APH
Alphamin Resources C&H and waiting for a brim break to R18.78 Cup and Handle is forming with Alphamin Resources.
We need the price to break above the Brim level before we action this.
21> 7 Price >200 - Mixed
RSI>50 - Bull divergence
Target R18.78
CONCERNS:
Price action shows an unhealthy chart - Volatile candles.
Sideways consolidation for extended periods of time
Low liquidity (Volume).
Not what I use to trade but I guess for investment purposes it is a good stock to have in a portfolio.
APH 1M Coffee BreakTEST
No count in between macro target. Trade at your own risk. Long position for years ahead is looking like good growth stock.
Amphenol Corp. engages in the design, manufacture, and marketing of electrical, electronic and fiber optic connectors interconnect systems, antennas, sensors and sensor-based products, and coaxial and high-speed specialty cable. It operates through the Interconnect Products and Assemblies; and Cables Products and Solutions segments. The Interconnect Products and Assemblies segment comprises connector and connector systems, value-add products, and other products such as antennas and sensors, used in a applications in a diverse set of end markets. The Cable Products and Solutions segment includes value-add products and components for use in the broadband communications and information technology markets as well as certain applications in other markets. The company was founded by Schmitt J. Arthur in 1932 and is headquartered in Wallingford, CT.
CGC Weekly AnalysisCGC has formed a failed bull breakout and small final flag reversal (failed breakout of tight trading range). It also tested the middle of the tight trading range from the previous all time high which was a target. However this is the first reversal attempt since the January rally and the selling pressure wasnt that strong. The bears need strong follow through in order to convince the market the reversal is in. If the market ignores the sell setup and instead prices continue to rally, the bulls will likely get a new all time high, or a test of the previous high.
APH approaching resistance, potential drop! APH is approaching our first resistance at 92.97 (Horizontal overlap resistance, 100% fibonacci extension, 76.4% fibonacci retracement) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 86.29 (38.2% fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching resistance where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
APH approaching resistance, potential drop!APH is approaching our first resistance at 92.97 (horizontal overlap resistance, 100% Fiboancci extension, 76.4% fiboancci retracement) where a strong drop might occur to our first support at 86.29 (38.2% fibonacci retracement ).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching resistance where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
APH Approaching Resistance, Potential Drop! APH is approaching our first resistance at 82.35 (horizontal pullback resistance, 38.2% fibonacci retracement, 61.8% fibonacci extension) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 75.80 (horizontal swing low support, 100% fiboancci extension).
RSI (55) is also approaching resistance where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
TGOD - BREAK UP or DOWNDear Traders,
Let's have a look at TGOD.
Price dropped like a dead mouse before, but TGOD did create a nice bounce which I predicted in my previous TGOD TA.
Now the question is will it create another run, or will it drop to a lower low.
Looking at the chart and the indicators there is more reason for it to drop then to break out if i'm being really honest here. RSI shows bears are in control, so does the MACD Histogram. Price action should break above 3.71C$ in order to show that the bulls have taken over power. However, if the bulls can't maintain to support at 2.98C$, then we will see another drop to around 2.84C$ and if that doesn't hold, 2.45C$.
Let's see how this will playout on Monday. Really good news would enable the bulls to breakout, but without news, and with the sector falling, TGOD might see another drop sooner than expected.
Keep your eyes on the charts!
If you have any questions or any thoughts, feel free send me a PM or to comment on this TA!
If you'd like to join my Discord Channel to talk about stocks, share knowledge and have a laugh then please send me a PM so that I can link you to it!
Take care!
APHA remains the weakest name in the sectorAPHA confirmed the daily bear flag, while the rest of the sector is still holding key support - but the bulls don't have my confidence it will hold.
APHA key levels first thing tomorrow is the low of today, and the high of the recent daily bounce.
S: 11.86
R: 13.75
HEXO - Looking BearishDear Traders,
For those who want to make a nice gain with a short position, you found your target!
