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Apple

Apple: Almost ripe for the picking 🍏The Apple price has fallen significantly and has meanwhile dipped into our green target zone. Thus, we think that it is currently in its green wave (4), whose end it should slowly dedicate itself to. Afterwards, it then goes uphill for him, why placing long orders is worthwhile. Alternatively, it would go even further downhill should the price fall below the upper target zone. According to this scenario, which we assign a probability of 34%, the price would have to fall into our second target zone.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by MarketIntel
Apple Inc. : Potential Harmonic; Bearish ConsolidationAAPL has been on the rise ever since it broke above the descending Bullish Dragon Trend Line and confirmed the middle of the Trading Range as support, but as it's risen, both the PPO and RSI have been consolidating tightly within the Overbought Zone which also aligns with the PCZ of a Bearish Deep Gartley on the PPO; just recently, price has hit the HOP level of a Potential Bearish Shark pattern. If we start to see the RSI and PPO come down sharply from the Overbought zones and closer to the 50 levels, then we could confirm a safer Bearish Entry with the stop marginally above the HOP level and target the 0.382 and 0.618 Fibonacci Retraces below.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by RizeSenpai
1
Paypal - Going Long In a Bear Market?Paypal is an antiquated business model. The problem is, the Federal Reserve just launched FedNow, which is like a bank-to-bank Central Bank Digital Currency. Most CBDCs will come in the future, and they will target retail/consumers, and Paypal will no longer be useful for transferring money. In Canada, where I am, Paypal is already primarily worthless, because the company that handles debit card payments, Interac, set up, many, many years ago, a service that allows us to send money to each other from our banks via email. Both people and businesses use it extensively. It's fast, easy, instant, and free, so why bother with Paypal? CBDCs are a problem for humanity, because they are the collar, leash, and chains that enable Party West's implementation of their favourite role model, the Chinese Communist Party, who deployed full scale social credit under the guise of "Zero COVID." The CCP and its 24-year persecution against the Falun Dafa spiritual believers launched by former Chairman Jiang Zemin on July 20, 1999, are something absolutely essential for mankind to reject, oppose, and eliminate. They aren't things for you to rack your brains thinking about importing so that stimmies can be collected from a central authority. If you want a future, we need to return to mankind's traditions, human, divinely imparted tradition and culture, and dispose of the garbage that is Marxism, atheism, the Theory of Evolution, and the doctrine of struggle. The fact that Paypal is being replaced by CBDCs is awful evident on monthly candles, which give you absolutely no reason to believe there's going to be any kind of Meta/Tesla/NVDIA-style reversal of fortune. But what's really notable about this stock, which I have criticized extensively on Twitter as not being a long, is the weekly bars, since April, actually indicate a long trade scalp is set up. That scalp setup has not been present for even one second, until today's post market earnings dump back to $68. The thesis is simple. Since Paypal has filled ALL of the gap, and over a long period of time, it indicates for lower prices to come, some objectives over previous highs are most likely in order. The most premium level for this to occur would be the January high at $88. But a failure swing somewhere over $84 would also be a heck of a trade. Where to long? Tomorrow's dump may be too early. The most perfect would be $65, under the flat bottom lows. But you may or may not get it. The problem is, how long does it take Paypal to mark up into the $80s? We don't have that much time to play with the JPM collar being long 4,200 SPX puts expiring September 29. And the markets are looking like they intend perhaps one more upswing before doom, which I cover here: SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg In any event, markets correcting violently and VIX pushing highs hard may put a painful and abrupt end to rallies across all classes. But it seems we may have a rally ahead. And with all the factors combining, buying Paypal between Thursday and Friday in a price range between $68 and $65 is a trade. If it doesn't go up, then the trade isn't confirmed. But you might have to wait at least a month to see if that comes true. What you don't want to and can't see is the $58 low taken out. When Paypal is done taking out short sellers who didn't take profit at $58 and want to ride to zero, I believe the next target is the $45 level. And then this thing goes the way of Bed Bath and Beyond and Blockbuster. Be careful. What lies ahead in the remainder of 2023 will be hard to navigate. And 2024 might be an entirely unpleasant experience for all.
