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$BIGTIME Breakout Alert!#BIGTIME has broken out of the inverse head & shoulders pattern and is currently retesting the neckline! 📈 Entry: Accumulate above $0.22 🎯 Targets: Midterm: $0.40 (80% upside) Long-term: $0.99 (300% upside) 🛡 Stop-loss: $0.18 Available for both spot and futures trading. Long with caution and proper risk management! ABOUT $BIGTIME Big Time is an action RPG combining fast-paced gameplay with a Web3 economy. Its seamless integration of blockchain elements ensures broad accessibility and entertainment. 🚨 DYOR, NFA.
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
AUDUSD Analysis - Bearish - Trade 021. Seasonality: During the first week of December, the USD exhibits bearish momentum, while the AUD shows bullish tendencies. This combination makes AUDUSD overall bullish. 2. COT Report: The AUD's COT RSI and Index are near the top, while the USD is near the bottom, indicating potential overextension. This suggests a bearish outlook for AUDUSD. 3. Fundamental Analysis: LEI The USD Leading Economic Indicator (LEI) is increasing, while the AUD LEI is decreasing. Global LEI is also rising, favoring USD strength and adding a bearish tone to AUDUSD. Endogenous Factors These suggest bearish pressure for the AUD and bullish sentiment for the USD, further supporting a bearish bias. Exogenous Factors Exogenous influences, however, indicate an increase in AUDUSD, favoring a bullish trend. 4. Technical Analysis: AUDUSD is forming an ABCD pattern and is currently at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level on the 1-hour chart. Additionally, there is significant resistance on the 4-hour chart, indicating potential bearish pressure from a technical standpoint. Summary The analysis presents mixed signals: seasonality and exogenous factors favor bullishness, while the COT report, LEI trends, endogenous factors, and technical resistance suggest bearish potential. Bias The combined analysis leans toward a short entry for AUDUSD. Trade Plan Entry: 0.64746 SL: 0.65130 TP: 0.64362
Short
by asadamalik
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 04, 2024 GBPUSDUS labor and payrolls data will dominate this week ahead of Friday's NFP. Pound/Dollar has been charting just south of the 1.2700 mark on Tuesday, holding rates in check as Pound Sterling traders struggle with a significant lull in meaningful UK economic data, while the broader markets prepare for a fresh batch of US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data due out later in the week. Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey is due to speak early Wednesday. The head of the UK central bank will give a pre-recorded interview at a conference organized by the Financial Times. Nothing noteworthy is expected from the Bank of England Governor's speech, but GBP traders will be keeping their ears to the ground to make sure they don't miss any significant phrases the BoE Governor may announce. Wednesday will see the release of the US non-farm employment change data from ADP, which is expected to fall to 150k from the previous reading of 233k. In the US trading session on Wednesday, investors will also receive data on the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI). The US services PMI survey is expected to fall to 55.5 in November from 56.0 in the previous month. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell is also expected to speak on Wednesday. The Fed chief will answer questions from the audience during a discussion organized by the New York Times. Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.2700, when fixing below consider Sell positions, when rebounding consider Buy positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Bajaj Housing Finance AnalysisNSE:BAJAJHFL Technical Analysis : You can get an Idea about the potential move from the given chart if the price follows the price action and market sentiment remain bullish. Fundamental Analysis : Key Financial Data: 1. **Share Price**: ₹129.56. 2. **Market Capitalization**: ₹1,07,899 crore. 3. **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: ₹2.65. 