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AAPL SHORT TRADE OUTLOOK ON EARNINGS REPORT DAY OCT.31, 2024NASDAQ:AAPL SHORT TRADE IDEA: WEEKLY FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS: >P/E Ratio (Quarterly Lookback): Apple's P/E is currently at 35.6, signaling overvaluation (typically anything above 25 is considered overvalued). >Correlation: Both Apple's P/E ratio and value compared to Treasury bonds are flashing overvalued signals. DAILY OUTLOOK: >Short-term and long-term value correlations vs T-bonds and P/E ratios suggest the stock may remain overbought until the upcoming earnings report, which could act as a catalyst. >Election Year Seasonality is strongly bearish as well. TECHNICAL INSIGHT: >AAPL may pull back to fill a previous price gap before slowing down. Stay sharp, traders! 🎯 #AAPL #ShortTrade #MarketAnalysis #Investing Disclaimer: This post is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It reflects general market fundamentals and personal speculation. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Trade at your own risk.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by TradersPod
TSMC: Chipmaker Prepares for WarRising tensions between China and Taiwan pose a significant challenge to the global technology supply chain. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), a world leader in chip manufacturing, is at the forefront of these concerns. In response to the potential for a Chinese invasion, TSMC has developed contingency plans, including the ability to remotely disable its advanced chipmaking equipment. This "kill switch" strategy is intended to prevent China from acquiring TSMC's cutting-edge semiconductor technology. Such an event could have a crippling effect on the global tech industry, with companies like Apple potentially facing significant disruptions. The article delves into the geopolitical factors driving these tensions, the ramifications of a potential invasion of the global tech supply chain, and the ongoing efforts to bolster domestic chipmaking capabilities in Western countries. These efforts aim to reduce dependence on a single source and mitigate the risks associated with geopolitical instability. While the exact timeline for a potential invasion and the effectiveness of TSMC's contingency plans remain uncertain, this situation highlights the critical need for strategic planning and technological self-sufficiency in an increasingly complex geopolitical landscape.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by signalmastermind
Triple Top Apple going down - ultimately a head and shouldersApple will pierce the 50 and go back to it's latest accumulation area due to coming out with nothing new besides a crappy calculator and hitching it's failing stock (Buffett sold) to the latest bubble fad: AI. I see Apple ultimately failing because the future will get rid of free business models for "stake holders" - if Biden gets reelected because we will have DIGITALID after the election and CBDC's shortly after that. If Trump gets in we'll morph to a gold standard, and Apple will have one last gasp of an idea that completes the right shoulder before the global economy is lost to global depression because of The Great Reset which is unavoidable due to currencies being ticking time bombs due to the coming sovereign defaults. This will ultimately push up the dollar to 160+ before imploding itself. I don't see ANY reason to hold Apple here. Fear and Greed is turning on the Weekly and Greed is losing momentum, RSI turning down and MACD is forming a crossover soon. I'd buy puts on this: September 130 going for .25, this will return 20x. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by EmptyEternity
Apple Struggles in China as Huawei Stages Smartphone ComebackThe Chinese smartphone market, a crucial battleground for tech giants, is witnessing a significant shift. According to research firm Counterpoint, Apple has experienced a concerning 19.1% decline in iPhone sales during the first quarter of 2024. This slump comes in stark contrast to the impressive 69.7% surge in smartphone sales enjoyed by China's own Huawei over the same period. This news paints a worrying picture for Apple's dominance in the world's largest smartphone market. The reasons behind the decline are multifaceted. Some analysts point towards a slowdown in overall smartphone sales in China. However, Huawei's impressive growth suggests a deeper issue specific to Apple. One potential factor is the recent launch of Huawei's Mate 60 smartphone. This flagship device boasts a powerful, next-generation 5G chip, potentially enticing consumers looking for cutting-edge technology. Apple's latest iPhone offerings might not have possessed the same level of innovation in the eyes of Chinese consumers. Another possibility lies in the ongoing geopolitical tensions between the United States and China. Nationalistic sentiment could be driving Chinese consumers towards domestic brands like Huawei, especially considering the ongoing US sanctions against the company. This could be further amplified by any negative media coverage surrounding Apple. Furthermore, Apple's premium pricing strategy might be hindering sales in a market increasingly focused on affordability. While the iPhone is known for its quality and brand recognition, competitors like Huawei are offering compelling features at a more competitive price point. This could be particularly appealing to budget-conscious consumers. The decline also raises questions about the effectiveness of Apple's marketing strategy in China. Perhaps the company hasn't effectively communicated the value proposition of its latest iPhones to the Chinese market. Cultural nuances and a deeper understanding of consumer preferences might be crucial in reigniting sales. Looking ahead, Apple will need to take decisive action to address this challenge. Here are some potential strategies the company could consider: • Product Innovation: Introducing features that resonate with Chinese consumers, potentially focusing on advancements in areas like camera technology or integration with popular Chinese social media platforms. • Localization: Tailoring marketing campaigns and product offerings to cater to the specific tastes and preferences of the Chinese market. This could involve collaborating with local influencers or offering unique features specific to China. • Competitive Pricing: Re-evaluating its pricing strategy in China. While maintaining its brand image, exploring options to make iPhones more accessible to a wider range of consumers. • Partnerships: Potentially forging strategic partnerships with Chinese firms to improve brand image and distribution channels. The Chinese smartphone market is fiercely competitive, and Apple's recent decline serves as a wake-up call. While the company still boasts a loyal customer base globally, it needs to adapt and innovate to maintain its position in China. Addressing the issues discussed above could help Apple regain its footing and ensure its long-term success in this crucial market. This situation also highlights the rise of Chinese tech giants like Huawei. With a strong focus on innovation and a deep understanding of their domestic market, these companies are increasingly challenging established players like Apple. The global smartphone landscape is likely to see a fascinating battle unfold in the coming years, with Chinese firms potentially shaping the future of the industry.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by bryandowningqln
APPLE $AAPL - Mar. 9th, 2024APPLE NASDAQ:AAPL - Mar. 9th, 2024 BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $174.25 - $187.15 DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $168.15 - $174.25 SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $155.65 - $168.15 (or extended from previous post, $175.40 - $181.50) Weekly: Bearish Daily: Bearish 4H: Bearish NASDAQ:AAPL price completely smashed through the bearish zone. Here are the updated zones I would be looking at when entering trades. Extended hours are displayed on the 4h to show how price moved towards the bottom and throughout the bearish zone, price went strongly through the bottom level and with no reversal insight shorts should have continued, at least partially. As a trend trader I am open to going in either direction, however; I would not consider going long until at the very least there is a close above the $174.25 level, but even then the weekly timeframe will not have enough time to label it as bullish. I labeled the start of the bearish trend and some quick thoughts as I glanced at the charts, previous post will be linked with this one. This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas. ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by TonyAiello
AAPL: Time for PutsFirstly I'm a huge NASDAQ:AAPL fan when it comes to their products, however, I believe the time has come to buy some Put Options. Trend Analysis Utilizing the 1D chart, I found a double-top "M" pattern and at the time of this idea we are currently sitting a little under the second peak. The descent can be steep according to a macro-Fibonacci tool where the $125 share price rests around a 50% retracement level. Support at this level has been strong since May 2021. I used two micro-Fibonacci tools to identify areas of minor support during the descent. I believe the use of both is necessary as some traders will be using the uptrend retracement (green) and others will use the downtrend retracement (red). I believe that there is a good possibility for reversal at the 61.8% downtrend Fib retracement as this level has been a key area of support and resistance since August 2021; see image below. It goes without saying that by the time the share price reaches this level, the double top pattern will already be considered valid so it's my opinion that a catalyst in the form of bad news will be required to see further declines. Fundamental Analysis According to the Q3 Earnings Call (Annual Report), Apple has only utilized 17.67% of its $90 billion dollar share repurchase program authorized in May '23. According to a later footnote, Apple repurchased $76.6 billion of its shares during 2023 which leads me to believe there is either a mistake in the report or that most of the $76.6 billion satisfies an earlier repurchase program. On the 10K form, see bottom of page 18 - note 1 and bottom of page 20. Cash on-hand has increased by 27% since September 2022. Current ratio (current assets/current liabilities) is 0.99 which is concerning from a financial standpoint. However, this is an improvement from September 2022 when its current ratio was 0.88. Retained earnings, while still in a deficit, has improved by 93% since September 2022. These deficits were self-inflicted as Apple spent most of its net income on stock repurchases the last three years. Sentiments I didn't find anything that changed my opinion on the current market trend for Apple. While the company does appear to be improving it is still in a rough spot. The aggressive repurchasing of its own stock and placing itself into a deficit doesn't make sense to me as a long-term plan. I understand that companies will do this to raise their EPS and benefit their shareholders but it also says that the company doesn't plan on expanding in the foreseeable future.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by Shepherd_Investor
1
