Apple
SP500 - Support and Resistance ZonesI have mentioned these two circled levels earlier and we have now reached the second target (Purple Circle). This is a perfect bounce area for SP500 and may be the bottom of this bear trend we have been in the last months.
We might go down and test the support below but I dont think so. In my chart I posted earlier I mentioned that I thought we would consolidate around the yellow mark before testing ATH. That idea was false and we broke down to this purple area instead. The market is at extreme fear levels and the media very negative.
I believe we will end the year quite positive and start the new uptrend towards ATH around these levels.
Take care.
Long-Term Investing in AppleWarren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
The good news is that Apple's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its EBIT growth rate. Zooming out, Apple seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start.
Price Momentum
AAPL is trading in the middle of its 52-week range and below its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors are still evaluating the share price, but the stock still appears to have some downward momentum. This is a negative sign for the stock's future value.
APPLE Hit the MA50 (1w). Will it hold?Apple hit the MA50 (1w), the strongest long term Support, for the first time in more than 7 months.
The pattern is a Falling Wedge and last time such formation tested the MA50 (1w) from above was on March 14th 2022, and the level held and rose over the 0.786 Fibonacci.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 191.00 (Fibonacci 0.786 like the 2022 fractal).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1w) is also on the same level as March 2022. An additional bullish signal.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
SPX ES - Welcome To The Fourth Quarter RodeoWhether you want to look at these markets like an American football game or the National Finals Rodeo/Calgary Stampede bull riding, this final quarter of the year is set up to be quite the fireworks show.
The new JP Morgan fund options collar is illustrated on the chart, but let's put it into text:
JPM is the seller of 41,000 calls with a strike of 4,515
JPM is the buyer of 41,000 puts with a strike of 4,055
JPM is the seller of 41,000 puts with a strike of 3,420
Expiry is December 29, 2023.
So if you believe that JP Morgan, the pinnacle systemically important bank in the United States, is the market maker, the crude logic is that the bank is incentivized to:
1. Keep price away from 4,515
2. Drive price towards/under 4,055
3. Keep price away from 3,420
Now, this is cool, but last quarter was an identical setup at similar strikes, and JP Morgan paid the calls it sold at 4,600~ and its own puts at 4,200 expired worthless.
A collar from a big fund is just a position and you should always remember the banks have the money to hedge, and hedge, and overhedge.
And their overhedges, when combining with the psychological effect on both retail and fund-level market participants, can produce greater profits than the simple cashing in of their ostensible public positions.
The problem for SPX and equities bulls right now is that if a new all time high was to be set, we should have bounced to start October. The meaning of this is that filling in the range of the giant June uppy candle is actually bearish.
Because it's fundamentally bearish, we have no reason to believe that downside pivots are not the target. Ergo, we have no reason to justify long trades as more than a single-or-intraday scalp until a significant low is taken.
And that low should involve the May 4,062.25 target.
A raid below that, a consolidation above 4,000, a manipulation raid slightly under 4,000 to eat stops, and then a rip back to take out "resistance" at the 4,634 double top before the end of the year AND possible run the all time high, is absolutely the trade thesis.
A raid on 4,062 happens to put JPM's long puts directly in the money and they'll be free to exit with profit.
Then, the bank can pay or mitigate the buyers of its 4,515 calls before expiry, all while making bears hate their life.
If this all plays out as anticipated, 2024 will be significantly dark clouds. Always keep in mind that 2023 opened in a straight line uppy, and year candles VERY rarely repeat their patterns twice.
What is "the bear thesis" really predicated on? It's not the Federal Reserve or such and such recession.
It's the situation in Mainland China. There's a total worldwide media blackout on what's going on inside China.
But how much longer can the Chinese Communist Party and the boundless and eternal sins of organ harvesting Falun Dafa's 100 million students at the hands of Jiang Zemin since July 20, 1999 continue forward?
The Wuhan Pneumonia pandemic has claimed millions and millions of lives inside the Mainland, and that's before the catastrophes from the Party's corrupt officials itself, and all the flooding and economic damage.
In short, the CCP will soon fall before our very eyes, and everything will change.
2024 Presidential Election theatre in the United States won't really matter.
If you want to have a bright future and happiness, you need to turn off the television, turn off the radio, turn off YouTube, get off TikTok, and go outside and be in your community in real life.
You need to cut the brainwashing and start valuing virtue again, start living like humans again, start thinking like a human again.
Heaven is watching to see who can stand against the Red Demon of the Chinese Communist Party's international "United Front" parasite campaigns.
Whoever can't is considered the worst kind of loser.
