APPLE Soars! Long Trade Achieves Key Targets – Bulls in ControlApple has displayed a strong uptrend since the long entry at 184.92 on 7th May, 2024, reaching multiple profit targets as the bullish momentum continued.
Key Levels
Entry: 184.92 – The long position was initiated as the price broke above this level, indicating bullish strength.
Stop-Loss (SL): 174.50 – Positioned below recent support to manage risk and protect against a downside move.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 197.80 – The first target was achieved, confirming the continuation of the uptrend.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 218.65 – Bullish momentum carried the price to this level.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 239.50 – A further extension of the rally will bring the price to this target which looks very likely.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 252.38 – The final profit target, indicating a significant uptrend since the entry.
Trend Analysis
Apple's price is well above the Risological Dotted trendline, affirming the strength of the uptrend. The sustained upward movement suggests strong market sentiment, with the potential for further gains beyond the final target.
The long trade on Apple has performed exceptionally well, with multiple targets reached. The final target at 252.38 reflects a robust rally, supported by the Risological Dotted trendline and consistent buying interest.
Applesignals
APPLE Stock 22% Gain - Profit Target 2 Reached!The APPLE stock price crosses over the Risological swing trader dotted line on on May 3, 2024 giving us a clear bullish trade setup.
LONG Trade Setup
Entry 185.5
Current trailing stop loss at : 203.6
Overall gain from the entry: 22%
Last profit target is at 254.5
Congratulations, who made profit!
APPLE Dont get fooled by the short-term pull-back. $280 on trackExactly 3 months ago (May 02, see chart below), we called for a strong buy signal on Apple (AAPL) and it dully delivered as 2 days ago the stock completed three straight green months with a new All Time High (ATH):
The recent weekly pull-back shouldn't allow you to diverge from the bigger picture and on this analysis we look at it from a 1M time-frame perspective. As you can see, as long as the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) holds, Apple will continue to be on a 15-year uptrend, which shows very distinct Phases.
Right now we are on the Channel Up that followed the 2022 Inflation Crisis, which was a similar correction to 2015 - 2016 (China's slowdown). The Channel Up that followed peaked at +161% before the next correction towards the 1M MA50. Even the 2013 - 2014 rise was still +145%.
As a result, we don't believe the current Channel Up to be over either, expecting a peak closer to 300. Our Target is marginally below it at $280.00.
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APPLE formed 1st 1D Golden Cross in 15 months! Attention needed.It wasn't long ago when we called for a buy on Apple's (AAPL) absolute technical bottom (April 25 and May 02, see charts below respectively):
Needless to say that the 198.00 Target has been smashed. As the price reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 20-month (blue) Channel Up, the stock turned sideways and has been consolidating for the past 4 sessions.
This is a strong indication of a medium-term Top. If rejected, we expect a Channel Down correction to at least the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), where we will again buy for the long-term. If broken though, we will buy the first 1D candle close above the (blue) Channel Up and target $250.00.
The reason for this bullish expectation is that Apple just formed the first 1D Golden Cross in 15 months (since March 22 2023). Last time it did, the price had already initiated the new Bullish Leg (in the form of a blue dotted Channel Up). It only started the medium-term correction of July 2023, when it closed a full candle below the 4H MA50 (thin red trend-line).
At the same time, the 1W RSI had to hit the 79.00 overbought level. As a result, if you do turn bullish upon a 1D candle breaking above the (blue) Channel Up, consider booking the profit earlier if 4H MA50 breaks or the 1W RSI gets rejected on its 79.00 Resistance (unless your portfolio can support the correction).
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Apple's Q2 Earnings: Mixed Bag with Share Buyback Boost
Apple's fiscal second-quarter earnings report presented a mixed picture for investors. While earnings per share (EPS) surpassed Wall Street expectations, overall revenue and iPhone sales experienced a decline. However, the company's massive share buyback announcement signaled confidence in its future.
Earnings Beat Expectations, Revenue and iPhone Sales Fall
Apple reported earnings per share of $1.52, exceeding analyst estimates of $1.48. This indicates that the company remained profitable, with each share of Apple stock generating slightly more income than anticipated.
However, the news wasn't entirely positive. Total revenue for the quarter dropped 4% year-over-year to $89.5 billion. This decline highlights a slowdown in overall business compared to the same period last year.
