Appleinc
AAPL (APPLE) WILL MAKE A NEW HIGHAAPL (APPLE) will come down before making a new high around $189 to $194. We are on the 1st wave of minute degree or we are on an X wave of Minor 4th. We are near to finishing the 1st wave as a preferred count (which is projected by the black line), after the top out of the 1st wave we can see a little bit of correction. If the correction finish at around 50% or 61% of wave 1 then we can see a massive rally to the upside and if it can't hold recent low of $167.46 then we will go as an alternative count (which is projected by the red line) around 50% area of fibo level which is around $164, after that we can see the same rally which is expected as a preferred count but the target will not same.
DISCLOSURE - Please be informed that the information I provide is not a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of my work is for educational purposes only.
All labeling and wave count have been done by me manually and I will keep changing according to the LIVE MARKET PRICE ACTION. So don't bias, hope on my trade plans. Try to learn Elliott Wave or other strategies and make your own strategy. Following is not that much easy. I am not responsible for any losses if u took the trade according to my trade plans.
#AAPL #APPLE #ELLIOTTWAVE
Apple Analysis 17.12.2021Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
$AAPL Apple Simple Technical$AAPL Apple Analysis for this upcoming week
NOTES:
- Currently at $178/s after hitting Resistance ALL TIME HIGH
-There is currently a visible RSI Divergence for the past week
-Historically there was another RSI Divergence From Nov 22 followed by a price correction
-Watch a Price Correction from an RSI Divergence this week towards the $173 levels
Apple|Fundamental Analysis|Long Setup|MUST READ THIS ANALYSIS🔔Apple stock hit an all-time high last week right after several noteworthy analysts made encouraging forecasts about the tech giant's future.
Wedbush analyst said that worldwide demand for the iPhone 13 still exceeds supply by about 10 million units, that holiday sales will be strong, and that the upcoming launch of the augmented reality (AR) headset will significantly boost Apple sales and profits in 2022.
Katy Huberty of Morgan Stanley said that Apple's price does not yet include its upcoming AR, VR, and car products and that the company would benefit from a "quality run" in other stocks. Both analysts set a $200 price target for Apple stock -- about 14% above its current price.
Is Apple stock a great investment? Let's have a look at a few arguments in support of buying this tech leader's stock, as well as one reason to sell it to come up with some sort of denominator.
First, there's the iPhone's 90% loyalty rate.
Apple's overwhelming dependence on the iPhone, which accounted for 52% of its revenue in fiscal 2021, is often cited by "bears" as a major weakness. But a recent Consumer Intelligence Research Partners (CIRP) study found that 90% of iPhone buyers still plan to stay with Apple.
Two factors are holding company users back. First, Apple's expanding ecosystem of third-party services discourages users from switching to Android devices. Second, iPhones are considered a status and luxury symbol that even the most expensive Android devices cannot match.
Next, it's Apple`s 745 million paid subscribers.
Apple ended the fiscal year 2021 (which ended in September) with 745 million paid subscribers for all of its services, a nearly five-fold increase from five years ago. Annual service revenue, at 19 percent of total sales in 2021, has nearly tripled over the past six years.
Third, keep in mind the $191 billion in cash and cash equivalents.
Apple ended the year with $191 billion in cash and marketable securities. This allows it to expand its software and services ecosystem with new content, develop new AR devices and invest in its secretive electric car projects. Apple could also acquire several businesses to boost those actions and decrease its overall reliance on the iPhone.
Furthermore, the company is well protected against inflation.
Rising inflation drives up component and labor costs. So companies that can't negotiate lower prices with their suppliers or pass these higher costs on to their consumers will suffer.
Apple should not bother about any of these factors yet. It uses its brand strength and order size to put pressure on suppliers to lower costs, and it often splits orders for the same components among multiple suppliers to keep them from getting an advantage in price negotiations.
Apple is also developing more of its own chips to reduce its dependency on third-party manufacturers. That's why it replaced Intel processors with its own Arm-based processors in its Macs and MacBooks last year, and why it bought Intel's baseband modem division to lessen its reliance on Qualcomm.
As for shifting higher costs to consumers, Apple's brand loyalty probably gives it more room to raise prices than other hardware manufacturers. In short, Apple is much more resistant to inflation than other tech stocks.
And, of course, the $86 billion in buybacks should be factored in.
Apple bought back $86 billion worth of stock in the fiscal year 2021, reducing the total number of shares outstanding by nearly 4 percent.
Over the past five years, Apple has reduced its share count by 22%, while its share price has soared almost 500%. For the foreseeable future, Apple will continue its tradition of large stock buybacks to increase shareholder value.
The only reason to short Apple stock may be its forward valuation.
However, many are not as optimistic as Ives or Huberty about Apple's near-term future for a simple reason: its stock is rising in value.
\Apple is already trading at 30 times forward earnings. That's a very high price-to-earnings ratio for a company that is forecasted to increase its revenue and earnings by 4% and 2%, respectively, this year. Next year, analysts expect the company's revenues and profits to grow only 4% and 7%, respectively.
