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Fundamental Market Analysis for May 23, 2024 EURUSDThe Euro-dollar pair is trying to halt its three-day losing streak, hovering around the 1.08200 mark during the Asian session on Thursday. The strengthening of the Euro against the US Dollar (USD) can be attributed to the latter's corrective movement. Investors are likely to await the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data from the eurozone and Germany before turning their attention to the US PMI, which will be released later in the North American session on Thursday. The eurozone manufacturing PMI is forecast to rise to 46.2 from 45.7 in May, while the services PMI is expected to show a slight increase to 53.5 from 53.3. Meanwhile, in the US, the manufacturing and services PMIs are expected to remain unchanged at 50.0 and 51.3 respectively. The Euro could face challenges as the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to consider lowering borrowing costs at its June meeting. This expectation is due to the current inflation rate in the Eurozone, which stands at 2.4%, very close to the ECB's target of 2.0%. President Christine Lagarde recently stated that such action in June is highly likely if data continues to support confidence that inflation will eventually align with the ECB's target over the medium term. The US Dollar (USD) strengthened on Wednesday as the minutes of the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting indicated hawkish sentiment towards Federal Reserve (Fed) policy. Fed policymakers expressed concern over the lack of progress on inflation, which has been more persistent than expected in early 2024. As a result, the Fed is hesitant to start cutting interest rates. Trading recommendation: Trade mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Dogecoin still looks positiveEASYMARKETS:DOGUSD Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EASYMARKETS:DOGUSD
by easyMarkets
India VIX and Nifty Analysis: Last 5 YearsThis is the chart of India VIX (Volatility Index or Fear Index) over the last 5 years. Observations show: Market Reaction: Whenever VIX rises, the market tends to fall or consolidate. Historical Insight: From the COVID-19 period to today, this pattern holds true. Current Scenario: Due to the upcoming election, VIX is suddenly increasing. This suggests the market may either fall or consolidate if the election results do not meet market expectations. Stay informed and plan your investments accordingly.
NSE:INDIAVIX
by We_Learn_Investing
LINKUSDT | MT Long H4 | Chainlink's Supply-Demand ZonePair: HTX:LINKUSDT Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT) Direction: Long Technical Confluences for Trade: - Price have bounced off 61.8% Fibo retracement levels - Price action is within two different parallel channels; 1 acts as a bottom channel support and the other is within a supply-demand zone channel - Aiming for the 32.8% Fibo Retracement with 23.6% as the TP 1 level Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - Chainlink's progress has been remarkable and their latest application, Transporter allows users to move crypto assets and data across multiple networks. - Further escalation of war risk may see risk assets get affected Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 12.90 - 13.50 SL @ 11.59 TP 1 @ 14.48 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 16.03 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.26 (Depending on Entry Level) May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D *This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
Long
by weekendanalyst
US30 neutral 1. we are currently consolidating in a tight controlled price range - this clearly illustrates to me that we are waiting a big price move soon (most likely after the high impact new releases today) 2. i believe a break below the line below wil lead to a bullish continuation upwards or a break below the line above will lead to a short term bearish break down of price to the downside. Always maintain a open mindset about the outcome of news as nothing is guareteed in the trading market at any time
BLACKBULL:US30
by TakeTheRisknProsper
📈Ethereum: Awaiting ETF Approval📣🔍Let's dive into today's analysis. Today's focus is on ETH, which recently experienced a 28% pump in anticipation of the potential approval of an Ethereum ETF. As I mentioned in my previous analysis, breaking the $2964 level was crucial, and it provided a strong trigger for opening a position, leading to a 28% gain with a high risk-to-reward ratio. 📰Today, the final decision regarding the ETF is expected to be announced. If approved, Ethereum could see another pump, potentially surpassing the $4063 level and aiming for its all-time high (ATH) around $4600. However, if the ETF is not approved, Ethereum is likely to dump, possibly losing the $2880 support level amid market fear and excitement, which would be bad news for ETH holders. Personally, I believe the ETF is more likely to be approved, leading to another pump in Ethereum's chart. 🔔The announcement is just a few hours away. If you believe the ETF will be approved, I suggest moving to lower timeframes, finding a trigger based on your strategy, and opening a long position. Conversely, if you think the ETF will not be approved, you can apply the same approach for a short position. 