But for now, fade the so-called "bottom" at 4,250 and strongly consider buying 3,985.
Just make sure you dump it, dump it again, and cash out at 4,700 or 4,800.
The happy days humans dream of not only never existed, but are forever gone. Everything is about to become stringently serious.
Apple: Trend-setting battle 🔥📈📉The bears have once again pushed Apple down to the lower border of the green target zone between $170.89 and $185. We continue to believe that the stock is in an overriding uptrend, but for that to be the case, it now needs to climb higher. In this scenario, the white wave (III) is expected to end well above the resistance at $198.23. However, it is important to note that our alternative now has a relatively high probability of 41%. If the price were to fall below $167.62, the first task would be the grey wave (IV).
APPLE Last BUY opportunity before a new 18 month expansion.Last time we looked into Apple (AAPL), it was still trading within the 2023 Channel Up (see chart below) and gave us an excellent technical pull-back buy opportunity:
This time the stock is after a 3-month pull-back that is testing the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since the week of March 13. On the wider picture of Apple in the last 10 years (1W time-frame), such pull-backs have been nothing more that consolidation phases before the next Expansion (usually 18 month - green arrows) that leads to the eventual peak and a new yearly correction (red arrows).
Those consolidation phases find Support on the 1W MA50 (even the COVID crash broke it just marginally), unlike the yearly corrections which find on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). What's astounding is the frequency of the consolidation pull-backs, which can be very effectively displayed with the use of the Sine Waves. As you can see on our chart, in the last 10 years, all pull-backs to the 1W MA50 after a 1W MA200 rebound, are located at the bottom of the Waves.
This indicates that most likely the current one is over and investors are expected to 'ride' the new 18-month Expansion wave to the new All Time High.
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APPLE rebounding on the MA200 (1d). Eyes on 190.Apple is trading inside a Falling Wedge pattern, which yesterday met its MA200 (1d) and rebounded.
This put a stop to the bearish leg's downtrend and as long as the MA200 holds, the wave count can break over the top of the Wedge.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 190.00 (September 5th High, Fibonacci 0.786).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is on a Rising Support throughout the course of the Falling Wedge. This is a strong Bullish Divergence.
2. The MA200 (1d) has been intact since March 2nd.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
AAPL Announces New Event for Upcoming Mac Computers Apple Inc. (AAPL) has recently announced an upcoming event that promises to unveil a groundbreaking range of Mac computers, and I couldn't wait to share this thrilling development with you.
As an avid trader, you're well aware of the immense impact Apple has had on the tech industry, consistently pushing the boundaries of innovation. With this new event on the horizon, AAPL is poised to once again redefine the landscape of personal computing, and the potential for extraordinary growth is undeniable.
Apple's unwavering commitment to excellence, coupled with its ability to capture the imagination of consumers worldwide, has consistently propelled its stock to new heights. This event is expected to be no different, and I firmly believe that now is the perfect time to consider a long position on AAPL.
By investing in AAPL, you'll be positioning yourself at the forefront of this exciting wave of innovation. Apple's Mac lineup has long been revered for its sleek design, powerful performance, and seamless integration with the broader Apple ecosystem. The upcoming event promises to introduce cutting-edge advancements that will undoubtedly captivate consumers and drive significant demand for these new Mac computers.
As an astute trader, you understand the importance of staying ahead of the curve. By long AAPL, you'll not only be capitalizing on the imminent surge in demand for these revolutionary Mac computers but also positioning yourself to benefit from Apple's robust ecosystem, which includes an array of complementary products and services.
So, let's seize this opportunity together! I encourage you to carefully consider a long position on AAPL as we eagerly await the unveiling of these new Mac computers. By doing so, you'll be leveraging the potential for substantial gains while aligning yourself with one of the most innovative and influential companies in the world.
If you have any questions or require further information, please don't hesitate to reach out by commenting below. I'm here to assist you in any way I can.
AAPL → TWO short positionshello guys...
as you can see appl is on the descending channel as well.
Before that made two divergences by RSI!
there are two opportunities for getting a short position and I draw it!
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[EN] APPLE big crossroads on November 2 // GaliortiTradingIn the 1-month chart NASDAQ:AAPL has lost its 10-session average , a chart widely followed by large traders, which may condition a bearish momentum in the medium term .
1 Month
Since 2005 NASDAQ:AAPL has been in a rising channel with an accelerating slope. In fact, in the last 10 years it is developing an ascending wedge . The final loss of the 10-session average on monthly chart could be a powerful bearish force generator that would allow to break strongly its lower portion. The objective is to develop a corrective counter-trend with a target at the floor of the very long-term channel (around $130 ).