At $200 a share, Apple will trade at 35 times earnings guidance, which is a very high valuation even with the company's upcoming products in 2022.
Apple is a great long-term investment, but investors who don't already own the company's stock should have realistic expectations about its growth potential. Shares may rise as much as $200 on recent speculation about Apple's upcoming products, but that growth is unlikely to be sustained.
Investors can accumulate some Apple stock now, but they shouldn't expect significant long-term growth until the company releases its rumored AR, VR, and car products.
Best time to sell your AAPL stocks!Apple is about to hit tremendous $3 trillion ($3,000,000,000,000 just look at that number!!!) market cap.
The stocks are overbought on there's too much hype of Apple products, which are way too overvalued. The problem is not that it is overvalued by Apple company, it's ok, they define the price what they want. The problem is that it is overvalued by shareholders, the greed on Apple hits all time limits.
We can see on the monthly chart that Apple did more than 20% within last 40 days. Taking into account its market cap and amount of money involved to make these 20%, its ridiculous and fake.
On a monthly chart we're currently in greed/delusion stage of a bubble, where too much public keeps buying overvalued stocks.
I expect the price to keep growing a liitle more time and eventually bump into $190-$198 resistance and start collapsing.
There's a fibo on the chart with important support levels to drop to. I drew it on a 12M chart (1 candle = 1 year). Historically before Apple was respecting fibo correction and was always retracing down to 0.5 or 0.618 on a yearly chart.
This time I expect it to do the same.
And as usual - please DON'T LIKE and DON'T FOLLOW me if you don't like my idea :)
AAPL Support and ResistanceCan't post the 5m chart but this will do. If you follow me on Twitter I'll have the 5m chart posted.
This morning you're looking at support in the 163.18 area and resistance at 164.22. Stock is currently trading at 163.64. Look for a clear path before you take a position. Likely going to continue to be volatile with everything going on.
AAPL PredictionYes we made all time highs, but we also hit the top of the ascending wedge and found resistance.
Do I think Apple is a solid long term play? Absolutely. I hold a majority of Apple in my long term portfolio.
But based on what I'm seeing on the chart, I think we pull back, find a support, before we move and break above this wedge, if at all, and we continue inside this wedge before a break lower.
Please share your ideas, would love to know what everyone thinks.
Apple Stock Analysis and PredictionHello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
_________________________________Make sure to Like and Follow if you like the idea_________________________________
The Apple stock has been recovering from a downtrend that led the price to the lows of $138.07, but on the last day of trading of last week, the price has had a Bearish move that dropped the price from $153 to $146.55.
The long-term trend is positive and the short-term trend is neutral. The long-term trend may just continue or reversal may be around the corner!
AAPL is currently trading in the upper part of its 52-week range. The S&P500 Index however is currently trading near a new high, so AAPL is lagging the market slightly.
Possible Scenario For the market :
The upward movement is most likely to continue and the value of the stock will head to the first resistance line located at $154.36 where we might see a big battle between the Bears and Bulls and the winner will determine the outcome for the stock, In case the Bulls were able to win then a further push will happen that will lead the price to $158.54 by the end of the week.
In case the Bears won then we could be seeing a Bearish movement that will lead the price back to the support zone between $138.26 - $140.36.
when the price drops to this level a Head and shoulder pattern on the daily chart will start his Bearish movement, and that could lead to a big drop in the stock value
Technical Indicators shows :
1) The market is above the 5 10 20 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA (Strong Bullish sign)
2) The MACD is above the 0 line indicating a Bullish market, With a positive crossover between the MACD line and the Signal line.
3) The RSI is at 57.62 showing good strength in the market, with no divergences found between the market and the indicator.
Weekly Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1) 144.50 1) 151.52
2) 140.32 2) 154.36
3) 137.48 3) 158.54
Fundamental point of view :
AAPL's Return On Assets of 26.32% is amongst the best returns of the industry. AAPL outperforms 100% of its industry peers. The industry average Return On Assets is 1.83% and The Profit Margin is 25.00%. This is amongst the best returns in the industry. The industry average is 3.14%. AAPL outperforms 96% of its industry peers.
AAPL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last 5 years, the EPS has been growing by 22.14% yearly and AAPL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming 5 years, the EPS will grow by 14.23% yearly.
AAPL has an Altman-Z score of 7.72. This indicates that AAPL is financially healthy and little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from Fundamental Analysts and News for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading.
Apple | Fundamental Analysis | Must Read...Apple will release its fourth-quarter 2021 fiscal year results this Thursday, which entails investors looking for a fast-growing stock trading at a low price need to act quickly, as the smartphone titan looks poised to deliver solid numbers that will help halt the recent decline in its stock price.
As many know, Apple's stock has fallen over the past few weeks notwithstanding reports that the latest iPhone 13 models are in greater demand than last year's lineup. Let's take a look at the reasons why smart investors should take advantage of the Apple stock pullback.
