CDSL | Flagpole | NSDL Files for IPO
• NSDL has filed its DHRP, leading to market concerns that investors might shift their funds to NSDL, potentially affecting CDSL.
(We'll be sharing a detailed comparison for NSDL and CDSL in the comments section below. Feel free to follow us for the updates.)
Now CDSL:
• In the last 13 months, it's formed a beautiful Flag Pole pattern. The breakout of which is already done.
• The 1000 level + 50% Fibo level provided support during its momentum.
• Volumes increased during the rally, which is a positive sign.
• It faces a crucial resistance zone the break and sustenance of which will be necessary.
• Now if you are worried about the funds flowing to NSDL, Remember what happened to BSE when NSE announced its IPO – it literally doubled in value. NSDL's valuation will play a crucial role in boosting CDSL's momentum.
• Duopolies, like Ola and Uber, Airtel and Jio, Swiggy and Zomato, Amazon and Flipkart, tend to fare well. CDSL and NSDL too can coexist.
• Do you know who else can and must Coexist? YOU and WE! Follow us for such interesting Case studies.
Have Insights or Questions? Let us know in the comments below.👇
While you do that, how about a boost for some motivation 🚀
⚠️Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are merely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Like everybody else, we too can be wrong at times ✌🏻
Analysis
R2F Weekly Analysis - 8th July 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
My short-term bias for DXY has switched to bearish. I am looking for a possible lower move on the Dollar Index this week, which should offer some shorts on EURUSD and GBPUSD, the pairs I usually trade. Check out my analysis in the video. I hope you found it insightful.
- R2F
EUR-USD Key Levels! Analysis!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD surged up from
The horizontal support
Of 1.0667 and is about
To retest a weak horizontal
Resistance of 1.0851
If it gets broken the pair
Will go up and hit a
Second horizontal resistance
Which is a stronger level
At around 1.0920
Analysis!
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GOLD Key Levels! Analysis!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is moving down
From the horizontal resistance 1
Of around 2,390$ towards the
Horizontal support level of 2,290$
Which constitute a local range
However, should the first resistance
Be broken the next resistance
Is nearby at around 2,450$
Analysis!
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XAUUSD Gold Market Analysis: Weekly Overview
Fundamentals
Gold Price Movement: Last week's trading saw gold prices align with our expectations. Following the release of nonfarm payroll data, where the unemployment rate exceeded market forecasts, gold prices climbed above the June 7 high of $2,387 towards the end of the week.
Nonfarm Payroll Data: The June US nonfarm payroll report showed a slight increase in new jobs, surpassing expectations. However, revisions to April and May figures indicated a decrease of 111,000 jobs. The unemployment rate rose to 4.1%, higher than both previous and anticipated values, suggesting a cooling US labor market and increasing investor expectations for a September rate cut.
Interest Rate Expectations: Interest rate observation tools indicate over an 80% probability of a September rate cut, with expectations of two cuts this year. This has driven down US bond yields, favorably impacting gold prices. Given the high nominal and real interest rates, a rate cut would strongly support gold price momentum.
Market Liquidity: Despite last week's strong rebound, further upward movement for gold may be limited due to ongoing low liquidity conditions, which could persist into this week.
Technical Analysis
Resistance and Support Levels: The "head and shoulders" pattern led gold prices to touch the resistance range of $2,370-$2,390 last week, as anticipated. The completion of this pattern, along with oscillator signals, suggests a potential market decline.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is turning downward at the neutral level of 50.
Stochastic Oscillator: The Stochastic Oscillator is smoothing in the overbought region.
Key Support Levels:
50-day SMA: $2,346
20-day SMA: $2,333
A break below these levels could lead gold prices to retreat to the neckline at the $2,300 range and potentially test the lower limit of the trading range at $2,276.
Key Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $2,370-$2,390
Psychological Barrier: $2,400
A successful close above $2,386 would accelerate the testing of the $2,400 psychological barrier.
Market Outlook: While the recent rise in gold prices has rekindled bullish hopes, breaking above or below the current range in the short term appears premature. We expect a broad range of volatile trading patterns to continue throughout the summer, with a primary strategy of buying low and selling high.
This analysis aims to provide a comprehensive and professional overview of the current gold market, highlighting key fundamentals and technical factors influencing price movements
BOOST US COMMENT YOUR IDEAS FOLLOW US
I think it might be safe to sell soon (temporarily, at least)
If we look to the left, gold would have completely reversed the move it created last week Friday for NFP. Thus gold has now gone somewhat bearish which means sellers are interested.
If you look at the area circled (in purple) there would have been sellers interested at that level.
