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Anchoredvwap

Can NVAX rise again?NVAX has had significant down trending over a wide range of time. On the 4H chart it seems to be pivoting from a swing bottom 3-4 days ago. This is accompanied by a cross of the MACD lines under the histogram on that indicator and a flip of volatility on the relative volatility indicator. NVAX has been subject to significant short selling. Price is presently nearly two standard deviations below the mean anchored VWAP set in mid May. Basically it is in deep undervalued oversold territory and now with a rise. The volume profile has a point of control level considerably above the mean VWAP. This is the level with the highest volume of trades showing most trades occurred well above VWAP. This would be traders taking profit and selling or alternatively short sellers opening a position but more likely a combination of them. Price wants to ascend to at least VWAP if not the POC line. My analysis is that any significant rise could begin a squeeze on short positions. Those closing with a buy to cover trade would in effect be synergizing new buyers and add to the bullish momentum, Accordingly, I will open a position early and see if I can get in ahead of a potential short squeeze. While speculative, a narrow stop loss at 6.80 the second band line below the mean VWAP will take a lot of risk off the trade and allow me to be patient comfortably watching the price action.
NASDAQ:NVAXLong
by AwesomeAvani
8
ABT a slow moving low beta medical stockABT is Abbott Labs, a well-established medical technology company has had good earnings twice this year. In the first episode, the price trended down then recovered in a retracement. I have anchored a long-term mean VWAP and its standard deviations as a means to assess areas of dynamic support and resistance. One week ago, the price crossed the mean VWAP in its uptrend. I see this as a good place for a long trade over a month or more. For a stop loss I will place the stop below the mean VWAP also confluent with two horizontal support lines as well as the rising support trendline and the POC line of the volume profile Targets are the first and second standard deviations at about $105 and $110. I will make an optimal entry from a pivot low on a timeframe of 30-90 minutes. As the anticipated ROI is relatively small although with reasonable risk, my approach is a call option for mid-September with a strike in the range of $100-104. I expect this to yield 25% or more monthly until signs of a pullback or reversal. While the general market has heightened volatility and controlled chaos, I see adding some trades of slow-moving low beta stocks to be proper risk management.
NYSE:ABTLong
by AwesomeAvani
BOIL Day Trade Recap and ReviewBOIL the 3x Leveraged ETF of natural gas futures has been highly volatile. Volatility yields high profits if there are good entries and trade management. This past Friday BOIL was doing a reverse split ( 20 shares become one) which I considered to be an opportunity for high profit because a higher number of traders would have eyes on the chart. The 15-minute chart is shown here with an anchored VWAP from 2 days earlier. At market open price reversed a downtrend after the reverse split in the premarket. It got support from the line one standard deviation below the mean VWAP. My first considered entry was the second green HA candle in the reversal with a stop loss at the pivot low of the red candles. However I passed on this entry and instead entered upon price crossing the mean VWAP. The entry was supported by the indicators showing Z score and volatility. The entry was made more precise by analysis on the 5-minute chart. The stop loss was set at the value of the close of the last candle to close below VWAP. After that, trade management was routine. Every time price went up 1% I raised the stop loss by the same amount until getting up 6% Once at that level, I changed to a trailing stop loss of 2% so I could pay attention to other trading chores. At the same time, I set an alert for when the price crossed to above two standard deviations above the mean anchored VWAP. I did this because this is the overvalued overbought area where institutional traders will set sell orders either short selling or closing profitable trades. The resultant reversal would diminish my unrealized profits. In this case, I got the alert and closed the position without the trailing loss. The trade resulted in a profit of 12% without use of leverage or margin other than the leverage imbedded in BOIL inself.
AMEX:BOILLong
by AwesomeAvani
Is SOFI a buy or a sell?SOFi in the past month as shown on the 4H chart has run up more than 80% and now appears to be in a standard 50% Fibonacci retracement. Price has descended from two standard deviations above the mean VWAP to a single deviation after a Doji reversal candle on June 14th. The reversal was also marked by the RSI and the signal lines crossing at a reading of 93 and then descending. The price volume trend indicator went from green for increasing to a flat line and then red for decreasing. Overall, I believe that SOFI has nearly completed a retracement. I will watch for RSI to rise above 20 and the PVT to transition from red to green and the candles themselves for a bullish candle pattern or formation in order to ascertain an optimal long entry. I will do this on a 5 or 15 minute time frame chart to make the best assessment of that entry. My first target is $ 10.20 or just under the pivot high while the second target is $13.00 just under a support area a year ago on the weekly chart. Fundamentally, I believe that the reactivation of student loan repayments will have dramatic effects on SOFI's earnings.
