AUD/USD Analysis, Key Points, and Trading PlanKey Points:
Strong Support/Resistance: .63000
1 Hour Breakthrough & Retest Point: .61800
Next Target: .60000
AU is overall bearish in a trading range of .63000-.60000
We can potentially see a retest to .61800 before seeing more bearish momentum.
I will keep you updated on new information given throughout the week.
Analysis
LONG GBP/GPY!Here is my current idea on GBP JPY for this week/month.
Price has already bounced off the .618 level and unless I see new market structure being formed on the MTF (4HR etc) i will continue to believe price will reach the .705 fib level.
If not I will update the chart and find a long position.
As seen from the chart, I have 3 targets in place for this bullish idea, and I will need to see a close above 194.2 to validate it.
Inflation rate news also coming on the 15th which could explain the bleeding of all GBP pairs last week and we are already near 'priced in' levels. But I will be cautious and leave an update on my thought process when it happens.
Thanks if you took the time to read and good luck.
Tensorium (TNSR) - AI token of the future? As presented in my first analysis, there is now an update on Tensorium (TNSR)
The AI token that has a particularly high potential due to what is behind it.
As mentioned, technical analysis of a token with a low Mcap is difficult due to the relatively small number of traders and the influence of bots.
Nevertheless, a symmetrical triangle is forming on the daily chart. This formation has a measured target of approx. 0.025$
So I definitely want to be there when it breaks out, the increasing volume and the large number of traders that this breakout attracts can lead to extremely high momentum.
The yellow boundary lines are set to close, which is usually much more meaningful than high/high or low/low lines.
XAGUSD - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower, this indicates on probable distribution Wyckoff range.
But to take more statistically probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and in this case we can notice sign of weakness (reaching the middle of the range), so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower.
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Gold key levels with both buy and sell entries 12/01 to 17/01Gold key support and resistance levels for the coming week .
Ill look to enter a buy at 2692 monitering support and resistance levels to the upside.
For a sell my entry would be 2684 .
For Gold we have seen a rise after a strong drop , we have retraced from 2600 to 2690/91 area now we could see a correction to the downside again.
As always trade safe wait for levels and conformation of entry.
This is not finincial advice mearly shareing my technical analasis on gold for the coming week
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 13, 2025 EURUSDData from the US Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) released on Friday reported that non-farm payroll employment (NFP) rose by 256k in December, exceeding market expectations of 160k and beating the revised November figure of 212k (previously reported at 227k).
The unemployment rate fell to 4.1% in December from 4.2% in November. Annual wage inflation, as measured by the change in average hourly earnings, fell slightly to 3.9% from 4%.
US labour market data for December is likely to reinforce the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) stance on keeping interest rates unchanged in January, which will support the dollar against other currencies. Markets expect the Fed to keep the benchmark overnight interest rate in the range of 4.25%-4.50% at its 28-29 January meeting.
In addition, traders expect four interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB), which are expected to occur at each meeting through the summer. ECB policymakers seem to be comfortable with these expectations as inflationary pressures in the Eurozone remain largely under control.
The head of the ECB and the Bank of France said that interest rates will continue to move towards a neutral rate ‘without slowing down by the summer’ if upcoming data confirm that ‘the pullback in price pressures does not remain in place’.
Trade recommendation: Trading mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
NVO LongNovo Nordisk, a global leader in diabetes and obesity treatments, has traditionally maintained a solid financial standing with strong revenue growth, impressive profitability, and a robust pipeline of new treatments. However, the company has recently faced a significant dip in its stock price, largely due to market concerns related to its obesity treatment segment. While these concerns may reflect short-term volatility or market uncertainty, it’s important to recognize that the company's underlying fundamentals remain strong.
When evaluating the company through the lens of intrinsic value indicators—such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratios, and projected growth rates—Novo Nordisk appears to be trading at a favorable price relative to its long-term growth potential. This suggests that, despite the recent drop in stock price, the company’s shares may be undervalued, offering a potentially attractive entry point for investors who are willing to take a long-term view.
In the long run, the obesity treatment market is expected to grow, and Novo Nordisk’s leadership in this space, along with its diversified portfolio and innovation-driven strategy, could well position it to benefit from future market developments. Therefore, the current stock price may present a buying opportunity for those who believe in the company’s continued strength and market leadership.
