Among the numerous tools at their disposal, two approaches stand out: technical analysis and fundamental analysis of stocks. In this article, we will explore what fundamental analysis is, how it applies to stocks, and why it is a crucial tool for traders. Traders have the option to open an FXOpen account to perform fundamental analysis on numerous stocks available at FXOpen.
Understanding Fundamental Analysis
Before diving into the intricacies of fundamental analysis, it's essential to grasp the basics of technical and fundamental analysis.
Technical analysis primarily focuses on historical price and volume data to predict future price movements. Traders using this approach rely on charts, trendlines, and indicators like moving averages and Relative Strength Index (RSI) to make trading decisions.
Fundamental analysis, on the other hand, takes a more holistic view. It delves into the financial statements of a firm, examines economic indicators, and assesses industry trends. The goal is to determine the intrinsic value of an asset and whether it is overvalued or undervalued in the market.
Key Fundamental Analysis Components
Fundamental analysis involves several key components that traders must understand to make informed decisions:
Financial Statements
Fundamental analysis begins with a deep dive into a company's financial statements. These documents provide a wealth of information that is critical for assessing a company's financial performance. The three primary financial statements to consider are:
Balance Sheet: This statement offers an overview of a company's assets, liabilities, and shareholders' equity at a specific point in time. It acts as a quick overview of the company's financial standing.
Income Statement: Also known as the profit and loss statement, the income statement details a company's revenue, expenses, and profitability over a specific period. These ratios evaluate a company's capability to fulfil its immediate commitments.
Cash Flow Statement: The cash flow statement tracks the inflow and outflow of cash from the company's operating, investing, and financing activities. It offers valuable information about the company's liquidity and cash management.
Ratios and Metrics
To gain deeper insights into a company's financial health, fundamental analysts use various financial ratios and metrics. Some of the key ratios and metrics include:
Liquidity Ratios: These ratios evaluate a company's capability to fulfil its immediate commitments. Notable examples include the Current Ratio and Quick Ratio.
Profitability Ratios: These ratios measure a company's ability to generate profit relative to its revenue and assets. Examples include the Gross Margin, Net Profit Margin, Return on Equity (ROE), and Return on Assets (ROA).
Solvency Ratios: Solvency ratios evaluate a company's ability to meet its long-term financial obligations. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio and Interest Coverage Ratio are significant in this category.
Efficiency Ratios: These ratios assess how efficiently a company manages its resources to generate income. Examples include Inventory Turnover, Receivables Turnover, and Payables Turnover.
Growth Metrics
Understanding a firm's growth trajectory is essential for projecting its future potential and assessing its investment attractiveness.
Earnings Per Share (EPS) Growth: This metric indicates the rate at which a firm's earnings per share are increasing or decreasing over time.
Revenue Growth: It measures the growth in a firm's revenue compared to a specific period.
Book Value per Share Growth Rate: This metric assesses the increase in the firm's Book Value Per Share over the last five years.
Steps to Perform Fundamental Analysis
Here are the most essential steps to perform fundamental analysis.
Company Selection
The first step of fundamental analysis in the stock market is selecting the companies you want to analyse. Criteria for selection may include factors like the company's industry, market capitalisation, and growth potential. It's crucial to consider the broader industry landscape and market trends to identify promising candidates.
Collecting Financial Data
Gathering accurate and relevant financial data is paramount. Sources of financial data include the company's website, authority filings, and financial news outlets. Ensuring the data's accuracy and timeliness is essential for making informed decisions.
Analysing Financial Statements
In-depth analysis of a company's financial statements is the heart of fundamental analysis. Such metrics as a balance sheet and income and cash flow statements that were mentioned above are widely used by traders and investors to determine companies’ strengths and weaknesses.
Calculating and Interpreting Ratios
Utilising financial ratios is a critical aspect of fundamental analysis. These ratios provide a quantitative basis for evaluating a company's performance. Comparing the ratios with industry benchmarks helps identify areas of strength or weakness.
Evaluating Business Strategy
Assessing the quality of a company's management and its strategic decisions is another crucial element of fundamental analysis. This involves evaluating factors such as corporate governance, competitive positioning, and market share.
Economic and Industry Analysis
Understanding the broader economic landscape and industry dynamics is essential for contextualising a company's performance. Identifying macroeconomic trends and the stage of the industry lifecycle is critical.
Valuation Techniques
Fundamental analysts employ various valuation techniques to determine whether a stock is overvalued or undervalued. These techniques help traders make informed decisions about whether to buy, sell, or hold a particular asset. Common methods include:
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis: This method calculates the present value of a company's future cash flows to estimate its intrinsic value.
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio Analysis: Comparing a company's stock price to its earnings per share, relative to industry peers, to assess its valuation.
Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio Analysis: Comparing a company's market capitalisation to its book value per share to determine undervalued and overvalued companies.
Risk Factors and Limitations
Fundamental analysis, while a powerful tool, comes with its own set of challenges and limitations:
1. Incomplete Data: Many firms, especially in less regulated markets, may not disclose full financial information, thus hindering comprehensive analysis.