4. **Revenue (FY2023-24)**: ₹7,617 crore (34% growth YoY). 5. **Profit After Tax (FY2023-24)**: ₹1,731 crore (38% growth YoY). 6. **Total Assets**: ₹81,827 crore. 7. **ROE (Return on Equity)**: 3.78%. ### Analytical Valuation Models: Using a combination of financial models to estimate the fair value: 1. **Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis**: Assuming moderate growth in free cash flows and using an estimated discount rate (WACC), the DCF valuation suggests a fair value of **₹140 per share**. 2. **Comparable Company Analysis (CCA)**: Analyzing peers like LIC Housing Finance and Housing Development Corporation, Bajaj Housing Finance appears fairly priced in the **₹125–₹135 range** based on its P/E and P/B ratios. 3. **Precedent Transactions Analysis**: Benchmarking against recent acquisitions in the housing finance sector, a fair value of **₹135 per share** is plausible. 4. **Dividend Discount Model (DDM)**: Given the company’s limited dividends, this model is less applicable as it skews conservative with a valuation below **₹100**. 5. **Gordon Growth Model (GGM)**: Factoring the modest dividend growth, the GGM valuation estimates **₹120 per share**. 6. **Financial Ratios**: - **P/E Ratio**: Trading at 7.11x earnings. - **Fair Value**: ₹130 per share based on earnings growth. 7. **Price/Earnings to Growth (PEG) Ratio**: Considering robust profit growth (38% YoY), the PEG method supports a valuation of **₹140 per share**. 8. **Residual Income Model**: Using the ROE and cost of equity, the fair value aligns near **₹135 per share**. 9. **Economic Value Added (EVA)**: Assessing the company’s ability to generate returns over its cost of capital, EVA-based valuation gives **₹138 per share**. Summary Table: | **Model** | **Fair Value (₹)** | |----------------------------------------------|---------------------| | Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) | 140 | | Comparable Company Analysis (CCA) | 125–135 | | Precedent Transactions | 135 | | Dividend Discount Model (DDM) | 100 | | Gordon Growth Model (GGM) | 120 | | Financial Ratios | 130 | | PEG Ratio | 140 | | Residual Income Model | 135 | | Economic Value Added (EVA) | 138 | **Average Fair Value**: ₹133 per share **Current Price**: ₹129.56 **Upside Potential**: ~2.66% Conclusion: Bajaj Housing Finance Ltd. is currently trading close to its estimated fair value. While not significantly undervalued, it offers stability and modest growth potential, suitable for long-term holding in portfolios focused on housing finance or related sectors. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:BAJAJHFL
by MrSharelock
Sell GBP/USD Triangle PatternThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.2650 Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2585 2nd Support – 1.2550 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
9
GBPAUD TO 1.9600 TODAY?Trading Plan 1. Baseline Scenario: - Macro-Fundamental Bias: Neutral to Dovish . The RBA is expected to maintain a cautious stance on interest rates, with markets anticipating a quarter-point rate cut by May 2025 and rates ending 2025 at 3.85%. This expectation is based on the need for more progress in reducing core inflation to the 2-3% target range. - Short Term Sentiment Bias: Bearish . The AUD is under pressure due to its role as a proxy for the Chinese yuan, influenced by US tariff risks and ongoing economic uncertainties in China. Additionally, Australia's current account deficit and weak export data contribute to the negative sentiment. 2. Risk Event Baseline : - Market Expectations : - Australian GDP (QoQ) Q3: Consensus at 0.5% (previous: 0.2%). - Australian GDP (YoY) Q3: Consensus at 1.1% (previous: 1.0%). - China Caixin Services PMI (Nov): Consensus at 52.5 (previous: 52.0). 3. Surprise Scenarios: - Negative Surprise : - Australian GDP: If GDP figures come in below expectations, it could exacerbate the bearish sentiment, leading to further AUD selling. - China Caixin Services PMI: If the PMI is weaker than expected, it could further pressure the AUD due to its correlation with the Chinese economy.