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by LordWrymouth
Amazon - Greed, Just Like Speed, KillsFirst, I understand that Amazon had an excellent earnings report, whether analyst estimates were gamed to the downside and it was easy to beat notwithstanding. What you have to be really careful of right now is the excess greed that abounds in the markets. Greed is the thing that kills accounts the fastest, and when you blow your account, there won't be any use for TradingView anymore, and nobody will be able to have fun until you can save up to reload. I am not saying any kind of bearish commentary on Amazon, although you should have reservations on this company because a lot of its business model is just to serve as an export faucet for stuff made in the Chinese Communist Party's land. And you have to be careful with anyone whose business is tightly knit to communist China, because the International Rules Based Order is chattering disaster about "de-risking" from China. Because the narrative about "Taiwan Invasion" really means that the CCP is close to falling and everyone is thinking about how to take control of that country. But to take control of China, you need someone Chinese, which means you need a handpicked appointment from the Republic of China who will serve the globalists. All this, and the 24th year of persecution against Falun Dafa by the CCP's Jiang Zemin faction just completed on July 20. In 1999, Jiang began a full genocide and organ harvesting campaign against 100 million spiritual believers, and it's persisted to this day despite Xi Jinping never participating. In fact, Xi's Anti-corruption Campaign has been hitting the corrupt officials involved in the persecution ever since he took power in 2012. Consider that the next time you see the media going off about what a Mao Zedong Xi Jinping is. Amazon's monthly provides some clarity. The most notable thing is that the 2021-2022 distribution bars during the rest of the market's bull run indicates a proper and clear topping pattern. And despite that, price never took out the most critical of lows, the COVID pivot at $81.30. Instead, it spared it by 13 cents. Because numerology. What it means is that long term, $80 becomes a target. What's notable about price action before today's earnings report pump is that Amazon maintained the July low, albeit barely. And this creates three weekly lows of equal "support." Which also becomes a target. Bear in mind, with Nonfarm Payrolls also being tomorrow morning, you may get yourself a trade setup that looks something like what happened to AMD on Wednesday: AMD - Greed Doth Bad Habits Breed When its ER came in hot in premarket and at open, and turned into a huge sell off and red day: So the point with this call is to say that the August '22 $146 pivot may really hold. And if it doesn't hold, it might just get raided. Which makes buying the top tomorrow morning something that isn't a particularly intelligent thing to do. Worse, it means that buying the dip may be trading in the wrong direction, while selling the dump's retrace might actually be an optimal short entry. Just keep in mind that we may have as much as another 2-3% of downside left in the SPX before we retrade towards/take out the tops: SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg If the markets really get blown to pieces heading into the end of Q3 in accordance with the JP Morgan collar, stuff like Amazon is going to head to a 5-handle by next year. SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar' You'll know the truth, in my opinion, when Amazon breaks the $125 flat bottoms, price won't come back, just like what happened with Netflix: Netflix - I Hope You Like Catching Knives What I really want to tell you all is that life still seems stable, it seems like all there is to worry about is making money and entertainment. But our world may very well change overnight, with no warning at all. And what we've all done while the cards were still face down will be what determines who wins the pot and who loses their stack.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by LordWrymouth
Apple -> Massive Breakdown And Now?Hello Traders and Investors , my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Apple 💪 Starting on the monthly timeframe you can see that after Apple broke out of the clear triangle formation in confluence with the bullish moving averages, Apple created a strong rally of 30% towards the upside, breaking major resistance. As I mentioned over and over again the weekly timeframe looked quite overextended so I do expect even more short term bearish pressure before a reversal will be quite likely. With Apple's gap down of -5% on Friday my last analysis, linked below, perfectly played out but there is no reason why Apple stock should reverse immediately so be careful and don't jump into longs too early. Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈 Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! My previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by basictradingtv
41
