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ARKK

A comparison between S&P500 Nasdaq 100 and ARKK..!The CEO of ark Invest repeatedly talked about the possibility of a crash in Index funds while denying Her Managed ETF is one of the worst performers in the market since February 2021! In February I publish this: Please review her performance in 2008, to know more about her performance in a possible Bearish market! Orange line: S&P500 Blueline: NASDAQ100 Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
AMEX:ARKKShort
by Moshkelgosha
1
Inside the current correction on SQToday, we will take a look at Square INC. The main context for the price is the previous corrective structure (white lines). In August, the price apparently made a breakout which then got back into the structure once again, creating a secondary structure (yellow lines) We always work with the idea that the price moves between zones of the same degree, so, in this case, we expect the price to reach the lower zone of the current structure (support level) IF that happens, we want to observe a breakout of the inner trendline (white line inside the yellow structure). IF that happens, we will wait for a small retest, and then we expect a bullish movement towards the higher zone of the current correction (shared area between the primary and secondary corrective patterns.) The filters we are using to validate our view are: a) Contact with the support level b) Breakout of the inner descending trendline c) retest IF all the previous items are true, then: d) Wait for a bullish impulse towards the higher zone of the correction if we observe a clear breakout of the small retest we are looking for. Thanks for reading! Feel free to add your view/chart or any comment about this. ;)
NYSE:SQ
by ThinkingAntsOk
8
MELI | Breakout or Bounce?MELI, Breakout or bounce? Today we will take a look at the Latin American e-commerce platform "Mercado Libre." Currently, the price is on a relevant level to pay attention to; it's a zone where we have a support level and the cloned trendline of the current correction. As this is a major zone, we can start thinking about the bullish or bearish resolution from here. IF the price breaks the current zone, the next support level is likely to be the bearish target of the movement, around 970. However, if the price can bounce from here, we can expect a bullish movement towards the descending trendline at 1550. I want to see the price breaking the descending trendline (yellow) to consider bullish opportunities. EXAMPLE Thanks for reading! Feel free to add your view and charts in the comments.
NASDAQ:MELI
by ThinkingAntsOk
1
Rolled: ARKK December 17th 135 Short Call to 114... for a 1.27 credit. Comments: This is the short call aspect of a December 17th short strangle. I rolled the call side down on approaching worthless to cut net delta by about half. As a standalone trade, it's short delta, but that is offset by the short put aspect's long delta, so looked at holistically, it's more of a neutral assumption setup when you look at both the short call and short put as a unit. I originally put on the short strangle for 3.04 (See Post Below) and had a price target to take profit when it reached 50% of that or at 1.52. I'm going to keep that profit target the same by entering a good until cancelled order to take profit for 1.52 (my original target) plus what I collected for the roll -- 1.27 -- or 2.79. Put another way, I've collected a total of 3.04 + 1.27 in credits or 4.31 and 4.31 minus 1.52 (my original profit target) equals 2.79.
AMEX:ARKK
by NaughtyPines
COIN | Analysis of the current situationToday, we will take a look at Coinbase. Currently, the price is down -26% since IPO. But what can we expect from here? * After 223 days of trading since IPO, we have some context to make Technical Analysis and make some quick conclusions. * We can see a clear transition between the beginning of the bearish movement to the sideways movement on the bottom and the beginning of a new bullish situation * Now we can see a cloned channel broken and a Flag pattern, finding support there. The proportions between impulses and corrections are clear so that we can make our first conclusion on a possible direction * IF the price breaks above "B" on the flag pattern, we will consider that as an activation level for our bullish view towards the 3 following levels: -FIRST: First fibo extension -SECOND: Previous ATH -THIRD: Second Fibo extension (final target) *For our view to stay valid, the price should not go below the cloned channel for more than a couple of candlesticks. Otherwise, the flag pattern will be invalid, and we should be open to a new bearish movement towards 240 (lower trendline of the ascending channel) Thanks for reading! Let us know in the comments any view or idea you have about this.