Long
by Midas_Macro
XRP/USDT: Local Correction or Springboard to $3?Hi there! 👋 Let’s dive into the XRP/USDT chart, which has been drawing attention with its strong bullish momentum but is now showing the first signs of a possible correction. Let’s break it down! 🧐 🖼 Overall Picture The chart shows a clear uptrend, which has pushed XRP to a local high of $2.70. However, the market looks slightly overheated, and a correction to key support levels seems likely. Globally, XRP remains in a bullish trend, supported by positive sentiment and broader crypto market growth. 📈 Technical Analysis (Using Midas Up/Down) Key Support Levels: 1️⃣ $2.20–2.30 : Local support, a potential zone for entries during a pullback. 2️⃣ $1.80–2.00 : Major support zone, aligned with high volume levels (Volume Profile) and a strong trendline. Resistance: $2.60–2.70 : A local profit-taking zone. Price has already rejected this level twice. $3.00 : The next major target if the current highs are broken. 🛠 What Indicators Say: RSI (4H) : Still in overbought territory, signaling potential for a correction. MACD (4H) : Shows slowing momentum as the histogram shrinks, indicating the market is preparing for a pullback. MACD (1W) : Remains firmly bullish on the weekly timeframe, confirming the strength of the long-term trend. 🗺 Scenarios 1️⃣ Bullish Scenario: Price holds the $2.20–2.30 support zone and returns to test $2.70. A breakout above $2.70 opens the path to $3.00 and potentially $3.50. 2️⃣ Bearish Scenario: Price breaks below $2.20 and tests the $1.80–2.00 support zone. If this level holds, it presents an excellent low-risk entry point for buyers. 🎯 Trading Strategy Short-Term (Swing Trading): Entries: 1️⃣ Around $2.20–2.30 on a local pullback. 2️⃣ Safer entry: $1.80–2.00. Targets: 1️⃣ $2.60–2.70 — for partial profit-taking. 2️⃣ $3.00 — main target. Stop-Loss: Aggressive: Below $2.10. Conservative: Below $1.80. Medium-Term: Buy in the $1.80–2.00 range with the aim to hold until $3.00+. ⚠️ Risks Breaking below $1.80 could accelerate a drop to $1.50. The overall market is volatile, so keep an eye on broader trends and adjust positions accordingly. 🚀 Conclusion XRP continues to delight bulls, but a local correction is likely. The $2.20–2.30 and $1.80–2.00 levels look like great zones for re-entry or scaling in. If the price breaks $2.70, the target of $3.00 becomes realistic. Stay sharp! 💪 💬 What do you think about this scenario? Got any ideas or feedback? Drop your thoughts in the comments, and let’s discuss! 👇 📊 Follow me for more updates and in-depth analysis! 😊
by VctMid
Portfolio and the Sensex Correction AnalysisMy personal Portfolio performance against the Indian markets, all with holding period of 1 year to 3 years. (No single stock in the portfolio taken with tips from others, brokers, TV. All research on my own, using Fundamental / Technical analysis learned over past 20 years of weekends). This includes stocks sold, dividend received, no mutual funds included: The portfolio has had a draw down of 7.5% from peak from 2 months ago to bottom 1 week ago which was a market correction of 11% A lot of the Ideas i have been posting over the years on trading view platform were part of my portfolio, when i analyzed a stock i thought i should share. I stop sharing when i didn't have time or had personal issues. I thought i should share my performance on the platform which has helped me analyse.