A traders’ weekly playbook – inflation takes centre stage againAfter a solid tightening of financial conditions over the week we watch to see if the negative tone spills over into the new trading week. On the week, the NAS100 fell close to 3%, with Apple closing below its 50-day MA; a factor that had been acting as a solid trend filter since late January. Instead of buying dips, could we be looking at selling rallies now in Apple, which in turn, could change the structure of equity index? The US500 eyes channel support, and its own 50-day MA – we see equity volatility on the rise, with the VIX into 17% - a close above 20% would be welcomed by most day traders and would almost certainly open better shorting opportunities for those happy to trade a two-way price. EU equity has fared slightly worse, with the GER40 -3.1% for the week. We start the week with a modest downside skew in the risk for equity. We saw big volatility in 10 and 30-year US Treasuries, largely as a function of additional supply that the private sector will be asked to take down over the coming quarters. The USD benefited from higher long-end Treasury yields, although after Friday's reversal in 10yr Treasury yields I now see modest downside risk in the USD – that said, any sell-down in the USD should be modest. The AUD remains the weak link in G10 FX – I am biased for EURAUD higher, and AUDCHF lower, but would be selling rallies in the latter. China’s data flow this week matters for the AUD, and if USDCNH can squeeze higher it will help push the Aussie lower. Gold printed a bullish outside day on Friday, and those long will be hoping for a squeeze through $1946.74 for a rally into $1966, possibly even $1981. Crude looks well supported, and a test of $83.46 looks likely. US CPI remains the marquee risk this week and there are some signs the risk is for an above-consensus print, which would not be taken well by risk assets – if bond and rates volatility can lift because of the CPI print, then it will spill into increased movement in equity, FX and commodity markets and affect our trading environment. Expect the unexpected and keep an open mind – it will serve you well in these markets. The marquee event risks for traders to navigate: US CPI (10 Aug 22:30 AEST) – The marquee event risk of the week. The market looks for both headline and core CPI inflation to increase by 0.2% MoM and one can assume a range of 0.15% to 0.30% MoM as a guide as to how the USD could react to the data. The year-over-year (YoY) pace is eyed at 3.3% (up from 3%) for headline CPI and 4.8% (unchanged) for core CPI, respectively. The market should pay more attention to the MoM metric, with used vehicles and airfares likely to weigh on the basket. Core services are expected to rise 0.34% MoM and could influence the USD and risky assets. By way of a guide, the Cleveland Fed Nowcast model estimates core CPI coming in at 0.4% MoM, which is above consensus and if correct should see the USD trade higher. It would likely see expectations of a hike from the Fed in November priced closer to 50% (currently 30%). China CPI/PPI inflation (9 Aug 11:30 AEST) – the consensus is we see China’s CPI print pull into outright deflation, with consensus expectations set at -0.5% YoY. PPI inflation is expected to print -4%, which is a slight improvement from the -5.4% seen in the June data. USDCNH will be the FX cross to watch, and a break of trend resistance could see 7.2500 come into play, which would support the USD vs other FX pairs. US PPI (11 Aug 22:30 AEST) – coming a day after US CPI, the market sees PPI inflation at 0.7% YoY (from 0.1%) and core PPI at 2.3% YoY (2.4%). The outcome could shape expectations of the core PCE deflator inflation print due on 31 Aug. Mexico central bank (Banxico) meeting (11 Aug 05:00 AEST) – all 20 economists surveyed by Bloomberg see rates on hold at 11.25% - the CPI print could influence expectations here. Mexico CPI (9 Aug 22:00 AEST) – the market sees the July headline CPI inflation coming in at 4.78% (from 5.06%) and core CPI at 6.66% (6.89%). With some 177bp of cuts priced into Mexican rates markets over the coming 12 months, a weaker CPI print could further increase these expectations and see USDMXN break key resistance at 17.4000. Japan Labor cash earnings (8 Aug 09:30 AEST) – the market sees wages increasing 3% (from 2.9%) – there is the possibility of JPY volatility on this data point, especially if the 10yr Japan govt bond (JGBs) rises above 75bp – however, unless it’s a blowout number I would have no issues holding JPY or JPN225 exposures over this data point. The consensus view is Japan should start to see more aggressive disinflation through late 2023 and into 2024. Japan BoJ Summary of Opinions (7 Aug 09:50 AEST) – essentially these are the minutes from the recent BoJ meeting, where we saw the BoJ allowing some increased flexibility in YCC, placing a new hard cap at 1% for the 10yr JGB - we will explore how close the decision was. It’s hard to see this really moving the JPY, but it is an event risk for JPY traders. China trade balance – I have little concern about holding exposures over this data point and the market has no confidence in forecasting China trade numbers, and so we seldom see much initial reaction. This time around the market sees a FWB:68B trade surplus, with imports expected to fall 5.5%, while exports are eyed down 12.6% - again, watch the reaction in the CNH, as the yuan will likely drive the AUD and NZD. China new yuan loans and M2 money supply (no set time through the week) – given there is no set date or time for this data this is not one to position for. After last month's blowout loan figure of CNY3049b, the market expects moderation in credit at $755b and M2 money supply at 11%. Market pricing on rate expectations – what’s priced and the step up/down per future bank meeting Corporate Earnings Australia – on the week we hear from companies such as QBE (10 Aug), Newcrest (11 Aug) and CBA (9 Aug), with CBA the ASX200 stock to watch. The share price has pulled back 5% from $107.09 since 27 July, underperforming the broader ASX200 in the process. This time around. the market implies a 2.7% move on the day of reporting so it could get lively for traders of both CBA and the AUS200 (given the influence CBA could have