Recent reports suggest that iPhone 13 sales may be held back by supply chain constraints. The iPhone maker could lose as many as 10 million iPhone 13 units as a worldwide shortage of semiconductors could disrupt production lines. The smartphone maker reportedly expected to produce 90 million iPhone units in 2021, but third-party reports indicate that it may fall short of that mark.
As it turns out, the chip shortage is awaited to influence not only iPhone production, but also interfere with the release of iPads and MacBooks. Not surprisingly, investor sentiment towards Apple stock has turned negative, but it should not be forgotten that the company has a huge opportunity.
For example, Wall Street expects Apple's fourth-quarter revenue to grow nearly 31% year-over-year to $84.7 billion. Earnings are expected to rise to $1.23 per share from $0.73 per share a year ago. When the company released its fiscal third-quarter results in July, Apple did not provide official guidance, citing uncertainty caused by the COVID-19 outbreak, but it would not be shocking if the company beat market expectations.
Morgan Stanley analysts estimate that Apple's iPhone shipments for the quarter that ended in September will grow 17% year over year to 49 million units. When you consider that in the 5G era, Apple expects the average selling price of iPhones to rise significantly, revenue from the company's largest product line (which accounts for 49% of third-quarter revenue) could grow impressingly. Not surprisingly, Morgan Stanley analysts expect Apple's iPhone revenue to grow 52% year over year in the September quarter.
The higher ASP, as well as the fact that the company's services business is growing at a good pace, should lead to higher margins. Apple recorded a 33% year-over-year increase in services revenue in its third fiscal quarter, and that trend is likely to continue, due to remarkable increase in offerings such as the Apple TV+.
All of this indicates that Apple is well on its way to achieving good results. More importantly, the tech giant will likely be able to maintain its high growth rate as it is at the beginning of a big renewal cycle.
Investors shouldn't worry too much about near-term problems that could derail iPhone production, as the company has ample room to grow in the era of 5G smartphones thanks to its huge user base.
CEO Tim Cook said in January that Apple has a base of more than 1 billion active iPhone users. The company only released its first 5G-enabled iPhone models last year, which means that only a small fraction of its installed base is using 5G devices. Shipments of the iPhone 12 (Apple's first 5G-enabled device) totaled 100 million units this April, meaning that millions of users are still in the upgrade window.
Thus, Apple could continue to see significant growth in shipments in the coming years as more and more users upgrade to the new iPhones. Add to that improved pricing for 5G-enabled smartphones, and it's no wonder why Apple's revenue is expected to grow nearly 20 percent a year over the next five years. That's a big jump from the 8.4 percent annual earnings growth the company has seen over the past five years.
Finally, since Apple is trading at a forward earnings ratio of 29, which is lower than the Nasdaq-100's high tech weighted ratio of more than 35, it makes sense to buy these tech stocks before the earnings report comes out, as strong numbers and solid guidance can lift the stock and increase its value.
AAPL Tecnical AnalysisWe are seeing a pullback after the butterfly pattern. This retracement could bounce upwards in response from 0.618. Or it can be as long as 1.27 supply zones.
Therefore, I think that the region above the region I indicated with 0.618 may be suitable for buying, and the region below it may be suitable as the stop loss region.
When we look at the indicator data, it signals that the price will return from here.
Although Rsi is 34, if this descent extends to 0.618, the rsi value will have fallen below 20. A value of less than 35 seems reasonable for a buying opportunity. In other words, starting to collect from here seems like a suitable option to avoid being left out, even if there is a return.
I have an equation that I developed called W*2. I will not go into details, but according to this calculation made with both pattern and indicator data, one more shape should emerge.
The simulation image of this formula is as follows.
If the section that says score on the indicator script I wrote was above +0, it would be necessary to handle this image differently.
Of course, this is a newly developed equation. Your own strategy is always more valuable than the ideas of others. I am already doing this analysis to support you in making the right investment decision by comparing my opinion with your own strategies.
So you shouldn't consider this an investment advice.
Looking at the Aroon indicator, we might think that we might see sellers weakening and buyers getting ready to start a trend. According to my W*2 equation that I just mentioned, if we also calculate the shortness of the climb, I think the aroon up and aroon down will meet in the middle and the sellers will continue to go up again.
The estimated image that I expect to form on the indicators is as follows;
When we look at the trend indicators, we detect a positive dissonance in momentum. In other words, we can think of it as a signal that prices can return from here.
The fact that the ADx is above 30 also indicates that the downward trend has weakened.
When we look at the money indicators, we can think that the money inflow has started in the cmf and that this is a pullback according to the cmf data.
We can also see the falling wedge of the already emerging downtrend. So this decline may actually be a pullback.
I tried to show the angle of price averages with green bars in Atr. This may make us think that there is actually no real pullback in prices.
When the upturn begins and prices start to rise, a bearish line will begin to form at atr.
In summary;
I'm waiting for the prices to return from here.
I believe that the real breakdown will start then, by testing the 158s of the price.
NOTE: This is not investment advice.