Hexo announced in the papers that there will be delays due to a lack of inventory.
In other words = they have a shortage of product = Bearish News!
Friday shows a red candle going through the 100 Moving Average (6.24C$) meaning support didn't hold, and the next support will be located around 5.69C$, 5.22C$ (200 ma) and 5.08C$.
Let's see how this will play out on Monday. But Bears took control.
Keep your eyes on the charts!
If you have any questions or any thoughts, feel free send me a PM or to comment on this TA!
If you'd like to join my Discord Channel to talk about stocks, share knowledge and have a laugh then please send me a PM so that I can link you to it!
Take care!
ORGANIGRAM - Back to the buy zone?Dear Traders,
As we can see on the chart, Organigram's Bears were in control.
Bulls did form some kind of Buy Area, located around 5.18C$, the 200 moving average indicator.
A comeback into the buy zone wouldn't shock me, just to shake out those last bear hands, and to head up higher? Or will the bulls fail to take control and the price will drop under 5C$?
Looking at the chart right now it looks like the bears are still in control.
Keep your eyes on the charts!
If you have any questions or any thoughts, feel free send me a PM or to comment on this TA!
If you'd like to join my Discord Channel to talk about stocks, share knowledge and have a laugh then please send me a PM so that I can link you to it!
Take care!
APH hourly equilibrium on watchThe oversold bounce is starting to feel toppy with a bearish reversal candle on the daily and declining volume. The high of the day rejected from the 20MA and we're in an hourly equilibrium now to determine if we're going to see bounce continuation or set a higher low on the daily chart.
I would also look towards Canopy for clues on how the sector leader breaks.
Key levels for hourly eq:
S: 14.65
R: 15.54
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For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market and the analysis I do on SPY. The correlation of every individual name and sector to the market is very real and affects every stock you own.
ACB - Time for a reversal ?Dear Traders,
ACB took a huge hit, but i'm happy that thanks to my previous TA I expected a big drop. I saw a Bearish Divergence and I stayed far away from ACB, WEED, TGOD and APH.
But i decided to have a look because a reversal in imminent at this price.
On the 1hr chart I see a Kangaroo Tail which is a bullish pattern, and I also see that my histogram is showing a Divergence, a bullish one.
I think we might see a little uptrend towards 8.90C$, which is our 21 ema (Resistance), if that breaks, we should see a run towards 10.25C$ which is the 55 ema.
Let's keep an eye on this one tomorrow.
APH - NASDAQ Listing planned on 2 November !Dear Traders,
News just got out that APH will be listed on NASDAQ the 2 November, we could expect a nice reversal today due to that.
Looking on the 1hour chart I see a bullish divergence which could give us the buy confirmation I hoped to get.
Volume should go up today and tomorrow, let's keep our eyes on APH.
Aphria sees the largest bounceQuick updates tonight.
APH saw a 12% bounce from the low of the day today and after the first 30 minutes, gave a whole lot of nothing. Aphria may have enjoyed the largest bounce today, it remains positioned weaker than Canopy heading into tomorrow. We spent most of the day inside an hourly equilibrium that has yet to set a higher low compared to the low of consolidation, where as Canopy has clearly set that higher support level.
The end of the day saw SPY with big bull move finishing up near the high of the day on the strength of both the tech sector and financial sector, while Canadian MJ was unable to derive any momentum from the this move. That does give some reason for concern with bulls being so close to resistance but unable to break it.
Tomorrow first thing the bulls want to break our two hourly resistances in order to see bounce continuation. Failure to do so a second time would be a red flag.
Key levels:
Support: 13.00
Resistance: 13.85, 13.95
If the bulls find the momentum to break this range and see continuation on the hourly bounce, we would look for a 4hr lower high compared to 16.77.
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For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market and the analysis I do on SPY. The correlation of every individual name and sector to the market is very real and the market has been showing significant weakness over the past four weeks. This correlation affects every stock you own.