on the financial sector). The consensus is we see 2H23 cash earnings of $5.014b, paying out a dividend of $2.22. We look closely at CBAs Net Interest Margins (NIM), with the market seeing NIM at 2.02% (-8bp from 1H23). Guidance on margins will be key, with deposit competition heating up and higher wholesale funding impacting. We look out for intel and guidance on asset quality, volumes, and it’s capital position. Any outlook in the report or the earnings call on RBA policy, demand for loans and any views on the economy could move the dial. HK – Alibaba (10 Aug) – Alibaba hit us with Q1 earnings and the second biggest weighting in the HK50 will be hoping the share price breaks back above HK$ 100 – can the commerce giant make it 5 quarters in a row where they rally on the day of earnings? The market is pricing (through options pricing) a 5% move on the day, so it could get lively. US – Berkshire Hathaway, UPS, Walt Disney, Nvidia (23 Aug) Germany – Siemens, Bayer Central bank speakers Fed – Bostic *2, Bowman *2, Harker*2 BoE – Huw Pill (8 Aug 02:00 AEST) RBA – Schwatz speaks (8 Aug 09:05)
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by Pepperstone
$AAPL- WEEKLY CHART LOOKS READY BOOM$AAPL is going to do some serious moves in the coming weeks. Class A Hidden Bullish Divergence on the oscillators with positive momentum starting to build with the follow through price action IE MACD Divergence. Targets are $200, as this would be typical psycological resistance and $210. As soon as we can crack above point B and claim new support, we are off to the races and will see upward price action. Retraced to the common .382 - .500 ranges, as this is tpyical when the market/price is in a uptrend. Very clear, cut and dry TA if you ask me. Tech Stocks/Crypto Market is awaking from the long and exhausting piss poor peformance and wants to run upward again. Buy before the FOMO nerds get in ;)
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by BShellhammer
AAPL: Breakout of EMA-50 to the downside since January 23, 2023.The break of the EMA-50 to the downside represents a major correction as since January 23, 2023, the EMA-50 has been dynamic support where the price touched it on March 1, 2023, and then came very close on March 13, 2023. After these dates, AAPL remained distant from EMA-50 until today, when it made the downward breakout making a gap and closing at 181.99 below EMA-50. On the other hand, the relevant FIBO levels are 38% at (169.25) and the most important 50% at 160.78 coinciding with SMA-200.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by serpenttrading_
APPLE - An upcoming opportunity Investor Goggles on Today Apple Inc NASDAQ:AAPL MACD Cross Historic Performance Sept 2006 – 16 months – 213% July 2009 – 18 months – 149% Mar 2014 – 16 months – 83% Dec 2016 – 18 months – 78% Aug 2019 – 18 months – 189% Jun 2023 – 18 months – 100% ? Average return of the 5 past MACD crosses above is 142%. We have projected a modest 100% increase over the next 18 months. That’s IF we get the cross in June 2023. Worth noting we are about 6% away from the ATH of $182. A weekly close above this level would be ideal in combined with the MACD cross confirmation. Failing these you would wait. These could occur at the same time. Stop would be placed under the ATH. Keep in mind that a MACD cross is a lagging indicator so we try and anticipate the cross scenario. Given the history of price in this long term parallel channel since June 2005, an incredibly idyllic scenario would be a revisit of the bottom of the channel which would coincide with a revisit of the 50 month smooth moving average(SMA) in purple. If we ever revisited the 50 Month SMA or 200 week SMA I believe this would be a major opportunity, given this has only occurred 4 times in almost 20 years.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by PukaCharts
4
Meta - To Long, Or To Short?I have to say that Meta is one of the hardest charts that exist to read right now, mostly because for 9 straight months, an unprecedented feat in the history of Facebook, it has gone up in a straight line, and bigly. You only see it clearly on the monthly: And yet the problem with the bull thesis for a new all time high is the '22 bear raid took out all the sell side all of the way back to 2016. Although you can have, and speculators and hodlers have been fortunate enough to have had, a significant retrace afterwards, stocks taking long term lows is usually kind of like when a person turns 50 and starts urinating blood. It means something is wrong with an organ and the time they have left to live is not so long and not so bright. Even the weekly is insanely one-directional This stock will have attention tomorrow as post-market earnings have produced another $20 gain, but notably, as of time of writing, have brought the price only to $319, still underneath the July high. Geopolitical risks abound in the markets right now. Much is happening with Mainland China and the International Rules Based Order. You can consult my previous calls, which are below, for my thoughts on the situation. But the Cliff's Notes of it is that the 24-year persecution and organ harvesting genocide of Falun Gong by the Jiang Zemin faction and the CCP may soon be made public worldwide if President Xi weaponizes those sins to protect China, its 5,000-year-old culture, and himself from the IRBO intending a Maidan Revolution-style coup to replace him with someone from Taiwan that happens to be a fine lapdog to the global regime's interests. What is the bull thesis for Meta? Facebook is something of a panopticon data collection system and advertising network rolled into the guise of a social