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Appleupside

Will Apple be the first in the race for a trillion?The earnings season in the US is still very ambiguous. And generates more questions than answers. Facebook's historic fall alone makes this season memorable. But this season does not necessarily enter the history of the stock markets with a negative. The matter is that tomorrow the quarterly reporting of Apple (the publication is planned for July 31st, 2018 after the market close) will be published. The current capitalization of Apple is $ 970 billion. That is, the company has come close to a trillion-dollar mark. And has a good chance to reach the finish line first, ahead of the main competitors from Alphabet, Amazon and Microsoft. On the one hand, the reaction of investors in the current earnings season is alarming. We have already mentioned Facebook, which managed to lose about $ 150 billion during a day on a very good figure. This is also Intel Corp., which even exceeded analysts' forecasts, but again was subjected to tough sales. And Netflix Inc., which demonstrated excellent data, but suffered severe losses. There are many such examples. As a result, in the current earnings season, the technology sector demonstrates the worst results. And this even though out of 36 technology companies, 35 showed better results than analysts forecast. That is, something quite illogical is happening. But on the other hand, illogical markets can’t be permanent. Yes, from companies mentioned above, investors expect extraordinary and when they get something just ordinary, they are disappointed and give in to panic. Nevertheless, one must look at the situation not through rose-colored glasses of inflated expectations, but through the prism of the real world. So, what do investors expect from Apple? In terms of quantitative indicators, it is the company's revenue growth of 15% y/y (the company's revenue for the third fiscal quarter is expected to amount to about $ 52.3 billion). This growth rate is the best for the company since 2015. Analysts say that the reason for such a rapid growth for the company is the rise in prices for the iPhone (yes, the growth rate of smartphone sales is only 2%, but together with the price of $ 1,000 iPhone X this should give a gain of revenue of about 17%. , the segment of smartphones generates about 60% of the company's revenues), the growth of revenues from the services sector (the company plans to increase revenue from this direction up to $ 50 billion a year and develops it very actively), as well as increased sales of Apple Watch and other products of the company (AirPods, HomePod, Apple TV). So, if the data do not fail, investors will have a very good reason for buying Apple shares. Also, important will be the company's comments about, the pace of sales of the iPhone X, as well as the effects of the trade wars of the US and China. At these moments the reaction will be most acute. Overall, given the illogical reaction of investors recently, Apple shares may be under pressure, especially if the quarterly data or management comments disappoint. Nevertheless, the general vector of the company's development so far does not give grounds for serious doubts about its effectiveness. So, we believe that the chances of reaching a trillion of capitalization from Apple are quite high. Our recommendation is to buy Apple shares.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Trade24Fx
APPLE @ daily Chart @ with new Yearly High (last Monday) from 2016-04-24 to 2016-07-26 - between 89.46 and 101.01 w-formation was created Usually a w-formation is an trend-reversal-formation. And this w-formation was even created under the extended downside trendline after alltime highs in 2015 132.84 (2015-07-21): start of the downside trendline after alltime highs in 2015 123.60 (2015-11-04): end of the downside trendline after alltime highs in 2015 112.71 (2016-09-23): Friday (last trading) Closed After the breakUP of the downside trendline after alltime highs in 2015 the breakUP was etablished by two new lows (a) even above the w-formation (101.01) (b) even above the downside trendline after alltime highs in 2015 (102.24) Right here right now we got a short term trading box 116.19 (2015-09-19): yearly high of 2016 112.71 (2016-09-23): Friday (last trading) Closed 111.55 (2015-09-23): intraday low of friday To trade new yearly highs is the mid-term trading zone essentiel False breakOUT of the downside trendline after alltime highs in 2015 