📈Mastering Stock Selection:A Journey to Long-Term Wealth💰Part1Interested in selecting high-quality stocks and growing your wealth through long-term investing? Today, I'll guide you through effective stock selection methods, including the top-bottom and bottom-top approaches. Remember, as Warren Buffett famously said, "The stock market is designed to transfer money from the active to the patient." 💼📈
Let's start with the top-bottom approach. First, you choose an economy, such as Indian, US, or UK. Next, select a sector within that economy, like Financial Services, IT, or Pharma. From there, narrow down to an industry within the sector, such as AI, Clean-technology, or Hardware. Finally, choose a company within the industry. Don't worry if it seems complex – I'll provide examples and guidance throughout. 💡🔍
Conversely, the bottom-top approach flips this order. We start by selecting a company, then move up to its industry, sector, and finally, the economy. 💼🔄
Let's put theory into practice with the top-bottom approach: (a random example)
1. Choose India as the economy.
2.Select the IT sector for its promising future.
3. Opt for AI as the industry due to its potential.
4. Select Infosys as a company.
Now, it's your turn! Share examples of top-bottom or bottom-top approaches in the comments for practice. 💬💡
In the upcoming discussions, we'll delve into the fundamentals of sector, industry, and company analysis. Don't worry—I'll explain everything from market cap and cash flow to return on equity (ROE). 📊✨
Target of likes (boosts): 25+ (if we achieve our target than I will make Part 2) 🎯🚀
Follow for more such ideas & learning content! 🔍
Approach
BTC - Market Structure 101 📚 Keeping It SimpleHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📊 I find the BTC H1 chart interesting as it has been respecting the market structure cleanly inside the rising channel recently.
📈 As the price approaches the lower bound of the channel, the bulls are taking control for an impulse after breaking above the last high in blue and the 21 EMA.
📉 Conversely , as the price nears the upper bound of the channel, the bears take charge for a correction after breaking below the last low in green and the 21 EMA.
Today, BTC rejected the upper bound and broke below the green low and 21 EMA, signaling that the bears are currently in control.
📉 The bears are expected to maintain control, and we anticipate a movement towards the lower bound of the channel.
📈 However , a shift in momentum could occur if the bulls regain control by breaking above the red channel and reaching 38,100. In such a scenario, we would anticipate a bullish continuation towards the upper bound of the rising channel.
What are your thoughts? Do you believe BTC will continue to adhere to this simple market structure?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
FUNDAMENTAL OR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS?
The debate about the most reliable and effective method to trade the markets with is still on.
Whether it is Cryptocurrencies, Forex or the Stock market. It is imperative that the serious trader has an effective tool that will give them an edge in the markets.
Most professional traders in investment banks would argue that fundamental analysis is the most effective method to rely on when making considerations to take a position in the market.
Fundamental analysis is the study and research of a particular asset, whether in the Cryptocurrency market, i.e. Bitcoin, Etherum, Litecoin, or in the Forex market where you have currency pairs like Eurusd, Gbpusd Usdjpy and so on, or in the stock market where there are company shares to be bought like Apple, Amazon and Tesla.
In the Crypto world, the fundamental analyst will focus on the progress of a particular cryptocurrency, this could be measured either through the acceptance of a particular crypto by financial institutions, or companies or country.
An example of this was seen in the market on the 8th of May 2021 when Dogecoin had a rise to it's highest point (0.74 cent) after a series of tweets from Elon Musk (CEO and founder of Tesla).
In Forex the fundamental analyst will look to the GDP (Gross Domestic Product) of a country, or CPI (Consumer Price Index) to make a decision whether to buy or sell.
The fundamental analyst will also study the statement coming from the central bank of a particular currency, i.e. for GBP(Great British Pounds) it will be The Bank of England, for the Euro it will be The European Central Bank (ECB) and for the dollar it will be The Federal Reserve (The Federal Reserve System).
The fundamental analyst studies the statement made by the Central bank governor or other high ranking members before making a decision on whether to buy, sell, or stand aside.