NASDAQ:SOFILong
by AwesomeAvani
12
EBS a biotech company focused on vaccinesEBS is a small biotechnology company whose forte is the clean processing and manufacturing facility that the FDA requires for certain bioprocessing to be certified for delivery of products to end-user patients. It is not a research facility like the one in China that accidentally released COVID and the global impact will be likely felt for another decade. EBS does depend on federal support and income from contract work from vaccine manufacturers. There is reasonable expectation or persistent and consistent revenues ongoing without fail unless the FDA decertified the facilities. On the chart, EBS is in a flat bottom triangle on its base. It is presently rising out of the triangle and towards the mean anchored VWAP It is just above The POC line which functions as dynamic support in the demand zone. I see a long trade with the stop loss below the POC line, the first target the blue line representing one standard deviation above the mean VWAP at about 9.4 while the second target is the redline two standard deviations above the mean VWAP at about 10.05 while the final target contemplates that EBS will challenge the high in May of 10.75.
NYSE:EBS
by AwesomeAvani
GOOG is in an early reversalGOOG with its dominant search engine, YouTube, Maps and other apps besides cloud services is a revenue gisnt. On the daily chart, it has had a respectable 40% YTD . However, I see signs of a reversal. Added to the chart are the anchored VWAP bands beginning from the earnings of November 2022. Price is in the neighborhood of 3 standard deviations from the mean. This is an area where institutional and professional traders like to sell and earn their profits. Several recent candles had wicks beyond that third standard deviation line. The candle stick analysis is that of a " 3 bar play" - in this case, a green candle then a Doji candle suggesting indecision and finally, a red candle documenting the change in direction. The ADX indicator shows the weakening of trend directional strength topping out and then decreasing. The POC line of the long-term volume profile is about the same level as the mean VWAP line. That is to say, there is congruence there and so a very strong buying zone with high volatility Overall I will take a short trade in 20 shares of GOOG with a stop loss at 129 and take a profit of half at 106 ( above the POC line) and the other half at half at 103 ( near VWAP) using a sell- stop order when the price crosses $ 0.25 below market to assure the direction validation. If the trade goes in my direction to the target I expect a R0! of 15- 18% overall. IF you want to know my idea of a good option trade leave a comment. IF you take a short trade on the stock, I wish you the best of luck in your trade. I will adjust stop loss down to the entry price when the stock price goes under 120 to make the trade risk-free and then decrease the stop loss price by 4.50 upon market of 115. When the market goes under 110, I'll change the stop loss to a trailing loss of 2 % and when it goes under 108 change the trailing loss to 1% as alerted by alerts on the price that I have setup to minimize screen time in trade management .
NASDAQ:GOOGShort
by AwesomeAvani
3
GME - Is Gamestop ready for another run ?GME this past week showed a nice reversal as seen on the 30 minute chart. Price hit a swing low on May 2nd and then rose the rest of the week. Is it riding above the linear regression line set to draw context and direction. On the anchored VWAP bands GME has crossed over the first standard deviation VWAP line as well as the mean VWAP. Buying volume has replaced selling volume in the past 3-4 sessions. GME crossed above the POC line of the intermediate term volume profile suggesting buyers are taking control of the market Please comment. What do you think? Is GME getting ready for another launch?
NYSE:GME
by AwesomeAvani
21
AUDNZD bounces down from the Overbought ZoneOn the 15 minute chart- the AUDNZD pair is shown to have encountered overhead horizontal resistance by the Luxalgo indicator. It has been unable to get above the 2nd standard deviaion line of the anchored VWAP and deflected downward. Price is now below the POC line of the multisession volume profile. Overall, bearish bias is on the chart as confirmed by the zero lag MACD with the lines crossing down on the horizontal zero line. I will trade an additional short sell trade on this pair and review the strength of AUD as compared with EUR USD and JPY for other trade possibilities. My target here is the underlying green zone of support and demand.
