AMAT Applied Materials Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMAT Applied Materials prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 130usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-11-17,
for a premium of approximately $6.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Applied_materials
1/16/22 AMATApplied Materials, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMAT )
Sector: Producer Manufacturing (Industrial Machinery)
Market Capitalization: 148.382B
Current Price: $167.00
Breakout price: $167.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $158.80-$152.40
Price Target: $196.20-$199.40 (3rd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 146-150d (3rd)
Contract of Interest: $AMAT 6/17/22 210c
Trade price as of publish date: $4.35/contract
US Stock In Play: $AMAT (Applied Materials Inc)$AMAT dipped -2.45% ($139.54) from last night’s session where major averages pulled back from record highs to close in negative territory during regular trading. $AMAT have established its all time high during the week’s opening at $146 level.
The correction in $AMAT coincide with its price action currently resisted at its upper trendline resistance. At the current junction, $AMAT structural trend channel remains intact. The breach of support at $128 level will reflect the first sign weakness for in its upside momentum in the short term.
$AMAT provides manufacturing equipment, services, and software to the semiconductor, display, and related industries.
AMAT - Applied Materials Stock AnalysisBased on Technical Analysis, the idea is to go long as per major trend - watch out the possible price set back before starting a new rally.
Applied Materials (AMAT) – Applied Materials reported adjusted quarterly earnings of $1.06 per share, 11 cents above estimates, while the maker of semiconductor manufacturing equipment also saw revenue beat Wall Street forecasts. Applied Materials also gave an upbeat current-quarter forecast amid rebounding demand.
Buy itAMAT has effectively broken out and re-entered it's upward rising channel.
Current target is ~$100 (a 1.618 fib extension from that last downward correction April2018-Jan2019), but that could take until year end.
Elliott Wave pattern is screaming to me that this is a 5 of a 5, so watch out near that $100 target and get your sell limit orders placed beforehand.
Considering buying some calls for 6 months--a year out
Applied Materials Another unpublished ideaI had posted this to my personal page.
I had seen this double pattern happen a few times going back.
I ended up missing the bottom by a bit but feel I still got in at a good spot.
(*Note this was my first ever stock purchase)
Since the run up has happened quicker than expected I am not sure what to think.
It would seem another small correction is coming like in the circle.
After that another strong uptrend.
I will try to update with a new trend after some more data.
I see great potential with AMAT and feel its a good long term investment.
Time To "Short" APPLIED MATERIALS Is Coming Closer & Closer.Applied Materials Ins (NASDAQ: AMAT) is giving signs for Loss Of Buyer's Momentum at the top as per TTC Breakdown Formation . The 54.50 Zone is very critical for now to hold the breakdown. If price manages to sustain below this Critical TTC Zone , we can see buyers losing control to the sellers in the markets.
For Short-term targets, Trader should eye on 53.20 Zone . Then 52.20 is the next support. For Swing Traders, 48.50 zone is Very Critical. Below which we can see a good amount of selling.
Applied Materials, Inc. provides manufacturing equipment, services, and software to the semiconductor, display, and related industries worldwide. It operates through three segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets.
Imminent Drop Ahead For Applied Materials (AMAT)Applied Materials, Inc. has been dropping suddenly when the positive vortex indicator (discussed below) reaches its current level. This pattern has occurred seven times dating back to December 2015. It could be coincidence and/or it could be a great opportunity to haul in large gains with put options.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.2955 and the negative is at 0.6028. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The positive value has begun to retreat and the significance will be covered in the SPECIFIC ANALYSIS section below.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 92.8307 and D value is 59.4358. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The stochastic has been moving wildly since the stock lost greater than 9% in June. Currently the stock is approaching overbought levels, but both the K and D may not make it to this point before the stock tumbles again.
SPECIFIC ANALYSIS
Every time the Positive Vortex Indicator value reaches its current level, the stock drops a sizeable amount on the following trading day. In this case, the stock could drop more than 3.5% on Monday July 24, 2017. The observed pattern requires the positive VI value to break above 1.2955 and later retreat below this level. The day of the retreat is the signal, and the following day produces the loss.
Two examples are visible on the chart above with a light blue vertical line. The vertical line represents the day the positive VI value retreats below the 1.2955 mark. As you can see, the day after is always a down day, and a sizeable drop at that. You should be able to scroll to left of the chart above and view all seven instances as they are marked with the same light blue vertical line. The percent lost on these days following the crossing of 1.2955 has been: 9.30%, 3.79%, 7.24%, 1.95%, 1.75%, 3.35%, and 3.26%. That is a minimum loss of 1.75% and median loss of 3.35% with a standard deviation of 2.82%.
Furthermore, most of these one-day losses are just the beginning of greater losses. Five of the instances led to greater losses that spanned between 15-28 days. All of the following losses are based on the close price of the retreat date to the low price on the final day of decline. The minimum decline for all seven instances was 3.50% with a median loss of 7.30%.
The possible movements for the next few weeks are indicated above. The stock could drop to the horizontal light blue line (45.17) at some point on July 24, 2017 or within the next few days. The median movement is the orange rectangle on the chart. If median movement from the previous occasions is achieved, the stock could drop to 43.41 within the next 14 trading days. My conservative pick for movement is a drop to 44.23 within the next 25 trading days. Any of these levels would be significant, but another one day greater than 1.75% would keep this interesting pattern alive.
Considering the information above and recent patterns, the stock should see downward movement over the short to intermediate time period. Based on historical movement compared to current levels, the stock could drop at least 5% over the next 25 trading days if not sooner.