Further dampening investor sentiment was a 10% year-over-year decline in iPhone sales. This, Apple's flagship product, is a crucial source of revenue for the company. The decrease suggests a potential softening of demand or increased competition in the smartphone market.
Tim Cook Cites Difficult Comparisons
Apple CEO Tim Cook offered some context for the declining revenue and iPhone sales. He attributed the figures to a "difficult comparison" to the stellar performance of the same quarter in 2023. Last year's Q2 saw a surge in demand for Apple products due to factors like pandemic-driven remote work and learning.
Share Repurchase Announcement: A Confidence Signal
Despite the decline in revenue and iPhone sales, Apple made a bold move by announcing a staggering $110 billion share repurchase program. This is the largest such program in the company's history.
Share repurchases, also known as stock buybacks, involve a company buying back its own shares from the market. This can have several implications:
• Boosting Stock Price: By reducing the number of shares outstanding, buybacks can increase the earnings per share (EPS) ratio, potentially making the stock more attractive to investors.
• Signaling Confidence: A large buyback program can be interpreted as a sign of management's confidence in the company's future prospects. They are essentially using excess cash to invest back into the company itself.
• Returning Value to Shareholders: Buybacks are a way for companies to return excess cash to shareholders. This can be particularly appealing to investors seeking to generate income from their holdings.
Looking Ahead: A Balancing Act
Apple's Q2 earnings report presents a company navigating a dynamic market landscape. While EPS exceeded expectations, declines in revenue and iPhone sales raise questions about future growth. The massive share repurchase program indicates a commitment to shareholder value, but the effectiveness of this strategy hinges on Apple's ability to reignite revenue growth.
Investors will be closely monitoring upcoming reports and developments to assess Apple's ability to overcome these challenges and maintain its position as a tech industry leader.
APPLE This is why you should not miss this buy opportunity.Apple (AAPL) dived by -18% from the December 14 2023 High and following yet another rejection on its 1D MA50 this week, many turned increasingly skeptical over the stocks future. On this chart however, we examine Apple's ratio against Nasdaq (NDX) and gives a very clear answer.
As you can see, the ratio is about to form a Death Cross on the 1W time-frame, with the price attempting a rebound after having been hammered below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). In the past 11 years, every time the ratio was below its 1W MA200 (green arc) and on a 1W Death Cross in particular, that was the market bottom and Apple largely outperformed the rest of the index.
In fact the minimum it rose by until the next large correction was +53.54% and the maximum +95.31%. In 1W RSI terms, this bottom is very similar to January 2013, when the RSI also got extremely oversold at 20.00.
Bottom-line: Apple is most likely expected to outperform the index in the coming years, thus presenting a very rare long-term buy opportunity.
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APPLE Bouncing off extremely strong Support Cluster.Apple (AAPL) completed yesterday 3 straight green 1D candles, the longest such bullish streak in 3 months (since January 25). The rebound has been initiated inside the Lower Highs Zone that started after Apple's former All Time High (ATH) on January 04 2022.
The are a lot of recurring patterns involved as well, with one being that the current Channel Down that started on the December 14 2023 High, was rejected on the Resistance Zone that the previous Channel Down also did on the July 19 2023 High. That one made a Double Bottom on the Former ATH Lower Highs Zone after a rejection marginally above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before rebounding.
With the 1D RSI within a Channel Down as well since that High and having rebounded from its lowest level since February 2018, we have a very strong case for buying Apple, at least on the medium-term, targeting again the Resistance Zone's bottom at $198.00.
If it follows the pattern of the 2023 rally, we can even see it hitting the 1.382 Fibonacci extension at $211.00 or even higher by the end of the year since the pattern that on the January 03 2023 market bottom, is a Channel Up.
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Apple Struggles in China as Huawei Stages Smartphone ComebackThe Chinese smartphone market, a crucial battleground for tech giants, is witnessing a significant shift. According to research firm Counterpoint, Apple has experienced a concerning 19.1% decline in iPhone sales during the first quarter of 2024. This slump comes in stark contrast to the impressive 69.7% surge in smartphone sales enjoyed by China's own Huawei over the same period.
This news paints a worrying picture for Apple's dominance in the world's largest smartphone market. The reasons behind the decline are multifaceted. Some analysts point towards a slowdown in overall smartphone sales in China. However, Huawei's impressive growth suggests a deeper issue specific to Apple.
