S&P500 is OVERSOLD!CME_MINI:ES1! NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:GOOGL NASDAQ:COIN
BUY OPPORTUNITY on CME_MINI:ES1!
The chart shows a strong bullish setup. A well-defined wave structure is visible along with a key Fibonacci retracement level marking the pullback. A divergence in momentum has been noted, and the price action has bounced off the 52-week EMA, suggesting that buyers are stepping in.
Fundamentally, the outlook remains positive. Recent macroeconomic data points to solid consumer spending and steady industrial production, while bank earnings and statements from major financial institutions have added to market confidence. These positive signals help support the S&P 500’s broader resilience, reinforcing the potential for further gains.
That said, caution is advised. Uncertainties such as shifting monetary policy, potential geopolitical tensions, and any unforeseen changes in economic data could introduce volatility. Traders should consider tight risk management and stop-loss strategies to mitigate downside risks.
Not Financial Advice
Analysis
SHOCK! Trump to host crypto summit at the White House!On March 7, the White House will host its first-ever crypto summit, chaired by Donald Trump. The event will bring together top leaders of the crypto industry, including Coinbase (#Coinbase) CEO Brian Armstrong, MicroStrategy (#MicroStrgy) founder Michael Saylor, and others. Key discussion topics will include crypto industry regulation, stablecoin oversight, the strategic role of Bitcoin in the U.S. economy, and the establishment of a national crypto reserve.
One of the summit’s highlights is the initiative to create a strategic U.S. crypto reserve, which will include Cardano (ADAUSD), Solana (SOLUSD), XRP (XRPUSD), as well as Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and Ethereum (ETHUSD).
This move aims to strengthen America’s position in the global digital economy and expand the dollar’s influence. Donald Trump emphasizes that the U.S. must lead in blockchain technology development, promoting the adoption of digital assets in the global financial system. Beyond regulation and reserves, the summit will also address cryptocurrency taxation and potential incentives for businesses operating in the sector.
Key growth drivers for the crypto market:
• Government support & regulation: High-level officials participating in the summit and the introduction of regulatory frameworks focused on transparency and security create a favorable environment for market growth. Clear regulations encourage institutional investors to enter the space.
• Establishment of a strategic crypto reserve: The U.S. aims to include top cryptocurrencies in its national assets, boosting their credibility and investor confidence. This could strengthen digital assets’ role in the global financial system.
• Blockchain technology advancements: The adoption of innovations such as smart contracts, decentralized finance (DeFi), and blockchain integration into traditional industries expands the use cases for cryptocurrencies and increases demand.
• Rising adoption among users & businesses: Simplified crypto transactions, improved infrastructure, and a growing number of businesses accepting crypto payments contribute to the rising popularity of digital assets among the public.
The White House Crypto Summit will be a landmark event for the industry, setting the stage for the crypto market’s future development. Analysts at FreshForex believe that government recognition, clear regulatory frameworks, and technological innovations will provide a solid foundation for the continued growth and strengthening of digital assets in the global economy.
At FreshForex, accounts are available in 7 cryptocurrencies and over 70 crypto pairs with 1:100 leverage, accessible 24/7.
SOlUSD Analysis
Recent Low & Bounce: Price found support around 127 and has been climbing within a short-term rising channel.
Fib Levels in Play: From the swing high near 153 down to 127, key retracements cluster around 139–145, with 149.6 (78.6% Fib) acting as a major ceiling.
EMA Ribbon & 200 MA: The EMA ribbons are near the current price, signaling consolidation. The 200 MA (turquoise) sits around 158, which could be a stronger resistance if price rallies further.
Key Resistance: Watch 146–150. A decisive break above 149–150 could open the door to retest the 153 swing high and potentially push toward 158.
Support Levels: If SOL loses momentum and falls below 139–136, a retest of 127 support becomes likely. A close beneath 127 could accelerate downside pressure.
Bottom Line: SOL is attempting a recovery off 127, but it must clear the 146–150 resistance zone to build meaningful bullish momentum. Failure to hold above 139–136 risks a deeper pullback toward recent lows. Keep an eye on volume and candle closes around these critical levels.
GBP/JPY Bullish Channel (07.3.25)The GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 192.46
2nd Resistance – 193.40
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Dollar Decline Propels Silver Above $32Silver extended its rally beyond $32 per ounce in early March, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar. The U.S. imposed new tariffs on Canadian, Mexican, and Chinese imports, prompting Canada’s 25% counter-tariffs and China’s additional levies of 10%-15%, along with export restrictions on select U.S. entities.
Investors now focus on Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for clues on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook.
If silver breaks above $32.75, the next resistance levels are $33.15 and $33.80. On the downside, support is at $31.00, with further levels at $30.20 and $29.75 if selling pressure increases.
Euro Surges Above $1.08 on ECB Rate CutThe euro rose above $1.08, hitting a four-month high after the ECB’s expected 25bps rate cut. The central bank signaled a less restrictive stance but hinted at a pause in further cuts, shifting its rhetoric away from "restrictive policy." Markets now anticipate one or two more 25bps cuts this year.
