Arabia
USDCAD next MovementGuys AS we seen today that that CAD is strong due to "INTREST RATE DECISION" .their is no change in the intrest rate .USDCAD reaches its next strong support 1.35000 and it has more chances that it will rebound back from that point and again addpot the implusive momentum towards Buy direction.in case if its break 1.35000 than its next stop will be 1.3380
so guys Avoid trading at the Redzone i mention there.
for any Question you can ask me directly.
WTI Crude - An End to the Price War?Market has high expectations for OPEC+++
The stand-out event today is undoubtedly the OPEC+++ meeting, where producers will attempt to find agreement on output that addresses the collapse in demand and crude prices.
No one is winning in this environment but, as ever, each are losing to different degrees and have a different ideas on how it should be resolved. I don’t think a grand deal is as nailed on as markets would have us believe but, as ever, common sense should prevail.
If a substantial deal is going to get over the line, the US must play a part in some form. It is currently hoping that a market-driven, forced production cut will be enough to convince other producers to cut but I’m not sure that will be enough. Other assurances will be necessary to get Russia on board, which is the biggest risk to a deal.
That said, traders have heavily bought into this potential deal, following President Trump's tweet last week. The risk now is not just whether a deal is done but, if it is, will it be enough? I'm not sure a 10 million barrel cut will be enough to hold the gains and even 15 million may just about given the demand destruction we've seen.
Should we see above 15 million barrels, it could give the oil price a big boost, with the break of $30 in WTI potentially being the catalyst for another big move higher. The next notable level above here is $35 and if producers want to see higher than this, the cut may have to be closer to 20 million and include the US in some form.
Oil has jumped today on reports that Saudi Arabia and Russia have reached a deal on cuts of up to 20 million. The headline sounds good but the small print may not read quite as well. Should this be confirmed without any drawbacks in the fine print, I'd expect oil prices to rise more than they have.
There's always the risk of "buy the rumour, sell the fact" strategies going into these things which is why the detail and believability is so important.
From a technical standpoint, this looks like a market that's bottomed and just waiting to pounce above $30, but for that we need confirmation. A break above $30 says traders are satisfied with the cuts, at which point we may be able to look upwards for the first time in a while.
Buy The Rumor Sell Fact?So what I was thinking; Could this be a "buy the rumor sell the fact"? Dispite no actual deal, the oil market went up significantly. What if we have a "no-deal" tomorrow, or the cutback will only be by 5 million barrels. Anyway keep an one eye on the news and one eye on Trump's Tweets.
Long Saudi Arabia Given recent tensions in the Middle East, the Saudi Arabian ETF sold off and back-tested the previous resistance trend-line. The ETF has now rebounded off this trend-line, and looks bullish to continue to the July highs. Given the slightly weaker dollar macro picture, EM countries should be supported. KSA is a good play for a de-escalation in the Middle East and continued EM strength.
Oil: Might have bottomed here, next week the downtrend expiresAs discussed in the KHL chatroom, it is likely that oil has bottomed here, considering the sentiment extreme and the situation in Saudi Arabia, with Mohammed Bin Salman appointed as the next in line for the throne, replacing his uncle: www.bloomberg.com
This is an interesting signal in its own right, maybe signaling a bottom, which Tim West pointed out as logical. Sentiment is very negative, with analysts claiming oil is basically a 'worthless commodity'...do your own due diligence.
Good luck!
Ivan Labrie.
UCO: We bought yesterday's closeThis is potentially a very good trade, for the time being, we can expect it to retest the top of the range. If you didn't buy with me and my clients yesterday at the close, you can buy here, risking a new low under the recent lowest low. Target is at least a retest of the previous rally's top, but it could evolve into resuming the longer term 'Time at mode' uptrend signal in the oil chart. In the case of $UCO, it could rally to 21.19.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.