In the Stock market, the fundamental analyst will most likely study the company earnings, quarterly reports and the general health of the company, the fundamental analyst wants to know if the company is in losses or profitable, and if profitable, the fundamental analyst wants to see that the company has a steady equity growth, The fundamental analyst is interested in the leadership of the company, what the company does, and if it's products are in high demand.
All these are factors that guide the fundamental analyst when making a decision to take a position, whether Cryptocurrencies, Stocks or Forex, one thing is certain, and it is that a robust research must be carried out by the fundamental analyst before taking a position in the market.
Most retail traders are technical analysts, and do not look to the Central banks, in the case of currency pairs, company earnings in the case of stocks, or the acceptance by financial institutions in the case of cryptocurrencies.
Instead, the technical analyst studies the charts, the primary objective is to look for recognizable patterns that has been identified in the past and could show up again in the future, albeit with slight difference in appearance.
The technical analyst could rely on the application of traditional technical analysis and make use of indicators, oscillators, trend lines, Fibonacci tool, pattern recognition (divergence, hidden divergence, double tops and bottoms flags e.t.c) with close observation of these tools, a technical analyst could tell with very high level of accuracy the next direction of an asset.
Of course the above statement is true only in the absence of a Black Swan event. The word Black Swan is used in the trading world to identify an unusual day, where things abnormal occurs and could destabilize the market. Examples of Black Swan events are: Brexit, Trump winning the 2016 election in the U.S., and the Swiss national bank removing the cap on the Euro in 2015.
The technical analyst could also rely on harmonics to trade, looking at the patterns on the charts with or without multiple indicators. An example would be the application of the Elliott Wave theory, where there are impulse or motive waves in the form of a five step move in the direction of the trend and corrective waves in the form of a three step move that goes counter trend hence the term corrective waves. The Elliott Wave Theory is an effective method to trade the market if practiced and applied correctly.
In conclusion, it is fair to note that both technical analysis and fundamental analysis like everything else in life have their strengths and weaknesses.
However, it might be a much more effective method to combine both the technical and fundamental analysis of any asset before making a decision. That way one could have the best of both worlds and a higher probability of profitability in the markets.
John Emefeke.
T.A.
What Does Consistency Mean In Trading ? Hello traders:
Today let's talk about “consistency” in trading.
Many traders understand they need to be consistent, but what exactly is consistent in trading ?
To me, it's not just making consistent “profit”, rather it's being consistent with your trading strategy, risk management, trading psychology, mindset and emotion.
Let's take a look at a few examples of consistency in trading:
Consistency in profits:
More often traders think about hitting a set amount of % return in consistency.
This is certainly one way to look at it, but I would say to challenge ourselves to do more.
Each and every month, the market will develop differently, hence our profits are not gonna always be the “same” each and every month.
Some month with more profits, some month with more losses. We need to have the ability to stay “consistent” no matter what the market condition is.
Consistency in strategy and Trading Plan:
Remember, there are many different trading strategies out there.
The ability to stay “consistent” with your current trading strategy, and not jump from strategy to strategy.
Even if your strategy right now isn't getting any entries available in the current market condition, while others are entering trade, you need to stay consistent with your strategy and let the probability play out.
Understand no strategy can catch every move in the market. Some will catch this particular run, while others will catch other developments.
Consistency in risk management:
When you are at a series of drawdowns and losses, the ability to stay “consistent” with your risk management.
Not risking more than 1%, not entering more than 2-3 trades at a time. No revenge trade, and/or over leverage trade.
Respect your SL and honour the SL. More often traders fall into this stage while they take a number of losses and throw their risk management out the window.
Consistency in mindset and emotion:
When your strategy isn't playing out on a short term, the ability to stay “consistent” and not to start randomly taking trades based on FOMO, Greed and emotion.
Sometimes traders get impatient and feel like waiting for setups to happen is a hassle and they don't want to wait.
This is when they start to rush their trading journey and backfires on them.