media platform where people voluntarily disclose their location, interests, likes, connections, and spend time interacting with friends and family. Meta's rebrand is to force the world into something of a Nintendo 64-level version of Second Life, where you're supposed to literally sit in your cube eating the cricket crackers under a bunch of blankets with the furnace/AC off with the VR headset strapped to your face while you do data entry all day. It's really the kind of dystopian thing the Chinese Communist Party really likes, because it means you can be submissive and agreeable slaves that don't threaten its stability and still produce work. If mankind's future is truly to return to tradition (it is), what place does Meta have in it? Meta has very little place in the future, and that's a fundamental problem, really, for everything that revolves around people living chained to computers and phones. A really notable thing is that the Chinese Government, especially under Xi Jinping since he took power in 2013, has not allowed Meta/Facebook to set up shop inside Mainland China. The world's most notorious totalitarian regime and the creator of social credit and censorship does not want Meta/Facebook's influence impacting their citizens. Ain't that something. And yet, you're supposed to be bullish on this... because it's going up. You just want something to go up so you can buy it and feel pleased when you see green, not sell, and then feel sad when you see red, red, red, and are liquidated. This is modern humanity. So here's the question with Meta: is it a short, or is it a long? The truth is that with Meta, it's gone up in the kind of straight line that makes Apple blush for 9 straight months. When something trades like this, you can never say "it's a short." Instead, you can watch for when it does become a short. And we're in the zone. Although the biggest gap has been filled, the monthly candles show that the bodies of the winning streak's candles are still respecting the range created by the February of 2022 doom candle that ended the Party. On the daily, the last five days of price action, which correspond with a Nasdaq that may very well have topped but an SPX that does not seem to have topped yet, are the most bearish they have been during the entire bull run. And so, if you want to get long on open, I can only encourage you to exercise caution. You may really have upside as high as $343. But you may also have upside no higher than $325. It may also gap up on market open and then sell off, and that kind of a sell off at this kind of a time may mean you are trapped. To confirm a bull thesis, $343 needs to be broken and maintained To confirm a bear thesis, the first thing we need to see after the earnings manipulation is for the $288.30 double bottom to be broken. From there, if $258.88 is broken, the trend is over and will have reversed, even though you may see further upside in the interim. A break over $325 and then a rejection under $288 would be the most bearish. If that unfolds, it's no longer a dip to buy. Instead, long term puts while the VIX is so suppressed might really be really, really valuable. And the problem for both bears and bulls is the $40 range that "confirms" whether there's forever uppy or forever doom.
NASDAQ:META
by LordWrymouth
1
Apple -> Only Two More Days Guys!Hello Traders and Investors , my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Apple 💪 Starting on the monthly timeframe you can see that after Apple broke out of the clear triangle formation in confluence with the bullish moving averages, Apple created a strong rally of 30% towards the upside, breaking major resistance. The weekly timeframe looks a little bit overextended with barely and red candles during the last major push so we could certainly see a retest of the previous all time high at $180. Apple is currently once again failing to create a new all time high at the $196 level and you can still see the very obvious key bullish trendline which is still pushing the price of Apple stock higher - now we will either see a bullish breakout or a bearish breakdown, until then no setup. Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint 📈 Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! My previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by basictradingtv
35
Some Technical Areas For Tesla, Apple & AlphabetHi, A little guide for you about Tesla, Apple, and Alphabet. Pointed out some key areas from where to take out some profits or if you are interested in some sort of stocks then a couple of scarious from where you can jump in. Not an idea post, more like an analysis but still, it should give you a little picture about them. Tesla (TSLA) Recently the Tesla stock has been respected by technical analysis quite nicely. Several calls have worked almost perfectly and short-term targets are reached fairly easily. Currently, for me, the Tesla stock is in the middle of nowhere. My previous short-term target was around $300 and it has been reached, so I will wait for further price action. If the price goes above $300 then I will consider it as a breakout and I need to see a price action above that to make a decision. The sweet spot for me is the $190-$220. If the price reaches there then I'm ready to take it but we need to see a quite good selloff - let's see. So, if you are not in Tesla then wait for a breakout above $300 which can confirm further growth, or wait for a pullback/selloff to the mentioned lower price zone. Apple (AAPL) This year has been quite good for Apple, the gain from the bottom is 58%. In the first week of 2023, it bottomed and after that, very solid and consistent grind