📈Ignoring the ETF news and focusing purely on technicals, the RSI is significantly overbought, reaching as high as 89. This indicates high market excitement, and the RSI is now starting to come down but hasn't exited the overbought territory yet. There is a high probability of range-bound movement until the price meets the SMA25, potentially forming a box near $3798. After the SMA25 convergence, we might see renewed momentum. If the price breaks $3798 sooner, it would be even better as the resistance would be broken with more bullish momentum, allowing the price to move up more smoothly and with fewer candles. 🚀For long position targets, consider the $4063 resistance as the first target. If this resistance is surpassed, the next target would be the $4600 ATH. 📉For shorts, as long as the volume of red candles continues to decrease, I wouldn't consider shorting. To short, wait for the SMA25 to reach the candles, and if the bottom of the box breaks with increased selling volume, you could enter a risky short position. Given this would be against the primary market momentum, you should take profits quickly. 💣The main short position to watch for a complete trend reversal would be the break of the $2880 support level. 📝In conclusion, Ethereum is at a critical juncture with the potential ETF approval news imminent. If approved, we could see significant bullish movement towards and beyond $4063, aiming for the ATH around $4600. On the other hand, if not approved, Ethereum might experience a notable drop, potentially losing the $2880 support. From a technical perspective, watch the RSI and SMA25 interactions closely, and plan your trades based on the key levels and volume confirmations mentioned above. Always stay informed and be ready to adjust your strategy based on market developments.
by itsparham96
3
[EDU-Bite Sized Mini Series] When to trade for best bang for $$?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Okay, let's get started on today's topic. Knowing when to trade and when NOT to trade is very important. This is the "timing" element which is also a crucial part of trading. And, this is especially important if you are looking to trade on a lower timeframe! Understanding the different trading sessions in the forex market and identifying the best times and days to trade can significantly improve trading success. Here's a breakdown of the major forex trading sessions and their characteristics: Asian Session (Tokyo/Singapore/Hong Kong): The Asian session begins with the opening of the Tokyo market, though the AUD and NZD starts trading earlier than it. It's known for lower volatility compared to other sessions, with currency pairs like USD/JPY and AUD/USD often experiencing increased activity.At times, if there's a important news release such as FED interest rate release or Non- farm payroll on a Friday. The preceding Asian Session could have "spill over" activity and increased in volatility in the FX market. European Session (London): The European session, centered around London, is considered the most active session (besides the US). It often sees high liquidity and volatility, making it ideal for day traders. Major currency pairs like EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and EUR/GBP typically exhibit significant movements during this session. 3. North American Session (New York): The North American session overlaps with the end of the European session, creating a period of increased activity. Day traders loved the volatility during this period of time, more over key news releases could be catalyst for further volatility. It's characterized by liquidity from both European and American traders. Currency pairs involving the USD, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, and GBP/USD, are particularly active. 4. Best Times to Trade: To be specific, the best times to trade forex are typically during the overlap of multiple trading sessions when liquidity and volatility are highest. This occurs during the overlap of the European and North American sessions, known as the "London-New York" overlap, which occurs from 8:00 AM to 12:00 PM EST. Another optimal period is during the overlap of the Asian and European sessions. Best Days to Trade While forex markets are open 24 hours a day, five days a week, certain days tend to offer more trading opportunities. Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday are generally considered the best days to trade, as they typically see higher volatility and more significant price movements compared to Mondays and Fridays. By understanding the characteristics of each trading session and identifying the optimal times and days to trade, you can enhance your trading strategies and capitalize on the most favorable market conditions. Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
Education
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
