Ann
In crude oil, 70 levels can be tried for a short time.Crude oil may rise in trade wars between the US and China with the prospect of an optimistic treaty.
I think both sides will sign the treaties.
Although it has provided opportunities for very lucrative trade since the beginning of December, prices can be expected to climb to higher levels.
However, short positions may increase after 64.5 - 65
Even in Overbought regions, the strong weekly signal and favorable weather in the trade agreements are the main points of my share of this analysis.Or you can use this analysis to look for opportunities to buy in case of hold on the price support.
Related ideas show a successful acceleration in the weekly outlook, and give us a good basis with optimistic bulletin between USA and China.
You can review.
You can modify your stop levels according to your leverage.
I think this analysis is much less risky with the following parameters:
RISK/REWARD RATIO : 1/3
POSITION SIZE : % 1
STOP-LOSS : 57.7
GOAL : 69.183
BITCOIN : Long Position with Good Risk/Reward Ratio (TF = 1D )Even if I stay in the medium-term short position at Bitcoin (on related ideas ), a long position on the daily chart contains a good risk / reward ratio.
It is observed that there is money entry in the market.
The 20-day average of volume has risen as the price decreases, which may indicate that traders are collecting at low prices.
Of course we can't predict the time, but I think it's a good move to stay in the game.
To further explain the risk of this position, my parameters:
POSITION SIZE : %1
RISK/REWARD RATIO : 1/3
STOP-LOSS : 6893.6
GOAL : 8361.4
S&P500 : Low Risk Short Selling Can be Nice Rewarding In the S&P 500 Index Futures, there may be retreats before throwing above 3200.
In contrast, over 3200 big sales can be seen in the scenario.
There is also a negative divergence between the price and the indicator.
Since this is major trend, it may be late to come back to reality but it can be taken into consideration.
The downfall will of course occur, but it is important to catch up with the appropriate position limit.
Because if we leave here with a nice profit, we can join the long position without leverage.
Therefore, this position can be tried several times, first.
I think that the short position can be tested in a low risk way under the following parameters:
POSITION SIZE : %1
RISK/REWARD RATIO : 1/3
STOP-LOSS : 3162.3
GOAL : 3065
GOLD may test 1400 levels.We are in a good place in terms of risk / reward ratio in precious metal : Gold.
Average forecast value of investment banks' anaylsts in 2019: 1314 .
We've been a long way from these values for a while.
I am of the opinion that the short position under the influence of such a risk / reward ratio should be tested together with the following parameters :
Risk/Reward Ratio : 1/3
Position Size : %1
Stop-Loss : 1483
Goal : 1400
GOLD OVERVIEW (TF = 1D )Here's the life veins of Gold on my presentation.
You can observe support and resistances , parallel channels , volatility stoploss level , and Autonomous LSTM's status.
I'll follow that chart and if i see something strong , i ' ll share my analysis with certain direction as long or short , with following the agenda and global economic news . My opinion is weekly short after prices have risen slightly , i added my 1W idea on related ideas .
Regards !
EURUSD : LONG (TF = 3H)I've just shared my views on energy commodities.
And in conveying my opinion on crude oil, I said that trade agreements are important. (About trade wars between USA and China. )
And this criterion affects this parity very much.Because Euro Zone economy is one of the major economy on whole World.
Any possibility of reducing trade stagnation affects this pair positively.
I think we should wait a little longer in the weekly time frame, but here I shared this idea to keep in touch on main game.
We don't have enough historical data to make up the rest, so we don't know the width of the channel, but it's a beautiful apparent element that we're based on.
Together with these expectations, the parameters of this idea are as follows:
RISK/REWARD RATIO : 1/3
POSITION SIZE : %1
STOPLOSS : 1.10317
GOAL : 1.11102
BCOUSD : LONG (TF = 2H)I also think about the expectations for crude oil for brent oil .
The average analyst forecast for Brent oil in 2019 is $ 70.
My personal opinion is that brent oil should be between $ 60- $ 65 under the current conditions.
