The Macroeconomic Impact of the Latest Inflation Report on USDIntroduction:
Inflation data has always been a crucial driver of currency movements, and the upcoming inflation report is no exception. With USD/JPY currently at a pivotal point, traders are closely watching how the figures will influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy trajectory and market sentiment.
Current Market Dynamics:
The USD/JPY pair has been consolidating within a tight range between and , reflecting traders' caution ahead of the release. Expectations of could push the pair out of its current range.
Scenarios and Key Levels:
Higher-than-expected inflation:
1.Potential breakout above .
Target level: .
2.Lower-than-expected inflation:
Retest of and potential slide toward .
3.Neutral inflation figures:
Likely continuation of range-bound trading between and .
Conclusion and Community Call-to-Action:
What are your thoughts on the upcoming inflation report? Will it trigger a significant move in USD/JPY, or will the pair remain range-bound? Share your analyses and charts in the comments below! 👇
Analysis
Buy XAG/USD (Silver) Trendline SupportThe XAG/USD pair on the M15 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent Support from Trendline. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the Support level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 30.10
2nd Support – 30.35
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Welcome The New Yearly Candle!We have another yearly candle print, the 2024 candle. It is an especially interesting one due to the US elections and the how the candle printed.
In this video I go through analyzing the charts starting with the yearly candle, all the way down to the daily and hourly. I begin on the Dollar Index (DXY) and then have a look at the EURUSD chart, with some intermarket analysis on USDCAD and NZDUSD. So as to make the video not too long, I just demonstrate how I would do my analysis on these pairs. With that framework, you can perform the same analysis on the assets of your choice.
Good luck this year and may it be a prosperous trading year for you all!
- R2F Trading
Fundamental Market Analysis for Januaryr 6, 2024 GBPUSDGBP/USD is unable to capitalize on the modest gains of Friday's recovery and is fluctuating in a range above the 1.2400 mark at the start of the new week. Spot prices, meanwhile, remain near the lowest level since April 2024 reached last week and appear vulnerable to an extension of the three-month downtrend amid a bullish US Dollar (USD).
In fact, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the USD against a basket of currencies, is holding near a two-year high amid optimism over US President-elect Donald Trump's expansionary policies and the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish outlook. Furthermore, concerns over Trump's sweeping tariffs, as well as geopolitical risks related to the war between Russia and Ukraine and rising tensions in the Middle East, are supporting the safe-haven Dollar and acting as a headwind for GBP/USD.
Meanwhile, sentiment around the British Pound (GBP) remains weak amid a series of weak UK data recently and doubts over the newly elected Labor government's fiscal strategy. In addition, the relatively soft stance of the Bank of England (BoE) and the decision to leave interest rates unchanged in December by a split vote may continue to weigh on GBP. This confirms a negative outlook on GBP/USD as traders await the final UK Services PMI to gain fresh momentum.
Trading Recommendation: Watch the level of 1.2400, if consolidated below consider Sell positions, if rebounded consider Buy positions.
MORPHO/USDT Ascending Trendline Support and Long Retest Setup This 4-hour chart for MORPHO/USDT highlights a potential long setup at a critical zone. The price action shows a consistent upward trajectory, supported by an ascending trendline. The recent pullback respects a key horizontal support zone around $3.25-$3.05, aligned with previous resistance turned support.
The setup suggests entering a long position at the current retest level. The risk is managed with a stop loss below the trendline and the support zone at $2.95, ensuring protection against invalidation. The target is bigger, offering an attractive risk-reward ratio.
While the structure remains bullish, caution is advised due to market volatility and potential downside pressure if the support zone breaks. Monitoring price action near the trendline is essential.
Also always make sure to book profit on every 10% of the movement and move SL to Entry for a safe ride and keep reaping more profits without any lose
Comprehensive Gold Analysis for the Week of January 6, 2025Comprehensive Gold Analysis for the Week of January 6, 2025
Gold enters 2025 with a complex yet promising outlook, driven by a combination of macroeconomic, technical, and geopolitical factors shaping a favorable environment for investors. Below is an in-depth analysis of the current market conditions and potential scenarios for gold this week.