2. Future Uncertainty: Even though it's grounded in thorough research, fundamental analysis relies heavily on historical economic data. This approach also makes assumptions about future geopolitical and macroeconomic events, which can be unpredictable, thereby carrying a degree of inherent uncertainty.
3. Subjectivity: Different analysts may interpret the same data in various ways, leading to different conclusions about a currency's value.
4. Overemphasis on Long-term: Fundamental analysis typically focuses on long-term economic cycles and trends, potentially missing out on short-term trading opportunities.
5. Political Instabilities: Unexpected political events, like elections, conflicts, or diplomatic tensions, can have sudden and significant impacts on a stock value.
6. Global Events: Natural disasters, pandemics, or major technological breakthroughs can all have unforeseen effects on the stock market, making predictions based on fundamental analysis challenging.
7. Market Perception: Even if all fundamentals point towards a particular trend, market perception and investor sentiment can drive the market in the opposite direction.
8. Lagging Nature: By the time certain economic indicators are published, the market might have already reacted, making it a lagging tool.
By understanding these limitations, traders can complement their fundamental analysis with other techniques to make more informed decisions in the forex market.
Conclusion
Fundamental analysis is pivotal for traders who aim to make judicious decisions in the financial landscape. It extends beyond just scrutinising financial statements, encompassing the assessment of crucial ratios, metrics, and the overarching economic and industry environment to gauge an asset's inherent worth. FXOpen enhances this analytical journey with its suite of resources.
You can combine fundamental and technical tools on the TickTrader platform to conduct a comprehensive analysis, allowing you to navigate the intricate realm of financial markets with bolstered confidence and insight.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GBPUSD: Sell any retracements towards 1.3145-65 for 1.3080-90GBPUSD is in a downtrend in the short term with Weekly, Daily and 4H charts technical picture favoring the continuation of the move lower.
Strategy:
SELL at current levels and at any advance towards 1.3145-60
STOP LOSS above 1.3205
TP: 1.3085 or 1.3055-60
MULTITIME FRAME TECHNICAL PICTURE AND ANALYSIS
Weekly: Reversal Weekly Bar at double channel top
Daily: Reversal Patterns and RSI Double top
4H: H&S pattern pointing lower
Sell EUR/CHF Bearish FlagThe EUR/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.9392, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.9327
2nd Support – 0.9290
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.9420. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
BITCOIN in trouble? check this out first... There is no doubt that Bitcoin is in a downward trending channel. As you can see in this analysis, Bitcoin has been in a bearish sequence since the highest point (#1), bouncing within the channel until it was rejected at point #5, which did not break through our green confirmation zone and instead dropped to the purple inefficiency zone.
If you look closely, the purple inefficiency zone has shown significant strength for months (since April). It's a crucial area because when the price reaches it, there is a strong volume and buying pressure.
There are only two possible moves the price could make this week:
Move 1: The price could stay in our purple inefficiency zone and consolidate, accumulating for its next bullish trend. Note: Point #5 was a total rejection and decided to disrupt the sequence that Bitcoin had from point #1.
Move 2: The price could simply respect a large-scale supply and demand zone, in which case we might see the price continue to drop, allowing it to enter a demand zone and then take off into a bullish market.
What will happen? We really don't know, but what we can conclude from this postis that since the beginning of this analysis several weeks ago, the price has moved in our favor just by using basic price action concepts.I am very satisfied with this analysis, and I'm glad you were able to benefit from it, if you have been following this analysis closely, The price has been moving according to our prediction, And whenever I see these kinds of charts or analyses, I remember the words my mentor used to tell me: always remember that the price action is always right.
I sincerely appreciate your trust and support in my study.
I send you a warm greeting, and always stay alert for the next move.
-RM
$BTC Update - Can bitcoin price touch $100-150K milestone?I have already shared bitcoin fundamental confirmations on X.
Here are some technical confirmations related to bitcoin 👇
1. Major Bull flag pattern!
2. Big supply at $68K-58K has been succesfully flipped.
3. Hash Ribbon Buy signal!
4. Pi Cycle indicates BTC is yet to form a cycle top!
5. Weekly 50, 100, 200 EMA as support!
6. NO weekly or monthly RSI bearish divergence.
Monthly RSI has not yet touched 85-90.
7. Binance funding rates turned negative for the first time since September 2023.
IF YOU LIKE THIS UPDATE, PLEASE BOOST & FOLLOW. THANKS.
The Problem of Fundamental Analysis in the Crypto MarketFundamental analysis in the traditional financial markets involves evaluating a company's intrinsic value through a variety of metrics, such as earnings, revenue, and growth prospects. However, applying this same approach to cryptocurrency networks presents unique challenges. Cryptocurrencies operate on decentralized networks, and their value often stems from factors that don't align with conventional financial metrics.
Key Challenges:
Traditional Metrics Fall Short:
Cryptocurrency networks are not companies with revenues, profits, or physical assets. Therefore, traditional metrics like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios or revenue growth don’t apply.
