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Fundamental Market Analysis for November 1, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) retreated from its recent gains following the release of the manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) from Jibun Bank and S&P Global on Friday. However, the USD/JPY pair declined as the yen strengthened following comments from Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda on Thursday that increased the likelihood of a rate hike in December. Jibun Bank's headline PMI for Japan's manufacturing sector came in at 49.2 in October, down from 49.7 in September. This composite single-digit reading indicates that Japan's manufacturing output continued to contract at the start of the fourth quarter of 2024, with the pace of decline in output and new order inflows more pronounced. Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi said on Friday that he expects the Bank of Japan to work closely with the government to implement appropriate monetary policy to achieve the price target in a sustainable and stable manner. Traders await the release of the U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP) report on Friday. The U.S. economy is expected to add 113,000 jobs in October, while the unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.1%. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 31, 2024 GBPUSDThe Pound-Dollar pair continued to decline to the 1.29550 level in the early Asian session on Thursday. The Pound Sterling (GBP) is declining following the UK budget announcement. Later on Thursday, attention will shift to US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index data. The UK's New Labour government released its first budget on Wednesday, which includes a GBP 40 billion tax hike to plug a hole in public finances and allow investment in public services, CNBC reported. One of the measures that is projected to bring the most revenue to the UK's coffers is an increase in the amount employers pay in National Insurance (NI), a payroll tax. US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the third quarter came in below expectations. ADP's October employment change report showed that private companies hired more people than expected. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders estimate the probability of a 25bp Fed rate cut at the November meeting at nearly 95.2%. The release of US PCE inflation data on Thursday may provide some hints on the size and pace of a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Core PCE is expected to rise 0.2% m/m in September, while core PCE for the same period is expected to rise 0.3% m/m. The softer-than-expected result may raise hopes for deeper rate cuts and put pressure on the US dollar. Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.29500, if the level is fixed below we consider Sell positions, if the level rebounds we consider Buy positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURO - Price can bounce down from resistance area to $1.0680Hi guys, this is my overview for Euro, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few days ago price entered to rising channel, where it rose to $1.1075 level and broke it, after which continued to grow. Then price made a fake breakout of resistance line of channel, after which fell to support line of channel. Then it rose to resistance line and then started to decline to support line, breaking $1.1075 level. Also then, price exited from channel and fell to $1.0840 level, broke it, and declined to support line. But then it bounced and rose to $1.0840 level, after which recently, EUR turned around and continued to fall. Possibly, price can grow to resistance area and then bounce down to $1.0680 support line. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
12
HelenP. I Gold will make small correction and then continue riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you XAUUSD analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price some days ago rebounded from the trend line and rose to support 2, which coincided with the support zone. Then the price broke this level and then continued to move up, until it reached 2680 points, after which it turned around and made a correction movement to the trend line. When Gold reached this line, the price broke it and dropped to support 2, but soon turned around and in a short time rose to the trend line and even made a gap. Then price some time traded near the trend line and later broke it. After which Gold reached support 1, which coincided with one more support zone, broke it, and rose even higher in this area. But sometimes, the price fell to the support zone, and now it rising. For this case, I expect that XAUUSD will make small correction and then continue to move up, therefore I set my goal at 2775 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
15
Dow Jones IndustrialHello community, A short daily analysis of the famous Dow Jones Industrial. As long as we stay above the red line at 41832 points, there is not much to worry about. However, if we break this level, it is another story. I drew a Fibonacci, to have the levels. The market is nervous with the Trump and Kamala duel. The trend is still bullish, because we are above the simple average of the 200 periods! Make your opinion, before placing an order. ► Thank you for boosting, commenting, subscribing!