1 W
The weekly chart shows that the price has been dominated by a bearish trend line since early August . It is likely that these next two weeks, the downward correction will persist until November 2 when the company publishes results . We would be talking about an environment around $159 . There is a great support there:
- EMA 100 sessions
- floor of the long term ascending wedge
- proximity of a strong liquidity zone
At this level ($159) the rebound or its perforation will be of great violence and with great volume, all conditioned by the company's business results:
- if they were read positively by the market : NASDAQ:AAPL would rebound with great force (closing of shorts + strong oversold). We would see again historical highs with a target in the upper zone of the rising wedge (around $270-300 ).
- If these were read negatively by the market : this relevant support would be lost and the NASDAQ:AAPL would send us a great medium-term bearish signal with a target at the floor of the 2005 bullish channel (around $130 ). If a downward opening gap appears, leaving the support of the rising wedge ($159) above, it would give us a great bearish trading window. Stop loss : above the gap. Target : floor of the long-term channel ($130).
1 D
If we extend the chart to a 1-day period, we will observe that the current short-term bearish movement has its origin in a gap that did not close on August 4th . The TSI indicator at the present time has given a bearish signal, so it is highly probable that the falls will continue in the next few days .
We must remember that there is a large liquidity zone around $150-155 that could greatly accelerate the rises or falls. We have to be very attentive to November 2nd (results) because it will generate a great opportunity to buy/sell in the medium term! .
Pablo G.
Could Huawei device sales overtake Apple's iPhone 15 in China?Apple's (AAPL) iPhone 15 sales are reportedly slumping among Chinese consumers, down 4.5% compared to the first few weeks of the iPhone 14's sales. Huawei's Mate 60 line of foldable phones has been making waves over its new hardware features, but is it enough to overturn Apple's dominance in the Chinese market?
IDC Worldwide Tracker Team Research Director Nabila Popal comments on whether the domestic developer could truly capture Apple's market share if geopolitical tensions in the U.S.-China semiconductor race open up new opportunities for Huawei.
"It will take a lot of time for Huawei to gain back that lost share, especially... if you zone in on just the premium segment within China, Huawei at its peak had about 58% share," Popal says.
🍎Apple🍎 will Go Up soon🚀↘️Apple started to rise after breaking the Descending Channel and is currently in a Correction .
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that the structure of apple corrective waves is of Zigzag correction type(ABC/5-3-5).
🔔I expect the apple to start growing from 🟡 PRZ (Price Reversal Zone) 🟡 and increase at least until the first Common Gap (about ➕10%) .
If you want to know about the types of chats, you can read the following article.👇
Apple ( AAPLUSD ) Analyze, Daily time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
The historic +40% pattern on AppleHello Traders and Investors,
My name is Philip and I am a German swing-trader with over 4 years of trading experience.
I only trade the higher timeframes, preferably the monthly chart, because this allows me to capitalize on the major market swings.
I view trading as a long term game over the next 20 years which will help me to build massive wealth - it is not a get rich quick scheme.
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Today I want to share with you my outlook on Apple:
Apple is in a massive uptrend and if you look at Apple's chart over the past 20 years, there is no doubt that this was a crazy chart history. We also always had breaks and retests of the previous highs which were followed by crazy pumps and I do expect the same thing to happen again.
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Most of the people always follow the quick money. But the quick money is never the big money.
They think that making 5% a month consistently is reasonable, which is one of the reasons why so many traders fail.
The only think which you can control is your risk, everything else is unknown.
Keep your long term vision!
Join the Apple Boom and Reap Incredible Benefits!
The juggernaut that is the iPhone user base is soaring higher than ever before! 📈📱 Yes, you heard it right! As an esteemed trader, this extraordinary growth presents an unmissable opportunity for you to become a part of the Apple success story.
With every passing day, our beloved Apple brand is captivating millions around the globe. Not only has the iPhone user base expanded exponentially, but it continues to surpass all expectations. Such staggering growth inspires confidence in Apple's exceptional potential for your investment portfolio.
By joining forces with Apple Inc., you can embrace a new era of extraordinary returns. 🍏💰 As the iPhone user base grows, so do the countless opportunities to maximize your profits. Indulge in the prospect of investing in an iconic, technologically pioneering company that remains ahead of the pack. Seize the chance to ride the waves of success alongside Apple, the visionaries who revolutionize the digital landscape.
So, let's not just stand on the sidelines and watch this phenomenal growth unfold. I wholeheartedly encourage you to jump on board and long Apple stock today! Let's enjoy the immense wave of prosperity together.
For further details and personalized assistance, please feel free to comment below.