#DYOR
HelenP. I Euro can rebound from trend line and continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the char we can see how the price reached the trend line and then at once dropped to resistance 2, which coincided with the resistance zone. Later price broke resistance 2 and the nsome time traded below this level, after which declined to resistance 1. But then the Euro made impulse up to resistance 2, making a gap, after which continued to trades near resistance 2. When the price reached the trend line, it started to decline near this line and later declined to resistance 1, after which turned around and in a short time rose to the trend line, after which dropped below resistance 1, breaking it too. But soon, the Euro turned around and tried to back up, and failed, after which continued to fall near the trend line. For this case, I expect that EURUSD will rise to the trend line and then continue to decline next. That's why I set my goal at 1.01 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold can exit from wedge and rebound down from resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that the price entered to downward wedge, where it at once started to decline and soon reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and broke it. Next, the price continued to fall and later declined to support line of the wedge, breaking the support level as well. But when Gold touched the support line, it at once made a strong impulse up to the seller zone, breaking the support level one more time. Then price little grew higher than the seller zone, after which it turned around and made a correction to the support level, breaking the 2690 level one more time. After this, Gold some time traded near the support level and then backed up to the seller zone rose higher than this area again, and then rebounded down to the support line of the wedge. Then price turned around and started to grow and in a short time rose almost to the resistance line of the wedge. So, in my opinion, Gold can exit from the wedge, reach resistance level, and then start to decline. For this reason, I set my TP at 2620 points, which coincides with the support line of the wedge. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD D1 BEARISH, RETURN TO PARITY ?Lot of confluence factors indicate that EUR is going to give way to USD
COT Delta = black line dropping hard, Institutions are heavily short
YIELD Differential = green/red line, nosedive lower
LIQUIDITY Differential = orange line = FED more restrictive than ECB ?
GAPS = Next Weekly gap is 150 pips lower @ 1.01 = Yearly S1
PIVOTS = Price below Yearly PP, heading for Yearly S1 @ 1.0050 = GAP Low
FUNDAMENTALS = USD beats EUR on pretty much all metrics
ECONOMICS = Germany, the EU-powerhouse, in multi-year recession
POLITICS = Trust is fading, most EU-countries (will) vote for change
Looking for a drop in price to 1.01, probably return to parity before spring
HelenP. I Bitcoin can correct to trend line and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price rose to the trend line and then turned around and dropped to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. After this, the price tried to grow but failed and broke the 101000 level and continued to fall to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and when BTC reached this level, it at once rebounded up. Then price turned around and made a correction movement to the support level, after which repeated movement up to almost the resistance level. Next, Bitcoin made a correction to the 93200 support level again and even entered to support zone, but soon turned around and rebounded up to the trend line. When the price reached this line, it broke it and made a retest, after which continued to grow to a resistance zone. So, when BTC entered to resistance area, it turned around and at once dropped to the trend line, breaking the resistance level one more time. Just now, the price trades near the support level and I expect that BTCUSDT will correct to the trend line and then start to grow. For this case, I set my goal at 97000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EUR/USD Bearish PennantThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Pennant pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0242
2nd Support – 1.0205
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Gas panic in Europe: reserves depleting at record paceEurope is facing unprecedented depletion of gas reserves due to cold weather and technical challenges. According to EU gas storage data, storage levels have fallen to 70%, significantly lower than last year’s 86%. Analysts note that this situation is unique in the last seven years.
Adding to the strain, Norway’s Hammerfest plant, which supplies liquefied natural gas (LNG), has halted operations due to compressor issues. This suspension intensifies pressure on the gas market, especially in light of the cessation of Russian gas transit through Ukraine.
The European gas market is set for potential price increases in the coming months. Current storage challenges and reduced supply volumes heighten the likelihood of price hikes, particularly if the cold weather persists. Additionally, the reduction in Russian gas supplies forces the EU to compete more aggressively for LNG on the global market.
Advantages of investing in #GAS in 2025:
Rising energy demand: Increased gas consumption during the winter and limited supply create conditions for sustained price growth. Investing in #GAS could yield high returns during the current energy crisis.
Global LNG competition: Europe and Asia are actively competing for access to LNG. This boosts market liquidity and enhances its appeal to traders and investors.
Inflation hedge: Energy resources, including gas, are a traditional way to protect investments from inflation risks.
Transition to LNG: As part of supply diversification, Europe is increasing the share of LNG in its energy mix, supporting demand for gas futures.
High volatility: Significant price fluctuations present possibilities for short-term profits, particularly amidst geopolitical instability and weather anomalies.
Analysts at FreshForex believe that 2025 is the ideal time to invest in #GAS! Limited reserves, high demand, and volatility create perfect conditions for substantial profits. Don’t miss the chance to capitalize on the year’s leading energy resource!
#Ethereum Alert: Breakout Ahead!🚀 #Ethereum Chart Analysis: Potential Breakout Ahead!
Take a look at the symmetrical triangle forming on the CRYPTOCAP:ETH chart.
The price is consolidating within converging trendlines, signalling a potential breakout on the horizon.