to higher levels - a new all-time high has reached. If you are on it then short-, and mid-term investors can think about taking some profits because it has reached to the round number of $200. The round number can act as a resistance level and the price can be stuck there for a while or it can get a rejection to downwards. So, if you don't have a long-term plan with AAPL then there is a place to take out some profits. If you don't have any Apple shares then you should wait. Firstly, how the $200 act and wait for the price action. If it gets a pullback then you can grab it from the previous highs which now start to act as support levels. These are not the strongest areas but at least you have something to stick with because to buy it from the current price can be quite a huge mistake considering short-term investment. So, if you see a pullback then be ready to act around 170 to 180 dollars, and the strongest price zone is around ~$150. Alphabet (GOOG) Technically the last weekly candle close was a small breakout. $126.5 has been a minor horizontal price level. This level has been a short-term support level and a couple of months ago it acted, and stopped the price, as a resistance. Now, we have this level "smashed" with quite a solid weekly candle and if you are interested then technically you have a light-green light to take it during the retest of ~$126. Stay cautious after you have seen a monthly or weekly close below this level. Regards, Vaido
NASDAQ:TSLA
by VaidoVeek
AAPL Apple Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AAPL here: or shorted its exposure to China: Then entered the Technical rebound: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AAPL Apple prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the $192.50 strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2023-8-11, for a premium of approximately $6.05. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by TopgOptions
Apple's Earnings: Should You Take Some Profits Off The Table?Apple's Earnings: Should You Take Some Profits Off The Table? Apple stock has been on a roll lately, up 50% heading into earnings. However, given that earning date is just around the corner on August 3, and historically, Apple stock tends to sell off in the months of August and September, it's time to consider the wisest course of action. Many investors are pondering whether to take some profits off the table, especially considering that the company's revenue, net income, and net profit margin have all been declining in recent quarters. As we rationalize why or why not to sell Apple's shares, let's review everything you need to know about Apple's earnings and stock performance.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by AlgoTradeAlert
2
1984 Scramble. up or down? The short-term market is a breakthrough of the previous downward trend. From the position of 1900, it went up to the 1984 line for a month. More often bearish and weak. The market is trending upwards. So now comes the 1984 controversy. Will the later trend continue to go up or down? I personally think that gold will hover around the 1984 line in the short term. However, geopolitics and the US economic situation have formed a certain support below. So in the short term, I personally think that buying will still be the main focus. The detailed trading signals are subject to the actual situation, and I will tell you in the old place.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by magicianjerry
1
Microsoft - Is The Top Already In?One of the key points to Microsoft is it is, in essence, a U.S. state-backed corporation, and one that is trading at more than $2.5 trillion market cap at present. You're looking at a company that just set a new all time high while the overall market is not healthy and the macroeconomic fundamentals are actually bearish. And so, we have to seriously ask ourselves if it's time to short God the top. Microsoft's price action on the monthly is curious. The price action is healthy and natural all the way from where it bounces to the top, and only becomes curiously strange when it gets to the top. Why does a stock that bounces at the right place and forms a fully proper reversal pattern, which we see on the weekly: Only sweep the All Time High? Why doesn't it raid the ATH and run bigly larger like NVDIA did? Well, the answer is actually quite clear when you overlay NVDA to MSFT: In essence, NVDA at $480-450 is MSFT at $350. The difference in price action you see today is because NVDA was relatively weaker in the past, meaning MSFT was inordinately strong in the past. Anything that reaches an extreme will reverse. If it reaches the extreme twice, it will reverse hard twice. The geopolitical situation in the world is not healthy. There is a ton of sabre rattling between NATO and the Nation of China at the moment. The western propaganda machine wants you to believe that Xi Jinping intends to invade Taiwan because he's very evil very super Mao Zedong++, but in reality it's more like the "International Rules Based Order" wants to use the fact that the Chinese Communist Party is rotten and unforgivable as a handle to depose Xi and have Taiwan invade the Mainland under the guise of international "aide". Why this matters to you as a trader is because you're flirting with getting gapped down hard since Beijing daytime is New York night time. If you want to be long right now you need to be hedged long volatility, or you're risking your life. Moreover, Xi, in order to defend himself, his faction of Chinese nationalists, and China's 5,000 year history, can overthrow the CCP in a Gorbachev-style coup overnight, weaponizing the 24-year-long persecution