Current Market Context
Gold concluded the first trading week of January near $2,657 per ounce , consolidating its upward momentum from late 2024. This movement has been underpinned by:
- Sustained central bank demand , particularly in emerging markets.
- Geopolitical uncertainty , including tensions in the Middle East and Europe.
- Expectations for looser monetary policies from major central banks, including the Federal Reserve (Fed).
In 2024, gold achieved an exceptional annual gain of +27% , its best performance since 2010, driven by its role as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty. The metal reached an all-time high of $2,790 , setting the stage for continued volatility and opportunity in 2025.
Key Fundamental Drivers
1. Global Monetary Policies
- The Fed adopted a cautious stance in December, signaling a slower pace of rate cuts in 2025. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is only an 11.2% probability of a rate cut in January, suggesting short-term stability in interest rates.
- In contrast, Europe and China are expected to pursue more accommodative monetary policies. China has already announced fiscal and monetary stimulus measures to counter its economic slowdown.
2. Geopolitical Risks
- Ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and heightened tensions in the Middle East remain significant drivers of safe-haven demand.
- Additionally, uncertainty surrounding U.S. economic policies under President Donald Trump is adding to market volatility. While some policies may bolster the dollar, others—such as trade tariffs—could increase demand for gold as a hedge.
3. Central Bank and Physical Demand
- Central banks have been aggressively accumulating gold reserves since 2022, with purchases expected to exceed the historical average of 500 tons annually in 2025.
- In China, a weakening yuan and a sluggish real estate market could further boost physical gold demand.
Technical Analysis
Gold is currently trading within a critical range that could determine its short-term trajectory:
- Key Resistance Levels:
- $2,666 (psychological barrier).
- $2,700 (significant technical resistance).
- All-time highs near $2,790 .
- Key Support Levels :
- $2,635 , aligned with the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA).
- Lower levels around $2,600 and $2,532 , which could act as correction zones.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers near neutral territory (50), indicating potential for upward movement if immediate resistance is breached. However, the range between $2,607 and $2,736 will be pivotal in defining this week’s trend.
Projections for This Week
Bullish Scenario
A decisive breakout above $2,666 could pave the way for further gains toward psychological levels at $2,700 and potentially beyond. Catalysts for this scenario include:
- Weak U.S. economic data—such as Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report—supporting expectations for monetary easing.
- Escalation of geopolitical tensions or clear indications of additional Chinese stimulus.
Bearish or Corrective Scenario
Conversely, unexpected strength in the U.S. dollar or robust economic data could exert downward pressure on gold prices. In this case:
- A pullback toward support levels at $2,635 or even $2,600 would be likely before resuming the broader uptrend.
Strategic Insights
Gold maintains a favorable outlook for this week due to strong fundamental and technical support. However, traders should closely monitor three key factors:
1. The release of U.S. labor market data (NFP) on Friday.
2. Movements in the U.S. dollar index (DXY) and Treasury yields.
3. Emerging geopolitical developments that could shift risk sentiment.
The current consolidation near critical technical levels offers opportunities for both bullish and corrective strategies. Active risk management will be essential given the anticipated volatility.
USD/CAD Breakout OpportunityTrading Idea: USD/CAD Breakout Opportunity
USD/CAD has paused its four-day rally, trading near 1.4400 during the Asian session. The Canadian Dollar is supported by rising oil prices, with WTI nearing $73.50 per barrel, while US Dollar strength from the Fed’s hawkish stance limits the downside.
Technical Outlook:
The pair is consolidating within a rectangle pattern. The best trading approach is to wait for a confirmed breakout:
Upside breakout: Indicates continued bullish momentum.
Downside breakout: Signals a potential CAD-driven correction.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 1.4430–1.4450
Support: 1.4360–1.4380
Risk management is essential—always use stop-loss orders and manage your position size to protect your capital.