🔥 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: ~$3,200
Resistance: ~$3,500
With the current price action, we could be approaching a decisive move. The big question: Will CRYPTOCAP:ETH break upwards or downwards? 🤔
Whatever CRYPTOCAP:ETH does, most of the #alts will follow.
Stay sharp, traders! Watch for volume spikes and confirmation before making moves.
Let us know your predictions below! 👇
DYOR. NFA
#Crypto
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 10, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen is weakened by doubts over the likely timing of the next BoJ rate hike.
The US Dollar holds near a two-year high and supports USD/JPY ahead of the US NFP report.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is rising in response to comments from Japan's Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa during the Asian session on Friday, although it lacks bullish confidence amid uncertainty over the Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike. Data released today showed that real household spending in Japan fell for a fourth month in November, indicating that the economy is fragile. This gives the BoJ another reason to be cautious about further interest rate hikes, which could continue to undermine the yen.
In addition, the yield differential between US and Japanese bond yields has widened significantly over the past month amid the Federal Reserve's (Fed) tightening bias. This could help push down Japanese Yen yields and serve as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair amid a bullish trend for the US Dollar (USD). Meanwhile, traders may prefer to stay on the sidelines and wait for the release of the important US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report before making aggressive directional bets on the currency pair.
Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 158.60, trading mainly with Buy orders
EUR/CHF Bearish PennantThe EUR/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Pennant pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.9360
2nd Support – 0.9337
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Markets were in consolidation on 9th Jan 20259th January 2025
DXY: Consolidate between 109 and 109.40, could breakout to 110
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5575 SL 30 TP 60
AUDUSD: Look for reaction at 0.62, Buy 0.6220 SL 25 TP 50 or Sell 0.6175 SL 20 TP 60
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2260 SL 20 TP 70
EURUSD: Sell 1.0270 SL 25 TP 60
USDJPY: Watching that 158 resistance level
EURJPY: Sell 162.40 SL 50 TP 80
GBPJPY: Sell 193.30 SL 50 TP 100
USDCHF: Buy 0.9130 SL 20 TP 50
USDCAD: Buy 1.4415 SL 20 TP 45
XAUUSD: Watch 2672 resistance (61.8%), possible rejection.
AMD: Ready to Break Out – Confluence Supports and Bullish PatterI’ve already written a weekly analysis on NASDAQ:AMD , which you should read before this one, as it explains the broader technical and fundamental support in the bigger picture.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, we can see the more granular movement of the stock over the last few months. The fact that we held the trendline, which has been in place since 2023, is a good sign that overarching algorithms still have an interest in the stock. The trendline also corresponds to a so-called "confluence support," where multiple support levels overlap.
1. Trendline
Trendlines alone are not reliable price action structures, as they are often broken during consolidations without affecting the overall trend. However, since this trendline is older, has been tested multiple times, and now coincides with other support levels, it serves as one of several building blocks.
2. Fibonacci Retracement
We hit the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (horizontal yellow line) exactly and bounced upward from there. The 61.8% Fib is always a good reversal point during pronounced consolidations, as we’ve seen here. AMD has been consolidating since March 2024, over nine months now.
3. Horizontal Support
In addition to the Fibonacci retracement, the price range between $117 and $121 was already a support area. This zone has been a support and resistance level since September 2021 and has consistently prompted strong price reactions.
4. Descending Wedge
The current leg down is forming a descending wedge, which breaks upward in more than two-thirds of cases, making it a bullish pattern. The target for a breakout is typically the highest point of the wedge, which currently means a target around $170. However, a conservative trader always plans more cautiously, so we’ve combined our target with the last gap close.
5. Gaps
While not a proper support level, the still-open daily gaps at $137 and $158 act as magnets for higher prices. These gaps lie along the path upward and make good spots to place take-profit levels.
Fundamental Reasons
AMD's Position: With the launch of the MI300 series, AMD has taken a significant step toward competing with NVIDIA in the AI GPU market. These chips are optimized for high-performance computing and generative AI.
Potential: In Q3 2024, AMD generated $1.5 billion in revenue from the data center segment, a 42% year-over-year growth. This growth is expected to accelerate further in 2025 due to AI applications.
Market share: AMD has consistently gained market share from Intel in the CPU market, especially in the server segment. According to Mercury Research, AMD’s server CPU market share rose from 23.4% in Q3 2023 to 26.5% in Q3 2024.
Forecast : With the planned launch of Zen 5 processors in H2 2025, AMD is expected to gain even more market share, driven by improved performance and energy efficiency.
EV Market: Additionally, the electric vehicle market, after weaker years in 2023 and 2024, is expected to regain momentum. This will significantly impact the semiconductor market as a whole.