Misleading Social Media Data:
Social media presence and subscriber count might seem like indicators of a project’s popularity or potential, but these figures are easily manipulated. Fake followers, bots, and exaggerated engagement can create a false impression of legitimacy and success.
Isolated On-Chain Metrics:
While on-chain metrics provide valuable insights, they can be misleading if analyzed in isolation. For instance, a high number of active addresses might suggest widespread usage, but without context, it doesn't reveal whether these addresses represent genuine users or automated bots.
Relevant On-Chain Metrics:
Number of Transactions: Indicates the level of network activity, but doesn’t differentiate between meaningful transactions and spam.
Transaction Cost: Reflects the cost of using the network, which can indicate demand, but also congestion or inefficiency.
Active Addresses: Shows how many unique addresses are participating, but could be skewed by the creation of multiple addresses by a single entity.
Commissions (Fees): High fees might indicate network demand, but can also point to issues like scalability problems.
Hashrate or Coins in Staking: High hashrate or staking levels suggest network security and confidence, but can also centralize control if dominated by a few large players.
Design Indicators:
Whitepaper: This document outlines the project's goals, technology, and roadmap, but its value depends on the technical understanding of the reader and the honesty of the team.
Project Team: The experience and reputation of the team are crucial, but the anonymous or pseudonymous nature of many crypto projects complicates assessment.
Competitors: Understanding a project's competitors helps gauge its potential, but the fast-paced nature of the crypto space means that new competitors can emerge quickly.
Tokenomics: The economic model of the token, including supply, distribution, and incentives, is vital, but poorly designed tokenomics can lead to inflation or lack of demand.
Financial Indicators:
Capitalization: Market cap is often used as a quick measure of a project’s size and importance, but can be misleading in low-liquidity markets.
Liquidity: High liquidity indicates that an asset can be traded quickly without affecting its price, but low liquidity can lead to price manipulation.
Emission Method: The way tokens are issued (e.g., through mining, staking, or ICOs) affects supply dynamics, which can influence price stability and long-term viability.
In summary, while fundamental analysis in the crypto market is challenging, a multi-faceted approach combining on-chain metrics, design indicators, and financial indicators can offer valuable insights. However, these should always be interpreted with caution and in context, given the unique dynamics and rapid evolution of the cryptocurrency landscape.
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✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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BTC turns bearish might test 54k...Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
BTC is in the daily down channel as mentioned last week. My thoughts was that it could be testing its channel high. But monday's move didnt show any signal for me to go on long. And after, the rest of the down move is history. Looking at the PA now..it seems that if weakness comes in, it could be testing 54k...Let's see
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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Usdjpy if break higher ,crosses like GJ AJ will breakup too...Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
If we see a weaker jpy this week , and if UJ manage to break up higher. AJ GJ will see more break to the upside too. On the same note, index should be breaking its recent high too!
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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GbpNzd more downside coming to at least 2.08Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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EURAUD to move down side...Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Instead for this week i am bearish on EURAUD, but waiting to see some retracement before shorting. Let's see how the PA plays out this week.
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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USD Last week,light news, USD bounce during mid of last weekHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
As mentioned last week to be cautious on shorting USD , it came to play during midweek that there was a bounce. Nice.
This week might see continued retracement to $102.25 area and let's see if there's more hint from this coming week's NFP for USD direction. A couple of high impact news for USD this week. Trade with care!
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
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Buying an Algorand to trade on the spot market.#ALGOUSDT
There are many factors that indicate the possibility of buying:
1. The strength index suggests that a rebound is possible in the short term.
2. We have already seen a complete bearish correction of A, B and C.
3. According to technical analysis, we have reached the bottom zone.
4. At the moment, the first and second waves have formed, and a long third wave is expected to follow. However, the target ($0.6495) can be reached by both the third and fifth waves.
Good luck to you!
Please note that these are just my expectations. There is no financial or investment advice here. All of the above information is provided for informational purposes only.
USDNOK Is Still Eyeing June LowsUSDNOK is sideways for the last two years that looks like a triangle within uptrend. It's an ABCDE pattern where wave E can be in play, ideally still to the lower side of a range for subwave (C) after the recent subwave (B) rally. Notice that we see price turning sharply and impulsively from the upper triangle resistance line as expected, so wave (C) is in full progress which can push the price down to 10.30 - 10.00 support zone before we will see stabilization and recovery.
USDNOK is not at the June lows yet, so we believe it's still in wave 4 correction before a continuation lower for wave 5 towards 10.30 – 10.00 zone. Ideal resistance is at 10.60 – 10.70 area.
Visa (V): Chart Analysis Update We hope you remember our previous analysis on Visa. The price reacted to our target area and has since increased following the latest drop. We now believe that Wave ((iv)) is complete and that we are currently in Wave ((v)). A level around $305 or even slightly higher should be possible for Visa before breaking the current local low at $253.
Once this Wave ((v)) is complete, concluding the overarching Wave 3, we plan to send out a limit for new entries.