BSE:SENSEX
by Mukadam
TradeCityPro | EURCAD Analysis Reaching the Daily Box Target👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel! Let’s dive into the forex market and analyze this popular pair, outlining key triggers for trading this week. 🌍 Fundamental Overview EURCAD reflects the economic interplay between the Eurozone and Canada, influenced by: 🇪🇺 Eurozone Fundamentals (EUR): ECB Policies: The European Central Bank's monetary stance (hawkish or dovish) significantly impacts the Euro’s strength. 🇨🇦 Canadian Dollar Fundamentals (CAD): Oil Prices: CAD is sensitive to oil fluctuations due to Canada’s major oil exports. Rising oil prices typically strengthen the CAD. Geopolitical tensions, trade balances, and global risk sentiment often sway EURCAD. The Euro acts as a reserve currency, while the CAD is risk-sensitive. 🕒 4-Hour Time Frame 1.4888 is the critical resistance, marking the top of the daily box (1.4888–1.5171). After breaking this level, the pair hit its target at 1.4556, a significant support level. The rejection at this resistance highlights its importance. The 1.4731 level, broken yesterday but reclaimed today, offers a potential trigger for entries. 📉 Short Position Trigger clear short trigger exists below 1.4731. Breaking this support could lead to further downside, targeting 1.4556. 📈 Long Position Trigger While momentum-driven long entries are possible if the RSI enters overbought, a more reliable entry comes from consolidating within the current range or forming higher highs and lows. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
1
Portfolio-and-Sensex-after-recent-11-correctionMy personal Portfolio performance against the Indian markets, all with holding period of 1 year to 3 years. (No single stock in the portfolio taken with tips from others, brokers, TV. All research on my own, using Fundamental / Technical analysis learned over past 20 years of weekends). This includes stocks sold, dividend received, no mutual funds included: The portfolio has had a draw down of 7.5% from peak from 2 months ago to bottom 1 week ago, during which Sensex had a correction of 11%. During correction, i sold weak stocks and accumulated strong ones at the 200d EMA support. I used Tradingview for all my technical analysis and thought it right to share my performance on this platform. I am a student of the stock market, i do not recommend, nor take recommendations . Best thing if you don't have the time to do research and the analysis or learn it, as it is a full time job, stick to mutual funds and that too SIP. Or take recommendation from only SEBI registered and experts analysts preferably a authorised portfolio manager. Disclaimer: i have never recommended stocks, all part of my educational purpose and sharing my analysis for feedback purposes only.
BSE:SENSEX
by Mukadam
HelenP. I Bitcoin can reach resistance level and then start fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. The chart shows how the price rebounded from the trend line and tried to grow, but at once fell back and soon made a strong impulse up. BTC rose to the 91300 support level, which coincided with the support zone, and tried to break this level, but failed and some time traded in the support area. Later, the price finally broke this level, made a retest, and continued to move up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone and even entered to this area. Some time later, the price turned around and dropped to the support level, exited from the resistance area, after which turned around and rose back to the 98000 level. BTC some time traded below this level and not long time ago dropped to the trend line. Now, the price is located near this line, so, in my mind, BTCUSDT will grow to the resistance level and then start to decline to the support level, breaking the trend line. For this case, I set my goal at 91300 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
8
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 03, 2024 EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair is stuck at 1.0500 after the bullish recovery fizzled out. The pair was only able to squeeze out one green weekly candle after hitting multi-year lows around 1.0330. Euro\Dollar failed to push back from the 1.0600 mark as the short-term rebound fades. EUR/USD began another trading week by falling back to familiar short-term lows, failing an attempt to retrace to 1.0600 and pulling back to 1.0500, losing nearly eight-tenths of a percent on Monday. U.S. purchasing managers' index (PMI) data beat expectations but still came in below the 50.0 decline level, lending support to the safe-haven U.S. dollar. European economic data remains sparse in the first half of the trading week, although several European Central Bank (ECB) speeches will be on the agenda. Another week of Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) looms over the markets, with US net job growth data due out on Friday, and plenty of preliminary labor and wage data to come during the week. ISM's US manufacturing PMI index rose in November, rising to a five-month high of 48.4 against a previous reading of 46.5, beating the forecast of 47.5. Despite the rise in the business expectations survey, the indicator is still in contraction territory below 50.0, meaning that most business operators still see a decline in overall activity in the coming months. Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 1.0600, trading mainly with Sell orders
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Sell AUD/NZD Bearish ChannelThe AUD/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1005, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0962 2nd Support – 1.0944 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6
USD/JPY - H1 - Bearish Flag The USD/JPY pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 150.80, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 149.20 2nd Support – 148.50 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
19