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BTC/USDT - H1 - Head & Shoulder PatternThe BTC/USDT pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined H&S pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 99204
2nd Support – 101.051
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Sell GBP/NZD Bearish FlagThe GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2.1994
2nd Support – 2.1920
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Tata power, good buy for long term and short term Tata power one of the best best fundamental stock now available at good demand zone one can add in portfolio if not added yet
Can add at levels of 380-405
Sl mclbs 365
Tgt atleast:1:2 & 25% to 100% expecting a blast before a Indian budget
Ask your financial advisor and broker before buying
Only for educational purposes
USDJPY Detailed Analysis And next Week PredictionWelcome to this detailed trading analysis, where your passion for mastering the forex market is truly appreciated. Trading is not just a skill but an art that requires patience, strategy, and perseverance, and by being here, you're already ahead in the journey toward success. Let’s dive into the USDJPY pair, which is currently trading at 157.200. The target price is set at 163.00 to 164.00, offering a potential gain of 500 to 600 pips, making this an exciting opportunity for traders. The pair is following a support and resistance pattern and is currently in a consolidation phase, where the market is preparing for its next significant move. Before reaching the target, we are waiting for a clear bounce from the support level, accompanied by a surge in trading volume, which will confirm the breakout. This setup requires patience and discipline, but the potential reward is worth the wait. Stay sharp, trust the technicals, and remember that success in trading comes to those who prepare and remain committed to their strategies.
Waaree Energies Forms Symmetrical Triangle: Next Steps...?WAAREE ENERGIES is currently developing a symmetrical triangle pattern on its price chart. This technical formation suggests that the stock is consolidating, with decreasing volatility as it approaches the triangle's apex. At this time, the share price has bounced off the lower trendline of the triangle, which is situated at the 2820 price level. This rebound indicates potential support at that level, suggesting that buyers are entering the market. If WAAREE ENERGIES successfully breaks out above the upper trendline of the triangle, we could possibly see a significant price movement, signaling a bullish trend. Traders should closely monitor key levels and volume as the pattern unfolds to capitalize on any potential breakout.
BTC -USDT UPDATE on the 4th of JANUARY 2025 ! Trade closed with BTC -USDT UPDATE on the 4th of JANUARY 2025 ! Trade closed with a "healthy " profit...
"Inglorious" BTC again ! ;) Well Well Well.... Profit again ;)
Waiting for a new opportunities again...
I do hope you are in profit already... if not... You still got all year to do it ! ;)
PS: printer friendly "KISS" chart... & BTW...leverage *10 on Binance recommended... ;)
BNB - USDT UPDATE on 4th January 2025...Slowly slowly.... If you are in the trade already than congrats ! If not yet... Be careful & don't rush... Sometimes is a much better to look for something else instead of taking "halfway "trade already...
Don't rush... You still got all year to trade! ;)
PS: printer friendly "KISS" chart... & BTW...leverage *10 on Binance recommended... ;)
ATOM - USDT UPDATE for 4th of January... $ ---- 100%+ already...ATOM - USDT UPDATE on the 4th of January... What happened in the last 4 days ???
Well, account "went" double & plenty of room to go further....
I do hope you are all in the profit already... if not... blame yourselves only ! ;)
PS: printer friendly "KISS" chart
ETHEREUM 2 HR ANALYSIS 🚨 Ethereum 2 Hour Analysis 🚨
Here’s what we’re watching:
📈 Upside Targets:
• TP1:3350
• TP2: 3500
📉 Downside Targets:
• TP1: 3200
• TP2: 3100
So we have to watch out for $3250-$3300 level. If ETH stays below then you can target downside targets and if above then you can target above levels mentioned as TP(take profit)
Keep an eye on key levels and trade smart! 💹
What’s your take? Drop a comment below and share this with your trading crew! 🚀
USDCAD trade analysis / ascending channel + symmetrical triangleUSDCAD got the buy bias. Been checking it for trend indicators, all indicating for buys. As noticeable, it's been slowing down, creating what looks like mostly consolidation. But in the midst of it all, there is most importantly other patterns like an ascending channel and a symmetrical triangle. After combining these ideas, my best guess is to buy. Buy limit is set right above symmetrical triangle pattern with stop loss below the mid-zone of the triangle, and take profit is set right below the current terminal of ascending channel.