One potential factor is the recent launch of Huawei's Mate 60 smartphone. This flagship device boasts a powerful, next-generation 5G chip, potentially enticing consumers looking for cutting-edge technology. Apple's latest iPhone offerings might not have possessed the same level of innovation in the eyes of Chinese consumers.
Another possibility lies in the ongoing geopolitical tensions between the United States and China. Nationalistic sentiment could be driving Chinese consumers towards domestic brands like Huawei, especially considering the ongoing US sanctions against the company. This could be further amplified by any negative media coverage surrounding Apple.
Furthermore, Apple's premium pricing strategy might be hindering sales in a market increasingly focused on affordability. While the iPhone is known for its quality and brand recognition, competitors like Huawei are offering compelling features at a more competitive price point. This could be particularly appealing to budget-conscious consumers.
The decline also raises questions about the effectiveness of Apple's marketing strategy in China. Perhaps the company hasn't effectively communicated the value proposition of its latest iPhones to the Chinese market. Cultural nuances and a deeper understanding of consumer preferences might be crucial in reigniting sales.
Looking ahead, Apple will need to take decisive action to address this challenge. Here are some potential strategies the company could consider:
• Product Innovation: Introducing features that resonate with Chinese consumers, potentially focusing on advancements in areas like camera technology or integration with popular Chinese social media platforms.
• Localization: Tailoring marketing campaigns and product offerings to cater to the specific tastes and preferences of the Chinese market. This could involve collaborating with local influencers or offering unique features specific to China.
• Competitive Pricing: Re-evaluating its pricing strategy in China. While maintaining its brand image, exploring options to make iPhones more accessible to a wider range of consumers.
• Partnerships: Potentially forging strategic partnerships with Chinese firms to improve brand image and distribution channels.
The Chinese smartphone market is fiercely competitive, and Apple's recent decline serves as a wake-up call. While the company still boasts a loyal customer base globally, it needs to adapt and innovate to maintain its position in China. Addressing the issues discussed above could help Apple regain its footing and ensure its long-term success in this crucial market.
This situation also highlights the rise of Chinese tech giants like Huawei. With a strong focus on innovation and a deep understanding of their domestic market, these companies are increasingly challenging established players like Apple. The global smartphone landscape is likely to see a fascinating battle unfold in the coming years, with Chinese firms potentially shaping the future of the industry.
Testing Vix Cheat Sheet on Apple, 5 days + 4.11%The Viz cheat sheet indicator reveals that if the Vix closes above the upper Bollinger band ($19.01) during the next 5 days that means the Apple stock price will increase by 4.11% to $174. Currently the Vix is around $18.
I've tested this indicator the Vix cheat sheet before with quite impressive results.
AAPL Apple WAIT to BUYAAPL Apple WAIT to BUY
If you look at Weekly TF:
there is still room for downside
There is a good support at 170$, however, one should not give any money to market by jumping the gun. Any trade should be initiated only at support OR when price breaks the TL in the direction of our trade.
Better way to initiate a BUY entry would be, when price breaks above the Red Sloping TL and closes above it, Then a BUY entry can be initiated.
If a BUY entry is initiated, then
1st Target would be 180,
2nd Target would be 195
For stop loss (Partial exit ) when price breaks below the Red Sloping TL and complete exit when Green HOrizontal Support TL at 170 gets breached.
The Power of Supply and Demand: Apple Stock Smart InvestmentAre you looking to make a smart investment with the potential for high returns? Look no further than Apple stock (NASDAQ: AAPL). In this supply and demand stock analysis, I will explore the power of supply and demand in driving the value of Apple stock and why investing in this tech giant could be a game-changing move for your portfolio. Read on to discover why now is the perfect time to jump on board with one of the most iconic companies in the world.
One of the key factors driving the success of Apple’s stock is its strong weekly demand level, which recently took control a couple of weeks ago at $174 per share. This demand level refers to the amount of interest and investor purchases in a given week. In simpler terms, it reflects how many people buy and hold onto Apple shares.
APPLE Long-term buying commencing.Apple (AAPL) is exactly -15% down since the December 14 2023 High and is approaching the Support Zone of the October 26 2023 Low. We are currently on the 3rd major correction of the last 18 months and being that close to both the Support Zone and the bottom of the Channel Down, suggests that institutional buying should be initiated.