Gold literally just took out that area.
Any sellers who had sold around the circled area would have likely had stops above that level and now would be no more.
HOWEVER,
The reason I said it may be safe to sell (SOON) is because of this, the fact that price is coming back up again, if it were safe to sell, it wouldn't be coming back up to give traders a better opportunity to sell.
Due to this I'd be extra careful of selling OR buying at this time.
Historically Warm Weather to Support Natural Gas PricesAfter the second quarter relief rally and the five-month peak, Natural Gas registered a four-week decline. This has shifted bias to the downside again, creating scope for further losses towards 1.940. However, a look at the daily chart shows that NGAS tries to react at the lower border of the Ichimoku Cloud. Furthermore, a Golden Cross (EMA50 crossing above the EMA200) has been formed, which is often viewed as a precursor of sustained growth.
This technical formation compliments the favorable fundamentals, as demand is set to increase this year, while key drillers lower their activity. Although the world shifts to renewables, Natural Gas is seen a bridge fuel facilitating this transition. Furthermore, it is heavily used in electricity generation, being the top source in the US and No2 globally. June was the thirteenth straight month of record high temperatures according to Copernicus, which can provide another tailwind for energy demand during the summer months. This in turn can increase Natural gas consumption and support prices.
As a result, NGAS can reclaim the EMA200 that would give control to the bulls and the ability to push for the June peak (3.164). The upside contains multiple technical roadblocks though and there are risks to the upbeat supply-demand dynamics.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 09, 2024 GBPUSDThe Pound-Dollar pair briefly tested a fresh four-week high on Monday, rising above 1.28400 before broad market flows pushed cable back down to the week's opening prices just above 1.28000. UK data remains sparse this week, with traders' expectations facing an overly cautious Federal Reserve (Fed). Fed speakers are pushing for further signs that US inflation is easing to reach the Fed's 2% annual inflation target.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will make the first of two appearances this week when he presents the Fed's latest semi-annual monetary policy report to the U.S. Senate Banking Committee. Fed Chairman Powell will then repeat his appearance when he testifies before the US House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday.
Key US inflation data will be released later this week, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) coming out on Thursday and the Wholesale Producer Price Index (PPI) on Friday. Traders hoping for further easing in inflation to push the Fed to cut rates sooner may be disappointed later in the week as the CPI and PPI inflation forecasts will either remain unchanged or rise slightly.
UK data is also limited this week, with various speeches from Bank of England (BoE) policymakers scheduled for Wednesday and the results of the industrial and manufacturing activity survey on Thursday. UK industrial and manufacturing output is expected to rise in May after a slight contraction in the previous month.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.28000, on the rebound take Buy positions. If we consolidate below, take Sell positions.
Is It End Road for the BEARS...?Hey Guys!
On the larger timeframe of the Monthly, Weekly and Daily, we see this market is bearish.
Over the past few days leading into weeks, we have seen the market gravitate to the north to reach higher prices. We are tempted to believe that all of that bullishness was to drive the market into our expected bullish reversal zone.
Market price is currently inside our Daily zone. We are looking to see reversals.
Where that happens, we will look to trade bearish.
In the unlikely event that the market breaks our zone and clears our protected high, we will deem come to the conclusion that the bearish of the daily chart is over, and we will look to trade Bullish on the Daily.
Until then, we will hold on to our bearish perspective.
USDCHF: Key Level Rejection, Retracement ExpectedPrice recently broke out of the daily (D) descending channel. It then pushed up to meet the daily (D) 50% Fibonacci retracement level, converging with resistance. Price then rejected this level and pushed down to retest support before breaking out of the four-hour (4H) downtrend line. Price then pushed up and reached the daily (D) key level and converged with yet another 50% Fibonacci level. Price seems to be rejecting this level, highlighting temporary reversal and suggesting a possible retracement. I expect price to temporarily retrace to around the 38.2% level before continuing to the upside.
**Rationale:**
~ Breakout of Channel (D)
~ Retest of Support (D)
~ Break of Trendline
~ Retest of Support
~ Rejection Candlesticks
~ Break of Nested Trendline
~ 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement
**Disclaimer:**
My trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations.
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#scalping
#intraday
Visa (V): Poised for Significant Gains - Key Levels IdentifiedOn the Visa daily chart, we can see that the ABCDE correction completed Wave (4) at $174.60. Since then, the stock has been moving upwards towards Wave 3. We expect significant gains for Wave 3, but a short-term correction might still be necessary.
From November 2023 to March 2024, Visa experienced a strong upward movement. Currently, we are in a correction phase that might already be completed, but there is a possibility of another dip. If a dip occurs, the price levels between $259 and $249 will be very interesting.
We should not fall below $234, as this marks the top of Wave 1, which should not be breached. Additionally, we need to break above $305 to confirm the formation of Wave 3. It is possible for this wave 3 to reach up to $364, even a little higher but looking at the past price action our target remains at an maximum of $364.
Bluzelle (BLZUSDT): Strategic Spot-Buy OpportunityDuring our recent livestream, we highlighted BLZUSDT as a potential spot-buy opportunity. We identified several key levels of interest for entries and stops.
12-Hour Chart Analysis:
The weekly fair-value gap nearly overlaps with the three-day fair-value gap, making this level a significant potential entry point. Additionally, the lower support zone, which has frequent price interactions and includes another three-day fair-value gap, offers a secondary entry level. We'll place our stop-loss just below the midpoint of the monthly fair-value gap, marked by a blue dotted line. In conclusion, BLZUSDT looks like a promising spot-buy opportunity with clear entry levels and a strategic stop-loss placement. We look forward to seeing new highs well above $0.48.
Yearly VWAP Analysis:
In addition to our usual analysis, let's take a look at the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) charts to fine-tune our strategy. Specifically, we'll focus on the annual VWAP for 2023. The current position of the price is between the 2023 VAH (Volume Area High) and the 2023 VWAP. We expect the price to reach the 2023 VWAP, aligning with our first entry level. Our stop-loss aligns with the 2023 VAL (Volume Area Low), providing extra confidence in this support level. This alignment, though unintentional, suggests strong support.
The annual VWAP chart adds more validation to our BLZ-USDT strategy. Aligning our entry at the 2023 VWAP and setting the stop-loss just below the 2023 VAL strengthens our support levels and makes our setup more robust.
Quarterly VWAP Analysis:
The price has fallen below the 2023 Q4 VAH (Volume Area High) and is now nearing the 2023 Q4 VAL (Volume Area Low). The price is approaching the 2023 Q4 VAL, a crucial support level. Both the 2023 Q3 VAH and the 2023 Q3 VWAP closely align with our primary entry levels, adding further confidence to our strategy.
Our strategy summary involves aligning the primary entry with the 2023 Q3 VAH and the 2023 Q3 VWAP. These levels overlap with our identified fair-value gaps, providing potential support. The quarterly VWAP chart strengthens our confidence in the identified support levels for BLZ-USDT. The overlap between the annual and quarterly VWAP levels at our entry points suggests strong support, making this a promising setup for a spot trade.
Gold Possible Drop incomingI believe gold is likely to continue lower, Let me explain why>
Based on this image you see here, gold has been stumbling about this level for quite some time, at least 4 days. Due to the fact that it appears to be a "support" I am thinking that there might be buyers trapped in buys or at the very least induced to buy at this level.
Which means stop losses of same said buyers would likely be below this (cyan level) See image below.
Now gold is a bullish market overall, on the monthly timeframe.
Which means buys are likely the overall play but in order for gold to go up it needs liquidity (energy) to do so, how does a market get liquidity? By stopping out traders from the opposing direction.
This can be further possibly be confirmed by paying attention to the way the last 3 monthly candles have formed and closed
The way the market is behaving at this high I believe that it is suggesting that it is rejecting the high which also suggests sells.
So far so good right?
The monthly and weekly timeframe do not add anything to my analysis so I will skip them both.
The 4 hour timeframe shows where price heavily pushed out and up away from the consolidation, this was also during and around NFP and after FOMC. If it were going to buy, it would continue to buy right? But if we pay attention to the last few candles I think you'd agree with me in saying that bearish momentum is actually increasing, no? Why would bearish momentum increase if buys are incoming?
The 1 hour suggests rejection to this same (cyan level) but it is staying at and around this level for quite some time, if it were rejecting, why is it staying there for so long? Who is it really trying to induce?
The 30, 15 and 5 minute timeframes do not add anything to this analysis so I will skip.
The 1 minute timeframe shows a gigantic drop with price halting at and around the (cyan level) why? Price is again sticking around this area, which suggests buys to the greater population of traders but every time I bought today, the market barely went up.
I was fortunate enough to end my trading day at a net positive but the buy feels very sketch for me personally.
I believe Gold will continue to drop before the buy actually presents itself
I am going to the 15 minute timeframe to show what I think is likely to occur. This is what I believe can happen.
Boost the post if you agree with my analysis.