NASDAQ:COIN
by ThinkingAntsOk
3
Some ideas on the most significant drop in PYPL history.PYPL is on my trading watchlist because, as a growth stock, it has been in a corrective situation for a reasonable amount of time, 284 days to be exact, from February 16, 2021. When we have this type of consolidation, it is easy to look at the past and ask a simple question. How many times did a similar situation like the current one has happened? As you can see, there are 3 situations, including this one, that we can compare and understand to look for a good spot to develop setups with a goods ods as evolving as expected + High risk to reward ratio. Let's check all of them. AUG2015 - APR2017 JUL2019 - MAY2020 FEB2021 - YTD I don't have a final idea of what I want to trade here. However, I'm certain I will not develop any bullish setup below the current descending trendline. Once the price gets close to it, I will develop the specific filter I'm waiting for. Based on past behavior, if I see a breakout of the descending trendline + a clear filter (not defined yet), I think it is a good opportunity to look for setups with a target on the previous high and beyond. That would mean R/R ratios above 5 or 6 (if we can catch that), and at the same time, we can absorb multiple stop loss, and even if we get it right on the 4th attempt; we still are able to make profits. Feel free to add any ideas or thoughts about this in the comments! Thanks for reading.
NASDAQ:PYPL
by ThinkingAntsOk
5
After 200 days we can see a breakout | MUToday we will take a look at Micron Technology, a company that engages in the provision of innovative memory and storage solutions. Time to check the Technical elements on the chart: 1) From 2018 until November 2020 the price was inside a massive range until we saw the breakout of it and a 50% bullish movement from that situation towards the top of the bullish impulse 2) From April until today the price has been consolidating on a clear corrective pattern where we can define both top and bottom edges 3) How can we know that the structure is finished? Two reasons here: first we have clear edges (previous item) and second the structure has made contact with a key level, in this case, the ascending trendline. 4) Now we have a breakout of the corrective pattern. Remember that Technical Analysis is a statistical discipline, which means that we are never gonna have certainty about a situation. However, we know that if we engage in quality situations over certain periods, we will be able to observe consistent results. 5) We are not taking setup on this stock, (we already have exposure on other assets). However, it's an interesting situation to wait for a throwback (retest of a broken structure). IF that happens, we have defined an activation level as you can see on the chart (ALWAYS ABOVE THE TRENDLINE) 6) Depending on how aggressive is the setup you are taking, the invalidation level can be: FIRST below the whole structure 65.00 / SECOND below the throwback (this setup provides a massive risk to reward ratio, however, is prone to a quick stop loss) 7) Targets: IF I would be executing a setup here, I would protect my setup once the price reaches the previous top, which shares a major resistance zone that you can see on the weekly chart (2% below that, I want to be risk-free) / Now, the places to close setups on profit can be the first or 2nd Fibonacci extension. The expected duration of a movement like this may be between 200 to 300 days. 8)RISK: This is the formula I use to trade: I never have more than 5 setups at the same time NEVER EVER. And the maximum % of risk I take on any setup is 3% (ONLY with a STRATEGY THAT YOU HAVE a lot of EXPERIENCE WITH). Let's understand this better, most of my setups happen on the daily chart, which means that time resolutions are between 2 weeks to 3 months. Another rule I use is that my setups must happen on uncorrelated assets example: NFLX / BTCUSD / XAUUSD / FCX / AMZN. So my worst-case scenario is losing all at the same time which means a -10% to -15%. That's more than acceptable for me. And the most probable thing is that I would be able to open 4 to 5 new setups 1 to 2 months later. That's why this type of trading style is so secure. Even in apocalyptic scenarios, you would face a manageable loss, and it will take you time to develop new setups (you avoid impulsive trading) Thanks for reading! Please feel free to share any idea about MU, in terms of technical or fundamental analysis.
NASDAQ:MU
by ThinkingAntsOk
1
Pending setup on ARKK based on Historical BehaviourToday we will share a pending setup we have on The ARKK Innovation ETF managed by Cathie Wood. Another great asset in terms of technical behavior. What's the key idea of this setup? -Once we have a CLEAR correction, EXAMPLE: a formation with more than 150 days or a significant drop in the price like 2020. We draw the MOST external trendline using Higher lows; the idea is that any candlestick must not be visible above that line. Ok, once the price makes the first breakout of that line, we wait for a small corrective pattern, which can be something like 3 days or more than 15 days. IF that happens, we trade above that correction with a stop loss below it and a take profit level at 2.5 Risk to Reward ratio. In the following picture, you can see the historical result of this strategy, EVEN in situations that we should NOT have entered. (we use a stop loss of 150USD as an example on every setup) Alright, so is this setup going to be a take-profit? I DONT F@%#ING now. And honestly, I don't care about the specific result of it. The only thing I know is that I'm executing a setup under a strategy that I have a clear edge over, so I don't know the result of the next setup. However, I'm certain that the result of the next 10 setups will have a positive edge. The risk I will be taking on this setup is 2% of my capital on the stop loss. That means that if everything goes wrong, I will lose 2% of my capital. The duration of this setup can be between 20 to 45 days. Thanks for reading! Feel free to add any comment or idea.
