Tesla week 8/09Tesla seems to have broken out of downward channel and has found support at anchored VWAP.
Two short term trade ideas depending on next coming days price action :
Bullish case : Break out of volume shelf at 722 , go long with 740 target.
Bearish case : More likely IMO given MACD and OBV looking for a retest of the channel. Break below VWAP of 692 go in short with 670 first target, with 640 being the next and retest, expect a bounce here or 630 and lower comes next.
Anchoredvwap
$LCID Important Levels to WatchAfternoon Everyone!
It is just and update on my last two posts on NASDAQ:LCID .
I have intentionally excluded Moving Averages on the chart this time as we all have an idea what and where they are. Currently NASDAQ:LCID is trading below the 50 SMA. Which is a bearish spot in short term.
Having said that, I think the stock has an upward potential. It might be forming a Neutral Wedge in short term. For an upward break though we need to watch the 4 AVWAP lines on the chart marked as red. This is along the thesis that I had previously. We need to deal with these lines to break out of the wedge.
I hope the update helps you all next week. Have a great weekend.
Thanks!
$LCID A follow up on Lucid MotorsCongratulations to all who have been trading NASDAQ:LCID on the first day! This write up is a mid-day follow up on the idea that I posted yesterday on CCIV or LCID.
So far NASDAQ:LCID has successfully broken the Anchored VWAP around $25.15 price level. In the morning session it broke above AVWAP's at $27.32 and $28.80 levels but could not stay above them. It will be crucial for LCID to break above these two levels tomorrow (or even in the Afternoon session) if we are looking into price targets such as $32.72 and above.
It is also a good sign that the stock is trading above the 21 day EMA and AVWAP's from both recent high and low. Technically, all 3 of these value areas should work as support in coming days. The progressive increase in Volume in last couple of days is also an important indicator to consider.
I hope this helps you all with the perspective and making good trading decisions.
Thanks!
CCIV / LCID After Merger: Bullish Hammer Above 50MA and AVWAPThe merger between NYSE:CCIV and LCID has been approved today and the stock will trade under LCID from Monday.
A classic Bullish Hammer candle has formed taking support on the 50 day SMA and the AVWAP (Anchored VWAP) line anchored at the base since the merger was announced. Still the ticker is trading below AVWAP lines from the recent high, all time high and the first ever significant hike in January this year.
In my humble option, LCID needs to deal with these important resistances at $25, $27.40 and 28.90 price levels if we are hoping for a significant run. So far the Bullish Hammer above the above mentioned support levels is a good start. It has also broken out of the downward trend line that it has been following since the recent high.
Let's hope for the best! Also please let me know your opinion on it.
Thanks!
Anchored VWAP reveals future supportTaking the Anchored VWAP from lows on the chart yields some interesting results. For one, a line generated from the 2015 low, and start of the third and longest bull run, coincidentally also served as support for the 2018 and 2020 lows. Going by this idea, and systematically generating AVWAP lines from these two lows in 2018 and 2020, makes a box or zone appear under the current price. Could it serve as a support for future price? Only time will tell! But here's an important caveat: The more recently the line is generated, the higher up it goes. But perhaps used in a systematic fashion, this tool could yield interesting results.
Think like a Hedge-FundImagine that you are a Hedge-Fund manager, you have a lot of money to invest.
You are looking to invest in AAPL for example.
Let's assume for the debate, that you as a fund manager can buy any amount of stock that is traded that day.
This assumption is made because we want the Anchored VWAP to represent our position line.
Anchored VWAP = is a tool that you can use that calculates the average price of volume that was traded from a certain point.
In practice, since you don't have a lot of money, if you could buy 1/100M stocks each day (100M is avg volume, which means you will buy /100M), your position line will be very similar, but proportional to a private account.
You decide to grow your position line when the price is after a big correction and it moved above the EMA.
You go only LONG, you buy every stock that is traded (you are a Huge hedge fund manager, remember?)
Path 1:
You start to accumulate a position. Your position line is growing in size, but it also rises in price since you are buying stocks at a higher price.
In green, you can see your position line which is also your break-even line.
As you can see, the price is always above the green line, which means that you are in GREEN all the time while you are in this buying campaign.
Path 2:
The light blue line is where your position line will get "stuck" and will not rise if you decide to stop and not add more to your position from that point in time.
Path 3:
Path 3 is your position line given that you keep adding to your position even in the sideways action. You just keep buying and buying.
Red line:
The red line is the Anchored VWAP that will be if you want to start selling all your position. You sell every day and keep selling.
This is your average selling line.
Conclusion:
You can see that either if you choose path 2 or 3, you will all the time be in GREEN position.
If you choose to stop buying and start selling (Path 2), your average return on the position will be 32%.
You entered little by little, minimum risk in the position. You have a lot of "AIR" from path 2 to where the price is currently in.
This post is a continuation of the post about average-up strategy. The same line of thinking.
If you like, follow and like this idea so it will be saved in your saved ideas for future reference.
EurUsd shortEurUsd possible short after bouncing the upperchannel .. I know it's a bit confusing ..Just a study ..Hope you can understand the meaning.. Still learning to use the anchored vwap ..I don't know where to go short cause there is still some bullish divergence on the rsi .Also maybe the MA50 is the ultimate resistance ..The (covid) events are important for spikes ..Good luck..
SPY - looking wobbly The SPY daily is beginning to look a bit scary. Massive bearish divergence on the RSI and negative fundamental news with the Archegos default. Will be looking for downside in the short to medium term down to the anchored vwap from November 9th with has proven to me massive support. Breaking that will likely lead to much more pain on the downside.