This week's news feed could give us the jump we expected and this band's bottom may be upper than 60 dollars.
Since our time frame is small, this trade involves a lot of risks.
To mitigate these risks, I recommend:
RISK/REWARD RATIO : 1/3
POSITION SIZE : %1
STOPLOSS : 62.870
GOAL : 65.897
NOTE : A question came to me: Is the position still the same even if the bigger timeframes ?
My opinion is that the position size in each time period smaller than the weekly time period should be 1%.
XAUUSD : LONG (TF = 3H )I thought it appropriate to share my last thought about gold as a new idea.
RISK / REWARD RATIO = 1/2.39
POSITION SIZE : %1
STOPLOSS : 1465.51
GOAL : 1493.927
In our previous analysis, the tightness of our stoploss scissors caused us trouble.
I share my current idea with a new one.
You can see my previous analysis in related ideas.
S&P500 : LONG (TF = 2H )Unfortunately, it is a trade opportunity that we see a little late.
It could be safer if we saw it after the closing.
I still want to be in the game.
I've added a short-term idea below as an extension.
But with the following parameters:
RISK/REWARD RATIO : 1/3
POSITION SIZE : %1
STOPLOSS : 3105.3
GOAL : 3155.5 - 3155.8
GOLD : LONG (TF = 1H)I think that gold prices may increase slightly.
This trade is my view only in the 1 hour period.
I usually don't believe in processing less than a week's time bars, but this position can be called to stay a bit in the game.
There are risks.
So the following parameters can make this trade more risk-free:
RISK / REWARD RATIO : 1/3
POSITION SIZE : % 1
STOPLOSS : 1463.618
GOAL : 1481.273
XRPUSD : LONG (TF = 2H )Ripple is trying to wake up from sleep.
Will it be able to enter a new parallel channel?
This trade is very risky.I share it quickly because the volatility is very high even when i'm writing them.
RISK/REWARD RATIO : 1/3
POSITION SIZE : %1 ( %1 OF CAPITAL FOR CRYPTOCURRENCY TRADING )
STOPLOSS : 0.26193
GOAL : 0.28110
WTI : LONG (TF = 1H)Will rock oil trade be banned or not?
Will the trade agreements between America and China go positively?
Personally, I think the equilibrium range of crude oil prices is $ 55-60.
Although I consider these time periods very risky, I think that the positive scenarios should be evaluated as follows to stay in the game:
(If there is a positive news flow, the stop loss may be slightly stretched.I hope we don't have to :) )
RISK/REWARD RATIO = 1/3
POSITION SIZE = %1
STOPLOSS : 57.379
GOAL : 59.334
BTCUSD : LONG (TF = 1H )Hello, this is a new analysis.
To tell you the truth, I don't believe in timeframe < 1D
I've shared an analysis I like below.
Mine is a little more medium term.
But to be in the game is very important, this analysis contains parameters as follows:
Position size:% 1
Stoploss: 8479
Goal: 8720 (Supply and Demand Resistance )
Development Log for Neural Network PrototypeThe idea, at the core:
Port a limited RNN/LSTM Neural Network model from Python with a reduced training set and dimension size for layers to demonstrate that a fully functional (even if limited) Neural Net can work in Pine.
Limited model + having the python code on hand = Able to test and verify components in Pine at every step, in theory
The model/script I'm attempting to implement a limited subset of is detailed here:
iamtrask.github.io
A dataset in binary is required, but binary does not exist in pinescript, thus:
To do this, decimal to binary and binary to decimal functions are required. This didn't exist previously - I've written a script to accomplish just that:
Originally, this was going to have a input_dim of 2, hidden_dim of 16, but I've changed the hidden_dim to 8 (binary dimensions from 8 to 5) to reduce the dataset range to max 32 while I figure out to implement working pseudo-arrays and state updates. I've looked at RicardoSantos's scripts for Markov and Pseudoarrays, and will be using them as a reference going forward.
