Opening: ARKK December 17th 106/135 Short Strangle... for a 3.04 credit.
Comments: Venturing back out into margin account trading land with this delta neutral short strangle in the December monthly camped out at the 18 delta strikes. This results in 2x expected move break evens at 102.96 and 138.05.
3.04 credit on buying power effect of 12.11; 25.1% ROC at max as a function of buying power effect; 12.6% ROC at 50% max. Will look to take profit at 50% max and/or manage sides on approaching worthless or side test.
ARKK
$HOOD TRADING BELOW IPO PRICESRobinhood Plunges After Huge Revenue Miss, Terrible Guidance, 7.51 % After Hours.
$HOOD exec says the company will seek regulatory clarity before bringing any new cryptocurrencies to the platform
$HOOD Revenue Per User: -36% y/y
$HOOD CFO: "It's going to be impossible for us to accurately predict revenue on a quarter-to-quarter basis."
$HOOD Crypto Trading Revenue: -78% q/q
Good Lecture on $HOOD and why it's a bubble 💭
quoththeraven.substack.com
Can we expect a new bullish impulse on SQ? Today we will take a look at Square Inc. Jack Dorsey's company. In case you don't know who Jack Dorsey is, he is the founder of Twitter inc. In case you don't know what Twitter is... (I'm just joking)
Let's go back to Technical Analysis:
I can see two clear structures here:
*The previous impulse (which is a sequence of higher highs and higher lows) + The current major correction is a sequence of movements inside a constrained range. Ok, what is so special about that? Using Elliott Wave Theory, we can see the relationships between these two movements; one is a correction of the other one. And what Elliott concluded is that the next bullish impulse (IF it comes) will have kind of a relationship in terms of proportions with the previous impulse. That's why we use Fibonacci Extensions to define targets. Key Take away of this bullet point: The targets for a possible bullish movement are: 350 / 400 / 440
* Now let's take a look into the current major correction: After 170 days below the previous high, we saw the breakout in August, after that the price has been correcting on edge (which is pretty standard, after the breakout of structures of this size) This minor correction has been on its range for almost 80 days.
* Conclusions: IF (capital letters, conditional sentence) the price makes a new ATH, we will consider that as an activation level for the bullish view. Targets are the levels we mentioned before. Invalidation level will be below the minor correction at 218.00/ IF not the analysis is not valid (that simple)
*The expected duration for a movement like this can go between 100 to 150 days
Thanks for reading guys! Remember to add any ideas or thoughts to the comment. Protect your capital!!!
Are we on a relevant bouncing level on ARKK? Today we will take a look at Cathie Wood´s flagship, ARKK.
Main elements of the chart:
a) The price is against a resistance level + Lower trendline of the flag pattern (bigger white structure) + Lower trendline of the inner descending channel.
b) Generally speaking, every time we find this level of alignment between technical elements, we tend to observe good reactions.
c) So, should we BUY? No, remember that you should always use confirmations or filters before taking action. In this case, we want to see a bounce + small correction on the edge of the inner descending channel. If that happens, we can think about trading towards the higher trendline of the flag pattern (bigger white structure)
d) What are the targets I can expect? We have two to propose. The first one is the higher trendline of the Flag pattern, and the second target is the resistance level at 130.00
e) Speaking about duration, we can expect a 50 to 70 days movement for a full movement like the one we are expecting
f) We also have defined a red horizontal line that represents an invalidation level for this analysis. That means that we will assume that the price broke the current level, and we should expect bearish pressure until the next support level.
Thanks for reading!
-32% in the past 32 weeks!The weekly chart of ARKK could show you a very beautiful picture of what you are going to experience in the next 25-74 weeks..!
As you see, ARKK could stagnate for a long time before any breakout! the last 2 stagnation period were as long as59-106 weeks!
In the past 32 weeks, it has lost 32%, and its price volume decreased more than 70% from 13.4 billion a week to 4 billion!
Crossing below the 50 EMA in the weekly chart should be considered a very important negative factor!