Short
by AwesomeAvani
UNG- Buy at a BottomAs shown on the 4H chart, UNG has been trending down albeit with a triple top in April and a head and shoulders in early May. It is presently at the bottom of the long term volume profile and two standard deviations below the running mean anchored VWAP. This is deep undervalued territory. On the MACD indicator, the K and D lines intersecting while under the histogram which is positive portrays an early entry signal. I believe that it is inevitable that UNG will have an uptrend in June as it did in April and May. The uptrends had a slope of about 1.5-3% per day while underway. I will take a long trade in UNG and potentially BOIL while leveraging XNGUSD on forex. For UNG, the targets are the POC line of the volume profile, and mean VWAP , the final target is one standard deviation above VWAP while the stop loss is three standard deviations below VWAP ( thin green line).
AMEX:UNGLong
by AwesomeAvani
DE traders buy on favorable earningsDeere Company had favorable earnings in May reporting quarterly earnings of about 3.5 % on their share's market price. DE is a blue-chip industrial sector stock comparable to CAT. It not a fast mover but very suitable for options trading or investment. On the 4H chart DE had been trending down through earnings in a descending parallel channel and relying on a lower VWAP for support. At the middle of this past week, DE made its reversal move into a trend up. This was accompanied by a change in the volume to predominantly buying volumes relatively high compared with the period before the earnings. This surge of volume of sorts is the fuel for upward price action. The zero-lag MACD indicator shows moving average divergence Price is breaking out of the channel moving towards the mean VWAP and POC line of the volume profile. demonstrating bullish momentum. Accordingly, I see DE as well setup for a long trade. ( SL $345 pivot low TP1 $400 ( 1 std above mean VWAP ) TP2 $420 ( 2 std above mean VWAP)
NYSE:DELong
by AwesomeAvani
SOFI in consolidation so can it continue bullishSOFI on the 2H chart is showing a massive bullish move of 30% in ten days. Most of the trading volume was near to the present price and indicated by the POC line on the volume profile. Price has not moved since most of the trades as there is now a consolidation phase more or less in the style of the high tight bull flag pattern. The three pat indicator of RSI, momentum and money flow index is red for momentum which went over 60 and then 80 and otherwise green. Overall, the indicator is a bullish bias. The volume indicator interestingly shows most of the the massive increase in volume is at the consolidation phase. This makes sense to me because in a nearly parabolic up move without a pullback it is hard to find a decent entry. Many traders including those based in large institutions will simply wait until a consolidation phase begins. The price is in the upper VWAP bands showing buyer has successfully pushed against the well-entrenched short sellers. The rise in price could force short sellers to buy to cover and close. In doing so they would actually help entrench bullish momentum. I believe I will join others in a long trade awaiting the next leg up. My stop loss is the mean VWAP +1 std dev while the target will be mean VWAP +3 std dev. Fundamentally, I believe that the financial sector including the fintech subsector are getting hot as technology is overextended.
NASDAQ:SOFILong
by AwesomeAvani
3
CAT appears to be starting to digCAT as a blue-chip industrial is not a fast mover- it is best suited for options traders or investors. On the 4 H chart, CAT rose from the lows on a trend up from last November through this February. It then descended in a retracement about a 50% Fibonacci extent to its present value. It is now at the POC line of the volume profile for support and is near to the mean anchored VWAP line. RSI is above 50. I see this as an excellent long trade setup given that other sectors may be cooling off there may be plenty of money looking for a new home. The volume indicator shows steadily rising volumes. The stop loss is the line of one standard deviation below the the mean VWAP while the target is the even dollar immediately below the ceiling of the supply / resistance zone of the Luxalgo indicator. This seems to be a reasonable position to diversify from techonolgy which seems to be a bit overextended.
NYSE:CATLong
by AwesomeAvani
Is DISH ready to dish out some profits?On the weekly chart, DISH has been in a steady decline for over a year and is now on sale for 20% of the asking price a year ago. It is sitting on the long term support zone and has passed over the POC line of the volume profile putting buyers in control. The red doji candle followed by the green doji candle is the capitulation of the bottom. Volume in 2023 has steadily and persistently grown compared with 2022. The accumulation/distribution curve slope has finally approached zero to suggest a price action reversal . I will take a long trade early and beon the leading edge of the uptrend after noting a 15% breakout to kick off the month of June.