Consistency in your goal:
Set goals for your result and progress. The ability to stay “consistent” with yourself and don't let external factors like social media, fake guru, scammers affect you and your goal.
If you plan to have 5% per month profit, then don't let other people affect you in a negative way.
Everyone trades differently, and with different strategy, method and approach. No need to compare and compete with others, rather, with yourself each and every year.
Below I will forward some good educational videos on the above topics that we have discussed:
Trading Psychology: Revenge Trading
Trading Psychology: Fear Of Missing Out
Trading Psychology: Over Leveraged Trading
Risk Management: Combine everything you learn to prevent blowing a trading account
Xrp long term curve projectionHi everybody,
Drew this long term curve with much more realistic prices than I posted in my previous idea. Have a good look at where we are right now. You can draw a medium curve inside of that bigger one and then determine of where we are going next. I see more sideways action until we closd above 0.70$ on monthly candle.
7-9$ per xrp is very realistic looking at this chart. If we break that with good volume, 100$+ would be on the cards. Look up my previous chart for that.
Posting this from my phone as I'm going to be away from trading and charts until August.
Have a great weekend!
POLONIEX:XRPUSD
This is what you need to know before tradingHi this is my approach to the market. Prepare this list for yourself before trading:
- Good broker
- Good mental books to help you (my recommendation Zen in the markets is a must)
- Good trading idea
- Good risk management
- Good rules
- And always learn new ideas and back test it
- And learn to manage your life (you need no distractions so do the things you need to do before hand, it can be job or homework)
As far as we know the market is quite unpredictable it is essential for you to prepare yourself or you will learn it the hard way.
My advice : after you checked the list learn lot of trading ideas and choose the most profitable ones to back test it.
- Follow your rule
- Whatever you do, do not go against the trend always follow the trend FOLLOW THE MARKET
- Always approach the market blank minded and do what the market is telling you.
Good luck
If you want to create new broker account i recommend this broker : lnd.easymarkets.com
GOOGLE SHORT!Could we go short on Google Guys?
I believe so, here we have it, prices currently above the 1140.00 Region.
We could see a potential downward pull to the 1040.00 Region , however prices would have to break out of the current congestion area with decent volume.
HAVING SAID THIS.
I believe that we still run the risk of prices reversing to the upside, essentially wiping out current resistance, regardless, for now my bias is still short with an expected target price of 1040.00.
TP: 1040.00
EURUSD has a new trough (Using limit orders)finally, while UK is asleep - EUR is jumping up...
good or bad - depends on your market approach.
basically some of us has missed a good intraday move everyone have been waiting for.
but ok, as I see the current market situation the level of 1.115 must be cleared before the market will continue it's up move, (if it will, we can not know for sure - never).
also the price has already bounced off the resistance level at 1.122
so some will ask what to do?
So here the limit orders will help us to get a better price anyway, or at least a smaller lost.
by the limit order, I do not mean exactly the order, but the limit approach, or in another words - a better price thinking.
So where would a multi million fund buy if they wanted to buy,
Where would they sell if they wanted to sell?
first -- always have this questions in your mind when trading,
here is another must do thing - a small stop losses, but I will talk about it later.
so ok, if we're considering a continuation of a short trend, as we already had a very nice top more then a week ago, is the decline enough for going short now?
do not think so, why?
well answer the questions above, do we have enough people buying?
not yet. some are still selling, and waiting for a further decline, when their losses will be big enough, and they will close their loosing positions, and wil start buying - a smarter guys will start selling to them.
What tools to use and how to establish this type of thinking?
well some are using "EWA", I'm using my own "SWA",
and on my approach I'm using tools like fibo, and we're now at 38,6 which is not really enough. but some traders will start to sell and put their stops just above the current high.
smarter guys will wait or will put their sell limit orders just above the current high with a goal to get the other's orders in order to have a smaller risk and better price.
in case of entering long - will the smart money enter now, or will they wait?
I guess that you know the idea and the answer.
I will be open for your questions and will answer them all. All You have to do is simply ask.,
Your likes are appreciated!!!