Apple: App, App and Away?! 🍏Surely, it has been a roguh ride for the Apple stock but things start to look rosy. Our primary expectation centres around a continued lift-off, so that the support at $133.20 will be further left behind. The most important step will, however, be to overcome the red zone between $159.74 - $171.30, as the bears have a 40% chance to pull the price to new lows from there.
Applestock
The Big Apple Goes Rotten?I've been following Apple over the last 6 months and I can't help but shake the feeling this ascending broadening wedge "could" end up playing out. I know it's incredibly popular to be bearish now, which is usually a sign for me to put on the contrarian hat, but I still see this a decent probablity.
Apple stonks possible roundtripI checked M1 and W1 timeframes in chart just to set possible next supports and resistances in order to trace a roundtrip to long-term invest for Apple stonks.
We can also see in chart that squeeze momentum has a bearish divergence BUT we can also see that CRSI is overselled which makes me think about current bearish trend has not enough strength to imagine (for now) a big price fall.
Also Wyckoff gives us a clue about future moves for Apple stonks because we can expect SOW in Phase B after ST (not confirmed yet) but it seems a typical Wyckoff’s Distribution Schema.
As per expected moves are bearish and bullish ones so i decide to tag this idea NEUTRAL.
Apple price will drop after the new release of iPhone 14Apple will release soon new iPhone 14 but the new iPhone 14 will not have a big change from iPhone 13 and this could cause drop in price to 113$-92$ Zone to complete 2nd wave correction and after that we will se big jump in price to 478$ In 3th wave
Fresh Apple breakdown is a great test for this marketA fresh breakdown in Apple from it's multi-week range isn't going to help the Nasdaq $QQQ stay away from its June lows, but it's a great immediate test for the market.
If buyers, do in fact, bid into Apple and drive us higher into the close, absorbing the bad news, that could spark a bounce broadly, suggesting bad news is priced in, but it's on the buyers to prove it.
Right now the trend remains lower while volatility continues to rise, which is definitively bearish, and the Apple breakdown gives more ammo to the bear case.
2X $AAPL MEETS TREND LINE, TP 2 HIT 10%$AAPL has been on a run since JUNE '22, but it was time for a reversal to set in after rejecting the trendline in this bearish market we had to catch this move to the downside! TP2 HIT! Almost 12% Move with $19.35 price change. We are playing the pullbacks and moved down to @ TP3!
Things are getting a bit fruity (AAPL)Apple
Short Term
We look to Buy at 153.98 (stop at 149.64)
Preferred trade is to buy on dips. Previous support located at 153.00. The 50% Fibonacci retracement is located at 152.51 from 128.86 to 176.15. The 50 day moving average should provide support at 155.40.
Our profit targets will be 163.76 and 176.00
Resistance: 165.00 / 176.00 / 180.00
Support: 153.00 / 140.00 / 129.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Apple (AAPL) - Taking a bite out of its Market CapGood Day. We've seen recently in the markets, an over-exuberant reaction to the possibility of the Fed inexplicably changing course, in the face of generationally-high levels of inflation, that threatens to become endemic, and create longer-term problems for the US (and other global) economy.
Mr Market may have realised they could have got their bets 'slightly wrong'.
And these past few weeks, we've been tracking Apple - taking profits, and exiting completely in anticipation of THIS move.
Forget cognitive bias and your emotions - sometimes you can be bearish on the broader market, and yet still bullish on the stock. If that's the case, depending on the weakness of the broader market, it may be time to sell, take profits and wait for the next opportunity to scale in.
Let me know what you see in the charts above.
Order Flow, Liquidity, Market Structure = all the confluences we use and need to know, when trading.
Check our profile if you're interested - we look to post regularly here, and we're also posting frequently on our other platforms. Cheers.
Best,
Figuring Out Finance
2X $AAPL TP1 HIT, 4HR Tech. Analysis!$AAPL has been on a run since JUNE '22, but it was time for a reversal to set in after rjecting the trendline in this bearish market we had to catch this move to the downside! Almost 5% Move with $8.40 price change. We are playing the pullbacks and moved down to fill the Gap @ TP2!
$AAPL $AAPL - Who doesn't love a good 'Juicy' $APPL?!
We at clear resistance zone, I'd ideally like a PB.
Key Tip: You can't actually learn by those Instagram profiles full of 'strategies'. The only way of learning how to trade would be getting hands on experience by validated traders with track record. There're various stages in learning it's like mountain you learn the technicals, fundamentals and then you got the psychology aspects which a lot of manipulations in general happens regarding in the market and outside of the market, which very few understand... This industry is full of 'social media gurus' but make sure you tread carefully.
Here's a great statistic for you: 80% of all day traders quit within the first two years.
All the best,
TJ
APPLE Short Position (NEW)We expect that the price will increase to the 180 price levels and then the price will drop to the 160 price levels. RSI is overbought. On 4h we can see that potential bearish divergences forming , but we still wait for bearish divergences on 1D timeframe to get more confirmation which may come at the key resistance.
Entry, stop-loss, and target levels are in the chart.
$AAPL - What's going to happen next?LT View: $AAPL - What's going to happen next?
This a LT view of APPL - Monthly chart we are within a range, now here's thing why am I looking at stocks right now well as we have the key rates escalating higher, the further I want be keeping an eye on LT stocks I want part of my portfolio and one of them is APPL It's a company I firmly believe it isn't just 'phones' there's various other stocks that's very interesting within the company and there so many others but this is one of them I am showing you today.