Euro will start to grow to resistance line of upward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that the price a few moments ago price started to decline inside the downward channel, where it at once broke the 1.0600 level and fell to the support line. Then EUR turned around and rebounded back to the resistance level and even entered to seller zone, where it reached the resistance line of the channel, after which turned around and dropped back to the support line. Soon, the price broke the 1.0465 support level and dropped to 1.0330 points, but soon it made impulse up, making a first gap, after which broke the 1.0465 support level one more time. Also, the price started to grow inside the upward channel, where it declined to the buyer zone, after which bounced and rose to the resistance line. Next, EUR almost reached the resistance level, and then turned around and in a short time declined to support line of the upward channel, making a second gap. So, now I think that the price can start to grow to the resistance level, and when it reaches this level, the price will break it. Then Euro can make a retest and continue to move up to the resistance line of the upward channel. That's why I set two TP: 1st at the 1.0600 level and 2nd at the 1.0700 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
3
HelenP. I Gold can grow a little and then drop to support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some time ago price fell to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and then turned around and started to grow. In a short time price rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone and even entered to this area, and some time traded inside. Later Gold rose to the trend line and then started to decline. Price quickly fell lower 2725 level, breaking it, and continued to decline to the support level. When the price reached the 2615 level, it broke this level and fell until to 2536 points, after which turned around and in a short time rose to the 2615 level and broke it again. Then price continued to move up to the trend line and when it reached this line, it turned around and made an impulse down to support the level back. But a few moments ago it started to move up. So, at the moment, I expect that XAUUSD can rise a little more and then turn around and fall to the support level. That's why I set my goal at 2615 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
3
Buy GBP/AUD Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.9525 Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.9578 2nd Resistance – 1.9606 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
16
Frankly !!NASDAQ:TSLA is in the ascending phase by the cup and handle. Tesla is in a large C&H if it follows these pattern, the price will have a nice rally. ⭐The pattern increases the price by the amount of the measured price movement (AB=CD). Tesla shares in Frankfurt rose by 12% on Thursday, reaching a two-week high, as strong sales forecasts pleased investors. Elon Musk, the company's CEO, predicted on Wednesday that car sales would grow by 20 to 30% next year, reassuring investors that Tesla is improving its core electric vehicle business and alleviating concerns about the production timeline of a taxi robot . However, last night Tesla shares again failed to meet expectations and reported lower earnings. The only slight improvement was in dividend distribution. But due to Elon Musk's repeated promises of improved production, similar to previous periods, its stock will open with a surge today. Each time, he has given the same assurance but failed to deliver on it !! previous Analysis ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard .💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CobraVanguard
6
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 02, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) is declining against its U.S. counterpart at the start of a critical week and is pulling back from part of Friday's strong upward move to the highest level since Oct. 21. US Treasury yields are recovering amid US President-elect Donald Trump's reaction to the threat of 100 percent tariffs on BRICS countries. This, in turn, is helping to revitalize demand for the US dollar (USD) and is proving to be a key factor directing flows away from the lower-yielding yen. In addition, the bullish tone in equity markets further undermines demand for the safe-haven yen. Nevertheless, lingering geopolitical tensions and rising forecasts of another interest rate cut by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in December should limit larger yen losses. Traders are also advised to refrain from aggressive directional bets and wait for important U.S. macroeconomic data this week, starting with the ISM Manufacturing PMI from this Monday. Consumer inflation data from Tokyo, the capital of Japan, released on Friday showed that core inflation is picking up and bolstered the case for another rate hike by the Bank of Japan in December. Also Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Saturday that the next interest rate hike is near as economic data is on track, although he would like to see what kind of momentum the fiscal 2025 Shunto program will create. Trade recommendation: Trading mainly with Buy orders from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GOLD NEXT MOVEIt seems like you're analyzing the price movement of XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) and observing that the market has recently broken through a key level of 2627. Based on your analysis, you're suggesting that the target could be around 2537 if the breakdown continues. Here’s a breakdown of your thought process: Market Breakout at 2627: If the market has broken below this level, it could signal a bearish trend or further downward movement. Target at 2537: This could be a calculated target based on technical analysis, such as support levels, Fibonacci retracements, or other forms of market structure. The market may be aiming for 2537 if the bearish momentum continues. However, it's important to watch key support and resistance levels around these points, and consider any potential reversals or market news that could impact the price movement. Would you like further technical analysis or confirmation on this prediction?
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Zayn_Muaath