DJ:DJI
by DL_INVEST
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 30, 2024 EURUSDThe Euro-dollar pair is losing ground after two days of gains, trading near 1.08100 during Asian hours on Wednesday. The Euro is under downward pressure as the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to cut the deposit rate again. Money markets currently rate the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut during the December meeting at nearly 50%. Investors will be keeping a close eye on preliminary German and Eurozone gross domestic product (GDP) data, as well as preliminary German Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data scheduled for release on Wednesday. On Wednesday, the focus will shift to preliminary US Q3 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data and October employment change data from ADP. ECB policymakers have recently expressed different views on monetary policy. Pierre Wunsch, Governor of the National Bank of Belgium, said that the central bank has no pressing need to accelerate interest rate cuts and suggested that it might even settle for a more modest pace. In contrast, Mario Centeno, Governor of the Bank of Portugal, advocated considering a 50 basis point rate cut as a possible option for December. The decline in EURUSD could also be attributed to a rise in the US Dollar amid rising Treasury yields. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US dollar against six other major currencies, is trading around 104.30, while the yields on 2-year and 10-year US Treasuries are at 4.09% and 4.24%, respectively, at the time of writing. The risk-sensitive EUR/USD may continue to decline amid continued uncertainty surrounding the US presidential election. A three-day Reuters/Ipsos poll, which ended on Sunday and was released on Tuesday, showed that the race is virtually tied as we get closer to the November 5 election. Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.08000, if consolidated below consider Sell positions, if rebounded consider Buy positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Possible gold Out lookAs in my previous anylisis i have told that Gold can rally upwards and it has broken its 4H channel and made a rally above Gold has performed like an Ubriddeled horse yesterday but it seems like the buyers have got exhausted as price has began to drop after taking resistance over 2780 level of physiological resistance also the confluence for predicting a big drop is price has made a rising wedge pattern which can be a possibility to drop the price of Gold in todays trading session on the other hand if price goes More Upwards it can stall over 2800 price level which is also a physiological resistance level also we have a fair value Gap and an order block of 4H on 2740 price level so technically i am waiting to buy gold from above 2740 level of support
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Wakeel_Saab
Sell CHF/JPY Wedge BreakoutThe CHF/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 176.60, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 175.90 2nd Support – 175.30 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 177.30 This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
4
Bitcoin can rebound up from triangle to 68400 resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time traded near the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and then broke it, after which it rose to 68K points. After this movement, the price made a downward impulse to support line and then grew. In a short time later it rose to a resistance level, but then corrected almost a support line, after which turned around and continued to grow. Later BTC reached the 68400 level, broke it and even rose higher than the seller zone, but soon fell below. Price some time traded near this level and then rose higher than the seller zone again, after which turned around and started to decline inside the triangle. In this pattern, BTC broke the support level with the resistance level and fell until to the buyer zone and even lower, to the support line of the triangle. After this, the price made impulse up to the 68400 level and then rebounded down to the support line. A not long time ago, BTC bounced from this line and started to grow. So, in my opinion, the price can make a move down, below the support line of the triangle, and then rebound up to the 68400 resistance level, which coincides with my TP. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
13
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 29, 2024 USDJPYThe Dollar-Yen pair is losing ground to the 152.950 level during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The pair is declining as the U.S. dollar (USD) retreats from the nearly three-month high reached in the previous session. However, the pair's decline may be limited amid uncertainty surrounding the composition of the next government and the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) rate hike plan. The loss of Japan's ruling coalition in the elections increases political and monetary policy uncertainty and could put pressure on the Japanese yen (JPY). “The ruling LDP and its coalition partner lost their majority in the lower house of parliament, raising concerns about the shape and direction of the next government's policies. Markets have also slightly reduced expectations of Bank of Japan policy tightening (which has helped local equities),” said Scotiabank chief currency strategist Sean Osborne. The Bank of Japan's interest rate decision will take center stage on Thursday. Nearly 86% of economists polled by Reuters expect Japan's central bank to leave rates unchanged at its October meeting on Thursday. On Tuesday, Japan's Statistics Bureau released data that the country's unemployment rate fell to 2.4% in September, down from the previous reading and the market consensus forecast of 2.5% Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