Now we are technically within a range of: H = 160 / L = 130 a break to either direction is my key intrust - i'd love a dip below 50 EMA 110 Areas. However, it is one I am keeping an eye on technically and fundamentally as we see Nasdaq brewing nicely as well.
TJ
(Not Investment Advice)
What to expect from Apple's upcoming earnings report All eyes will be set on the earnings of tech heavyweights including Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) this week.
Apple is scheduled to publish its fiscal third-quarter results on Thursday and while the company had decided to forgo issuing a revenue guidance citing “the continued uncertainty around the world in the near term,” officials had earlier cautioned about issues that have affected the company’s operations.
Supply chain woes
“We're having supply constraints that are caused by the COVID-related disruptions and by the silicon shortages” Apple CFO Luca Maestri told analysts during an earnings call in late April.
Maestri estimated the impact of supply chain constraints on the group’s June quarter revenue to be in the range of $4 billion to $8 billion, “substantially larger than what we've had during the March quarter.”
During the March quarter, the iPhone maker’s revenue surged 8.6% year over year to $97.3 billion, topping analysts' average estimate of $93.89 billion, according to data from Refinitiv.
iPhone sales climbed 5.5% from a year earlier to $50.6 billion in the March quarter following the release of Apple’s new lineup of iPhones including a new 5G-enabled iPhone SE. The strong sales came despite the impact of COVID-19 disruptions on customer demand in China, one of Apple’s largest markets for iPhones.
Despite the lingering supply chain issues, Apple is predicted to top Wall Street's projections in the June quarter, according to JP Morgan analyst Samik Chatterjee.
Analysts polled by Yahoo Finance expect Apple’s revenue for the April-June period to come in at $82.6 billion, up from $81.4 billion last year. Chatterjee expects product segments outside the Mac to be unaffected by supply issues.
Strong Mac sales
In the fiscal second quarter ended March 26, Mac sales climbed almost 15% year over year to $10.44 billion. Mac sales account for nearly 11% of Apple’s total net sales during that period. But CEO Tim Cook in April acknowledged that Mac orders have also been affected by COVID-19 disruptions and silicon shortages.
“We've got lots of customers that we want to get the new Macs to. And so, we're working hard on them,” Cook said earlier.
In terms of the group’s services revenue, Maestri in April said the growth rate for the June quarter will likely be less than the 17% jump in services revenue reported in the March quarter.
iPhone 14 to spur demand
Meanwhile, some analysts expect the upcoming iPhone 14 lineup to spur demand for Apple’s phones when it comes out in September. But without a new release during the recent quarter, sales will likely be subdued.
KeyBanc analyst Brandon Nispel trimmed his revenue forecast for the July-September period by about $10 billion, to $388.5 billion, and for fiscal year 2023 by about $14 billion, to $408.5 billion.
The average consensus estimate of 40 analysts surveyed by Yahoo Finance is for full-year fiscal revenue to rise 7.6% year over year to $393.53 billion.
AAPL from a technical perspective
Apple stock have closed lower than it opened for the previous seven trading sessions as traders start to second guess their pricing-in of the upcoming earnings report.
Apple’s stock closed down nearly 1% on Friday and another 0.7% on Monday. The pullback follows an admirable ~12.0% gain the stock has booked since the beginning of July. Further movement to the downside will break the stock out of a tidy upwards channel that the stock has enjoyed over this time.
Apple needs more juiceApple
Short Term - We look to Sell at 154.48 (stop at 160.14)
Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 155.00, resulting in improved risk/reward. Posted a Double Top formation. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
Our profit targets will be 137.56 and 130.14
Resistance: 155.00 / 171.00 / 182.00
Support: 137.00 / 123.00 / 118.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
AAPL Apple : Short-term buy to key retest level 16.5Very straight-forward technical analysis .
Apple broke below substantial support trend-line beginning of May 2022.
The support was stretching higher with higher lows since early 2020, this changed just about a week ago.
The drop below the trend-line continued with a sharp drop from 155 to 139 at the lowest.
Connecting short-term lows provided support around 139.
Currently, short-term highs and lows converge into a 'falling wedge' pattern which may be bullish .
The only confirmation of bullish substantial movement would be with a break higher than 155 back to the long-term trend-line and therefor the breakout up of the 'falling wedge'.
A more likely scenario and the projection of this chart, is a retest of 155 post breakout - Which once retest confirms, would be the continuation of the down-trend.
In summary, Apple with high probability is going back to retest the long-term breakout, which makes for a very short-term buy.
**We must remember Apple went from $54 in March 2020 all the way to $180 early 2022.
There's plenty of room for Apple to correct down.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thank you so much for reading! If you found my idea useful, please like and follow! It would mean a lot :)
I encourage you to do your own research and be cautious when trading, this is not financial advice but meant for educational purposes.
My goal is to help as many traders as I can become a profitable investor.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Apple: Are we at the bottom yet?!Apple
Short Term - We look to Buy a break of 140.40 (stop at 136.34)
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. Posted a Bullish Hammer Bottom on the 4 hour chart. This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return. A break of 140.00 is needed to confirm follow through bullish momentum.
Our profit targets will be 149.76 and 156.00
Resistance: 140.24 / 149.76 / 156.00
Support: 136.00 / 132.61 / 123.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
AAPL Weekly AnalysisDrawing this curved channel we can see consistent rejections along the top (red) line, price has recently hit this line and been rejected
There are two options now for price recovery, at the yellow line, which is a trend established from previous price points
Or the 200MA (in green) which has conversely seen a lot of support touches
The 200MA entry is a more reliable choice in my pov
The breakdown is a result of a rising wedge pattern