Aphria nears daily oversoldAPH followed Canopy Growth's lead breaking its 4hr equilibrium bearish, and shortly later confirmed the daily bear flag, dumping the rest of the day closing down over 17% in one of the most stand-out bearish days this sector has seen. There is no doubt in my mind this weakness is in large part to the overall stock market dumping for the past four weeks, so be sure to keep an eye on the correlation to SPY. We've now given back almost 70% of the run up from August 14th to legalization over the past 10 trading days.
Where we stand, Aphria has a lack of support here. Regular readers know we long ago lost the daily and weekly uptrends. The daily RSI is approaching oversold, and is the lowest level it's been since August 14th. I'm now anticipating an oversold bounce.
Why do I anticipate a bounce in the very near future?
RSI levels on multiple timeframes are currently at or near historical bounce levels:
Daily - 34
4hr - 28
1hr - 23
If you did not stop out on one of the bear breaks over the past two weeks, now isn't the time you want to sell your position. Instead, you probably want to wait for a bounce to get underway, as we are likely to see at least a couple days of follow-through. Of course, if your mindset is to hold your position for years, then stop checking the price every day or you will drive yourself crazy. In my opinion, the bounce will not start until the CGC bounce starts....which will not start until the S&P bounce starts.
If you are one of the people who have asked me over the past couple months about a good time to buy Aphria, these conditions are ideal for starting to SLOWLY scale into a long term entry you plan to hold for years. Just be sure not to invest all your money at once. Keep in mind we have no more upcoming catalysts for the sector, and the correlation to the S&P500 could mean several months of continued downside for APH.
I'm looking at the 4hr chart right now for our levels. We remain in a downtrend with clear lower highs and lower lows
Key levels to watch for trend change/continuation
Support: low of day 12.60, 11.98, 11.68
Resistance: 16.77, 17.33
After 17.33 there is a lack of resistance to 20.69 though I don't anticipate we bounce that hard.
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For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market and the analysis I do on SPY. The correlation of every individual name and sector to the market is very real and the market has been showing significant weakness over the past four weeks. This correlation affects every stock you own.
APH in a 4hr wide equilibrium APH is in a similar boat to Canopy right now, stuck inside a 4hr equilibrium. The range here is 18%, over twice as large as the range Canopy finds itself inside. We are seeing the MACD start to curl upwards for the first time in quite a while, and we are patiently waiting for our higher low to be set relative to 14.11.
APH has also bounced off of the golden pocket retrace from the low of its August consolidation to its recent highs. In my opinion, this chart is just waiting (along with the rest of the sector) for Canopy to make a break of it's right range.
Key levels for Monday
Support: 16.77
Resistance: 14.11
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For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market. The correlation of every individual name and sector to the market is very real and the market is showing significant weakness over the past three weeks.
APH well positioned for a sector-wide bull breakAPH is also in a 4hr equilibrium, the break of which will give us clues to either further sell off or to the low of the dump being in.
I'm looking at support of 14.11 and resistance of 17.33. Our lower high may be set at 16.77 but I'm not yet convinced by this.
A break of 14.11 and we're looking down to 13.76. A break of resistance and we have a lack of resistance on the daily up until 20.69. Watch the Middle Bollinger Band on the daily chart as a likely profit target, as price tends to reject the first test of this level. That's currently at 17.69. Update that level each day.
The daily setup here is a bear flag, I need to see a bull break of the equilibrium to negate the bear flag. The bull volume does stand out on Aphria, however the direction CGC breaks will likely dictate how the rest of the sector breaks.
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For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market. The correlation of every individual name and sector to SPY is very real and the market is showing significant weakness over the past three weeks with warning signs of further potential weakness potential into next week.
By the way, I do analysis on the entire sector across all the mj charts I publish. If you're not looking at all the names I talk about, you're not getting the full sector-wide analysis. Follow me to get updates when I publish ideas and pay attention to the mj names you typically don't look at too, so you can stay in the know and get the full picture.