Any asset could be a buy or sell opportunity at any given moment, and we should look at the opportunities, not the asset's name!
Moshkelgosha
Tesla and ARKK correlation!While Tesla and ARKK have had a significant positive correlation in the past 5 years, they have lost it 20 days ago!
This is very unusual for ARKK to be negative when tesla is positive..!
It could be because ARK selling its stakes in Tesla:
According to Ark's daily transaction reports, three of the firm's funds, including its flagship Ark Innovation ETF, sold a combined 142,708 shares of Tesla on Wednesday, representing a stake worth about $108 million and adding to separate sales of about $166 million since late July.
The newest transactions come just days after Wood touted Tesla's success and gave shares a price target of $3,000 (nearly 300% more than current levels) in an interview with Yahoo! Finance, saying the company's growing market share makes it poised to benefit from a nearly 18-fold increase in electric-vehicle sales by 2025.
It seems she does not believe in her own analysis!
www.forbes.com
ARK invest and no plan for 2021..!This is a comparison between the so-called ARK invest flagship AMEX:ARKK and SP:SPX , TVC:NDX , TVC:DJI , and TVC:RUT .
While all major indexes show a positive return in 2021, ARKK is -10% negative in 2021..!
Let's look at her past performance in case a crisis happens in the market!
2008: Cathie Wood
UNDERPERFORMS Category, UNDERPERFORMS T Rowe
ABSRP: -45.12% (before fees)
CHCIX: -48.28%
PRNHX: -38.78%
Growth Category: -43.77%
These numbers speak..!
Best
Moshkelgosha
High-Quality levels on DraftKings.Today we will take the last year of price quotation and we will work on all the relevant levels we will e paying attention
a) The main aspect we can see are the exteriors support and resistance levels (these are our framework)
b) Inside our range, we can draw a trendline that may work as a relevant support level. From there, we can expect a bounce and the following correction (Trading Opportunity 1). As we are breakout traders, these corrections are what we are looking for before entering the market
c) If the price breaks the previously mentioned level, we will aim to see the price on the next support level (lower zone of our range) at 35USD. From there, we will expect the same sequence: bounce + the following correction.
d) Both trading opportunities will share the same target 64USD, however, it is important to mention the inner resistance level at 56.00 USD (there we should be open to possible corrections)
e) Final Idea: Remember, the best way of developing high-quality setups is by waiting for the price to reach high-quality zones. Working setups from there increase your odds of success
Thanks for reading!
Reverse Repos - ATH - KarmaGeddeon Bid Expands to $1.35 TrillionNon-Financial rated Debt, Corporate Debt will begin to roll over as GDP Forecasts,
although no longer provided... does not matter, the Global Economy is once again
on the Steep Decline.
Supply Chain Issues compound monthly, with no end in sight.
The answer is, Buy STONKS, they are the New, New, New, and Improved Liquidity Economy.
Stocks are the Economy for most Americans. GDP is resolved with Gains in Zombie Companies
buying Trillions of their own shares.
1.6 Million Options were swapped for Tesla Friday, 52% Calls.
The Gamma Squeeze for protected entities is in trade.
Yeah, Naw, we'll pass for now, wait for the Pullback into the Final Stage of this Historic
Bull Market.
Commodities are pitching a large Bis as the Safety Trade is back in force.
There will be a final Blow Off Higher into 2022 as Debt Markets join the idiocy until
it all simply implodes.
2022 is going to be a very difficult year for most.
Perpetual Bonds are assured, the reset there will require a degree of patience while the
"Distribution Phase" requires time.
Insider selling remains robust, Retails are going All-in on the YOLO.
Meme's will begin to roll over and collapse into the next Sell, which is ahead.
We will see how long they can continue this Distribution .
Margin Debt remains elevated at Highs.
INever forget Crammer issuing Buys in March of the DotCom peak for the most bloated
overvalued JUNK Stocks which promptly collapsed from $600 to $0.
2022... one for the Books after 5/5 completes.