Important Update on US Government Lawsuit Against AppleThe recent US government lawsuit against Apple has sent shockwaves through the stock market, causing many traders to reevaluate their investments in the tech giant. The lawsuit alleges that Apple has engaged in anti-competitive behavior by restricting competition in the App Store, potentially harming consumers and developers alike. As traders, it is important to proceed with caution in light of this lawsuit. The outcome of this legal battle could have significant implications for Apple's future profitability and market value. Until there is more clarity on the situation, it may be wise to hold off on investing further into Apple. It is crucial for traders to carefully monitor the developments of this lawsuit and consider the potential risks involved in holding Apple stock. By staying informed and making informed decisions, we can protect our investments and navigate this uncertain time in the market. In conclusion, I urge all traders to exercise caution and refrain from investing in Apple until more information is available regarding the US government lawsuit. Stay informed, stay vigilant, and protect your investments.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by bryandowningqln
APPLE $AAPL - Feb. 23rd, 2024APPLE NASDAQ:AAPL - Feb. 23rd, 2024 BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $187.15 - $196.20 (can be extended to 185.00) DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $181.50 - $187.15 (can be shortened to 185.00) SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $175.40 - $181.50 Weekly: DNT Daily: DNT, Lean Bearish 4H: Bearish Currently would not enter in Apple, NASDAQ:AAPL , as I believe the current zone is untradeable, but something I would be looking for in the next week or so. Bulls could enter around 187.15, but an earlier entry might be above the current daily candle (also the current 4h structural high) around 185.00 or at the top of the bearish zone at 181.50. I did draw a bearish zone although I personally would not be looking to go short. The daily timeframe is lean bearish because the most recent level break was to the downside, weekly would need to see a new low (lower than the most recent two weeks) or a close below level 181.50 to be switched to bearish. 4H has strong bearish structure despite seeing two green days out of the last three. This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas. ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
NASDAQ:AAPL
by TonyAiello
🍎Apple🍎 is Ready to Fall at least ➖5%🍎 Apple is moving in the 🟡 PRZ (Price Reversal Zone) 🟡. 💡If we look at the last 4-5 Apple candles in the daily time frame , we can see some Bearish Reversal Candlestick Patterns at the same time: Evening Star Candlestick Patten, Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern, Bearish Harami Candlestick Pattern. 💡Also, another sign of the end of this upward rally can be shown to us by the Stoch RSI indicator .👇 🔔I expect Apple to have a bearish trend in the coming days and at least fall to the 🟢 Support zone($182.95_$181.30) 🟢 and fill all the 🔵 Gaps 🔵. Apple ( AAPLUSD ) Analyze, Daily time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by pejman_zwin
1
Apple - 2 short ideas - Mirror, mirror on the wall...General Apple in an uptrend with some small downtrends the last 2 monthsis approaching the yearly open. 2 short ideas that i would be willing to take if the requirements are met. I will post an additional idea with 1 long setup that i will take if it should develop. 1. Short (Orange arrow) Requirements - Price rises above yearly open and the recent swing high - Price breaks again under yearly open and enter little under the yearly open Target Former resistance area (area 1) Invalidation / SL - Yearly open and /or Swing High turn support Stop- Loss - Above the Swing High Time duration Days, weeks, months, years... ;) 2. Short (Blue arrow) Requirements - Price falls under area 1 - Area 1 turns resistance - Enter on retes Target Former support level with confluence to the 50% Fib of the current range Invalidation / SL - Retaking area 1 after breaking under it Stop- Loss - Slightly above area 1 Time duration Days, weeks, months, years... ;) Good luck
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by a_tale_of_bulls_and_bears
[EN] APPLE big crossroads on November 2 // GaliortiTradingIn the 1-month chart NASDAQ:AAPL has lost its 10-session average , a chart widely followed by large traders, which may condition a bearish momentum in the medium term . 1 Month Since 2005 NASDAQ:AAPL has been in a rising channel with an accelerating slope. In fact, in the last 10 years it is developing an ascending wedge . The final loss of the 10-session average on monthly chart could be a powerful bearish force generator that would allow to break strongly its lower portion. The objective is to develop a corrective counter-trend with a target at the floor of the very long-term channel (around $130 ). 1 W The weekly chart shows that the price has been dominated by a bearish trend line since early August . It is likely that these next two weeks, the downward correction will persist until November 2 when the company publishes results . We would be talking about an environment around $159 . There is a great support there: - EMA 100 sessions - floor of the long term ascending wedge - proximity of a strong liquidity zone At this level ($159) the rebound or its perforation will be of great violence and with great volume, all conditioned by the company's business results: - if they were read positively by the market : NASDAQ:AAPL would rebound with great force (closing of shorts + strong oversold). We would see again historical highs with a target in the upper zone of the rising wedge (around $270-300 ). - If these were read negatively by the market : this relevant support would be lost and the NASDAQ:AAPL would send us a great medium-term bearish signal with a target at the floor of the 2005 bullish channel (around $130 ). If a downward opening gap appears, leaving the support of the rising wedge ($159) above, it would give us a great bearish trading window. Stop loss : above the gap. Target : floor of the long-term channel ($130). 