112.71 (2016-09-23): Friday (last trading) Closed 112.38 (2016-04-14): highs while the false breakOU-formation in april`16 108.07 (2016-04-17): lows while the false breakOU-formation in april`16 1st target is 119.19 112.71 (2016-09-23): Friday (last trading) Closed only if the share falls while october (or while the next 4th quarter`16) under 103.91 (gap before the w-formation was created) under 102.87 (gap after the w-formation was created) under 102.47 (low after the the w-formation was created) the big technical picture will not be constructive. So even above 102.47, even above 102.87 & even above 103.91 the big techical picture is still sugessting higher prices. Higher prices until 119.19 and higher - while this year 2016. Long-Term BUY Signal Meanwhile also the 100 SMA is only 70 Cent under the 200 SMA !!! Usually a 100 SMA upside cross over the 200 SMA is suggesting also higher prices ... 112.71 (2016-09-23): Friday (last trading) Closed 102.06 (2016-09-23): 200 Daily SMA 101.36 (2016-09-23): 100 Daily SMA Take care & analyzed it again - it`s always your choice ... Best regards 4XSetUps
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Devise2Day
APPLE @ basic Scenario since ATH (freestyle)134.63 alltime high 132.84 start of the downside trendline 123.79 end of the downside trendline 123.79 trading box between the downside trendline & 1st low after alltime high 119.94 trading box between the downside trendline & 1st low after alltime high 119.19 low price of the alltime high trendreversal formation 112.52 trading box after false breakout of the downside trendline 108.13 trading box after false breakout of the downside trendline The 1st target ist 119.19 - but i am thinking that the share will oscialating between 112.52 & 119.19 in september`16. In the 3rd Quarter should be the trading box (119.19 & 123.79) only a question of time. So that the shares should raise up into new alltime highs 2017 - even 134.62 Take care & analyzed it again - it`s always your choice ... Best regards 4XSetUps
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Devise2Day
APPLE LONG: $151-$182 - CYCLICAL ANALYSIS & REGRESSION FORECASTAnalysing Apple's (AAPL) historical cyclical price movements and using the +/- 2SD of the linear regression to forecast a naive regression price for the next extension phase. * Extension leg Regression Forecast* 1. For leg A (Extension Leg 1) we use a start point of $12.5 or $33 (phase doesnt have a clear start), or we could assume a mean value of (12.5+33)/2= $22.75. - Leg A is then, $12.5, $23.5 or $33 divided by $100, which means Leg A is a price increase of = 700%, 310% or 200% 2. For Leg C (Extension Leg 2) the price increased from $55 to $134.5 which is a 145% increase. 3. For Foretasted Leg E (Extension Leg 3), we start at $89 and we derive the price "%" increase by: - Using the regression of the price increase % from Leg A to Leg C e.g. 145%/700%= 21%; 145/310 = 46%; 145/200= 73%, so this means for each of the calculations we can then assume each is the regression growth differential from Leg C's 145% increase to foretasted Leg E's "%" increase 4. e.g. Foretasted Leg E / Extension Leg 3: 21% of 145% = 31% increase; $89 * 31% = $117 or 46% of 145% = 67% increase ; $89* 67% * $89= $151 or 73% of 145% = 106% increase; $89 * 106% = $182 - Thus Apples Leg E/ Extension Leg 3's Naive Regression Forecast = between $151 and $182 * As shown on graph. Furthermore, another interesting statistical measure for apples 10year/ 120 Month +/-2SD channel was that the Pearsons R was 0.95. This means that the linear correlation between Apples Price over the measured time period was 95%. 95% of all values observed lie averagely on its linear regression line (middle line of the Stan Dev channel) - en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pearson_product-moment_correlation_coefficient - Having such a high Peasons R means the regression line holds true for 95% of past data and therefore is MAY also include 95% of future data thus extrapolating the linear line (or using basic regressions as i have done) is of some statistical significance. A Pearsons R coefficient of 0.3 means there is little positive correlation between Price and Time, thus extrapolating prices through time using basic regressions/ forecasts is much less statistically prudent, since only 30% of past data correlated about the linear regression line.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by QuantumLogicTrading
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