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 3, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD paused its four-day losing streak, trading near 1.02700 during the Asian session on Friday. European Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data on Thursday fell short of expectations, which only added to Euro traders' concerns following a soft speech from European Central Bank (ECB) Governor Yannis Stournaras later in the day.
According to ECB Governing Council member Yannis Stournaras, the ECB intends to smoothly cut interest rates until 2025. According to Stournaras, the ECB rate is expected to be somewhere in the neighborhood of 2% at the end of this year. As the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates much more slowly than previously expected in 2025, the EUR interest rate differential will widen significantly by the end of the year, putting downward pressure on EUR/USD in the long term. This is in line with the expectations of some analysts who are calling for the euro to reach parity with the US dollar as early as this year.
Pan-European PMI results for December fell slightly to 45.1 against expectations of holding at 45.2. While the data itself had relatively little impact, it helped underscore the growing likelihood that the European Central Bank (ECB) will accelerate rate cuts to support the European economy, even as gasoline prices hit their two-year highs, further confounding Europe's economic outlook.
The only significant data on Friday's economic calendar is the results of the ISM US manufacturing PMI, which is expected to remain at the declining 48.4 reading for December.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.02500, if it is fixed below consider Sell positions, if it bounces back consider Buy positions.
NVIDIA set to make one more higher high to $165?Technical Analysis:
================
A series of higher highs and higher lows in Weekly Timeframe:
NVIDIA has found support at $132, which previously acted as a resistance area during June, July, and August 24. If the stock continues to rise from this level, we could see another higher high (yellow cap) around $165. Alternatively, a deeper correction toward $104 could still be on the table if the support fails.
Fundamental Analysis:
==================
1) If NVIDIA struggles, it would suggest AI's momentum is waning—which is clearly not the case. This downtrend might simply reflect profit-taking by large traders.
2) The "Santa Rally" is in play, and NVIDIA appears to be on the "nice" list, signaling potential upward momentum.
3) NVIDIA's Blackwell product line is expected to contribute significantly to profits in the next quarterly earnings, potentially providing a substantial boost to the stock.
I bought NVIDIA stock at $145 and plan to hold sell at $160.
#RUNE #RUNEUSDT #THORChain #Analysis #Eddy#RUNE #RUNEUSDT #THORChain #Analysis #Eddy
At your request, dear followers, I'm here with a technical analysis of THORChain (RUNE).
On the daily timeframe, after exiting the trend and the ascending channel, I expect RUNE to have a Sharpe decline to the specified demand area after pullback to the specified supply zone at 5.170 & 5.270.
After this drop to the demand zone, with confirmation, we can enter long positions with a focus on the targets of $10 and $20.
It is also appropriate for spot buy in prices : 2.150 & 2.000
I also invite you to benefit from my Bitcoin analysis...
Bitcoin analysis: ((BTC/USD)): Check the link:
GOLD BUY Gold prices have shown a significant increase over the past year, with spot gold rising by over 27% in 2024, marking its largest annual gain since 2010.
As of January 2, 2025, gold prices continue to rise, with spot gold increasing by 0.39% to $2,634.15 per ounce.
Analysts at major financial institutions like JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and Citigroup predict that gold prices could further climb to $3,000 in 2025, driven by factors such as lower interest rates, geopolitical uncertainties, and increased central bank purchases.
However, some forecasts suggest potential short-term corrections. For instance, a recent analysis indicates that gold prices might test resistance near the $2,630 area before potentially declining towards the $2,545 level.
Given these mixed signals, it's essential to stay informed about market trends and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
For a more detailed technical analysis of gold as of January 2, 2025, you might find the following video helpful: