EURUSD : Short Trade , 4hHello traders, we want to check the EURUSD chart. After breaking the uptrend line, the price is moving in a downward trend and managed to break the specified support level with a strong downward movement. We expect the price of a pullback to hit the specified level and maintain its downward trend and fall to around the price of 1.06500. Good luck.
Analysis
XAUUSD major support and resistance for the daysupport:
2348
2337
2327
2322
2312
2306
Resistance:
2365
2374
2388
2395
2404
2412
2421
The bottoming sign in the 1D timeframe is clear, but the upward momentum still falls short of expectations. If a strong uptrend forms today, we could see a high of 2,370 in the 1D timeframe, after completing this uptrend, we will then assess whether there will be a correction or if the bullish trend will continue. In the 4H timeframe, it is just lacking a bit of momentum for an uptrend. With another rise on Thursday to break through 2,342 and the Bollinger upper band widening, it will form a strong uptrend. This could lead to a significant surge, and combined with the target in the 1D timeframe, we could see a rise of about US$30 this week.
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Bitcoin — Levels to Watch And Why 52k Is Possible!Had so many requests about Bitcoin. That's why I wanted to share the thoughts I already discussed in today's live feed earlier in the morning.
From my POV, Bitcoin's setup is pretty obvious: CRYPTOCAP:BTC traded in a bull flag and broke out ~1 month ago. However, up to now, the outbreak has led to a pump. Conversely, BTC has started to trade in a downtrend. Nevertheless, it has respected the upper boundary of the bull flag up to now.
If Bitcoin continues on this path, it will reach the major support area of ~62k in a few days.
And that's when it gets interesting: Either both support lines hold, and BTC starts a fresh pump — or it is about to get hairy.
Here's why: If BTC breaks below the support at 62k, there's actually no additional support above 52k. Therefore, we might see a decline to the lower 50,000 levels.
AUDUSD: Multiple Rejections, Potential ReversalPrice has recently rejected this level multiple times. As-well-as multiple rejections and long-wick candlesticks, we have a rounding top chart pattern. I anticipate price will continue to reject this level and eventually breakout of the uptrend line, suggesting a bearish bias.
**Rationale:**
~ Area of resistance
~ Multiple rejections
~ Long-wick candlesticks
~ Rounding top
~ Break of trendline
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**Disclaimer:**
My trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations.
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#scalping
#intraday
#daytrading
Amazon (AMZN): Preparing for a CorrectionWe need to zoom out significantly to get a clearer picture of Amazon. The stock has been in a maximal zone between $177 and $214. For the past three months, it has been ranging between $177 and $188, at the top of Wave B.
Current Situation:
Elliott Wave Analysis: We believe a substantial drop is necessary to complete the overarching Wave (2). The parallel trend channel that was broken with the completion of Wave 5 should be revisited to finalize Wave (2). This would be a textbook Elliott Wave behavior - breakout of a trend channel to complete the wave 5 as a fakeout and a deeper correction to flush some participants out of the market and into slight panic mode.
Target Range: We are targeting a range between $131 and $103 as a likely zone for this correction to end.
Ranging Behavior: Amazon has been ranging for three months, indicating consolidation before a potential move.
Strategy:
Observation Mode: We are currently observing the stock for signs of weakness.
Limit Order: A limit order will be considered if the stock begins to show significant downside momentum. If and when we decide to place a limit order, we will issue a detailed market report.
Amazon's current range suggests consolidation, but we expect a deeper correction to complete Wave (2) rather than a breakout to the upside. We are monitoring for signs of weakness and will place a limit order if conditions are met. For now, there is no immediate need to place an order. Further updates will be provided as the situation evolves.
Apple (AAPL): Bullish Breakout and What to Expect NextApple has broken out above the range between $198 and $165, currently trading around $210. This breakout is seen as very bullish, indicating that we can discard our alternative scenarios. We are confident that Wave (4) completed at $123 and we are now in the larger Wave (5).
Current Situation:
Elliott Wave Analysis: We believe that the initial super sub-wave ((i)) of the larger Wave (5) needs to correct after the strong rise since mid-April.
