Trend Shift Confirmation Setup - Eurusd short setupMarket Context:
Current Trend: The market appears to be in a bullish phase.
Counter-Idea: Following a tap on the Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed on July 18th, a potential shift toward a bearish trend exists.
Setup Breakdown:
SSR Flip Area:
A multi-tested SSR flip zone has been identified around 1.12032, having been tested three times. This indicates a strong potential for selling opportunities.
The latest test of this zone occurred on Monday, August 26th, which resulted in a structural shift in the market. This shift has led to the taking out of a daily low, suggesting a reversal in price direction.
Entry Analysis:
Key areas were initially mapped out on the daily timeframe and then refined on the hourly chart.
Previous liquidity areas that align with the current price movement were identified to enhance the entry strategy.
Additionally, areas exhibiting the strongest volume were mapped to ensure they are in proximity to the entry zone.
The ideal entry point was determined where the breaker block and FVG intersect, creating a confluence of signals.
Risk Management:
The entry was strategically placed at the middle of the breaker block, FVG, and SSR flip areas. This approach ensures an optimum entry point while managing risk effectively.
It is crucial to emphasize that traders should conduct their own analysis before executing any trades.
Important Reminder:
Risk Management:
If you decide to take this trade, be sure not to risk more than 1% of your capital to safeguard your investment. Trading inherently carries risks, so it’s essential to trade wisely and make informed decisions.
Analysischart
Monday XAUUSD Breakout Alert!Attention traders! XAUUSD is on fire, setting new highs with precision! Check this out:
XAUUSD Insight: Locked in a fierce contest between 2683 and 2688. Is a breakout near?
Downside Watch: Stay cautious for potential drops if it dips below this range! Targets: 2676, 2669.
Upside Watch: Look for buying signals if it rises above! Targets: 2693, 2697.
GBPJPY ANALYSISHere is our overall view on GBPJPY .
After GBPJPY has made a pullback down to our PBA 1 (Pullback Area) , we are seeing more upside on the chart. At this moment we are still extremely bullish on GBPJPY. We are anticipating buys if we break above 199.180 . On the other hand, if we break 197.540 we could go back to our PBA 1 and if we break below, we could see even lower lows .
As of now there is no clear indication for buys or sells. We are only entering in the trades if following has happened:
Scenario 1 : breaks above 199.180
Scenario 2 : breaks below 197.540
We will be patiently waiting on breaks of our mentioned levels and we will post an update accordingly.
KEY NOTES
- GBPJPY has made a pullback to our PBA 1.
- Break below 197.540 would confirm sells down to our PBA 1 around (195.800).
- Break above our KL (199.180) would result in higher highs and confirm buys.
- No trade opportunity now, breaks should be waited on.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Gold's Local Minimum: A Magnet for Price Action?So, the trading week is behind us, and it’s time to kick back a bit, assess the price action, and build a trading plan for the upcoming week, keeping the main drivers in mind. Today, let’s focus on Gold.
Looking at the COT reports: there’s a divergence between the positions of the Commercials and the movement of the underlying asset.
What does that mean? It suggests that hedgers don’t see the need to increase their hedge positions (in the case of Gold, that means short positions). The interpretation here is that there’s a high probability of a correction in the underlying asset.
Retail positions show an average aggregated long position around $2707 (according to open-source data). So, for now, the average positions are in the green, which means the bulls are feeling good, but that’s not all... Remember that level $2707; we’ll come back to it later.
The options sentiment is mixed, with some repositioning in portfolios targeting both up and down, but with a slight bias. The specifics of these adjustments tell me that a correction is expected, but overall, the options traders still see the trend moving upward.
Now, let’s take a look at the chart and summarize.
Remember that level $2707 I mentioned earlier? Let’s find it on the chart. Oops... turns out that’s a local minimum. So, here’s the deal: there’s a level with liquidity (open positions + local minimum), in other words, we have a "magnet" that will definitely attract the prices.
Personally, I stick to a trading strategy of not trading against the trend, even if a correction is confirmed by my analysis. But for some, that potential downside might look appealing enough to open a short position.
Good Luck and Have a Nice Weekend!
Will History Repeat? Bitcoin’s October Rally Incoming?#Bitcoin Monthly Chart!