AMEX:ARKKLong
by ThinkingAntsOk
2
ARKK 1D - Golden Cross Coming UpARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) led by Cathie Wood is shown a possible near break of the triangle with a possible golden cross on the MA coming up very soon. I plotted fib levels to see how I we can possibly go. There has been consolidation since March 2021. It seems that a breakout is coming very soon. What are your opinions on this? Comment below, hit the like and follow me. Thank you! Check out more below for recent Altcoin, Bitcoin and Stock Ideas. Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk #bitcoin #altcoins
AMEX:ARKKLong
by MillionaireEconomics
2
Trading plan on BYND | A key name in the Plant-based industryToday we will talk about Beyond meat! There is a curious thing about this chart , and that's the dynamic support it has been working on since Jun 2020. We have been observing several contacts since that date, and it tends to respect it pretty well. Alright, nice line, but what then? Okay, the idea here is either the price has already made contact with it or is close to making it. AND it may be a relevant situation to start thinking about bullish setups. As you may know, the way we trade is about looking for similar situations to the current one and creating a model on WHAT we want to see before risking one single dollar. Here are our conclusions: -The price is making contact with a relevant dynamic support level -The price is inside a descending structure -IF we have a clear breakout of this structure, we want to observe a corrective pattern with similar proportions as the ABC draft we made on the chart. This is a similar sequence that has been happening since 2020 Do you want to know whats the best thing about trading this way? If the price does not make the filter we are expecting; I don't give a..... because I don't trade it, and I will be paying attention to other charts that have moved accordingly to the expected filters. Under this method, the only guarantee you have is that when the price makes what you are expecting, you know you are in front of a high-quality situation. The bad thing about this method is that a lot of ideas will not happen as expected; that's why patience is extremely important. But if you learn how to become patient is an excellent way of trading, and a massive edge against investors that lack patience. Thanks for reading! Feel free to share your view and ideas about the post of the chart in the comments box.
NASDAQ:BYND
by ThinkingAntsOk
2
Opening: ARKK December 17th 106/135 Short Strangle... for a 3.04 credit. Comments: Venturing back out into margin account trading land with this delta neutral short strangle in the December monthly camped out at the 18 delta strikes. This results in 2x expected move break evens at 102.96 and 138.05. 3.04 credit on buying power effect of 12.11; 25.1% ROC at max as a function of buying power effect; 12.6% ROC at 50% max. Will look to take profit at 50% max and/or manage sides on approaching worthless or side test.
AMEX:ARKK
by NaughtyPines
Can we expect a new bullish impulse on SQ? Today we will take a look at Square Inc. Jack Dorsey's company. In case you don't know who Jack Dorsey is, he is the founder of Twitter inc. In case you don't know what Twitter is... (I'm just joking) Let's go back to Technical Analysis: I can see two clear structures here: *The previous impulse (which is a sequence of higher highs and higher lows) + The current major correction is a sequence of movements inside a constrained range. Ok, what is so special about that? Using Elliott Wave Theory, we can see the relationships between these two movements; one is a correction of the other one. And what Elliott concluded is that the next bullish impulse (IF it comes) will have kind of a relationship in terms of proportions with the previous impulse. That's why we use Fibonacci Extensions to define targets. Key Take away of this bullet point: The targets for a possible bullish movement are: 350 / 400 / 440 * Now let's take a look into the current major correction: After 170 days below the previous high, we saw the breakout in August, after that the price has been correcting on edge (which is pretty standard, after the breakout of structures of this size) This minor correction has been on its range for almost 80 days. * Conclusions: IF (capital letters, conditional sentence) the price makes a new ATH, we will consider that as an activation level for the bullish view. Targets are the levels we mentioned before. Invalidation level will be below the minor correction at 218.00/ IF not the analysis is not valid (that simple) *The expected duration for a movement like this can go between 100 to 150 days Thanks for reading guys! Remember to add any ideas or thoughts to the comment. Protect your capital!!!
NYSE:SQLong
by ThinkingAntsOk
8