Implementing SEASONAL TENDENCIESHi guys, In this video I go through what are "seasonal tendencies", and how you can implement it into your analysis and strategy(ies). Seasonal tendencies in the context of financial markets are basically what the particular market or asset has historically done throughout the years in terms of bullish or bearish movement. For example, in April-May the US Dollar is usually bearish, and from May-June it is usually bullish. This is useful information because it can add confluence to your bias/analysis. However, you do not want to solely use this information as a reason to get into a trade. The data is based on the past, and is not indicative to the present/future and also does not represent how much a market or asset can move because the data is only measured relative to what it has previously done. The best approach is to use this as an additional thumbs up if it coincides with your analysis, and if it does, then it allows you to be a bit more cautious or risk averse. A simple analogy is the weather. If you were planning a holiday to Thailand for a sunny getaway, the best times would be from March to July. Most likely you are not going to book a holiday in November during the monsoon season, unless you actually wanted it to rain every day. However, some years have had very little to no rain during the monsoon season. That being said, you would most likely choose to go during a time that seasonally has hot and sunny weather. This is how you can use seasonal tendencies to add an additional layer to your analysis. I hope that was insightful and gave you some ideas to test if you've never heard of seasonal tendencies. You can implement this both as a technical or fundamental analyst (or both). Til next time, happy trading. - R2F
TVC:DXYEducation
by Road_2_Funded
Sell GBPUSD CPI DataThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to a recent breakout from a wedge pattern. Possible Short Trade : Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling GBP/USD) below the broken support trendline of the wedge after confirmation. Ideally, this would be around 1.2720 or lower if the price continues to decline. Target Levels: 1.2678: This target is achieved by measuring the height of the wedge (from its apex to the breakout point) and projecting it downwards from the breakout point. 1.2650: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout. Stop-Loss: Once the entry point is confirmed, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the wedge, ideally with some buffer around 1.2730. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
What's next for Silver and Gold?OANDA:XAGUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:DXY Finally 😎 Silver broke through $30. So what's next? Long-term: I would say there is nothing on its way to go for $50. BUT, what would support Silver to go for $50? where's the demand for silver? How would supply change in the coming years? .... I would say, let's not get ahead of ourselves and focus on what's going on now, then I try to prepare a separate post for the reasons I have for staying bullish on silver in the coming years. Short-term: As you might have noticed, on 15 May, after the US Fed announced the CPI data, silver started its rally to $30. The recent CPI y/y data came out at the expected level of 3.4% and the CPI m/m was at 0.3% which was lower than the market expectations. So, Fed Chair Jerome Powell continued his recent interviews with a dovish tone which signals that we are very close to a rate cut **. For now, the first rate cut is expected to happen in September. Long story short, gold and silver are pricing in the rate cuts now as this sentiment pulling DXY down. So, in the short-term , I would like to see Silver between $33.6 - $36.4 and Gold entering the $2580 - $2650 area. In the meantime, DXY can reach to 103. I have highlighted these areas on the chart 😊. ** Watch out for unemployment numbers as the Fed shifts its focus on that. If you are a day trader, you can expect higher volatility around unemployment news than before and you expect this number to have a higher impact on the longer-term trends of DXY. ** Also, keep that in mind, if they want to normalize the 3% inflation rather than 2%, it means we can expect higher levels of interest rates for a longer period of time.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SamanFx0
GBPJPY Analysis (22nd May 2024) Market Analysis PT2/2 (22nd May 2024) GBPJPY Analysis On the 30 minute timeframe, we have created a very strong support at the 198.272 - 198.363 level, having more than 5 taps along the area and rejecting it. There are 2 scenarios i am looking for. 1) Price breaks above the 198.615 level with a body candle close on the 15 minute. If we do have that, i will be looking for potential Buys ton continue the bullish move, given that it provides a retest of the 198.615 level. 2) Price breaks below the 30 Minute support with a body candle close. IF this happens, support fails and turns into resistance, this is where will be looking for a break and retest to continue lower towards the 197.800 level.
by CallistoFX
GBPJPY Analysis (22nd May 2024) Market Analysis PT2/2 (22nd May 2024) GBPJPY Analysis On the 30 minute timeframe, we have created a very strong support at the 198.272 - 198.363 level, having more than 5 taps along the area and rejecting it. There are 2 scenarios i am looking for. 1) Price breaks above the 198.615 level with a body candle close on the 15 minute. If we do have that, i will be looking for potential Buys ton continue the bullish move, given that it provides a retest of the 198.615 level. 2) Price breaks below the 30 Minute support with a body candle close. IF this happens, support fails and turns into resistance, this is where will be looking for a break and retest to continue lower towards the 197.800 level.
by CallistoFX