Bitcoin's monthly chart looks similar to last year.
Last October, after a period of sideways movement, Bitcoin made a strong upward move. Could the same thing happen again?
Is a big move coming soon? 👀
#Crypto #bullrun #Altseason
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
More pain before we SoarHere in this chart, I have mapped out the price points to keep an eye on. I like the 53k-55k range and believe it is extremely bullish for us to stay above it but the longer we linger here... the more likely we are to break down. Down would be to 48k support which is not as strong as some may think. I am still keeping an open mind to the possibility of an event where we don't have a normal cycle that rallies into the next year post-cycle but instead a drastic dip back down to reality at 38k - this is also a worst-case scenario and possibly the disbelief phase of the cycle. Or I can always go with my gut and say that we already had a short-lived bull market these past few years.
XAUUSD - Today's Setup - 13/09Good morning, Traders! 🌅
If you traded yesterday's 45-minute sell zone, you would have bagged 80+ pips in profit! 💸💪
We're witnessing history with GOLD making a new all-time high (ATH) over $2,500—absolutely incredible! 🚀✨
Right now, the market needs some time to stabilize and fill the upper move created during yesterday's NY session. This is the only buy zone opportunity I'm seeing for the moment.
The trend is clear—we’ve broken above the previous ATH, so we might see a pullback as the market confirms this new move. 📉🔄
It’s Friday, so let's keep things simple and secure those profits we've made this week! No need for any drama—keep it safe and steady! 🛡️💼
If you're enjoying my trading style and analysis, feel free to follow and boost this post! Your support keeps me going! 💖🚀
Have a fantastic weekend, everyone! 🎉🌟
Dominance is at Resistance!USDT Dominance Alert 🔥
USDT dominance is approaching a crucial resistance zone at 6.03-6.27%. A breakout above this range could push dominance to 7.6%, potentially driving BTC toward the $40K mark! 📉
However, if dominance faces rejection, it could dip to the 4.37% support level, which would be extremely bullish for Bitcoin.
Key levels to watch closely. Stay alert! ⚠️
Crypto #Bitcoin
In-Depth Gold Analysis: Market Trends,Price Targets,Key PatternsHello everyone,
I would like to share my perspective on gold. Personally, I believe that gold will retest the 2405 to 2415 levels, and then it will start to decline to the first target of 2350, followed by the second target of 2320, and finally the third and final target of 2290.
Especially since gold has formed a high(2484) and a lower higher(2431), then broke below the low of the last high it formed(MSS).
It is now returning to test the FVG it left behind at the levels of 2405 to 2415.
Classically, it is trading within a channel inside another price channel, with its peak approximately at the 2407 level. I expect it to rise to this peak and break through it to draw liquidity up to 2415, and then decline to the levels I mentioned earlier. We can also observe the head and shoulders pattern that has formed, remaining stable below it, with a target of 2290.
Key Resistance and Potential Decline in USDT Dominance!Key Resistance and Potential Decline in USDT Dominance
The chart shows a strong resistance level around 5.08%. USDT dominance has tested this level several times but hasn't been able to break through.
📉 Current Price Action:
USDT dominance is currently struggling to break past this resistance, shown by multiple rejection candles.
📈 Potential Movement:
If this resistance level holds, USDT dominance might drop towards the ascending support line. The chart suggests a possible decline, as shown by the black arrow.
🔻 Support Levels:
The ascending trendline below acts as strong support. If USDT dominance falls, it might bounce back from this level.
📊 Indicators:
The supertrend indicator on the chart shows a bearish trend.
🔍 Analysis Summary:
This analysis highlights the current resistance level for USDT dominance and the potential decline towards the support line. Keeping an eye on these levels can help anticipate market movements.
Stay tuned for more insights and detailed analysis!
USDCAD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisUSCAD is moving in a descending channel, We expect the decline to continue after the dynamic resistance is retested.
USDCAD is near the resistance, where price dropped before.
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDCAD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
ETHEREUM road to new ATH!Here we have an analysis for Ethereum in 1H time frame. we can consider two scenarios.
Bullish Scenario:
If ETH breaks above the immediate resistance (PA) around $3,700, it could rally towards higher resistance levels at $3,900, $4,000, and potentially up to $4,400.