The euro also gained support from expectations of increased government spending. EU leaders are meeting for a special defense session, where Commission President Ursula von der Leyen proposed an €800 billion plan, including €150 billion in loans, to strengthen defense capabilities despite budget constraints.
Key resistance is at 1.0840, followed by 1.0900 and 1.0950. Support stands at 1.0730, with further levels at 1.0700 and 1.0650.
Yen Benefits from Dollar's Broad RetreatThe Japanese yen held around 149 per dollar, its strongest in five months, benefiting from the dollar’s decline on a stronger euro and Trump’s tariff policies. His selective tariff exemptions and retaliatory measures weakened the dollar further.
Domestically, BOJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida suggested possible rate hikes if economic projections align but emphasized that Japan’s monetary conditions remain highly accommodative, with only minimal reductions in government bond holdings.
Key resistance is at 152.00, with further levels at 154.90 and 156.00. Support stands at 147.10, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
USD/CHF Bearish Flag (06.3.25)The USD/CHF Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.8826
2nd Support – 0.8787
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XAG/USD Silver Price Analysis: Bullish Continuation or Rejection📉 Current Price: 32.3715
📊 Key Levels:
Support Zone (~32.00 - 32.20): Price recently bounced from this level.
Resistance Zone (~33.20 - 33.50): A potential target for an upward move.
📈 Potential Scenario:
The chart suggests a bullish breakout after retesting the lower support zone.
If the price successfully retests and holds above 32.00, it could continue towards 33.50.
A break below 32.00 could invalidate this bullish move and lead to further downside.
🎯 Trading Outlook:
Bullish Bias above 32.00, aiming for 33.50.
Bearish Risk below 32.00, which could lead to further declines.
Yen Steady Near 149 as BOJ Hints at Possible Rate HikesThe yen held near 149 per dollar, its strongest in five months, benefiting from a weaker dollar amid a stronger euro and Trump’s tariffs. While Trump eased tariffs for some automakers, retaliatory measures pressured the dollar. BOJ Deputy Governor Uchida signaled potential rate hikes if economic forecasts hold, noting financial conditions remain loose with minimal JGB reductions.
Key resistance is at 152.00, with further levels at 154.90 and 156.00. Support stands at 148.60, followed by 147.10 and 145.80.
Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis – Key Levels & Trade Setups!Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis 🏆✨
1️⃣ Support & Resistance Zones 🚧
Resistance Zones (Purple areas):
🔹 Lower resistance ~ 2,920
🔹 Upper resistance ~ 2,960
Support Zone 🛡️ around 2,900
2️⃣ Possible Price Movements 📈📉
✅ Bullish Scenario: If price breaks above 2,920, it may surge towards 2,960 🚀💰
❌ Bearish Scenario: If price gets rejected at 2,920, a pullback to 2,900 is likely ⚠️📉
3️⃣ Trend Analysis 📊
🔥 The price is in an uptrend after bouncing from 2,880
🔍 Watch the 2,920 level—break or rejection will decide the next big move!
💡 Trading Plan:
Bullish: Wait for a breakout 🔼 above 2,920, then target 2,960 🎯
Bearish: Short if price rejects 2,920, aiming for 2,900 📉
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 6, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pairing pressed the accelerator pedal and produced another strong session on Wednesday, rising a further 0.85% and marking a third consecutive session of solid gains.
Despite warnings that the UK economy as a whole is weakening, markets rose following Wednesday's Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy hearing. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said inflation is expected to rise moderately despite weaker growth figures, prompting markets to adjust expectations of a rate cut before the end of 2025. Rates markets now expect less than 50bp of overall interest rate cuts before the end of the year.
ADP's employment change for February showed just 77k new jobs, well below the forecast of 140k and March's 186k. Despite this, ADP results have not consistently correlated with Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) since the reporting change in 2022, so the low reading is of little significance.
There is little of note on the UK side of the economic data list this week, so the key data for traders remains US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), which will be released this Friday.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.2900, SL 1.2820, TP 1.3050
XAU/USD Bullish Flag (06.03.25)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 2949
2nd Resistance – 2969
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GBP/NZD Rounded Top (06.03.25)The GBP/NZD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Rounded Top Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2.2362
2nd Support – 2.2266
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GBP/USD 4H Analysis – Bullish Momentum & Key Demand Zones📊 GBP/USD 4H Analysis – Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Perspective
Current Market Structure:
📈 Bullish Momentum: The price is currently trending upwards after breaking a short-term high (SH) and liquidity zone.
🔄 Change of Character (CH): Confirmed as the price broke previous resistance, signaling a possible trend continuation.
Key Zones & Levels:
🟣 H4 Block Order (Demand Zone): Marked in purple, this area aligns with a strong order block, indicating potential buying interest if the price retraces.