Are We Bearish on the 4 Hour Chart...?On the lower timeframe, we have seen a great deal of bullishness. But all of this bullishness on the lower timeframe of the 1 hour has been seen as a move to drive the market into our earlier marked out 4 hour reversal zone.
Market is currently in our reversal zone, and we are seeing some signs of reversals. We will wait for a confirmation of the reversal to enable us jump in on it.
It is expected that our zone will hold, the market will reverse, and we will see lower prices printed.
Our target on the downside is the 4 hour liquidity target at 1.06657
BTC Analysis | Bearish Trend and Key Support Levels 1D TFIn the last major rally, BTC needed approximately $522 billion to drive a 51% surge. Data from Feb 5 to Mar 4, 2024, highlights the substantial capital influx required for such a rise. Given current market dynamics, the availability of similar liquidity to ignite another significant price jump seems unlikely.
1D TF highlights a key support level around $ 53K ~ $ 50.5K. This range is crucial to monitor before expecting further price drops. Additionally, there's a strong resistance zone at $60K ~ $65K. Bitcoin is likely to test the $ 65K resistance level before resuming its decline.
🔴 Still Keeping My Bear Stance 🧸 I’m waiting for the Price RANGE of $ 30K ~ $ 25K to open a LONG Position. Disclaimer: NFA ➖ DYOR 🧠 💡 Open for discussion on this analysis 💬
A Revised View on Bitcoin's Chart SetupFollowing the recent significant correction and subsequent reversal, I have updated my Bitcoin chart analysis.
Instead of focusing on the 59-60k range as a crucial level, I will now concentrate on two key aspects:
1️⃣ Bull Flag Pattern on 1D Chart: Bitcoin is clearly trading within a bull flag pattern on the daily chart. This has become even more apparent after the recent dip. I will be closely monitoring the upper and lower boundaries of this pattern.
2️⃣ Short-term EMA200 Significance: The EMA200 plays a critical role in the short term. Currently, Bitcoin is struggling to climb back above this crucial line. This is important because many trading strategies use the EMA200 to define overall trade direction (long or short). A price below the EMA200 typically triggers more short trades, indicating a downtrend.
What's Next?
➡️ Reversal Confirmation: Bitcoin must confirm the reversal by closing above the EMA200. A weekly close below this level could indicate mid-term downward potential.
➡️ Bullish Breakout: A break above the EMA200 would be a strong bullish signal, potentially leading to a move toward the upper boundary of the bull flag.
#BNBUSDT Falls By 20% To Hug The 200 MAThe BINANCE:BNBUSDT pair experienced a fall in price from $580 to $455 between July 3 and July 5, a 20% decrease in price following the Mt. Gox releasing $9 billion worth of BTC resulting in over $100M of leveraged positions getting liquidated.
The bears pushed the price into the oversold territory which is the reason for the price rebound to $530. If the 200 MA that is currently holding the price up cracked, the bears can push the price back to $455 and from there to $396 and $340.
But this depends heavily on the overall crypto market's performance, if the market conditions improved and the price stayed above the 200 MA the next resistance would be $590, $622, $637, $670 and $720.
USD topped off its high on weekly,likely more downsideHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Usd after last week's string of data seems to be coming down, pullback could be likely this week before market deciding to push down the price on thurs and fri (cpi/ppi).
Bias will be for the downside this week.
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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WHERE IS BITCOIN BOTTOM??Hey everyone!
If you're enjoying this analysis, a thumbs up and follow would be greatly appreciated!**
Where's the Bottom for Bitcoin (BTC)?
The big question on everyone's mind: where is the bottom for Bitcoin (BTC)? While predicting the absolute bottom is impossible, we can analyze different factors to make informed decisions.
Here's a breakdown of three key areas:
Technical Analysis: Looking at the past 4 months, BTC has traded within a range of $56k to $73k. The daily chart suggests a possible bull flag pattern forming. The $56k-$60k zone provides strong support. Holding above this level could indicate a potential breakout from the bull flag.
Fundamental Analysis: Negative news circulating in the market, like the German government selling Bitcoin and Mt. Gox creditor payouts, can create temporary downward pressure. However, it's important to remember that these events can also present buying opportunities during market dips.
Market Sentiment: Fear and uncertainty can grip traders during downturns. The Fear and Greed Index reaching extreme fear might signal a potential bottom, but it's not a guaranteed indicator.
Important Takeaways:
Predicting the absolute bottom is not possible.
Diversification and Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): Consider spreading out your investments (DCA) across different projects to manage risk. This approach can help you average out your buying price over time.
What are your thoughts on BTC's current price action? What are you watching in the altcoin market? Share your analysis in the comments below!
Thanks!