AAPL SHORT TRADE OUTLOOK ON EARNINGS REPORT DAY OCT.31, 2024NASDAQ:AAPL SHORT TRADE IDEA: WEEKLY FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS: >P/E Ratio (Quarterly Lookback): Apple's P/E is currently at 35.6, signaling overvaluation (typically anything above 25 is considered overvalued). >Correlation: Both Apple's P/E ratio and value compared to Treasury bonds are flashing overvalued signals. DAILY OUTLOOK: >Short-term and long-term value correlations vs T-bonds and P/E ratios suggest the stock may remain overbought until the upcoming earnings report, which could act as a catalyst. >Election Year Seasonality is strongly bearish as well. TECHNICAL INSIGHT: >AAPL may pull back to fill a previous price gap before slowing down. Stay sharp, traders! 🎯 #AAPL #ShortTrade #MarketAnalysis #Investing Disclaimer: This post is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It reflects general market fundamentals and personal speculation. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Trade at your own risk.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by TradersPod
Gold can rise almost to resistance line and then continue fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see how the price entered to buyer zone and some time traded inside, and even tried to break the 2505 level. But later, the price finally broke this level and rose a little, after which made a small correction and continued to move up inside the upward channel. Some time later Gold rose to the resistance line of the channel, which coincided with the current support level with the support area, and then started to decline. In a short time, the price fell to the support line of the channel and then turned around and continued to move up. Soon, the price reached the 2680 level again, and now broke it, after which rose to the resistance line of the channel, and some time traded near. Recently, the price bounced down and now it trades a little below. So, I think that the price can make a small movement up and then continue to decline to the 2680 support level, where is locate my TP. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
10
HelenP. I Bitcoin will exit from pennant and then continue riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago, the price traded below support 2, which coincided with the support zone and soon broke this level. Then price tried to grow more, but failed and dropped to the trend line, breaking support 2 one more time. After this movement, the price entered the pennant, where it made at once a strong impulse up, breaking support 2 again. Then price continued to move up and later reached support 1. Price some time traded near this level, then broke it and some time traded inside one more support zone. Next, BTC little grew and then dropped below 1st support level, breaking it again, but soon turned around and backed up to the support zone (68200 - 67700). After this, the price bounced down to the trend line, after which turned around and rebounded up to the resistance line of the pennant and now trying to exit from this pattern. So, in my mind, BTCUSDT will exit from the pennant, make a retest, and continue to move up. That's why I set my goal at 71000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 28, 2024 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair started the new week on a weaker note and is trading around 1.29600-1.29550. Spot prices, however, remain within striking distance of the lowest level since August 16, near 1.29000 reached last week, and appear vulnerable to an extension of the month-long downtrend amid a bullish US Dollar (USD). On Friday, the U.S. Census Bureau reported that U.S. Durable Goods Orders fell 0.8% in September, which was slightly better than expectations of a 1% decline. Additional details of the report showed that new orders excluding transportation costs rose 0.4% in the reporting month. In addition, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index hit a six-month high of 70.5 in October, which was better than both the preliminary result and the previous month's reading. This data supports the view that the Fed will continue to moderate rate cuts throughout the year, which in turn triggers a new rise in US Treasury yields and continues to support the dollar. The British Pound (GBP), on the other hand, is weakened by rising bets on further interest rate cuts by the Bank of England (BoE) in November and December, backed by a drop in the UK Consumer Price Index to its lowest level since April 2021 and below the central bank's 2% target. The aforementioned fundamental backdrop suggests that the path of least resistance for the GBP/USD pair lies to the downside. Even from a technical perspective, recent repeated failures near the psychological 1.30000 mark support the prospects of a continued decline from the 1.34350 area, or the highest level since February 2022, reached last month. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Buy EUR/JPY Bullish FlagThe EUR/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 164.33, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 165.42 2nd Support – 166.05 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 163.70. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
8