and genocide of Falun Dafa by the faction belonging to former Chairman Jiang Zemin (it died this year). The significance is major to traders because your beloved governments, banks, and corporations have stained their hands crimson flirting with the Jiang faction toadies in Shanghai (Babylon) in order to get all the benefits they desire. Google the Neil Heywood story if you want to see a classic example of a British billionaire getting gibbed by the greatest evil of all time. Much to do before the call's key points. Before we continue, I examine the price action I expect to manifest in SPY (SPX Futures ETF) for the remainder of the month, which can serve as something of a compass for what lies ahead: SPY - A Dip Is Coming. Maybe Buy It? Back to MSFT: This is a very hard setup to trade Because the June high may have been a hard top, double and triple top or not (See TSLA July-September '22) Lower lows lower highs indicates the dip is hard to buy But the short may only take us to the $320 range. Sweeping $300 is the key to a bullish continuation above the highs Maintaining ~$280 is the key to continuing upwards at all. Microsoft has a really notable catalyst in that its earnings are on July 25 postmarket, which means price action will manifest the morning of July 26, which just so happens to be when the next FOMC meeting is. After July FOMC the next FOMC is deferred until September 20, 9 days short of quarter end, notable because of the notorious JPM Collar, which I discuss here: SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar' What I expect is we see a fairly violent correction on Microsoft back to the $300s before we can see any kind of further meaningful flirtation with a run over the $350 ATH. But the June high may have been the top for the foreseeable future, as evidenced by the relationship between NVDA and MSFT. Be careful. The time we have left for happy and normal days is so short you can almost count it on the fingers. When things really emerge, Nasdaq 8,500 will be the least of your concerns, really.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by LordWrymouth
1
Netflix - I Hope You Like Catching KnivesNetflix is that $200 billion company trading at $441.44 that everyone seem to have forgot about, even though it more than doubled in a year. Personally, I think these streaming services are a colossal waste of your time and money. What you're watching is the intellectual equivalent of a Big Mac or a bag of potato chips, and permeated with the things of socialism and atheism. And Netflix is really quite woke and some of the content is unforgivably degenerate. You shouldn't look at warped mirrors and shouldn't cast your eyes on ugly things, or they'll twist your heart and your soul. When it comes to the markets-at-large, I believe we're definitely going to see a correction, rather than a new all time high, which I detail in the two calls below: Nasdaq NQ - A Fundamental and Technical Warning Signal SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar' If there's to be a new all time high, let's wait and see what Q4 has in store for us. There's a lot of geopolitical risk in the markets right now. The War between the Russian Federation and NATO via Ukraine is a big one, and a bigger one is the situation in Mainland China with Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party. More or less, I believe the globalists want to topple the Party to have their men from Taiwan go in and take control of China and depose Xi. But I believe Xi is likely to topple the Party himself before that can happen. Big gaps will come that day and things will be very hard because Wall Street won't be in any kind of a risk-on mood. The 24-year persecution against Falun Dafa launched by former Chairman Jiang Zemin and the Shanghai toad faction is something Xi can weaponize to implicate the entire world. Because to do business in Shanghai you've needed the Jiang Faction's approval. To get its approval, you've had to dirty your hands in the persecution and swear vows to the Flag of Blood. And unfortunately, most of the world has wanted what the Party has. Read the story of British billionaire Neil Heywood, who decided to court Jiang's minion Bo Xilai. Bo told Heywood that to prove his loyalty he had to divorce his wife. Heywood refused, and so Bo's wife poisoned him. Heywood died in 2011. Bo Xilai was ruined in Xi's Anti-corruption Campaign in 2013, stripped of all his assets, and sentenced to life in prison in a CCP dungeon. Gambling with the Party is one foot in the grave and the other in prison. Live a virtuous life instead. Moreover, they always say zoom out. Looking at Netflix on the yearly, it's hard to say you're not in the crosshairs of a savage trend reversal. And you can see these daily bars far more clearly on the weekly chart: There might be that fat gap above that you have your eye on, but you're dealing with a very long and very steep ramp in the first place, and this is in a stock which stayed away from a true gap between April and August of '22. Another notable factor is that the FINRA short volume for Netflix, while still notably low, is the highest it's been in three months and posted its first green month since April and only its second of '23. Short volume This is quite notable in light of the fact that June was one of the best months for equities in a long time Netflix doesn't have an ETF, except for a 3x levered ETF on the Mexico exchange. Insignificant except for it fell from 5 pesos to 5 pennies. What's sad is even if it Netflix was to fall 50% in value the thing would still only be worth like 30 cents. % base levered ETFs will kill you. So, here's the call. Netflix