I've verified the output of the Sigmoid function and 1st derivative of the Sigmoid function in Python for values of (-1,0,0.5,1 ). I've yet to publish the Sigmoid script pending approval from TV moderators about including python code that is commented out at the bottom to verify the results of that script.
What I'm trying to do here with training dataset generation was unsuccessful, for multiple reasons:
Lack of formal array constructs in pine
Psuedorandom Number generator limitations
Manual state weighting and updating as per RicardoSantos's Function Markov Process is required:
What's being plotted for are the first three layers, but without the full range of the input_dimensions, hidden_dimensions:
syn_0 (blue)
syn_1 (green)
syn_h (red)
While there's more than a few technical hurdles to overcome (i.e. potential pine issues from max variables to runtime/compile limits, no real arrays, functions to do state updates RichardoSantos Markov Function style, etc), I'm fairly confident a limited working model should be possible to create in Pine.
$ANN Ansell ASX trade set-up long Heres my trade setup today $ANN Ansell on the ASX 442 units at 22.56 based on lows trending up and oversold. Interested in this as a mid to long term investment and will play S/R levels along the way. Not financial advice as trading is risky and if Trump has a bad hair day, it can all go pear shaped.
ANSELL - CLEAN UP EXERCISE - 5-20% POTENTIALAnsell Cleaning:
Trend indicates another push up to test ATH.
Currently completing a 5th Wave.
Wave 2 & 4 respected the .65 Fib levels.
We see a long term trend being respected.
A price gap from 5 weeks ago is yet to filled, expect the price to re-tested the $27.80 region.
Two Setups available.
GBP/USD Short (MACD, ADX signal)The GBP/USD has been fairly bullish recently. With the USD weak last week it gave the neutral GBP some power (as shown) With the USD going back neutral the pair should drop. This is shown both by the ANN strategy and MACD. The ADX is also low indicating a big movement. The resisitance line would be a good time to enter the trade and T1 shows some more resistance. Take out 1/3 of your contracts then so you can afford to lose some if it bounces back up. If T1 is broken there is not much resistance and it should drop quite a bit. Also look for the EMA's to cross. If they do it is more signal to short
ANN Strategy Indicator 3.2 (Rebuilt By Kevin Manrrique)So I rebuilt the ANN Strategy with my own codes I added. It took me a long time to get this far, the first 2 weeks it wasn't repainting but then it started repainting slowly. Not hard like the original script. Please feel free to edit the script and post it at the bottom. Thank you everyone! I hope this script I rebuilt can help people! That's why were all here for, a community!
This script is meant to be use in hourly time frames!
If possible use with USD pairs.
Works great with news also!
//@version=2
study("ANN Strategy Indicator 3.2 (Rebuilt By Kevin Manrrique)", overlay=false, precision=777)
threshold = input(title="Threshold", type=float, defval=0.001, step=0.001)
largeTimeframe = input(title="Large timeframe", type=resolution, defval='D')
smallTimeframe = input(title="Small timeframe", type=resolution, defval='60')