🟥 Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG): Above the demand zone, acting as a potential area for price rebalancing before resuming the uptrend.
🔴 200 EMA at 1.25179: Serving as dynamic support, aligning with the demand zone for potential buy setups.
Potential Scenarios:
📉 Retracement to Demand Zone (1.2500 - 1.2550)
Buyers may step in at the H4 Block Order & Fair Value Gap.
Price could form a higher low before continuation.
📈 Bullish Expansion to New Highs (1.2750 - 1.2800)
If demand holds, expect a strong push-up towards liquidity areas.
Breakout could trigger momentum buying.
Bias:
✅ Bullish (Higher Highs & Higher Lows Forming)
⚠️ Caution: If price breaks below 1.2500, sentiment may shift bearish.
CHFJPY at Key Support Level - Potential Buy SetupOANDA:CHFJPY is at a significant demand zone that has consistently triggered bullish reversals in the past. This zone has previously acted as a strong support level and now as price tests this area again, it creates a potential opportunity for buyers to regain control.
I expect the price to move toward 168.60. On the other hand, a break below this support could signal further downside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
GBP/CHF Wedge Breakout (05.3.25)The GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.1458
2nd Resistance – 1.1504
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Gold Price ActionHello Trader,
I'm still waiting for this setup. I'll go short in the Hidden Supply Zone. Remember, never trade or follow analysis blindly. Be patient—wait for the liquidity sweep and then observe the candle formation. This analysis is based on a multi-timeframe approach, so always trade wisely.
Don't forget to manage your risk properly. Wishing you all the best and happy trading!
Thank you!
Bitcoin may rebound up from buyer zone check out and read BTC/USD Bullish Outlook: Potential Rebound from Buyer Zone"
Bitcoin is showing signs of strength as it approaches a key buyer zone. Holding above this level could trigger a strong rebound, with upside targets at key resistance levels. A breakout above confirms bullish momentum, supporting further gains.
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 5, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD pressed the gas pedal and rose 1.4% on Tuesday, climbing 140 pips in a single session as markets sold off the US dollar and bet that US President Donald Trump will find a reason to backtrack on his tariff threats. Key data for both Europe and the US is due out later this week, but trade war rhetoric will rule the roost in the middle of the week.
US President Donald Trump, staying true to form, is already laying the groundwork for a U-turn on his own tariff threats. At midnight Eastern Time, a package of stiff tariffs of 25% on imported goods from Canada and Mexico went into effect. However, despite a brief bout of risk aversion early in the U.S. session, currency markets quickly regained their footing and placed a big bet on another retraction or postponement of tariff policy from the Trump administration.
Economic data will be sparse in the European market mid-week as traders in the vols are wringing their hands in anticipation of two beats - the European Central Bank's (ECB) March rate meeting on Thursday, and the latest iteration of U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP) data scheduled for Friday. This week's NFP data is likely to attract even more attention than usual as investors will begin to watch for any signs of economic weakness as consumers and businesses begin to crack under the weight of President Trump's global trade war threats.
The ECB is expected to cut interest rates by another quarter of a percent on Thursday, bringing the main discount rate to 2.65% from 2.9%, while the deposit rate is expected to fall by a similar amount to 2.5% from 2.75% as the ECB tries to get ahead of rising recession risks and support the EU's broad and diverse domestic economy.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.06100, SL 1.05700, TP 1.06800
$DOGE Market Update📊 $DOGE/USDT Market Update
Welcome to today's analysis! Let’s break down the current price action on CRYPTOCAP:DOGE and its potential movement.
🌐 Overview: CRYPTOCAP:DOGE Testing Key Resistance & Double Bottom Formation
📉 CRYPTOCAP:DOGE was in a downtrend, but now it's showing signs of potential reversal, as price has formed a double bottom pattern.
🔄 Current Scenario:
CRYPTOCAP:DOGE is testing the red resistance zone, which is a critical level that needs to be broken for further bullish confirmation.
If DOGE successfully breaks out, the target will be the blue line level, which was the previous lower low (LL).
However, if the price gets rejected, we could see another pullback before another breakout attempt.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🔴 Resistance Zone: Red Level (Needs breakout for bullish continuation)
🔵 Target Level: Blue Line (If breakout is successful, price may reach previous LL)
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📌 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above Red Resistance & Double Bottom Confirmation)
If CRYPTOCAP:DOGE breaks and holds above the red resistance zone, this would confirm bullish momentum, with a potential move to the blue target level.
The double bottom pattern would also signal a strong reversal if confirmed.
📌 Bearish Scenario (Rejection at Resistance)
If CRYPTOCAP:DOGE fails to break out, the price may pull back, potentially forming a higher low before another breakout attempt.
📌 Conclusion
CRYPTOCAP:DOGE is at a critical resistance zone, testing a double bottom breakout level. A successful breakout would confirm bullish momentum, targeting the blue line level. However, a rejection may lead to a pullback before another attempt.