If the current overall market volatility evolves into a short-term correction towards the Fed Rate Decision later this month, then there is always the possibility of Apple experiencing another -10% decline. But the upside even from the current level is greater at almost +30% and that is a conservative target based purely on the Higher highs trend-line since the August 17 2022 High.
We recommend buying now and if the price drops more as mentioned, a final buy on the 1W MA200 (red trend-line), which has been untouched for almost 8 years (since June 28 2016)! Our Target for late Q2 is $215.00. Note also that the 1D RSI hasn't been that low (oversold at 23.00) since February 02 2018, which adds more to the bullish case.
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APPLE Last chance to buy before $215.We are updating our Apple (AAPL) outlook on our last analysis a month ago (January 04 2024, see chart below) as the price remains under Lower Highs:
The dominant long-term pattern remains a Rising Wedge with the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) providing a strong rebound on February 02, which on the other hand got rejected on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This opens up a short-term window, one final opportunity to buy lower, even below the 1W MA50 where the majority of short-term buyers will be out due to fear of the Rising Wedge bearish break-out.
The previous 2 Channel Down patterns made the final Lower Low on the -0.236 Fibonacci extension. That is a little above 175.00. If the price hits it and at the same time the 1D RSI bounces on its Support Zone, it will most likely be the final buy opportunity. Our medium-term target is intact at the top of the Higher Highs trend-line at $215.00.
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🍎Apple🍎 can Fall more than ➖9%↘️Apple started to reduce from the 🔴 Resistance zone($199.80_$196.40) 🔴 with the help of the Head and Shoulders Pattern , and creating a 🔵 Breakaway Gap($192.53_$188.44) 🔵helped the validity of the pattern and the momentum of Apple's decline.
🏃♂️Currently, Apple is moving in the 🟢 Support zone($182.95_$181.30) 🟢.
🔔I expect Apple to continue falling after filling the 🔵Common Gap($184.25_$183.09)🔵 and breaking all Moving Averages at least until the next 🟢 Support zone($168.20_$164.30) 🟢(9%). There is a possibility of forming a Double Top Pattern in Apple. If the 🟢 Support zone($168.20_$164.30) 🟢 breaks, we can expect more fall from Apple.
📚If you want to know about the types of Gaps , you can read the following article.👇
Apple ( AAPLUSD ) Analyze, Daily time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
APPLE eyeing the 1W MA50 support.Apple (AAPL) hit yesterday the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since November 06, extending the rejection on the Resistance 1 level. A rejection that is in perfect symmetry with the February 03 rejection that also caused a pull-back.
The last call we made on Apple (see chart below) was on November 12 actually signaling a buy after the Falling Wedge break-out, targeting 195.00:
The fundamentals this time are far from ideal, so a greater correction seeks the next technical Support level. That is the 1W MA5 (red trend-line), which is currently sitting at the bottom (Higher Lows trendline) of the multi-month Rising Wedge pattern, and was the level that initiated the strong rally on the October 26 bottom.
As a result we are looking for a downside range within 177.00 - 175.00 and then rebound with a $215.00 target.
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APPLE Technical top at $210.Apple (AAPL) hit on Friday our $195.00 short-term target which we called on our latest November 12 analysis (see chart below):
The rally seems far from over as the recent pull-back turned out to be only a Bull Flag pattern, which typically prompts to a continuation of the trend. Being within a long-term Rising Wedge pattern, this pull-back resembles, even on 1D RSI terms, that of March 02, only on weaker strength (reasonably as the sequences get narrower towards the end of the pattern).
That first rally of the Wedged peaked just above the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. The current sequence's 1.382 Fib is at $210.00, which falls perfectly at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Rising Wedge, and that is our medium-term target.
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🍎Apple🍎 is Ready to Fall at least ➖5%🍎 Apple is moving in the 🟡 PRZ (Price Reversal Zone) 🟡.
💡If we look at the last 4-5 Apple candles in the daily time frame , we can see some Bearish Reversal Candlestick Patterns at the same time: Evening Star Candlestick Patten, Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern, Bearish Harami Candlestick Pattern.
💡Also, another sign of the end of this upward rally can be shown to us by the Stoch RSI indicator .👇
🔔I expect Apple to have a bearish trend in the coming days and at least fall to the 🟢 Support zone($182.95_$181.30) 🟢 and fill all the 🔵 Gaps 🔵.
Apple ( AAPLUSD ) Analyze, Daily time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.