This is depicted by the black projected path, suggesting a continued uptrend.
Bearish Scenario:
If ETH fails to break the $3,700 resistance and moves below the immediate support of $3,520, it could see further declines.
The orange projected path indicates a potential drop towards $3,360, $3,280, and a significant support level around $3,125.
This scenario suggests a possible deeper correction before any potential recovery.
NAS100 FORECAST
Overview:
- Current Price: 19019, slightly down by 0.11% (-20.2 points).
- Price Action: The index has been in an uptrend since early May, with a recent consolidation phase.
Key Observations:
1. Trend:
- The overall trend is bullish, with higher highs and higher lows forming since early May.
- There was a significant upward movement around mid-May, followed by a correction and another upward push in early June.
2. Recent Price Movement:
- After reaching a high around 19050, the price has pulled back slightly and is currently consolidating just below this level.
- The consolidation near the highs indicates a potential continuation pattern, suggesting that the market might be gathering strength for another move higher.
3. Bearish and Bullish Levels:
- Resistance: The recent high around 19050 is acting as a resistance level. A breakout above this level could signal further bullish momentum.
- Support: The previous swing low around 18600 can be considered a key support level. If the price breaks below this level, it could indicate a potential trend reversal or a deeper correction.
4. Volume and Volatility:
- The chart does not show volume, but the recent price action suggests that volatility has been relatively low in the consolidation phase. Traders will likely watch for an increase in volume accompanying a breakout or breakdown to confirm the move.
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Scenario:
- If the price breaks above the resistance at 19050 with strong momentum and volume, it could continue the uptrend, targeting new highs.
- In this case, the next psychological levels to watch would be around 19100 and 19200.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- If the price fails to break the resistance and falls below the recent consolidation low around 18900, it could signal the start of a correction.
- In this scenario, the next support levels to watch would be around 18700 and 18600.
3. Sideways Movement:
- The price could continue to consolidate between 18900 and 19050, indicating indecision in the market.
- Traders might wait for a decisive breakout or breakdown from this range to determine the next significant move.
Conclusion:
The US NASDAQ 100 index is currently in a bullish trend with a consolidation phase near recent highs. A breakout above 19050 could continue the uptrend, while a breakdown below 18900 might lead to a correction. Traders should watch for volume and momentum to confirm any potential moves.
||BTCUSD|| SET TO REACH 80K IN THE NEXT MOVE!We are currently sitting in an interesting situation regarding market structure. Two bullish formations have been printed after the price broke out of the current flag formation, only to create one of the shoulders for the H&S formation as depicted in yellow.
Two formations intertwined so perfectly is normally a great sign for the direction the formations dictate, as you are strengthening retail confidence, and bringing 2 groups of strategies together with a bullish sentiment.
in order to be confident prices are to reach our targets, price must break the 71.6K mark and at least test it once. price does of course have to exceed all time highs of 73.9K which will be the last level of resistance before we move back into price discovery mode. I do not think the ATH will post much resistance based on the strength of current market structure.
The MACD is also priming itself for a convergence run once averages break apart as they have been in consolidation for a couple days.
Although my targets are set for both 81K and 87K I do expect price to get stuck once it reaches 80K as it does pose a strong psychological level of resistance.
Thank you for your read, hope you found some new insights and perceptions on the BTC market structure.
$PFENot financial advice.
Per the STRAT system
NYSE:PFE
Scenario #1 in the monthly candle already went bullish reversal. If we break yellow line will go on a PMG (pivot machine gun) target on small yellow lines.
Scenario #2
we reverse and break white line will go to the bottom of the channel.
Like and follow for more ideas
GBPJPY SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisGBPJPY is moving in an ascending channel. The price has an opportunity to test the resistance zones. If the price cannot break through the resistance level, it is expected that there is a chance that the price will fall..
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GBPJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/8/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024
- PR High: 18204.25
- PR Low: 18180.75
- NZ Spread: 52.5
Key economic calendar events
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction
Prev session closed virtually flat
- Holding inside prev session range
- Near Monday's high
- Potential daily pivot off 18300 zone
- Another low vol session open
Evening Stats (As of 12:25 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 285.39
- Volume: 15K
- Open Int: 232K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18675
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone