Watch out for BoJ tomorrowThe BoJ will be coming out with its interest rate decision tomorrow. Be careful with your yen positions, if you have any.
#nzdjpy FX_IDC:NZDJPY EASYMARKETS:NZDJPY
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Analysis
POLYPLEX: Price ActionOkay, This one was #Requested by @Sensiiiii
Here is all you need to know about NSE:POLYPLEX :
- Stock depreciated about 60 % from its ATH
- It filled the long due Gap and took support from it
- Thence, It has been consolidating for 9 Months now
- Price trading below 200 EMA a.k.a accumulation phase
- The PE was 15 at ATH and after 60% Depreciation, it still stands at 11.5. It's gotten a little palatable (kind of). PB is decent at 1.15
- A strong trendline has been a constant resistance. Given the sideways nature of the price action, A break of it should not impact much.
- Nothing interesting as of now. Things will be set in motion if the price breaks either of the zones (based on its price action) Or some interesting candlestick formation materializes.
What should we analyze next??
Have Requests, Questions, or Suggestions? Let us know in the comments below.👇
While you do that, how about a boost for some motivation🚀
⚠️Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are merely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Like everybody else, we too can be wrong at times ✌🏻
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 29, 2024 GBPUSDThe Pound-Dollar pair is trading on a stronger note around 1.28750 in the early hours of European trading on Monday. The dollar's decline amid hopes of an interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in September is providing some support to the major pair. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision will be published on Wednesday, no changes in the rate are expected.
Most analysts and traders expect the Fed to leave the interest rate unchanged at its next meeting on Wednesday. The U.S. Federal Reserve may signal this week that an interest rate cut is around the corner, although many expect it to hold rates steady until its next rate decision in September. Investors now see the first rate cut coming by mid-September, estimating a 100% Fed rate cut of at least a quarter percentage point by then, according to CME FedWatch Tool data.
Traders will also be watching the FOMC press conference closely for new stimulus. A dovish FOMC tone could undermine the US Dollar and create a tailwind for GBP/USD.
As for the British Pound, the Bank of England may cut interest rates at its August meeting on Thursday, which would be the first rate cut since 2020. Markets are predicting a 50% probability of a quarter-point rate cut on Thursday, although opinions are divided on whether the cut will happen now or at the next meeting in September.
Trading recommendation: Trade in the 1.28400-1.28850 channel on a bounce from the levels.
GBPCAD price to drop soon?As you can see I am looking for sells on GC. Knowing the price is trading high in the market and with the first signs of structure shift even on 4H, it would be nice for a price to drop. I marked some targets, let's see what will happen and if we can see sellers getting into the market. One of my favourite setups for this week.
EU & EJ Narrative Analysis and Market Insights- 29 July, 2024Join me as I dive into my daily analysis routine, conducted every evening before the market opens. I'll show you how I decide whether to trade or stay out of the market the following day. My strategy revolves around trading just two currency pairs, and I'm excited to share my insights with you. Stay tuned for regular updates and trading tips.
Positive Outlook for Polkadot (DOT) PriceDespite the drop in Polkadot (DOT) price earlier this month, investors remain optimistic about this cryptocurrency and continue to invest in it.
The steady increase in capital inflows since mid-month indicates growing interest and confidence in the Polkadot project. These factors suggest a strong belief in the project's potential, which could lead to sustainable price growth in the future.
To confirm a real upward trend, Polkadot needs to break out of the current range between $5.5 and $6.5. If this happens, the price could reach $7.2 and $8.3. The current range is suitable for entry, with a stop-loss for this analysis being a daily candle closing below $5.5.
Silver likely more downside to come...Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Looking at the chart.it seems more bearish than bull, likely looking for pullback to short.
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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Usd potential reversal?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Gonna be neutral for USD this week, wanting to see how the price action plays out with the avalanche of news coming out . Let's watch and play along. I do see a potential turn here.
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
*********************************************************************
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
*********************************************************************
In-Depth Gold Analysis: Market Trends,Price Targets,Key PatternsHello everyone,
I would like to share my perspective on gold. Personally, I believe that gold will retest the 2405 to 2415 levels, and then it will start to decline to the first target of 2350, followed by the second target of 2320, and finally the third and final target of 2290.
Especially since gold has formed a high(2484) and a lower higher(2431), then broke below the low of the last high it formed(MSS).
It is now returning to test the FVG it left behind at the levels of 2405 to 2415.
Classically, it is trading within a channel inside another price channel, with its peak approximately at the 2407 level. I expect it to rise to this peak and break through it to draw liquidity up to 2415, and then decline to the levels I mentioned earlier. We can also observe the head and shoulders pattern that has formed, remaining stable below it, with a target of 2290.
BTC.........Is it Accumulation or Distribution?????Price is with a range from 72k to 58k, with price pushing lower and trading within the 66k lvl. With the FED holding rates at 5.50% and signaling that it may hold rates at current lvls for longer, it is hitting the crypto market. There is a lot of self-fulling prophecy out there about when the FED will cut rates, with some looking at the timeframe being in September. There is a FED rate decision in July which could set the stage for the September Rate Decision. Before then, the FOMC Minutes will be coming out, along with another NFP and inflation rate reading. With traders and investors wanting to see some reprieve and a stronger FED Dot Plot pointing at 2 or more rate hikes for the year, a lower printing on the NFP and inflation and a slowing economy, will give some cheer to the market and push BTC higher. But on the other side, strong economic printing and inflation stagnating and staying where it is at or rising, will likely sweep the legs of crypto and cause price to fall. The US economy (whether you believe so or not) data is showing that there is no need to start reducing rates as of yet. GDP is around 3%, unemployment isn't to bad. Wage Growth is still up there near 5%. Inflation is still above 3% and the FED is reducing its balance sheet.
The technicals are showing mixed data which could keep price from finding a trajectory until a solid catalyst comes out. The daily chart is showing price is form either a cup and handle or a double top. If the cup and handle pattern is correct then some type of strong catalyst came out (likely the NFP printed a extremely weak number, inflation dropped considerably, a string of bad US economy data) and had enough force to break out of the very strong 72k resistance. If that resistance is broken with enough force to push it up to 75k pretty quickly, there isn't much to stop it. But if the double top is correct, then price will likely push to the 62k and test the 60k a few times before breaking below it. If the 58k is broken and price is able to hold at the 57k for a few days to a week, then price will likely drop further, below the 55k.
Data is going to be the driving point for what price will do. If data keeps printing good and bad, then it will likely cause confusion for traders and investors and they will likely take the course of exiting. There are some prominent players out there like Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy) and other advocates of BTC (Robert Kiyosaki) that are likely to stay in and potentially keep price from tumbling greatly; but it still depends when the masses and hedge funds want to start piling in.
I am thinking that if BTC does drop and hits below the 55k, there is likely to be a huge spike in buying up BTC as the self-fulling prophecy will be strong. The catalyst is likely to be when the FED will start reducing rates as eventually the economy will need some assistance. But the real question, is if the economy does push into a recession, will there be another case of QE and Stimulus pushed out (bailouts) if inflation is still around 2.5%-3%?
Either way, I am still building a position on BTC even if it pushes below the 50k lvl.
CRYPTO TOTAL MARKET CAP (BULLISH IDEA)Hello Avid reader,
I would like to share my take on the possible scenario for the Crypto Market.
1 - The market has been in consolidation phase for the past 4 months , creating a Typical Bull-Flag pattern .
2 - As you can see that the lows of the channel have been tested 4 times, but the selling pressure got absorbed on each test, signaling a Strong reversal.
3 - The mid of the channel (represented by dotted white line) precisely provided resistance / support to the PA in all the previous moves which is clearly visible on the chart. But the thing which I would like to highlight here, is that this time, the Price, very comfortably broke through the mid-zone and re-tested it as Support.
4 - There is a BISI (Buy-Side Imbalance & Sell-side inefficiency) highlighted by the green box. The PA might indulge this zone to grab un-touched Liquidity.
5 - USDT's Dominance is weakening and has formed a Bear-Flag pattern.
Areas of interest are market on the chart.
6 - In Summary, I expect the Crypto Market cap to rise significantly in the upcoming weeks, especially in Q4 2024 & subsequently, in Q1 2025. We are likely to face some resistance in the 2.5 T to 2.55 T area, as highlighted in the red box. Thereafter, 2.7 T and 3 T would be my areas of interest for selling.
Thanks.
$GROK Looks good to go long!🚨 $GROK is forming a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern on the 12H chart, which is typically a continuation pattern.
📈 Entry Point: 688 to 760
🎯 Targets:
$0.00860
$0.00976
$0.01089
$0.01170
$0.01292
$0.01455
🔄 Trading Options: $GROK is available for trading in both spot and futures markets. You can purchase it on the spot market, or if you prefer to go long on futures, consider setting a stop-loss at $0.00621.
📊 About $GROK:
GROK is a promising project in the crypto space, aiming to revolutionize transactions with its innovative technology. Their mission is to provide seamless and secure transactions across different networks.
📢 DYOR, NFA
xauusddaily support break with strong bounce from 2350, price respected beautifully as accepted. as we look at the chart we still have the short position 2400, with fvg around 2404 to 2408.
coming next week will be the what market will de. if break solid above 2400 on daily candlle then price may continue rising till 2500 or above then fall.
tet me know what is your opinion. comment below.
Bitcoin Showing Strength, Daily Volumetric bull candlesticks !Bitcoin is following the path according to the pullbacks we have been predicting since it fell to the demand zone. Please check each bullish candle that Bitcoin forms after each pullback, it shows strength every time
Following the smart money concepts and with the movement it is making based on the structure, I am expecting Bitcoin to reach my point of interest very soon. However, before reaching my point of interest, I believe we have to consider that we will see 1 to 2 small pullbacks.
Thank you for following my analysis.
Ethereum is starting to recover ! check the structure pathEthereum is showing a lot of strength and recovery. Always trust and follow your plan !
On the daily timeframe we can see that it is following the path of the pullback we have marked on the chart. So far we are predicting very well, and it seems that the markets in general want to start changing direction.
Cheers and thank you for following my analysis.
my best regards
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 26, 2024 EURUSDThe Euro-dollar pair is trading near 1.08600 during the Asian session on Friday, continuing to rise after rebounding from the two-week low of 1.08250 recorded on Wednesday. The rise in EUR/USD is attributed to a weaker US Dollar (USD) ahead of the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index for June.
However, the US Dollar may limit its decline as stronger US economic data has reduced some expectations of a rate cut in September. On Thursday, US gross domestic product (GDP) for the second quarter (Q2) came in stronger than expected. This followed the US PMI data released on Wednesday, which pointed to an acceleration in private sector activity in July, indicating that growth in the US is resilient despite higher interest rates.
US GDP rose 2.8% on a seasonally adjusted and inflation-adjusted annualized basis from the previous reading of 1.4% and beat forecasts of 2%. In addition, the composite PMI rose to 55.0 from a previous reading of 54.8, the highest reading since April 2022 and indicative of steady growth over the past 18 months.
The Euro struggled as the European Central Bank's (ECB) near-term outlook remains uncertain due to strong expectations of additional rate cuts. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates two more times this year as price pressures are expected to remain at current levels for a year and only return to the bank's target level in 2025.
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level.