PineActivationFunctionLinear(v) => v
PineActivationFunctionTanh(v) =>
(exp(v) - exp(-v))/(exp(v) + exp(-v))
ANN(input) =>
l0_0 = PineActivationFunctionLinear(input)
l0_1 = PineActivationFunctionLinear(input)
l0_2 = PineActivationFunctionLinear(input)
l0_3 = PineActivationFunctionLinear(input)
l0_4 = PineActivationFunctionLinear(input)
l0_5 = PineActivationFunctionLinear(input)
l0_6 = PineActivationFunctionLinear(input)
l0_7 = PineActivationFunctionLinear(input)
l0_8 = PineActivationFunctionLinear(input)
l0_9 = PineActivationFunctionLinear(input)
l0_10 = PineActivationFunctionLinear(input)
l0_11 = PineActivationFunctionLinear(input)
l0_12 = PineActivationFunctionLinear(input)
l0_13 = PineActivationFunctionLinear(input)
l0_14 = PineActivationFunctionLinear(input)
l1_0 = PineActivationFunctionTanh(l0_0*5.040340774 + l0_1*-1.3025994088 + l0_2*19.4225543981 + l0_3*1.1796960423 + l0_4*2.4299395823 + l0_5*3.159003445 + l0_6*4.6844527551 + l0_7*-6.1079267196 + l0_8*-2.4952869198 + l0_9*-4.0966081154 + l0_10*-2.2432843111 + l0_11*-0.6105764807 + l0_12*-0.0775684605 + l0_13*-0.7984753138 + l0_14*3.4495907342)
l1_1 = PineActivationFunctionTanh(l0_0*5.9559031982 + l0_1*-3.1781960056 + l0_2*-1.6337491061 + l0_3*-4.3623166512 + l0_4*0.9061990402 + l0_5*-0.731285093 + l0_6*-6.2500232251 + l0_7*0.1356087758 + l0_8*-0.8570572885 + l0_9*-4.0161353298 + l0_10*1.5095552083 + l0_11*1.324789197 + l0_12*-0.1011973878 + l0_13*-2.3642090162 + l0_14*-0.7160862442)
l1_2 = PineActivationFunctionTanh(l0_0*4.4350881378 + l0_1*-2.8956461034 + l0_2*1.4199762607 + l0_3*-0.6436844261 + l0_4*1.1124274281 + l0_5*-4.0976954985 + l0_6*2.9317456342 + l0_7*0.0798318393 + l0_8*-5.5718144311 + l0_9*-0.6623352208 +l0_10*3.2405203222 + l0_11*-10.6253384513 + l0_12*4.7132919253 + l0_13*-5.7378151597 + l0_14*0.3164836695)
l1_3 = PineActivationFunctionTanh(l0_0*-6.1194605467 + l0_1*7.7935605604 + l0_2*-0.7587522153 + l0_3*9.8382495905 + l0_4*0.3274314734 + l0_5*1.8424796541 + l0_6*-1.2256355427 + l0_7*-1.5968600758 + l0_8*1.9937700922 + l0_9*5.0417809111 + l0_10*-1.9369944654 + l0_11*6.1013201778 + l0_12*1.5832910747 + l0_13*-2.148403244 + l0_14*1.5449437366)
l1_4 = PineActivationFunctionTanh(l0_0*3.5700040028 + l0_1*-4.4755892733 + l0_2*0.1526702072 + l0_3*-0.3553664401 + l0_4*-2.3777962662 + l0_5*-1.8098849587 + l0_6*-3.5198449134 + l0_7*-0.4369370497 + l0_8*2.3350169623 + l0_9*1.9328960346 + l0_10*1.1824141812 + l0_11*3.0565148049 + l0_12*-9.3253401534 + l0_13*1.6778555498 + l0_14*-3.045794332)
l1_5 = PineActivationFunctionTanh(l0_0*3.6784907623 + l0_1*1.1623683715 + l0_2*7.1366362145 + l0_3*-5.6756546585 + l0_4*12.7019884334 + l0_5*-1.2347823331 + l0_6*2.3656619827 + l0_7*-8.7191778213 + l0_8*-13.8089238753 + l0_9*5.4335943836 + l0_10*-8.1441181338 + l0_11*-10.5688113287 + l0_12*6.3964140758 + l0_13*-8.9714236223 + l0_14*-34.0255456929)
l1_6 = PineActivationFunctionTanh(l0_0*-0.4344517548 + l0_1*-3.8262167437 + l0_2*-0.2051098003 + l0_3*0.6844201221 + l0_4*1.1615893422 + l0_5*-0.404465314 + l0_6*-0.1465747632 + l0_7*-0.006282458 + l0_8*0.1585655487
ANN Day Trade Perfect Gap N Go (Brad Reed Mar13,2015)ANN expected to open at 40.00 for a Perfect Gap N Go. Watch out for low volume. To learn to trade this strategy for free, go to www.RealLifeTrading.com