Correction Levels: We expect a potential pullback to the $185 to $165 range. Whether it will reach as low as $165 remains uncertain.
Confluences:
RSI: The RSI is overbought but without a bearish divergence, indicating continued bullish momentum with a "normal" pullback.
Volume: Support should hold around $175, providing a potential entry point during the correction.
Strategy:
No Immediate Orders: We are not placing any limit orders yet.
Market Report: If we decide to place a limit order, we will issue a market report to inform our group.
The outlook for Apple remains bullish. We anticipate a correction within the $185 to $165 range, with strong support around $175. We will monitor the situation closely and communicate any order placements through a market report.
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 21, 2024 EURUSDThe US Dollar (USD) remains resilient early Friday after rising against major rivals on Thursday. Later in the day, S&P Global will release preliminary reports on manufacturing and services PMIs for Germany, the UK, the eurozone and the US for June. Ahead of the weekend, market participants will also keep a close eye on May US existing home sales data and May Canadian retail sales data. EUR/USD returned to familiar technical levels on Thursday, falling towards 1.0700 after a miss in US economic data supported the dollar.
Germany's Producer Price Index (PPI) fell to 0.0% month-on-month in May, down from the previous reading of 0.2% and missing the expected rise to 0.3%. On an annualized basis, the PPI was also below expectations, falling to -2.2% for the year ending in May. While the annualized figure improved from the previous reading of -3.3%, it still fell short of the projected recovery to -2.0%.
The latest US initial jobless claims data came in above expectations: 238,000 people applied for unemployment benefits in the week ended June 14, up from the previous week's revised figure of 243,000. The increase also pushed the four-week average to 242,750 from the previous 227,250.
The Philadelphia Fed's manufacturing sector business activity index for June fell to 1.3 from 4.5, falling short of the expected 5.0. In addition, U.S. housing starts in May fell to 1.277 million new units, down from the forecast of 1.37 million and the previous month's revised figure of 1.352 million.
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Sell orders from the current price level.
SNB cuts again, CHF weakensThe Swiss National Bank came out again with another cut. This move weakened the CHF against its major counterparts.
#usdchf FX_IDC:USDCHF EASYMARKETS:USDCHF
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD - Short Trade IdeaHello guys,
Relatively straight-forward idea here. Price took out buyside liquidity in the form of equal highs, on an additional level outside the view of the chart as well. This is a trade to retrace back into a discount and take out sellside liquidity, as well as return to a weekly BISI.
Trade is illustrated at a market order at current price with stoploss above the high. DCA limit entries can be taken if price retraces. As usual, be wary of high impact news taking out the high one more time.
Enjoy <3
- R2F
XAUUSD | Bullish The XAU/USD chart is forming a parallel channel and making new higher highs and higher lows according to Dow Theory and pattern analysis. On a higher time frame, the structure of GOLD is bullish. However, on a lower time frame, we can expect a slight downside move to sweep out liquidity before the upside rally begins. Fundamentally, the outlook for gold is bullish.
xauusd high volatilityFundamentals
Over the past six months, despite the Fed holding off on rate cuts, high US bond yields, and a strong dollar, both gold and silver have set multiple records. Even skeptics must acknowledge the impressive performance of these metals. Much of this resilience is attributed to sustained central bank buying, with further purchases expected to characterize the second half of the year.
Notably, central bank purchases are coming from various countries, enhancing gold's relevance as a reserve asset. Should the Fed and other major central banks initiate rate cuts, it would improve the overall sentiment for gold by year-end. Meanwhile, broader risks that could stimulate safe-haven demand remain, including the US presidential elections, escalations in Middle Eastern or Russo-Ukrainian conflicts, and potential volatility in globally bullish stock markets if their robust performance falters.
Can Gold Prices Continue to Rise Despite Repeated Pressure on Bulls?_1
Technical Analysis
Gold prices edged slightly higher on Wednesday, but remained below the critical resistance level of $2,345. While further upside is constrained, bulls continue to maintain positive momentum.
Technical studies on the daily chart indicate bulls have successfully held above the upper boundary of a triangle consolidation pattern, suggesting any price retracements in the short term will find support at this level. Meanwhile, the sideways consolidation is expected to sustain upward momentum from this level.
On the flip side, breaking below $2,324 could open the path to retesting support near the lower Bollinger Band around $2,306. A drop below $2,286 could trigger a stronger downward acceleration, as this would complete a failed swing pattern and an asymmetric head-and-shoulders pattern.
Overall, bulls face repeated pressure but the upward structure remains intact. We continue to anticipate opportunities for bulls to push higher before bears take control. Buying on dips remains the preferred trading strategy
Silver climbs back above the 30-dollar markLet's see if EASYMARKETS:XAGUSD can break the downside line and go further north. The first part of moving back above the 30-dollar mark is done, now we just have to overcome the downside line.
#silver TVC:SILVER
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easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Buy GBP/USD Wedge BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.2710
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.2812
2nd Resistance – 1.2905
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.2650. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Ichimoku Cloud Support: The current price sits comfortably above the Ichimoku cloud, a technical indicator that often signals bullish momentum when the price is above the cloud.
Thank you.
Economic Calendar: Top Market Events You Should Watch Out forMarkets tend to get especially volatile whenever there’s an economic report or some data dump that takes investors by surprise. That’s why we’re spinning up this Idea where we highlight all the major market-moving events you should watch out for when you do your trading.
Today, we look at the Economic Calendar .
🏦 Central Bank Meetings and Announcements
• Federal Reserve (Fed) Meetings
The US Federal Reserve holds Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings roughly every six weeks,or ( eight times a year ), to talk about monetary policy, including interest rates. Setting interest rates is arguably the most significant event with long-lasting consequences for markets.
Each of these meeting takes two days and wraps up with a speech by the gentleman who moves markets with a simple “Good afternoon” — Fed boss Jay Powell.
• European Central Bank (ECB) Meetings
Similar to the Fed, the ECB holds regular meetings to decide on monetary policy and borrowing costs for the Eurozone.
ECB officials’ decisions sway financial markets, especially those based in the old continent. Indexes such as the Stoxx 600 Europe (ticker: SXXP ) and the European currency tend to fluctuate wildly during ECB events.
• Bank of England (BoE) Meetings
The BoE's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) frequently meets to discuss and set interest rates and other monetary matters.
Decisions made by BoE policymakers mainly affect the UK corner of the financial markets. That means elevated volatility in the British pound sterling and the broad-based UK index, the FTSE 100, among other UK-based trading instruments .
• Bank of Japan (BoJ) Meetings
The BoJ holds policy meetings to decide on interest rates and monetary stimulus, among other central-bank topics.
Until recently, the Japanese central bank was the only one to sport a negative interest rate regime .
📝 Economic Data Releases
• Nonfarm Payrolls
In the US, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Employment Situation Summary on the first Friday of every month. The data package includes the non-farm payroll print , which tracks how many new hires joined the workforce, the unemployment rate, and average hourly earnings.
• Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Monthly CPI measures the rate of inflation at the consumer level. The reading is closely monitored by the Fed in order to gauge the temperature of the economy. A reading too hot indicates an expanding economy, and vice versa.
• Producer Price Index (PPI)
Similar to CPI, PPI measures inflation at the wholesale level and can provide signals about inflation trends.
• Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Quarterly GDP churns out a comprehensive measure of a country's economic activity and growth.
• Retail Sales
Monthly retail sales indicate consumer spending patterns, which are a critical component of economic activity. The data shows whether consumers pulled back from spending or splurged like there’s no tomorrow.
• Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)
PMI reports for manufacturing and services sectors lay out insights into business activity and economic health.
🏢 Corporate Earnings Reports
Publicly traded companies around the world release earnings reports every quarter. The hottest ones are America’s corporate giants, such as tech stocks , banking stocks , and more.
The quarterly earnings figures include financial performance for the most recent three months and forward-looking guidance, which comprises earnings and revenue expectations.