DLong
by AwesomeAvani
Is AMC setting up to go long?On the 15 minute chart, AMC is in deep vundervalued territory between one and two standard deviations below the mean VWAP band. IT is near to and abouve to cross over the central POC line of the volume profile. It is the price area where the highest volumes of trading have occurred. The zero-lag MACD shows a buy signal with a K and D line intersection under a green histogram while the RSI Ichimoku shows relative strength to have risen from the bottom of its upward-sloping regression channel and over the 50 value. Overall I see a potential setup here for a breakout. It might be the best time to get a ride on a rocket is before the launch. FOMO riders typically are disappointed. I will take a long trade with 1/4 my usual risk and Que Sera Sera.
NYSE:AMCLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
SNOW pulls bak on Earnings Discount SaleSNOW on the daily chart pulled back from decent earnings to in a massive bearish candle down into its intermediate-term fair value zone near to the mean anchored VWAP and the POC line of the volume profile. It is entirely possible that many traders sold SNOW at its highs when they got FOMO over NVDA and needed to free capital to get more cash in their accounts after buying NVDA . This could have easily helped SNOW go down despite decent earnings. No matter if SNOW is on sale, I will buy it now setting a stop loss @ $145.00 and watch for a Fibonacci-style retracement halfway back to the Pirvot high from which it fell for a first the target of $ 170, a second of $180 ( one third of the position for each) and the final at $170. In the meanwhile, I have a position on NVDA to play a possible drop.
NYSE:SNOW
by AwesomeAvani
Is ROKU ready to reverse and recover?ROKU here is on a one hour chart. IT has trended down from from its supply/ resistance area of 65-68 and has dipped into its demand/ support zone of 52-53 per the Luxalgo indicator. Price is presently far below the high volume area of the volume profile which shows the the highest volume at 64. At this point, short sellers are buying to cover and take profit. Price is now at the lowermost VWAP bands in the deep undervalued area. Bargain hunters such as myself now have an interest. Fundamentally, the last earnings report was reasonably favorable given the context of the general market and the economy. I see ROKU as a long-trade candidate at this point. It should follow AAPL, TSLA, META GOOG and other mega-caps and begin an uptrend. ROKU has high volume high liquidity and relatively narrow spreads. I will take a call option trade striking $50 with a DTE of 30-45 days. IF it performs well, at 21-30 days I will roll it into another.
NASDAQ:ROKULong
by AwesomeAvani
1
SYM Technology @ WorkSYM has ascended YTD at a rate of 20% monthly and compounded. It has had consistent earnings doing its thing which is providing robots to replace human labor in factories and servicing them. Its products are in constant demand and growing. On the chart, SYM is above the POC of the volume profile. Buyers have pushed the price higher and sellers overall have not kept up with opposing momentum. Price is in the upper bands of both the intermediate and short-term anchored VWAPs putting it in the fair to overvalued range. I see SYM as continuing to rise as companies and industries with warehouses seek to lower labor costs as a means to maintain their margins and survive the recession and its consequences. For me, this is an obvious long setup with high potential.
NASDAQ:SYMLong
by AwesomeAvani
BOIL Megaphone PatternBOIL on the 15-minute chart is currently in an upward facing megaphone pattern. I have drawn in the upper and lower trendlines which are a form of static support and resistance. The megaphone pattern is one of increasing volatility between buyers and sellers and indecision It is the opposite of consolidation in a narrow channel. The anchored VWAP shows BOIL to be between the mean VWAP and the first standard deviation band below it. This is generally considered the lower part of the fair value zone. The volume profile has a high volume area of in the price range of 3 to 3.7 while the POC line is confluent with the VWAP. The "better" RSI oscillator/ indicator shows values above 75 at swing highs and values below 25 at swing lows. My goal in this trade is to buy at the lower ( support ) trendline and sell at the higher ( resistance) trendline. I will be watchful for any fibonnaci retracements of a prior trend. At present, BOIL is at that lower trendline and RSI is showing weakness. I will add to my position now as I did in the whipsaw action some hours ago at the location of the bearish engulfing candles in the premarket and the opening.