1 D If we extend the chart to a 1-day period, we will observe that the current short-term bearish movement has its origin in a gap that did not close on August 4th . The TSI indicator at the present time has given a bearish signal, so it is highly probable that the falls will continue in the next few days . We must remember that there is a large liquidity zone around $150-155 that could greatly accelerate the rises or falls. We have to be very attentive to November 2nd (results) because it will generate a great opportunity to buy/sell in the medium term! . Pablo G.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by GaliortiTrading
Apple Moving Lower for LongerAPPL (1D) - Quick Analysis Price Chart Apple's price action has filled it's August gap (White Dotted) and turned lower pushing past the 12, 26, and 50-day EMA's in one swoop. Both RSI and OBV have created trend lines (Yellow Solid) that the indicators look to be respecting with failed retest; as RSI is on the verge of pushing below the 50 level. What Seems Legit? This bad boy finally cooling off. It's up 60% YTD. First retest it's 200-day EMA then retest it's major trend line and some good chaos in-between. Check us out on Twitter for charts not posted here, memes, and news that that doesn't make the news Chart Key Yellow Solid = Trend Line White Dotted = Gap Fill Green Boxes = Supports / Target Areas
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by Seems_Legit_Research
Short Trade in AAPLApple has been a top performer all year. The uptrend has been a thing of beauty – steadily marching higher since January. But that ride is over. The stock fell 10% in a week and still failed to attract buyers. It finally broke down last week before reversing higher. But that rally failed. And AAPL is again breaking through short-term support. Traders may consider selling short AAPL stock here in a bet that it will go lower still. This is a very low-risk trade since you could place a buy stop at $182 and risk less than 3% on the trade. Given the high price of the stock, it may be easier to simply buy a put option, like the AAPL $175 put that expires on October 20.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by rossgivens
Apple -> Will It Hold Support?Hello Traders and Investors , my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Apple 💪 Starting on the monthly timeframe you can see that after Apple broke out of the clear triangle formation in confluence with the bullish moving averages, Apple created a strong rally of 30% towards the upside, breaking major resistance. The weekly timeframe looks a little bit overextended with barely and red candles during the last major push so we could certainly see a retest of the previous all time high at $180. I am now just waiting to see how Apple reacts at the current level considering that we are once again retesting the bullish trendline - so far market structure is still bullish but if we see a break lower, the daily timeframe looks like a correction is inevitable. Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint 📈 Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! My previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by basictradingtv
35
Apple -> Watch This Potential PatternHello Traders and Investors , my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Apple 💪 Starting on the monthly timeframe you can see that after Apple broke out of the clear triangle formation in confluence with the bullish moving averages, Apple created a strong rally of 30% towards the upside, breaking major resistance. The weekly timeframe on Apple is showing some overextension towards the upside and Apple hasn't retested the 0.236 fib level yet so we could indeed see a short term pullback now. Apple could also created a solid double top on the daily timeframe and if Apple stock also breaks below the solid uptrend line we could certainly see a short term move lower to retest the previous all-time-high at the $180 level. Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint 📈 Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! My previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by basictradingtv
25
Is AAPL About To Risk-off?So basically, I have been eying Apple for a while... and I noticed today that the pattern sinjce the market top in late 2021 appears to resemble an EXPANDING DIAGONAL which is a somewhat uncommon elliot wave chart pattern. The rally from the lows in early 2023 also is clearly a zig-zag up into the resistance zone at the all-time-high. There also appears to be pretty strong RSI divergence down from the 2019 and 2020 highs. So, if I am right, we have a 30% correction in NASDAQ:AAPL (and possibly stocks writ-large) about to arrive. I am currently positioned to be market-neutral (with both longs and shorts in my portfolio), because I actually think directionality is unclear. However, this does tie-in with what's happening on NFLX and certain other stocks. So I think this could be the risk-off moment that people have been waiting for. I am going to attempt to scale into a short here, and place my stop loss slightly above the all time highs. I expect a 30% correction in the market. So this isn't a huge collapse (yet...) so don't get over-ambitious and manage your risk.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by RogueEconomics
4