🌐 Geopolitical Events
Political developments, such as Presidential elections, and geopolitical tensions can have immediate and significant impacts on financial markets. These events are less predictable but are closely monitored by market participants and can quickly fuel volatility across asset classes, prompting investors to shuffle their portfolio holdings.
Final Considerations
Pay attention to these reports, events, and economic data and you’ll get to understand what moves markets. Anytime you witness a sharp reaction in gold ( XAU/USD ) or a quick reversal in the US dollar ( DXY ), it’s likely that the underlying factor is an economic report you didn’t know about.
If you do track them — which one is your favorite market report or economic news release? Let us know in the comments below!
XAUUSD As from our previous analysis we published both bullish and bearish targets for xauusd , as the market lacks momentum we finds a buy from 2322,
at the point 2322 we can find big bullish volume and also 100 day moving average passing through. we can also elicit the presence of an order block as well as a fair value gap in this region.
for more information follow our previous chart analysis posted.
LIKE SHARE BOOST AND FOLLOW US
Buy GBP/CAD Double BottomThe GBP/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Double Bottom Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Double Bottom After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.7433.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.7520
2nd Resistance – 1.7573
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.7395. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Thank you.
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 18, 2024 GBPUSDThe Pound Sterling (GBP) is facing selling pressure in an attempt to extend its recovery above the round resistance level of 1.27000 against the US Dollar (USD) in Tuesday's London session. The Pound-Dollar pair is declining as the US Dollar recovers from a small correction from a six-week high. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the value of the dollar against six major currencies, is holding above 105.00 as Federal Reserve (Fed) officials continue to speak in favor of cutting interest rates only once this year.
Fed policymakers want to see a decline in inflation within a few months to gain confidence in lowering interest rates. They remain wary of reigniting price pressures from premature rate cuts, even though the disinflation process has resumed after stalling in the first quarter of this year.
On Monday, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker emphasized that rates will remain unchanged for now to keep downward pressure on inflation in various sectors such as housing and services, particularly auto insurance and repair. As for the interest rate outlook, Harker believes that benchmark rates will be cut once this year if his economic forecast comes true, Reuters reported.
On the economic front, investors will focus on the monthly U.S. retail sales data for May, which will be released at 15:30 GMT+3. Retail sales data, a rough gauge of consumer spending and a gauge of the inflation outlook, is estimated to have increased 0.3% after being unchanged in April.
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Will Ethereum continue its correction lower?Currently, we are seeing some outflows of funds from the major crypto funds. Let's see if the slide continues.
#ethereum #ethusd CRYPTO:ETHUSD EASYMARKETS:ETHUSD
Disclaimer:
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
HCC LEVELS FOR SWING TRADING 18/06/2024STOCKS FOR SWING TRADING (SHORT TERM) 18/06/2024
NO.3
#HCC
Buy Price - 45 (CMP 48)
SL - 40
TARGET - 60, 70 (30 - 50%)
@jagadheeshjp
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we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Dell (DELL): Analyzing Recent Trends and Future ExpectationsDell Technologies has experienced a remarkable rise of approximately 440% within a span of about one and a half years. However, this impressive ascent has been marked by a bearish divergence at the current top. The RSI has been forming lower tops while the price chart has been forming higher tops, indicating weakening momentum.
Current Situation:
Trend Channel: Dell shot above the trend channel, but quickly corrected downwards with a significant gap down, losing around 12% in a single day.
Support Level: The price found support within the trend channel, likely marking Wave A.
Expectations:
Wave B and C : We anticipate the formation of Wave B followed by Wave C, potentially moving into the open gap area. Although part of the gap between $94.44 and $104 has already been tagged, there is still some remaining that could be fully closed.
Critical Levels: It is crucial for the $80 level to hold. A break below this level could lead to further declines towards the $68 or even $60 range.
Key Points to Monitor:
Bearish Divergence: The bearish divergence on the RSI suggests potential further downside.
Gap Fill: Watch for a potential move to fill the remaining gap.
Support at $80: Maintaining support at $80 is critical to prevent deeper declines.