AMEX:BOILLong
by AwesomeAvani
NFLX Watching for another BreakoutNFLX gapped up on the morning of 5/18 with high momentum and a volume spike both of which faded by mid-day shown on this 15- minute chart. Since then price has been in a narrow consolidation range centered about the POC line of the multisession volume profile. Price is in the fair value area between the mean anchored VWAP and the +1 STD band. The zero lag MACD is confirmatory for a trend resting in consolidation I will watch for green candles in a row with the second having more range than the first. I will check to see if the relative volume is 2X the running mean. If so, I will enter and try to get the early breakout. Stop loss will be $365 below the POC line. I will exit upon seeing upper wicks and volume falling back down to the mean. My expectation is for a quick 3 to 5 percent trade with a R:R of better than 10:!.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by AwesomeAvani
CVNA - Retracement UnderwayCVNA in the past couple of trading sessions had a 20 % move and then reversed downward. As shown on the 1 hour chart, price is below the demand/ resistance zone and sitting on the POC line of the multisession volume profile where volatility is often at its highest. The anchored VWAP indicator shows the bands are nearly flat. Price is in the fair value zone and falling towards VWAP. RSI is near 60 and dropping. I see this as a decent short setup. The first target is before the VWAP at 11.20 while the second target is at 10, the confluence of the bottom of the high volume area and the first VWAP band below the mean. the stop loss is near to the first VWAP band above the mean at 12.55. Fundamentally, CVNA has a decent earnings report but is subject to an impending recession where consumers may be not inclined to make big purchases such as cars.
NYSE:CVNAShort
by AwesomeAvani
4
BOH Bank of Hawaii Is this a safe short?BOH has been in a downtrend for 2 months since the very beginning of the small bank crisis all precipitated by the fed and its rate hikes confounding the value of bonds with fixed yields. As can be seen on the 4H chart, price was in consolidation in January and February but the dropped out of the supply / resistance zone which is quite thick by the Luxalgo indicator. Price hit another consolidation range at about $ 50 and then moved lower as the banking crisis was temporarily stabilized but then took another downside leg. the moving averages show price underneath both the EMA 100 and EMA 20 while also in the range of three standard deviations below the mean anchored VWAP. the EMA100 and the mean anchored VWAP provide confluent super-trend direction. Support is breaking down; Price is in the deep undervalued area and has not stabilized where it is. As such it bargain hunter's dream but more likely a solid and sate shorting candidate. I always keep in mind if a catalyst such as federal rescue measures comes into play, and price reverses above say $36.00 some buying momentum could come into effect especially if short sellers need to cover their positions to out with a small profit or loss. This play would have far less liquidity than PACW but perhaps more room to the downside from which to realize profit.
NYSE:BOH
by AwesomeAvani
ACB Aurora Cannabis Long SetupOn the 4H chart ACB has dropped out of a head and shoulders pattern list winter with high volume into a downtrend with lower volume now into support / demand as shown by the Luxalgo indicator. The anchored VWAP is also trending downward with support at the minus 1 and minus 2 standard deviations. The volume profile shows the majority of the recent share exchanges have been at the $0.65 per share area. If price rises above that POC line of the profile, ACB will get the attention of new buyers while short sellers will begin to cover thus causing buying pressure and momentum. I will buy a sizeable quantity for perhaps $1-2K shares once price gets over that POC line. Prospective buyers will consider this to be a reversal confirmation. I will be one of them. The first target is the volume void at $0.79 or about 25% with the other target being one standard deviation above VWAP at about $.90. Stop loss will be set at $0.05 below the entry. For profit insurance I will hedge with a single put option contract at a strike of $0.70 with a 90-120 DTE to diminish risk at a minimal cost.
NASDAQ:ACBLong
by AwesomeAvani
PSNY Polestar EV Startup Can it Rise from Bottom?PSNY ( Polestar) has dropped to its lows after an earnings report which shown it still has no cash flow but at least the losses are less than projected by the analysts. On the chart zoomed out, price is in megaphone pattern which demonstrates increasing volatility. Price is at the bottom support trendline and one standard deviation below the anchored VWAP. This suggests 15% upside in the immediate short term. Price action is starting to resemble that of Fisker (FSR) . I see this as a risky swing long trade as price tries to rise to the VWAP and POC line of the volume profile. ( PSNY is in better shape than NKLA and RIDE but not by a whole lot ) I would be very reluctant to make an investment in Polestar but happy to play the volatility for profit.
NASDAQ:PSNYLong
by AwesomeAvani
2