printed a proper daily pivot in mid June (you'll have to look yourself because I can't zoom the chart in for the post) and has been flirting inside that range ever since. If she makes a new high I suppose then it's time for more uppy and you can buy calls at the top and feel pretty good. But if she breaks the $420 range the next area to watch is the June low, which Netflix printed on a green candle and on the first day of the month at $393 After that, things might happen and happen fast. If bearish momentum and level breaking manifests, then where I believe it will return to is the $180 to $160 range. For Netflix to have a chance to return above $500, it will have to hold the $162.71 bottom. If you can catch that falling knife you'll feel pretty smart if you can hold the bag for a few months. But if you try to go long before the bottom you'll cut your hands and cut your hands some more.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by LordWrymouth
6
ES SPX Futures - Welcome to FOMCmageddonIn reading the title of this post, I'm sure you can tell what I want to say. Since the new habit is to guffaw and lmao at any thesis that isn't bullish, because "we" all "know" US equities "always go up" and a new all time high is "in store," I'd like to point out the Nasdaq already shows signs of having topped. That July 20, 2023 candle was some 2%+ in range and on absolutely no news. And yet the SPX has not yet taken its equivalent intermediate term high. The significance of the intermediate term highs that the Nasdaq took and the SPX is probably about to take is that they represent the March of 2022 failure swing. Why does it matter? Because that swing and its destruction was the trumpet-backed announcement that the Coronavirus Disease 2019 stimmie QE bull run had come to an end. And so coming back to raid it at a time when Big Jerome Powell openly told reporters at the last FOMC meeting that no rate cuts were scheduled AND that inflation would take years, not months, to come back to levels they regard as apropos, is a very dangerous situation. The thing about tops and bottoms is that whoever calls them is always wrong, because you can only see a top or a bottom on hindsight. In the interim, as they unfold, you can only anticipate that at a certain key price level, over a certain high or a certain low, that reversal patterns might manifest. The geopolitical situation is very sharp. I note in a new call that oil is likely headed for a literal 3 handle this year. Oil - A New Long Leg Down Soon Begins And I note that the US Dollar Index is due for a rally to at least 108. DXY - The US Petrdollar And The "Prigozhin Coup" In Russia The cornerstone of the international chessboard is now, and always has been, Mainland China and its 5,000 year old country and culture, which has been ruined by the Chinese Communist Party over the course of its century of insanity. What's going on in the equities market is heavily wedded to the "War With Taiwan" narrative being espoused by the propaganda machine, which I discuss in my call on Taiwan Semiconductor TSM, a company that I believe is a significant long hedge during a potential upcoming downtrend. TSM - Taiwan, Your Semiconductor Long Hedge So as for this week's call, I would like to note that, unlike the Nasdaq, the SPX has not raided its March '22 intermediate high. This high at 4,631 happens to coincide with the new "JP Morgan Chase Collar," where one of the SIB's big funds sold calls at 4,665. I discuss this collar below: SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar' Something to understand about the big banks' business model is this: The first thing is that when they sell calls at a certain level, there is a buyer, and that buyer might be their clients. Their clients may have paid the bank the standard 10% fee in exchange for providing the liquidity. The reason the client would buy calls that JPM sells at a 10% premium is because they understand that the market will be made, in exchange, for those calls to be made worth more than they paid. Those calls were purchased at the end of June when the indexes traded circa 4,400. Why would JPM sell the calls and get themselves underwater? Because by September 29, Q3 end, they won't be underwater anymore, for one. For two, they're hedged long and are making money on the way up on the hedge. So they get to make money on the hedge, the calls ultimately expire worthless, and the client is happy because they got a big bag of cheap options at 4,400 to dump on the head of retail and Cathie Wood-style funds at 4,660. And all of this is to say that the 4,631 failure swing/pivot is very likely to be raided, and it is likely to be raided on Wednesday, FOMC day. During Monday's trade session, we will find out a lot about the intentions of the MMs. I believe they will only raid the 4,544 level on Monday market open, making it a buying opportunity to sell 100 points higher. However, if ES/SPX is to dump significantly to under 4,500 again, it stands to reason that the real target is the 4,800 ATH somewhere early in August. But I think, for a lot of reasons, this is just so less likely. Thus, SPX is likely to raid 4,544, which is to say the 4,550 psychological level, and trade over the 4,650 psychological level before Jerome Powell starts yapping. This FOMC is really significant because there isn't another rate hike until September, the end of Q3. So the trade is to long 4,540, sell it allllll at 4,650, and the target is under where JPM went long on puts and has been under water all month under 4,200 heading into the end of August and middle of September.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by LordWrymouth